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Vegas Golden KnightsVGK 0–3 Final Florida PanthersFLA

Saturday, October 25, 2025

Final 1st2nd3rd T SOG
Vegas Golden KnightsVGK 000 0 17
Florida PanthersFLA 102 3 26

No impact calculated for this game. Impacts are calculated for games in the next 7 days.

Highlights

Scoring

1st Period
17:19 FLA Sam Reinhart (4) Carter Verhaeghe (2), Evan Rodrigues (3) · snap xG 0.22 0–1 ▶
2nd Period
No scoring
3rd Period
3:29 FLA Cole Schwindt (1) Jonah Gadjovich (3), A.J. Greer (2) · wrist xG 0.04 0–2 ▶
10:04 FLA A.J. Greer (3) Brad Marchand (6) · wrap-around xG 0.10 0–3 ▶

Score away–home after each goal; season totals in parentheses.

Shot quality

Expected goals (xG) rate every unblocked shot by how often shots like it go in, from where it was taken, the shot type, the strength and what happened just before it. How it works

VGK 22%Deserve to win78% FLA
VGKFLA
1.45Expected goals3.01
0Goals (no shootout)3
1.41Expected goals, 5 on 52.23
49Shot attempts70
33Unblocked attempts43
17Shots on goal26

Game notes

What stood out as the game went on, from the play-by-play and the shifts. Time on the bench is counted in 5-on-5 play outside the penalty box; the note says the player sat, not why. Goals saved are against the shots' expected goals (xG).

2nd Period
15:40 FLA xG swing xG swing · Out-chanced VGK 1.55–0.12
In xG over 10 minutes, 9:40 to 19:40 of the 2nd; neither team scored

