Calgary FlamesCGY 3–4 Final/SO Ottawa SenatorsOTT

Thursday, October 30, 2025

Final/SO	1st	2nd	3rd	OT	SO	T	SOG
Calgary FlamesCGY	2	0	1	0	0	3	29
Ottawa SenatorsOTT	1	0	2	0	2	4	38

No impact calculated for this game. Impacts are calculated for games in the next 7 days.

Highlights

Scoring

1st Period
5:51	CGY	Yegor Sharangovich (2)PP Joel Farabee (4), MacKenzie Weegar (3) · wrist xG 0.06	1–0 ▶
7:37	OTT	Lars Eller (2)SH Shane Pinto (3), Thomas Chabot (5) · wrist xG 0.21	1–1 ▶
15:53	CGY	Matt Coronato (3)PP Morgan Frost (5), Rasmus Andersson (2) · wrist xG 0.53	2–1 ▶
2nd Period
No scoring
3rd Period
2:36	OTT	Artem Zub (2) Lars Eller (4), Drake Batherson (9) · wrist xG 0.02	2–2 ▶
8:16	CGY	Nazem Kadri (3) Jonathan Huberdeau (3) · snap xG 0.20	3–2 ▶
17:11	OTT	Jake Sanderson (3) Tim Stützle (8), Jordan Spence (5) · wrist xG 0.01	3–3 ▶
Overtime
No scoring
Shootout
	OTT	Drake Batherson vs Devin Cooley	Goal
	CGY	Justin Kirkland vs Linus Ullmark	Missed
	OTT	Tim Stützle vs Devin Cooley	Goal
	CGY	Morgan Frost vs Linus Ullmark	Saved

Score away–home after each goal; season totals in parentheses.

Shot quality

Expected goals (xG) rate every unblocked shot by how often shots like it go in, from where it was taken, the shot type, the strength and what happened just before it. How it works

CGY 28%Deserve to win72% OTT

CGY		OTT
2.61	Expected goals	4.01
3	Goals (no shootout)	3
1.44	Expected goals, 5 on 5	1.39
55	Shot attempts	64
34	Unblocked attempts	55
29	Shots on goal	38

Game notes

What stood out as the game went on, from the play-by-play and the shifts. Time on the bench is counted in 5-on-5 play outside the penalty box; the note says the player sat, not why. Goals saved are against the shots' expected goals (xG).

1st Period
19:05	CGY	Deserve to win	Deserve to win · CGY takes the lead, 61–39% OTT had led since 2:01 of the 1st, by as much as 71%
2nd Period
17:30	OTT	No shift	No shift · MacDermid, 32:32 on the bench No shift after 19:22 of the 1st; 4 shifts (2:17) before that
Overtime
1:34	OTT	Deserve to win	Deserve to win · OTT takes the lead, 63–37% CGY had led since 19:05 of the 1st, by as much as 61%
3:50	OTT	xG swing	xG swing · Out-chanced CGY 1.22–0.04 In xG over 10 minutes, 14:30 of the 3rd to 4:30 of overtime; goals 1–0

Shot map

CGY shoots ←Bigger circle: higher xG; filled: goal→ OTT shoots

About these numbers

xG comes from hockeystats.io's own model, a gradient-boosted tree model trained on every unblocked shot from the 2021-22 to 2025-26 regular seasons using the NHL's public play-by-play. Each shot's value is the share of similar shots that became goals. A team's xG is the sum over its shots; "deserve to win" asks how often the team would outscore its opponent if every shot went in at exactly that rate. Blocked shots count as attempts but have no xG (the NHL records where they were blocked, not where they were taken), so the map leaves them out.

