| Final/OT | 1st | 2nd | 3rd | OT | T | SOG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 21 | |
| 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 21 |
No impact calculated for this game. Impacts are calculated for games in the next 7 days.
| 1st Period | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| 10:25 | Cole Caufield (8) Nick Suzuki (12), Noah Dobson (5) · snap xG 0.16 | 1–0 ▶ | |
| 17:28 | Juraj Slafkovský (5)PP Cole Caufield (4), Nick Suzuki (13) · snap xG 0.21 | 2–0 ▶ | |
| 2nd Period | |||
| No scoring | |||
| 3rd Period | |||
| 5:55 | Alex Newhook (4)PP Kirby Dach (2), Noah Dobson (6) · wrist xG 0.06 | 3–0 ▶ | |
| 8:57 | Brandon Montour (1)PP Berkly Catton (3), Mason Marchment (4) · slap xG 0.05 | 3–1 ▶ | |
| 15:17 | Shane Wright (3) Brandon Montour (5), Eeli Tolvanen (2) · snap xG 0.15 | 3–2 ▶ | |
| 18:17 | Brandon Montour (2) Vince Dunn (4), Jaden Schwartz (5) · slap xG 0.06 | 3–3 ▶ | |
| Overtime | |||
| 0:44 | Cole Caufield (9) Nick Suzuki (14), Lane Hutson (9) · poke xG 0.16 | 4–3 ▶ | |
Score away–home after each goal; season totals in parentheses.
Expected goals (xG) rate every unblocked shot by how often shots like it go in, from where it was taken, the shot type, the strength and what happened just before it. How it works
| MTL | SEA | |
|---|---|---|
| 1.93 | Expected goals | 2.02 |
| 4 | Goals (no shootout) | 3 |
| 1.39 | Expected goals, 5 on 5 | 0.94 |
| 42 | Shot attempts | 48 |
| 33 | Unblocked attempts | 31 |
| 21 | Shots on goal | 21 |
What stood out as the game went on, from the play-by-play and the shifts. Time on the bench is counted in 5-on-5 play outside the penalty box; the note says the player sat, not why. Goals saved are against the shots' expected goals (xG).
| 3rd Period | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| 17:22 | SEA | Pulled goalie | Pulled goalie · Pulled Daccord, down 3–2
With 2:38 left; SEA scored at 18:17 of the 3rd (3–3) |
| Overtime | |||
| 0:44 | SEA | Goalie | Goalie · Daccord −2.1 goals saved
4 goals on 1.93 xG, 21 shots on goal |
xG comes from hockeystats.io's own model, a gradient-boosted tree model trained on every unblocked shot from the 2021-22 to 2025-26 regular seasons using the NHL's public play-by-play. Each shot's value is the share of similar shots that became goals. A team's xG is the sum over its shots; "deserve to win" asks how often the team would outscore its opponent if every shot went in at exactly that rate. Blocked shots count as attempts but have no xG (the NHL records where they were blocked, not where they were taken), so the map leaves them out.
| Skater | G | A | P | +/− | Att | xG | Hit | Blk | TOI | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Forwards | ||||||||||
| 14 | Nick Suzuki | 0 | 3 | 3 | +2 | 5 | 0.39 | 0 | 0 | 18:46 |
| 71 | Jake Evans | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2 | 2 | 0.06 | 3 | 1 | 17:27 |
| 13 | Cole Caufield | 2 | 1 | 3 | +2 | 5 | 0.42 | 0 | 1 | 17:21 |
| 20 | Juraj Slafkovský | 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 3 | 0.34 | 0 | 0 | 16:59 |
| 17 | Josh Anderson | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | 3 | 0.17 | 0 | 0 | 15:16 |
| 90 | Joseph Veleno | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 3 | 0 | 14:22 |
| 77 | Kirby Dach | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0.26 | 3 | 1 | 14:02 |
| 15 | Alex Newhook | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0.06 | 1 | 0 | 13:38 |
| 76 | Zachary Bolduc | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.00 | 0 | 1 | 13:28 |
| 93 | Ivan Demidov | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | 1 | 0.00 | 0 | 1 | 12:00 |
| 7 | Brendan Gallagher | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 1 | 0 | 11:30 |
| 91 | Oliver Kapanen | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | 1 | 0.05 | 0 | 0 | 10:20 |
