Montréal CanadiensMTL 4–3 Final Vancouver CanucksVAN

Saturday, October 25, 2025

Final	1st	2nd	3rd	T	SOG
Montréal CanadiensMTL	0	1	3	4	24
Vancouver CanucksVAN	1	1	1	3	31

No impact calculated for this game. Impacts are calculated for games in the next 7 days.

Highlights

Scoring

1st Period
4:42	VAN	Elias Pettersson (2) Filip Hronek (5), Conor Garland (6) · wrist xG 0.14	0–1 ▶
2nd Period
6:43	VAN	Jake DeBrusk (2)PP Quinn Hughes (5), Elias Pettersson (4) · tip-in xG 0.12	0–2 ▶
15:03	MTL	Nick Suzuki (2)PP Ivan Demidov (6), Juraj Slafkovský (1) · wrist xG 0.11	1–2 ▶
3rd Period
1:50	MTL	Juraj Slafkovský (4)PP Ivan Demidov (7), Lane Hutson (8) · wrist xG 0.21	2–2 ▶
8:19	MTL	Mike Matheson (3) Alexandre Carrier (3), Zachary Bolduc (2) · wrist xG 0.04	3–2 ▶
11:09	MTL	Ivan Demidov (2) Alexandre Carrier (4), Oliver Kapanen (3) · slap xG 0.06	4–2 ▶
16:13	VAN	Conor Garland (3) Elias Pettersson (5), Quinn Hughes (6) · tip-in xG 0.07	4–3 ▶

Score away–home after each goal; season totals in parentheses.

Shot quality

Expected goals (xG) rate every unblocked shot by how often shots like it go in, from where it was taken, the shot type, the strength and what happened just before it. How it works

MTL 50%Deserve to win50% VAN

MTL		VAN
3.11	Expected goals	2.76
4	Goals (no shootout)	3
1.74	Expected goals, 5 on 5	1.97
58	Shot attempts	68
42	Unblocked attempts	51
24	Shots on goal	31

Game notes

What stood out as the game went on, from the play-by-play and the shifts. Time on the bench is counted in 5-on-5 play outside the penalty box; the note says the player sat, not why. Goals saved are against the shots' expected goals (xG).

3rd Period
11:09	MTL	Deserve to win	Deserve to win · MTL takes the lead, 61–39% VAN had led since 5:03 of the 1st, by as much as 76%
11:50	MTL	No shift	No shift · Xhekaj, 15:45 on the bench No shift after 17:11 of the 2nd; 12 shifts (6:37) before that
16:00	VAN	Pulled goalie	Pulled goalie · Pulled Lankinen, down 4–2 With 4:00 left; VAN scored at 16:13 of the 3rd (4–3)
17:26	VAN	Pulled goalie	Pulled goalie · Pulled Lankinen, down 4–3 With 2:34 left

Shot map

MTL shoots ←Bigger circle: higher xG; filled: goal→ VAN shoots

About these numbers

xG comes from hockeystats.io's own model, a gradient-boosted tree model trained on every unblocked shot from the 2021-22 to 2025-26 regular seasons using the NHL's public play-by-play. Each shot's value is the share of similar shots that became goals. A team's xG is the sum over its shots; "deserve to win" asks how often the team would outscore its opponent if every shot went in at exactly that rate. Blocked shots count as attempts but have no xG (the NHL records where they were blocked, not where they were taken), so the map leaves them out.