Box score

Calgary Flames

	Skater	G	A	P	+/−	Att	xG	Hit	Blk	TOI
Forwards
91	Nazem Kadri	1	0	1	0	7	0.52	1	0	20:45
10	Jonathan Huberdeau	0	1	1	0	1	0.00	0	1	20:06
86	Joel Farabee	0	1	1	-1	4	0.03	0	1	19:33
11	Mikael Backlund	0	0	0	0	7	0.33	1	0	18:31
27	Matt Coronato	1	0	1	-2	4	0.78	0	1	17:59
20	Blake Coleman	0	0	0	0	2	0.00	2	0	17:37
17	Yegor Sharangovich	1	0	1	-1	5	0.11	0	0	17:25
16	Morgan Frost	0	1	1	0	1	0.06	1	0	17:03
29	Samuel Honzek	0	0	0	0	2	0.12	1	0	11:10
94	Ryan Lomberg	0	0	0	-1	2	0.04	3	0	09:33
28	Justin Kirkland	0	0	0	-1	3	0.26	0	0	09:02
43	Adam Klapka	0	0	0	-1	2	0.17	2	2	08:06
Defense
4	Rasmus Andersson	0	1	1	-1	5	0.05	0	1	27:32
52	MacKenzie Weegar	0	1	1	-1	5	0.01	1	0	25:57
7	Kevin Bahl	0	0	0	0	1	0.02	1	0	21:41
44	Joel Hanley	0	0	0	0	1	0.02	1	1	19:58
94	Brayden Pachal	0	0	0	0	0	0.00	3	0	13:16
24	Jake Bean	0	0	0	-1	3	0.10	0	0	12:36

Goalie	SA	GA	SV	SV%	xGA	GSAx
Devin Cooley	38	3	35	.921	4.01	+1.01

Ottawa Senators

	Skater	G	A	P	+/−	Att	xG	Hit	Blk	TOI
Forwards
18	Tim Stützle	0	1	1	+1	12	1.11	0	1	24:57
19	Drake Batherson	0	1	1	+2	5	0.41	2	1	20:56
12	Shane Pinto	0	1	1	0	3	0.31	0	1	19:47
28	Claude Giroux	0	0	0	-1	4	0.38	1	0	19:10
71	Ridly Greig	0	0	0	0	3	0.02	2	0	18:25
24	Dylan Cozens	0	0	0	0	6	0.54	2	0	18:15
16	David Perron	0	0	0	0	1	0.03	1	0	15:12
22	Michael Amadio	0	0	0	-1	2	0.20	1	4	13:38
20	Lars Eller	1	1	2	+2	1	0.21	1	0	12:16
20	Fabian Zetterlund	0	0	0	+1	0	0.00	2	0	11:53
21	Nick Cousins	0	0	0	+1	0	0.00	3	1	10:56
23	Kurtis MacDermid	0	0	0	0	0	0.00	0	0	02:17
Defense
85	Jake Sanderson	1	0	1	+1	11	0.40	0	3	28:50
72	Thomas Chabot	0	1	1	+1	3	0.08	0	4	24:49
2	Artem Zub	1	0	1	+1	4	0.09	1	0	20:09
4	Nick Jensen	0	0	0	0	2	0.01	0	2	17:52
10	Jordan Spence	0	1	1	+1	3	0.14	0	0	15:15
43	Tyler Kleven	0	0	0	0	4	0.08	0	4	13:08

Goalie	SA	GA	SV	SV%	xGA	GSAx
Linus Ullmark	29	3	26	.897	2.61	-0.39

Skaters by time on ice. Goalie lines count shots with the goalie in net, from the NHL play-by-play.

Player ratings

What each player added to the result, in goals, from most to least. Hover a number for what it's made of.

