hockeystats.io

Columbus Blue JacketsCBJ 4–3 Final/OT Buffalo SabresBUF

Tuesday, October 28, 2025

Final/OT 1st2nd3rdOT T SOG
Columbus Blue JacketsCBJ 1111 4 39
Buffalo SabresBUF 0210 3 38

No impact calculated for this game. Impacts are calculated for games in the next 7 days.

Highlights

Scoring

1st Period
6:09 CBJ Egor Chinakhov (2) Unassisted · backhand xG 0.18 1–0 ▶
2nd Period
11:39 BUF Josh Doan (3) Alex Tuch (5), Conor Timmins (3) · wrist xG 0.26 1–1 ▶
14:12 BUF Ryan McLeod (3) Bowen Byram (4), Alex Tuch (6) · wrist xG 0.02 1–2 ▶
19:44 CBJ Zach Werenski (2)PP Kirill Marchenko (4), Sean Monahan (4) · slap xG 0.04 2–2 ▶
3rd Period
2:40 BUF Josh Dunne (1) Beck Malenstyn (1), Mattias Samuelsson (4) · poke xG 0.23 2–3 ▶
13:55 CBJ Miles Wood (2) Egor Chinakhov (2), Dante Fabbro (2) · tip-in xG 0.11 3–3 ▶
Overtime
2:53 CBJ Miles Wood (3) Zach Werenski (4), Isac Lundeström (2) · tip-in xG 0.29 4–3 ▶

Score away–home after each goal; season totals in parentheses.

Shot quality

Expected goals (xG) rate every unblocked shot by how often shots like it go in, from where it was taken, the shot type, the strength and what happened just before it. How it works

CBJ 60%Deserve to win40% BUF
CBJBUF
3.68Expected goals3.06
4Goals (no shootout)3
3.07Expected goals, 5 on 52.60
77Shot attempts66
56Unblocked attempts50
39Shots on goal38

Game notes

What stood out as the game went on, from the play-by-play and the shifts. Time on the bench is counted in 5-on-5 play outside the penalty box; the note says the player sat, not why. Goals saved are against the shots' expected goals (xG).

3rd Period
16:30 CBJ No shift No shift · Christiansen, 13:36 on the bench
No shift after 6:24 of the 3rd; 13 shifts (10:48) before that

