Columbus Blue JacketsCBJ 5–4 Final/SO Pittsburgh PenguinsPIT

Saturday, October 25, 2025

Final/SO 1st2nd3rdOTSO T SOG
Columbus Blue JacketsCBJ 11203 5 41
Pittsburgh PenguinsPIT 20202 4 31

No impact calculated for this game. Impacts are calculated for games in the next 7 days.

Highlights

Scoring

1st Period
0:59 PIT Ryan Shea (1) Anthony Mantha (4), Parker Wotherspoon (4) · wrist xG 0.07 0–1 ▶
15:44 CBJ Charlie Coyle (1) Dante Fabbro (1), Cole Sillinger (2) · backhand xG 0.22 1–1 ▶
18:01 PIT Anthony Mantha (4) Evgeni Malkin (11), Justin Brazeau (4) · snap xG 0.05 1–2 ▶
2nd Period
17:39 CBJ Dmitri Voronkov (4) Kent Johnson (2) · wrist xG 0.13 2–2 ▶
3rd Period
1:55 CBJ Egor Chinakhov (1) Zachary Aston-Reese (3), Isac Lundeström (1) · snap xG 0.08 3–2 ▶
4:54 CBJ Dmitri Voronkov (5) Sean Monahan (3), Kirill Marchenko (3) · deflected xG 0.12 4–2 ▶
14:54 PIT Kris Letang (1)PP Tommy Novak (3), Arturs Silovs (1) · slap xG 0.07 4–3 ▶
16:54 PIT Bryan Rust (1) Evgeni Malkin (12), Erik Karlsson (6) · slap xG 0.08 4–4 ▶
Overtime
No scoring
Shootout
CBJ Kent Johnson vs Arturs Silovs Goal
PIT Bryan Rust vs Elvis Merzlikins Goal
CBJ Adam Fantilli vs Arturs Silovs Goal
PIT Sidney Crosby vs Elvis Merzlikins Goal
CBJ Kirill Marchenko vs Arturs Silovs Goal
PIT Evgeni Malkin vs Elvis Merzlikins Missed

Score away–home after each goal; season totals in parentheses.

Shot quality

Expected goals (xG) rate every unblocked shot by how often shots like it go in, from where it was taken, the shot type, the strength and what happened just before it. How it works

CBJ 77%Deserve to win23% PIT
CBJPIT
4.36Expected goals2.49
4Goals (no shootout)4
3.40Expected goals, 5 on 51.20
76Shot attempts63
59Unblocked attempts45
41Shots on goal31

Game notes

What stood out as the game went on, from the play-by-play and the shifts. Time on the bench is counted in 5-on-5 play outside the penalty box; the note says the player sat, not why. Goals saved are against the shots' expected goals (xG).

2nd Period
0:30 CBJ xG swing xG swing · Out-chanced PIT 1.21–0.12
In xG over 10 minutes, 10:30 of the 1st to 0:30 of the 2nd; goals 1–1
3rd Period
6:50 CBJ xG swing xG swing · Out-chanced PIT 1.18–0.13
In xG over 10 minutes, 16:50 of the 2nd to 6:50 of the 3rd; goals 3–0
16:51 PIT Pulled goalie Pulled goalie · Pulled Silovs, down 4–3
With 3:09 left; PIT scored at 16:54 of the 3rd (4–4)
19:00 PIT No shift No shift · Rakell, 11:08 on the bench
No shift after 4:54 of the 3rd; 16 shifts (14:58) before that