Box score

Montréal Canadiens

	Skater	G	A	P	+/−	Att	xG	Hit	Blk	TOI
Forwards
14	Nick Suzuki	1	0	1	0	5	0.18	0	0	21:22
20	Juraj Slafkovský	1	1	2	0	5	0.74	2	1	19:11
13	Cole Caufield	0	0	0	0	2	0.13	2	0	17:17
71	Jake Evans	0	0	0	-1	2	0.01	1	0	16:50
17	Josh Anderson	0	0	0	-1	1	0.17	1	1	16:05
15	Alex Newhook	0	0	0	+1	3	0.35	2	0	14:07
93	Ivan Demidov	1	2	3	0	4	0.26	1	1	13:47
90	Joseph Veleno	0	0	0	0	4	0.39	2	0	12:53
7	Brendan Gallagher	0	0	0	-1	3	0.02	0	0	12:18
91	Oliver Kapanen	0	1	1	0	3	0.30	0	0	11:59
76	Zachary Bolduc	0	1	1	+1	2	0.03	0	0	11:57
77	Kirby Dach	0	0	0	+1	4	0.29	2	2	11:40
Defense
8	Mike Matheson	1	0	1	+1	7	0.09	0	3	27:23
48	Lane Hutson	0	1	1	0	3	0.00	1	2	23:52
53	Noah Dobson	0	0	0	-1	3	0.04	1	5	22:45
45	Alexandre Carrier	0	2	2	0	4	0.10	0	2	22:24
3	Jayden Struble	0	0	0	0	2	0.00	1	0	12:45
72	Arber Xhekaj	0	0	0	0	1	0.02	0	0	06:37

Goalie	SA	GA	SV	SV%	xGA	GSAx
Jakub Dobes	31	3	28	.903	2.76	-0.24

Vancouver Canucks

	Skater	G	A	P	+/−	Att	xG	Hit	Blk	TOI
Forwards
83	Conor Garland	1	1	2	+2	6	0.34	2	1	23:13
40	Elias Pettersson	1	2	3	+2	8	0.47	1	2	21:47
6	Brock Boeser	0	0	0	-1	5	0.12	0	1	20:38
74	Jake DeBrusk	1	0	1	+2	9	0.50	1	1	20:11
91	Evander Kane	0	0	0	-2	7	0.16	3	1	16:55
44	Kiefer Sherwood	0	0	0	0	5	0.05	5	2	15:57
18	Drew O'Connor	0	0	0	0	4	0.26	0	0	13:01
54	Aatu Räty	0	0	0	0	4	0.14	3	0	12:37
94	Linus Karlsson	0	0	0	0	1	0.03	1	0	07:17
63	Max Sasson	0	0	0	0	0	0.00	0	3	06:52
13	Arshdeep Bains	0	0	0	0	4	0.35	1	0	06:38
Defense
43	Quinn Hughes	0	2	2	+1	3	0.07	0	2	26:25
17	Filip Hronek	0	1	1	+1	0	0.00	1	1	25:33
26	Marcus Pettersson	0	0	0	0	1	0.03	1	1	21:04
57	Tyler Myers	0	0	0	0	3	0.09	0	0	19:53
25	Elias Pettersson	0	0	0	-1	4	0.01	1	0	12:37
7	Pierre-Olivier Joseph	0	0	0	-1	2	0.04	0	0	10:39

Goalie	SA	GA	SV	SV%	xGA	GSAx
Kevin Lankinen	24	4	20	.833	2.73	-1.27

Skaters by time on ice. Goalie lines count shots with the goalie in net, from the NHL play-by-play.

Player ratings

What each player added to the result, in goals, from most to least. Hover a number for what it's made of.

