hockeystats.io

Winnipeg JetsWPG 4–3 Final/OT Minnesota WildMIN

Tuesday, October 28, 2025

Final/OT 1st2nd3rdOT T SOG
Winnipeg JetsWPG 2011 4 21
Minnesota WildMIN 0210 3 35

No impact calculated for this game. Impacts are calculated for games in the next 7 days.

Highlights

Scoring

1st Period
12:16 WPG Gabriel Vilardi (2) Mark Scheifele (6), Logan Stanley (3) · bat xG 0.26 1–0 ▶
12:38 WPG Vladislav Namestnikov (4) Neal Pionk (2), Logan Stanley (4) · deflected xG 0.10 2–0 ▶
2nd Period
6:03 MIN Kirill Kaprizov (6) Jared Spurgeon (1), Matt Boldy (7) · wrist xG 0.37 2–1 ▶
13:12 MIN Brock Faber (1) Marco Rossi (7), Vinnie Hinostroza (2) · slap xG 0.25 2–2 ▶
3rd Period
3:48 MIN Marcus Johansson (5)PP Brock Faber (4), Marco Rossi (8) · wrist xG 0.20 2–3 ▶
11:35 WPG Nino Niederreiter (3) Gustav Nyquist (4), Morgan Barron (3) · wrist xG 0.20 3–3 ▶
Overtime
0:46 WPG Kyle Connor (5) Mark Scheifele (7), Josh Morrissey (8) · wrist xG 0.16 4–3 ▶

Score away–home after each goal; season totals in parentheses.

Shot quality

Expected goals (xG) rate every unblocked shot by how often shots like it go in, from where it was taken, the shot type, the strength and what happened just before it. How it works

WPG 30%Deserve to win70% MIN
WPGMIN
2.34Expected goals3.57
4Goals (no shootout)3
2.00Expected goals, 5 on 53.23
48Shot attempts76
37Unblocked attempts55
21Shots on goal35

