hockeystats.io

New Jersey DevilsNJD 4–8 Final Colorado AvalancheCOL

Tuesday, October 28, 2025

Final 1st2nd3rd T SOG
New Jersey DevilsNJD 040 4 30
Colorado AvalancheCOL 242 8 42

No impact calculated for this game. Impacts are calculated for games in the next 7 days.

Highlights

Scoring

1st Period
1:24 COL Martin Necas (7)PP Cale Makar (9), Valeri Nichushkin (3) · snap xG 0.07 0–1 ▶
3:49 COL Zakhar Bardakov (1) Parker Kelly (2), Gavin Brindley (1) · wrist xG 0.06 0–2 ▶
2nd Period
2:31 COL Victor Olofsson (1) Jack Ahcan (1), Gabriel Landeskog (3) · wrist xG 0.07 0–3 ▶
7:11 COL Nathan MacKinnon (8)PP Cale Makar (10), Victor Olofsson (6) · slap xG 0.17 0–4 ▶
8:39 COL Parker Kelly (2) Ross Colton (4), Brent Burns (5) · backhand xG 0.31 0–5 ▶
10:08 NJD Stefan Noesen (1) Paul Cotter (1) · snap xG 0.15 1–5 ▶
11:48 NJD Dougie Hamilton (4) Jack Hughes (5), Luke Hughes (6) · backhand xG 0.04 2–5 ▶
13:42 NJD Dawson Mercer (4) Nico Hischier (8), Timo Meier (6) · wrist xG 0.22 3–5 ▶
14:12 NJD Jack Hughes (9) Jesper Bratt (8) · snap xG 0.08 4–5 ▶
15:24 COL Nathan MacKinnon (9)PP Cale Makar (11), Victor Olofsson (7) · slap xG 0.07 4–6 ▶
3rd Period
3:10 COL Victor Olofsson (2)PP Nathan MacKinnon (8), Cale Makar (12) · wrist xG 0.09 4–7 ▶
17:38 COL Victor Olofsson (3) Jack Drury (2) · wrist xG 0.09 4–8 ▶

Score away–home after each goal; season totals in parentheses.

Shot quality

Expected goals (xG) rate every unblocked shot by how often shots like it go in, from where it was taken, the shot type, the strength and what happened just before it. How it works

NJD 34%Deserve to win66% COL
NJDCOL
2.74Expected goals3.75
4Goals (no shootout)8
1.96Expected goals, 5 on 52.48
63Shot attempts66
46Unblocked attempts54
30Shots on goal42

Game notes

What stood out as the game went on, from the play-by-play and the shifts. Time on the bench is counted in 5-on-5 play outside the penalty box; the note says the player sat, not why. Goals saved are against the shots' expected goals (xG).

2nd Period
2:31 NJD Goalie Goalie · Markstrom −2.0 goals saved
3 goals on 0.97 xG, 16 shots on goal
14:12 COL Goalie Goalie · Wedgewood −2.0 goals saved
4 goals on 1.96 xG, 26 shots on goal
3rd Period
3:10 NJD Goalie Goalie · Markstrom −4.1 goals saved
7 goals on 2.86 xG, 32 shots on goal

