| Final | 1st | 2nd | 3rd | T | SOG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 33 | |
| 0 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 18 |
No impact calculated for this game. Impacts are calculated for games in the next 7 days.
| 1st Period | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| No scoring | |||
| 2nd Period | |||
| 12:45 | Trevor Zegras (3) Matvei Michkov (3), Owen Tippett (1) · wrist xG 0.04 | 0–1 ▶ | |
| 15:41 | Jamie Drysdale (1) Matvei Michkov (4), Trevor Zegras (8) · wrist xG 0.06 | 0–2 ▶ | |
| 18:03 | Matthew Wood (1) Michael Bunting (2), Erik Haula (5) · snap xG 0.14 | 1–2 ▶ | |
| 3rd Period | |||
| 7:00 | Trevor Zegras (4)PP Cam York (5), Noah Cates (4) · slap xG 0.10 | 1–3 ▶ | |
| 15:54 | Travis Konecny (3)EN Christian Dvorak (3) · wrist xG 0.29 | 1–4 ▶ | |
Score away–home after each goal; season totals in parentheses.
Expected goals (xG) rate every unblocked shot by how often shots like it go in, from where it was taken, the shot type, the strength and what happened just before it. How it works
| NSH | PHI | |
|---|---|---|
| 3.18 | Expected goals | 1.73 |
| 1 | Goals (no shootout) | 4 |
| 2.21 | Expected goals, 5 on 5 | 1.35 |
| 72 | Shot attempts | 42 |
| 47 | Unblocked attempts | 29 |
| 33 | Shots on goal | 18 |
What stood out as the game went on, from the play-by-play and the shifts. Time on the bench is counted in 5-on-5 play outside the penalty box; the note says the player sat, not why. Goals saved are against the shots' expected goals (xG).
| 2nd Period | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| 11:27 | PHI | Goalie | Goalie · Vladar +2.0 goals saved
0 goals on 2.02 xG, 20 shots on goal |
| 12:10 | PHI | No shift | No shift · Couturier, 34:06 on the bench
No shift after the end of the 1st; 7 shifts (5:17) before that |
| 3rd Period | |||
| 15:18 | NSH | Pulled goalie | Pulled goalie · Pulled Saros, down 3–1
With 4:42 left; PHI scored at 15:54 of the 3rd (1–4) |
xG comes from hockeystats.io's own model, a gradient-boosted tree model trained on every unblocked shot from the 2021-22 to 2025-26 regular seasons using the NHL's public play-by-play. Each shot's value is the share of similar shots that became goals. A team's xG is the sum over its shots; "deserve to win" asks how often the team would outscore its opponent if every shot went in at exactly that rate. Blocked shots count as attempts but have no xG (the NHL records where they were blocked, not where they were taken), so the map leaves them out.
| Skater | G | A | P | +/− | Att | xG | Hit | Blk | TOI | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Forwards | ||||||||||
| 91 | Steven Stamkos | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | 7 | 0.43 | 1 | 0 | 18:00 |
| 77 | Luke Evangelista | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 0.29 | 0 | 0 | 17:28 |
| 90 | Ryan O'Reilly | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2 | 2 | 0.38 | 0 | 2 | 17:11 |
| 9 | Filip Forsberg | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | 8 | 0.07 | 2 | 0 | 16:40 |
| 81 | Jonathan Marchessault | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | 5 | 0.17 | 2 | 0 | 15:52 |
| 58 | Michael Bunting | 0 | 1 | 1 | -1 | 6 | 0.28 | 0 | 1 | 15:37 |
| 56 | Erik Haula | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0.19 | 2 | 0 | 15:31 |
| 9 | Fedor Svechkov | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.10 | 2 | 0 | 15:14 |
| 89 | Ozzy Wiesblatt | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 0.06 | 2 | 2 | 14:41 |
| 22 | Cole Smith | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0.21 | 1 | 0 | 13:07 |
| 71 | Matthew Wood | 1 | 0 | 1 | -1 | 7 | 0.57 | 1 | 0 | 12:41 |
| 47 | Michael McCarron | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0.03 | 3 | 1 | 12:06 |
| Defense | ||||||||||
