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Pittsburgh PenguinsPIT 2–3 Final/SO Philadelphia FlyersPHI

Tuesday, October 28, 2025

Final/SO 1st2nd3rdOTSO T SOG
Pittsburgh PenguinsPIT 10101 2 26
Philadelphia FlyersPHI 11002 3 34

No impact calculated for this game. Impacts are calculated for games in the next 7 days.

Highlights

Scoring

1st Period
10:19 PIT Justin Brazeau (6) Anthony Mantha (5), Mathew Dumba (1) · wrist xG 0.07 1–0 ▶
17:25 PHI Bobby Brink (3)PP Noah Cates (3), Trevor Zegras (7) · wrist xG 0.27 1–1 ▶
2nd Period
2:46 PHI Travis Konecny (2) Sean Couturier (7), Bobby Brink (4) · snap xG 0.06 1–2 ▶
3rd Period
11:57 PIT Sidney Crosby (8) Filip Hallander (3), Bryan Rust (5) · backhand xG 0.05 2–2
Overtime
No scoring
Shootout
PHI Travis Konecny vs Arturs Silovs Saved
PIT Bryan Rust vs Samuel Ersson Saved
PHI Matvei Michkov vs Arturs Silovs Goal
PIT Evgeni Malkin vs Samuel Ersson Goal
PHI Bobby Brink vs Arturs Silovs Goal
PIT Ville Koivunen vs Samuel Ersson Saved

Score away–home after each goal; season totals in parentheses.

Shot quality

Expected goals (xG) rate every unblocked shot by how often shots like it go in, from where it was taken, the shot type, the strength and what happened just before it. How it works

PIT 32%Deserve to win68% PHI
PITPHI
2.10Expected goals3.13
2Goals (no shootout)2
1.27Expected goals, 5 on 51.96
53Shot attempts64
37Unblocked attempts50
26Shots on goal34

Game notes

What stood out as the game went on, from the play-by-play and the shifts. Time on the bench is counted in 5-on-5 play outside the penalty box; the note says the player sat, not why. Goals saved are against the shots' expected goals (xG).

3rd Period
17:10 PHI Shortened bench Shortened bench · 2 forwards sat
Abols and Deslauriers: no shift after 5:05 of the 3rd

