| Final | 1st | 2nd | 3rd | T | SOG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 25 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 23 |
No impact calculated for this game. Impacts are calculated for games in the next 7 days.
Expected goals (xG) rate every unblocked shot by how often shots like it go in, from where it was taken, the shot type, the strength and what happened just before it. How it works
| NYR | VAN | |
|---|---|---|
| 3.42 | Expected goals | 2.13 |
| 2 | Goals (no shootout) | 0 |
| 2.19 | Expected goals, 5 on 5 | 1.53 |
| 53 | Shot attempts | 56 |
| 42 | Unblocked attempts | 43 |
| 25 | Shots on goal | 23 |
What stood out as the game went on, from the play-by-play and the shifts. Time on the bench is counted in 5-on-5 play outside the penalty box; the note says the player sat, not why. Goals saved are against the shots' expected goals (xG).
| 1st Period | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| 12:25 | NYR | Deserve to win | Deserve to win · NYR takes the lead, 60–40%
VAN had led since 5:42 of the 1st, by as much as 62% |
| 2nd Period | |||
| 0:20 | NYR | xG swing | xG swing · Out-chanced VAN 1.11–0.03
In xG over 10 minutes, 10:20 of the 1st to 0:20 of the 2nd; goals 1–0 |
| 3rd Period | |||
| 12:10 | VAN | No shift | No shift · Garland, 15:18 on the bench
No shift after 19:52 of the 2nd; 18 shifts (15:30) before that |
| 12:48 | VAN | Goalie | Goalie · Demko +2.0 goals saved
1 goal on 3.05 xG, 24 shots on goal |
| 16:59 | VAN | Pulled goalie | Pulled goalie · Pulled Demko, down 1–0
With 3:01 left; NYR scored at 18:27 of the 3rd (2–0) |
| 18:03 | NYR | Goalie | Goalie · Quick +2.0 goals saved
0 goals on 2.01 xG, 22 shots on goal |
xG comes from hockeystats.io's own model, a gradient-boosted tree model trained on every unblocked shot from the 2021-22 to 2025-26 regular seasons using the NHL's public play-by-play. Each shot's value is the share of similar shots that became goals. A team's xG is the sum over its shots; "deserve to win" asks how often the team would outscore its opponent if every shot went in at exactly that rate. Blocked shots count as attempts but have no xG (the NHL records where they were blocked, not where they were taken), so the map leaves them out.
| Skater | G | A | P | +/− | Att | xG | Hit | Blk | TOI | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Forwards | ||||||||||
| 93 | Mika Zibanejad | 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 6 | 0.44 | 3 | 1 | 23:51 |
| 10 | Artemi Panarin | 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 5 | 0.35 | 0 | 0 | 22:12 |
| 50 | Will Cuylle | 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 3 | 0.18 | 1 | 2 | 21:35 |
| 10 | J.T. Miller | 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 5 | 0.35 | 1 | 1 | 19:24 |
| 13 | Alexis Lafrenière | 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 2 | 0.22 | 1 | 1 | 17:34 |
| 43 | Conor Sheary | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 0.29 | 0 | 1 | 15:27 |
| 14 | Taylor Raddysh | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 0.54 | 0 | 1 | 12:02 |
| 10 | Sam Carrick | 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 1 | 0.37 | 1 | 0 | 10:56 |
| 22 | Jonny Brodzinski | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.02 | 0 | 0 | 10:29 |
| 84 | Adam Edstrom | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.08 | 2 | 0 | 09:42 |
| 42 | Noah Laba | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0.10 | 0 | 0 | 09:40 |
| Defense | ||||||||||
| 23 | Adam Fox | 0 | 2 | 2 | +1 | 3 | 0.02 | 2 | 1 | 22:04 |
| 44 | Vladislav Gavrikov | 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 3 | 0.19 | 0 | 0 | 21:57 |
