Nashville PredatorsNSH 1–4 Final Philadelphia FlyersPHI

Thursday, October 30, 2025

Final 1st2nd3rd T SOG
Nashville PredatorsNSH 010 1 33
Philadelphia FlyersPHI 022 4 18

No impact calculated for this game. Impacts are calculated for games in the next 7 days.

Highlights

Scoring

1st Period
No scoring
2nd Period
12:45 PHI Trevor Zegras (3) Matvei Michkov (3), Owen Tippett (1) · wrist xG 0.04 0–1 ▶
15:41 PHI Jamie Drysdale (1) Matvei Michkov (4), Trevor Zegras (8) · wrist xG 0.06 0–2 ▶
18:03 NSH Matthew Wood (1) Michael Bunting (2), Erik Haula (5) · snap xG 0.14 1–2 ▶
3rd Period
7:00 PHI Trevor Zegras (4)PP Cam York (5), Noah Cates (4) · slap xG 0.10 1–3 ▶
15:54 PHI Travis Konecny (3)EN Christian Dvorak (3) · wrist xG 0.29 1–4 ▶

Score away–home after each goal; season totals in parentheses.

Shot quality

Expected goals (xG) rate every unblocked shot by how often shots like it go in, from where it was taken, the shot type, the strength and what happened just before it. How it works

NSH 80%Deserve to win20% PHI
NSHPHI
3.18Expected goals1.73
1Goals (no shootout)4
2.21Expected goals, 5 on 51.35
72Shot attempts42
47Unblocked attempts29
33Shots on goal18

Game notes

What stood out as the game went on, from the play-by-play and the shifts. Time on the bench is counted in 5-on-5 play outside the penalty box; the note says the player sat, not why. Goals saved are against the shots' expected goals (xG).

2nd Period
11:27 PHI Goalie Goalie · Vladar +2.0 goals saved
0 goals on 2.02 xG, 20 shots on goal
12:10 PHI No shift No shift · Couturier, 34:06 on the bench
No shift after the end of the 1st; 7 shifts (5:17) before that
3rd Period
15:18 NSH Pulled goalie Pulled goalie · Pulled Saros, down 3–1
With 4:42 left; PHI scored at 15:54 of the 3rd (1–4)