Shot map

CBJ shoots ←Bigger circle: higher xG; filled: goal→ PIT shoots
Zach Werenski: wrist, 97 ft, xG 0.00 (P1 1:53) Kirill Marchenko: wrist, 32 ft, xG 0.06 (P1 2:50) Ivan Provorov: wrist, 57 ft, xG 0.02 (P1 3:07) Boone Jenner: bat, 19 ft, xG 0.15 (P1 3:21) Connor Dewar: wrist, 13 ft, xG 0.05 (P1 5:38) Rickard Rakell: wrist, 40 ft, xG 0.01 (P1 5:41) Kent Johnson: wrist, 84 ft, xG 0.00 (P1 7:53) Dmitri Voronkov: wrist, 37 ft, xG 0.03 (P1 8:28) Cole Sillinger: wrist, 30 ft, xG 0.02 (P1 9:03) Zach Werenski: wrist, 62 ft, xG 0.01 (P1 9:17) Sidney Crosby: backhand, 184 ft, xG 0.00 (P1 9:32) Adam Fantilli: wrist, 9 ft, xG 0.13 (P1 9:50) Boone Jenner: wrist, 36 ft, xG 0.03 (P1 9:55) Adam Fantilli: wrist, 59 ft, xG 0.02 (P1 10:00) Justin Brazeau: wrist, 9 ft, xG 0.16 (P1 10:28) Adam Fantilli: wrist, 24 ft, xG 0.17 (P1 10:41) Denton Mateychuk: wrist, 24 ft, xG 0.04 (P1 11:03) Zach Werenski: wrist, 34 ft, xG 0.03 (P1 11:31) Boone Jenner: backhand, 21 ft, xG 0.03 (P1 11:38) Zach Werenski: wrist, 48 ft, xG 0.01 (P1 12:02) Anthony Mantha: wrist, 52 ft, xG 0.01 (P1 13:13) Kirill Marchenko: wrist, 33 ft, xG 0.04 (P1 13:56) Erik Karlsson: wrist, 34 ft, xG 0.02 (P1 14:35) Kent Johnson: wrist, 24 ft, xG 0.08 (P1 14:55) Dante Fabbro: wrist, 42 ft, xG 0.03 (P1 15:42) Ivan Provorov: wrist, 36 ft, xG 0.07 (P1 17:33) Sidney Crosby: wrist, 18 ft, xG 0.03 (P1 18:23) Egor Chinakhov: wrist, 22 ft, xG 0.15 (P1 18:31) Sean Monahan: wrist, 26 ft, xG 0.13 (P1 19:12) Dmitri Voronkov: wrist, 4 ft, xG 0.09 (P1 19:12) Dmitri Voronkov: tip-in, 8 ft, xG 0.12 (P1 19:50) Blake Lizotte: wrist, 75 ft, xG 0.00 (P2 0:22) Sidney Crosby: wrist, 17 ft, xG 0.05 (P2 2:15) Sidney Crosby: tip-in, 30 ft, xG 0.06 (P2 2:28) Bryan Rust: slap, 43 ft, xG 0.07 (P2 3:49) Bryan Rust: wrist, 23 ft, xG 0.06 (P2 4:04) Rickard Rakell: wrist, 12 ft, xG 0.09 (P2 4:39) Sidney Crosby: backhand, 7 ft, xG 0.06 (P2 4:41) Sidney Crosby: wrist, 6 ft, xG 0.07 (P2 4:42) Sidney Crosby: wrist, 4 ft, xG 0.11 (P2 4:43) Evgeni Malkin: wrist, 17 ft, xG 0.08 (P2 5:23) Erik Gudbranson: wrist, 41 ft, xG 0.03 (P2 5:39) Sean Monahan: wrist, 50 ft, xG 0.02 (P2 6:51) Sean Monahan: wrist, 31 ft, xG 0.08 (P2 6:55) Dmitri Voronkov: wrist, 9 ft, xG 0.16 (P2 7:20) Boone Jenner: snap, 58 ft, xG 0.01 (P2 7:52) Damon Severson: wrist, 51 ft, xG 0.03 (P2 8:23) Bryan Rust: wrist, 49 ft, xG 0.02 (P2 9:34) Egor Chinakhov: wrist, 51 ft, xG 0.01 (P2 9:41) Egor Chinakhov: wrist, 29 ft, xG 0.08 (P2 9:43) Kirill Marchenko: wrist, 50 ft, xG 0.01 (P2 10:47) Philip Tomasino: wrist, 28 ft, xG 0.03 (P2 13:33) Sean