Shot map

NJD shoots ←Bigger circle: higher xG; filled: goal→ COL shoots
Cale Makar: wrist, 39 ft, xG 0.06 (P1 0:22) Victor Olofsson: wrist, 31 ft, xG 0.09 (P1 0:36) Seamus Casey: slap, 42 ft, xG 0.04 (P1 2:10) Seamus Casey: wrist, 63 ft, xG 0.01 (P1 2:20) Stefan Noesen: wrist, 6 ft, xG 0.05 (P1 3:38) Stefan Noesen: wrist, 5 ft, xG 0.08 (P1 3:39) Stefan Noesen: wrist, 7 ft, xG 0.06 (P1 3:40) Ondrej Palat: backhand, 71 ft, xG 0.00 (P1 4:01) Luke Hughes: wrist, 21 ft, xG 0.02 (P1 4:14) Jesper Bratt: tip-in, 65 ft, xG 0.00 (P1 4:48) Simon Nemec: wrist, 56 ft, xG 0.01 (P1 4:56) Ross Colton: tip-in, 7 ft, xG 0.06 (P1 5:24) Ross Colton: wrist, 7 ft, xG 0.06 (P1 5:26) Ross Colton: wrist, 5 ft, xG 0.04 (P1 5:27) Timo Meier: wrist, 45 ft, xG 0.03 (P1 5:43) Seamus Casey: wrist, 19 ft, xG 0.02 (P1 5:52) Ondrej Palat: tip-in, 21 ft, xG 0.04 (P1 8:20) Cale Makar: wrist, 40 ft, xG 0.04 (P1 9:43) Timo Meier: wrist, 25 ft, xG 0.01 (P1 9:58) Nico Hischier: snap, 38 ft, xG 0.02 (P1 10:23) Nathan MacKinnon: slap, 29 ft, xG 0.10 (P1 11:26) Jesper Bratt: wrist, 43 ft, xG 0.02 (P1 12:29) Artturi Lehkonen: wrist, 30 ft, xG 0.04 (P1 12:57) Victor Olofsson: tip-in, 29 ft, xG 0.02 (P1 13:02) Brent Burns: wrist, 72 ft, xG 0.00 (P1 13:14) Timo Meier: tip-in, 30 ft, xG 0.02 (P1 13:28) Jack Hughes: wrist, 38 ft, xG 0.02 (P1 14:09) Nico Hischier: wrist, 18 ft, xG 0.15 (P1 14:18) Luke Hughes: snap, 28 ft, xG 0.06 (P1 14:19) Nico Hischier: snap, 30 ft, xG 0.14 (P1 15:02) Arseny Gritsyuk: wrist, 46 ft, xG 0.04 (P1 15:55) Dawson Mercer: wrist, 44 ft, xG 0.04 (P1 16:52) Timo Meier: wrist, 47 ft, xG 0.01 (P1 17:03) Seamus Casey: snap, 51 ft, xG 0.00 (P1 17:05) Devon Toews: wrist, 154 ft, xG 0.00 (P1 19:07) Brent Burns: wrist, 129 ft, xG 0.00 (P1 19:50) Ross Colton: wrist, 39 ft, xG 0.03 (P2 0:18) Ross Colton: wrist, 34 ft, xG 0.02 (P2 0:36) Artturi Lehkonen: tip-in, 9 ft, xG 0.10 (P2 1:28) Victor Olofsson: tip-in, 8 ft, xG 0.10 (P2 2:12) Gavin Brindley: wrist, 18 ft, xG 0.11 (P2 2:38) Juho Lammikko: wrist, 34 ft, xG 0.05 (P2 4:10) Arseny Gritsyuk: snap, 65 ft, xG 0.01 (P2 4:15) Dougie Hamilton: slap, 68 ft, xG 0.01 (P2 4:27) Jack Hughes: wrap-around, 4 ft, xG 0.06 (P2 4:29) Nico Hischier: wrist, 7 ft, xG 0.29 (P2 4:33) Ross Colton: slap, 53 ft, xG 0.03 (P2 4:52) Sam Malinski: wrist, 52 ft, xG 0.02 (P2 5:48) Parker Kelly: snap, 8 ft, xG 0.11 (P2 5:59) Cale Makar: slap, 34 ft, xG 0.14 (P2 6:54) Nathan MacKinnon: slap, 39 ft, xG 