| Final/SO | 1st | 2nd | 3rd | OT | SO | T | SOG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 5 | 41 | |
| 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 31 |
No impact calculated for this game. Impacts are calculated for games in the next 7 days.
| 1st Period | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| 0:59 | Ryan Shea (1) Anthony Mantha (4), Parker Wotherspoon (4) · wrist xG 0.07 | 0–1 ▶ | |
| 15:44 | Charlie Coyle (1) Dante Fabbro (1), Cole Sillinger (2) · backhand xG 0.22 | 1–1 ▶ | |
| 18:01 | Anthony Mantha (4) Evgeni Malkin (11), Justin Brazeau (4) · snap xG 0.05 | 1–2 ▶ | |
| 2nd Period | |||
| 17:39 | Dmitri Voronkov (4) Kent Johnson (2) · wrist xG 0.13 | 2–2 ▶ | |
| 3rd Period | |||
| 1:55 | Egor Chinakhov (1) Zachary Aston-Reese (3), Isac Lundeström (1) · snap xG 0.08 | 3–2 ▶ | |
| 4:54 | Dmitri Voronkov (5) Sean Monahan (3), Kirill Marchenko (3) · deflected xG 0.12 | 4–2 ▶ | |
| 14:54 | Kris Letang (1)PP Tommy Novak (3), Arturs Silovs (1) · slap xG 0.07 | 4–3 ▶ | |
| 16:54 | Bryan Rust (1) Evgeni Malkin (12), Erik Karlsson (6) · slap xG 0.08 | 4–4 ▶ | |
| Overtime | |||
| No scoring | |||
| Shootout | |||
| Kent Johnson vs Arturs Silovs | Goal | ||
| Bryan Rust vs Elvis Merzlikins | Goal | ||
| Adam Fantilli vs Arturs Silovs | Goal | ||
| Sidney Crosby vs Elvis Merzlikins | Goal | ||
| Kirill Marchenko vs Arturs Silovs | Goal | ||
| Evgeni Malkin vs Elvis Merzlikins | Missed | ||
Score away–home after each goal; season totals in parentheses.
Expected goals (xG) rate every unblocked shot by how often shots like it go in, from where it was taken, the shot type, the strength and what happened just before it. How it works
| CBJ | PIT | |
|---|---|---|
| 4.36 | Expected goals | 2.49 |
| 4 | Goals (no shootout) | 4 |
| 3.40 | Expected goals, 5 on 5 | 1.20 |
| 76 | Shot attempts | 63 |
| 59 | Unblocked attempts | 45 |
| 41 | Shots on goal | 31 |
What stood out as the game went on, from the play-by-play and the shifts. Time on the bench is counted in 5-on-5 play outside the penalty box; the note says the player sat, not why. Goals saved are against the shots' expected goals (xG).
| 2nd Period | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| 0:30 | CBJ | xG swing | xG swing · Out-chanced PIT 1.21–0.12
In xG over 10 minutes, 10:30 of the 1st to 0:30 of the 2nd; goals 1–1 |
| 3rd Period | |||
| 6:50 | CBJ | xG swing | xG swing · Out-chanced PIT 1.18–0.13
In xG over 10 minutes, 16:50 of the 2nd to 6:50 of the 3rd; goals 3–0 |
| 16:51 | PIT | Pulled goalie | Pulled goalie · Pulled Silovs, down 4–3
With 3:09 left; PIT scored at 16:54 of the 3rd (4–4) |
| 19:00 | PIT | No shift | No shift · Rakell, 11:08 on the bench
No shift after 4:54 of the 3rd; 16 shifts (14:58) before that |
xG comes from hockeystats.io's own model, a gradient-boosted tree model trained on every unblocked shot from the 2021-22 to 2025-26 regular seasons using the NHL's public play-by-play. Each shot's value is the share of similar shots that became goals. A team's xG is the sum over its shots; "deserve to win" asks how often the team would outscore its opponent if every shot went in at exactly that rate. Blocked shots count as attempts but have no xG (the NHL records where they were blocked, not where they were taken), so the map leaves them out.