Shot map

CBJ shoots ←Bigger circle: higher xG; filled: goal→ BUF shoots
Jake Christiansen: wrist, 65 ft, xG 0.01 (P1 1:52) Zach Werenski: wrist, 39 ft, xG 0.01 (P1 2:55) Kirill Marchenko: backhand, 22 ft, xG 0.05 (P1 3:59) Boone Jenner: wrist, 34 ft, xG 0.10 (P1 4:50) Charlie Coyle: wrist, 36 ft, xG 0.01 (P1 5:16) Mathieu Olivier: deflected, 8 ft, xG 0.02 (P1 5:17) Dante Fabbro: wrist, 63 ft, xG 0.01 (P1 5:22) Charlie Coyle: tip-in, 17 ft, xG 0.02 (P1 5:26) Ivan Provorov: wrist, 55 ft, xG 0.01 (P1 6:29) Jake Christiansen: wrist, 22 ft, xG 0.04 (P1 7:30) Dante Fabbro: wrist, 68 ft, xG 0.01 (P1 7:44) Jake Christiansen: snap, 49 ft, xG 0.00 (P1 7:47) Kent Johnson: wrist, 10 ft, xG 0.12 (P1 8:33) Zach Werenski: wrist, 62 ft, xG 0.01 (P1 11:04) Michael Kesselring: wrist, 67 ft, xG 0.01 (P1 11:39) Rasmus Dahlin: slap, 49 ft, xG 0.03 (P1 12:46) Kirill Marchenko: backhand, 6 ft, xG 0.14 (P1 14:33) Kirill Marchenko: deflected, 5 ft, xG 0.03 (P1 14:34) Kent Johnson: wrist, 24 ft, xG 0.10 (P1 15:07) Zach Werenski: wrist, 41 ft, xG 0.01 (P1 15:16) Jason Zucker: wrist, 17 ft, xG 0.04 (P1 15:34) Rasmus Dahlin: wrist, 46 ft, xG 0.03 (P1 15:59) Mathieu Olivier: backhand, 107 ft, xG 0.00 (P1 16:22) Michael Kesselring: wrist, 48 ft, xG 0.01 (P1 17:13) Tage Thompson: backhand, 16 ft, xG 0.06 (P1 17:18) Michael Kesselring: wrist, 62 ft, xG 0.00 (P1 17:25) Tage Thompson: snap, 26 ft, xG 0.05 (P1 17:32) Josh Dunne: tip-in, 20 ft, xG 0.07 (P1 18:20) Beck Malenstyn: poke, 24 ft, xG 0.10 (P1 18:24) Peyton Krebs: poke, 9 ft, xG 0.04 (P1 18:24) Jack Quinn: wrist, 59 ft, xG 0.03 (P1 19:58) Sean Monahan: backhand, 14 ft, xG 0.14 (P2 0:58) Dmitri Voronkov: wrist, 9 ft, xG 0.16 (P2 1:16) Tage Thompson: wrist, 27 ft, xG 0.14 (P2 1:28) Owen Power: wrist, 27 ft, xG 0.08 (P2 2:09) Noah Ostlund: snap, 26 ft, xG 0.15 (P2 3:03) Rasmus Dahlin: snap, 35 ft, xG 0.04 (P2 4:24) Boone Jenner: wrist, 16 ft, xG 0.05 (P2 5:39) Dante Fabbro: wrist, 67 ft, xG 0.01 (P2 5:45) Josh Doan: deflected, 9 ft, xG 0.13 (P2 8:20) Josh Doan: slap, 39 ft, xG 0.06 (P2 8:41) Miles Wood: wrist, 19 ft, xG 0.18 (P2 8:51) Damon Severson: wrist, 84 ft, xG 0.00 (P2 9:16) Bowen Byram: wrist, 34 ft, xG 0.03 (P2 9:27) Michael Kesselring: slap, 62 ft, xG 0.02 (P2 9:32) Boone Jenner: wrist, 36 ft, xG 0.09 (P2 10:04) Kent Johnson: snap, 62 ft, xG 0.01 (P2 10:26) Kent Johnson: wrist, 61 ft, xG 0.01 (P2 10:37) Rasmus Dahlin: wrist, 153 ft, xG 0.00 (P2 11:06) Alex Tuch: slap, 27 ft, xG 0.15 (P2 11:23) Josh Doan: slap, 11 ft, xG 0.13 (P2 11:37) Noah Ostlund: wrist, 42 ft, xG 0.01 (P2 12:56) Jack Quinn: wrist, 40 