Monahan: snap, 34 ft, xG 0.09 (P2 13:55) Zachary Aston-Reese: wrist, 28 ft, xG 0.06 (P2 14:38) Kris Letang: wrist, 19 ft, xG 0.11 (P2 16:15) Boone Jenner: wrist, 39 ft, xG 0.02 (P2 17:08) Noel Acciari: wrist, 44 ft, xG 0.03 (P2 18:16) Sean Monahan: wrist, 31 ft, xG 0.06 (P3 0:45) Kirill Marchenko: backhand, 3 ft, xG 0.16 (P3 0:46) Evgeni Malkin: wrist, 30 ft, xG 0.05 (P3 0:54) Damon Severson: tip-in, 20 ft, xG 0.06 (P3 1:47) Noel Acciari: backhand, 26 ft, xG 0.05 (P3 2:02) Charlie Coyle: wrist, 26 ft, xG 0.03 (P3 3:03) Mathieu Olivier: tip-in, 7 ft, xG 0.10 (P3 3:37) Adam Fantilli: wrist, 13 ft, xG 0.27 (P3 5:37) Denton Mateychuk: slap, 48 ft, xG 0.03 (P3 6:23) Dmitri Voronkov: wrist, 24 ft, xG 0.12 (P3 6:44) Zachary Aston-Reese: wrist, 59 ft, xG 0.01 (P3 7:42) Filip Hallander: wrist, 40 ft, xG 0.05 (P3 8:48) Ryan Shea: wrist, 57 ft, xG 0.01 (P3 8:52) Erik Karlsson: slap, 54 ft, xG 0.05 (P3 10:33) Erik Karlsson: slap, 44 ft, xG 0.06 (P3 10:55) Anthony Mantha: slap, 40 ft, xG 0.09 (P3 11:26) Erik Karlsson: slap, 39 ft, xG 0.07 (P3 11:39) Evgeni Malkin: wrist, 36 ft, xG 0.07 (P3 12:11) Tommy Novak: deflected, 5 ft, xG 0.06 (P3 12:12) Boone Jenner: wrist, 22 ft, xG 0.19 (P3 12:24) Denton Mateychuk: slap, 48 ft, xG 0.05 (P3 12:29) Cole Sillinger: backhand, 9 ft, xG 0.04 (P3 12:30) Denton Mateychuk: wrist, 45 ft, xG 0.04 (P3 12:34) Filip Hallander: deflected, 13 ft, xG 0.11 (P3 12:49) Filip Hallander: wrist, 5 ft, xG 0.06 (P3 12:50) Tommy Novak: slap, 36 ft, xG 0.03 (P3 12:59) Evgeni Malkin: wrist, 26 ft, xG 0.07 (P3 13:11) Tommy Novak: wrist, 41 ft, xG 0.02 (P3 14:49) Ryan Shea: wrist, 59 ft, xG 0.01 (P3 15:26) Isac Lundeström: wrist, 63 ft, xG 0.01 (P3 17:53) Erik Karlsson: wrist, 62 ft, xG 0.02 (P3 18:23) Connor Dewar: tip-in, 6 ft, xG 0.12 (P3 18:34) Kent Johnson: wrist, 36 ft, xG 0.01 (P3 18:56) Evgeni Malkin: wrist, 32 ft, xG 0.09 (OT 0:35) Sean Monahan: wrist, 22 ft, xG 0.15 (OT 0:54) Cole Sillinger: wrist, 14 ft, xG 0.12 (OT 1:13) Erik Karlsson: wrist, 63 ft, xG 0.02 (OT 2:19) Kirill Marchenko: wrist, 30 ft, xG 0.06 (OT 2:28) Kirill Marchenko: wrist, 28 ft, xG 0.22 (OT 2:44) Ryan Shea: GOAL, wrist, 23 ft, xG 0.07 (P1 0:59) Charlie Coyle: GOAL, backhand, 6 ft, xG 0.22 (P1 15:44) Anthony Mantha: GOAL, snap, 41 ft, xG 0.05 (P1 18:01) Dmitri Voronkov: GOAL, wrist, 21 ft, xG 0.13 (P2 17:39) Egor Chinakhov: GOAL, snap, 35 ft, xG 0.08 (P3 1:55) Dmitri Voronkov: GOAL, deflected, 7 ft, xG 0.12 (P3 4:54) Kris Letang: GOAL, slap, 47 ft, xG 0.07 (P3 14:54) Bryan Rust: GOAL, slap, 14 ft, xG 0.08 (P3 16:54)
About these numbers

