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New York IslandersNYI 3–4 Final/SO Philadelphia FlyersPHI

Saturday, October 25, 2025

Final/SO 1st2nd3rdOTSO T SOG
New York IslandersNYI 11101 3 26
Philadelphia FlyersPHI 01202 4 26

No impact calculated for this game. Impacts are calculated for games in the next 7 days.

Highlights

Scoring

1st Period
9:51 NYI Simon Holmstrom (2)SH Jean-Gabriel Pageau (3) · snap xG 0.09 1–0 ▶
2nd Period
6:15 NYI Anthony Duclair (2) Marshall Warren (1), Anders Lee (6) · snap xG 0.16 2–0 ▶
10:29 PHI Christian Dvorak (2) Trevor Zegras (6), Matvei Michkov (2) · backhand xG 0.20 2–1 ▶
3rd Period
1:54 PHI Trevor Zegras (1) Christian Dvorak (2), Jamie Drysdale (3) · wrist xG 0.12 2–2 ▶
4:21 NYI Maxim Tsyplakov (1) Marshall Warren (2), Tony DeAngelo (3) · tip-in xG 0.10 3–2 ▶
7:32 PHI Trevor Zegras (2)PP Bobby Brink (3), Cam York (4) · wrist xG 0.34 3–3 ▶
Overtime
No scoring
Shootout
PHI Bobby Brink vs Ilya Sorokin Saved
NYI Bo Horvat vs Samuel Ersson Saved
PHI Trevor Zegras vs Ilya Sorokin Goal
NYI Simon Holmstrom vs Samuel Ersson Goal
PHI Matvei Michkov vs Ilya Sorokin Goal
NYI Anthony Duclair vs Samuel Ersson Saved

Score away–home after each goal; season totals in parentheses.

Shot quality

Expected goals (xG) rate every unblocked shot by how often shots like it go in, from where it was taken, the shot type, the strength and what happened just before it. How it works

NYI 48%Deserve to win52% PHI
NYIPHI
3.01Expected goals3.13
3Goals (no shootout)3
1.86Expected goals, 5 on 51.97
62Shot attempts46
45Unblocked attempts36
26Shots on goal26

