| Final/SO | 1st | 2nd | 3rd | OT | SO | T | SOG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 40 | |
| 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 5 | 25 |
No impact calculated for this game. Impacts are calculated for games in the next 7 days.
| 1st Period | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| 7:27 | Adrian Kempe (5) Brandt Clarke (2), Andrei Kuzmenko (4) · wrist xG 0.12 | 1–0 ▶ | |
| 9:00 | Ryan O'Reilly (4) Spencer Stastney (3) · backhand xG 0.46 | 1–1 ▶ | |
| 2nd Period | |||
| 0:36 | Filip Forsberg (3) Matthew Wood (1), Ryan O'Reilly (3) · wrist xG 0.13 | 1–2 ▶ | |
| 1:35 | Joel Armia (1) Alex Turcotte (2) · wrist xG 0.05 | 2–2 ▶ | |
| 5:24 | Corey Perry (2) Joel Armia (4) · wrist xG 0.15 | 3–2 ▶ | |
| 7:12 | Cole Smith (3) Unassisted · wrist xG 0.18 | 3–3 ▶ | |
| 3rd Period | |||
| 9:50 | Trevor Moore (3) Brandt Clarke (3), Joel Edmundson (2) · wrist xG 0.45 | 4–3 ▶ | |
| 14:44 | Ryan O'Reilly (5) Filip Forsberg (3), Nicolas Hague (1) · wrist xG 0.12 | 4–4 ▶ | |
| Overtime | |||
| No scoring | |||
| Shootout | |||
| Ryan O'Reilly vs Darcy Kuemper | Goal | ||
| Adrian Kempe vs Juuse Saros | Goal | ||
| Filip Forsberg vs Darcy Kuemper | Goal | ||
| Corey Perry vs Juuse Saros | Missed | ||
| Steven Stamkos vs Darcy Kuemper | Saved | ||
| Trevor Moore vs Juuse Saros | Goal | ||
| Jonathan Marchessault vs Darcy Kuemper | Saved | ||
| Quinton Byfield vs Juuse Saros | Saved | ||
| Matthew Wood vs Darcy Kuemper | Saved | ||
| Andrei Kuzmenko vs Juuse Saros | Saved | ||
| Luke Evangelista vs Darcy Kuemper | Missed | ||
| Phillip Danault vs Juuse Saros | Saved | ||
| Erik Haula vs Darcy Kuemper | Goal | ||
| Kevin Fiala vs Juuse Saros | Goal | ||
| Michael Bunting vs Darcy Kuemper | Missed | ||
| Warren Foegele vs Juuse Saros | Saved | ||
| Ozzy Wiesblatt vs Darcy Kuemper | Goal | ||
| Joel Armia vs Juuse Saros | Saved | ||
Score away–home after each goal; season totals in parentheses.
Expected goals (xG) rate every unblocked shot by how often shots like it go in, from where it was taken, the shot type, the strength and what happened just before it. How it works
| LAK | NSH | |
|---|---|---|
| 3.84 | Expected goals | 3.43 |
| 4 | Goals (no shootout) | 4 |
| 3.36 | Expected goals, 5 on 5 | 2.07 |
| 77 | Shot attempts | 40 |
| 58 | Unblocked attempts | 31 |
| 40 | Shots on goal | 25 |
What stood out as the game went on, from the play-by-play and the shifts. Time on the bench is counted in 5-on-5 play outside the penalty box; the note says the player sat, not why. Goals saved are against the shots' expected goals (xG).
