| Final/OT | 1st | 2nd | 3rd | OT | T | SOG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 25 | |
| 2 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 5 | 33 |
No impact calculated for this game. Impacts are calculated for games in the next 7 days.
| 1st Period | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| 5:28 | William Eklund (3)PP Macklin Celebrini (8), Dmitry Orlov (8) · wrist xG 0.12 | 1–0 ▶ | |
| 13:35 | Michael Misa (1) Timothy Liljegren (1) · wrist xG 0.42 | 2–0 ▶ | |
| 17:02 | Marcus Johansson (4)PP Marco Rossi (6), Brock Faber (1) · tip-in xG 0.10 | 2–1 ▶ | |
| 17:34 | Marco Rossi (2) Kirill Kaprizov (7) · wrist xG 0.12 | 2–2 ▶ | |
| 2nd Period | |||
| 11:15 | William Eklund (4) Philipp Kurashev (1) · wrist xG 0.15 | 3–2 ▶ | |
| 11:34 | Ryan Reaves (2) Barclay Goodrow (1), Ty Dellandrea (4) · deflected xG 0.29 | 4–2 ▶ | |
| 3rd Period | |||
| 4:28 | Ryan Hartman (3)PP Kirill Kaprizov (8), Brock Faber (2) · wrist xG 0.15 | 4–3 ▶ | |
| 7:52 | Tyler Toffoli (3)PP Macklin Celebrini (9), William Eklund (5) · wrist xG 0.15 | 5–3 ▶ | |
| 8:28 | Zeev Buium (2) Ryan Hartman (2), Yakov Trenin (2) · wrist xG 0.02 | 5–4 ▶ | |
| 17:42 | Joel Eriksson Ek (2) Kirill Kaprizov (9), Brock Faber (3) · tip-in xG 0.10 | 5–5 ▶ | |
| Overtime | |||
| 3:47 | Macklin Celebrini (6) Unassisted · wrist xG 0.14 | 6–5 ▶ | |
Score away–home after each goal; season totals in parentheses.
Expected goals (xG) rate every unblocked shot by how often shots like it go in, from where it was taken, the shot type, the strength and what happened just before it. How it works
| SJS | MIN | |
|---|---|---|
| 3.13 | Expected goals | 3.67 |
| 6 | Goals (no shootout) | 5 |
| 2.36 | Expected goals, 5 on 5 | 1.94 |
| 46 | Shot attempts | 77 |
| 32 | Unblocked attempts | 57 |
| 25 | Shots on goal | 33 |
What stood out as the game went on, from the play-by-play and the shifts. Time on the bench is counted in 5-on-5 play outside the penalty box; the note says the player sat, not why. Goals saved are against the shots' expected goals (xG).
| 1st Period | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| 13:35 | SJS | Deserve to win | Deserve to win · SJS takes the lead, 66–34%
MIN had led since 4:36 of the 1st, by as much as 61% |
| 2nd Period | |||
| 11:40 | SJS | xG swing | xG swing · Out-chanced MIN 1.12–0.11
In xG over 10 minutes, 1:40 to 11:40 of the 2nd; goals 2–0 |
| 3rd Period | |||
| 6:00 | SJS | No shift | No shift · Gaudette, 22:13 on the bench
No shift after 12:20 of the 2nd; 8 shifts (6:39) before that |
| 7:52 | MIN | Goalie | Goalie · Wallstedt −2.1 goals saved
5 goals on 2.93 xG, 23 shots on goal |
| 10:40 | MIN | Shortened bench | Shortened bench · 3 forwards sat
Yurov, Jones and Pitlick: no shift after 17:32 of the 2nd |
| 17:42 | SJS | Goalie | Goalie · Askarov −2.0 goals saved
5 goals on 2.99 xG, 31 shots on goal |
| Overtime | |||
| 2:40 | MIN | xG swing | xG swing · Out-chanced SJS 1.19–0.00
In xG over 10 minutes, 13:40 of the 3rd to 3:40 of overtime; goals 1–0 |
| 3:39 | MIN | Deserve to win | Deserve to win · MIN takes the lead, 61–39%
SJS had led since 13:35 of the 1st, by as much as 78% |
xG comes from hockeystats.io's own model, a gradient-boosted tree model trained on every unblocked shot from the 2021-22 to 2025-26 regular seasons using the NHL's public play-by-play. Each shot's value is the share of similar shots that became goals. A team's xG is the sum over its shots; "deserve to win" asks how often the team would outscore its opponent if every shot went in at exactly that rate. Blocked shots count as attempts but have no xG (the NHL records where they were blocked, not where they were taken), so the map leaves them out.