| 76 | Brady Skjei | 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 5 | 0.02 | 1 | 1 | 21:38 |
| 3 | Nick Blankenburg | 0 | 0 | 0 | -3 | 6 | 0.13 | 1 | 2 | 20:52 |
| 48 | Nick Perbix | 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 2 | 0.03 | 0 | 2 | 19:02 |
| 41 | Nicolas Hague | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2 | 2 | 0.04 | 1 | 1 | 18:58 |
| 72 | Justin Barron | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0.15 | 2 | 0 | 17:37 |
| 24 | Spencer Stastney | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0.02 | 0 | 0 | 17:11 |
| Goalie | SA | GA | SV | SV% | xGA | GSAx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Juuse Saros | 17 | 3 | 14 | .824 | 1.45 | -1.55 |
| Skater | G | A | P | +/− | Att | xG | Hit | Blk | TOI | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Forwards | ||||||||||
| 46 | Trevor Zegras | 2 | 1 | 3 | +2 | 5 | 0.17 | 0 | 1 | 18:47 |
| 11 | Travis Konecny | 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 3 | 0.38 | 2 | 1 | 17:45 |
| 10 | Bobby Brink | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 3 | 2 | 17:29 |
| 71 | Tyson Foerster | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0.02 | 0 | 2 | 17:05 |
| 27 | Noah Cates | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 0.09 | 0 | 1 | 16:43 |
| 74 | Owen Tippett | 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 4 | 0.25 | 3 | 0 | 16:30 |
| 22 | Christian Dvorak | 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 0 | 0.00 | 1 | 1 | 16:05 |
| 39 | Matvei Michkov | 0 | 2 | 2 | +1 | 2 | 0.10 | 0 | 1 | 14:32 |
| 18 | Rodrigo Abols | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | 3 | 0.25 | 0 | 1 | 14:29 |
| 21 | Garnet Hathaway | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 2 | 1 | 10:48 |
| 44 | Nicolas Deslauriers | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 2 | 0 | 07:45 |
| 14 | Sean Couturier | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.06 | 0 | 3 | 05:17 |
| Defense | ||||||||||
| 6 | Travis Sanheim | 0 | 0 | 0 | +2 | 3 | 0.15 | 0 | 2 | 24:43 |
| 8 | Cam York | 0 | 1 | 1 | +2 | 1 | 0.00 | 0 | 3 | 23:52 |
| 24 | Nick Seeler | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 0.01 | 3 | 2 | 21:00 |
| 9 | Jamie Drysdale | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 0.19 | 0 | 0 | 20:36 |
| 47 | Noah Juulsen | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0.09 | 4 | 0 | 15:36 |
| 36 | Emil Andrae | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.00 | 1 | 0 | 15:06 |
| Goalie | SA | GA | SV | SV% | xGA | GSAx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dan Vladar | 33 | 1 | 32 | .970 | 3.18 | +2.18 |
Skaters by time on ice. Goalie lines count shots with the goalie in net, from the NHL play-by-play.
What each player added to the result, in goals, from most to least. Hover a number for what it's made of.
| Player | Rating | Points | Shots | On ice | Pen | FO | Other | GSAx | TOI |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 71 Matthew Wood R | +1.21 | +0.75 | +0.37 | +0.10 | 0.00 | -0.01 | 0.00 | — | 12:41 |
| 56 Erik Haula L | +1.02 | +0.55 | +0.12 | +0.34 | 0.00 | +0.01 | 0.00 | — | 15:31 |
| 58 Michael Bunting L | +0.88 | +0.70 | +0.18 | -0.04 | 0.00 | -0.01 | +0.05 | — | 15:37 |
| 77 Luke Evangelista R | +0.71 | 0.00 | +0.19 | +0.50 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.02 | — | 17:28 |
| 90 Ryan O'Reilly C | +0.59 | 0.00 | +0.25 | +0.18 | 0.00 | +0.06 | +0.10 | — | 17:11 |
| 91 Steven Stamkos C | +0.50 | 0.00 | +0.28 | +0.22 | 0.00 | +0.02 | -0.02 | — | 18:00 |
| 20 Justin Barron D | +0.49 | 0.00 | +0.10 | +0.45 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -0.06 | — | 17:37 |
| 37 Nick Blankenburg D | +0.45 | 0.00 | +0.09 | +0.24 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.12 | — | 20:52 |