| Skater | G | A | P | +/− | Att | xG | Hit | Blk | TOI | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Forwards | ||||||||||
| 23 | Sean Monahan | 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 6 | 0.54 | 0 | 0 | 22:54 |
| 86 | Kirill Marchenko | 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 6 | 0.56 | 0 | 1 | 20:32 |
| 91 | Kent Johnson | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 0.09 | 0 | 2 | 18:28 |
| 3 | Charlie Coyle | 1 | 0 | 1 | -1 | 2 | 0.25 | 2 | 2 | 18:14 |
| 10 | Dmitri Voronkov | 2 | 0 | 2 | +2 | 7 | 0.78 | 2 | 0 | 17:13 |
| 19 | Adam Fantilli | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | 8 | 0.60 | 0 | 0 | 16:40 |
| 4 | Cole Sillinger | 0 | 1 | 1 | -1 | 3 | 0.18 | 1 | 0 | 15:51 |
| 22 | Boone Jenner | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | 8 | 0.44 | 4 | 2 | 15:31 |
| 24 | Mathieu Olivier | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.10 | 4 | 0 | 13:32 |
| 59 | Egor Chinakhov | 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 4 | 0.33 | 1 | 0 | 10:26 |
| 21 | Isac Lundeström | 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 1 | 0.01 | 0 | 0 | 09:12 |
| 21 | Zachary Aston-Reese | 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 2 | 0.08 | 2 | 0 | 09:05 |
| Defense | ||||||||||
| 8 | Zach Werenski | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 0.04 | 1 | 3 | 29:49 |
| 9 | Ivan Provorov | 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 2 | 0.09 | 1 | 2 | 22:46 |
| 5 | Denton Mateychuk | 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 6 | 0.16 | 4 | 0 | 21:20 |
| 78 | Damon Severson | 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 4 | 0.09 | 1 | 0 | 19:43 |
| 44 | Erik Gudbranson | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | 2 | 0.03 | 1 | 0 | 14:18 |
| 15 | Dante Fabbro | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 0.03 | 0 | 3 | 13:56 |
| Goalie | SA | GA | SV | SV% | xGA | GSAx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elvis Merzlikins | 31 | 4 | 27 | .871 | 2.49 | -1.51 |
| Skater | G | A | P | +/− | Att | xG | Hit | Blk | TOI | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Forwards | ||||||||||
| 87 | Sidney Crosby | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | 8 | 0.37 | 1 | 0 | 24:32 |
| 17 | Bryan Rust | 1 | 0 | 1 | -1 | 4 | 0.23 | 0 | 3 | 23:11 |
| 71 | Evgeni Malkin | 0 | 2 | 2 | +1 | 6 | 0.36 | 1 | 1 | 21:13 |
| 19 | Filip Hallander | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 0.22 | 0 | 1 | 16:09 |
| 67 | Rickard Rakell | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2 | 2 | 0.09 | 1 | 1 | 14:58 |
| 39 | Anthony Mantha | 1 | 1 | 2 | +1 | 4 | 0.16 | 0 | 0 | 14:35 |
| 46 | Blake Lizotte | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.00 | 0 | 0 | 14:21 |
| 18 | Tommy Novak | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 0.10 | 0 | 0 | 13:47 |
| 52 | Noel Acciari | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0.08 | 2 | 0 | 13:28 |
| 16 | Justin Brazeau | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0.16 | 0 | 2 | 12:49 |
| 19 | Connor Dewar | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0.17 | 2 | 0 | 12:31 |
| Defense | ||||||||||
| 65 | Erik Karlsson | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 8 | 0.24 | 0 | 0 | 27:39 |
| 58 | Kris Letang | 1 | 0 | 1 | +2 | 6 | 0.18 | 2 | 3 | 23:02 |
| 6 | Ryan Shea | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 0.09 | 1 | 1 | 18:48 |
| 29 | Parker Wotherspoon | 0 | 1 | 1 | -1 | 1 | 0.00 | 0 | 0 | 18:42 |
| 75 | Connor Clifton | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2 | 2 | 0.00 | 4 | 2 | 16:27 |
| Goalie | SA | GA | SV | SV% | xGA | GSAx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Arturs Silovs | 41 | 4 | 37 | .902 | 4.36 | +0.36 |
Skaters by time on ice. Goalie lines count shots with the goalie in net, from the NHL play-by-play.
What each player added to the result, in goals, from most to least. Hover a number for what it's made of.