Shot map

NSH shoots ←Bigger circle: higher xG; filled: goal→ PHI shoots
Filip Forsberg: snap, 45 ft, xG 0.01 (P1 0:13) Matthew Wood: tip-in, 10 ft, xG 0.09 (P1 2:33) Erik Haula: snap, 43 ft, xG 0.01 (P1 3:31) Noah Cates: tip-in, 12 ft, xG 0.09 (P1 4:12) Travis Sanheim: wrist, 37 ft, xG 0.04 (P1 4:30) Tyson Foerster: backhand, 17 ft, xG 0.02 (P1 4:44) Noah Juulsen: wrist, 62 ft, xG 0.01 (P1 5:23) Nick Seeler: wrist, 51 ft, xG 0.01 (P1 6:23) Nick Perbix: snap, 52 ft, xG 0.03 (P1 7:55) Matvei Michkov: slap, 50 ft, xG 0.03 (P1 8:59) Cole Smith: snap, 28 ft, xG 0.11 (P1 10:08) Michael McCarron: backhand, 7 ft, xG 0.03 (P1 10:09) Cole Smith: tip-in, 66 ft, xG 0.00 (P1 10:23) Steven Stamkos: snap, 46 ft, xG 0.01 (P1 11:07) Erik Haula: snap, 10 ft, xG 0.17 (P1 11:09) Steven Stamkos: slap, 49 ft, xG 0.02 (P1 11:15) Luke Evangelista: snap, 27 ft, xG 0.03 (P1 11:51) Filip Forsberg: snap, 45 ft, xG 0.04 (P1 13:00) Ryan O'Reilly: snap, 6 ft, xG 0.22 (P1 13:22) Jonathan Marchessault: wrist, 32 ft, xG 0.09 (P1 13:44) Justin Barron: snap, 28 ft, xG 0.13 (P1 16:07) Sean Couturier: tip-in, 17 ft, xG 0.06 (P1 16:57) Travis Konecny: slap, 33 ft, xG 0.07 (P1 17:07) Cole Smith: tip-in, 7 ft, xG 0.10 (P1 19:55) Michael Bunting: snap, 33 ft, xG 0.06 (P2 1:46) Matthew Wood: snap, 21 ft, xG 0.15 (P2 1:57) Luke Evangelista: snap, 26 ft, xG 0.12 (P2 2:08) Jamie Drysdale: wrist, 11 ft, xG 0.08 (P2 2:41) Rodrigo Abols: wrist, 35 ft, xG 0.07 (P2 2:57) Rodrigo Abols: wrist, 11 ft, xG 0.05 (P2 3:05) Nick Blankenburg: snap, 61 ft, xG 0.01 (P2 3:26) Filip Forsberg: snap, 46 ft, xG 0.02 (P2 4:13) Luke Evangelista: slap, 52 ft, xG 0.02 (P2 4:22) Jonathan Marchessault: snap, 27 ft, xG 0.02 (P2 4:43) Steven Stamkos: snap, 8 ft, xG 0.08 (P2 4:58) Ryan O'Reilly: snap, 17 ft, xG 0.16 (P2 5:17) Michael Bunting: snap, 37 ft, xG 0.02 (P2 5:54) Travis Sanheim: slap, 62 ft, xG 0.02 (P2 6:23) Steven Stamkos: snap, 28 ft, xG 0.24 (P2 8:33) Owen Tippett: wrist, 11 ft, xG 0.14 (P2 8:41) Jamie Drysdale: snap, 49 ft, xG 0.02 (P2 9:04) Jamie Drysdale: wrist, 172 ft, xG 0.00 (P2 9:25) Jamie Drysdale: wrist, 41 ft, xG 0.03 (P2 10:59) Spencer Stastney: snap, 55 ft, xG 0.02 (P2 11:27) Ozzy Wiesblatt: backhand, 7 ft, xG 0.01 (P2 11:28) Matvei Michkov: backhand, 21 ft, xG 0.07 (P2 12:23) Brady Skjei: snap, 31 ft, xG 0.02 (P2 13:29) Travis Sanheim: tip-in, 11 ft, xG 0.08 (P2 13:38) Nick Blankenburg: snap, 31 ft, xG 0.11 (P2 15:10) Justin Barron: wrist, 45 ft, xG 0.03 (P2 16:30) Luke Evangelista: wrist, 39 ft, xG 0.05 (P2 19:09) Noah Juulsen: wrist, 58 ft, xG 0.02 (P3 1:41) Noah Juulsen: wrist, 39 ft, xG 0.05 (P3 1:49) Luke Evangelista: snap, 28 ft, xG 0.08 (P3 3:56) Nicolas Hague: snap, 24 ft, xG 0.04 (P3 4:03) Jonathan Marchessault: wrist, 11 ft, xG 0.05 (P3 5:13) Owen Tippett: wrist, 30 ft, xG 0.02 (P3 6:10) Trevor Zegras: backhand, 11 ft, xG 0.02 (P3 6:11) Michael Bunting: slap, 47 ft, xG 0.03 (P3 8:08) Matthew Wood: wrist, 35 ft, xG 0.01 (P3 8:15) Travis Konecny: wrist, 36 ft, xG 0.02 (P3 8:48) Rodrigo Abols: wrist, 23 ft, xG 0.13 (P3 10:19) Nick Blankenburg: snap, 51 ft, xG 0.01 (P3 11:36) Jonathan Marchessault: snap, 34 ft, xG 0.02 (P3 13:03) Fedor Svechkov: tip-in, 9 ft, xG 0.10 (P3 13:11) Matthew Wood: snap, 13 ft, xG 0.16 (P3 14:15) Michael Bunting: snap, 12 ft, xG 0.17 (P3 14:32) Steven Stamkos: slap, 35 ft, xG 0.07 (P3 15:43) Matthew Wood: snap, 30 ft, xG 0.03 (P3 17:01) Owen Tippett: snap, 19 ft, xG 0.09 (P3 18:30) Ozzy Wiesblatt: snap, 41 ft, xG 0.05 (P3 19:04) Trevor Zegras: GOAL, wrist, 42 ft, xG 0.04 (P2 12:45) Jamie Drysdale: GOAL, wrist, 15 ft, xG 0.06 (P2 15:41) Matthew Wood: GOAL, snap, 30 ft, xG 0.14 (P2 18:03) Trevor Zegras: GOAL, slap, 36 ft, xG 0.10 (P3 7:00) Travis Konecny: GOAL, wrist, 32 ft, xG 0.29 (P3 15:54)
About these numbers

xG comes from hockeystats.io's own model, a gradient-boosted tree model trained on every unblocked shot from the 2021-22 to 2025-26 regular seasons using the NHL's public play-by-play. Each shot's value is the share of similar shots that became goals. A team's xG is the sum over its shots; "deserve to win" asks how often the team would outscore its opponent if every shot went in at exactly that rate. Blocked shots count as attempts but have no xG (the NHL records where they were blocked, not where they were taken), so the map leaves them out.

Box score

Nashville Predators

Skater GAP+/− AttxG HitBlkTOI
Forwards
91 Steven Stamkos 000 -1 70.43 1018:00
77 Luke Evangelista 000 0 50.29 0017:28
90 Ryan O'Reilly 000 -2 20.38 0217:11
9 Filip Forsberg 000 -1 80.07 2016:40
81 Jonathan Marchessault 000 -1 50.17 2015:52
58 Michael Bunting 011 -1 60.28 0115:37
56 Erik Haula 011 0 20.19 2015:31
9 Fedor Svechkov 000 0 10.10 2015:14
89 Ozzy Wiesblatt 000 0 50.06 2214:41
22 Cole Smith 000 0 30.21 1013:07
71 Matthew Wood 101 -1 70.57 1012:41
47 Michael McCarron 000 0 20.03 3112:06
Defense
76 Brady Skjei 000 +1 50.02 1121:38
3 Nick Blankenburg 000 -3 60.13 1220:52
48 Nick Perbix 000 +1 20.03 0219:02
41 Nicolas Hague 000 -2 20.04 1118:58
72 Justin Barron 000 0 20.15 2017:37
24 Spencer Stastney 000 0 20.02 0017:11
Goalie SAGA SVSV% xGA GSAx
Juuse Saros 17314 .824 1.45 -1.55