Shot map

VGK shoots ←Bigger circle: higher xG; filled: goal→ FLA shoots
Eetu Luostarinen: wrist, 107 ft, xG 0.00 (P1 0:12) Pavel Dorofeyev: wrist, 45 ft, xG 0.04 (P1 1:46) Jeff Petry: snap, 51 ft, xG 0.01 (P1 3:01) Zach Whitecloud: wrist, 55 ft, xG 0.02 (P1 5:30) Brad Marchand: tip-in, 8 ft, xG 0.08 (P1 7:09) Brayden McNabb: slap, 40 ft, xG 0.05 (P1 7:21) Sam Reinhart: wrist, 63 ft, xG 0.02 (P1 7:57) Ben Hutton: slap, 48 ft, xG 0.04 (P1 9:46) Pavel Dorofeyev: wrist, 6 ft, xG 0.05 (P1 9:47) Brad Marchand: bat, 28 ft, xG 0.03 (P1 10:49) Anton Lundell: wrist, 8 ft, xG 0.02 (P1 11:08) Evan Rodrigues: wrist, 34 ft, xG 0.07 (P1 11:36) Gustav Forsling: wrist, 38 ft, xG 0.02 (P1 11:52) Brayden McNabb: slap, 53 ft, xG 0.03 (P1 12:19) Ivan Barbashev: wrist, 7 ft, xG 0.17 (P1 16:45) Brayden McNabb: slap, 58 ft, xG 0.03 (P1 19:17) Ivan Barbashev: wrist, 19 ft, xG 0.03 (P1 19:17) Ivan Barbashev: wrist, 12 ft, xG 0.04 (P1 19:18) Shea Theodore: wrist, 13 ft, xG 0.15 (P1 19:54) Sam Reinhart: slap, 44 ft, xG 0.08 (P2 3:06) Aaron Ekblad: wrist, 43 ft, xG 0.02 (P2 4:04) Carter Verhaeghe: tip-in, 8 ft, xG 0.05 (P2 4:08) Kaedan Korczak: backhand, 27 ft, xG 0.06 (P2 4:48) Jeremy Lauzon: wrist, 66 ft, xG 0.01 (P2 6:05) Mackie Samoskevich: wrist, 30 ft, xG 0.06 (P2 6:40) Alexander Holtz: wrist, 38 ft, xG 0.05 (P2 7:35) Jack Eichel: wrist, 36 ft, xG 0.01 (P2 8:00) Jack Eichel: snap, 26 ft, xG 0.14 (P2 8:19) Shea Theodore: wrist, 54 ft, xG 0.02 (P2 8:24) Sam Reinhart: wrist, 33 ft, xG 0.09 (P2 8:45) A.J. Greer: tip-in, 34 ft, xG 0.05 (P2 10:53) Brad Marchand: wrist, 28 ft, xG 0.06 (P2 11:04) Anton Lundell: wrist, 5 ft, xG 0.26 (P2 11:17) Eetu Luostarinen: backhand, 6 ft, xG 0.11 (P2 11:18) Seth Jones: slap, 51 ft, xG 0.04 (P2 12:28) Sam Reinhart: slap, 27 ft, xG 0.14 (P2 12:33) Eetu Luostarinen: backhand, 22 ft, xG 0.05 (P2 13:33) Eetu Luostarinen: wrist, 57 ft, xG 0.01 (P2 13:47) Carter Verhaeghe: wrist, 39 ft, xG 0.04 (P2 14:03) Evan Rodrigues: backhand, 6 ft, xG 0.18 (P2 14:15) A.J. Greer: tip-in, 25 ft, xG 0.07 (P2 14:20) Jonah Gadjovich: wrist, 21 ft, xG 0.26 (P2 15:31) Zach Whitecloud: slap, 58 ft, xG 0.04 (P2 16:10) Carter Verhaeghe: wrist, 30 ft, xG 0.04 (P2 16:25) Carter Verhaeghe: wrist, 36 ft, xG 0.02 (P2 16:33) Keegan Kolesar: wrist, 75 ft, xG 0.00 (P2 18:27) Ben Hutton: wrist, 38 ft, xG 0.01 (P2 18:32) Colton Sissons: tip-in, 33 ft, xG 0.04 (P2 18:51) Ben Hutton: snap, 52 ft, xG 0.03 (P2 19:05) Sam Reinhart: snap, 20 ft, xG 0.23 (P2 19:37) Jonah Gadjovich: backhand, 25 ft, xG 0.01 (P3 3:08) A.J. Greer: wrist, 6 ft, xG 0.06 (P3 3:25) A.J. Greer: between-legs, 6 ft, xG 0.05 (P3 3:26) Shea Theodore: wrist, 92 ft, xG 0.00 (P3 3:52) Eetu Luostarinen: wrist, 21 ft, xG 0.13 (P3 4:19) Eetu Luostarinen: backhand, 7 ft, xG 0.07 (P3 4:23) Shea Theodore: wrist, 37 ft, xG 0.03 (P3 5:15) Alexander Holtz: slap, 31 ft, xG 0.09 (P3 5:20) Reilly Smith: wrist, 43 ft, xG 0.01 (P3 5:47) Mackie Samoskevich: snap, 30 ft, xG 0.06 (P3 6:03) Pavel Dorofeyev: wrist, 42 ft, xG 0.01 (P3 8:12) Shea Theodore: wrist, 41 ft, xG 0.05 (P3 8:51) Alexander Holtz: tip-in, 31 ft, xG 0.04 (P3 9:16) Brad Marchand: wrist, 53 ft, xG 0.01 (P3 10:01) Brad Marchand: wrist, 88 ft, xG 0.00 (P3 11:22) Carter Verhaeghe: wrist, 90 ft, xG 0.00 (P3 12:38) Alexander Holtz: snap, 33 ft, xG 0.07 (P3 13:06) Reilly Smith: slap, 58 ft, xG 0.03 (P3 13:11) Ben Hutton: wrist, 58 ft, xG 0.02 (P3 13:48) Zach Whitecloud: slap, 40 ft, xG 0.06 (P3 14:09) Sam Reinhart: wrist, 42 ft, xG 0.03 (P3 18:19) Carter Verhaeghe: wrist, 36 ft, xG 0.07 (P3 19:00) Cole Schwindt: tip-in, 20 ft, xG 0.05 (P3 19:06) Sam Reinhart: GOAL, snap, 10 ft, xG 0.22 (P1 17:19) Cole Schwindt: GOAL, wrist, 5 ft, xG 0.04 (P3 3:29) A.J. Greer: GOAL, wrap-around, 4 ft, xG 0.10 (P3 10:04)
About these numbers

xG comes from hockeystats.io's own model, a gradient-boosted tree model trained on every unblocked shot from the 2021-22 to 2025-26 regular seasons using the NHL's public play-by-play. Each shot's value is the share of similar shots that became goals. A team's xG is the sum over its shots; "deserve to win" asks how often the team would outscore its opponent if every shot went in at exactly that rate. Blocked shots count as attempts but have no xG (the NHL records where they were blocked, not where they were taken), so the map leaves them out.