0.12 (P2 7:04) Gabriel Landeskog: wrist, 45 ft, xG 0.02 (P2 7:58) Artturi Lehkonen: tip-in, 30 ft, xG 0.04 (P2 9:10) Brock Nelson: wrist, 30 ft, xG 0.09 (P2 10:34) Dougie Hamilton: slap, 28 ft, xG 0.14 (P2 11:44) Connor Brown: wrist, 61 ft, xG 0.01 (P2 12:12) Timo Meier: wrist, 63 ft, xG 0.01 (P2 12:17) Artturi Lehkonen: wrist, 48 ft, xG 0.03 (P2 12:52) Gavin Brindley: wrap-around, 6 ft, xG 0.03 (P2 15:58) Zakhar Bardakov: snap, 9 ft, xG 0.07 (P2 15:59) Nathan MacKinnon: snap, 31 ft, xG 0.12 (P2 17:15) Jack Ahcan: slap, 60 ft, xG 0.02 (P2 18:09) Nico Hischier: wrist, 21 ft, xG 0.14 (P2 19:07) Timo Meier: snap, 24 ft, xG 0.12 (P2 19:49) Jack Drury: wrist, 18 ft, xG 0.14 (P3 0:21) Timo Meier: tip-in, 8 ft, xG 0.10 (P3 0:41) Cale Makar: wrist, 50 ft, xG 0.03 (P3 2:36) Valeri Nichushkin: snap, 27 ft, xG 0.17 (P3 3:00) Simon Nemec: wrist, 37 ft, xG 0.02 (P3 4:23) Brenden Dillon: snap, 51 ft, xG 0.01 (P3 4:30) Brent Burns: slap, 56 ft, xG 0.01 (P3 4:38) Nathan MacKinnon: wrist, 24 ft, xG 0.09 (P3 5:23) Ondrej Palat: wrist, 29 ft, xG 0.04 (P3 5:54) Victor Olofsson: snap, 16 ft, xG 0.18 (P3 8:15) Sam Malinski: wrist, 44 ft, xG 0.03 (P3 8:57) Gavin Brindley: snap, 6 ft, xG 0.06 (P3 8:59) Sam Malinski: wrist, 33 ft, xG 0.13 (P3 12:35) Sam Malinski: wrist, 30 ft, xG 0.07 (P3 12:48) Jack Drury: wrist, 32 ft, xG 0.12 (P3 14:23) Juho Lammikko: wrist, 16 ft, xG 0.11 (P3 15:17) Martin Necas: snap, 47 ft, xG 0.03 (P3 16:07) Arseny Gritsyuk: wrist, 22 ft, xG 0.03 (P3 16:59) Brenden Dillon: wrist, 35 ft, xG 0.04 (P3 17:03) Jack Drury: slap, 35 ft, xG 0.03 (P3 17:44) Parker Kelly: tip-in, 84 ft, xG 0.00 (P3 18:20) Arseny Gritsyuk: snap, 17 ft, xG 0.17 (P3 18:35) Sam Malinski: slap, 62 ft, xG 0.02 (P3 19:13) Sam Malinski: wrist, 58 ft, xG 0.00 (P3 19:27) Martin Necas: GOAL, snap, 38 ft, xG 0.07 (P1 1:24) Zakhar Bardakov: GOAL, wrist, 30 ft, xG 0.06 (P1 3:49) Victor Olofsson: GOAL, wrist, 34 ft, xG 0.07 (P2 2:31) Nathan MacKinnon: GOAL, slap, 37 ft, xG 0.17 (P2 7:11) Parker Kelly: GOAL, backhand, 5 ft, xG 0.31 (P2 8:39) Stefan Noesen: GOAL, snap, 23 ft, xG 0.15 (P2 10:08) Dougie Hamilton: GOAL, backhand, 32 ft, xG 0.04 (P2 11:48) Dawson Mercer: GOAL, wrist, 7 ft, xG 0.22 (P2 13:42) Jack Hughes: GOAL, snap, 16 ft, xG 0.08 (P2 14:12) Nathan MacKinnon: GOAL, slap, 41 ft, xG 0.07 (P2 15:24) Victor Olofsson: GOAL, wrist, 26 ft, xG 0.09 (P3 3:10) Victor Olofsson: GOAL, wrist, 36 ft, xG 0.09 (P3 17:38)
About these numbers