Montréal Canadiens

Player	Rating	Points	Shots	On ice	Pen	FO	Other	GSAx	TOI
93 Ivan Demidov R	+2.90	+2.15	+0.17	+0.51	0.00	0.00	+0.07	—	13:47
45 Alexandre Carrier D	+2.06	+1.40	+0.06	+0.50	0.00	0.00	+0.10	—	22:24
20 Juraj Slafkovský L	+1.36	+1.30	+0.48	-0.44	0.00	-0.01	+0.03	—	19:11
91 Oliver Kapanen C	+1.26	+0.55	+0.20	+0.50	0.00	+0.01	0.00	—	11:59
76 Zachary Bolduc R	+1.24	+0.55	+0.02	+0.68	0.00	+0.01	-0.02	—	11:57
8 Mike Matheson D	+1.09	+0.75	+0.06	+0.15	0.00	0.00	+0.13	—	27:23
77 Kirby Dach C	+0.96	0.00	+0.19	+0.70	0.00	-0.01	+0.08	—	11:40
15 Alex Newhook C	+0.84	0.00	+0.22	+0.50	+0.15	-0.03	0.00	—	14:07
90 Joseph Veleno C	+0.65	0.00	+0.25	+0.51	-0.15	+0.04	0.00	—	12:53
14 Nick Suzuki C	+0.53	+0.75	+0.12	-0.42	0.00	+0.09	0.00	—	21:22
48 Lane Hutson D	+0.51	+0.55	0.00	-0.14	0.00	0.00	+0.10	—	23:52
72 Arber Xhekaj D	+0.08	0.00	+0.01	+0.36	-0.30	0.00	0.00	—	6:37
47 Jayden Struble D	+0.01	0.00	0.00	+0.03	0.00	0.00	-0.02	—	12:45
13 Cole Caufield R	-0.19	0.00	+0.08	-0.40	+0.15	-0.01	-0.02	—	17:17
75 Jakub Dobes G	-0.24	0.00	—	—	0.00	—	—	-0.24	60:00
17 Josh Anderson R	-0.54	0.00	+0.11	-0.68	0.00	+0.02	+0.01	—	16:05
11 Brendan Gallagher R	-0.77	0.00	+0.01	-0.89	+0.15	0.00	-0.04	—	12:18
71 Jake Evans C	-0.87	0.00	+0.01	-0.89	0.00	+0.04	-0.02	—	16:50
53 Noah Dobson D	-0.89	0.00	+0.03	-1.13	0.00	0.00	+0.21	—	22:45

Vancouver Canucks

Player	Rating	Points	Shots	On ice	Pen	FO	Other	GSAx	TOI
40 Elias Pettersson C	+3.22	+2.00	+0.30	+0.88	0.00	-0.06	+0.10	—	21:47
8 Conor Garland R	+2.25	+1.30	+0.22	+0.70	0.00	-0.01	+0.03	—	23:13
74 Jake DeBrusk L	+1.83	+0.75	+0.32	+0.70	0.00	0.00	+0.05	—	20:11
43 Quinn Hughes D	+1.39	+1.25	+0.05	-0.01	0.00	0.00	+0.10	—	26:25
17 Filip Hronek D	+0.95	+0.70	0.00	+0.24	0.00	0.00	+0.01	—	25:33
13 Arshdeep Bains L	+0.47	0.00	+0.23	+0.24	0.00	0.00	0.00	—	6:38
29 Marcus Pettersson D	+0.42	0.00	+0.02	+0.35	0.00	0.00	+0.05	—	21:04
63 Max Sasson C	+0.35	0.00	0.00	+0.23	0.00	-0.01	+0.13	—	6:52
25 Elias Pettersson D	+0.28	0.00	+0.01	+0.31	0.00	0.00	-0.04	—	12:37
44 Kiefer Sherwood L	+0.13	0.00	+0.03	-0.15	+0.15	0.00	+0.10	—	15:57
94 Linus Karlsson C	+0.10	0.00	+0.02	+0.24	-0.15	-0.01	0.00	—	7:17
18 Drew O'Connor L	-0.04	0.00	+0.17	-0.19	0.00	0.00	-0.02	—	13:01
57 Tyler Myers D	-0.07	0.00	+0.06	-0.25	+0.15	0.00	-0.04	—	19:53
54 Aatu Räty C	-0.17	0.00	+0.09	-0.15	-0.15	+0.04	0.00	—	12:37
7 Pierre-Olivier Joseph D	-0.25	0.00	+0.02	-0.42	+0.15	0.00	0.00	—	10:39
6 Brock Boeser R	-0.57	0.00	+0.08	-0.68	0.00	-0.01	+0.05	—	20:38
91 Evander Kane L	-0.71	0.00	+0.10	-0.64	-0.15	-0.03	+0.01	—	16:55
73 Lukas Reichel L	-0.84	0.00	+0.07	-0.84	0.00	-0.06	0.00	—	15:54
32 Kevin Lankinen G	-1.27	0.00	—	—	0.00	—	—	-1.27	57:13

An expected-goals take on Dom Luszczyszyn's Game Score: goals and assists, the quality of a player's own shots, shot quality for and against while they were on the ice at 5v5, penalties, faceoffs and puck plays, all in goals; goalies by goals saved above expected. From the NHL play-by-play and shift charts.