| Defense | ||||||||||
| 8 | Mike Matheson | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | 2 | 0.03 | 0 | 3 | 27:05 |
| 48 | Lane Hutson | 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 4 | 0.00 | 1 | 1 | 22:20 |
| 53 | Noah Dobson | 0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 7 | 0.09 | 1 | 1 | 22:07 |
| 45 | Alexandre Carrier | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | 0 | 0.00 | 1 | 4 | 19:34 |
| 3 | Jayden Struble | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 0.06 | 3 | 0 | 15:28 |
| 72 | Arber Xhekaj | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 1 | 1 | 11:29 |
| Goalie | SA | GA | SV | SV% | xGA | GSAx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jakub Dobes | 21 | 3 | 18 | .857 | 2.02 | -0.98 |
| Skater | G | A | P | +/− | Att | xG | Hit | Blk | TOI | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Forwards | ||||||||||
| 10 | Matty Beniers | 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 9 | 0.48 | 1 | 0 | 21:38 |
| 7 | Jordan Eberle | 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 2 | 0.22 | 1 | 0 | 21:38 |
| 9 | Chandler Stephenson | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | 3 | 0.10 | 0 | 0 | 19:55 |
| 51 | Shane Wright | 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 2 | 0.15 | 0 | 0 | 16:41 |
| 27 | Berkly Catton | 0 | 1 | 1 | -1 | 1 | 0.10 | 0 | 1 | 16:13 |
| 71 | Jaden Schwartz | 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 5 | 0.47 | 0 | 0 | 15:09 |
| 27 | Mason Marchment | 0 | 1 | 1 | -1 | 1 | 0.00 | 2 | 1 | 14:34 |
| 26 | Ryan Winterton | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0.06 | 2 | 0 | 13:09 |
| 17 | Eeli Tolvanen | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0.07 | 1 | 1 | 12:20 |
| 24 | Tye Kartye | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0.06 | 2 | 0 | 12:07 |
| 59 | Ben Meyers | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.02 | 2 | 0 | 09:02 |
| Defense | ||||||||||
| 62 | Brandon Montour | 2 | 1 | 3 | +2 | 6 | 0.14 | 2 | 2 | 25:17 |
| 29 | Vince Dunn | 0 | 1 | 1 | -1 | 5 | 0.07 | 0 | 0 | 23:16 |
| 6 | Adam Larsson | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | 1 | 0.00 | 3 | 0 | 18:17 |
| 55 | Ryan Lindgren | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 0.01 | 0 | 2 | 17:24 |
| 28 | Josh Mahura | 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 0 | 0.00 | 1 | 2 | 15:31 |
| 4 | Jamie Oleksiak | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.00 | 4 | 0 | 13:51 |
| Goalie | SA | GA | SV | SV% | xGA | GSAx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Joey Daccord | 21 | 4 | 17 | .810 | 1.93 | -2.07 |
Skaters by time on ice. Goalie lines count shots with the goalie in net, from the NHL play-by-play.
What each player added to the result, in goals, from most to least. Hover a number for what it's made of.
| Player | Rating | Points | Shots | On ice | Pen | FO | Other | GSAx | TOI |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Nick Suzuki C | +3.02 | +1.95 | +0.25 | +0.83 | 0.00 | +0.02 | -0.04 | — | 18:46 |
| 13 Cole Caufield R | +2.95 | +2.20 | +0.27 | +0.59 | -0.15 | 0.00 | +0.03 | — | 17:21 |
| 20 Juraj Slafkovský L | +1.94 | +0.75 | +0.22 | +0.83 | +0.15 | -0.02 | 0.00 | — | 16:59 |
| 53 Noah Dobson D | +1.61 | +1.10 | +0.06 | +0.43 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.01 | — | 22:07 |
| 77 Kirby Dach C | +1.18 | +0.70 | +0.17 | +0.28 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.03 | — | 14:02 |
| 48 Lane Hutson D | +1.04 | +0.55 | 0.00 | +0.31 | +0.15 | 0.00 | +0.03 | — | 22:20 |
| 15 Alex Newhook C | +0.49 | +0.75 | +0.04 | -0.30 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | — | 13:38 |
| 72 Arber Xhekaj D | +0.29 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.26 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.03 | — | 11:29 |
