| Final | 1st | 2nd | 3rd | T | SOG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 28 | |
| 1 | 2 | 4 | 7 | 23 |
No impact calculated for this game. Impacts are calculated for games in the next 7 days.
| 1st Period | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| 3:06 | Morgan Geekie (7) Unassisted · wrist xG 0.05 | 1–0 ▶ | |
| 10:25 | Drake Batherson (3)PP Ridly Greig (3), Jake Sanderson (6) · wrist xG 0.27 | 1–1 ▶ | |
| 2nd Period | |||
| 1:08 | Claude Giroux (2) Michael Amadio (1), Shane Pinto (2) · tip-in xG 0.15 | 1–2 ▶ | |
| 14:44 | Drake Batherson (4) Fabian Zetterlund (2), Lars Eller (3) · wrist xG 0.18 | 1–3 ▶ | |
| 3rd Period | |||
| 0:13 | Tim Stützle (3)PP Jake Sanderson (7), Drake Batherson (6) · snap xG 0.10 | 1–4 ▶ | |
| 9:33 | Tim Stützle (4)PP Jake Sanderson (8), Dylan Cozens (4) · tip-in xG 0.10 | 1–5 ▶ | |
| 12:22 | Nick Cousins (2) Tim Stützle (6), Nick Jensen (3) · snap xG 0.34 | 1–6 ▶ | |
| 13:04 | Fabian Zetterlund (1)PP Thomas Chabot (4), David Perron (4) · slap xG 0.03 | 1–7 ▶ | |
| 19:50 | Viktor Arvidsson (2) Fraser Minten (1), Tanner Jeannot (2) · slap xG 0.08 | 2–7 ▶ | |
Score away–home after each goal; season totals in parentheses.
Expected goals (xG) rate every unblocked shot by how often shots like it go in, from where it was taken, the shot type, the strength and what happened just before it. How it works
| BOS | OTT | |
|---|---|---|
| 1.66 | Expected goals | 3.02 |
| 2 | Goals (no shootout) | 7 |
| 1.46 | Expected goals, 5 on 5 | 2.33 |
| 63 | Shot attempts | 51 |
| 44 | Unblocked attempts | 40 |
| 28 | Shots on goal | 23 |
What stood out as the game went on, from the play-by-play and the shifts. Time on the bench is counted in 5-on-5 play outside the penalty box; the note says the player sat, not why. Goals saved are against the shots' expected goals (xG).
| 2nd Period | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| 19:40 | OTT | No shift | No shift · MacDermid, 14:43 on the bench
No shift from 6:40 of the 2nd to 1:28 of the 3rd; 5 shifts (2:27) before that |
| 3rd Period | |||
| 9:33 | BOS | Goalie | Goalie · Swayman −2.7 goals saved
5 goals on 2.32 xG, 18 shots on goal |
| 13:04 | BOS | Goalie | Goalie · Swayman −4.1 goals saved
7 goals on 2.94 xG, 22 shots on goal |
xG comes from hockeystats.io's own model, a gradient-boosted tree model trained on every unblocked shot from the 2021-22 to 2025-26 regular seasons using the NHL's public play-by-play. Each shot's value is the share of similar shots that became goals. A team's xG is the sum over its shots; "deserve to win" asks how often the team would outscore its opponent if every shot went in at exactly that rate. Blocked shots count as attempts but have no xG (the NHL records where they were blocked, not where they were taken), so the map leaves them out.