Shot map

NYI shoots ←Bigger circle: higher xG; filled: goal→ PHI shoots
Kyle Palmieri: wrist, 12 ft, xG 0.04 (P1 0:31) Bobby Brink: wrist, 94 ft, xG 0.00 (P1 1:10) Travis Sanheim: wrist, 63 ft, xG 0.02 (P1 1:17) Casey Cizikas: wrist, 54 ft, xG 0.02 (P1 1:56) Mathew Barzal: backhand, 10 ft, xG 0.08 (P1 2:50) Cam York: wrist, 14 ft, xG 0.13 (P1 3:42) Trevor Zegras: backhand, 25 ft, xG 0.01 (P1 4:39) Nikita Grebenkin: tip-in, 6 ft, xG 0.09 (P1 5:13) Anthony Duclair: snap, 33 ft, xG 0.09 (P1 5:43) Mathew Barzal: snap, 41 ft, xG 0.04 (P1 6:41) Jonathan Drouin: snap, 22 ft, xG 0.19 (P1 6:49) Jamie Drysdale: slap, 47 ft, xG 0.04 (P1 8:49) Bobby Brink: backhand, 6 ft, xG 0.12 (P1 10:44) Owen Tippett: tip-in, 8 ft, xG 0.11 (P1 10:54) Jamie Drysdale: snap, 62 ft, xG 0.02 (P1 11:17) Travis Konecny: wrist, 13 ft, xG 0.11 (P1 11:19) Owen Tippett: wrist, 57 ft, xG 0.02 (P1 11:27) Kyle Palmieri: snap, 21 ft, xG 0.12 (P1 15:21) Mathew Barzal: snap, 30 ft, xG 0.04 (P1 15:25) Adam Pelech: wrist, 60 ft, xG 0.02 (P1 15:40) Owen Tippett: wrist, 27 ft, xG 0.08 (P1 17:06) Tyson Foerster: wrist, 37 ft, xG 0.01 (P1 18:08) Trevor Zegras: wrist, 42 ft, xG 0.01 (P1 18:17) Bo Horvat: snap, 26 ft, xG 0.03 (P1 19:45) Sean Couturier: wrist, 25 ft, xG 0.11 (P2 0:36) Noah Cates: snap, 33 ft, xG 0.13 (P2 1:03) Jamie Drysdale: snap, 52 ft, xG 0.03 (P2 1:10) Adam Pelech: wrist, 33 ft, xG 0.01 (P2 3:48) Noah Cates: wrist, 6 ft, xG 0.19 (P2 4:45) Cam York: wrist, 13 ft, xG 0.08 (P2 4:46) Bobby Brink: snap, 33 ft, xG 0.12 (P2 5:03) Kyle MacLean: snap, 33 ft, xG 0.03 (P2 6:47) Casey Cizikas: snap, 8 ft, xG 0.07 (P2 7:01) Bobby Brink: wrist, 33 ft, xG 0.07 (P2 8:40) Kyle Palmieri: snap, 33 ft, xG 0.10 (P2 9:32) Scott Mayfield: snap, 35 ft, xG 0.07 (P2 11:07) Rodrigo Abols: snap, 20 ft, xG 0.12 (P2 11:55) Matthew Schaefer: slap, 50 ft, xG 0.03 (P2 13:26) Kyle Palmieri: backhand, 12 ft, xG 0.06 (P2 13:57) Matthew Schaefer: wrist, 46 ft, xG 0.04 (P2 14:06) Tony DeAngelo: snap, 34 ft, xG 0.04 (P2 15:31) Ryan Pulock: snap, 45 ft, xG 0.04 (P2 15:38) Ryan Pulock: wrist, 50 ft, xG 0.03 (P2 16:03) Casey Cizikas: tip-in, 9 ft, xG 0.09 (P2 16:31) Ryan Pulock: slap, 55 ft, xG 0.03 (P2 16:40) Owen Tippett: backhand, 13 ft, xG 0.05 (P2 16:59) Maxim Tsyplakov: wrist, 21 ft, xG 0.06 (P2 17:07) Anders Lee: wrap-around, 8 ft, xG 0.02 (P2 19:02) Tony DeAngelo: snap, 62 ft, xG 0.01 (P2 19:40) Adam Pelech: snap, 44 ft, xG 0.00 (P2 19:42) Owen Tippett: wrist, 58 ft, xG 0.01 (P3 0:15) Christian Dvorak: wrist, 7 ft, xG 0.16 (P3 1:23) Nick Seeler: wrist, 65 ft, xG 0.01 (P3 1:33) Adam Pelech: slap, 52 ft, xG 0.01 (P3 2:30) Anders Lee: backhand, 7 ft, xG 0.04 (P3 3:54) Tony DeAngelo: slap, 55 ft, xG 0.03 (P3 5:43) Bobby Brink: wrist, 27 ft, xG 0.09 (P3 7:27) Jonathan Drouin: snap, 21 ft, xG 0.19 (P3 8:31) Scott Mayfield: slap, 57 ft, xG 0.01 (P3 8:37) Rodrigo Abols: wrist, 33 ft, xG 0.02 (P3 10:17) Scott Mayfield: wrist, 49 ft, xG 0.01 (P3 11:46) Kyle Palmieri: tip-in, 9 ft, xG 0.10 (P3 12:00) Kyle MacLean: wrist, 29 ft, xG 0.02 (P3 12:31) Sean Couturier: wrist, 26 ft, xG 0.04 (P3 13:12) Mathew Barzal: wrist, 33 ft, xG 0.03 (P3 13:44) Matvei Michkov: tip-in, 18 ft, xG 0.06 (P3 14:47) Jonathan Drouin: tip-in, 7 ft, xG 0.09 (P3 15:16) Maxim Tsyplakov: wrist, 83 ft, xG 0.00 (P3 16:08) Sean Couturier: wrist, 16 ft, xG 0.11 (P3 16:54) Garnet Hathaway: wrist, 15 ft, xG 0.16 (P3 19:59) Bo Horvat: snap, 14 ft, xG 0.20 (OT 1:04) Ryan Pulock: snap, 35 ft, xG 0.10 (OT 1:31) Sean Couturier: wrist, 11 ft, xG 0.09 (OT 2:09) Kyle Palmieri: backhand, 6 ft, xG 0.28 (OT 3:34) Matthew Schaefer: backhand, 7 ft, xG 0.13 (OT 4:22) Simon Holmstrom: GOAL, snap, 34 ft, xG 0.09 (P1 9:51) Anthony Duclair: GOAL, snap, 8 ft, xG 0.16 (P2 6:15) Christian Dvorak: GOAL, backhand, 7 ft, xG 0.20 (P2 10:29) Trevor Zegras: GOAL, wrist, 16 ft, xG 0.12 (P3 1:54) Maxim Tsyplakov: GOAL, tip-in, 8 ft, xG 0.10 (P3 4:21) Trevor Zegras: GOAL, wrist, 4 ft, xG 0.34 (P3 7:32)
About these numbers

