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Colorado AvalancheCOL 2–3 Final Boston BruinsBOS

Saturday, October 25, 2025

Final 1st2nd3rd T SOG
Colorado AvalancheCOL 101 2 33
Boston BruinsBOS 210 3 19

No impact calculated for this game. Impacts are calculated for games in the next 7 days.

Highlights

Scoring

1st Period
4:26 COL Artturi Lehkonen (3) Nathan MacKinnon (6), Cale Makar (7) · snap xG 0.19 1–0 ▶
14:16 BOS Viktor Arvidsson (1) Mason Lohrei (3), Casey Mittelstadt (3) · wrist xG 0.18 1–1 ▶
14:55 BOS Michael Eyssimont (2) Tanner Jeannot (1), Mason Lohrei (4) · wrist xG 0.14 1–2 ▶
2nd Period
19:55 BOS Morgan Geekie (6) David Pastrnak (8), Mason Lohrei (5) · wrist xG 0.10 1–3 ▶
3rd Period
19:40 COL Artturi Lehkonen (4) Nathan MacKinnon (7), Valeri Nichushkin (2) · tip-in xG 0.11 2–3 ▶

Score away–home after each goal; season totals in parentheses.

Shot quality

Expected goals (xG) rate every unblocked shot by how often shots like it go in, from where it was taken, the shot type, the strength and what happened just before it. How it works

COL 77%Deserve to win23% BOS
COLBOS
3.45Expected goals2.19
2Goals (no shootout)3
2.25Expected goals, 5 on 51.23
84Shot attempts41
49Unblocked attempts34
33Shots on goal19

Game notes

What stood out as the game went on, from the play-by-play and the shifts. Time on the bench is counted in 5-on-5 play outside the penalty box; the note says the player sat, not why. Goals saved are against the shots' expected goals (xG).

3rd Period
11:09 BOS Goalie Goalie · Swayman +2.0 goals saved
1 goal on 3.02 xG, 30 shots on goal
12:30 COL xG swing xG swing · Out-chanced BOS 1.11–0.10
In xG over 10 minutes, 2:30 to 12:30 of the 3rd; neither team scored