Calgary Flames

Player	Rating	Points	Shots	On ice	Pen	FO	Other	GSAx	TOI
91 Nazem Kadri C	+1.41	+0.75	+0.33	+0.21	+0.15	-0.02	-0.02	—	20:45
1 Devin Cooley G	+1.01	0.00	—	—	0.00	—	—	+1.01	64:12
16 Morgan Frost C	+0.93	+0.70	+0.04	+0.21	0.00	-0.04	+0.02	—	17:03
27 Matt Coronato R	+0.88	+0.75	+0.51	-0.43	0.00	0.00	+0.05	—	17:59
10 Jonathan Huberdeau L	+0.66	+0.70	0.00	-0.02	0.00	-0.01	-0.01	—	20:06
52 MacKenzie Weegar D	+0.62	+0.55	+0.01	+0.14	0.00	0.00	-0.08	—	25:57
94 Brayden Pachal D	+0.57	0.00	0.00	+0.27	+0.30	0.00	0.00	—	13:16
23 Justin Kirkland C	+0.34	0.00	+0.17	+0.19	0.00	0.00	-0.02	—	9:02
70 Ryan Lomberg L	+0.33	0.00	+0.03	+0.30	0.00	0.00	0.00	—	9:33
44 Joel Hanley D	+0.29	0.00	+0.01	+0.25	0.00	0.00	+0.03	—	19:58
11 Mikael Backlund C	+0.23	0.00	+0.21	+0.13	0.00	-0.07	-0.04	—	18:31
86 Joel Farabee L	+0.21	+0.70	+0.02	-0.57	0.00	+0.01	+0.05	—	19:33
43 Adam Klapka R	+0.19	0.00	+0.11	+0.14	-0.15	-0.01	+0.10	—	8:06
24 Jake Bean D	+0.19	0.00	+0.06	+0.14	0.00	0.00	-0.02	—	12:36
17 Yegor Sharangovich C	+0.15	+0.75	+0.07	-0.63	0.00	-0.06	+0.02	—	17:25
29 Samuel Honzek L	+0.12	0.00	+0.08	+0.04	0.00	0.00	0.00	—	11:10
20 Blake Coleman L	+0.11	0.00	0.00	+0.13	0.00	-0.02	0.00	—	17:37
4 Rasmus Andersson D	-0.10	+0.55	+0.03	-0.54	-0.15	0.00	+0.01	—	27:32
7 Kevin Bahl D	-0.62	0.00	+0.01	-0.46	-0.15	0.00	-0.02	—	21:41

Ottawa Senators

Player	Rating	Points	Shots	On ice	Pen	FO	Other	GSAx	TOI
18 Tim Stützle C	+2.14	+0.70	+0.72	+0.57	+0.15	-0.01	+0.01	—	24:57
19 Drake Batherson R	+2.09	+0.55	+0.27	+1.06	+0.15	+0.01	+0.05	—	20:56
89 Lars Eller C	+1.54	+1.45	+0.14	-0.04	0.00	+0.05	-0.06	—	12:16
85 Jake Sanderson D	+1.53	+0.75	+0.26	+0.22	+0.15	0.00	+0.15	—	28:50
2 Artem Zub D	+0.96	+0.75	+0.06	+0.17	0.00	0.00	-0.02	—	20:09
10 Jordan Spence D	+0.74	+0.55	+0.09	+0.11	0.00	0.00	-0.02	—	15:15
21 Nick Cousins C	+0.70	0.00	0.00	+0.64	0.00	+0.01	+0.05	—	10:56
72 Thomas Chabot D	+0.57	+0.55	+0.05	-0.17	0.00	0.00	+0.14	—	24:49
12 Shane Pinto C	+0.55	+0.70	+0.20	-0.26	-0.15	+0.05	+0.01	—	19:47
43 Tyler Kleven D	+0.39	0.00	+0.05	+0.12	0.00	0.00	+0.22	—	13:08
24 Dylan Cozens C	+0.25	0.00	+0.35	-0.10	0.00	0.00	0.00	—	18:15
22 Michael Amadio R	+0.05	0.00	+0.13	-0.29	0.00	0.00	+0.22	—	13:38
28 Claude Giroux R	-0.01	0.00	+0.25	-0.27	0.00	+0.07	-0.06	—	19:10
57 David Perron L	-0.07	0.00	+0.02	-0.22	+0.15	0.00	-0.02	—	15:12
23 Kurtis MacDermid L	-0.23	0.00	0.00	-0.23	0.00	0.00	0.00	—	2:17
20 Fabian Zetterlund L	-0.24	0.00	0.00	-0.22	0.00	0.00	-0.02	—	11:53
3 Nick Jensen D	-0.29	0.00	+0.01	-0.25	-0.15	0.00	+0.10	—	17:52
35 Linus Ullmark G	-0.39	0.00	—	—	0.00	—	—	-0.39	65:00
71 Ridly Greig C	-0.58	0.00	+0.02	-0.33	-0.30	+0.04	0.00	—	18:25

An expected-goals take on Dom Luszczyszyn's Game Score: goals and assists, the quality of a player's own shots, shot quality for and against while they were on the ice at 5v5, penalties, faceoffs and puck plays, all in goals; goalies by goals saved above expected. From the NHL play-by-play and shift charts.