| Final | 1st | 2nd | 3rd | T | SOG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 33 | |
| 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 23 |
No impact calculated for this game. Impacts are calculated for games in the next 7 days.
| 1st Period | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| 1:23 | Jordan Eberle (3) Matty Beniers (4), Berkly Catton (2) · wrist xG 0.13 | 0–1 ▶ | |
| 2nd Period | |||
| 6:35 | Tye Kartye (1) Ryan Winterton (1), Ben Meyers (2) · wrist xG 0.09 | 0–2 ▶ | |
| 15:39 | Evan Bouchard (1)PP Leon Draisaitl (3), Ryan Nugent-Hopkins (5) · slap xG 0.10 | 1–2 ▶ | |
| 3rd Period | |||
| 12:11 | Jordan Eberle (4) Matty Beniers (5) · wrist xG 0.14 | 1–3 ▶ | |
| 14:35 | Darnell Nurse (1) Mattias Ekholm (4), Leon Draisaitl (4) · tip-in xG 0.05 | 2–3 ▶ | |
Score away–home after each goal; season totals in parentheses.
Expected goals (xG) rate every unblocked shot by how often shots like it go in, from where it was taken, the shot type, the strength and what happened just before it. How it works
| EDM | SEA | |
|---|---|---|
| 2.68 | Expected goals | 2.94 |
| 2 | Goals (no shootout) | 3 |
| 2.35 | Expected goals, 5 on 5 | 1.65 |
| 71 | Shot attempts | 51 |
| 50 | Unblocked attempts | 37 |
| 33 | Shots on goal | 23 |
What stood out as the game went on, from the play-by-play and the shifts. Time on the bench is counted in 5-on-5 play outside the penalty box; the note says the player sat, not why. Goals saved are against the shots' expected goals (xG).
| 3rd Period | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| 17:30 | EDM | No shift | No shift · Philp, 11:30 on the bench
No shift after 7:30 of the 3rd; 12 shifts (8:24) before that |
| 18:21 | EDM | Pulled goalie | Pulled goalie · Pulled Skinner, down 3–2
With 1:39 left |
xG comes from hockeystats.io's own model, a gradient-boosted tree model trained on every unblocked shot from the 2021-22 to 2025-26 regular seasons using the NHL's public play-by-play. Each shot's value is the share of similar shots that became goals. A team's xG is the sum over its shots; "deserve to win" asks how often the team would outscore its opponent if every shot went in at exactly that rate. Blocked shots count as attempts but have no xG (the NHL records where they were blocked, not where they were taken), so the map leaves them out.
| Skater | G | A | P | +/− | Att | xG | Hit | Blk | TOI | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Forwards | ||||||||||
| 97 | Connor McDavid | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | 0 | 0.00 | 0 | 0 | 24:43 |
| 29 | Leon Draisaitl | 0 | 2 | 2 | +1 | 12 | 0.48 | 0 | 0 | 21:59 |
| 93 | Ryan Nugent-Hopkins | 0 | 1 | 1 | -1 | 3 | 0.11 | 0 | 0 | 16:45 |
| 96 | Jack Roslovic | 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 8 | 0.36 | 1 | 1 | 16:33 |
| 26 | Andrew Mangiapane | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2 | 0 | 0.00 | 2 | 2 | 16:11 |
| 19 | Adam Henrique | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | 5 | 0.38 | 0 | 0 | 14:43 |
| 92 | Vasily Podkolzin | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0.11 | 2 | 1 | 12:40 |
| 22 | Matt Savoie | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2 | 2 | 0.22 | 0 | 0 | 11:54 |
| 53 | Isaac Howard | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | 3 | 0.07 | 0 | 0 | 10:46 |
| 10 | Trent Frederic | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.06 | 4 | 0 | 09:20 |
| 15 | Noah Philp | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0.12 | 2 | 0 | 08:24 |
| Defense | ||||||||||
| 96 | Jake Walman | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 0.03 | 1 | 2 | 22:51 |
| 2 | Evan Bouchard | 1 | 0 | 1 | -3 | 8 | 0.15 | 0 | 1 | 21:57 |