Shot map

COL shoots ←Bigger circle: higher xG; filled: goal→ BOS shoots
Nathan MacKinnon: slap, 40 ft, xG 0.06 (P1 0:51) Brock Nelson: wrist, 24 ft, xG 0.06 (P1 2:18) Valeri Nichushkin: deflected, 8 ft, xG 0.02 (P1 2:19) Sean Kuraly: wrist, 41 ft, xG 0.01 (P1 3:22) Henri Jokiharju: slap, 71 ft, xG 0.00 (P1 3:25) Mark Kastelic: tip-in, 22 ft, xG 0.06 (P1 3:43) Charlie McAvoy: snap, 69 ft, xG 0.01 (P1 3:52) Valeri Nichushkin: snap, 50 ft, xG 0.01 (P1 5:27) Andrew Peeke: wrist, 69 ft, xG 0.01 (P1 7:22) Martin Necas: snap, 25 ft, xG 0.13 (P1 9:15) Victor Olofsson: tip-in, 9 ft, xG 0.04 (P1 9:53) Valeri Nichushkin: backhand, 11 ft, xG 0.10 (P1 11:16) Brock Nelson: snap, 30 ft, xG 0.03 (P1 11:22) Artturi Lehkonen: backhand, 9 ft, xG 0.13 (P1 13:08) Artturi Lehkonen: snap, 9 ft, xG 0.21 (P1 13:25) Josh Manson: slap, 56 ft, xG 0.03 (P1 13:56) Mason Lohrei: wrist, 36 ft, xG 0.02 (P1 14:12) Viktor Arvidsson: wrist, 6 ft, xG 0.02 (P1 14:13) Nathan MacKinnon: slap, 49 ft, xG 0.03 (P1 15:07) Casey Mittelstadt: wrist, 36 ft, xG 0.06 (P1 16:56) Charlie McAvoy: wrist, 55 ft, xG 0.01 (P1 17:41) Elias Lindholm: wrist, 44 ft, xG 0.02 (P1 17:56) Morgan Geekie: wrist, 53 ft, xG 0.03 (P1 18:19) Morgan Geekie: slap, 52 ft, xG 0.04 (P1 18:31) Pavel Zacha: backhand, 6 ft, xG 0.18 (P1 18:33) Morgan Geekie: wrist, 22 ft, xG 0.08 (P1 19:03) Pavel Zacha: tip-in, 7 ft, xG 0.09 (P2 1:45) Jack Drury: backhand, 85 ft, xG 0.00 (P2 2:17) Valeri Nichushkin: snap, 55 ft, xG 0.02 (P2 4:06) Morgan Geekie: wrist, 25 ft, xG 0.09 (P2 4:17) Josh Manson: wrist, 64 ft, xG 0.01 (P2 4:58) Artturi Lehkonen: tip-in, 7 ft, xG 0.09 (P2 5:11) Nathan MacKinnon: backhand, 9 ft, xG 0.06 (P2 5:12) David Pastrnak: wrist, 30 ft, xG 0.04 (P2 7:03) Morgan Geekie: slap, 31 ft, xG 0.11 (P2 7:39) Morgan Geekie: wrist, 20 ft, xG 0.02 (P2 7:40) Elias Lindholm: wrist, 51 ft, xG 0.03 (P2 7:44) Nathan MacKinnon: wrist, 43 ft, xG 0.01 (P2 8:12) Casey Mittelstadt: wrist, 33 ft, xG 0.12 (P2 8:24) Valeri Nichushkin: slap, 32 ft, xG 0.13 (P2 9:54) Valeri Nichushkin: snap, 27 ft, xG 0.16 (P2 10:00) Martin Necas: wrist, 33 ft, xG 0.16 (P2 11:47) Martin Necas: snap, 53 ft, xG 0.04 (P2 13:39) Cale Makar: wrist, 48 ft, xG 0.03 (P2 14:05) Gabriel Landeskog: tip-in, 9 ft, xG 0.11 (P2 15:09) Gabriel Landeskog: wrist, 9 ft, xG 0.07 (P2 15:10) Gavin Brindley: snap, 35 ft, xG 0.05 (P2 15:28) Andrew Peeke: slap, 43 ft, xG 0.02 (P2 18:07) Brent Burns: slap, 42 ft, xG 0.04 (P2 18:44) Elias Lindholm: wrist, 54 ft, xG 0.01 (P2 18:54) Ross Colton: snap, 35 ft, xG 0.02 (P2 19:29) Nathan MacKinnon: wrist, 30 ft, xG 0.01 (P3 1:02) Mark Kastelic: wrist, 40 ft, xG 0.02 (P3 1:33) Fraser Minten: tip-in, 7 ft, xG 0.10 (P3 2:05) Brent Burns: snap, 28 ft, xG 0.09 (P3 2:31) Pavel Zacha: tip-in, 8 ft, xG 0.05 (P3 2:36) Parker Kelly: snap, 35 ft, xG 0.07 (P3 2:49) Brock Nelson: snap, 9 ft, xG 0.19 (P3 3:40) Cale Makar: snap, 32 ft, xG 0.11 (P3 3:58) Sam Malinski: snap, 14 ft, xG 0.13 (P3 4:36) Sam Malinski: snap, 46 ft, xG 0.03 (P3 4:50) Ross Colton: bat, 11 ft, xG 0.10 (P3 5:36) Gabriel Landeskog: tip-in, 18 ft, xG 0.05 (P3 6:10) Josh Manson: wrist, 55 ft, xG 0.03 (P3 6:33) Ilya Solovyov: wrist, 64 ft, xG 0.01 (P3 7:30) Cale Makar: wrist, 55 ft, xG 0.01 (P3 7:41) Sean Kuraly: wrist, 39 ft, xG 0.05 (P3 9:09) Viktor Arvidsson: wrist, 77 ft, xG 0.00 (P3 10:01) Artturi Lehkonen: snap, 30 ft, xG 0.14 (P3 11:09) Nathan MacKinnon: slap, 52 ft, xG 0.03 (P3 11:24) Cale Makar: snap, 44 ft, xG 0.02 (P3 11:38) Ilya Solovyov: wrist, 37 ft, xG 0.02 (P3 12:07) Brock Nelson: wrist, 35 ft, xG 0.07 (P3 12:28) Viktor Arvidsson: slap, 26 ft, xG 0.13 (P3 14:07) Tanner Jeannot: wrist, 40 ft, xG 0.02 (P3 15:40) Ross Colton: wrist, 13 ft, xG 0.14 (P3 17:08) Jack Drury: tip-in, 26 ft, xG 0.04 (P3 17:14) Charlie McAvoy: wrist, 179 ft, xG 0.34 (P3 19:07) Artturi Lehkonen: GOAL, snap, 13 ft, xG 0.19 (P1 4:26) Viktor Arvidsson: GOAL, wrist, 6 ft, xG 0.18 (P1 14:16) Michael Eyssimont: GOAL, wrist, 16 ft, xG 0.14 (P1 14:55) Morgan Geekie: GOAL, wrist, 5 ft, xG 0.10 (P2 19:55) Artturi Lehkonen: GOAL, tip-in, 6 ft, xG 0.11 (P3 19:40)
About these numbers