| 17 | Will Borgen | 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 1 | 0.00 | 3 | 0 | 20:08 |
| 4 | Braden Schneider | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.00 | 1 | 0 | 18:33 |
| 7 | Carson Soucy | 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 2 | 0.00 | 1 | 1 | 16:59 |
| 18 | Urho Vaakanainen | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0.13 | 0 | 1 | 14:15 |
| Goalie | SA | GA | SV | SV% | xGA | GSAx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jonathan Quick | 23 | 0 | 23 | 1.000 | 2.13 | +2.13 |
| Skater | G | A | P | +/− | Att | xG | Hit | Blk | TOI | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Forwards | ||||||||||
| 40 | Elias Pettersson | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | 4 | 0.04 | 3 | 0 | 22:19 |
| 44 | Kiefer Sherwood | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | 1 | 0.01 | 5 | 1 | 19:29 |
| 74 | Jake DeBrusk | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | 5 | 0.24 | 0 | 0 | 19:01 |
| 91 | Evander Kane | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2 | 8 | 0.20 | 1 | 1 | 18:57 |
| 6 | Brock Boeser | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2 | 2 | 0.08 | 0 | 1 | 18:25 |
| 18 | Drew O'Connor | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 0.15 | 2 | 1 | 15:47 |
| 83 | Conor Garland | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0.14 | 0 | 0 | 15:30 |
| 54 | Aatu Räty | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0.09 | 0 | 1 | 10:54 |
| 94 | Linus Karlsson | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 3 | 0 | 09:04 |
| 63 | Max Sasson | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.01 | 0 | 0 | 08:30 |
| 13 | Arshdeep Bains | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.13 | 0 | 0 | 08:13 |
| Defense | ||||||||||
| 17 | Filip Hronek | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | 5 | 0.14 | 2 | 2 | 28:33 |
| 57 | Tyler Myers | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | 3 | 0.13 | 0 | 1 | 21:46 |
| 26 | Marcus Pettersson | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 0.07 | 1 | 1 | 19:45 |
| 25 | Elias Pettersson | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | 1 | 0.00 | 1 | 1 | 17:33 |
| 7 | Pierre-Olivier Joseph | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0.01 | 0 | 0 | 14:38 |
| 5 | Tom Willander | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 0.04 | 1 | 0 | 12:37 |
| Goalie | SA | GA | SV | SV% | xGA | GSAx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Thatcher Demko | 24 | 1 | 23 | .958 | 3.05 | +2.05 |
Skaters by time on ice. Goalie lines count shots with the goalie in net, from the NHL play-by-play.
What each player added to the result, in goals, from most to least. Hover a number for what it's made of.
| Player | Rating | Points | Shots | On ice | Pen | FO | Other | GSAx | TOI |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Adam Fox D | +2.16 | +1.10 | +0.02 | +1.02 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.03 | — | 22:04 |
| 32 Jonathan Quick G | +2.13 | 0.00 | — | — | 0.00 | — | — | +2.13 | 60:00 |
| 50 Will Cuylle L | +1.75 | +0.70 | +0.12 | +0.98 | -0.15 | 0.00 | +0.10 | — | 21:35 |
| 93 Mika Zibanejad C | +1.71 | +0.75 | +0.29 | +0.69 | 0.00 | -0.04 | +0.03 | — | 23:51 |
| 44 Vladislav Gavrikov D | +1.33 | 0.00 | +0.12 | +1.06 | +0.15 | 0.00 | 0.00 | — | 21:57 |
| 13 Alexis Lafrenière L | +1.19 | +0.70 | +0.14 | +0.30 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.05 | — | 17:34 |
| 10 Artemi Panarin L | +1.04 | 0.00 | +0.23 | +0.83 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -0.02 | — | 22:12 |
| 39 Sam Carrick C | +0.92 | +0.75 | +0.24 | -0.35 | +0.30 | -0.02 | 0.00 | — | 10:56 |