xG comes from hockeystats.io's own model, a gradient-boosted tree model trained on every unblocked shot from the 2021-22 to 2025-26 regular seasons using the NHL's public play-by-play. Each shot's value is the share of similar shots that became goals. A team's xG is the sum over its shots; "deserve to win" asks how often the team would outscore its opponent if every shot went in at exactly that rate. Blocked shots count as attempts but have no xG (the NHL records where they were blocked, not where they were taken), so the map leaves them out.

Box score

Columbus Blue Jackets

Skater GAP+/− AttxG HitBlkTOI
Forwards
23 Sean Monahan 011 +1 60.54 0022:54
86 Kirill Marchenko 011 +1 60.56 0120:32
91 Kent Johnson 011 0 40.09 0218:28
3 Charlie Coyle 101 -1 20.25 2218:14
10 Dmitri Voronkov 202 +2 70.78 2017:13
19 Adam Fantilli 000 -1 80.60 0016:40
4 Cole Sillinger 011 -1 30.18 1015:51
22 Boone Jenner 000 -1 80.44 4215:31
24 Mathieu Olivier 000 0 10.10 4013:32
59 Egor Chinakhov 101 +1 40.33 1010:26
21 Isac Lundeström 011 +1 10.01 0009:12
21 Zachary Aston-Reese 011 +1 20.08 2009:05
Defense
8 Zach Werenski 000 0 70.04 1329:49
9 Ivan Provorov 000 +1 20.09 1222:46
5 Denton Mateychuk 000 +1 60.16 4021:20
78 Damon Severson 000 +1 40.09 1019:43
44 Erik Gudbranson 000 -1 20.03 1014:18
15 Dante Fabbro 011 0 30.03 0313:56
Goalie SAGA SVSV% xGA GSAx
Elvis Merzlikins 31427 .871 2.49 -1.51

Pittsburgh Penguins

Skater GAP+/− AttxG HitBlkTOI
Forwards
87 Sidney Crosby 000 -1 80.37 1024:32
17 Bryan Rust 101 -1 40.23 0323:11
71 Evgeni Malkin 022 +1 60.36 1121:13
19 Filip Hallander 000 0 40.22 0116:09
67 Rickard Rakell 000 -2 20.09 1114:58
39 Anthony Mantha 112 +1 40.16 0014:35
46 Blake Lizotte 000 0 10.00 0014:21
18 Tommy Novak 011 0 50.10 0013:47
52 Noel Acciari 000 0 20.08 2013:28
16 Justin Brazeau 011 0 10.16 0212:49
19 Connor Dewar 000 0 20.17 2012:31
Defense
65 Erik Karlsson 011 0 80.24 0027:39
58 Kris Letang 101 +2 60.18 2323:02
6 Ryan Shea 101 0 40.09 1118:48
29 Parker Wotherspoon 011 -1 10.00 0018:42
75 Connor Clifton 000 -2 20.00 4216:27
Goalie SAGA SVSV% xGA GSAx
Arturs Silovs 41437 .902 4.36 +0.36

Skaters by time on ice. Goalie lines count shots with the goalie in net, from the NHL play-by-play.

Player ratings

What each player added to the result, in goals, from most to least. Hover a number for what it's made of.

