San Jose SharksSJS 6–5 Final/OT Minnesota WildMIN

Sunday, October 26, 2025

Final/OT 1st2nd3rdOT T SOG
San Jose SharksSJS 2211 6 25
Minnesota WildMIN 2030 5 33

No impact calculated for this game. Impacts are calculated for games in the next 7 days.

Highlights

Scoring

1st Period
5:28 SJS William Eklund (3)PP Macklin Celebrini (8), Dmitry Orlov (8) · wrist xG 0.12 1–0 ▶
13:35 SJS Michael Misa (1) Timothy Liljegren (1) · wrist xG 0.42 2–0 ▶
17:02 MIN Marcus Johansson (4)PP Marco Rossi (6), Brock Faber (1) · tip-in xG 0.10 2–1 ▶
17:34 MIN Marco Rossi (2) Kirill Kaprizov (7) · wrist xG 0.12 2–2 ▶
2nd Period
11:15 SJS William Eklund (4) Philipp Kurashev (1) · wrist xG 0.15 3–2 ▶
11:34 SJS Ryan Reaves (2) Barclay Goodrow (1), Ty Dellandrea (4) · deflected xG 0.29 4–2 ▶
3rd Period
4:28 MIN Ryan Hartman (3)PP Kirill Kaprizov (8), Brock Faber (2) · wrist xG 0.15 4–3 ▶
7:52 SJS Tyler Toffoli (3)PP Macklin Celebrini (9), William Eklund (5) · wrist xG 0.15 5–3 ▶
8:28 MIN Zeev Buium (2) Ryan Hartman (2), Yakov Trenin (2) · wrist xG 0.02 5–4 ▶
17:42 MIN Joel Eriksson Ek (2) Kirill Kaprizov (9), Brock Faber (3) · tip-in xG 0.10 5–5 ▶
Overtime
3:47 SJS Macklin Celebrini (6) Unassisted · wrist xG 0.14 6–5 ▶

Score away–home after each goal; season totals in parentheses.

Shot quality

Expected goals (xG) rate every unblocked shot by how often shots like it go in, from where it was taken, the shot type, the strength and what happened just before it. How it works

SJS 41%Deserve to win59% MIN
SJSMIN
3.13Expected goals3.67
6Goals (no shootout)5
2.36Expected goals, 5 on 51.94
46Shot attempts77
32Unblocked attempts57
25Shots on goal33

Game notes

What stood out as the game went on, from the play-by-play and the shifts. Time on the bench is counted in 5-on-5 play outside the penalty box; the note says the player sat, not why. Goals saved are against the shots' expected goals (xG).

1st Period
13:35 SJS Deserve to win Deserve to win · SJS takes the lead, 66–34%
MIN had led since 4:36 of the 1st, by as much as 61%
2nd Period
11:40 SJS xG swing xG swing · Out-chanced MIN 1.12–0.11
In xG over 10 minutes, 1:40 to 11:40 of the 2nd; goals 2–0
3rd Period
6:00 SJS No shift No shift · Gaudette, 22:13 on the bench
No shift after 12:20 of the 2nd; 8 shifts (6:39) before that
7:52 MIN Goalie Goalie · Wallstedt −2.1 goals saved
5 goals on 2.93 xG, 23 shots on goal
10:40 MIN Shortened bench Shortened bench · 3 forwards sat
Yurov, Jones and Pitlick: no shift after 17:32 of the 2nd
17:42 SJS Goalie Goalie · Askarov −2.0 goals saved
5 goals on 2.99 xG, 31 shots on goal
Overtime
2:40 MIN xG swing xG swing · Out-chanced SJS 1.19–0.00
In xG over 10 minutes, 13:40 of the 3rd to 3:40 of overtime; goals 1–0
3:39 MIN Deserve to win Deserve to win · MIN takes the lead, 61–39%
SJS had led since 13:35 of the 1st, by as much as 78%