Box score

Vegas Golden Knights

Skater GAP+/− AttxG HitBlkTOI
Forwards
9 Jack Eichel 000 0 30.15 0020:16
49 Ivan Barbashev 000 0 30.23 1116:30
93 Mitch Marner 000 0 00.00 0016:06
48 Tomas Hertl 000 0 20.00 4015:38
20 Brandon Saad 000 0 20.00 1115:02
16 Pavel Dorofeyev 000 0 40.09 0014:22
71 William Karlsson 000 -1 10.00 0014:19
19 Reilly Smith 000 -1 30.04 1013:44
55 Keegan Kolesar 000 -2 20.00 3113:11
21 Brett Howden 000 -2 00.00 0013:09
15 Colton Sissons 000 -2 10.04 2113:03
10 Alexander Holtz 000 -1 50.24 0011:21
Defense
27 Shea Theodore 000 0 70.25 0123:12
28 Zach Whitecloud 000 -2 50.12 6121:52
3 Brayden McNabb 000 0 30.11 1420:20
5 Jeremy Lauzon 000 -1 20.01 4318:31
17 Ben Hutton 000 -2 50.10 0217:11
6 Kaedan Korczak 000 -1 10.06 2616:13
Goalie SAGA SVSV% xGA GSAx
Akira Schmid 26323 .885 3.01 +0.01

Florida Panthers

Skater GAP+/− AttxG HitBlkTOI
Forwards
13 Sam Reinhart 101 +1 80.80 0221:32
15 Anton Lundell 000 +1 50.27 1120:57
63 Brad Marchand 011 +1 50.19 3118:40
17 Evan Rodrigues 011 +1 30.25 1117:45
27 Eetu Luostarinen 000 0 80.38 3016:54
23 Carter Verhaeghe 011 +1 100.22 2116:32
9 Sam Bennett 000 0 10.00 0113:42
11 Mackie Samoskevich 000 0 30.12 1113:17
70 Jesper Boqvist 000 0 10.00 2010:58
18 A.J. Greer 112 +2 50.33 3010:52
12 Jonah Gadjovich 011 +1 20.27 4009:45
79 Cole Schwindt 101 +1 50.09 0209:24
Defense
5 Aaron Ekblad 000 +2 40.02 0223:12
42 Gustav Forsling 000 +2 30.02 0022:48
3 Seth Jones 000 +1 30.04 2122:36
77 Niko Mikkola 000 +1 00.00 0119:24
2 Jeff Petry 000 0 20.01 1114:26
26 Uvis Balinskis 000 0 20.00 1113:28
Goalie SAGA SVSV% xGA GSAx
Sergei Bobrovsky 17017 1.000 1.45 +1.45

Skaters by time on ice. Goalie lines count shots with the goalie in net, from the NHL play-by-play.

Player ratings

What each player added to the result, in goals, from most to least. Hover a number for what it's made of.