| 1st Period | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| 12:08 | NSH | Deserve to win | Deserve to win · NSH takes the lead, 61–39%
LAK had led since 7:27 of the 1st, by as much as 62% |
| 2nd Period | |||
| 17:15 | LAK | Deserve to win | Deserve to win · LAK takes the lead, 63–37%
NSH had led since 12:08 of the 1st, by as much as 62% |
| 3rd Period | |||
| 15:30 | LAK | No shift | No shift · Turcotte, 11:01 on the bench
No shift after 5:30 of the 3rd; 14 shifts (9:03) before that |
| 15:50 | LAK | xG swing | xG swing · Out-chanced NSH 1.31–0.28
In xG over 10 minutes, 5:50 to 15:50 of the 3rd; goals 1–1 |
| Overtime | |||
| 4:20 | NSH | xG swing | xG swing · Out-chanced LAK 1.40–0.20
In xG over 10 minutes, 14:20 of the 3rd to 4:20 of overtime; goals 1–0 |
xG comes from hockeystats.io's own model, a gradient-boosted tree model trained on every unblocked shot from the 2021-22 to 2025-26 regular seasons using the NHL's public play-by-play. Each shot's value is the share of similar shots that became goals. A team's xG is the sum over its shots; "deserve to win" asks how often the team would outscore its opponent if every shot went in at exactly that rate. Blocked shots count as attempts but have no xG (the NHL records where they were blocked, not where they were taken), so the map leaves them out.
| Skater | G | A | P | +/− | Att | xG | Hit | Blk | TOI | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Forwards | ||||||||||
| 55 | Quinton Byfield | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | 5 | 0.21 | 2 | 0 | 21:00 |
| 11 | Anze Kopitar | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 0.57 | 0 | 2 | 19:57 |
| 9 | Adrian Kempe | 1 | 0 | 1 | -1 | 7 | 0.45 | 1 | 0 | 18:50 |
| 62 | Andrei Kuzmenko | 0 | 1 | 1 | -1 | 6 | 0.48 | 2 | 0 | 18:26 |
| 24 | Phillip Danault | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 0.09 | 0 | 1 | 18:01 |
| 22 | Kevin Fiala | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | 5 | 0.25 | 0 | 0 | 17:23 |
| 14 | Alex Laferriere | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | 6 | 0.39 | 3 | 0 | 16:49 |
| 12 | Trevor Moore | 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 4 | 0.48 | 0 | 0 | 15:37 |
| 37 | Warren Foegele | 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 3 | 0.10 | 0 | 0 | 14:15 |
| 90 | Corey Perry | 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 1 | 0.15 | 0 | 0 | 12:49 |
| 40 | Joel Armia | 1 | 1 | 2 | +1 | 5 | 0.21 | 0 | 0 | 12:09 |
| 15 | Alex Turcotte | 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 2 | 0.12 | 0 | 0 | 09:03 |
| Defense | ||||||||||
| 8 | Drew Doughty | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2 | 3 | 0.03 | 0 | 1 | 23:37 |
| 44 | Mikey Anderson | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | 5 | 0.09 | 1 | 0 | 21:23 |
| 5 | Cody Ceci | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | 4 | 0.03 | 0 | 0 | 21:23 |
| 2 | Brian Dumoulin | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | 1 | 0.03 | 0 | 0 | 20:37 |
| 92 | Brandt Clarke | 0 | 2 | 2 | +3 | 3 | 0.08 | 1 | 3 | 17:27 |
| 6 | Joel Edmundson | 0 | 1 | 1 | +2 | 4 | 0.06 | 1 | 0 | 15:49 |
| Goalie | SA | GA | SV | SV% | xGA | GSAx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Darcy Kuemper | 25 | 4 | 21 | .840 | 3.43 | -0.57 |
| Skater | G | A | P | +/− | Att | xG | Hit | Blk | TOI | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Forwards | ||||||||||