xG comes from hockeystats.io's own model, a gradient-boosted tree model trained on every unblocked shot from the 2021-22 to 2025-26 regular seasons using the NHL's public play-by-play. Each shot's value is the share of similar shots that became goals. A team's xG is the sum over its shots; "deserve to win" asks how often the team would outscore its opponent if every shot went in at exactly that rate. Blocked shots count as attempts but have no xG (the NHL records where they were blocked, not where they were taken), so the map leaves them out.

Box score

New Jersey Devils

Skater GAP+/− AttxG HitBlkTOI
Forwards
13 Nico Hischier 011 +1 50.73 4019:15
86 Jack Hughes 112 0 60.16 0017:41
16 Connor Brown 000 0 10.01 1116:26
81 Arseny Gritsyuk 000 0 60.25 0015:35
91 Dawson Mercer 101 +1 20.26 2115:24
63 Jesper Bratt 011 0 30.02 0115:00
28 Timo Meier 011 0 90.31 1114:41
47 Paul Cotter 011 -1 10.00 6013:40
41 Luke Glendening 000 -1 00.00 2113:37
11 Stefan Noesen 101 -1 50.33 1012:29
81 Ondrej Palat 000 +1 30.08 1011:13
83 Juho Lammikko 000 0 20.16 3011:08
Defense
43 Luke Hughes 011 +3 60.08 1320:55
5 Brenden Dillon 000 -2 30.05 2019:54
7 Dougie Hamilton 101 +3 30.19 0019:37
71 Jonas Siegenthaler 000 -1 10.00 1219:12
71 Simon Nemec 000 0 30.04 1019:09
Goalie SAGA SVSV% xGA GSAx
Jacob Markstrom 42834 .810 3.75 -4.25

Colorado Avalanche

Skater GAP+/− AttxG HitBlkTOI
Forwards
43 Valeri Nichushkin 011 0 30.17 2020:00
29 Nathan MacKinnon 213 -1 60.67 2019:56
88 Martin Necas 101 -1 20.11 1119:53
11 Brock Nelson 000 0 20.09 0017:32
62 Artturi Lehkonen 000 -1 40.20 0216:22
18 Jack Drury 011 -1 40.29 1214:59
95 Victor Olofsson 325 -1 80.64 0014:31
79 Ross Colton 011 +1 60.24 2113:23
17 Parker Kelly 112 +2 50.42 2313:02
92 Gabriel Landeskog 011 -1 10.02 2112:50
54 Gavin Brindley 011 +1 40.19 0011:16
93 Zakhar Bardakov 101 +2 20.13 2008:38
Defense
8 Cale Makar 044 0 80.27 1125:13
7 Devon Toews 000 +1 10.00 0123:29
84 Brent Burns 011 -1 30.02 0018:33
42 Josh Manson 000 -2 00.00 1116:47
70 Sam Malinski 000 +1 60.28 1016:38
Goalie SAGA SVSV% xGA GSAx
Scott Wedgewood 30426 .867 2.74 -1.26

Skaters by time on ice. Goalie lines count shots with the goalie in net, from the NHL play-by-play.

Player ratings

What each player added to the result, in goals, from most to least. Hover a number for what it's made of.