xG comes from hockeystats.io's own model, a gradient-boosted tree model trained on every unblocked shot from the 2021-22 to 2025-26 regular seasons using the NHL's public play-by-play. Each shot's value is the share of similar shots that became goals. A team's xG is the sum over its shots; "deserve to win" asks how often the team would outscore its opponent if every shot went in at exactly that rate. Blocked shots count as attempts but have no xG (the NHL records where they were blocked, not where they were taken), so the map leaves them out.

Box score

Colorado Avalanche

Skater GAP+/− AttxG HitBlkTOI
Forwards
43 Valeri Nichushkin 011 0 70.44 2023:32
29 Nathan MacKinnon 022 +2 60.20 0021:38
88 Martin Necas 000 +1 90.34 0020:59
62 Artturi Lehkonen 202 +2 100.87 1020:54
11 Brock Nelson 000 0 40.36 1019:24
18 Jack Drury 000 -2 30.04 0115:01
95 Victor Olofsson 000 -1 10.04 0013:54
92 Gabriel Landeskog 000 -1 50.22 1013:17
79 Ross Colton 000 -2 40.26 3012:33
17 Parker Kelly 000 0 10.07 2008:01
54 Gavin Brindley 000 0 10.05 0006:46
93 Zakhar Bardakov 000 0 10.00 1104:33
Defense
8 Cale Makar 011 +2 80.17 0127:13
7 Devon Toews 000 +1 00.00 1124:19
42 Josh Manson 000 -2 50.07 1219:47
84 Brent Burns 000 -2 80.13 1119:36
70 Sam Malinski 000 -1 50.16 0012:10
7 Ilya Solovyov 000 -1 60.03 1010:53
Goalie SAGA SVSV% xGA GSAx
Scott Wedgewood 19316 .842 1.85 -1.15

Boston Bruins

Skater GAP+/− AttxG HitBlkTOI
Forwards
88 David Pastrnak 011 0 40.04 2121:11
28 Elias Lindholm 000 0 30.05 0618:49
18 Pavel Zacha 000 +1 30.32 1018:33
11 Casey Mittelstadt 011 +1 20.18 0018:07
39 Morgan Geekie 101 0 90.48 0118:05
33 Viktor Arvidsson 101 +1 50.33 3315:08
17 John Beecher 000 0 00.00 2112:31
52 Sean Kuraly 000 -1 20.05 1012:28
47 Mark Kastelic 000 -1 20.07 3312:01
84 Tanner Jeannot 011 0 10.02 3111:53
81 Michael Eyssimont 101 +1 10.14 0110:13
93 Fraser Minten 000 +1 10.10 0109:40
Defense
73 Charlie McAvoy 000 -2 40.35 3124:15
91 Nikita Zadorov 000 -2 00.00 3121:11
20 Andrew Peeke 000 +2 20.02 1519:46
6 Mason Lohrei 033 +2 10.02 1318:58
20 Henri Jokiharju 000 +1 10.00 0317:40
Goalie SAGA SVSV% xGA GSAx
Jeremy Swayman 33231 .939 3.45 +1.45

Skaters by time on ice. Goalie lines count shots with the goalie in net, from the NHL play-by-play.

Player ratings

What each player added to the result, in goals, from most to least. Hover a number for what it's made of.