| Skater | G | A | P | +/− | Att | xG | Hit | Blk | TOI | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Forwards | ||||||||||
| 27 | William Eklund | 2 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 6 | 0.65 | 1 | 0 | 25:29 |
| 21 | Alexander Wennberg | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0.00 | 0 | 1 | 23:27 |
| 71 | Macklin Celebrini | 1 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 5 | 0.35 | 0 | 0 | 21:47 |
| 96 | Philipp Kurashev | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0.19 | 2 | 0 | 20:26 |
| 2 | Will Smith | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 0.32 | 0 | 1 | 17:56 |
| 51 | Collin Graf | 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 1 | 0.27 | 1 | 0 | 17:44 |
| 73 | Tyler Toffoli | 1 | 0 | 1 | -1 | 6 | 0.27 | 1 | 1 | 16:50 |
| 77 | Michael Misa | 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 3 | 0.42 | 0 | 1 | 11:02 |
| 10 | Ty Dellandrea | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 3 | 0 | 09:00 |
| 23 | Barclay Goodrow | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0.05 | 0 | 0 | 08:57 |
| 81 | Adam Gaudette | 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 0 | 0.00 | 1 | 0 | 06:39 |
| 75 | Ryan Reaves | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0.29 | 1 | 0 | 03:42 |
| Defense | ||||||||||
| 27 | Timothy Liljegren | 0 | 1 | 1 | +2 | 3 | 0.24 | 3 | 2 | 27:28 |
| 9 | Dmitry Orlov | 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 2 | 0.00 | 2 | 3 | 23:19 |
| 38 | Mario Ferraro | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | 2 | 0.02 | 5 | 1 | 22:55 |
| 73 | Vincent Desharnais | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0.02 | 1 | 5 | 18:23 |
| 6 | Vincent Iorio | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | 1 | 0.03 | 0 | 1 | 18:00 |
| 6 | Sam Dickinson | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0.01 | 1 | 2 | 11:26 |
| Goalie | SA | GA | SV | SV% | xGA | GSAx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yaroslav Askarov | 33 | 5 | 28 | .848 | 3.67 | -1.33 |
| Skater | G | A | P | +/− | Att | xG | Hit | Blk | TOI | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Forwards | ||||||||||
| 97 | Kirill Kaprizov | 0 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 11 | 0.26 | 0 | 0 | 27:08 |
| 12 | Matt Boldy | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 0.44 | 0 | 0 | 25:55 |
| 23 | Marco Rossi | 1 | 1 | 2 | -2 | 4 | 0.32 | 1 | 0 | 22:14 |
| 90 | Marcus Johansson | 1 | 0 | 1 | -1 | 3 | 0.20 | 0 | 0 | 22:01 |
| 14 | Joel Eriksson Ek | 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 6 | 0.31 | 4 | 2 | 21:09 |
| 91 | Vladimir Tarasenko | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 0.26 | 1 | 0 | 17:15 |
| 38 | Ryan Hartman | 1 | 1 | 2 | +1 | 8 | 0.36 | 0 | 1 | 15:55 |
| 18 | Vinnie Hinostroza | 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 3 | 0.03 | 0 | 1 | 12:20 |
| 13 | Yakov Trenin | 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 4 | 0.32 | 3 | 0 | 12:04 |
| 22 | Danila Yurov | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | 0 | 0.00 | 0 | 0 | 05:38 |
| 19 | Tyler Pitlick | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | 1 | 0.04 | 2 | 0 | 04:34 |
| Defense | ||||||||||
| 46 | Jared Spurgeon | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2 | 4 | 0.11 | 1 | 0 | 27:17 |
| 7 | Brock Faber | 0 | 3 | 3 | +1 | 7 | 0.62 | 1 | 3 | 26:26 |
| 25 | Jonas Brodin | 0 | 0 | 0 | +2 | 4 | 0.01 | 0 | 2 | 19:53 |
| 55 | Jake Middleton | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | 4 | 0.34 | 2 | 1 | 19:11 |
| 8 | Zeev Buium | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0.02 | 0 | 0 | 16:45 |
| 5 | David Jiricek | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | 0 | 0.00 | 0 | 2 | 08:52 |
| Goalie | SA | GA | SV | SV% | xGA | GSAx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jesper Wallstedt | 25 | 6 | 19 | .760 | 3.13 | -2.87 |
Skaters by time on ice. Goalie lines count shots with the goalie in net, from the NHL play-by-play.
What each player added to the result, in goals, from most to least. Hover a number for what it's made of.
