| Final | 1st | 2nd | 3rd | T | SOG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 24 | |
| 3 | 1 | 3 | 7 | 26 |
No impact calculated for this game. Impacts are calculated for games in the next 7 days.
| 1st Period | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| 6:47 | Colton Dach (1) Louis Crevier (2), Nick Foligno (3) · wrist xG 0.18 | 0–1 ▶ | |
| 12:06 | Louis Crevier (2) Jason Dickinson (2), Alex Vlasic (3) · wrist xG 0.02 | 0–2 ▶ | |
| 17:53 | Connor Bedard (4)PP Andre Burakovsky (3), Frank Nazar (6) · wrist xG 0.07 | 0–3 ▶ | |
| 2nd Period | |||
| 2:58 | Connor Bedard (5) Matt Grzelcyk (2), Artyom Levshunov (3) · snap xG 0.08 | 0–4 ▶ | |
| 4:58 | Jake Sanderson (2) Drake Batherson (7), Tim Stützle (7) · wrist xG 0.04 | 1–4 ▶ | |
| 7:09 | Michael Amadio (2) Artem Zub (6) · wrist xG 0.12 | 2–4 ▶ | |
| 8:31 | Tim Stützle (5) Nikolas Matinpalo (1), Drake Batherson (8) · wrist xG 0.09 | 3–4 ▶ | |
| 3rd Period | |||
| 3:46 | Connor Bedard (6) Ryan Greene (1) · snap xG 0.05 | 3–5 ▶ | |
| 8:24 | Ryan Donato (6) Connor Bedard (6), Andre Burakovsky (4) · wrist xG 0.14 | 3–6 ▶ | |
| 12:44 | Frank Nazar (5)SHEN Nick Foligno (4) · wrist xG 0.94 | 3–7 ▶ | |
Score away–home after each goal; season totals in parentheses.
Expected goals (xG) rate every unblocked shot by how often shots like it go in, from where it was taken, the shot type, the strength and what happened just before it. How it works
| OTT | CHI | |
|---|---|---|
| 2.22 | Expected goals | 2.78 |
| 3 | Goals (no shootout) | 7 |
| 1.58 | Expected goals, 5 on 5 | 1.59 |
| 59 | Shot attempts | 55 |
| 42 | Unblocked attempts | 38 |
| 24 | Shots on goal | 26 |
What stood out as the game went on, from the play-by-play and the shifts. Time on the bench is counted in 5-on-5 play outside the penalty box; the note says the player sat, not why. Goals saved are against the shots' expected goals (xG).
| 1st Period | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| 17:53 | OTT | Goalie | Goalie · Ullmark −2.5 goals saved
3 goals on 0.48 xG, 6 shots on goal |
| 2nd Period | |||
| 9:30 | OTT | xG swing | xG swing · Out-chanced CHI 1.15–0.08
In xG over 10 minutes, the end of the 1st to 10:00 of the 2nd; goals 3–1 |
| 3rd Period | |||
| 3:40 | CHI | No shift | No shift · Lafferty, 10:44 on the bench
No shift from 13:39 of the 2nd to 4:23 of the 3rd; 10 shifts (6:15) before that |
| 8:24 | OTT | Goalie | Goalie · Ullmark −4.3 goals saved
6 goals on 1.73 xG, 21 shots on goal |
xG comes from hockeystats.io's own model, a gradient-boosted tree model trained on every unblocked shot from the 2021-22 to 2025-26 regular seasons using the NHL's public play-by-play. Each shot's value is the share of similar shots that became goals. A team's xG is the sum over its shots; "deserve to win" asks how often the team would outscore its opponent if every shot went in at exactly that rate. Blocked shots count as attempts but have no xG (the NHL records where they were blocked, not where they were taken), so the map leaves them out.
