Edmonton OilersEDM 2–3 Final Seattle KrakenSEA

Saturday, October 25, 2025

Final 1st2nd3rd T SOG
Edmonton OilersEDM 011 2 33
Seattle KrakenSEA 111 3 23

No impact calculated for this game. Impacts are calculated for games in the next 7 days.

Highlights

Scoring

1st Period
1:23 SEA Jordan Eberle (3) Matty Beniers (4), Berkly Catton (2) · wrist xG 0.13 0–1 ▶
2nd Period
6:35 SEA Tye Kartye (1) Ryan Winterton (1), Ben Meyers (2) · wrist xG 0.09 0–2 ▶
15:39 EDM Evan Bouchard (1)PP Leon Draisaitl (3), Ryan Nugent-Hopkins (5) · slap xG 0.10 1–2 ▶
3rd Period
12:11 SEA Jordan Eberle (4) Matty Beniers (5) · wrist xG 0.14 1–3 ▶
14:35 EDM Darnell Nurse (1) Mattias Ekholm (4), Leon Draisaitl (4) · tip-in xG 0.05 2–3 ▶

Score away–home after each goal; season totals in parentheses.

Shot quality

Expected goals (xG) rate every unblocked shot by how often shots like it go in, from where it was taken, the shot type, the strength and what happened just before it. How it works

EDM 59%Deserve to win41% SEA
EDMSEA
2.68Expected goals2.94
2Goals (no shootout)3
2.35Expected goals, 5 on 51.65
71Shot attempts51
50Unblocked attempts37
33Shots on goal23

Game notes

What stood out as the game went on, from the play-by-play and the shifts. Time on the bench is counted in 5-on-5 play outside the penalty box; the note says the player sat, not why. Goals saved are against the shots' expected goals (xG).

3rd Period
17:30 EDM No shift No shift · Philp, 11:30 on the bench
No shift after 7:30 of the 3rd; 12 shifts (8:24) before that
18:21 EDM Pulled goalie Pulled goalie · Pulled Skinner, down 3–2
With 1:39 left