| Skater | G | A | P | +/− | Att | xG | Hit | Blk | TOI | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Forwards | ||||||||||
| 88 | David Pastrnak | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2 | 4 | 0.11 | 2 | 0 | 19:35 |
| 28 | Elias Lindholm | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | 4 | 0.24 | 3 | 1 | 18:23 |
| 39 | Morgan Geekie | 1 | 0 | 1 | -1 | 5 | 0.08 | 2 | 0 | 16:58 |
| 18 | Pavel Zacha | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | 4 | 0.16 | 1 | 0 | 16:38 |
| 84 | Tanner Jeannot | 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 4 | 0.08 | 5 | 1 | 14:58 |
| 33 | Viktor Arvidsson | 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 6 | 0.27 | 0 | 0 | 14:58 |
| 11 | Casey Mittelstadt | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | 1 | 0.00 | 0 | 1 | 14:53 |
| 93 | Fraser Minten | 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 4 | 0.26 | 4 | 0 | 13:50 |
| 52 | Sean Kuraly | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 0.07 | 0 | 2 | 13:16 |
| 81 | Michael Eyssimont | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 0.18 | 1 | 0 | 12:00 |
| 92 | Marat Khusnutdinov | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | 1 | 0.01 | 1 | 0 | 11:08 |
| 47 | Mark Kastelic | 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 3 | 0.05 | 3 | 2 | 10:00 |
| Defense | ||||||||||
| 91 | Nikita Zadorov | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | 1 | 0.01 | 3 | 0 | 23:00 |
| 20 | Andrew Peeke | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0.05 | 3 | 1 | 21:28 |
| 20 | Henri Jokiharju | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0.01 | 1 | 0 | 19:46 |
| 6 | Mason Lohrei | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0.05 | 0 | 0 | 18:57 |
| 73 | Charlie McAvoy | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0.03 | 2 | 1 | 17:23 |
| Goalie | SA | GA | SV | SV% | xGA | GSAx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jeremy Swayman | 23 | 7 | 16 | .696 | 3.02 | -3.98 |
| Skater | G | A | P | +/− | Att | xG | Hit | Blk | TOI | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Forwards | ||||||||||
| 12 | Shane Pinto | 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 6 | 0.47 | 0 | 0 | 18:38 |
| 28 | Claude Giroux | 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 4 | 0.35 | 1 | 0 | 17:37 |
| 19 | Drake Batherson | 2 | 1 | 3 | +1 | 3 | 0.59 | 1 | 0 | 16:51 |
| 22 | Michael Amadio | 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 1 | 0.05 | 0 | 0 | 16:49 |
| 18 | Tim Stützle | 2 | 1 | 3 | +1 | 5 | 0.47 | 0 | 0 | 16:42 |
| 71 | Ridly Greig | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 0.11 | 2 | 1 | 15:54 |
| 20 | Lars Eller | 0 | 1 | 1 | -1 | 0 | 0.00 | 0 | 2 | 15:43 |
| 20 | Fabian Zetterlund | 1 | 1 | 2 | -1 | 3 | 0.08 | 1 | 2 | 14:51 |
| 16 | David Perron | 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 2 | 0.17 | 1 | 0 | 14:28 |
| 24 | Dylan Cozens | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0.01 | 3 | 0 | 14:09 |
| 21 | Nick Cousins | 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 4 | 0.51 | 1 | 1 | 12:38 |
| 23 | Kurtis MacDermid | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2 | 0 | 0.00 | 0 | 1 | 07:47 |
| Defense | ||||||||||
| 72 | Thomas Chabot | 0 | 1 | 1 | +3 | 3 | 0.07 | 1 | 2 | 20:20 |
| 85 | Jake Sanderson | 0 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 8 | 0.10 | 1 | 1 | 20:12 |
| 2 | Artem Zub | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0.00 | 2 | 2 | 19:44 |
| 43 | Tyler Kleven | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2 | 3 | 0.02 | 0 | 4 | 19:21 |
| 4 | Nick Jensen | 0 | 1 | 1 | +3 | 2 | 0.01 | 2 | 2 | 18:45 |
| 33 | Nikolas Matinpalo | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2 | 1 | 0.00 | 3 | 1 | 17:31 |
| Goalie | SA | GA | SV | SV% | xGA | GSAx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Leevi Meriläinen | 28 | 2 | 26 | .929 | 1.66 | -0.34 |
Skaters by time on ice. Goalie lines count shots with the goalie in net, from the NHL play-by-play.
What each player added to the result, in goals, from most to least. Hover a number for what it's made of.