| Player | Rating | Points | Shots | On ice | Pen | FO | Other | GSAx | TOI |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Dmitri Voronkov L | +3.20 | +1.50 | +0.50 | +1.19 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | — | 17:13 |
| 23 Sean Monahan C | +1.82 | +0.70 | +0.35 | +0.87 | 0.00 | -0.07 | -0.04 | — | 22:54 |
| 59 Egor Chinakhov R | +1.69 | +0.75 | +0.21 | +0.74 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -0.02 | — | 10:26 |
| 86 Kirill Marchenko R | +1.68 | +0.55 | +0.36 | +0.69 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.07 | — | 20:32 |
| 15 Dante Fabbro D | +1.64 | +0.70 | +0.02 | +0.80 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.13 | — | 13:56 |
| 91 Kent Johnson C | +1.56 | +0.70 | +0.06 | +0.71 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.10 | — | 18:28 |
| 5 Denton Mateychuk D | +1.55 | 0.00 | +0.10 | +1.45 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | — | 21:20 |
| 27 Zachary Aston-Reese C | +1.53 | +0.70 | +0.05 | +0.63 | +0.15 | -0.02 | +0.02 | — | 9:05 |
| 8 Zach Werenski D | +1.43 | 0.00 | +0.03 | +1.23 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.17 | — | 29:49 |
| 3 Charlie Coyle C | +1.35 | +0.75 | +0.16 | +0.33 | 0.00 | +0.01 | +0.10 | — | 18:14 |
| 21 Isac Lundeström C | +1.10 | +0.55 | 0.00 | +0.52 | 0.00 | +0.05 | -0.02 | — | 9:12 |
| 19 Adam Fantilli C | +1.02 | 0.00 | +0.39 | +0.63 | 0.00 | -0.02 | +0.02 | — | 16:40 |
| 4 Cole Sillinger C | +0.91 | +0.55 | +0.12 | +0.41 | -0.15 | -0.02 | 0.00 | — | 15:51 |
| 78 Damon Severson D | +0.90 | 0.00 | +0.06 | +0.86 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -0.02 | — | 19:43 |
| 24 Mathieu Olivier R | +0.88 | 0.00 | +0.06 | +0.82 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | — | 13:32 |
| 9 Ivan Provorov D | +0.84 | 0.00 | +0.06 | +0.65 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.14 | — | 22:46 |
| 38 Boone Jenner C | +0.82 | 0.00 | +0.28 | +0.55 | -0.15 | +0.03 | +0.10 | — | 15:31 |
| 44 Erik Gudbranson D | +0.33 | 0.00 | +0.02 | +0.47 | -0.15 | 0.00 | 0.00 | — | 14:18 |
| 90 Elvis Merzlikins G | -1.51 | 0.00 | — | — | 0.00 | — | — | -1.51 | 64:38 |
| Player | Rating | Points | Shots | On ice | Pen | FO | Other | GSAx | TOI |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 37 Arturs Silovs G | +0.91 | +0.55 | — | — | 0.00 | — | — | +0.36 | 64:57 |
| 39 Anthony Mantha R | +0.83 | +1.45 | +0.10 | -0.69 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -0.04 | — | 14:35 |
| 58 Kris Letang D | +0.64 | +0.75 | +0.12 | -0.35 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.13 | — | 23:02 |
| 71 Evgeni Malkin C | +0.48 | +1.40 | +0.23 | -1.13 | 0.00 | -0.05 | +0.03 | — | 21:13 |
| 19 Connor Dewar C | +0.28 | 0.00 | +0.11 | +0.02 | +0.15 | 0.00 | 0.00 | — | 12:31 |
| 18 Tommy Novak C | +0.24 | +0.70 | +0.06 | -0.52 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | — | 13:47 |
| 16 Justin Brazeau R | +0.21 | +0.55 | +0.10 | -0.63 | +0.15 | 0.00 | +0.04 | — | 12:49 |
| 55 Noel Acciari C | +0.13 | 0.00 | +0.05 | +0.02 | 0.00 | +0.06 | 0.00 | — | 13:28 |
| 5 Ryan Shea D | -0.04 | +0.75 | +0.06 | -0.75 | -0.15 | 0.00 | +0.05 | — | 18:48 |
| 46 Blake Lizotte C | -0.19 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -0.10 | 0.00 | -0.01 | -0.08 | — | 14:21 |
| 17 Bryan Rust R | -0.34 | +0.75 | +0.15 | -1.37 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.13 | — | 23:11 |
| 24 Mathew Dumba D | -0.39 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -0.42 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.03 | — | 14:25 |
| 53 Philip Tomasino R | -0.50 | 0.00 | +0.02 | -0.58 | 0.00 | +0.01 | +0.05 | — | 10:26 |
| 11 Filip Hallander C | -0.50 | 0.00 | +0.14 | -0.80 | +0.15 | 0.00 | +0.01 | — | 16:09 |
| 28 Parker Wotherspoon D | -0.62 | +0.55 | 0.00 | -1.15 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -0.02 | — | 18:42 |
| 75 Connor Clifton D | -0.79 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -0.89 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.10 | — | 16:27 |
| 65 Erik Karlsson D | -0.94 | +0.55 | +0.16 | -1.63 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -0.02 | — | 27:39 |
| 87 Sidney Crosby C | -1.09 | 0.00 | +0.24 | -1.36 | 0.00 | +0.03 | 0.00 | — | 24:32 |
| 67 Rickard Rakell R | -1.12 | 0.00 | +0.06 | -1.23 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.05 | — | 14:58 |
An expected-goals take on Dom Luszczyszyn's Game Score: goals and assists, the quality of a player's own shots, shot quality for and against while they were on the ice at 5v5, penalties, faceoffs and puck plays, all in goals; goalies by goals saved above expected. From the NHL play-by-play and shift charts.