| Skater | G | A | P | +/− | Att | xG | Hit | Blk | TOI | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Forwards | ||||||||||
| 12 | Shane Pinto | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | 7 | 0.40 | 3 | 0 | 19:08 |
| 19 | Drake Batherson | 0 | 2 | 2 | +1 | 3 | 0.05 | 1 | 0 | 17:54 |
| 18 | Tim Stützle | 1 | 1 | 2 | +1 | 2 | 0.09 | 2 | 0 | 17:14 |
| 24 | Dylan Cozens | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2 | 1 | 0.04 | 5 | 1 | 16:54 |
| 16 | David Perron | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2 | 1 | 0.00 | 4 | 0 | 16:37 |
| 20 | Lars Eller | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2 | 3 | 0.30 | 0 | 1 | 16:36 |
| 28 | Claude Giroux | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | 5 | 0.10 | 2 | 0 | 16:20 |
| 71 | Ridly Greig | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | 5 | 0.37 | 1 | 0 | 15:19 |
| 22 | Michael Amadio | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0.12 | 3 | 0 | 15:13 |
| 20 | Fabian Zetterlund | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2 | 3 | 0.16 | 0 | 0 | 13:30 |
| 21 | Nick Cousins | 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 2 | 0.01 | 2 | 2 | 11:44 |
| Defense | ||||||||||
| 72 | Thomas Chabot | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | 9 | 0.20 | 0 | 2 | 25:03 |
| 85 | Jake Sanderson | 1 | 0 | 1 | -1 | 6 | 0.10 | 0 | 4 | 22:08 |
| 2 | Artem Zub | 0 | 1 | 1 | -1 | 1 | 0.03 | 3 | 0 | 17:45 |
| 4 | Nick Jensen | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | 6 | 0.11 | 0 | 1 | 17:08 |
| 33 | Nikolas Matinpalo | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0.11 | 1 | 1 | 15:19 |
| 43 | Tyler Kleven | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | 1 | 0.01 | 4 | 4 | 15:03 |
| Goalie | SA | GA | SV | SV% | xGA | GSAx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Linus Ullmark | 25 | 6 | 19 | .760 | 1.84 | -4.16 |
| Skater | G | A | P | +/− | Att | xG | Hit | Blk | TOI | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Forwards | ||||||||||
| 86 | Teuvo Teravainen | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0.05 | 2 | 1 | 18:10 |
| 16 | Jason Dickinson | 0 | 1 | 1 | -1 | 3 | 0.01 | 1 | 1 | 17:38 |
| 91 | Frank Nazar | 1 | 1 | 2 | +1 | 9 | 1.19 | 1 | 1 | 17:33 |
| 34 | Colton Dach | 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 3 | 0.30 | 6 | 2 | 17:03 |
| 8 | Ryan Donato | 1 | 0 | 1 | -1 | 4 | 0.24 | 6 | 0 | 16:41 |
| 98 | Connor Bedard | 3 | 1 | 4 | +2 | 6 | 0.29 | 0 | 1 | 16:25 |
| 20 | Ryan Greene | 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 0 | 0.00 | 0 | 1 | 15:07 |
| 95 | Andre Burakovsky | 0 | 2 | 2 | +2 | 1 | 0.00 | 0 | 1 | 14:23 |
| 59 | Tyler Bertuzzi | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 0.51 | 2 | 0 | 14:22 |
| 71 | Nick Foligno | 0 | 2 | 2 | +2 | 1 | 0.00 | 4 | 2 | 13:42 |
| 18 | Sam Lafferty | 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 0 | 0.00 | 3 | 0 | 10:31 |
| Defense | ||||||||||
| 44 | Wyatt Kaiser | 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 5 | 0.03 | 0 | 0 | 21:25 |
| 72 | Alex Vlasic | 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 2 | 0.06 | 1 | 1 | 21:04 |
| 24 | Matt Grzelcyk | 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 5 | 0.05 | 1 | 0 | 17:37 |
| 46 | Louis Crevier | 1 | 1 | 2 | +1 | 4 | 0.02 | 3 | 1 | 15:53 |
| 5 | Connor Murphy | 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 1 | 0.02 | 2 | 0 | 14:53 |
| 55 | Artyom Levshunov | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0.01 | 1 | 1 | 13:32 |
| Goalie | SA | GA | SV | SV% | xGA | GSAx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spencer Knight | 24 | 3 | 21 | .875 | 2.22 | -0.78 |
Skaters by time on ice. Goalie lines count shots with the goalie in net, from the NHL play-by-play.
What each player added to the result, in goals, from most to least. Hover a number for what it's made of.