ft, xG 0.05 (P2 15:13) Jake Christiansen: wrist, 36 ft, xG 0.05 (P2 15:28) Dmitri Voronkov: backhand, 6 ft, xG 0.14 (P2 15:35) Kirill Marchenko: wrist, 7 ft, xG 0.05 (P2 15:35) Egor Chinakhov: snap, 28 ft, xG 0.07 (P2 16:33) Tage Thompson: wrist, 36 ft, xG 0.01 (P2 18:02) Mathieu Olivier: snap, 7 ft, xG 0.07 (P2 18:37) Kent Johnson: wrist, 36 ft, xG 0.07 (P2 19:32) Tage Thompson: snap, 41 ft, xG 0.04 (P3 1:04) Josh Doan: tip-in, 11 ft, xG 0.11 (P3 1:17) Jack Quinn: wrist, 30 ft, xG 0.09 (P3 1:36) Jack Quinn: wrist, 35 ft, xG 0.06 (P3 2:10) Mattias Samuelsson: wrist, 51 ft, xG 0.01 (P3 2:36) Beck Malenstyn: poke, 8 ft, xG 0.03 (P3 2:38) Michael Kesselring: wrist, 64 ft, xG 0.01 (P3 2:56) Alex Tuch: wrist, 33 ft, xG 0.11 (P3 3:12) Michael Kesselring: wrist, 68 ft, xG 0.01 (P3 3:30) Rasmus Dahlin: snap, 58 ft, xG 0.02 (P3 3:37) Adam Fantilli: snap, 47 ft, xG 0.02 (P3 4:03) Zach Werenski: wrist, 35 ft, xG 0.05 (P3 4:08) Sean Monahan: wrist, 11 ft, xG 0.14 (P3 4:11) Kirill Marchenko: wrist, 25 ft, xG 0.05 (P3 4:35) Ivan Provorov: wrist, 39 ft, xG 0.05 (P3 5:21) Noah Ostlund: slap, 34 ft, xG 0.10 (P3 6:08) Jack Quinn: wrist, 31 ft, xG 0.08 (P3 6:18) Boone Jenner: snap, 25 ft, xG 0.14 (P3 7:23) Dmitri Voronkov: slap, 7 ft, xG 0.16 (P3 7:31) Sean Monahan: slap, 46 ft, xG 0.05 (P3 7:45) Mathieu Olivier: snap, 38 ft, xG 0.01 (P3 7:47) Josh Doan: wrist, 21 ft, xG 0.03 (P3 8:30) Adam Fantilli: wrist, 35 ft, xG 0.05 (P3 9:55) Tage Thompson: wrist, 45 ft, xG 0.03 (P3 10:35) Alex Tuch: snap, 69 ft, xG 0.01 (P3 11:02) Isac Lundeström: deflected, 84 ft, xG 0.00 (P3 12:26) Beck Malenstyn: wrist, 38 ft, xG 0.03 (P3 12:57) Isac Lundeström: wrist, 7 ft, xG 0.18 (P3 13:34) Dante Fabbro: wrist, 63 ft, xG 0.02 (P3 13:41) Rasmus Dahlin: slap, 50 ft, xG 0.03 (P3 15:26) Owen Power: snap, 33 ft, xG 0.03 (P3 15:41) Cole Sillinger: wrist, 50 ft, xG 0.01 (P3 16:19) Sean Monahan: deflected, 6 ft, xG 0.07 (P3 16:25) Damon Severson: backhand, 12 ft, xG 0.03 (P3 16:51) Josh Dunne: wrist, 16 ft, xG 0.04 (P3 17:35) Zach Werenski: wrist, 69 ft, xG 0.01 (P3 18:58) Tage Thompson: wrist, 51 ft, xG 0.03 (P3 19:49) Jiri Kulich: wrist, 18 ft, xG 0.18 (OT 0:37) Kirill Marchenko: wrist, 11 ft, xG 0.21 (OT 0:46) Egor Chinakhov: GOAL, backhand, 6 ft, xG 0.18 (P1 6:09) Josh Doan: GOAL, wrist, 9 ft, xG 0.26 (P2 11:39) Ryan McLeod: GOAL, wrist, 48 ft, xG 0.02 (P2 14:12) Zach Werenski: GOAL, slap, 58 ft, xG 0.04 (P2 19:44) Josh Dunne: GOAL, poke, 8 ft, xG 0.23 (P3 2:40) Miles Wood: GOAL, tip-in, 8 ft, xG 0.11 (P3 13:55) Miles Wood: GOAL, tip-in, 7 ft, xG 0.29 (OT 2:53)
About these numbers