| 90 | Ryan O'Reilly | 2 | 1 | 3 | +3 | 5 | 1.22 | 0 | 2 | 21:18 |
| 81 | Jonathan Marchessault | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | 3 | 0.22 | 1 | 0 | 19:25 |
| 9 | Filip Forsberg | 1 | 1 | 2 | +3 | 4 | 0.21 | 2 | 1 | 19:00 |
| 91 | Steven Stamkos | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2 | 3 | 0.32 | 1 | 3 | 19:00 |
| 47 | Michael McCarron | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | 1 | 0.02 | 6 | 0 | 18:18 |
| 56 | Erik Haula | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 1 | 0 | 17:16 |
| 22 | Cole Smith | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 0.37 | 1 | 0 | 16:49 |
| 89 | Ozzy Wiesblatt | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | 2 | 0.17 | 2 | 1 | 13:45 |
| 71 | Matthew Wood | 0 | 1 | 1 | +3 | 1 | 0.07 | 2 | 0 | 13:14 |
| 58 | Michael Bunting | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | 4 | 0.36 | 2 | 0 | 12:56 |
| 77 | Luke Evangelista | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | 0 | 0.00 | 0 | 0 | 09:44 |
| 9 | Fedor Svechkov | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2 | 2 | 0.02 | 0 | 0 | 09:07 |
| Defense | ||||||||||
| 76 | Brady Skjei | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.10 | 0 | 1 | 22:55 |
| 2 | Adam Wilsby | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | 2 | 0.11 | 1 | 4 | 22:26 |
| 41 | Nicolas Hague | 0 | 1 | 1 | -2 | 2 | 0.03 | 2 | 1 | 21:11 |
| 48 | Nick Perbix | 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 4 | 0.03 | 0 | 2 | 20:37 |
| 72 | Justin Barron | 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 0 | 0.00 | 1 | 2 | 17:58 |
| 24 | Spencer Stastney | 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 3 | 0.17 | 1 | 2 | 17:36 |
| Goalie | SA | GA | SV | SV% | xGA | GSAx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Juuse Saros | 40 | 4 | 36 | .900 | 3.84 | -0.16 |
Skaters by time on ice. Goalie lines count shots with the goalie in net, from the NHL play-by-play.
What each player added to the result, in goals, from most to least. Hover a number for what it's made of.
| Player | Rating | Points | Shots | On ice | Pen | FO | Other | GSAx | TOI |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 92 Brandt Clarke D | +3.15 | +1.40 | +0.05 | +1.56 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.13 | — | 17:27 |
| 6 Joel Edmundson D | +2.05 | +0.55 | +0.04 | +1.45 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.02 | — | 15:49 |
| 96 Andrei Kuzmenko L | +1.67 | +0.55 | +0.31 | +0.83 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -0.02 | — | 18:26 |
| 12 Trevor Moore L | +1.64 | +0.75 | +0.31 | +0.78 | -0.15 | 0.00 | -0.06 | — | 15:37 |
| 9 Adrian Kempe R | +1.52 | +0.75 | +0.29 | +0.53 | 0.00 | -0.02 | -0.04 | — | 18:50 |
| 40 Joel Armia R | +1.26 | +1.45 | +0.13 | -0.34 | 0.00 | +0.01 | 0.00 | — | 12:09 |
| 11 Anze Kopitar C | +1.24 | 0.00 | +0.37 | +0.86 | 0.00 | -0.06 | +0.06 | — | 19:57 |
| 37 Warren Foegele L | +1.00 | 0.00 | +0.07 | +0.80 | +0.15 | 0.00 | -0.02 | — | 14:15 |
| 15 Alex Turcotte C | +0.76 | +0.70 | +0.08 | -0.16 | +0.15 | -0.01 | 0.00 | — | 9:03 |
| 55 Quinton Byfield R | +0.74 | 0.00 | +0.14 | +0.59 | 0.00 | +0.01 | 0.00 | — | 21:00 |
| 24 Phillip Danault C | +0.49 | 0.00 | +0.06 | +0.26 | +0.15 | 0.00 | +0.03 | — | 18:01 |
