| Final | 1st | 2nd | 3rd | T | SOG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 |
2 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 23 |
 |
0 | 5 | 1 | 6 | 24 |
No impact calculated for this game. Impacts are calculated for games in the next 7 days.
Highlights
Scoring
| 1st Period | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| 9:25 | |
Logan Cooley (8) Dylan Guenther (7) · wrist xG 0.10 | 1–0 ▶ |
| 17:45 | |
JJ Peterka (4) Unassisted · wrist xG 0.04 | 2–0 ▶ |
| 2nd Period | |||
| 0:22 | |
Mattias Ekholm (1) Leon Draisaitl (5), Evan Bouchard (4) · slap xG 0.07 | 2–1 ▶ |
| 3:13 | |
Isaac Howard (2) Adam Henrique (2) · snap xG 0.20 | 2–2 ▶ |
| 8:19 | |
Barrett Hayton (2) Nick Schmaltz (10), Mikhail Sergachev (7) · snap xG 0.10 | 3–2 ▶ |
| 13:33 | |
Leon Draisaitl (8) Jake Walman (3), Evan Bouchard (5) · snap xG 0.04 | 3–3 ▶ |
| 14:10 | |
Ty Emberson (1) Adam Henrique (3), Mattias Ekholm (5) · snap xG 0.06 | 3–4 ▶ |
| 17:56 | |
Connor McDavid (2) Ryan Nugent-Hopkins (7), Jake Walman (4) · snap xG 0.18 | 3–5 ▶ |
| 3rd Period | |||
| 17:34 | |
Connor McDavid (3)EN Evan Bouchard (6) · wrist xG 0.60 | 3–6 ▶ |
Score away–home after each goal; season totals in parentheses.
Shot quality
Expected goals (xG) rate every unblocked shot by how often shots like it go in, from where it was taken, the shot type, the strength and what happened just before it. How it works
| UTA | EDM | |
|---|---|---|
| 3.23 | Expected goals | 2.99 |
| 3 | Goals (no shootout) | 6 |
| 2.31 | Expected goals, 5 on 5 | 2.21 |
| 53 | Shot attempts | 51 |
| 38 | Unblocked attempts | 36 |
| 23 | Shots on goal | 24 |
Game notes
What stood out as the game went on, from the play-by-play and the shifts. Time on the bench is counted in 5-on-5 play outside the penalty box; the note says the player sat, not why. Goals saved are against the shots' expected goals (xG).
| 2nd Period | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| 14:10 | UTA | Goalie | Goalie · Vejmelka −2.5 goals saved
4 goals on 1.48 xG, 15 shots on goal |
| 3rd Period | |||
| 16:29 | UTA | Pulled goalie | Pulled goalie · Pulled Vejmelka, down 5–3
With 3:31 left; EDM scored at 17:34 of the 3rd (3–6) |
Shot map
About these numbers
xG comes from hockeystats.io's own model, a gradient-boosted tree model trained on every unblocked shot from the 2021-22 to 2025-26 regular seasons using the NHL's public play-by-play. Each shot's value is the share of similar shots that became goals. A team's xG is the sum over its shots; "deserve to win" asks how often the team would outscore its opponent if every shot went in at exactly that rate. Blocked shots count as attempts but have no xG (the NHL records where they were blocked, not where they were taken), so the map leaves them out.