xG comes from hockeystats.io's own model, a gradient-boosted tree model trained on every unblocked shot from the 2021-22 to 2025-26 regular seasons using the NHL's public play-by-play. Each shot's value is the share of similar shots that became goals. A team's xG is the sum over its shots; "deserve to win" asks how often the team would outscore its opponent if every shot went in at exactly that rate. Blocked shots count as attempts but have no xG (the NHL records where they were blocked, not where they were taken), so the map leaves them out.

Box score

Columbus Blue Jackets

Skater GAP+/− AttxG HitBlkTOI
Forwards
19 Adam Fantilli 000 -1 20.07 4117:31
22 Boone Jenner 000 0 70.37 0116:56
23 Sean Monahan 011 -1 50.39 1016:05
86 Kirill Marchenko 011 -1 70.53 0115:52
91 Kent Johnson 000 -1 60.31 0015:38
4 Cole Sillinger 000 -2 10.01 2015:33
24 Mathieu Olivier 000 -1 50.10 3015:24
3 Charlie Coyle 000 -1 30.03 0014:44
10 Dmitri Voronkov 000 -1 30.46 3013:59
21 Isac Lundeström 011 +3 20.18 0113:48
18 Miles Wood 202 +3 40.58 4013:24
59 Egor Chinakhov 112 +2 30.26 1012:49
Defense
8 Zach Werenski 112 +1 90.13 0327:59
9 Ivan Provorov 000 0 50.05 3126:13
5 Denton Mateychuk 000 -1 10.00 0322:55
78 Damon Severson 000 -2 30.04 2220:07
15 Dante Fabbro 011 +1 50.05 0114:54
2 Jake Christiansen 000 0 60.10 0010:48
Goalie SAGA SVSV% xGA GSAx
Jet Greaves 38335 .921 3.06 +0.06

Buffalo Sabres

Skater GAP+/− AttxG HitBlkTOI
Forwards
20 Jiri Kulich 000 -1 20.18 1219:56
72 Tage Thompson 000 0 80.36 0219:26
6 Zach Benson 000 0 10.00 1119:13
17 Jason Zucker 000 -1 20.04 1016:20
71 Ryan McLeod 101 +1 10.02 0016:17
22 Jack Quinn 000 0 50.31 1016:03
89 Alex Tuch 022 0 40.27 0015:39
91 Josh Doan 101 +1 60.73 0113:50
29 Beck Malenstyn 011 0 40.16 4213:48
19 Peyton Krebs 000 0 10.04 1112:47
44 Josh Dunne 101 +1 30.34 1112:45
86 Noah Ostlund 000 0 40.26 0012:16
Defense
26 Rasmus Dahlin 000 0 80.15 1223:01
25 Owen Power 000 -2 30.10 0221:07
23 Mattias Samuelsson 011 +1 30.01 0319:48
24 Bowen Byram 011 +1 10.03 0219:19
21 Conor Timmins 011 0 10.00 1118:42
7 Michael Kesselring 000 +1 90.07 1017:58
Goalie SAGA SVSV% xGA GSAx
Alex Lyon 39435 .897 3.68 -0.32

Skaters by time on ice. Goalie lines count shots with the goalie in net, from the NHL play-by-play.

Player ratings

What each player added to the result, in goals, from most to least. Hover a number for what it's made of.