xG comes from hockeystats.io's own model, a gradient-boosted tree model trained on every unblocked shot from the 2021-22 to 2025-26 regular seasons using the NHL's public play-by-play. Each shot's value is the share of similar shots that became goals. A team's xG is the sum over its shots; "deserve to win" asks how often the team would outscore its opponent if every shot went in at exactly that rate. Blocked shots count as attempts but have no xG (the NHL records where they were blocked, not where they were taken), so the map leaves them out.

Box score

New York Islanders

Skater GAP+/− AttxG HitBlkTOI
Forwards
14 Bo Horvat 000 0 40.23 1024:01
13 Mathew Barzal 000 +1 40.18 0121:32
21 Kyle Palmieri 000 0 70.71 2020:22
92 Jonathan Drouin 000 0 30.47 0020:09
51 Emil Heineman 000 +1 20.00 6019:29
11 Anthony Duclair 101 +1 30.24 0116:17
92 Simon Holmstrom 101 0 20.09 1115:24
44 Jean-Gabriel Pageau 011 0 10.00 2013:40
72 Anders Lee 011 0 20.06 2012:41
72 Maxim Tsyplakov 101 0 50.16 3008:26
53 Casey Cizikas 000 0 30.18 1008:15
32 Kyle MacLean 000 -1 20.05 0007:55
Defense
48 Matthew Schaefer 000 +1 50.20 0227:40
6 Ryan Pulock 000 -1 70.20 3223:30
3 Adam Pelech 000 -1 40.05 0322:19
24 Scott Mayfield 000 +2 40.10 0019:38
77 Tony DeAngelo 011 0 40.08 1017:09
Goalie SAGA SVSV% xGA GSAx
Ilya Sorokin 26323 .885 3.13 +0.13

Philadelphia Flyers

Skater GAP+/− AttxG HitBlkTOI
Forwards
71 Tyson Foerster 000 0 20.01 2022:44
11 Travis Konecny 000 -2 10.11 3220:59
14 Sean Couturier 000 -2 50.35 1019:16
27 Noah Cates 000 0 20.32 1119:14
46 Trevor Zegras 213 +2 40.49 1218:43
10 Bobby Brink 011 0 50.41 3018:40
74 Owen Tippett 000 -2 50.27 1017:59
22 Christian Dvorak 112 +2 20.36 2115:59
39 Matvei Michkov 011 +1 10.06 3115:29
17 Nikita Grebenkin 000 -1 20.09 3007:35
21 Garnet Hathaway 000 -1 10.16 5006:53
18 Rodrigo Abols 000 -1 20.15 2006:47
Defense
8 Cam York 011 +1 40.21 0527:22
6 Travis Sanheim 000 +1 20.02 1027:07
9 Jamie Drysdale 011 -2 50.09 0222:35
24 Nick Seeler 000 0 30.01 2017:46
47 Noah Juulsen 000 -1 00.00 0013:45
Goalie SAGA SVSV% xGA GSAx
Samuel Ersson 26323 .885 3.01 +0.01

Skaters by time on ice. Goalie lines count shots with the goalie in net, from the NHL play-by-play.

Player ratings

What each player added to the result, in goals, from most to least. Hover a number for what it's made of.

