| Final | 1st | 2nd | 3rd | T | SOG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 0 | 3 | 6 | 41 | |
| 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 35 |
No impact calculated for this game. Impacts are calculated for games in the next 7 days.
| 1st Period | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| 0:56 | Logan Cooley (6) John Marino (3) · bat xG 0.07 | 1–0 ▶ | |
| 3:29 | Logan Cooley (7)PP Dylan Guenther (6), Mikhail Sergachev (5) · wrist xG 0.86 | 2–0 ▶ | |
| 4:58 | Nick Schmaltz (6) Nate Schmidt (1), John Marino (4) · tip-in xG 0.05 | 3–0 ▶ | |
| 15:39 | Marcus Johansson (2) Zeev Buium (6), Kirill Kaprizov (6) · snap xG 0.09 | 3–1 ▶ | |
| 2nd Period | |||
| 15:43 | Marcus Johansson (3)PP Vinnie Hinostroza (1), Marco Rossi (5) · snap xG 0.14 | 3–2 ▶ | |
| 3rd Period | |||
| 13:37 | JJ Peterka (3) Logan Cooley (3), Mikhail Sergachev (6) · snap xG 0.16 | 4–2 ▶ | |
| 15:13 | Nick Schmaltz (7) Unassisted · wrist xG 0.16 | 5–2 ▶ | |
| 19:54 | John Marino (1)EN Ian Cole (3) · wrist xG 0.47 | 6–2 ▶ | |
Score away–home after each goal; season totals in parentheses.
Expected goals (xG) rate every unblocked shot by how often shots like it go in, from where it was taken, the shot type, the strength and what happened just before it. How it works
| UTA | MIN | |
|---|---|---|
| 5.04 | Expected goals | 3.55 |
| 6 | Goals (no shootout) | 2 |
| 3.22 | Expected goals, 5 on 5 | 2.34 |
| 62 | Shot attempts | 75 |
| 50 | Unblocked attempts | 48 |
| 41 | Shots on goal | 35 |
What stood out as the game went on, from the play-by-play and the shifts. Time on the bench is counted in 5-on-5 play outside the penalty box; the note says the player sat, not why. Goals saved are against the shots' expected goals (xG).
| 1st Period | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| 10:00 | UTA | xG swing | xG swing · Out-chanced MIN 1.85–0.14
In xG over 10 minutes, 3:10 to 13:10 of the 1st; goals 2–0 |
| 3rd Period | |||
| 17:48 | MIN | Pulled goalie | Pulled goalie · Pulled Gustavsson, down 5–2
With 2:12 left; UTA scored at 19:54 of the 3rd (6–2) |
xG comes from hockeystats.io's own model, a gradient-boosted tree model trained on every unblocked shot from the 2021-22 to 2025-26 regular seasons using the NHL's public play-by-play. Each shot's value is the share of similar shots that became goals. A team's xG is the sum over its shots; "deserve to win" asks how often the team would outscore its opponent if every shot went in at exactly that rate. Blocked shots count as attempts but have no xG (the NHL records where they were blocked, not where they were taken), so the map leaves them out.
| Skater | G | A | P | +/− | Att | xG | Hit | Blk | TOI | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Forwards | ||||||||||
| 8 | Nick Schmaltz | 2 | 0 | 2 | +3 | 8 | 0.47 | 0 | 1 | 16:24 |
| 82 | Kevin Stenlund | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0.08 | 1 | 1 | 16:21 |
| 27 | Barrett Hayton | 0 | 0 | 0 | +3 | 1 | 0.11 | 0 | 0 | 16:17 |
| 9 | Clayton Keller | 0 | 0 | 0 | +2 | 3 | 0.20 | 0 | 0 | 16:16 |
| 67 | Lawson Crouse | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | 3 | 0.32 | 0 | 1 | 16:10 |
| 22 | Jack McBain | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 0.49 | 3 | 0 | 15:16 |