New Jersey Devils

Player Rating Points Shots On ice Pen FO Other GSAx TOI
86 Jack Hughes C +1.41 +1.45 +0.10 -0.11 0.00 -0.02 -0.02 — 17:41
13 Nico Hischier C +1.37 +0.70 +0.48 +0.26 0.00 -0.05 -0.02 — 19:15
7 Dougie Hamilton D +1.24 +0.75 +0.12 +0.56 -0.15 0.00 -0.04 — 19:37
91 Dawson Mercer C +1.24 +0.75 +0.17 +0.27 0.00 0.00 +0.05 — 15:24
43 Luke Hughes D +1.11 +0.55 +0.05 +0.40 0.00 0.00 +0.11 — 20:55
28 Timo Meier R +0.69 +0.55 +0.20 +0.04 -0.15 +0.02 +0.03 — 14:41
63 Jesper Bratt L +0.60 +0.70 +0.01 -0.29 +0.15 0.00 +0.03 — 15:00
81 Arseny Gritsyuk R +0.29 0.00 +0.16 +0.13 0.00 0.00 0.00 — 15:35
18 Ondrej Palat L +0.24 0.00 +0.05 +0.19 0.00 0.00 0.00 — 11:13
11 Stefan Noesen R +0.19 +0.75 +0.22 -0.64 -0.15 +0.01 0.00 — 12:29
83 Juho Lammikko C +0.14 0.00 +0.11 -0.02 0.00 +0.05 0.00 — 11:08
16 Connor Brown R +0.08 0.00 0.00 +0.04 0.00 -0.01 +0.05 — 16:26
17 Simon Nemec D +0.06 0.00 +0.02 -0.07 +0.15 0.00 -0.04 — 19:09
47 Paul Cotter L -0.24 +0.70 0.00 -0.95 0.00 +0.01 0.00 — 13:40
5 Brenden Dillon D -0.45 0.00 +0.03 -0.48 0.00 0.00 0.00 — 19:54
71 Jonas Siegenthaler D -0.69 0.00 0.00 -0.60 -0.15 0.00 +0.06 — 19:12
14 Luke Glendening C -0.76 0.00 0.00 -0.63 -0.15 -0.03 +0.05 — 13:37
24 Seamus Casey D -0.92 0.00 +0.05 -0.94 0.00 0.00 -0.02 — 17:54
25 Jacob Markstrom G -4.40 0.00 — — -0.15 — — -4.25 59:48

Colorado Avalanche

Player Rating Points Shots On ice Pen FO Other GSAx TOI
95 Victor Olofsson L +3.35 +3.35 +0.42 -0.33 0.00 0.00 -0.08 — 14:31
29 Nathan MacKinnon C +3.02 +2.20 +0.44 +0.24 +0.15 +0.01 -0.02 — 19:56
8 Cale Makar D +2.43 +2.65 +0.17 -0.44 0.00 0.00 +0.05 — 25:13
17 Parker Kelly C +2.32 +1.45 +0.28 +0.48 0.00 0.00 +0.11 — 13:02
15 Jack Ahcan D +1.90 +0.70 +0.01 +1.09 0.00 0.00 +0.10 — 13:19
20 Ross Colton C +1.64 +0.70 +0.16 +0.66 +0.15 0.00 -0.03 — 13:23
93 Zakhar Bardakov C +1.51 +0.75 +0.08 +0.54 +0.15 -0.01 0.00 — 8:38
70 Sam Malinski D +1.45 0.00 +0.18 +1.27 0.00 0.00 0.00 — 16:38
54 Gavin Brindley C +0.94 +0.55 +0.13 +0.12 +0.15 0.00 0.00 — 11:16
13 Valeri Nichushkin R +0.94 +0.55 +0.11 +0.13 +0.15 0.00 0.00 — 20:00
88 Martin Necas C +0.90 +0.75 +0.07 +0.19 -0.15 +0.01 +0.03 — 19:53
18 Jack Drury C +0.65 +0.70 +0.19 -0.29 0.00 -0.05 +0.10 — 14:59
84 Brent Burns D +0.52 +0.55 +0.01 0.00 0.00 0.00 -0.04 — 18:33
62 Artturi Lehkonen L +0.39 0.00 +0.13 +0.20 0.00 0.00 +0.06 — 16:22
11 Brock Nelson C +0.31 0.00 +0.06 +0.18 0.00 +0.06 +0.02 — 17:32
92 Gabriel Landeskog L +0.20 +0.55 +0.01 -0.41 0.00 0.00 +0.05 — 12:50
7 Devon Toews D +0.05 0.00 0.00 +0.02 0.00 0.00 +0.03 — 23:29
42 Josh Manson D -0.94 0.00 0.00 -0.80 -0.15 0.00 +0.01 — 16:47
41 Scott Wedgewood G -1.26 0.00 — — 0.00 — — -1.26 59:39

An expected-goals take on Dom Luszczyszyn's Game Score: goals and assists, the quality of a player's own shots, shot quality for and against while they were on the ice at 5v5, penalties, faceoffs and puck plays, all in goals; goalies by goals saved above expected. From the NHL play-by-play and shift charts.