Columbus Blue Jackets

Player Rating Points Shots On ice Pen FO Other GSAx TOI
10 Dmitri Voronkov L +3.20 +1.50 +0.50 +1.19 0.00 0.00 0.00 — 17:13
23 Sean Monahan C +1.82 +0.70 +0.35 +0.87 0.00 -0.07 -0.04 — 22:54
59 Egor Chinakhov R +1.69 +0.75 +0.21 +0.74 0.00 0.00 -0.02 — 10:26
86 Kirill Marchenko R +1.68 +0.55 +0.36 +0.69 0.00 0.00 +0.07 — 20:32
15 Dante Fabbro D +1.64 +0.70 +0.02 +0.80 0.00 0.00 +0.13 — 13:56
91 Kent Johnson C +1.56 +0.70 +0.06 +0.71 0.00 0.00 +0.10 — 18:28
5 Denton Mateychuk D +1.55 0.00 +0.10 +1.45 0.00 0.00 0.00 — 21:20
27 Zachary Aston-Reese C +1.53 +0.70 +0.05 +0.63 +0.15 -0.02 +0.02 — 9:05
8 Zach Werenski D +1.43 0.00 +0.03 +1.23 0.00 0.00 +0.17 — 29:49
3 Charlie Coyle C +1.35 +0.75 +0.16 +0.33 0.00 +0.01 +0.10 — 18:14
21 Isac Lundeström C +1.10 +0.55 0.00 +0.52 0.00 +0.05 -0.02 — 9:12
19 Adam Fantilli C +1.02 0.00 +0.39 +0.63 0.00 -0.02 +0.02 — 16:40
4 Cole Sillinger C +0.91 +0.55 +0.12 +0.41 -0.15 -0.02 0.00 — 15:51
78 Damon Severson D +0.90 0.00 +0.06 +0.86 0.00 0.00 -0.02 — 19:43
24 Mathieu Olivier R +0.88 0.00 +0.06 +0.82 0.00 0.00 0.00 — 13:32
9 Ivan Provorov D +0.84 0.00 +0.06 +0.65 0.00 0.00 +0.14 — 22:46
38 Boone Jenner C +0.82 0.00 +0.28 +0.55 -0.15 +0.03 +0.10 — 15:31
44 Erik Gudbranson D +0.33 0.00 +0.02 +0.47 -0.15 0.00 0.00 — 14:18
90 Elvis Merzlikins G -1.51 0.00 — — 0.00 — — -1.51 64:38

Pittsburgh Penguins

Player Rating Points Shots On ice Pen FO Other GSAx TOI
37 Arturs Silovs G +0.91 +0.55 — — 0.00 — — +0.36 64:57
39 Anthony Mantha R +0.83 +1.45 +0.10 -0.69 0.00 0.00 -0.04 — 14:35
58 Kris Letang D +0.64 +0.75 +0.12 -0.35 0.00 0.00 +0.13 — 23:02
71 Evgeni Malkin C +0.48 +1.40 +0.23 -1.13 0.00 -0.05 +0.03 — 21:13
19 Connor Dewar C +0.28 0.00 +0.11 +0.02 +0.15 0.00 0.00 — 12:31
18 Tommy Novak C +0.24 +0.70 +0.06 -0.52 0.00 0.00 0.00 — 13:47
16 Justin Brazeau R +0.21 +0.55 +0.10 -0.63 +0.15 0.00 +0.04 — 12:49
55 Noel Acciari C +0.13 0.00 +0.05 +0.02 0.00 +0.06 0.00 — 13:28
5 Ryan Shea D -0.04 +0.75 +0.06 -0.75 -0.15 0.00 +0.05 — 18:48
46 Blake Lizotte C -0.19 0.00 0.00 -0.10 0.00 -0.01 -0.08 — 14:21
17 Bryan Rust R -0.34 +0.75 +0.15 -1.37 0.00 0.00 +0.13 — 23:11
24 Mathew Dumba D -0.39 0.00 0.00 -0.42 0.00 0.00 +0.03 — 14:25
53 Philip Tomasino R -0.50 0.00 +0.02 -0.58 0.00 +0.01 +0.05 — 10:26
11 Filip Hallander C -0.50 0.00 +0.14 -0.80 +0.15 0.00 +0.01 — 16:09
28 Parker Wotherspoon D -0.62 +0.55 0.00 -1.15 0.00 0.00 -0.02 — 18:42
75 Connor Clifton D -0.79 0.00 0.00 -0.89 0.00 0.00 +0.10 — 16:27
65 Erik Karlsson D -0.94 +0.55 +0.16 -1.63 0.00 0.00 -0.02 — 27:39
87 Sidney Crosby C -1.09 0.00 +0.24 -1.36 0.00 +0.03 0.00 — 24:32
67 Rickard Rakell R -1.12 0.00 +0.06 -1.23 0.00 0.00 +0.05 — 14:58

An expected-goals take on Dom Luszczyszyn's Game Score: goals and assists, the quality of a player's own shots, shot quality for and against while they were on the ice at 5v5, penalties, faceoffs and puck plays, all in goals; goalies by goals saved above expected. From the NHL play-by-play and shift charts.