| Player | Rating | Points | Shots | On ice | Pen | FO | Other | GSAx | TOI |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Drake Batherson R | +2.25 | +1.25 | +0.03 | +0.82 | +0.15 | 0.00 | 0.00 | — | 17:54 |
| 18 Tim Stützle C | +1.93 | +1.30 | +0.06 | +0.51 | +0.05 | +0.05 | -0.04 | — | 17:14 |
| 33 Nikolas Matinpalo D | +0.80 | +0.70 | +0.07 | -0.02 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.05 | — | 15:19 |
| 22 Michael Amadio R | +0.77 | +0.75 | +0.08 | -0.05 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | — | 15:13 |
| 85 Jake Sanderson D | +0.60 | +0.75 | +0.07 | -0.41 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.20 | — | 22:08 |
| 72 Thomas Chabot D | +0.42 | 0.00 | +0.13 | +0.18 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.10 | — | 25:03 |
| 21 Nick Cousins C | +0.35 | 0.00 | +0.01 | +0.14 | +0.10 | 0.00 | +0.10 | — | 11:44 |
| 12 Shane Pinto C | +0.34 | 0.00 | +0.26 | +0.06 | 0.00 | +0.04 | -0.02 | — | 19:08 |
| 3 Nick Jensen D | +0.33 | 0.00 | +0.07 | +0.23 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.03 | — | 17:08 |
| 28 Claude Giroux R | +0.31 | 0.00 | +0.07 | +0.29 | 0.00 | -0.02 | -0.02 | — | 16:20 |
| 2 Artem Zub D | +0.28 | +0.70 | +0.02 | -0.44 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | — | 17:45 |
| 71 Ridly Greig C | +0.23 | 0.00 | +0.24 | -0.20 | +0.15 | +0.04 | 0.00 | — | 15:19 |
| 43 Tyler Kleven D | +0.05 | 0.00 | +0.01 | -0.15 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.20 | — | 15:03 |
| 89 Lars Eller C | -0.06 | 0.00 | +0.20 | -0.33 | 0.00 | +0.02 | +0.05 | — | 16:36 |
| 20 Fabian Zetterlund L | -0.35 | 0.00 | +0.11 | -0.44 | 0.00 | -0.02 | 0.00 | — | 13:30 |
| 57 David Perron L | -0.50 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -0.37 | -0.15 | 0.00 | +0.02 | — | 16:37 |
| 24 Dylan Cozens C | -0.59 | 0.00 | +0.03 | -0.62 | 0.00 | -0.03 | +0.03 | — | 16:54 |
| 15 Olle Lycksell R | -0.68 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -0.73 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.05 | — | 11:40 |
| 35 Linus Ullmark G | -4.16 | 0.00 | — | — | 0.00 | — | — | -4.16 | 59:09 |
| Player | Rating | Points | Shots | On ice | Pen | FO | Other | GSAx | TOI |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 98 Connor Bedard C | +3.63 | +2.95 | +0.19 | +0.27 | +0.15 | +0.02 | +0.05 | — | 16:25 |
| 91 Frank Nazar C | +2.38 | +1.30 | +0.77 | +0.33 | 0.00 | -0.03 | +0.01 | — | 17:33 |
| 46 Louis Crevier D | +1.67 | +1.45 | +0.01 | +0.14 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.07 | — | 15:53 |
| 17 Nick Foligno L | +1.60 | +1.25 | 0.00 | +0.28 | 0.00 | -0.03 | +0.10 | — | 13:42 |
| 48 Matt Grzelcyk D | +1.50 | +0.70 | +0.03 | +0.77 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | — | 17:37 |
| 28 Andre Burakovsky L | +1.41 | +1.25 | 0.00 | +0.13 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.03 | — | 14:23 |
| 34 Colton Dach C | +1.24 | +0.75 | +0.19 | +0.18 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.12 | — | 17:03 |
| 5 Connor Murphy D | +0.83 | 0.00 | +0.01 | +0.81 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | — | 14:53 |
| 86 Teuvo Teravainen C | +0.64 | 0.00 | +0.03 | +0.55 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.05 | — | 18:10 |
| 59 Tyler Bertuzzi L | +0.58 | 0.00 | +0.33 | +0.37 | -0.10 | 0.00 | -0.02 | — | 14:22 |
| 20 Ryan Greene C | +0.54 | +0.70 | 0.00 | -0.23 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.07 | — | 15:07 |
| 8 Ryan Donato C | +0.31 | +0.75 | +0.15 | -0.61 | 0.00 | +0.01 | 0.00 | — | 16:41 |
| 55 Artyom Levshunov D | +0.22 | +0.55 | +0.01 | -0.41 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.07 | — | 13:32 |
| 24 Sam Lafferty C | +0.20 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.20 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | — | 10:31 |
| 72 Alex Vlasic D | +0.15 | +0.55 | +0.04 | -0.48 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.05 | — | 21:04 |
| 16 Jason Dickinson C | +0.14 | +0.70 | +0.01 | -0.54 | 0.00 | -0.05 | +0.03 | — | 17:38 |
| 44 Wyatt Kaiser D | +0.04 | 0.00 | +0.02 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.02 | — | 21:25 |
| 6 Sam Rinzel D | -0.54 | 0.00 | +0.01 | -0.24 | -0.35 | 0.00 | +0.04 | — | 16:01 |
| 30 Spencer Knight G | -0.78 | 0.00 | — | — | 0.00 | — | — | -0.78 | 60:00 |
An expected-goals take on Dom Luszczyszyn's Game Score: goals and assists, the quality of a player's own shots, shot quality for and against while they were on the ice at 5v5, penalties, faceoffs and puck plays, all in goals; goalies by goals saved above expected. From the NHL play-by-play and shift charts.