Shot map

SJS shoots ←Bigger circle: higher xG; filled: goal→ MIN shoots
Vincent Desharnais: wrist, 67 ft, xG 0.01 (P1 2:16) Sam Dickinson: wrist, 67 ft, xG 0.01 (P1 2:22) Yakov Trenin: tip-in, 5 ft, xG 0.23 (P1 4:36) William Eklund: wrist, 16 ft, xG 0.12 (P1 5:04) Will Smith: wrist, 8 ft, xG 0.06 (P1 5:05) Kirill Kaprizov: wrist, 47 ft, xG 0.04 (P1 7:52) Kirill Kaprizov: slap, 37 ft, xG 0.02 (P1 8:45) Matt Boldy: snap, 32 ft, xG 0.08 (P1 8:47) Brock Faber: wrist, 54 ft, xG 0.02 (P1 9:23) Ryan Hartman: slap, 28 ft, xG 0.09 (P1 9:58) Alexander Wennberg: wrist, 133 ft, xG 0.00 (P1 10:04) Barclay Goodrow: wrist, 25 ft, xG 0.05 (P1 12:06) Mario Ferraro: wrist, 63 ft, xG 0.02 (P1 12:14) William Eklund: tip-in, 26 ft, xG 0.06 (P1 12:46) Marcus Johansson: wrist, 33 ft, xG 0.07 (P1 13:13) Timothy Liljegren: wrist, 6 ft, xG 0.19 (P1 13:33) Will Smith: wrist, 29 ft, xG 0.08 (P1 13:52) Tyler Toffoli: wrist, 47 ft, xG 0.01 (P1 13:56) Vladimir Tarasenko: wrist, 47 ft, xG 0.02 (P1 14:29) Matt Boldy: wrist, 36 ft, xG 0.03 (P1 15:52) Matt Boldy: wrist, 49 ft, xG 0.03 (P1 16:10) Jared Spurgeon: slap, 44 ft, xG 0.07 (P1 16:44) Matt Boldy: wrist, 40 ft, xG 0.01 (P1 18:22) Philipp Kurashev: wrist, 48 ft, xG 0.01 (P2 0:11) Brock Faber: slap, 66 ft, xG 0.02 (P2 0:49) Tyler Toffoli: wrist, 48 ft, xG 0.03 (P2 1:03) Vincent Desharnais: snap, 46 ft, xG 0.01 (P2 2:06) Marco Rossi: tip-in, 8 ft, xG 0.08 (P2 3:14) Joel Eriksson Ek: wrist, 25 ft, xG 0.02 (P2 6:07) Ryan Hartman: wrist, 48 ft, xG 0.01 (P2 7:07) William Eklund: tip-in, 8 ft, xG 0.08 (P2 8:08) Will Smith: slap, 27 ft, xG 0.12 (P2 8:20) Tyler Toffoli: wrist, 43 ft, xG 0.02 (P2 9:01) Collin Graf: wrist, 13 ft, xG 0.27 (P2 10:14) Philipp Kurashev: deflected, 6 ft, xG 0.18 (P2 10:46) Vincent Iorio: wrist, 43 ft, xG 0.03 (P2 12:29) Macklin Celebrini: bat, 13 ft, xG 0.09 (P2 12:58) Vinnie Hinostroza: wrist, 29 ft, xG 0.03 (P2 13:05) Jake Middleton: backhand, 10 ft, xG 0.16 (P2 13:07) Vladimir Tarasenko: wrist, 8 ft, xG 0.15 (P2 13:24) Ryan Hartman: tip-in, 16 ft, xG 0.10 (P2 15:10) Ben Jones: wrist, 21 ft, xG 0.03 (P2 16:45) Jonas Brodin: wrist, 58 ft, xG 0.00 (P2 16:51) Tyler Pitlick: tip-in, 26 ft, xG 0.04 (P2 16:56) Marcus Johansson: snap, 