Shot map

PIT shoots ←Bigger circle: higher xG; filled: goal→ PHI shoots
Filip Hallander: wrist, 80 ft, xG 0.00 (P1 0:12) Erik Karlsson: wrist, 64 ft, xG 0.01 (P1 0:20) Travis Konecny: snap, 88 ft, xG 0.00 (P1 1:12) Ben Kindel: wrist, 24 ft, xG 0.03 (P1 1:36) Ben Kindel: tip-in, 11 ft, xG 0.07 (P1 1:47) Kris Letang: wrist, 24 ft, xG 0.02 (P1 1:49) Matvei Michkov: wrist, 29 ft, xG 0.07 (P1 2:01) Matvei Michkov: backhand, 8 ft, xG 0.15 (P1 2:03) Garnet Hathaway: backhand, 41 ft, xG 0.00 (P1 2:10) Connor Dewar: wrist, 55 ft, xG 0.00 (P1 2:41) Kris Letang: wrist, 48 ft, xG 0.01 (P1 3:40) Evgeni Malkin: wrist, 30 ft, xG 0.08 (P1 3:50) Trevor Zegras: bat, 17 ft, xG 0.07 (P1 4:29) Noah Juulsen: wrist, 64 ft, xG 0.02 (P1 4:35) Erik Karlsson: wrist, 58 ft, xG 0.01 (P1 7:46) Ben Kindel: backhand, 10 ft, xG 0.25 (P1 7:49) Nick Seeler: wrist, 13 ft, xG 0.07 (P1 8:42) Nick Seeler: backhand, 7 ft, xG 0.04 (P1 8:43) Jamie Drysdale: snap, 40 ft, xG 0.06 (P1 9:12) Travis Konecny: snap, 53 ft, xG 0.02 (P1 9:45) Justin Brazeau: wrist, 32 ft, xG 0.03 (P1 9:58) Nicolas Deslauriers: snap, 45 ft, xG 0.01 (P1 10:28) Jamie Drysdale: wrist, 73 ft, xG 0.01 (P1 10:55) Erik Karlsson: slap, 57 ft, xG 0.01 (P1 11:21) Erik Karlsson: slap, 45 ft, xG 0.05 (P1 12:03) Bryan Rust: wrist, 11 ft, xG 0.15 (P1 12:05) Rodrigo Abols: wrist, 6 ft, xG 0.05 (P1 15:07) Rodrigo Abols: wrist, 7 ft, xG 0.02 (P1 15:08) Noah Cates: wrist, 8 ft, xG 0.16 (P1 17:23) Tyson Foerster: tip-in, 18 ft, xG 0.05 (P1 19:39) Cam York: wrist, 51 ft, xG 0.03 (P1 19:48) Travis Konecny: wrist, 28 ft, xG 0.17 (P2 2:14) Travis Konecny: wrist, 9 ft, xG 0.05 (P2 2:15) Noah Juulsen: backhand, 12 ft, xG 0.07 (P2 3:11) Filip Hallander: backhand, 35 ft, xG 0.01 (P2 3:54) Travis Sanheim: slap, 58 ft, xG 0.04 (P2 4:37) Connor Dewar: snap, 11 ft, xG 0.21 (P2 6:35) Nick Seeler: wrist, 50 ft, xG 0.02 (P2 7:46) Nick Seeler: snap, 68 ft, xG 0.01 (P2 8:14) Jamie Drysdale: wrist, 57 ft, xG 0.00 (P2 8:19) Owen Tippett: wrist, 42 ft, xG 0.01 (P2 8:33) Garnet Hathaway: backhand, 17 ft, xG 0.02 (P2 9:38) Matvei Michkov: backhand, 7 ft, xG 0.15 (P2 10:02) Bobby Brink: snap, 16 ft, xG 0.08 (P2 10:14) Evgeni Malkin: slap, 47 ft, xG 0.03 (P2 10:27) Sidney Crosby: snap, 20 ft, xG 0.04 (P2 10:28) Tyson Foerster: wrist, 28 ft, xG 0.18 (P2 10:49) Erik Karlsson: wrist, 33 ft, xG 0.09 (P2 11:31) Tyson Foerster: backhand, 7 ft, xG 0.21 (P2 14:24) Kris Letang: wrist, 58 ft, xG 0.02 (P2 15:54) Matvei Michkov: backhand, 24 ft, xG 0.01 (P2 16:14) Nick Seeler: wrist, 55 ft, xG 0.02 (P2 16:27) Owen Tippett: snap, 36 ft, xG 0.08 (P2 18:48) Bobby Brink: wrist, 9 ft, xG 0.05 (P2 19:21) Noah Cates: wrist, 10 ft, xG 0.05 (P2 19:22) Sean Couturier: slap, 51 ft, xG 0.05 (P2 19:51) Tyson Foerster: slap, 45 ft, xG 0.06 (P3 0:43) Travis Sanheim: wrist, 43 ft, xG 0.01 (P3 1:40) Sean Couturier: slap, 45 ft, xG 0.05 (P3 1:44) Owen Tippett: wrist, 143 ft, xG 0.00 (P3 2:05) Trevor Zegras: wrist, 31 ft, xG 0.09 (P3 2:19) Anthony Mantha: wrist, 55 ft, xG 0.02 (P3 2:56) Ben Kindel: wrist, 39 ft, xG 0.04 (P3 4:08) Ville Koivunen: slap, 42 ft, xG 0.03 (P3 4:26) Tommy Novak: wrist, 28 ft, xG 0.03 (P3 4:52) Travis Konecny: wrist, 23 ft, xG 0.15 (P3 6:35) Travis Sanheim: wrist, 31 ft, xG 0.05 (P3 6:49) Nick Seeler: wrist, 31 ft, xG 0.04 (P3 7:44) Kris Letang: wrist, 67 ft, xG 0.01 (P3 8:11) Justin Brazeau: wrist, 27 ft, xG 0.12 (P3 10:09) Filip Hallander: wrist, 7 ft, xG 0.04 (P3 11:39) Filip Hallander: wrist, 7 ft, xG 0.02 (P3 11:40) Evgeni Malkin: wrist, 38 ft, xG 0.03 (P3 13:02) Trevor Zegras: snap, 48 ft, xG 0.02 (P3 15:19) Erik Karlsson: slap, 56 ft, xG 0.03 (P3 15:59) Sidney Crosby: snap, 40 ft, xG 0.01 (P3 16:06) Erik Karlsson: wrist, 28 ft, xG 0.06 (OT 0:11) Kris Letang: wrist, 10 ft, xG 0.17 (OT 0:41) Sidney Crosby: tip-in, 9 ft, xG 0.14 (OT 1:18) Erik Karlsson: slap, 43 ft, xG 0.08 (OT 1:36) Nick Seeler: wrist, 42 ft, xG 0.06 (OT 1:48) Nick Seeler: deflected, 26 ft, xG 0.08 (OT 2:07) Noah Cates: tip-in, 9 ft, xG 0.10 (OT 3:11) Justin Brazeau: GOAL, wrist, 11 ft, xG 0.07 (P1 10:19) Bobby Brink: GOAL, wrist, 8 ft, xG 0.27 (P1 17:25) Travis Konecny: GOAL, snap, 37 ft, xG 0.06 (P2 2:46) Sidney Crosby: GOAL, backhand, 10 ft, xG 0.05 (P3 11:57)
About these numbers

