| Final | 1st | 2nd | 3rd | T | SOG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 14 | |
| 0 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 40 |
No impact calculated for this game. Impacts are calculated for games in the next 7 days.
| 1st Period | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| 10:54 | Corey Perry (3) Brandt Clarke (5), Alex Laferriere (2) · wrist xG 0.24 | 1–0 ▶ | |
| 2nd Period | |||
| 3:21 | Jeff Malott (2) Corey Perry (2), Joel Edmundson (4) · wrist xG 0.06 | 2–0 ▶ | |
| 6:43 | Drew Doughty (1) Brian Dumoulin (1), Alex Turcotte (3) · wrist xG 0.04 | 3–0 ▶ | |
| 15:33 | Will Smith (3) Macklin Celebrini (10), Tyler Toffoli (2) · slap xG 0.10 | 3–1 ▶ | |
| 17:16 | Philipp Kurashev (2) Alexander Wennberg (3), William Eklund (6) · wrist xG 0.11 | 3–2 ▶ | |
| 3rd Period | |||
| 4:48 | Alexander Wennberg (2) Philipp Kurashev (2), Jeff Skinner (2) · wrist xG 0.04 | 3–3 ▶ | |
| 13:20 | Brandt Clarke (2) Adrian Kempe (9), Joel Edmundson (5) · snap xG 0.05 | 4–3 ▶ | |
Score away–home after each goal; season totals in parentheses.
Expected goals (xG) rate every unblocked shot by how often shots like it go in, from where it was taken, the shot type, the strength and what happened just before it. How it works
| LAK | SJS | |
|---|---|---|
| 1.39 | Expected goals | 4.10 |
| 4 | Goals (no shootout) | 3 |
| 1.12 | Expected goals, 5 on 5 | 2.04 |
| 34 | Shot attempts | 79 |
| 22 | Unblocked attempts | 54 |
| 14 | Shots on goal | 40 |
What stood out as the game went on, from the play-by-play and the shifts. Time on the bench is counted in 5-on-5 play outside the penalty box; the note says the player sat, not why. Goals saved are against the shots' expected goals (xG).
| 2nd Period | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| 3:59 | SJS | Deserve to win | Deserve to win · SJS takes the lead, 63–37%
LAK had led since 10:54 of the 1st, by as much as 67% |
| 5:20 | SJS | xG swing | xG swing · Out-chanced LAK 1.24–0.18
In xG over 10 minutes, 15:20 of the 1st to 5:20 of the 2nd; goals 0–1 |
| 6:43 | SJS | Goalie | Goalie · Askarov −2.1 goals saved
3 goals on 0.89 xG, 9 shots on goal |
| 12:40 | LAK | Goalie | Goalie · Kuemper +2.0 goals saved
0 goals on 2.03 xG, 19 shots on goal |
| 3rd Period | |||
| 8:30 | SJS | xG swing | xG swing · Out-chanced LAK 1.24–0.02
In xG over 10 minutes, 19:00 of the 2nd to 9:00 of the 3rd; goals 1–0 |
| 17:10 | LAK | No shift | No shift · Malott, 10:27 on the bench
No shift after 4:48 of the 3rd; 12 shifts (7:08) before that |
xG comes from hockeystats.io's own model, a gradient-boosted tree model trained on every unblocked shot from the 2021-22 to 2025-26 regular seasons using the NHL's public play-by-play. Each shot's value is the share of similar shots that became goals. A team's xG is the sum over its shots; "deserve to win" asks how often the team would outscore its opponent if every shot went in at exactly that rate. Blocked shots count as attempts but have no xG (the NHL records where they were blocked, not where they were taken), so the map leaves them out.