Box score
| Skater | G | A | P | +/− | Att | xG | Hit | Blk | TOI | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Forwards | ||||||||||
| 8 | Nick Schmaltz | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 0.47 | 0 | 0 | 23:04 |
| 9 | Clayton Keller | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0.07 | 0 | 2 | 20:06 |
| 92 | Logan Cooley | 1 | 0 | 1 | -1 | 3 | 0.36 | 0 | 0 | 18:06 |
| 27 | Barrett Hayton | 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 3 | 0.26 | 0 | 0 | 17:55 |
| 11 | Dylan Guenther | 0 | 1 | 1 | -1 | 8 | 0.71 | 0 | 0 | 17:44 |
| 10 | JJ Peterka | 1 | 0 | 1 | -1 | 4 | 0.13 | 1 | 1 | 16:54 |
| 22 | Jack McBain | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | 3 | 0.07 | 0 | 0 | 14:08 |
| 67 | Lawson Crouse | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | 5 | 0.48 | 3 | 2 | 13:55 |
| 82 | Kevin Stenlund | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2 | 4 | 0.29 | 2 | 1 | 12:45 |
| 53 | Michael Carcone | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | 3 | 0.09 | 2 | 0 | 12:39 |
| 38 | Liam O'Brien | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2 | 2 | 0.00 | 2 | 0 | 08:08 |
| 13 | Brandon Tanev | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2 | 0 | 0.00 | 3 | 0 | 07:45 |
| Defense | ||||||||||
| 98 | Mikhail Sergachev | 0 | 1 | 1 | -1 | 6 | 0.13 | 1 | 1 | 26:19 |
| 88 | Nate Schmidt | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | 2 | 0.04 | 2 | 1 | 20:30 |
| 6 | John Marino | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | 1 | 0.01 | 0 | 2 | 19:46 |
| 28 | Ian Cole | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0.06 | 1 | 2 | 16:08 |
| 3 | Olli Maatta | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | 0 | 0.00 | 0 | 0 | 13:04 |
| Goalie | SA | GA | SV | SV% | xGA | GSAx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Karel Vejmelka | 23 | 5 | 18 | .783 | 2.39 | -2.61 |
| Skater | G | A | P | +/− | Att | xG | Hit | Blk | TOI | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Forwards | ||||||||||
| 97 | Connor McDavid | 2 | 0 | 2 | +2 | 7 | 0.92 | 0 | 0 | 22:37 |
| 29 | Leon Draisaitl | 1 | 1 | 2 | +2 | 6 | 0.32 | 2 | 0 | 20:43 |
| 93 | Ryan Nugent-Hopkins | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 0.29 | 1 | 1 | 20:08 |
| 96 | Jack Roslovic | 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 6 | 0.46 | 1 | 0 | 18:20 |
| 26 | Andrew Mangiapane | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0.17 | 4 | 0 | 16:26 |
| 22 | Matt Savoie | 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 1 | 0.02 | 1 | 0 | 16:08 |
| 92 | Vasily Podkolzin | 0 | 0 | 0 | +2 | 0 | 0.00 | 2 | 2 | 16:02 |
| 19 | Adam Henrique | 0 | 2 | 2 | +1 | 2 | 0.00 | 0 | 0 | 13:55 |
| 10 | Trent Frederic | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0.09 | 2 | 0 | 12:47 |
| 53 | Isaac Howard | 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 2 | 0.20 | 0 | 0 | 09:17 |
| Defense | ||||||||||
| 96 | Jake Walman | 0 | 2 | 2 | +1 | 4 | 0.06 | 0 | 4 | 19:43 |
| 14 | Mattias Ekholm | 1 | 1 | 2 | +3 | 3 | 0.07 | 2 | 1 | 18:57 |
| 2 | Evan Bouchard | 0 | 3 | 3 | +3 | 1 | 0.00 | 1 | 0 | 18:53 |
| 27 | Brett Kulak | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0.08 | 0 | 0 | 18:45 |
| 25 | Darnell Nurse | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | 2 | 0.02 | 0 | 3 | 16:49 |
| 49 | Ty Emberson | 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 2 | 0.08 | 3 | 1 | 14:58 |
| 28 | Troy Stecher | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | 2 | 0.00 | 0 | 1 | 10:41 |
| Goalie | SA | GA | SV | SV% | xGA | GSAx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Stuart Skinner | 23 | 3 | 20 | .870 | 3.23 | +0.23 |
Skaters by time on ice. Goalie lines count shots with the goalie in net, from the NHL play-by-play.
Player ratings
What each player added to the result, in goals, from most to least. Hover a number for what it's made of.