xG comes from hockeystats.io's own model, a gradient-boosted tree model trained on every unblocked shot from the 2021-22 to 2025-26 regular seasons using the NHL's public play-by-play. Each shot's value is the share of similar shots that became goals. A team's xG is the sum over its shots; "deserve to win" asks how often the team would outscore its opponent if every shot went in at exactly that rate. Blocked shots count as attempts but have no xG (the NHL records where they were blocked, not where they were taken), so the map leaves them out.

Box score

Pittsburgh Penguins

Skater GAP+/− AttxG HitBlkTOI
Forwards
17 Bryan Rust 011 +1 10.15 0023:33
87 Sidney Crosby 101 +1 60.24 1023:15
71 Evgeni Malkin 000 +1 30.15 1020:22
39 Anthony Mantha 011 +1 20.02 0118:50
19 Filip Hallander 011 +1 60.07 1115:46
16 Justin Brazeau 101 0 30.22 0115:02
46 Blake Lizotte 000 0 00.00 3314:08
52 Noel Acciari 000 0 00.00 1113:10
81 Ben Kindel 000 -1 40.40 0012:47
41 Ville Koivunen 000 -1 20.03 1011:38
19 Connor Dewar 000 0 30.21 3011:21
18 Tommy Novak 000 0 30.03 0011:08
Defense
65 Erik Karlsson 000 +1 100.35 0231:42
29 Parker Wotherspoon 000 0 10.00 2023:35
58 Kris Letang 000 -1 60.23 0221:10
6 Ryan Shea 000 -1 10.00 0017:41
Goalie SAGA SVSV% xGA GSAx
Arturs Silovs 34232 .941 3.13 +1.13

Philadelphia Flyers

Skater GAP+/− AttxG HitBlkTOI
Forwards
27 Noah Cates 011 0 30.31 1021:34
71 Tyson Foerster 000 0 40.50 0220:20
14 Sean Couturier 011 0 20.10 0019:02
46 Trevor Zegras 011 -1 60.19 0018:52
10 Bobby Brink 112 +1 40.39 2017:51
11 Travis Konecny 101 0 70.46 1017:28
74 Owen Tippett 000 -1 50.09 1015:27
22 Christian Dvorak 000 -1 00.00 0014:49
39 Matvei Michkov 000 -1 50.38 2014:49
21 Garnet Hathaway 000 0 20.02 1109:39
44 Nicolas Deslauriers 000 0 10.01 4009:22
18 Rodrigo Abols 000 0 40.07 3008:53
Defense
8 Cam York 000 +1 10.03 0228:18
6 Travis Sanheim 000 0 30.10 1128:09
9 Jamie Drysdale 000 0 40.07 0221:33
24 Nick Seeler 000 -1 100.33 1320:33
47 Noah Juulsen 000 -1 20.08 3212:54
Goalie SAGA SVSV% xGA GSAx
Samuel Ersson 26224 .923 2.10 +0.10

Skaters by time on ice. Goalie lines count shots with the goalie in net, from the NHL play-by-play.

Player ratings

What each player added to the result, in goals, from most to least. Hover a number for what it's made of.