40 ft, xG 0.03 (P2 19:00) Kirill Kaprizov: snap, 33 ft, xG 0.05 (P2 19:23) Jake Middleton: wrist, 56 ft, xG 0.02 (P3 0:17) Joel Eriksson Ek: wrist, 36 ft, xG 0.04 (P3 1:22) Macklin Celebrini: wrist, 15 ft, xG 0.12 (P3 2:03) Will Smith: backhand, 8 ft, xG 0.07 (P3 2:04) Jared Spurgeon: snap, 50 ft, xG 0.02 (P3 3:13) Jared Spurgeon: slap, 52 ft, xG 0.02 (P3 3:19) Matt Boldy: wrist, 49 ft, xG 0.03 (P3 3:25) Joel Eriksson Ek: wrist, 8 ft, xG 0.12 (P3 3:37) Joel Eriksson Ek: wrist, 8 ft, xG 0.04 (P3 3:38) Kirill Kaprizov: deflected, 15 ft, xG 0.08 (P3 5:24) Matt Boldy: wrist, 12 ft, xG 0.12 (P3 5:38) Timothy Liljegren: slap, 50 ft, xG 0.05 (P3 6:34) William Eklund: wrist, 13 ft, xG 0.13 (P3 7:42) Jonas Brodin: slap, 68 ft, xG 0.00 (P3 9:32) Vladimir Tarasenko: wrist, 17 ft, xG 0.09 (P3 9:34) Yakov Trenin: tip-in, 23 ft, xG 0.02 (P3 9:37) Tyler Toffoli: wrist, 29 ft, xG 0.06 (P3 10:53) Kirill Kaprizov: wrist, 25 ft, xG 0.01 (P3 11:02) Marco Rossi: tip-in, 15 ft, xG 0.04 (P3 12:23) Ryan Hartman: wrist, 47 ft, xG 0.01 (P3 13:14) Jake Middleton: wrist, 28 ft, xG 0.16 (P3 13:55) Matt Boldy: tip-in, 9 ft, xG 0.07 (P3 14:04) Kirill Kaprizov: wrist, 39 ft, xG 0.05 (P3 14:39) Kirill Kaprizov: wrist, 43 ft, xG 0.01 (P3 15:06) Brock Faber: wrist, 48 ft, xG 0.03 (P3 16:11) Yakov Trenin: snap, 25 ft, xG 0.07 (P3 17:28) Jonas Brodin: wrist, 52 ft, xG 0.01 (P3 17:35) Marco Rossi: tip-in, 17 ft, xG 0.08 (P3 18:57) Brock Faber: tip-in, 6 ft, xG 0.24 (OT 1:43) Brock Faber: wrist, 7 ft, xG 0.20 (OT 2:32) Matt Boldy: wrist, 39 ft, xG 0.05 (OT 3:31) Brock Faber: wrist, 31 ft, xG 0.11 (OT 3:39) William Eklund: GOAL, wrist, 9 ft, xG 0.12 (P1 5:28) Michael Misa: GOAL, wrist, 4 ft, xG 0.42 (P1 13:35) Marcus Johansson: GOAL, tip-in, 6 ft, xG 0.10 (P1 17:02) Marco Rossi: GOAL, wrist, 23 ft, xG 0.12 (P1 17:34) William Eklund: GOAL, wrist, 13 ft, xG 0.15 (P2 11:15) Ryan Reaves: GOAL, deflected, 4 ft, xG 0.29 (P2 11:34) Ryan Hartman: GOAL, wrist, 12 ft, xG 0.15 (P3 4:28) Tyler Toffoli: GOAL, wrist, 18 ft, xG 0.15 (P3 7:52) Zeev Buium: GOAL, wrist, 62 ft, xG 0.02 (P3 8:28) Joel Eriksson Ek: GOAL, tip-in, 9 ft, xG 0.10 (P3 17:42) Macklin Celebrini: GOAL, wrist, 28 ft, xG 0.14 (OT 3:47)
About these numbers