New York Islanders

Player Rating Points Shots On ice Pen FO Other GSAx TOI
11 Anthony Duclair L +1.61 +0.75 +0.16 +0.52 +0.15 0.00 +0.03 — 16:17
41 Marshall Warren D +1.53 +1.40 0.00 +0.15 0.00 0.00 -0.02 — 11:20
7 Maxim Tsyplakov R +0.92 +0.75 +0.11 +0.08 0.00 0.00 -0.02 — 8:26
10 Simon Holmstrom R +0.67 +0.75 +0.06 -0.34 +0.15 0.00 +0.05 — 15:24
27 Anders Lee L +0.64 +0.55 +0.04 +0.07 0.00 0.00 -0.02 — 12:41
21 Kyle Palmieri C +0.63 0.00 +0.46 +0.17 0.00 0.00 0.00 — 20:22
13 Mathew Barzal C +0.61 0.00 +0.12 +0.50 0.00 -0.06 +0.05 — 21:32
77 Tony DeAngelo D +0.33 +0.55 +0.05 -0.08 -0.15 0.00 -0.04 — 17:09
53 Casey Cizikas C +0.21 0.00 +0.12 +0.11 0.00 -0.02 0.00 — 8:15
24 Scott Mayfield D +0.20 0.00 +0.06 +0.31 -0.15 0.00 -0.02 — 19:38
48 Matthew Schaefer D +0.18 0.00 +0.13 -0.01 0.00 0.00 +0.06 — 27:40
30 Ilya Sorokin G +0.13 0.00 — — 0.00 — — +0.13 65:00
14 Bo Horvat C +0.07 0.00 +0.15 -0.13 0.00 +0.07 -0.02 — 24:01
44 Jean-Gabriel Pageau C +0.07 +0.70 0.00 -0.66 0.00 +0.01 +0.02 — 13:40
29 Jonathan Drouin L 0.00 0.00 +0.30 -0.27 0.00 0.00 -0.04 — 20:09
32 Kyle MacLean C -0.11 0.00 +0.03 -0.15 0.00 +0.01 0.00 — 7:55
6 Ryan Pulock D -0.11 0.00 +0.13 -0.32 0.00 0.00 +0.08 — 23:30
3 Adam Pelech D -0.17 0.00 +0.03 -0.36 0.00 0.00 +0.15 — 22:19
51 Emil Heineman L -0.34 0.00 0.00 -0.19 -0.15 0.00 0.00 — 19:29

Philadelphia Flyers

Player Rating Points Shots On ice Pen FO Other GSAx TOI
46 Trevor Zegras C +3.20 +2.20 +0.32 +0.58 0.00 +0.01 +0.10 — 18:43
22 Christian Dvorak C +2.08 +1.45 +0.24 +0.41 -0.15 +0.06 +0.07 — 15:59
39 Matvei Michkov R +1.52 +0.55 +0.04 +0.77 +0.15 0.00 +0.01 — 15:29
8 Cam York D +1.29 +0.55 +0.14 +0.35 0.00 0.00 +0.25 — 27:22
9 Jamie Drysdale D +1.16 +0.55 +0.06 +0.46 0.00 0.00 +0.10 — 22:35
10 Bobby Brink R +0.87 +0.70 +0.27 -0.20 +0.15 -0.01 -0.04 — 18:40
24 Nick Seeler D +0.46 0.00 +0.01 +0.46 0.00 0.00 0.00 — 17:46
27 Noah Cates L +0.32 0.00 +0.21 +0.13 0.00 -0.07 +0.05 — 19:14
71 Tyson Foerster R +0.16 0.00 +0.01 +0.17 0.00 0.00 -0.02 — 22:44
6 Travis Sanheim D +0.14 0.00 +0.01 +0.30 -0.15 0.00 -0.02 — 27:07
19 Garnet Hathaway R +0.11 0.00 +0.11 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 — 6:53
18 Rodrigo Abols C +0.08 0.00 +0.09 0.00 0.00 -0.02 0.00 — 6:47
33 Samuel Ersson G +0.01 0.00 — — 0.00 — — +0.01 65:00
29 Nikita Grebenkin R +0.01 0.00 +0.06 -0.08 0.00 +0.01 +0.02 — 7:35
14 Sean Couturier C -0.14 0.00 +0.23 -0.50 +0.15 +0.02 -0.04 — 19:16
74 Owen Tippett R -0.30 0.00 +0.18 -0.48 0.00 0.00 0.00 — 17:59
11 Travis Konecny R -0.34 0.00 +0.07 -0.46 0.00 -0.01 +0.06 — 20:59
13 Adam Ginning D -0.39 0.00 0.00 -0.49 0.00 0.00 +0.10 — 12:07
47 Noah Juulsen D -0.85 0.00 0.00 -0.83 0.00 0.00 -0.02 — 13:45

An expected-goals take on Dom Luszczyszyn's Game Score: goals and assists, the quality of a player's own shots, shot quality for and against while they were on the ice at 5v5, penalties, faceoffs and puck plays, all in goals; goalies by goals saved above expected. From the NHL play-by-play and shift charts.