| Skater | G | A | P | +/− | Att | xG | Hit | Blk | TOI | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Forwards | ||||||||||
| 9 | Adrian Kempe | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 0.31 | 3 | 1 | 20:48 |
| 55 | Quinton Byfield | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0.19 | 0 | 1 | 19:30 |
| 11 | Anze Kopitar | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0.02 | 0 | 0 | 18:37 |
| 62 | Andrei Kuzmenko | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0.14 | 1 | 1 | 15:25 |
| 14 | Alex Laferriere | 0 | 1 | 1 | -1 | 2 | 0.00 | 0 | 2 | 15:04 |
| 12 | Trevor Moore | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.01 | 0 | 1 | 14:59 |
| 22 | Kevin Fiala | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | 3 | 0.21 | 1 | 0 | 14:55 |
| 40 | Joel Armia | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 1 | 2 | 13:24 |
| 90 | Corey Perry | 1 | 1 | 2 | +3 | 2 | 0.27 | 0 | 0 | 12:33 |
| 15 | Alex Turcotte | 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 1 | 0.00 | 0 | 0 | 10:59 |
| 24 | Phillip Danault | 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 2 | 0.00 | 0 | 0 | 10:21 |
| 39 | Jeff Malott | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0.06 | 4 | 0 | 07:08 |
| Defense | ||||||||||
| 2 | Brian Dumoulin | 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 2 | 0.02 | 1 | 4 | 21:44 |
| 44 | Mikey Anderson | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | 0 | 0.00 | 1 | 3 | 20:52 |
| 8 | Drew Doughty | 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 2 | 0.07 | 1 | 4 | 20:37 |
| 5 | Cody Ceci | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | 3 | 0.02 | 1 | 2 | 20:25 |
| 6 | Joel Edmundson | 0 | 2 | 2 | -1 | 3 | 0.03 | 0 | 0 | 20:01 |
| 92 | Brandt Clarke | 1 | 1 | 2 | +3 | 2 | 0.05 | 0 | 2 | 13:22 |
| Goalie | SA | GA | SV | SV% | xGA | GSAx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Darcy Kuemper | 40 | 3 | 37 | .925 | 4.10 | +1.10 |
| Skater | G | A | P | +/− | Att | xG | Hit | Blk | TOI | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Forwards | ||||||||||
| 27 | William Eklund | 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 6 | 0.12 | 1 | 0 | 24:46 |
| 21 | Alexander Wennberg | 1 | 1 | 2 | +2 | 4 | 0.20 | 0 | 1 | 22:56 |
| 96 | Philipp Kurashev | 1 | 1 | 2 | +2 | 5 | 0.35 | 0 | 1 | 22:54 |
| 71 | Macklin Celebrini | 0 | 1 | 1 | -1 | 11 | 0.41 | 0 | 0 | 19:52 |
| 2 | Will Smith | 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 10 | 0.71 | 0 | 0 | 18:45 |
| 73 | Tyler Toffoli | 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 8 | 0.64 | 1 | 0 | 16:49 |
| 10 | Ty Dellandrea | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2 | 2 | 0.17 | 1 | 1 | 12:50 |
| 51 | Collin Graf | 0 | 0 | 0 | -3 | 1 | 0.00 | 1 | 0 | 12:19 |
| 53 | Jeff Skinner | 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 4 | 0.12 | 0 | 0 | 11:39 |
| 23 | Barclay Goodrow | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2 | 2 | 0.12 | 1 | 0 | 11:05 |
| 77 | Michael Misa | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 1.06 | 0 | 1 | 10:10 |
| 75 | Ryan Reaves | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | 1 | 0.00 | 4 | 0 | 07:04 |
| Defense | ||||||||||
| 3 | John Klingberg | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2 | 7 | 0.12 | 3 | 2 | 25:33 |
| 9 | Dmitry Orlov | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0.03 | 1 | 2 | 22:12 |
| 27 | Timothy Liljegren | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2 | 3 | 0.00 | 1 | 2 | 20:10 |
| 38 | Mario Ferraro | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.01 | 3 | 2 | 17:33 |
| 6 | Sam Dickinson | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | 2 | 0.05 | 0 | 0 | 12:04 |
| 73 | Vincent Desharnais | 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 0 | 0.00 | 0 | 0 | 11:51 |
| Goalie | SA | GA | SV | SV% | xGA | GSAx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yaroslav Askarov | 14 | 4 | 10 | .714 | 1.39 | -2.61 |
Skaters by time on ice. Goalie lines count shots with the goalie in net, from the NHL play-by-play.
What each player added to the result, in goals, from most to least. Hover a number for what it's made of.