Vegas Golden Knights

Player Rating Points Shots On ice Pen FO Other GSAx TOI
20 Brandon Saad L +0.70 0.00 0.00 +0.52 +0.15 0.00 +0.03 — 15:02
3 Brayden McNabb D +0.53 0.00 +0.07 +0.26 0.00 0.00 +0.20 — 20:20
27 Shea Theodore D +0.48 0.00 +0.17 +0.26 0.00 0.00 +0.05 — 23:12
49 Ivan Barbashev L +0.42 0.00 +0.15 +0.25 0.00 -0.01 +0.03 — 16:30
48 Tomas Hertl C +0.16 0.00 0.00 +0.22 0.00 -0.06 0.00 — 15:38
40 Akira Schmid G +0.01 0.00 — — 0.00 — — +0.01 60:00
71 William Karlsson C -0.02 0.00 0.00 -0.03 0.00 +0.01 0.00 — 14:19
26 Alexander Holtz R -0.03 0.00 +0.16 -0.15 0.00 -0.01 -0.02 — 11:21
16 Pavel Dorofeyev R -0.16 0.00 +0.06 -0.03 -0.15 0.00 -0.04 — 14:22
19 Reilly Smith R -0.17 0.00 +0.03 -0.15 0.00 0.00 -0.04 — 13:44
9 Jack Eichel C -0.25 0.00 +0.10 -0.31 0.00 +0.02 -0.06 — 20:16
6 Kaedan Korczak D -0.46 0.00 +0.04 -0.80 0.00 0.00 +0.30 — 16:13
17 Ben Hutton D -0.53 0.00 +0.06 -0.70 0.00 0.00 +0.10 — 17:11
93 Mitch Marner R -0.56 0.00 0.00 -0.52 0.00 0.00 -0.04 — 16:06
5 Jeremy Lauzon D -0.79 0.00 +0.01 -0.92 0.00 0.00 +0.13 — 18:31
2 Zach Whitecloud D -1.09 0.00 +0.08 -1.20 0.00 0.00 +0.03 — 21:52
10 Colton Sissons C -1.10 0.00 +0.02 -1.24 0.00 +0.06 +0.05 — 13:03
55 Keegan Kolesar R -1.13 0.00 0.00 -1.16 0.00 0.00 +0.03 — 13:11
21 Brett Howden C -1.19 0.00 0.00 -1.10 -0.15 +0.04 +0.02 — 13:09

Florida Panthers

Player Rating Points Shots On ice Pen FO Other GSAx TOI
10 A.J. Greer L +2.67 +1.30 +0.22 +1.20 0.00 -0.02 -0.02 — 10:52
13 Sam Reinhart C +1.96 +0.75 +0.52 +0.59 0.00 0.00 +0.10 — 21:32
17 Evan Rodrigues C +1.61 +0.55 +0.16 +0.69 +0.15 +0.01 +0.05 — 17:45
23 Carter Verhaeghe C +1.59 +0.70 +0.14 +0.71 0.00 -0.01 +0.05 — 16:32
72 Sergei Bobrovsky G +1.45 0.00 — — 0.00 — — +1.45 59:48
79 Cole Schwindt R +1.36 +0.75 +0.06 +0.53 0.00 -0.07 +0.10 — 9:24
12 Jonah Gadjovich L +1.31 +0.70 +0.18 +0.59 -0.15 0.00 0.00 — 9:45
77 Niko Mikkola D +1.00 0.00 0.00 +0.97 0.00 0.00 +0.03 — 19:24
42 Gustav Forsling D +0.91 0.00 +0.01 +0.90 0.00 0.00 0.00 — 22:48
3 Seth Jones D +0.85 0.00 +0.03 +0.64 +0.15 0.00 +0.03 — 22:36
63 Brad Marchand L +0.77 +0.70 +0.12 -0.06 0.00 0.00 +0.01 — 18:40
5 Aaron Ekblad D +0.75 0.00 +0.02 +0.58 0.00 0.00 +0.16 — 23:12
15 Anton Lundell C +0.61 0.00 +0.18 +0.41 0.00 -0.02 +0.05 — 20:57
27 Eetu Luostarinen C +0.30 0.00 +0.25 +0.05 0.00 +0.01 0.00 — 16:54
9 Sam Bennett C -0.02 0.00 0.00 -0.14 0.00 +0.05 +0.07 — 13:42
11 Mackie Samoskevich R -0.11 0.00 +0.08 -0.22 0.00 0.00 +0.03 — 13:17
26 Uvis Balinskis D -0.14 0.00 0.00 -0.19 0.00 0.00 +0.05 — 13:28
2 Jeff Petry D -0.18 0.00 +0.01 -0.24 0.00 0.00 +0.05 — 14:26
70 Jesper Boqvist C -0.22 0.00 0.00 -0.22 0.00 0.00 0.00 — 10:58

An expected-goals take on Dom Luszczyszyn's Game Score: goals and assists, the quality of a player's own shots, shot quality for and against while they were on the ice at 5v5, penalties, faceoffs and puck plays, all in goals; goalies by goals saved above expected. From the NHL play-by-play and shift charts.