| 10 Corey Perry R | +0.49 | +0.75 | +0.10 | -0.33 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -0.02 | — | 12:49 |
| 14 Alex Laferriere R | +0.49 | 0.00 | +0.26 | +0.28 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -0.04 | — | 16:49 |
| 22 Kevin Fiala L | +0.27 | 0.00 | +0.16 | +0.14 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -0.04 | — | 17:23 |
| 2 Brian Dumoulin D | +0.23 | 0.00 | +0.02 | +0.23 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -0.02 | — | 20:37 |
| 5 Cody Ceci D | +0.05 | 0.00 | +0.02 | +0.01 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.02 | — | 21:23 |
| 44 Mikey Anderson D | -0.08 | 0.00 | +0.06 | +0.01 | -0.15 | 0.00 | 0.00 | — | 21:23 |
| 8 Drew Doughty D | -0.39 | 0.00 | +0.02 | -0.43 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.01 | — | 23:37 |
| 35 Darcy Kuemper G | -0.57 | 0.00 | — | — | 0.00 | — | — | -0.57 | 65:00 |
| Player | Rating | Points | Shots | On ice | Pen | FO | Other | GSAx | TOI |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 90 Ryan O'Reilly C | +3.49 | +2.05 | +0.79 | +0.46 | 0.00 | +0.07 | +0.12 | — | 21:18 |
| 9 Filip Forsberg L | +2.19 | +1.45 | +0.14 | +0.57 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.03 | — | 19:00 |
| 71 Matthew Wood R | +1.56 | +0.70 | +0.05 | +0.81 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | — | 13:14 |
| 24 Spencer Stastney D | +1.09 | +0.70 | +0.11 | +0.23 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.06 | — | 17:36 |
| 36 Cole Smith R | +0.86 | +0.75 | +0.24 | 0.00 | -0.15 | 0.00 | +0.02 | — | 16:49 |
| 20 Justin Barron D | +0.16 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.23 | -0.15 | 0.00 | +0.08 | — | 17:58 |
| 74 Juuse Saros G | -0.16 | 0.00 | — | — | 0.00 | — | — | -0.16 | 65:00 |
| 89 Ozzy Wiesblatt C | -0.19 | 0.00 | +0.11 | -0.33 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.03 | — | 13:45 |
| 47 Michael McCarron C | -0.24 | 0.00 | +0.01 | -0.27 | 0.00 | +0.02 | 0.00 | — | 18:18 |
| 48 Nick Perbix D | -0.35 | 0.00 | +0.02 | -0.45 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.08 | — | 20:37 |
| 77 Luke Evangelista R | -0.36 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -0.36 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | — | 9:44 |
| 41 Nicolas Hague D | -0.43 | +0.55 | +0.02 | -1.03 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.03 | — | 21:11 |
| 40 Fedor Svechkov C | -0.53 | 0.00 | +0.01 | -0.52 | 0.00 | -0.02 | 0.00 | — | 9:07 |
| 83 Adam Wilsby D | -0.55 | 0.00 | +0.07 | -0.85 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.22 | — | 22:26 |
| 58 Michael Bunting L | -0.62 | 0.00 | +0.24 | -0.83 | 0.00 | -0.01 | -0.02 | — | 12:56 |
| 76 Brady Skjei D | -0.88 | 0.00 | +0.06 | -0.97 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.03 | — | 22:55 |
| 91 Steven Stamkos C | -1.01 | 0.00 | +0.21 | -1.31 | 0.00 | -0.02 | +0.11 | — | 19:00 |
| 81 Jonathan Marchessault R | -1.06 | 0.00 | +0.14 | -1.39 | +0.15 | 0.00 | +0.04 | — | 19:25 |
| 56 Erik Haula L | -1.06 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -1.09 | 0.00 | +0.03 | 0.00 | — | 17:16 |
An expected-goals take on Dom Luszczyszyn's Game Score: goals and assists, the quality of a player's own shots, shot quality for and against while they were on the ice at 5v5, penalties, faceoffs and puck plays, all in goals; goalies by goals saved above expected. From the NHL play-by-play and shift charts.