Shot map

EDM shoots ←Bigger circle: higher xG; filled: goal→ SEA shoots
Leon Draisaitl: backhand, 14 ft, xG 0.06 (P1 0:32) Brandon Montour: wrist, 17 ft, xG 0.11 (P1 2:33) Eeli Tolvanen: snap, 41 ft, xG 0.03 (P1 3:38) David Tomasek: wrist, 8 ft, xG 0.19 (P1 4:19) Isaac Howard: wrist, 28 ft, xG 0.06 (P1 5:21) Adam Henrique: backhand, 12 ft, xG 0.02 (P1 6:13) Adam Henrique: tip-in, 11 ft, xG 0.08 (P1 6:43) Adam Henrique: wrist, 8 ft, xG 0.26 (P1 6:45) Jack Roslovic: wrist, 31 ft, xG 0.04 (P1 7:00) Leon Draisaitl: snap, 27 ft, xG 0.06 (P1 7:09) Leon Draisaitl: wrist, 76 ft, xG 0.00 (P1 7:28) Mason Marchment: wrist, 28 ft, xG 0.15 (P1 7:45) Vince Dunn: wrist, 58 ft, xG 0.00 (P1 7:50) Evan Bouchard: slap, 57 ft, xG 0.04 (P1 8:24) Ryan Winterton: wrist, 25 ft, xG 0.08 (P1 9:20) Brandon Montour: slap, 53 ft, xG 0.03 (P1 9:45) Darnell Nurse: wrist, 56 ft, xG 0.01 (P1 10:19) Chandler Stephenson: bat, 17 ft, xG 0.05 (P1 10:44) Vince Dunn: wrist, 46 ft, xG 0.03 (P1 10:50) Jani Nyman: wrist, 28 ft, xG 0.08 (P1 11:38) Shane Wright: wrist, 38 ft, xG 0.05 (P1 12:09) Jaden Schwartz: tip-in, 13 ft, xG 0.09 (P1 12:31) Noah Philp: deflected, 7 ft, xG 0.12 (P1 13:50) Jack Roslovic: snap, 33 ft, xG 0.09 (P1 14:17) Adam Larsson: wrist, 57 ft, xG 0.03 (P1 15:54) Mason Marchment: wrist, 31 ft, xG 0.09 (P1 16:33) Jaden Schwartz: wrist, 5 ft, xG 0.05 (P1 16:34) Ryan Nugent-Hopkins: wrist, 36 ft, xG 0.03 (P1 17:45) Brandon Montour: slap, 60 ft, xG 0.03 (P1 18:14) Jake Walman: wrist, 50 ft, xG 0.01 (P1 18:49) Shane Wright: bat, 9 ft, xG 0.10 (P1 19:31) Vince Dunn: wrist, 57 ft, xG 0.01 (P1 19:56) Matt Savoie: snap, 27 ft, xG 0.20 (P2 0:47) Jordan Eberle: wrist, 40 ft, xG 0.01 (P2 1:12) Ty Emberson: wrist, 42 ft, xG 0.02 (P2 2:02) Jack Roslovic: wrist, 21 ft, xG 0.11 (P2 2:04) Adam Henrique: slap, 60 ft, xG 0.01 (P2 2:07) Brett Kulak: wrist, 38 ft, xG 0.02 (P2 4:36) Ryan Nugent-Hopkins: wrist, 39 ft, xG 0.04 (P2 6:21) Vasily Podkolzin: tip-in, 13 ft, xG 0.08 (P2 7:07) Matty Beniers: wrist, 14 ft, xG 0.07 (P2 8:12) Shane Wright: backhand, 19 ft, xG 0.03 (P2 8:39) Vasily Podkolzin: wrist, 32 ft, xG 0.03 (P2 9:19) Jordan Eberle: wrist, 32 ft, xG 0.02 (P2 10:18) Tye Kartye: snap, 30 ft, xG 0.14 (P2 11:26) Berkly Catton: wrist, 39 ft, xG 0.03 (P2 12:54) Brandon Montour: wrist, 59 ft, xG 0.00 (P2 12:58) Mason Marchment: wrist, 17 ft, xG 0.14 (P2 13:04) Brandon Montour: wrist, 31 ft, xG 0.04 (P2 13:27) David Tomasek: wrist, 43 ft, xG 0.02 (P2 14:01) Leon Draisaitl: wrist, 25 ft, xG 0.06 (P2 14:54) Leon Draisaitl: wrist, 11 ft, xG 0.05 (P2 15:26) Jack Roslovic: tip-in, 10 ft, xG 0.09 (P2 17:10) Leon Draisaitl: snap, 29 ft, xG 0.12 (P2 18:09) Isaac Howard: wrist, 67 ft, xG 0.01 (P2 19:33) Darnell Nurse: backhand, 30 ft, xG 0.03 (P2 19:58) Jack Roslovic: wrist, 7 ft, xG 0.02 (P2 19:59) Jake Walman: slap, 60 ft, xG 0.02 (P3 0:20) Leon Draisaitl: wrist, 48 ft, xG 0.00 (P3 0:23) Jack Roslovic: wrist, 36 ft, xG 0.01 (P3 1:01) Leon Draisaitl: wrist, 55 ft, xG 0.02 (P3 4:38) Jack Roslovic: wrist, 51 ft, xG 0.00 (P3 5:02) Jordan Eberle: wrist, 51 ft, xG 0.02 (P3 5:28) Brandon Montour: wrist, 19 ft, xG 0.08 (P3 5:53) Darnell Nurse: wrist, 45 ft, xG 0.03 (P3 7:28) Darnell Nurse: wrist, 33 ft, xG 0.04 (P3 7:55) Leon Draisaitl: wrist, 23 ft, xG 0.03 (P3 8:02) Trent Frederic: wrist, 38 ft, xG 0.06 (P3 9:21) David Tomasek: snap, 24 ft, xG 0.08 (P3 10:08) Ryan Nugent-Hopkins: snap, 46 ft, xG 0.04 (P3 10:40) Matt Savoie: wrist, 61 ft, xG 0.02 (P3 10:50) Leon Draisaitl: wrist, 26 ft, xG 0.01 (P3 10:55) Evan Bouchard: wrist, 68 ft, xG 0.01 (P3 11:00) Ryan Winterton: slap, 26 ft, xG 0.10 (P3 12:46) Berkly Catton: wrist, 42 ft, xG 0.01 (P3 13:40) Mattias Ekholm: wrist, 93 ft, xG 0.00 (P3 14:45) Leon Draisaitl: wrist, 37 ft, xG 0.06 (P3 15:54) Jordan Eberle: wrist, 30 ft, xG 0.09 (P3 17:21) Matty Beniers: wrist, 32 ft, xG 0.06 (P3 18:08) David Tomasek: tip-in, 8 ft, xG 0.10 (P3 19:00) Jordan Eberle: wrist, 170 ft, xG 0.40 (P3 19:32) Jordan Eberle: backhand, 145 ft, xG 0.34 (P3 19:53) Jordan Eberle: GOAL, wrist, 25 ft, xG 0.13 (P1 1:23) Tye Kartye: GOAL, wrist, 34 ft, xG 0.09 (P2 6:35) Evan Bouchard: GOAL, slap, 38 ft, xG 0.10 (P2 15:39) Jordan Eberle: GOAL, wrist, 27 ft, xG 0.14 (P3 12:11) Darnell Nurse: GOAL, tip-in, 21 ft, xG 0.05 (P3 14:35)
About these numbers