Columbus Blue Jackets

Player Rating Points Shots On ice Pen FO Other GSAx TOI
11 Miles Wood L +2.34 +1.50 +0.38 +0.49 0.00 0.00 -0.02 — 13:24
59 Egor Chinakhov R +1.98 +1.45 +0.17 +0.36 0.00 0.00 0.00 — 12:49
8 Zach Werenski D +1.79 +1.45 +0.08 +0.25 0.00 0.00 +0.01 — 27:59
86 Kirill Marchenko R +1.68 +0.70 +0.34 +0.70 -0.08 0.00 +0.01 — 15:52
23 Sean Monahan C +1.52 +0.55 +0.26 +0.68 0.00 +0.03 0.00 — 16:05
15 Dante Fabbro D +1.48 +0.55 +0.03 +0.81 0.00 0.00 +0.09 — 14:54
21 Isac Lundeström C +1.02 +0.55 +0.12 +0.29 0.00 +0.03 +0.03 — 13:48
10 Dmitri Voronkov L +0.72 0.00 +0.30 +0.49 -0.08 -0.01 +0.02 — 13:59
38 Boone Jenner C +0.63 0.00 +0.24 +0.31 0.00 +0.01 +0.07 — 16:56
91 Kent Johnson C +0.35 0.00 +0.20 +0.17 0.00 0.00 -0.02 — 15:38
9 Ivan Provorov D +0.31 0.00 +0.04 +0.20 0.00 0.00 +0.07 — 26:13
19 Adam Fantilli C +0.28 0.00 +0.05 +0.15 0.00 +0.04 +0.05 — 17:31
2 Jake Christiansen D +0.17 0.00 +0.07 +0.11 0.00 0.00 0.00 — 10:48
5 Denton Mateychuk D +0.16 0.00 0.00 -0.14 +0.15 0.00 +0.15 — 22:55
73 Jet Greaves G +0.06 0.00 — — 0.00 — — +0.06 62:53
78 Damon Severson D -0.52 0.00 +0.02 -0.49 -0.15 0.00 +0.10 — 20:07
3 Charlie Coyle C -0.76 0.00 +0.02 -0.75 0.00 -0.01 -0.02 — 14:44
24 Mathieu Olivier R -0.80 0.00 +0.07 -0.86 0.00 0.00 0.00 — 15:24
4 Cole Sillinger C -0.92 0.00 +0.01 -0.92 0.00 -0.01 0.00 — 15:33

Buffalo Sabres

Player Rating Points Shots On ice Pen FO Other GSAx TOI
89 Alex Tuch R +1.78 +1.25 +0.17 +0.56 -0.15 -0.01 -0.04 — 15:39
91 Josh Doan R +1.68 +0.75 +0.47 +0.37 0.00 0.00 +0.09 — 13:50
44 Josh Dunne C +1.53 +0.75 +0.22 +0.37 +0.15 -0.01 +0.05 — 12:45
29 Beck Malenstyn L +1.06 +0.70 +0.10 +0.01 +0.15 0.00 +0.10 — 13:48
71 Ryan McLeod C +0.93 +0.75 +0.01 +0.17 0.00 0.00 0.00 — 16:17
4 Bowen Byram D +0.85 +0.70 +0.02 +0.05 0.00 0.00 +0.08 — 19:19
23 Mattias Samuelsson D +0.70 +0.55 +0.01 +0.02 0.00 0.00 +0.13 — 19:48
21 Conor Timmins D +0.48 +0.55 0.00 -0.12 0.00 0.00 +0.05 — 18:42
22 Jack Quinn R +0.43 0.00 +0.20 +0.24 0.00 0.00 -0.02 — 16:03
86 Noah Ostlund C +0.28 0.00 +0.17 +0.11 0.00 0.00 0.00 — 12:16
19 Peyton Krebs C +0.20 0.00 +0.03 +0.14 0.00 -0.02 +0.05 — 12:47
8 Michael Kesselring D +0.14 0.00 +0.04 +0.13 0.00 0.00 -0.04 — 17:58
25 Owen Power D -0.12 0.00 +0.07 -0.29 0.00 0.00 +0.10 — 21:07
17 Jason Zucker L -0.18 0.00 +0.03 -0.18 0.00 -0.02 0.00 — 16:20
34 Alex Lyon G -0.32 0.00 — — 0.00 — — -0.32 62:53
26 Rasmus Dahlin D -0.34 0.00 +0.10 -0.54 0.00 0.00 +0.10 — 23:01
20 Jiri Kulich C -0.64 0.00 +0.12 -0.82 0.00 -0.01 +0.08 — 19:56
72 Tage Thompson C -0.82 0.00 +0.23 -1.13 0.00 -0.01 +0.08 — 19:26
6 Zach Benson L -0.87 0.00 0.00 -0.92 0.00 0.00 +0.05 — 19:13

An expected-goals take on Dom Luszczyszyn's Game Score: goals and assists, the quality of a player's own shots, shot quality for and against while they were on the ice at 5v5, penalties, faceoffs and puck plays, all in goals; goalies by goals saved above expected. From the NHL play-by-play and shift charts.