| 11 | Dylan Guenther | 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 6 | 0.38 | 1 | 0 | 14:07 |
| 92 | Logan Cooley | 2 | 1 | 3 | +2 | 5 | 1.48 | 0 | 2 | 13:58 |
| 10 | JJ Peterka | 1 | 0 | 1 | +2 | 3 | 0.20 | 0 | 0 | 13:31 |
| 13 | Brandon Tanev | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0.25 | 2 | 0 | 12:18 |
| 53 | Michael Carcone | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | 5 | 0.25 | 0 | 1 | 11:00 |
| 38 | Liam O'Brien | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 0.27 | 0 | 0 | 09:02 |
| Defense | ||||||||||
| 6 | John Marino | 1 | 2 | 3 | +2 | 3 | 0.48 | 0 | 2 | 23:27 |
| 98 | Mikhail Sergachev | 0 | 2 | 2 | +1 | 1 | 0.00 | 0 | 3 | 22:20 |
| 28 | Ian Cole | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0.05 | 2 | 8 | 22:03 |
| 88 | Nate Schmidt | 0 | 1 | 1 | +4 | 3 | 0.00 | 3 | 0 | 21:16 |
| 3 | Olli Maatta | 0 | 0 | 0 | +2 | 2 | 0.01 | 0 | 2 | 14:47 |
| Goalie | SA | GA | SV | SV% | xGA | GSAx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Karel Vejmelka | 35 | 2 | 33 | .943 | 3.55 | +1.55 |
| Skater | G | A | P | +/− | Att | xG | Hit | Blk | TOI | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Forwards | ||||||||||
| 97 | Kirill Kaprizov | 0 | 1 | 1 | -1 | 9 | 0.24 | 0 | 0 | 23:58 |
| 12 | Matt Boldy | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2 | 11 | 0.17 | 0 | 0 | 22:28 |
| 14 | Joel Eriksson Ek | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2 | 6 | 0.35 | 1 | 0 | 21:05 |
| 23 | Marco Rossi | 0 | 1 | 1 | -2 | 3 | 0.24 | 0 | 0 | 19:03 |
| 91 | Vladimir Tarasenko | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2 | 8 | 0.53 | 2 | 1 | 16:42 |
| 90 | Marcus Johansson | 2 | 0 | 2 | -1 | 3 | 0.36 | 0 | 1 | 14:31 |
| 17 | Marcus Foligno | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | 4 | 0.63 | 9 | 2 | 14:03 |
| 38 | Ryan Hartman | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | 6 | 0.42 | 4 | 0 | 13:59 |
| 22 | Danila Yurov | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2 | 0 | 0.00 | 0 | 0 | 11:45 |
| 18 | Vinnie Hinostroza | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0.02 | 1 | 0 | 11:25 |
| 13 | Yakov Trenin | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0.06 | 6 | 0 | 10:13 |
| Defense | ||||||||||
| 7 | Brock Faber | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2 | 6 | 0.27 | 0 | 1 | 21:49 |
| 25 | Jonas Brodin | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2 | 1 | 0.00 | 0 | 2 | 21:37 |
| 46 | Jared Spurgeon | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | 5 | 0.07 | 3 | 1 | 21:14 |
| 8 | Zeev Buium | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0.00 | 0 | 0 | 19:06 |
| 5 | David Jiricek | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | 2 | 0.00 | 1 | 0 | 14:13 |
| 55 | Jake Middleton | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | 4 | 0.18 | 1 | 1 | 14:11 |
| Goalie | SA | GA | SV | SV% | xGA | GSAx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Filip Gustavsson | 40 | 5 | 35 | .875 | 4.57 | -0.43 |
Skaters by time on ice. Goalie lines count shots with the goalie in net, from the NHL play-by-play.
What each player added to the result, in goals, from most to least. Hover a number for what it's made of.