xG comes from hockeystats.io's own model, a gradient-boosted tree model trained on every unblocked shot from the 2021-22 to 2025-26 regular seasons using the NHL's public play-by-play. Each shot's value is the share of similar shots that became goals. A team's xG is the sum over its shots; "deserve to win" asks how often the team would outscore its opponent if every shot went in at exactly that rate. Blocked shots count as attempts but have no xG (the NHL records where they were blocked, not where they were taken), so the map leaves them out.

Box score

Edmonton Oilers

Skater GAP+/− AttxG HitBlkTOI
Forwards
97 Connor McDavid 000 -1 00.00 0024:43
29 Leon Draisaitl 022 +1 120.48 0021:59
93 Ryan Nugent-Hopkins 011 -1 30.11 0016:45
96 Jack Roslovic 000 +1 80.36 1116:33
26 Andrew Mangiapane 000 -2 00.00 2216:11
19 Adam Henrique 000 -1 50.38 0014:43
92 Vasily Podkolzin 000 0 20.11 2112:40
22 Matt Savoie 000 -2 20.22 0011:54
53 Isaac Howard 000 -1 30.07 0010:46
10 Trent Frederic 000 0 10.06 4009:20
15 Noah Philp 000 0 30.12 2008:24
Defense
96 Jake Walman 000 0 60.03 1222:51
2 Evan Bouchard 101 -3 80.15 0121:57
25 Darnell Nurse 101 +1 60.17 1121:10
14 Mattias Ekholm 011 -2 30.00 1319:27
27 Brett Kulak 000 0 30.02 0117:54
49 Ty Emberson 000 0 20.02 1115:45
Goalie SAGA SVSV% xGA GSAx
Stuart Skinner 23320 .870 2.20 -0.80

Seattle Kraken

Skater GAP+/− AttxG HitBlkTOI
Forwards
7 Jordan Eberle 202 +2 81.15 1021:19
9 Chandler Stephenson 000 -1 20.05 0020:22
10 Matty Beniers 022 +2 30.13 0019:58
71 Jaden Schwartz 000 +1 30.15 2218:40
27 Mason Marchment 000 -1 30.38 0015:28
51 Shane Wright 000 0 30.17 0114:32
17 Eeli Tolvanen 000 -1 20.03 1213:33
24 Tye Kartye 101 +1 20.23 1311:53
26 Ryan Winterton 011 +1 20.18 0111:47
27 Berkly Catton 011 +1 20.03 0111:00
59 Ben Meyers 011 +1 00.00 4008:41
Defense
29 Vince Dunn 000 0 60.05 0226:33
62 Brandon Montour 000 +1 70.30 0323:39
6 Adam Larsson 000 0 10.03 0120:37
55 Ryan Lindgren 000 +1 10.00 0118:44
4 Jamie Oleksiak 000 +1 10.00 0014:11
28 Josh Mahura 000 +1 10.00 0212:25
Goalie SAGA SVSV% xGA GSAx
Joey Daccord 33231 .939 2.68 +0.68

Skaters by time on ice. Goalie lines count shots with the goalie in net, from the NHL play-by-play.

Player ratings

What each player added to the result, in goals, from most to least. Hover a number for what it's made of.