Pittsburgh Penguins

Player Rating Points Shots On ice Pen FO Other GSAx TOI
37 Arturs Silovs G +1.13 0.00 — — 0.00 — — +1.13 65:00
16 Justin Brazeau R +1.06 +0.75 +0.14 +0.12 0.00 0.00 +0.05 — 15:02
39 Anthony Mantha R +0.95 +0.70 +0.01 +0.25 0.00 0.00 -0.01 — 18:50
87 Sidney Crosby C +0.49 +0.75 +0.16 -0.60 +0.15 +0.02 +0.02 — 23:15
65 Erik Karlsson D +0.43 0.00 +0.22 +0.14 0.00 0.00 +0.06 — 31:42
24 Mathew Dumba D +0.28 +0.55 0.00 0.00 -0.30 0.00 +0.03 — 14:33
81 Ben Kindel C +0.23 0.00 +0.26 -0.11 +0.15 -0.05 -0.02 — 12:47
18 Tommy Novak C +0.16 0.00 +0.02 +0.14 0.00 0.00 0.00 — 11:08
11 Filip Hallander C +0.09 +0.70 +0.05 -0.68 0.00 0.00 +0.03 — 15:46
19 Connor Dewar C +0.07 0.00 +0.14 -0.07 0.00 0.00 0.00 — 11:21
46 Blake Lizotte C +0.05 0.00 0.00 -0.11 0.00 +0.01 +0.15 — 14:08
55 Noel Acciari C +0.01 0.00 0.00 -0.07 0.00 +0.03 +0.05 — 13:10
17 Bryan Rust R -0.03 +0.55 +0.10 -0.81 +0.15 0.00 -0.02 — 23:33
71 Evgeni Malkin C -0.05 0.00 +0.09 +0.20 -0.30 -0.03 -0.02 — 20:22
41 Ville Koivunen R -0.06 0.00 +0.02 -0.06 0.00 0.00 -0.02 — 11:38
28 Parker Wotherspoon D -0.11 0.00 0.00 -0.11 0.00 0.00 0.00 — 23:35
58 Kris Letang D -0.14 0.00 +0.15 -0.50 +0.15 0.00 +0.06 — 21:10
38 Owen Pickering D -0.29 0.00 0.00 -0.23 0.00 0.00 -0.06 — 13:12
5 Ryan Shea D -0.47 0.00 0.00 -0.51 0.00 0.00 +0.04 — 17:41

Philadelphia Flyers

Player Rating Points Shots On ice Pen FO Other GSAx TOI
10 Bobby Brink R +2.37 +1.30 +0.26 +0.82 0.00 0.00 0.00 — 17:51
27 Noah Cates L +1.63 +0.70 +0.20 +0.68 +0.15 -0.08 -0.02 — 21:34
11 Travis Konecny R +1.19 +0.75 +0.30 +0.18 0.00 -0.02 -0.02 — 17:28
71 Tyson Foerster R +0.98 0.00 +0.33 +0.55 0.00 0.00 +0.10 — 20:21
9 Jamie Drysdale D +0.96 0.00 +0.04 +0.84 0.00 0.00 +0.08 — 21:33
14 Sean Couturier C +0.94 +0.70 +0.07 +0.14 0.00 +0.03 0.00 — 19:02
6 Travis Sanheim D +0.80 0.00 +0.06 +0.75 0.00 0.00 -0.01 — 28:09
8 Cam York D +0.68 0.00 +0.02 +0.74 -0.15 0.00 +0.08 — 28:18
24 Nick Seeler D +0.63 0.00 +0.21 +0.27 0.00 0.00 +0.15 — 20:33
46 Trevor Zegras C +0.57 +0.55 +0.12 -0.12 0.00 +0.02 0.00 — 18:52
39 Matvei Michkov R +0.12 0.00 +0.25 -0.03 0.00 0.00 -0.10 — 14:50
33 Samuel Ersson G +0.10 0.00 — — 0.00 — — +0.10 64:44
74 Owen Tippett R +0.07 0.00 +0.06 -0.10 +0.15 0.00 -0.04 — 15:27
18 Rodrigo Abols C +0.03 0.00 +0.04 -0.04 0.00 +0.03 0.00 — 8:53
44 Nicolas Deslauriers L -0.01 0.00 +0.01 -0.02 0.00 0.00 0.00 — 9:22
22 Christian Dvorak C -0.06 0.00 0.00 -0.09 0.00 +0.03 0.00 — 14:48
19 Garnet Hathaway R -0.22 0.00 +0.02 -0.15 -0.15 +0.01 +0.05 — 9:39
47 Noah Juulsen D -0.57 0.00 +0.06 -0.73 0.00 0.00 +0.10 — 12:53
5 Egor Zamula D -0.60 0.00 0.00 -0.65 0.00 0.00 +0.05 — 11:54

An expected-goals take on Dom Luszczyszyn's Game Score: goals and assists, the quality of a player's own shots, shot quality for and against while they were on the ice at 5v5, penalties, faceoffs and puck plays, all in goals; goalies by goals saved above expected. From the NHL play-by-play and shift charts.