| Final | 1st | 2nd | 3rd | T | SOG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 35 | |
| 0 | 3 | 2 | 5 | 22 |
No impact calculated for this game. Impacts are calculated for games in the next 7 days.
| 1st Period | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| 1:08 | Bo Horvat (6) Jonathan Drouin (5) · snap xG 0.08 | 1–0 ▶ | |
| 4:52 | Kyle Palmieri (4) Mathew Barzal (6), Bo Horvat (5) · snap xG 0.17 | 2–0 ▶ | |
| 2nd Period | |||
| 3:57 | Elias Lindholm (4)PP Pavel Zacha (8), David Pastrnak (9) · snap xG 0.13 | 2–1 ▶ | |
| 6:49 | David Pastrnak (6) Hampus Lindholm (1), Andrew Peeke (2) · wrist xG 0.10 | 2–2 ▶ | |
| 7:48 | Michael Eyssimont (3) Charlie McAvoy (7), Nikita Zadorov (3) · tip-in xG 0.10 | 2–3 ▶ | |
| 3rd Period | |||
| 5:48 | Morgan Geekie (8)PP Charlie McAvoy (8), Elias Lindholm (5) · slap xG 0.05 | 2–4 ▶ | |
| 16:37 | Fraser Minten (2)EN Michael Eyssimont (4) · wrist xG 0.94 | 2–5 ▶ | |
Score away–home after each goal; season totals in parentheses.
Expected goals (xG) rate every unblocked shot by how often shots like it go in, from where it was taken, the shot type, the strength and what happened just before it. How it works
| NYI | BOS | |
|---|---|---|
| 3.04 | Expected goals | 3.23 |
| 2 | Goals (no shootout) | 5 |
| 1.19 | Expected goals, 5 on 5 | 1.34 |
| 62 | Shot attempts | 46 |
| 46 | Unblocked attempts | 32 |
| 35 | Shots on goal | 22 |
What stood out as the game went on, from the play-by-play and the shifts. Time on the bench is counted in 5-on-5 play outside the penalty box; the note says the player sat, not why. Goals saved are against the shots' expected goals (xG).
| 3rd Period | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| 4:20 | NYI | xG swing | xG swing · Out-chanced BOS 1.19–0.02
In xG over 10 minutes, 14:20 of the 2nd to 4:20 of the 3rd; neither team scored |
| 5:48 | NYI | Goalie | Goalie · Sorokin −2.6 goals saved
4 goals on 1.40 xG, 17 shots on goal |
| 16:11 | NYI | Pulled goalie | Pulled goalie · Pulled Sorokin, down 4–2
With 3:49 left; BOS scored at 16:37 of the 3rd (2–5) |
xG comes from hockeystats.io's own model, a gradient-boosted tree model trained on every unblocked shot from the 2021-22 to 2025-26 regular seasons using the NHL's public play-by-play. Each shot's value is the share of similar shots that became goals. A team's xG is the sum over its shots; "deserve to win" asks how often the team would outscore its opponent if every shot went in at exactly that rate. Blocked shots count as attempts but have no xG (the NHL records where they were blocked, not where they were taken), so the map leaves them out.