| Player | Rating | Points | Shots | On ice | Pen | FO | Other | GSAx | TOI |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Corey Perry R | +2.35 | +1.45 | +0.17 | +0.72 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | — | 12:33 |
| 92 Brandt Clarke D | +2.14 | +1.45 | +0.03 | +0.75 | -0.15 | 0.00 | +0.06 | — | 13:22 |
| 35 Darcy Kuemper G | +1.10 | 0.00 | — | — | 0.00 | — | — | +1.10 | 60:00 |
| 15 Alex Turcotte C | +1.03 | +0.55 | 0.00 | +0.46 | 0.00 | +0.02 | 0.00 | — | 10:59 |
| 9 Adrian Kempe R | +0.89 | +0.70 | +0.20 | +0.01 | 0.00 | -0.01 | -0.01 | — | 20:48 |
| 6 Joel Edmundson D | +0.58 | +1.10 | +0.02 | -0.37 | -0.15 | 0.00 | -0.02 | — | 20:01 |
| 8 Drew Doughty D | +0.46 | +0.75 | +0.05 | -0.36 | -0.15 | 0.00 | +0.18 | — | 20:37 |
| 39 Jeff Malott L | +0.37 | +0.75 | +0.04 | -0.10 | -0.30 | 0.00 | -0.02 | — | 7:08 |
| 2 Brian Dumoulin D | +0.25 | +0.70 | +0.01 | -0.67 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.20 | — | 21:44 |
| 14 Alex Laferriere R | +0.05 | +0.55 | 0.00 | -0.61 | 0.00 | +0.01 | +0.10 | — | 15:04 |
| 96 Andrei Kuzmenko L | +0.01 | 0.00 | +0.09 | -0.28 | +0.15 | 0.00 | +0.05 | — | 15:25 |
| 12 Trevor Moore L | -0.13 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -0.18 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.05 | — | 14:59 |
| 55 Quinton Byfield R | -0.17 | 0.00 | +0.12 | -0.33 | 0.00 | -0.01 | +0.05 | — | 19:30 |
| 24 Phillip Danault C | -0.17 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -0.17 | 0.00 | +0.04 | -0.04 | — | 10:21 |
| 44 Mikey Anderson D | -0.40 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -0.55 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.15 | — | 20:52 |
| 5 Cody Ceci D | -0.41 | 0.00 | +0.01 | -0.52 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.10 | — | 20:25 |
| 40 Joel Armia R | -0.54 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -0.66 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.12 | — | 13:24 |
| 11 Anze Kopitar C | -0.65 | 0.00 | +0.01 | -0.63 | 0.00 | -0.03 | 0.00 | — | 18:37 |
| 22 Kevin Fiala L | -0.72 | 0.00 | +0.14 | -0.82 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -0.04 | — | 14:55 |
| Player | Rating | Points | Shots | On ice | Pen | FO | Other | GSAx | TOI |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Alexander Wennberg C | +2.28 | +1.45 | +0.13 | +0.59 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.11 | — | 22:56 |
| 96 Philipp Kurashev C | +2.18 | +1.45 | +0.22 | +0.45 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.05 | — | 22:54 |
| 2 Will Smith C | +2.12 | +0.75 | +0.46 | +0.92 | 0.00 | -0.01 | 0.00 | — | 18:45 |
| 73 Tyler Toffoli C | +1.86 | +0.55 | +0.42 | +0.87 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.02 | — | 16:49 |
| 77 Michael Misa C | +1.27 | 0.00 | +0.69 | +0.55 | 0.00 | -0.02 | +0.05 | — | 10:10 |
| 53 Jeff Skinner L | +1.17 | +0.55 | +0.08 | +0.56 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -0.02 | — | 11:39 |
| 5 Vincent Desharnais D | +1.14 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +1.01 | +0.15 | 0.00 | -0.02 | — | 11:51 |
| 72 William Eklund L | +1.10 | +0.55 | +0.08 | +0.18 | +0.30 | 0.00 | 0.00 | — | 24:46 |
| 71 Macklin Celebrini C | +1.09 | +0.70 | +0.27 | +0.19 | 0.00 | -0.03 | -0.04 | — | 19:52 |
| 38 Mario Ferraro D | +0.42 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.29 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.12 | — | 17:33 |
| 6 Sam Dickinson D | +0.39 | 0.00 | +0.03 | +0.38 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -0.02 | — | 12:04 |
| 3 John Klingberg D | +0.15 | 0.00 | +0.08 | -0.01 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.08 | — | 25:33 |
| 9 Dmitry Orlov D | +0.12 | 0.00 | +0.02 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.10 | — | 22:12 |
| 75 Ryan Reaves R | -0.07 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -0.07 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | — | 7:04 |
| 10 Ty Dellandrea C | -0.12 | 0.00 | +0.11 | -0.46 | +0.15 | +0.03 | +0.05 | — | 12:50 |
| 23 Barclay Goodrow C | -0.13 | 0.00 | +0.08 | -0.21 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | — | 11:05 |
| 51 Collin Graf R | -0.37 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -0.36 | 0.00 | +0.01 | -0.02 | — | 12:19 |
| 37 Timothy Liljegren D | -0.63 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -0.56 | -0.15 | 0.00 | +0.08 | — | 20:10 |
| 30 Yaroslav Askarov G | -2.61 | 0.00 | — | — | 0.00 | — | — | -2.61 | 57:28 |
An expected-goals take on Dom Luszczyszyn's Game Score: goals and assists, the quality of a player's own shots, shot quality for and against while they were on the ice at 5v5, penalties, faceoffs and puck plays, all in goals; goalies by goals saved above expected. From the NHL play-by-play and shift charts.