| 8 Mike Matheson D | +0.26 | 0.00 | +0.02 | +0.07 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.17 | — | 27:05 |
| 45 Alexandre Carrier D | +0.23 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.03 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.20 | — | 19:34 |
| 90 Joseph Veleno C | +0.16 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.28 | -0.15 | +0.05 | -0.02 | — | 14:22 |
| 76 Zachary Bolduc R | +0.13 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.23 | -0.15 | 0.00 | +0.05 | — | 13:28 |
| 47 Jayden Struble D | +0.06 | 0.00 | +0.04 | +0.21 | -0.15 | 0.00 | -0.04 | — | 15:28 |
| 93 Ivan Demidov R | +0.02 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -0.01 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.03 | — | 12:00 |
| 11 Brendan Gallagher R | -0.02 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -0.04 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.02 | — | 11:30 |
| 71 Jake Evans C | -0.07 | 0.00 | +0.04 | -0.17 | 0.00 | +0.04 | +0.03 | — | 17:27 |
| 17 Josh Anderson R | -0.10 | 0.00 | +0.11 | -0.20 | 0.00 | -0.01 | 0.00 | — | 15:16 |
| 91 Oliver Kapanen C | -0.24 | 0.00 | +0.03 | -0.30 | 0.00 | +0.03 | 0.00 | — | 10:20 |
| 75 Jakub Dobes G | -0.98 | 0.00 | — | — | 0.00 | — | — | -0.98 | 60:44 |
| Player | Rating | Points | Shots | On ice | Pen | FO | Other | GSAx | TOI |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 62 Brandon Montour D | +2.38 | +2.20 | +0.09 | +0.01 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.08 | — | 25:17 |
| 77 Berkly Catton C | +1.23 | +0.70 | +0.07 | +0.12 | +0.30 | 0.00 | +0.05 | — | 16:13 |
| 17 Jaden Schwartz L | +1.15 | +0.55 | +0.30 | +0.46 | -0.15 | 0.00 | -0.02 | — | 15:09 |
| 51 Shane Wright C | +0.73 | +0.75 | +0.10 | -0.04 | 0.00 | -0.06 | -0.02 | — | 16:41 |
| 27 Mason Marchment L | +0.47 | +0.55 | 0.00 | -0.28 | +0.15 | 0.00 | +0.05 | — | 14:34 |
| 20 Eeli Tolvanen R | +0.44 | +0.55 | +0.05 | -0.23 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.07 | — | 12:20 |
| 10 Matty Beniers C | +0.19 | 0.00 | +0.31 | -0.12 | 0.00 | -0.01 | 0.00 | — | 21:38 |
| 55 Ryan Lindgren D | +0.15 | 0.00 | +0.01 | +0.23 | -0.15 | 0.00 | +0.06 | — | 17:24 |
| 38 Jani Nyman R | +0.15 | 0.00 | +0.04 | +0.12 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | — | 12:11 |
| 29 Vince Dunn D | +0.07 | +0.70 | +0.04 | -0.65 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -0.02 | — | 23:16 |
| 28 Josh Mahura D | -0.06 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -0.16 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.10 | — | 15:31 |
| 24 Jamie Oleksiak D | -0.12 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -0.10 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -0.02 | — | 13:51 |
| 7 Jordan Eberle R | -0.13 | 0.00 | +0.14 | -0.24 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -0.04 | — | 21:38 |
| 26 Ryan Winterton C | -0.25 | 0.00 | +0.04 | -0.29 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | — | 13:09 |
| 59 Ben Meyers C | -0.27 | 0.00 | +0.01 | -0.26 | 0.00 | -0.02 | 0.00 | — | 9:02 |
| 12 Tye Kartye L | -0.30 | 0.00 | +0.04 | -0.32 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -0.02 | — | 12:07 |
| 9 Chandler Stephenson C | -0.45 | 0.00 | +0.07 | -0.65 | +0.15 | -0.02 | 0.00 | — | 19:55 |
| 6 Adam Larsson D | -0.82 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -0.82 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | — | 18:17 |
| 35 Joey Daccord G | -2.07 | 0.00 | — | — | 0.00 | — | — | -2.07 | 59:46 |
An expected-goals take on Dom Luszczyszyn's Game Score: goals and assists, the quality of a player's own shots, shot quality for and against while they were on the ice at 5v5, penalties, faceoffs and puck plays, all in goals; goalies by goals saved above expected. From the NHL play-by-play and shift charts.