| 25 | Darnell Nurse | 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 6 | 0.17 | 1 | 1 | 21:10 |
| 14 | Mattias Ekholm | 0 | 1 | 1 | -2 | 3 | 0.00 | 1 | 3 | 19:27 |
| 27 | Brett Kulak | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0.02 | 0 | 1 | 17:54 |
| 49 | Ty Emberson | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0.02 | 1 | 1 | 15:45 |
| Goalie | SA | GA | SV | SV% | xGA | GSAx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Stuart Skinner | 23 | 3 | 20 | .870 | 2.20 | -0.80 |
| Skater | G | A | P | +/− | Att | xG | Hit | Blk | TOI | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Forwards | ||||||||||
| 7 | Jordan Eberle | 2 | 0 | 2 | +2 | 8 | 1.15 | 1 | 0 | 21:19 |
| 9 | Chandler Stephenson | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | 2 | 0.05 | 0 | 0 | 20:22 |
| 10 | Matty Beniers | 0 | 2 | 2 | +2 | 3 | 0.13 | 0 | 0 | 19:58 |
| 71 | Jaden Schwartz | 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 3 | 0.15 | 2 | 2 | 18:40 |
| 27 | Mason Marchment | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | 3 | 0.38 | 0 | 0 | 15:28 |
| 51 | Shane Wright | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0.17 | 0 | 1 | 14:32 |
| 17 | Eeli Tolvanen | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | 2 | 0.03 | 1 | 2 | 13:33 |
| 24 | Tye Kartye | 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 2 | 0.23 | 1 | 3 | 11:53 |
| 26 | Ryan Winterton | 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 2 | 0.18 | 0 | 1 | 11:47 |
| 27 | Berkly Catton | 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 2 | 0.03 | 0 | 1 | 11:00 |
| 59 | Ben Meyers | 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 0 | 0.00 | 4 | 0 | 08:41 |
| Defense | ||||||||||
| 29 | Vince Dunn | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 0.05 | 0 | 2 | 26:33 |
| 62 | Brandon Montour | 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 7 | 0.30 | 0 | 3 | 23:39 |
| 6 | Adam Larsson | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.03 | 0 | 1 | 20:37 |
| 55 | Ryan Lindgren | 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 1 | 0.00 | 0 | 1 | 18:44 |
| 4 | Jamie Oleksiak | 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 1 | 0.00 | 0 | 0 | 14:11 |
| 28 | Josh Mahura | 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 1 | 0.00 | 0 | 2 | 12:25 |
| Goalie | SA | GA | SV | SV% | xGA | GSAx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Joey Daccord | 33 | 2 | 31 | .939 | 2.68 | +0.68 |
Skaters by time on ice. Goalie lines count shots with the goalie in net, from the NHL play-by-play.
What each player added to the result, in goals, from most to least. Hover a number for what it's made of.
| Player | Rating | Points | Shots | On ice | Pen | FO | Other | GSAx | TOI |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Leon Draisaitl C | +2.67 | +1.25 | +0.31 | +0.99 | 0.00 | +0.12 | 0.00 | — | 21:59 |
| 28 Jack Roslovic C | +1.26 | 0.00 | +0.23 | +0.96 | 0.00 | +0.01 | +0.05 | — | 16:33 |
| 25 Darnell Nurse D | +1.17 | +0.75 | +0.11 | +0.26 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.05 | — | 21:10 |
| 93 Ryan Nugent-Hopkins C | +0.78 | +0.55 | +0.07 | +0.15 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | — | 16:45 |
| 27 Brett Kulak D | +0.75 | 0.00 | +0.02 | +0.68 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.05 | — | 17:54 |
| 14 Mattias Ekholm D | +0.58 | +0.70 | 0.00 | -0.21 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.09 | — | 19:27 |
| 49 Ty Emberson D | +0.54 | 0.00 | +0.02 | +0.49 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.03 | — | 15:45 |
| 86 David Tomasek R | +0.42 | 0.00 | +0.25 | +0.19 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -0.02 | — | 12:37 |