Edmonton Oilers

Player Rating Points Shots On ice Pen FO Other GSAx TOI
29 Leon Draisaitl C +2.67 +1.25 +0.31 +0.99 0.00 +0.12 0.00 — 21:59
28 Jack Roslovic C +1.26 0.00 +0.23 +0.96 0.00 +0.01 +0.05 — 16:33
25 Darnell Nurse D +1.17 +0.75 +0.11 +0.26 0.00 0.00 +0.05 — 21:10
93 Ryan Nugent-Hopkins C +0.78 +0.55 +0.07 +0.15 0.00 0.00 0.00 — 16:45
27 Brett Kulak D +0.75 0.00 +0.02 +0.68 0.00 0.00 +0.05 — 17:54
14 Mattias Ekholm D +0.58 +0.70 0.00 -0.21 0.00 0.00 +0.09 — 19:27
49 Ty Emberson D +0.54 0.00 +0.02 +0.49 0.00 0.00 +0.03 — 15:45
86 David Tomasek R +0.42 0.00 +0.25 +0.19 0.00 0.00 -0.02 — 12:37
2 Evan Bouchard D +0.37 +0.75 +0.10 -0.32 -0.15 0.00 -0.01 — 21:57
92 Vasily Podkolzin R +0.34 0.00 +0.07 +0.22 0.00 0.00 +0.05 — 12:40
10 Trent Frederic C +0.32 0.00 +0.04 +0.29 0.00 +0.01 -0.02 — 9:20
19 Adam Henrique C +0.28 0.00 +0.25 +0.14 -0.15 +0.02 +0.02 — 14:43
96 Jake Walman D +0.18 0.00 +0.02 +0.03 0.00 0.00 +0.12 — 22:51
48 Noah Philp C +0.17 0.00 +0.08 -0.04 +0.15 -0.04 +0.02 — 8:24
97 Connor McDavid C -0.16 0.00 0.00 -0.08 0.00 -0.08 0.00 — 24:43
22 Matt Savoie C -0.21 0.00 +0.14 -0.37 0.00 0.00 +0.02 — 11:54
88 Andrew Mangiapane L -0.37 0.00 0.00 -0.62 +0.15 0.00 +0.10 — 16:11
53 Isaac Howard L -0.58 0.00 +0.05 -0.46 -0.15 0.00 -0.02 — 10:46
74 Stuart Skinner G -0.80 0.00 — — 0.00 — — -0.80 58:21

Seattle Kraken

Player Rating Points Shots On ice Pen FO Other GSAx TOI
7 Jordan Eberle R +2.58 +1.50 +0.75 +0.34 0.00 +0.01 -0.02 — 21:19
10 Matty Beniers C +1.69 +1.40 +0.08 +0.20 0.00 +0.06 -0.06 — 19:58
26 Ryan Winterton C +1.41 +0.70 +0.12 +0.55 0.00 0.00 +0.05 — 11:47
12 Tye Kartye L +1.35 +0.75 +0.15 +0.30 0.00 0.00 +0.15 — 11:53
77 Berkly Catton C +0.82 +0.55 +0.02 +0.20 0.00 0.00 +0.05 — 11:00
35 Joey Daccord G +0.68 0.00 — — 0.00 — — +0.68 60:00
59 Ben Meyers C +0.59 +0.55 0.00 +0.04 0.00 0.00 0.00 — 8:41
62 Brandon Montour D +0.23 0.00 +0.19 -0.07 0.00 0.00 +0.11 — 23:39
51 Shane Wright C +0.02 0.00 +0.11 -0.27 +0.15 -0.03 +0.05 — 14:32
28 Josh Mahura D -0.04 0.00 0.00 -0.12 0.00 0.00 +0.08 — 12:25
55 Ryan Lindgren D -0.06 0.00 0.00 -0.11 0.00 0.00 +0.05 — 18:44
17 Jaden Schwartz L -0.06 0.00 +0.10 -0.17 0.00 +0.01 0.00 — 18:40
29 Vince Dunn D -0.10 0.00 +0.03 -0.21 0.00 0.00 +0.08 — 26:33
24 Jamie Oleksiak D -0.22 0.00 0.00 -0.20 0.00 0.00 -0.02 — 14:11
6 Adam Larsson D -0.30 0.00 +0.02 -0.22 -0.15 0.00 +0.05 — 20:37
38 Jani Nyman R -0.42 0.00 +0.05 -0.47 0.00 0.00 0.00 — 13:19
20 Eeli Tolvanen R -0.55 0.00 +0.02 -0.67 0.00 0.00 +0.10 — 13:33
27 Mason Marchment L -0.59 0.00 +0.25 -0.77 0.00 0.00 -0.06 — 15:28
9 Chandler Stephenson C -0.60 0.00 +0.03 -0.67 +0.15 -0.09 -0.02 — 20:22

An expected-goals take on Dom Luszczyszyn's Game Score: goals and assists, the quality of a player's own shots, shot quality for and against while they were on the ice at 5v5, penalties, faceoffs and puck plays, all in goals; goalies by goals saved above expected. From the NHL play-by-play and shift charts.