Shot map

WPG shoots ←Bigger circle: higher xG; filled: goal→ MIN shoots
Matt Boldy: wrist, 32 ft, xG 0.04 (P1 1:37) Logan Stanley: wrist, 46 ft, xG 0.03 (P1 2:34) Haydn Fleury: slap, 68 ft, xG 0.02 (P1 2:40) Brock Faber: wrist, 56 ft, xG 0.01 (P1 3:24) Tyler Pitlick: backhand, 19 ft, xG 0.06 (P1 3:28) Tanner Pearson: wrist, 48 ft, xG 0.01 (P1 4:06) Cole Koepke: wrist, 40 ft, xG 0.03 (P1 4:20) Ryan Hartman: snap, 37 ft, xG 0.01 (P1 4:42) Jared Spurgeon: wrist, 13 ft, xG 0.08 (P1 5:30) Joel Eriksson Ek: wrist, 27 ft, xG 0.03 (P1 6:19) Kirill Kaprizov: tip-in, 12 ft, xG 0.07 (P1 6:24) Brock Faber: wrist, 67 ft, xG 0.00 (P1 6:29) Jonas Brodin: snap, 52 ft, xG 0.00 (P1 6:32) Vladimir Tarasenko: snap, 31 ft, xG 0.08 (P1 6:46) Ryan Hartman: wrist, 40 ft, xG 0.01 (P1 8:40) Ryan Hartman: wrist, 30 ft, xG 0.04 (P1 8:51) Marcus Foligno: wrist, 6 ft, xG 0.05 (P1 8:56) Kyle Connor: snap, 24 ft, xG 0.10 (P1 9:19) Nino Niederreiter: tip-in, 8 ft, xG 0.06 (P1 10:33) Nino Niederreiter: backhand, 6 ft, xG 0.03 (P1 10:34) Brock Faber: wrist, 38 ft, xG 0.03 (P1 11:46) Vinnie Hinostroza: bat, 9 ft, xG 0.05 (P1 11:54) Mark Scheifele: tip-in, 19 ft, xG 0.06 (P1 12:14) Logan Stanley: wrist, 61 ft, xG 0.00 (P1 12:29) Vladimir Tarasenko: tip-in, 16 ft, xG 0.06 (P1 13:23) Brock Faber: snap, 67 ft, xG 0.00 (P1 13:43) Joel Eriksson Ek: backhand, 6 ft, xG 0.11 (P1 14:00) Danila Yurov: wrist, 8 ft, xG 0.06 (P1 15:22) Brock Faber: wrist, 52 ft, xG 0.01 (P1 16:08) Cole Koepke: backhand, 7 ft, xG 0.12 (P1 18:40) Tyler Pitlick: wrist, 18 ft, xG 0.12 (P1 18:46) Danila Yurov: wrist, 13 ft, xG 0.38 (P1 18:49) Alex Iafallo: wrist, 67 ft, xG 0.00 (P1 19:29) Vladimir Tarasenko: wrist, 42 ft, xG 0.05 (P1 19:46) Marcus Johansson: backhand, 39 ft, xG 0.01 (P2 2:03) Marco Rossi: backhand, 13 ft, xG 0.01 (P2 2:04) Mark Scheifele: wrist, 38 ft, xG 0.05 (P2 5:03) Jared Spurgeon: wrist, 27 ft, xG 0.11 (P2 5:59) Marcus Johansson: snap, 36 ft, xG 0.08 (P2 7:06) Morgan Barron: wrist, 11 ft, xG 0.14 (P2 7:31) Gustav Nyquist: slap, 12 ft, xG 0.07 (P2 7:41) Zeev Buium: wrist, 83 ft, xG 0.00 (P2 7:48) Cole Koepke: wrist, 38 ft, xG 0.06 (P2 9:14) Josh Morrissey: wrist, 54 ft, xG 0.02 (P2 9:25) Kyle Connor: snap, 22 ft, xG 0.15 (P2 10:25) Vladimir Tarasenko: wrist, 28 ft, xG 0.16 (P2 11:21) Joel Eriksson Ek: wrist, 8 ft, xG 0.11 (P2 11:24) Joel Eriksson Ek: wrist, 7 ft, xG 0.04 (P2 11:26) Gustav Nyquist: wrist, 34 ft, xG 0.11 (P2 12:12) Neal Pionk: slap, 58 ft, xG 0.01 (P2 12:43) David Jiricek: wrist, 47 ft, xG 0.00 (P2 13:32) Joel Eriksson Ek: wrist, 49 ft, xG 0.01 (P2 14:22) Mark Scheifele: tip-in, 15 ft, xG 0.07 (P2 14:38) Morgan Barron: tip-in, 34 ft, xG 0.01 (P2 15:08) Kirill Kaprizov: backhand, 37 ft, xG 0.01 (P2 15:43) Marco Rossi: wrist, 23 ft, xG 0.07 (P2 15:45) Marco Rossi: wrist, 8 ft, xG 0.16 (P2 18:50) Marco Rossi: wrist, 7 ft, xG 0.07 (P2 18:51) Yakov Trenin: wrist, 9 ft, xG 0.02 (P2 18:52) Morgan Barron: wrist, 29 ft, xG 0.02 (P2 19:16) Joel Eriksson Ek: backhand, 38 ft, xG 0.01 (P2 19:32) Joel Eriksson Ek: wrist, 23 ft, xG 0.05 (P3 0:32) Kyle Connor: wrist, 28 ft, xG 0.10 (P3 0:48) Neal Pionk: slap, 59 ft, xG 0.04 (P3 1:07) Brock Faber: slap, 61 ft, xG 0.01 (P3 1:37) Josh Morrissey: slap, 44 ft, xG 0.01 (P3 2:08) Matt Boldy: wrist, 53 ft, xG 0.02 (P3 2:24) Cole Koepke: wrist, 37 ft, xG 0.04 (P3 3:01) Brock Faber: slap, 59 ft, xG 0.03 (P3 3:46) Kyle Connor: wrist, 43 ft, xG 0.02 (P3 4:13) Josh Morrissey: wrist, 54 ft, xG 0.02 (P3 4:17) Kyle Connor: wrist, 28 ft, xG 0.02 (P3 4:19) Marcus Johansson: wrist, 22 ft, xG 0.25 (P3 5:24) Haydn Fleury: wrist, 44 ft, xG 0.02 (P3 6:54) Vladislav Namestnikov: wrist, 15 ft, xG 0.13 (P3 9:05) Josh Morrissey: slap, 48 ft, xG 0.03 (P3 10:15) Ryan Hartman: tip-in, 20 ft, xG 0.03 (P3 10:31) Matt Boldy: wrist, 27 ft, xG 0.02 (P3 10:38) Vladimir Tarasenko: wrist, 50 ft, xG 0.02 (P3 10:58) Brock Faber: wrist, 60 ft, xG 0.01 (P3 16:13) Jared Spurgeon: wrist, 14 ft, xG 0.01 (P3 17:02) Matt Boldy: wrist, 28 ft, xG 0.02 (P3 17:08) Matt Boldy: wrist, 30 ft, xG 0.04 (P3 18:24) Jared Spurgeon: wrist, 58 ft, xG 0.03 (P3 19:15) Morgan Barron: slap, 87 ft, xG 0.00 (P3 19:59) Gabriel Vilardi: GOAL, bat, 7 ft, xG 0.26 (P1 12:16) Vladislav Namestnikov: GOAL, deflected, 10 ft, xG 0.10 (P1 12:38) Kirill Kaprizov: GOAL, wrist, 5 ft, xG 0.37 (P2 6:03) Brock Faber: GOAL, slap, 27 ft, xG 0.25 (P2 13:12) Marcus Johansson: GOAL, wrist, 8 ft, xG 0.20 (P3 3:48) Nino Niederreiter: GOAL, wrist, 8 ft, xG 0.20 (P3 11:35) Kyle Connor: GOAL, wrist, 29 ft, xG 0.16 (OT 0:46)
About these numbers