| Player | Rating | Points | Shots | On ice | Pen | FO | Other | GSAx | TOI |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Dylan Guenther R | +1.49 | +0.70 | +0.46 | +0.19 | +0.15 | -0.01 | 0.00 | — | 17:44 |
| 27 Barrett Hayton C | +1.32 | +0.75 | +0.17 | +0.44 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -0.04 | — | 17:55 |
| 92 Logan Cooley C | +1.31 | +0.75 | +0.23 | +0.19 | +0.15 | -0.03 | +0.02 | — | 18:06 |
| 8 Nick Schmaltz C | +1.29 | +0.70 | +0.30 | +0.36 | 0.00 | -0.05 | -0.02 | — | 23:04 |
| 98 Mikhail Sergachev D | +1.19 | +0.55 | +0.08 | +0.52 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.03 | — | 26:19 |
| 77 JJ Peterka R | +1.01 | +0.75 | +0.09 | +0.13 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.05 | — | 16:54 |
| 28 Ian Cole D | +0.75 | 0.00 | +0.04 | +0.62 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.08 | — | 16:08 |
| 67 Lawson Crouse L | +0.62 | 0.00 | +0.31 | +0.23 | 0.00 | -0.02 | +0.10 | — | 13:55 |
| 9 Clayton Keller R | +0.59 | 0.00 | +0.05 | +0.46 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.08 | — | 20:06 |
| 53 Michael Carcone L | +0.29 | 0.00 | +0.06 | +0.25 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -0.02 | — | 12:39 |
| 22 Jack McBain C | +0.22 | 0.00 | +0.04 | +0.17 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | — | 14:08 |
| 26 Dmitri Simashev D | +0.07 | 0.00 | +0.04 | -0.05 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.08 | — | 20:09 |
| 2 Olli Maatta D | -0.01 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -0.01 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | — | 13:04 |
| 88 Nate Schmidt D | -0.60 | 0.00 | +0.03 | -0.70 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.07 | — | 20:30 |
| 6 John Marino D | -0.68 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -0.76 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.08 | — | 19:46 |
| 82 Kevin Stenlund C | -0.78 | 0.00 | +0.19 | -1.08 | 0.00 | +0.04 | +0.07 | — | 12:45 |
| 13 Brandon Tanev L | -0.93 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -0.92 | 0.00 | -0.01 | 0.00 | — | 7:45 |
| 38 Liam O'Brien C | -1.11 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -0.96 | -0.15 | 0.00 | 0.00 | — | 8:08 |
| 70 Karel Vejmelka G | -2.61 | 0.00 | — | — | 0.00 | — | — | -2.61 | 58:55 |
| Player | Rating | Points | Shots | On ice | Pen | FO | Other | GSAx | TOI |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 97 Connor McDavid C | +2.53 | +1.50 | +0.60 | +0.43 | 0.00 | +0.02 | -0.02 | — | 22:37 |
| 96 Jake Walman D | +2.06 | +1.25 | +0.04 | +0.57 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.20 | — | 19:43 |
| 2 Evan Bouchard D | +2.03 | +1.80 | 0.00 | +0.40 | -0.15 | 0.00 | -0.02 | — | 18:53 |
| 29 Leon Draisaitl C | +1.98 | +1.45 | +0.21 | +0.40 | 0.00 | -0.04 | -0.04 | — | 20:43 |
| 19 Adam Henrique C | +1.82 | +1.40 | 0.00 | +0.39 | 0.00 | +0.03 | 0.00 | — | 13:55 |
| 14 Mattias Ekholm D | +1.49 | +1.30 | +0.05 | +0.17 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -0.03 | — | 18:57 |
| 49 Ty Emberson D | +1.10 | +0.75 | +0.05 | +0.06 | +0.15 | 0.00 | +0.09 | — | 14:58 |
| 93 Ryan Nugent-Hopkins C | +0.86 | +0.70 | +0.19 | -0.09 | 0.00 | -0.01 | +0.07 | — | 20:08 |
| 53 Isaac Howard L | +0.57 | +0.75 | +0.13 | -0.16 | -0.15 | 0.00 | 0.00 | — | 9:17 |
| 28 Jack Roslovic C | +0.45 | 0.00 | +0.30 | +0.15 | 0.00 | +0.01 | 0.00 | — | 18:20 |
| 92 Vasily Podkolzin R | +0.38 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.27 | 0.00 | +0.01 | +0.10 | — | 16:02 |
| 74 Stuart Skinner G | +0.23 | 0.00 | — | — | 0.00 | — | — | +0.23 | 59:59 |
| 22 Matt Savoie C | +0.22 | 0.00 | +0.01 | +0.24 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -0.04 | — | 16:08 |
| 88 Andrew Mangiapane L | +0.01 | 0.00 | +0.11 | -0.10 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | — | 16:26 |
| 25 Darnell Nurse D | -0.04 | 0.00 | +0.01 | -0.20 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.15 | — | 16:49 |
| 27 Brett Kulak D | -0.13 | 0.00 | +0.05 | -0.16 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -0.02 | — | 18:45 |
| 10 Trent Frederic C | -0.33 | 0.00 | +0.06 | -0.40 | 0.00 | +0.02 | 0.00 | — | 12:47 |
| 86 David Tomasek R | -0.41 | 0.00 | +0.13 | -0.58 | 0.00 | +0.04 | 0.00 | — | 10:52 |
| 51 Troy Stecher D | -0.46 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -0.47 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.01 | — | 10:41 |
An expected-goals take on Dom Luszczyszyn's Game Score: goals and assists, the quality of a player's own shots, shot quality for and against while they were on the ice at 5v5, penalties, faceoffs and puck plays, all in goals; goalies by goals saved above expected. From the NHL play-by-play and shift charts.