| Skater | G | A | P | +/− | Att | xG | Hit | Blk | TOI | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Forwards | ||||||||||
| 14 | Bo Horvat | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 10 | 0.51 | 0 | 0 | 21:42 |
| 13 | Mathew Barzal | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0.03 | 1 | 0 | 19:57 |
| 21 | Kyle Palmieri | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 7 | 1.02 | 0 | 0 | 18:29 |
| 72 | Anders Lee | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2 | 6 | 0.27 | 0 | 0 | 16:56 |
| 92 | Simon Holmstrom | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | 1 | 0.05 | 0 | 0 | 16:17 |
| 92 | Jonathan Drouin | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 0.28 | 1 | 1 | 15:48 |
| 11 | Anthony Duclair | 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 4 | 0.15 | 0 | 0 | 15:23 |
| 44 | Jean-Gabriel Pageau | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | 1 | 0.00 | 0 | 1 | 15:03 |
| 51 | Emil Heineman | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0.28 | 3 | 0 | 12:50 |
| 53 | Casey Cizikas | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0.02 | 2 | 2 | 11:35 |
| 72 | Maxim Tsyplakov | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.01 | 2 | 0 | 11:24 |
| 32 | Kyle MacLean | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0.11 | 1 | 1 | 09:40 |
| Defense | ||||||||||
| 48 | Matthew Schaefer | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 0.22 | 2 | 1 | 23:39 |
| 3 | Adam Pelech | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 0.02 | 0 | 3 | 19:38 |
| 6 | Ryan Pulock | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | 1 | 0.00 | 1 | 1 | 18:53 |
| 77 | Tony DeAngelo | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2 | 4 | 0.04 | 0 | 2 | 17:44 |
| 24 | Scott Mayfield | 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 2 | 0.04 | 0 | 1 | 17:32 |
| Goalie | SA | GA | SV | SV% | xGA | GSAx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ilya Sorokin | 21 | 4 | 17 | .810 | 2.29 | -1.71 |
| Skater | G | A | P | +/− | Att | xG | Hit | Blk | TOI | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Forwards | ||||||||||
| 28 | Elias Lindholm | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0.22 | 1 | 0 | 17:34 |
| 88 | David Pastrnak | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 6 | 0.16 | 3 | 0 | 16:59 |
| 52 | Sean Kuraly | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.00 | 2 | 0 | 16:26 |
| 18 | Pavel Zacha | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0.05 | 1 | 0 | 16:03 |
| 93 | Fraser Minten | 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 3 | 0.96 | 4 | 0 | 15:23 |
| 84 | Tanner Jeannot | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 2 | 2 | 14:58 |
| 39 | Morgan Geekie | 1 | 0 | 1 | -1 | 5 | 0.50 | 0 | 0 | 13:59 |
| 11 | Casey Mittelstadt | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0.02 | 0 | 1 | 12:41 |
| 47 | Mark Kastelic | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 0.46 | 0 | 1 | 12:23 |
| 33 | Viktor Arvidsson | 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 5 | 0.55 | 0 | 0 | 12:20 |
| 92 | Marat Khusnutdinov | 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 0 | 0.00 | 0 | 2 | 12:12 |
| 81 | Michael Eyssimont | 1 | 1 | 2 | +1 | 4 | 0.19 | 1 | 0 | 11:12 |
| Defense | ||||||||||
| 73 | Charlie McAvoy | 0 | 2 | 2 | +1 | 4 | 0.02 | 1 | 1 | 24:06 |
| 20 | Andrew Peeke | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0.04 | 1 | 0 | 20:54 |
| 91 | Nikita Zadorov | 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 1 | 0.00 | 1 | 0 | 20:45 |
| 27 | Hampus Lindholm | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 0.07 | 0 | 2 | 19:03 |
| 20 | Henri Jokiharju | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.00 | 2 | 1 | 18:21 |
| 45 | Jonathan Aspirot | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.00 | 1 | 4 | 14:41 |
| Goalie | SA | GA | SV | SV% | xGA | GSAx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Joonas Korpisalo | 35 | 2 | 33 | .943 | 3.04 | +1.04 |
Skaters by time on ice. Goalie lines count shots with the goalie in net, from the NHL play-by-play.
What each player added to the result, in goals, from most to least. Hover a number for what it's made of.
| Player | Rating | Points | Shots | On ice | Pen | FO | Other | GSAx | TOI |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Bo Horvat C | +1.93 | +1.30 | +0.33 | +0.35 | 0.00 | -0.03 | -0.02 | — | 21:42 |
| 21 Kyle Palmieri C | +1.84 | +0.75 | +0.66 | +0.14 | +0.30 | 0.00 | -0.02 | — | 18:29 |