| Player | Rating | Points | Shots | On ice | Pen | FO | Other | GSAx | TOI |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 93 Fraser Minten C | +1.50 | +0.70 | +0.17 | +0.63 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | — | 13:50 |
| 71 Viktor Arvidsson L | +1.39 | +0.75 | +0.17 | +0.49 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -0.02 | — | 14:58 |
| 84 Tanner Jeannot L | +1.20 | +0.55 | +0.05 | +0.57 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.03 | — | 14:58 |
| 81 Michael Eyssimont C | +0.45 | 0.00 | +0.12 | +0.50 | -0.15 | 0.00 | -0.02 | — | 12:00 |
| 20 Henri Jokiharju D | +0.01 | 0.00 | +0.01 | +0.02 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -0.02 | — | 19:46 |
| 47 Mark Kastelic C | -0.06 | 0.00 | +0.03 | -0.04 | -0.15 | 0.00 | +0.10 | — | 10:00 |
| 52 Sean Kuraly C | -0.19 | 0.00 | +0.04 | -0.27 | 0.00 | -0.06 | +0.10 | — | 13:16 |
| 26 Andrew Peeke D | -0.21 | 0.00 | +0.04 | -0.28 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.03 | — | 21:28 |
| 6 Mason Lohrei D | -0.29 | 0.00 | +0.03 | -0.30 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -0.02 | — | 18:57 |
| 18 Pavel Zacha C | -0.37 | 0.00 | +0.11 | -0.55 | 0.00 | +0.07 | 0.00 | — | 16:38 |
| 73 Charlie McAvoy D | -0.48 | 0.00 | +0.02 | -0.23 | -0.30 | 0.00 | +0.03 | — | 17:23 |
| 92 Marat Khusnutdinov C | -0.56 | 0.00 | +0.01 | -0.55 | 0.00 | -0.02 | 0.00 | — | 11:08 |
| 79 Michael Callahan D | -0.58 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -0.58 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | — | 18:26 |
| 39 Morgan Geekie C | -0.59 | +0.75 | +0.05 | -1.41 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.02 | — | 16:58 |
| 11 Casey Mittelstadt C | -0.69 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -0.72 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.03 | — | 14:53 |
| 28 Elias Lindholm C | -0.79 | 0.00 | +0.16 | -0.92 | 0.00 | -0.08 | +0.05 | — | 18:23 |
| 91 Nikita Zadorov D | -0.87 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -0.83 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -0.04 | — | 23:00 |
| 88 David Pastrnak R | -0.94 | 0.00 | +0.07 | -1.04 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.02 | — | 19:35 |
| 1 Jeremy Swayman G | -3.98 | 0.00 | — | — | 0.00 | — | — | -3.98 | 59:57 |
| Player | Rating | Points | Shots | On ice | Pen | FO | Other | GSAx | TOI |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Tim Stützle C | +3.24 | +2.20 | +0.31 | +0.64 | +0.15 | -0.04 | -0.02 | — | 16:42 |
| 19 Drake Batherson R | +2.90 | +2.05 | +0.38 | +0.44 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.02 | — | 16:51 |
| 85 Jake Sanderson D | +2.42 | +1.95 | +0.07 | +0.37 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.03 | — | 20:12 |
| 28 Claude Giroux R | +2.12 | +0.75 | +0.23 | +1.15 | 0.00 | +0.01 | -0.02 | — | 17:37 |
| 72 Thomas Chabot D | +1.99 | +0.70 | +0.05 | +1.16 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.08 | — | 20:20 |
| 22 Michael Amadio R | +1.92 | +0.70 | +0.03 | +1.04 | +0.15 | 0.00 | 0.00 | — | 16:49 |
| 3 Nick Jensen D | +1.81 | +0.55 | +0.01 | +1.15 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.10 | — | 18:45 |
| 12 Shane Pinto C | +1.80 | +0.55 | +0.30 | +0.93 | 0.00 | +0.06 | -0.04 | — | 18:38 |
| 21 Nick Cousins C | +1.72 | +0.75 | +0.33 | +0.60 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.03 | — | 12:38 |
| 57 David Perron L | +1.14 | +0.55 | +0.11 | +0.48 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | — | 14:28 |
| 20 Fabian Zetterlund L | +1.02 | +1.45 | +0.05 | -0.72 | +0.15 | -0.01 | +0.10 | — | 14:51 |
| 71 Ridly Greig C | +0.88 | +0.70 | +0.07 | +0.04 | 0.00 | +0.01 | +0.05 | — | 15:54 |
| 2 Artem Zub D | +0.42 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.34 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.08 | — | 19:44 |
| 24 Dylan Cozens C | +0.25 | +0.55 | +0.01 | -0.15 | -0.15 | -0.01 | 0.00 | — | 14:09 |
| 89 Lars Eller C | +0.16 | +0.55 | 0.00 | -0.56 | 0.00 | +0.07 | +0.10 | — | 15:43 |
| 43 Tyler Kleven D | -0.13 | 0.00 | +0.01 | -0.47 | +0.15 | 0.00 | +0.18 | — | 19:21 |
| 1 Leevi Meriläinen G | -0.19 | 0.00 | — | — | +0.15 | — | — | -0.34 | 60:00 |
| 33 Nikolas Matinpalo D | -0.35 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -0.38 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.03 | — | 17:31 |
| 23 Kurtis MacDermid L | -0.49 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -0.54 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.05 | — | 7:47 |
An expected-goals take on Dom Luszczyszyn's Game Score: goals and assists, the quality of a player's own shots, shot quality for and against while they were on the ice at 5v5, penalties, faceoffs and puck plays, all in goals; goalies by goals saved above expected. From the NHL play-by-play and shift charts.