xG comes from hockeystats.io's own model, a gradient-boosted tree model trained on every unblocked shot from the 2021-22 to 2025-26 regular seasons using the NHL's public play-by-play. Each shot's value is the share of similar shots that became goals. A team's xG is the sum over its shots; "deserve to win" asks how often the team would outscore its opponent if every shot went in at exactly that rate. Blocked shots count as attempts but have no xG (the NHL records where they were blocked, not where they were taken), so the map leaves them out.

Box score

San Jose Sharks

Skater GAP+/− AttxG HitBlkTOI
Forwards
27 William Eklund 213 0 60.65 1025:29
21 Alexander Wennberg 000 0 20.00 0123:27
71 Macklin Celebrini 123 0 50.35 0021:47
96 Philipp Kurashev 011 0 20.19 2020:26
2 Will Smith 000 0 60.32 0117:56
51 Collin Graf 000 +1 10.27 1017:44
73 Tyler Toffoli 101 -1 60.27 1116:50
77 Michael Misa 101 +1 30.42 0111:02
10 Ty Dellandrea 011 0 00.00 3009:00
23 Barclay Goodrow 011 0 20.05 0008:57
81 Adam Gaudette 000 +1 00.00 1006:39
75 Ryan Reaves 101 0 10.29 1003:42
Defense
27 Timothy Liljegren 011 +2 30.24 3227:28
9 Dmitry Orlov 011 +1 20.00 2323:19
38 Mario Ferraro 000 -1 20.02 5122:55
73 Vincent Desharnais 000 0 20.02 1518:23
6 Vincent Iorio 000 -1 10.03 0118:00
6 Sam Dickinson 000 0 20.01 1211:26
Goalie SAGA SVSV% xGA GSAx
Yaroslav Askarov 33528 .848 3.67 -1.33

Minnesota Wild

Skater GAP+/− AttxG HitBlkTOI
Forwards
97 Kirill Kaprizov 033 0 110.26 0027:08
12 Matt Boldy 000 0 100.44 0025:55
23 Marco Rossi 112 -2 40.32 1022:14
90 Marcus Johansson 101 -1 30.20 0022:01
14 Joel Eriksson Ek 101 +1 60.31 4221:09
91 Vladimir Tarasenko 000 0 60.26 1017:15
38 Ryan Hartman 112 +1 80.36 0115:55
18 Vinnie Hinostroza 000 +1 30.03 0112:20
13 Yakov Trenin 011 +1 40.32 3012:04
22 Danila Yurov 000 -1 00.00 0005:38
19 Tyler Pitlick 000 -1 10.04 2004:34
Defense
46 Jared Spurgeon 000 -2 40.11 1027:17
7 Brock Faber 033 +1 70.62 1326:26
25 Jonas Brodin 000 +2 40.01 0219:53
55 Jake Middleton 000 -1 40.34 2119:11
8 Zeev Buium 101 0 10.02 0016:45
5 David Jiricek 000 -1 00.00 0208:52
Goalie SAGA SVSV% xGA GSAx
Jesper Wallstedt 25619 .760 3.13 -2.87

Skaters by time on ice. Goalie lines count shots with the goalie in net, from the NHL play-by-play.

Player ratings

What each player added to the result, in goals, from most to least. Hover a number for what it's made of.