| Player | Rating | Points | Shots | On ice | Pen | FO | Other | GSAx | TOI |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 92 Logan Cooley C | +3.92 | +2.20 | +0.96 | +0.66 | 0.00 | -0.02 | +0.12 | — | 13:58 |
| 8 Nick Schmaltz C | +2.84 | +1.50 | +0.31 | +1.02 | 0.00 | -0.03 | +0.05 | — | 16:24 |
| 88 Nate Schmidt D | +2.52 | +0.70 | 0.00 | +1.66 | +0.15 | 0.00 | 0.00 | — | 21:16 |
| 6 John Marino D | +2.31 | +2.00 | +0.31 | -0.02 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.02 | — | 23:27 |
| 98 Mikhail Sergachev D | +1.72 | +1.10 | 0.00 | +0.51 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.11 | — | 22:20 |
| 77 JJ Peterka R | +1.66 | +0.75 | +0.13 | +0.80 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -0.02 | — | 13:31 |
| 70 Karel Vejmelka G | +1.55 | 0.00 | — | — | 0.00 | — | — | +1.55 | 60:00 |
| 11 Dylan Guenther R | +1.35 | +0.70 | +0.24 | +0.44 | 0.00 | -0.01 | -0.02 | — | 14:07 |
| 9 Clayton Keller R | +0.84 | 0.00 | +0.13 | +0.79 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -0.08 | — | 16:16 |
| 27 Barrett Hayton C | +0.82 | 0.00 | +0.07 | +0.94 | -0.15 | -0.02 | -0.02 | — | 16:17 |
| 2 Olli Maatta D | +0.63 | 0.00 | +0.01 | +0.56 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.06 | — | 14:47 |
| 67 Lawson Crouse L | +0.61 | 0.00 | +0.21 | +0.35 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.05 | — | 16:10 |
| 22 Jack McBain C | +0.45 | 0.00 | +0.32 | +0.26 | -0.15 | +0.02 | 0.00 | — | 15:16 |
| 26 Dmitri Simashev D | +0.39 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.45 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -0.06 | — | 15:35 |
| 13 Brandon Tanev L | +0.35 | 0.00 | +0.16 | +0.19 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | — | 12:18 |
| 28 Ian Cole D | +0.25 | +0.70 | +0.03 | -0.54 | -0.30 | 0.00 | +0.36 | — | 22:03 |
| 53 Michael Carcone L | -0.04 | 0.00 | +0.16 | -0.25 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.05 | — | 11:00 |
| 38 Liam O'Brien C | -0.12 | 0.00 | +0.17 | -0.30 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | — | 9:02 |
| 82 Kevin Stenlund C | -0.31 | 0.00 | +0.05 | -0.43 | 0.00 | +0.04 | +0.03 | — | 16:21 |
| Player | Rating | Points | Shots | On ice | Pen | FO | Other | GSAx | TOI |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 90 Marcus Johansson L | +0.90 | +1.50 | +0.23 | -1.04 | +0.15 | 0.00 | +0.05 | — | 14:31 |
| 17 Marcus Foligno L | +0.87 | 0.00 | +0.41 | +0.37 | 0.00 | -0.01 | +0.10 | — | 14:03 |
| 14 Joel Eriksson Ek C | +0.78 | 0.00 | +0.23 | +0.51 | 0.00 | +0.04 | 0.00 | — | 21:05 |
| 12 Matt Boldy L | +0.54 | 0.00 | +0.11 | +0.45 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -0.02 | — | 22:28 |
| 97 Kirill Kaprizov L | +0.46 | +0.55 | +0.16 | -0.33 | +0.15 | 0.00 | -0.06 | — | 23:58 |
| 5 Jake Middleton D | +0.36 | 0.00 | +0.12 | +0.19 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.05 | — | 14:11 |
| 55 David Jiricek D | +0.25 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.29 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -0.04 | — | 14:13 |
| 8 Zeev Buium D | +0.14 | +0.70 | 0.00 | -0.69 | +0.15 | 0.00 | -0.02 | — | 19:06 |
| 91 Vladimir Tarasenko R | +0.10 | 0.00 | +0.35 | -0.28 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.03 | — | 16:42 |
| 18 Vinnie Hinostroza C | -0.06 | +0.70 | +0.01 | -0.75 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -0.02 | — | 11:25 |
| 38 Ryan Hartman R | -0.19 | 0.00 | +0.27 | -0.38 | 0.00 | -0.04 | -0.04 | — | 13:59 |
| 39 Ben Jones C | -0.40 | 0.00 | +0.01 | -0.41 | 0.00 | +0.01 | 0.00 | — | 8:01 |
| 32 Filip Gustavsson G | -0.43 | 0.00 | — | — | 0.00 | — | — | -0.43 | 57:54 |
| 46 Jared Spurgeon D | -0.46 | 0.00 | +0.05 | -0.55 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.05 | — | 21:14 |
| 23 Marco Rossi C | -0.46 | +0.55 | +0.15 | -1.13 | 0.00 | +0.03 | -0.06 | — | 19:03 |
| 13 Yakov Trenin C | -0.61 | 0.00 | +0.04 | -0.47 | -0.15 | -0.01 | -0.02 | — | 10:13 |
| 25 Jonas Brodin D | -0.67 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -0.94 | +0.15 | 0.00 | +0.12 | — | 21:37 |
| 22 Danila Yurov R | -0.81 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -0.79 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -0.02 | — | 11:45 |
| 7 Brock Faber D | -0.96 | 0.00 | +0.18 | -1.13 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -0.01 | — | 21:49 |
An expected-goals take on Dom Luszczyszyn's Game Score: goals and assists, the quality of a player's own shots, shot quality for and against while they were on the ice at 5v5, penalties, faceoffs and puck plays, all in goals; goalies by goals saved above expected. From the NHL play-by-play and shift charts.