| 29 Jonathan Drouin L | +1.49 | +0.70 | +0.18 | +0.41 | +0.15 | 0.00 | +0.05 | — | 15:48 |
| 48 Matthew Schaefer D | +0.68 | 0.00 | +0.14 | +0.49 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.05 | — | 23:39 |
| 13 Mathew Barzal C | +0.51 | +0.70 | +0.02 | -0.01 | -0.15 | -0.01 | -0.04 | — | 19:57 |
| 51 Emil Heineman L | +0.39 | 0.00 | +0.18 | +0.23 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -0.02 | — | 12:50 |
| 24 Scott Mayfield D | +0.35 | 0.00 | +0.03 | +0.27 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.05 | — | 17:32 |
| 3 Adam Pelech D | +0.04 | 0.00 | +0.01 | -0.12 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.15 | — | 19:38 |
| 11 Anthony Duclair L | -0.02 | 0.00 | +0.09 | -0.12 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | — | 15:23 |
| 53 Casey Cizikas C | -0.10 | 0.00 | +0.01 | -0.17 | 0.00 | -0.04 | +0.10 | — | 11:35 |
| 7 Maxim Tsyplakov R | -0.14 | 0.00 | +0.01 | -0.12 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -0.02 | — | 11:24 |
| 27 Anders Lee L | -0.17 | 0.00 | +0.17 | -0.19 | -0.15 | 0.00 | 0.00 | — | 16:56 |
| 41 Marshall Warren D | -0.29 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -0.29 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | — | 12:56 |
| 44 Jean-Gabriel Pageau C | -0.31 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -0.41 | 0.00 | +0.03 | +0.07 | — | 15:03 |
| 10 Simon Holmstrom R | -0.38 | 0.00 | +0.03 | -0.40 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -0.02 | — | 16:17 |
| 77 Tony DeAngelo D | -0.40 | 0.00 | +0.03 | -0.53 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.10 | — | 17:44 |
| 32 Kyle MacLean C | -0.43 | 0.00 | +0.07 | -0.55 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.05 | — | 9:40 |
| 6 Ryan Pulock D | -0.49 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -0.56 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.07 | — | 18:53 |
| 30 Ilya Sorokin G | -1.71 | 0.00 | — | — | 0.00 | — | — | -1.71 | 58:58 |
| Player | Rating | Points | Shots | On ice | Pen | FO | Other | GSAx | TOI |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 81 Michael Eyssimont C | +2.28 | +1.45 | +0.12 | +0.69 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.02 | — | 11:12 |
| 73 Charlie McAvoy D | +1.96 | +1.40 | +0.01 | +0.35 | +0.15 | 0.00 | +0.05 | — | 24:06 |
| 28 Elias Lindholm C | +1.41 | +1.30 | +0.14 | -0.07 | 0.00 | +0.06 | -0.02 | — | 17:34 |
| 91 Nikita Zadorov D | +1.30 | +0.55 | 0.00 | +0.75 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | — | 20:45 |
| 47 Mark Kastelic C | +1.23 | 0.00 | +0.30 | +0.73 | +0.15 | +0.02 | +0.03 | — | 12:23 |
| 88 David Pastrnak R | +1.14 | +1.30 | +0.10 | -0.07 | -0.15 | 0.00 | -0.04 | — | 16:59 |
| 70 Joonas Korpisalo G | +1.04 | 0.00 | — | — | 0.00 | — | — | +1.04 | 60:00 |
| 93 Fraser Minten C | +0.86 | +0.75 | +0.62 | -0.48 | 0.00 | -0.01 | -0.02 | — | 15:23 |
| 18 Pavel Zacha C | +0.85 | +0.70 | +0.03 | +0.09 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.02 | — | 16:03 |
| 71 Viktor Arvidsson L | +0.62 | 0.00 | +0.36 | +0.31 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -0.04 | — | 12:20 |
| 52 Sean Kuraly C | +0.55 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.58 | 0.00 | +0.01 | -0.04 | — | 16:26 |
| 39 Morgan Geekie C | +0.48 | +0.75 | +0.32 | -0.58 | 0.00 | -0.01 | 0.00 | — | 13:59 |
| 45 Jonathan Aspirot D | +0.38 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.18 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.20 | — | 14:41 |
| 11 Casey Mittelstadt C | +0.34 | 0.00 | +0.01 | +0.29 | 0.00 | -0.01 | +0.05 | — | 12:41 |
| 26 Andrew Peeke D | +0.28 | +0.55 | +0.03 | -0.29 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | — | 20:54 |
| 92 Marat Khusnutdinov C | +0.19 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.09 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.10 | — | 12:12 |
| 27 Hampus Lindholm D | +0.10 | +0.70 | +0.04 | -0.38 | -0.30 | 0.00 | +0.04 | — | 19:03 |
| 20 Henri Jokiharju D | +0.04 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.01 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.03 | — | 18:21 |
| 84 Tanner Jeannot L | -0.54 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -0.61 | 0.00 | -0.01 | +0.08 | — | 14:58 |
An expected-goals take on Dom Luszczyszyn's Game Score: goals and assists, the quality of a player's own shots, shot quality for and against while they were on the ice at 5v5, penalties, faceoffs and puck plays, all in goals; goalies by goals saved above expected. From the NHL play-by-play and shift charts.