San Jose Sharks

Player Rating Points Shots On ice Pen FO Other GSAx TOI
72 William Eklund L +2.07 +2.05 +0.42 -0.37 0.00 -0.01 -0.02 — 25:29
71 Macklin Celebrini C +1.87 +2.15 +0.23 -0.63 0.00 +0.12 0.00 — 21:47
77 Michael Misa C +1.80 +0.75 +0.27 +0.92 -0.15 -0.04 +0.05 — 11:02
75 Ryan Reaves R +1.33 +0.75 +0.19 +0.39 0.00 0.00 0.00 — 3:42
51 Collin Graf R +1.20 0.00 +0.17 +1.03 0.00 0.00 0.00 — 17:44
37 Timothy Liljegren D +1.08 +0.70 +0.16 +0.15 0.00 0.00 +0.08 — 27:28
81 Adam Gaudette R +1.02 0.00 0.00 +1.03 0.00 -0.01 0.00 — 6:39
23 Barclay Goodrow C +0.97 +0.70 +0.04 +0.26 0.00 0.00 -0.02 — 8:57
96 Philipp Kurashev C +0.90 +0.70 +0.12 -0.09 +0.15 -0.01 +0.02 — 20:26
5 Vincent Desharnais D +0.86 0.00 +0.01 +0.65 0.00 0.00 +0.19 — 18:23
9 Dmitry Orlov D +0.76 +0.55 0.00 +0.36 -0.30 0.00 +0.15 — 23:19
10 Ty Dellandrea C +0.70 +0.55 0.00 +0.19 0.00 -0.02 -0.02 — 9:00
6 Sam Dickinson D +0.48 0.00 0.00 +0.38 0.00 0.00 +0.10 — 11:26
73 Tyler Toffoli C +0.19 +0.75 +0.18 -0.77 0.00 0.00 +0.03 — 16:50
21 Alexander Wennberg C +0.02 0.00 0.00 -0.16 +0.15 0.00 +0.03 — 23:27
2 Will Smith C -0.20 0.00 +0.21 -0.42 0.00 0.00 +0.01 — 17:56
38 Mario Ferraro D -0.30 0.00 +0.01 -0.32 0.00 0.00 +0.01 — 22:55
22 Vincent Iorio D -0.38 0.00 +0.02 -0.30 -0.15 0.00 +0.05 — 18:00
30 Yaroslav Askarov G -1.33 0.00 — — 0.00 — — -1.33 63:47

Minnesota Wild

Player Rating Points Shots On ice Pen FO Other GSAx TOI
7 Brock Faber D +2.72 +1.65 +0.41 +0.52 0.00 0.00 +0.15 — 26:26
38 Ryan Hartman R +2.64 +1.45 +0.23 +0.81 +0.15 -0.04 +0.03 — 15:55
97 Kirill Kaprizov L +1.84 +2.10 +0.17 -0.37 0.00 0.00 -0.06 — 27:08
14 Joel Eriksson Ek C +1.21 +0.75 +0.20 +0.13 0.00 +0.04 +0.08 — 21:09
25 Jonas Brodin D +1.13 0.00 +0.01 +1.04 0.00 0.00 +0.08 — 19:53
13 Yakov Trenin C +1.11 +0.55 +0.21 +0.36 0.00 0.00 0.00 — 12:04
23 Marco Rossi C +0.92 +1.45 +0.21 -0.73 0.00 -0.01 0.00 — 22:14
18 Vinnie Hinostroza C +0.83 0.00 +0.02 +0.58 +0.15 +0.01 +0.07 — 12:20
12 Matt Boldy L +0.66 0.00 +0.29 +0.39 0.00 -0.02 0.00 — 25:55
90 Marcus Johansson L +0.53 +0.75 +0.13 -0.48 +0.15 0.00 -0.02 — 22:01
8 Zeev Buium D +0.30 +0.75 +0.01 -0.49 0.00 0.00 +0.02 — 16:45
91 Vladimir Tarasenko R -0.08 0.00 +0.17 -0.26 0.00 0.00 0.00 — 17:15
5 Jake Middleton D -0.25 0.00 +0.22 -0.36 -0.15 0.00 +0.03 — 19:11
19 Tyler Pitlick C -0.45 0.00 +0.03 -0.48 0.00 0.00 0.00 — 4:34
46 Jared Spurgeon D -0.66 0.00 +0.07 -0.71 0.00 0.00 -0.02 — 27:17
39 Ben Jones C -0.67 0.00 +0.02 -0.67 0.00 -0.01 0.00 — 4:32
22 Danila Yurov R -0.69 0.00 0.00 -0.67 0.00 0.00 -0.02 — 5:38
55 David Jiricek D -0.86 0.00 0.00 -0.94 0.00 0.00 +0.08 — 8:52
30 Jesper Wallstedt G -2.87 0.00 — — 0.00 — — -2.87 63:25

An expected-goals take on Dom Luszczyszyn's Game Score: goals and assists, the quality of a player's own shots, shot quality for and against while they were on the ice at 5v5, penalties, faceoffs and puck plays, all in goals; goalies by goals saved above expected. From the NHL play-by-play and shift charts.