xG comes from hockeystats.io's own model, a gradient-boosted tree model trained on every unblocked shot from the 2021-22 to 2025-26 regular seasons using the NHL's public play-by-play. Each shot's value is the share of similar shots that became goals. A team's xG is the sum over its shots; "deserve to win" asks how often the team would outscore its opponent if every shot went in at exactly that rate. Blocked shots count as attempts but have no xG (the NHL records where they were blocked, not where they were taken), so the map leaves them out.

Box score

Winnipeg Jets

Skater GAP+/− AttxG HitBlkTOI
Forwards
81 Kyle Connor 101 +1 70.55 1019:13
55 Mark Scheifele 022 +1 30.18 0019:09
13 Gabriel Vilardi 101 0 10.26 0117:58
7 Vladislav Namestnikov 101 0 20.24 0017:26
36 Morgan Barron 011 +1 40.18 1115:54
9 Alex Iafallo 000 0 10.00 1015:19
19 Jonathan Toews 000 0 00.00 0114:32
62 Nino Niederreiter 101 +1 30.29 1014:07
14 Gustav Nyquist 011 +1 30.18 0013:08
45 Cole Koepke 000 0 40.25 4009:17
70 Tanner Pearson 000 0 10.01 1008:54
Defense
44 Josh Morrissey 011 0 50.08 0325:44
4 Neal Pionk 011 +2 50.05 1124:53
2 Dylan DeMelo 000 -1 00.00 2324:51
8 Logan Stanley 022 +2 50.04 2322:45
24 Haydn Fleury 000 0 30.04 3211:40
2 Luke Schenn 000 0 00.00 3211:13
Goalie SAGA SVSV% xGA GSAx
Connor Hellebuyck 35332 .914 3.57 +0.57

Minnesota Wild

Skater GAP+/− AttxG HitBlkTOI
Forwards
97 Kirill Kaprizov 101 0 40.46 0022:17
14 Joel Eriksson Ek 000 -2 110.35 5019:53
12 Matt Boldy 011 +1 80.14 1019:46
90 Marcus Johansson 101 -1 60.53 1019:40
91 Vladimir Tarasenko 000 0 70.37 2018:18
23 Marco Rossi 022 +1 40.30 1117:15
38 Ryan Hartman 000 -1 40.10 1015:34
17 Marcus Foligno 000 -2 10.05 2011:30
13 Yakov Trenin 000 0 20.02 7011:27
18 Vinnie Hinostroza 011 -1 20.05 0010:08
22 Danila Yurov 000 0 20.44 2109:18
19 Tyler Pitlick 000 0 30.18 2108:58
Defense
46 Jared Spurgeon 011 -1 60.23 1127:06
7 Brock Faber 112 -1 90.35 0221:25
55 Jake Middleton 000 -2 20.00 3320:05
25 Jonas Brodin 000 +1 20.00 0119:43
8 Zeev Buium 000 0 10.00 0015:48
5 David Jiricek 000 0 20.00 0012:07
Goalie SAGA SVSV% xGA GSAx
Filip Gustavsson 21417 .810 2.34 -1.66

Skaters by time on ice. Goalie lines count shots with the goalie in net, from the NHL play-by-play.

Player ratings

What each player added to the result, in goals, from most to least. Hover a number for what it's made of.