| 2 Evan Bouchard D | +0.37 | +0.75 | +0.10 | -0.32 | -0.15 | 0.00 | -0.01 | — | 21:57 |
| 92 Vasily Podkolzin R | +0.34 | 0.00 | +0.07 | +0.22 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.05 | — | 12:40 |
| 10 Trent Frederic C | +0.32 | 0.00 | +0.04 | +0.29 | 0.00 | +0.01 | -0.02 | — | 9:20 |
| 19 Adam Henrique C | +0.28 | 0.00 | +0.25 | +0.14 | -0.15 | +0.02 | +0.02 | — | 14:43 |
| 96 Jake Walman D | +0.18 | 0.00 | +0.02 | +0.03 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.12 | — | 22:51 |
| 48 Noah Philp C | +0.17 | 0.00 | +0.08 | -0.04 | +0.15 | -0.04 | +0.02 | — | 8:24 |
| 97 Connor McDavid C | -0.16 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -0.08 | 0.00 | -0.08 | 0.00 | — | 24:43 |
| 22 Matt Savoie C | -0.21 | 0.00 | +0.14 | -0.37 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.02 | — | 11:54 |
| 88 Andrew Mangiapane L | -0.37 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -0.62 | +0.15 | 0.00 | +0.10 | — | 16:11 |
| 53 Isaac Howard L | -0.58 | 0.00 | +0.05 | -0.46 | -0.15 | 0.00 | -0.02 | — | 10:46 |
| 74 Stuart Skinner G | -0.80 | 0.00 | — | — | 0.00 | — | — | -0.80 | 58:21 |
| Player | Rating | Points | Shots | On ice | Pen | FO | Other | GSAx | TOI |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 Jordan Eberle R | +2.58 | +1.50 | +0.75 | +0.34 | 0.00 | +0.01 | -0.02 | — | 21:19 |
| 10 Matty Beniers C | +1.69 | +1.40 | +0.08 | +0.20 | 0.00 | +0.06 | -0.06 | — | 19:58 |
| 26 Ryan Winterton C | +1.41 | +0.70 | +0.12 | +0.55 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.05 | — | 11:47 |
| 12 Tye Kartye L | +1.35 | +0.75 | +0.15 | +0.30 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.15 | — | 11:53 |
| 77 Berkly Catton C | +0.82 | +0.55 | +0.02 | +0.20 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.05 | — | 11:00 |
| 35 Joey Daccord G | +0.68 | 0.00 | — | — | 0.00 | — | — | +0.68 | 60:00 |
| 59 Ben Meyers C | +0.59 | +0.55 | 0.00 | +0.04 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | — | 8:41 |
| 62 Brandon Montour D | +0.23 | 0.00 | +0.19 | -0.07 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.11 | — | 23:39 |
| 51 Shane Wright C | +0.02 | 0.00 | +0.11 | -0.27 | +0.15 | -0.03 | +0.05 | — | 14:32 |
| 28 Josh Mahura D | -0.04 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -0.12 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.08 | — | 12:25 |
| 55 Ryan Lindgren D | -0.06 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -0.11 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.05 | — | 18:44 |
| 17 Jaden Schwartz L | -0.06 | 0.00 | +0.10 | -0.17 | 0.00 | +0.01 | 0.00 | — | 18:40 |
| 29 Vince Dunn D | -0.10 | 0.00 | +0.03 | -0.21 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.08 | — | 26:33 |
| 24 Jamie Oleksiak D | -0.22 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -0.20 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -0.02 | — | 14:11 |
| 6 Adam Larsson D | -0.30 | 0.00 | +0.02 | -0.22 | -0.15 | 0.00 | +0.05 | — | 20:37 |
| 38 Jani Nyman R | -0.42 | 0.00 | +0.05 | -0.47 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | — | 13:19 |
| 20 Eeli Tolvanen R | -0.55 | 0.00 | +0.02 | -0.67 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.10 | — | 13:33 |
| 27 Mason Marchment L | -0.59 | 0.00 | +0.25 | -0.77 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -0.06 | — | 15:28 |
| 9 Chandler Stephenson C | -0.60 | 0.00 | +0.03 | -0.67 | +0.15 | -0.09 | -0.02 | — | 20:22 |
An expected-goals take on Dom Luszczyszyn's Game Score: goals and assists, the quality of a player's own shots, shot quality for and against while they were on the ice at 5v5, penalties, faceoffs and puck plays, all in goals; goalies by goals saved above expected. From the NHL play-by-play and shift charts.