Colorado Avalanche

Player Rating Points Shots On ice Pen FO Other GSAx TOI
62 Artturi Lehkonen L +3.40 +1.50 +0.56 +1.35 0.00 0.00 -0.02 — 20:54
29 Nathan MacKinnon C +2.73 +1.40 +0.13 +1.35 -0.10 -0.03 -0.02 — 21:38
8 Cale Makar D +1.68 +0.55 +0.11 +0.97 0.00 0.00 +0.05 — 27:13
7 Devon Toews D +1.30 0.00 0.00 +1.25 0.00 0.00 +0.05 — 24:19
88 Martin Necas C +1.19 0.00 +0.22 +1.04 -0.05 0.00 -0.02 — 20:59
13 Valeri Nichushkin R +0.98 +0.55 +0.29 +0.16 0.00 0.00 -0.02 — 23:32
93 Zakhar Bardakov C +0.29 0.00 0.00 +0.10 +0.15 -0.01 +0.05 — 4:33
17 Parker Kelly C +0.29 0.00 +0.05 +0.10 +0.15 -0.01 0.00 — 8:01
42 Josh Manson D +0.18 0.00 +0.04 +0.01 0.00 0.00 +0.12 — 19:47
84 Brent Burns D +0.13 0.00 +0.09 +0.15 -0.15 0.00 +0.05 — 19:36
11 Brock Nelson C +0.12 0.00 +0.23 +0.03 -0.15 -0.01 +0.02 — 19:24
54 Gavin Brindley C +0.10 0.00 +0.03 +0.06 0.00 0.00 0.00 — 6:46
92 Gabriel Landeskog L +0.03 0.00 +0.15 +0.04 -0.15 0.00 0.00 — 13:17
28 Ilya Solovyov D -0.22 0.00 +0.02 -0.24 0.00 0.00 0.00 — 10:53
20 Ross Colton C -0.37 0.00 +0.17 -0.55 0.00 0.00 +0.02 — 12:33
95 Victor Olofsson L -0.43 0.00 +0.03 -0.47 0.00 0.00 +0.02 — 13:54
70 Sam Malinski D -0.44 0.00 +0.11 -0.55 0.00 0.00 0.00 — 12:10
18 Jack Drury C -0.61 0.00 +0.03 -0.68 0.00 -0.01 +0.05 — 15:01
41 Scott Wedgewood G -1.15 0.00 — — 0.00 — — -1.15 57:30

Boston Bruins

Player Rating Points Shots On ice Pen FO Other GSAx TOI
6 Mason Lohrei D +2.08 +1.80 +0.02 +0.16 0.00 0.00 +0.11 — 18:58
1 Jeremy Swayman G +1.60 0.00 — — +0.15 — — +1.45 59:30
71 Viktor Arvidsson L +1.23 +0.75 +0.21 +0.11 +0.05 0.00 +0.11 — 15:08
81 Michael Eyssimont C +0.99 +0.75 +0.09 -0.18 +0.30 0.00 +0.03 — 10:13
11 Casey Mittelstadt C +0.93 +0.55 +0.12 +0.29 0.00 0.00 -0.02 — 18:07
39 Morgan Geekie C +0.70 +0.75 +0.31 -0.41 0.00 0.00 +0.05 — 18:05
84 Tanner Jeannot L +0.61 +0.70 +0.01 -0.13 0.00 0.00 +0.03 — 11:53
18 Pavel Zacha C +0.54 0.00 +0.21 +0.44 -0.15 +0.04 0.00 — 18:33
26 Andrew Peeke D +0.38 0.00 +0.01 +0.16 0.00 0.00 +0.21 — 19:46
47 Mark Kastelic C +0.14 0.00 +0.05 -0.09 0.00 +0.03 +0.15 — 12:01
93 Fraser Minten C +0.12 0.00 +0.06 -0.02 0.00 0.00 +0.07 — 9:40
20 Henri Jokiharju D +0.02 0.00 0.00 -0.28 +0.15 0.00 +0.15 — 17:40
88 David Pastrnak R -0.14 +0.70 +0.03 -0.90 0.00 0.00 +0.03 — 21:11
79 Michael Callahan D -0.15 0.00 0.00 -0.26 0.00 0.00 +0.11 — 14:01
28 Elias Lindholm C -0.29 0.00 +0.04 -0.58 0.00 -0.03 +0.28 — 18:49
19 John Beecher C -0.42 0.00 0.00 -0.46 0.00 -0.01 +0.05 — 12:31
91 Nikita Zadorov D -0.57 0.00 0.00 -0.60 0.00 0.00 +0.03 — 21:11
73 Charlie McAvoy D -0.60 0.00 +0.23 -0.83 -0.05 0.00 +0.05 — 24:15
52 Sean Kuraly C -0.63 0.00 +0.03 -0.55 -0.15 +0.04 0.00 — 12:28

An expected-goals take on Dom Luszczyszyn's Game Score: goals and assists, the quality of a player's own shots, shot quality for and against while they were on the ice at 5v5, penalties, faceoffs and puck plays, all in goals; goalies by goals saved above expected. From the NHL play-by-play and shift charts.