Winnipeg Jets

Player Rating Points Shots On ice Pen FO Other GSAx TOI
64 Logan Stanley D +1.30 +1.10 +0.02 +0.18 -0.15 0.00 +0.15 — 22:45
36 Morgan Barron C +1.23 +0.55 +0.11 +0.47 0.00 +0.03 +0.07 — 15:54
55 Mark Scheifele C +1.20 +1.40 +0.12 -0.28 0.00 -0.03 0.00 — 19:09
62 Nino Niederreiter R +0.99 +0.75 +0.19 +0.05 0.00 0.00 0.00 — 14:07
14 Gustav Nyquist R +0.84 +0.70 +0.12 +0.04 0.00 0.00 -0.02 — 13:08
4 Neal Pionk D +0.77 +0.70 +0.03 +0.01 0.00 0.00 +0.03 — 24:53
81 Kyle Connor L +0.71 +0.75 +0.36 -0.40 0.00 0.00 0.00 — 19:13
13 Gabriel Vilardi C +0.58 +0.75 +0.17 -0.38 0.00 +0.01 +0.03 — 17:58
37 Connor Hellebuyck G +0.57 0.00 — — 0.00 — — +0.57 60:45
7 Vladislav Namestnikov C +0.36 +0.75 +0.15 -0.53 0.00 +0.02 -0.04 — 17:26
45 Cole Koepke L -0.11 0.00 +0.16 -0.27 0.00 0.00 0.00 — 9:17
44 Josh Morrissey D -0.20 +0.55 +0.05 -0.93 0.00 0.00 +0.13 — 25:44
2 Dylan DeMelo D -0.26 0.00 0.00 -0.52 +0.15 0.00 +0.11 — 24:51
5 Luke Schenn D -0.28 0.00 0.00 -0.38 0.00 0.00 +0.10 — 11:13
70 Tanner Pearson L -0.39 0.00 0.00 -0.22 -0.15 0.00 -0.02 — 8:54
25 Parker Ford C -0.55 0.00 0.00 -0.54 0.00 -0.01 0.00 — 8:58
24 Haydn Fleury D -0.78 0.00 +0.02 -0.76 -0.15 0.00 +0.10 — 11:40
9 Alex Iafallo L -0.79 0.00 0.00 -0.64 -0.15 0.00 0.00 — 15:19
19 Jonathan Toews C -0.86 0.00 0.00 -0.92 0.00 +0.01 +0.05 — 14:32

Minnesota Wild

Player Rating Points Shots On ice Pen FO Other GSAx TOI
23 Marco Rossi C +2.34 +1.25 +0.20 +0.84 0.00 +0.02 +0.03 — 17:15
7 Brock Faber D +2.07 +1.45 +0.23 +0.28 0.00 0.00 +0.12 — 21:25
97 Kirill Kaprizov L +1.70 +0.75 +0.30 +0.69 0.00 0.00 -0.04 — 22:17
90 Marcus Johansson L +1.63 +0.75 +0.34 +0.55 0.00 0.00 -0.02 — 19:40
12 Matt Boldy L +1.44 +0.55 +0.09 +0.80 0.00 0.00 0.00 — 19:46
25 Jonas Brodin D +1.14 0.00 0.00 +1.09 0.00 0.00 +0.05 — 19:43
55 David Jiricek D +1.07 0.00 0.00 +1.09 0.00 0.00 -0.02 — 12:07
46 Jared Spurgeon D +1.07 +0.70 +0.15 +0.21 0.00 0.00 +0.01 — 27:06
13 Yakov Trenin C +1.01 0.00 +0.01 +0.85 +0.15 0.00 0.00 — 11:27
22 Danila Yurov R +0.97 0.00 +0.28 +0.69 0.00 -0.05 +0.05 — 9:18
91 Vladimir Tarasenko R +0.80 0.00 +0.24 +0.41 +0.15 0.00 0.00 — 18:18
19 Tyler Pitlick C +0.47 0.00 +0.12 +0.31 0.00 0.00 +0.05 — 8:58
8 Zeev Buium D +0.37 0.00 0.00 +0.39 0.00 0.00 -0.02 — 15:48
14 Joel Eriksson Ek C +0.36 0.00 +0.23 +0.07 0.00 +0.02 +0.04 — 19:53
18 Vinnie Hinostroza C +0.05 +0.55 +0.03 -0.46 0.00 -0.01 -0.06 — 10:08
38 Ryan Hartman R -0.16 0.00 +0.06 -0.40 +0.15 -0.01 +0.04 — 15:34
5 Jake Middleton D -0.50 0.00 0.00 -0.65 0.00 0.00 +0.15 — 20:05
17 Marcus Foligno L -0.76 0.00 +0.03 -0.75 0.00 0.00 -0.04 — 11:30
32 Filip Gustavsson G -1.66 0.00 — — 0.00 — — -1.66 60:46

An expected-goals take on Dom Luszczyszyn's Game Score: goals and assists, the quality of a player's own shots, shot quality for and against while they were on the ice at 5v5, penalties, faceoffs and puck plays, all in goals; goalies by goals saved above expected. From the NHL play-by-play and shift charts.