| 43 Conor Sheary L | +0.70 | 0.00 | +0.19 | +0.49 | 0.00 | -0.01 | +0.03 | — | 15:27 |
| 8 J.T. Miller C | +0.64 | 0.00 | +0.23 | +0.31 | 0.00 | +0.07 | +0.03 | — | 19:24 |
| 14 Taylor Raddysh R | +0.54 | 0.00 | +0.35 | +0.14 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.05 | — | 12:02 |
| 18 Urho Vaakanainen D | +0.26 | 0.00 | +0.09 | +0.13 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.05 | — | 14:15 |
| 4 Braden Schneider D | +0.25 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.10 | +0.15 | 0.00 | 0.00 | — | 18:33 |
| 42 Noah Laba C | +0.11 | 0.00 | +0.07 | +0.03 | 0.00 | +0.03 | -0.02 | — | 9:40 |
| 71 Juuso Parssinen C | +0.07 | 0.00 | +0.07 | -0.06 | 0.00 | +0.01 | +0.05 | — | 8:30 |
| 22 Jonny Brodzinski C | -0.10 | 0.00 | +0.01 | -0.12 | 0.00 | +0.01 | 0.00 | — | 10:29 |
| 84 Adam Edstrom C | -0.39 | 0.00 | +0.05 | -0.29 | -0.15 | 0.00 | 0.00 | — | 9:42 |
| 24 Carson Soucy D | -0.45 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -0.35 | -0.15 | 0.00 | +0.05 | — | 16:59 |
| 17 Will Borgen D | -0.46 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -0.48 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.02 | — | 20:08 |
| Player | Rating | Points | Shots | On ice | Pen | FO | Other | GSAx | TOI |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 35 Thatcher Demko G | +2.05 | 0.00 | — | — | 0.00 | — | — | +2.05 | 57:19 |
| 18 Drew O'Connor L | +0.41 | 0.00 | +0.10 | +0.26 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.05 | — | 15:47 |
| 54 Aatu Räty C | +0.29 | 0.00 | +0.06 | +0.20 | 0.00 | -0.02 | +0.05 | — | 10:54 |
| 13 Arshdeep Bains L | +0.15 | 0.00 | +0.08 | +0.20 | -0.15 | 0.00 | +0.02 | — | 8:13 |
| 7 Pierre-Olivier Joseph D | +0.13 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.12 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | — | 14:38 |
| 44 Kiefer Sherwood L | +0.12 | 0.00 | +0.01 | +0.21 | -0.15 | 0.00 | +0.05 | — | 19:29 |
| 63 Max Sasson C | +0.06 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.03 | 0.00 | +0.02 | 0.00 | — | 8:30 |
| 73 Lukas Reichel L | +0.03 | 0.00 | +0.44 | -0.34 | 0.00 | -0.07 | 0.00 | — | 15:40 |
| 5 Tom Willander D | -0.08 | 0.00 | +0.03 | -0.12 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.02 | — | 12:37 |
| 94 Linus Karlsson C | -0.16 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -0.12 | 0.00 | -0.02 | -0.02 | — | 9:04 |
| 57 Tyler Myers D | -0.19 | 0.00 | +0.08 | -0.32 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.05 | — | 21:46 |
| 40 Elias Pettersson C | -0.21 | 0.00 | +0.03 | -0.59 | +0.30 | +0.03 | +0.02 | — | 22:19 |
| 8 Conor Garland R | -0.23 | 0.00 | +0.09 | -0.32 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | — | 15:30 |
| 17 Filip Hronek D | -0.24 | 0.00 | +0.09 | -0.40 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.08 | — | 28:33 |
| 91 Evander Kane L | -0.37 | 0.00 | +0.13 | -0.57 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.07 | — | 18:57 |
| 29 Marcus Pettersson D | -0.38 | 0.00 | +0.04 | -0.31 | -0.15 | 0.00 | +0.03 | — | 19:45 |
| 74 Jake DeBrusk L | -0.62 | 0.00 | +0.15 | -0.77 | 0.00 | +0.01 | -0.02 | — | 19:01 |
| 6 Brock Boeser R | -0.63 | 0.00 | +0.05 | -0.75 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.07 | — | 18:25 |
| 25 Elias Pettersson D | -0.70 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -0.73 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.03 | — | 17:33 |
An expected-goals take on Dom Luszczyszyn's Game Score: goals and assists, the quality of a player's own shots, shot quality for and against while they were on the ice at 5v5, penalties, faceoffs and puck plays, all in goals; goalies by goals saved above expected. From the NHL play-by-play and shift charts.