| Player | Rating | Points | Shots | On ice | Pen | FO | Other | GSAx | TOI |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 72 William Eklund L | +2.07 | +2.05 | +0.42 | -0.37 | 0.00 | -0.01 | -0.02 | — | 25:29 |
| 71 Macklin Celebrini C | +1.87 | +2.15 | +0.23 | -0.63 | 0.00 | +0.12 | 0.00 | — | 21:47 |
| 77 Michael Misa C | +1.80 | +0.75 | +0.27 | +0.92 | -0.15 | -0.04 | +0.05 | — | 11:02 |
| 75 Ryan Reaves R | +1.33 | +0.75 | +0.19 | +0.39 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | — | 3:42 |
| 51 Collin Graf R | +1.20 | 0.00 | +0.17 | +1.03 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | — | 17:44 |
| 37 Timothy Liljegren D | +1.08 | +0.70 | +0.16 | +0.15 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.08 | — | 27:28 |
| 81 Adam Gaudette R | +1.02 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +1.03 | 0.00 | -0.01 | 0.00 | — | 6:39 |
| 23 Barclay Goodrow C | +0.97 | +0.70 | +0.04 | +0.26 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -0.02 | — | 8:57 |
| 96 Philipp Kurashev C | +0.90 | +0.70 | +0.12 | -0.09 | +0.15 | -0.01 | +0.02 | — | 20:26 |
| 5 Vincent Desharnais D | +0.86 | 0.00 | +0.01 | +0.65 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.19 | — | 18:23 |
| 9 Dmitry Orlov D | +0.76 | +0.55 | 0.00 | +0.36 | -0.30 | 0.00 | +0.15 | — | 23:19 |
| 10 Ty Dellandrea C | +0.70 | +0.55 | 0.00 | +0.19 | 0.00 | -0.02 | -0.02 | — | 9:00 |
| 6 Sam Dickinson D | +0.48 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.38 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.10 | — | 11:26 |
| 73 Tyler Toffoli C | +0.19 | +0.75 | +0.18 | -0.77 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.03 | — | 16:50 |
| 21 Alexander Wennberg C | +0.02 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -0.16 | +0.15 | 0.00 | +0.03 | — | 23:27 |
| 2 Will Smith C | -0.20 | 0.00 | +0.21 | -0.42 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.01 | — | 17:56 |
| 38 Mario Ferraro D | -0.30 | 0.00 | +0.01 | -0.32 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.01 | — | 22:55 |
| 22 Vincent Iorio D | -0.38 | 0.00 | +0.02 | -0.30 | -0.15 | 0.00 | +0.05 | — | 18:00 |
| 30 Yaroslav Askarov G | -1.33 | 0.00 | — | — | 0.00 | — | — | -1.33 | 63:47 |
| Player | Rating | Points | Shots | On ice | Pen | FO | Other | GSAx | TOI |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 Brock Faber D | +2.72 | +1.65 | +0.41 | +0.52 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.15 | — | 26:26 |
| 38 Ryan Hartman R | +2.64 | +1.45 | +0.23 | +0.81 | +0.15 | -0.04 | +0.03 | — | 15:55 |
| 97 Kirill Kaprizov L | +1.84 | +2.10 | +0.17 | -0.37 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -0.06 | — | 27:08 |
| 14 Joel Eriksson Ek C | +1.21 | +0.75 | +0.20 | +0.13 | 0.00 | +0.04 | +0.08 | — | 21:09 |
| 25 Jonas Brodin D | +1.13 | 0.00 | +0.01 | +1.04 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.08 | — | 19:53 |
| 13 Yakov Trenin C | +1.11 | +0.55 | +0.21 | +0.36 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | — | 12:04 |
| 23 Marco Rossi C | +0.92 | +1.45 | +0.21 | -0.73 | 0.00 | -0.01 | 0.00 | — | 22:14 |
| 18 Vinnie Hinostroza C | +0.83 | 0.00 | +0.02 | +0.58 | +0.15 | +0.01 | +0.07 | — | 12:20 |
| 12 Matt Boldy L | +0.66 | 0.00 | +0.29 | +0.39 | 0.00 | -0.02 | 0.00 | — | 25:55 |
| 90 Marcus Johansson L | +0.53 | +0.75 | +0.13 | -0.48 | +0.15 | 0.00 | -0.02 | — | 22:01 |
| 8 Zeev Buium D | +0.30 | +0.75 | +0.01 | -0.49 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.02 | — | 16:45 |
| 91 Vladimir Tarasenko R | -0.08 | 0.00 | +0.17 | -0.26 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | — | 17:15 |
| 5 Jake Middleton D | -0.25 | 0.00 | +0.22 | -0.36 | -0.15 | 0.00 | +0.03 | — | 19:11 |
| 19 Tyler Pitlick C | -0.45 | 0.00 | +0.03 | -0.48 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | — | 4:34 |
| 46 Jared Spurgeon D | -0.66 | 0.00 | +0.07 | -0.71 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -0.02 | — | 27:17 |
| 39 Ben Jones C | -0.67 | 0.00 | +0.02 | -0.67 | 0.00 | -0.01 | 0.00 | — | 4:32 |
| 22 Danila Yurov R | -0.69 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -0.67 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -0.02 | — | 5:38 |
| 55 David Jiricek D | -0.86 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -0.94 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.08 | — | 8:52 |
| 30 Jesper Wallstedt G | -2.87 | 0.00 | — | — | 0.00 | — | — | -2.87 | 63:25 |
An expected-goals take on Dom Luszczyszyn's Game Score: goals and assists, the quality of a player's own shots, shot quality for and against while they were on the ice at 5v5, penalties, faceoffs and puck plays, all in goals; goalies by goals saved above expected. From the NHL play-by-play and shift charts.