| 24 Spencer Stastney D | +0.43 | 0.00 | +0.01 | +0.42 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | — | 17:11 |
| 9 Filip Forsberg L | +0.37 | 0.00 | +0.04 | +0.34 | 0.00 | +0.01 | -0.02 | — | 16:40 |
| 36 Cole Smith R | +0.33 | 0.00 | +0.13 | +0.22 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -0.02 | — | 13:07 |
| 81 Jonathan Marchessault R | +0.32 | 0.00 | +0.11 | +0.09 | +0.15 | 0.00 | -0.04 | — | 15:52 |
| 89 Ozzy Wiesblatt C | +0.30 | 0.00 | +0.04 | +0.16 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.10 | — | 14:41 |
| 76 Brady Skjei D | +0.28 | 0.00 | +0.01 | +0.11 | +0.15 | 0.00 | +0.01 | — | 21:38 |
| 41 Nicolas Hague D | +0.25 | 0.00 | +0.03 | +0.34 | -0.15 | 0.00 | +0.03 | — | 18:58 |
| 47 Michael McCarron C | +0.17 | 0.00 | +0.02 | +0.19 | 0.00 | -0.03 | -0.01 | — | 12:06 |
| 48 Nick Perbix D | +0.14 | 0.00 | +0.02 | +0.04 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.08 | — | 19:02 |
| 40 Fedor Svechkov C | +0.11 | 0.00 | +0.06 | +0.09 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -0.04 | — | 15:14 |
| 74 Juuse Saros G | -1.55 | 0.00 | — | — | 0.00 | — | — | -1.55 | 58:31 |
| Player | Rating | Points | Shots | On ice | Pen | FO | Other | GSAx | TOI |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 46 Trevor Zegras C | +2.66 | +2.05 | +0.11 | +0.49 | 0.00 | -0.02 | +0.03 | — | 18:47 |
| 80 Dan Vladar G | +2.18 | 0.00 | — | — | 0.00 | — | — | +2.18 | 59:52 |
| 39 Matvei Michkov R | +1.58 | +1.40 | +0.06 | +0.08 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.03 | — | 14:32 |
| 11 Travis Konecny R | +0.80 | +0.75 | +0.24 | -0.21 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.01 | — | 17:45 |
| 74 Owen Tippett R | +0.64 | +0.55 | +0.16 | -0.01 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -0.06 | — | 16:30 |
| 22 Christian Dvorak C | +0.60 | +0.70 | 0.00 | -0.15 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.05 | — | 16:05 |
| 36 Emil Andrae D | +0.32 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.32 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | — | 15:06 |
| 14 Sean Couturier C | +0.29 | 0.00 | +0.04 | +0.12 | 0.00 | -0.01 | +0.15 | — | 5:17 |
| 9 Jamie Drysdale D | +0.26 | +0.75 | +0.12 | -0.40 | -0.15 | 0.00 | -0.06 | — | 20:36 |
| 8 Cam York D | +0.23 | +0.70 | 0.00 | -0.64 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.17 | — | 23:52 |
| 47 Noah Juulsen D | +0.19 | 0.00 | +0.06 | +0.11 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.02 | — | 15:36 |
| 18 Rodrigo Abols C | -0.03 | 0.00 | +0.16 | -0.40 | +0.15 | +0.02 | +0.03 | — | 14:29 |
| 44 Nicolas Deslauriers L | -0.03 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -0.03 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | — | 7:45 |
| 27 Noah Cates L | -0.04 | +0.55 | +0.06 | -0.63 | 0.00 | -0.06 | +0.05 | — | 16:43 |
| 6 Travis Sanheim D | -0.23 | 0.00 | +0.10 | -0.35 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.02 | — | 24:43 |
| 19 Garnet Hathaway R | -0.33 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -0.39 | 0.00 | +0.01 | +0.05 | — | 10:48 |
| 71 Tyson Foerster R | -0.50 | 0.00 | +0.01 | -0.61 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.10 | — | 17:05 |
| 24 Nick Seeler D | -0.53 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -0.63 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.10 | — | 21:00 |
| 10 Bobby Brink R | -0.71 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -0.65 | -0.15 | +0.01 | +0.08 | — | 17:29 |
An expected-goals take on Dom Luszczyszyn's Game Score: goals and assists, the quality of a player's own shots, shot quality for and against while they were on the ice at 5v5, penalties, faceoffs and puck plays, all in goals; goalies by goals saved above expected. From the NHL play-by-play and shift charts.