Philadelphia Flyers

Skater GAP+/− AttxG HitBlkTOI
Forwards
46 Trevor Zegras 213 +2 50.17 0118:47
11 Travis Konecny 101 +1 30.38 2117:45
10 Bobby Brink 000 0 00.00 3217:29
71 Tyson Foerster 000 0 20.02 0217:05
27 Noah Cates 011 0 40.09 0116:43
74 Owen Tippett 011 +1 40.25 3016:30
22 Christian Dvorak 011 +1 00.00 1116:05
39 Matvei Michkov 022 +1 20.10 0114:32
18 Rodrigo Abols 000 -1 30.25 0114:29
21 Garnet Hathaway 000 0 00.00 2110:48
44 Nicolas Deslauriers 000 0 00.00 2007:45
14 Sean Couturier 000 0 10.06 0305:17
Defense
6 Travis Sanheim 000 +2 30.15 0224:43
8 Cam York 011 +2 10.00 0323:52
24 Nick Seeler 000 0 40.01 3221:00
9 Jamie Drysdale 101 0 60.19 0020:36
47 Noah Juulsen 000 0 30.09 4015:36
36 Emil Andrae 000 0 10.00 1015:06
Goalie SAGA SVSV% xGA GSAx
Dan Vladar 33132 .970 3.18 +2.18

Skaters by time on ice. Goalie lines count shots with the goalie in net, from the NHL play-by-play.

Player ratings

What each player added to the result, in goals, from most to least. Hover a number for what it's made of.

Nashville Predators

Player Rating Points Shots On ice Pen FO Other GSAx TOI
71 Matthew Wood R +1.21 +0.75 +0.37 +0.10 0.00 -0.01 0.00 — 12:41
56 Erik Haula L +1.02 +0.55 +0.12 +0.34 0.00 +0.01 0.00 — 15:31
58 Michael Bunting L +0.88 +0.70 +0.18 -0.04 0.00 -0.01 +0.05 — 15:37
77 Luke Evangelista R +0.71 0.00 +0.19 +0.50 0.00 0.00 +0.02 — 17:28
90 Ryan O'Reilly C +0.59 0.00 +0.25 +0.18 0.00 +0.06 +0.10 — 17:11
91 Steven Stamkos C +0.50 0.00 +0.28 +0.22 0.00 +0.02 -0.02 — 18:00
20 Justin Barron D +0.49 0.00 +0.10 +0.45 0.00 0.00 -0.06 — 17:37
37 Nick Blankenburg D +0.45 0.00 +0.09 +0.24 0.00 0.00 +0.12 — 20:52
24 Spencer Stastney D +0.43 0.00 +0.01 +0.42 0.00 0.00 0.00 — 17:11
9 Filip Forsberg L +0.37 0.00 +0.04 +0.34 0.00 +0.01 -0.02 — 16:40
36 Cole Smith R +0.33 0.00 +0.13 +0.22 0.00 0.00 -0.02 — 13:07
81 Jonathan Marchessault R +0.32 0.00 +0.11 +0.09 +0.15 0.00 -0.04 — 15:52
89 Ozzy Wiesblatt C +0.30 0.00 +0.04 +0.16 0.00 0.00 +0.10 — 14:41
76 Brady Skjei D +0.28 0.00 +0.01 +0.11 +0.15 0.00 +0.01 — 21:38
41 Nicolas Hague D +0.25 0.00 +0.03 +0.34 -0.15 0.00 +0.03 — 18:58
47 Michael McCarron C +0.17 0.00 +0.02 +0.19 0.00 -0.03 -0.01 — 12:06
48 Nick Perbix D +0.14 0.00 +0.02 +0.04 0.00 0.00 +0.08 — 19:02
40 Fedor Svechkov C +0.11 0.00 +0.06 +0.09 0.00 0.00 -0.04 — 15:14
74 Juuse Saros G -1.55 0.00 — — 0.00 — — -1.55 58:31

Philadelphia Flyers

Player Rating Points Shots On ice Pen FO Other GSAx TOI
46 Trevor Zegras C +2.66 +2.05 +0.11 +0.49 0.00 -0.02 +0.03 — 18:47
80 Dan Vladar G +2.18 0.00 — — 0.00 — — +2.18 59:52
39 Matvei Michkov R +1.58 +1.40 +0.06 +0.08 0.00 0.00 +0.03 — 14:32
11 Travis Konecny R +0.80 +0.75 +0.24 -0.21 0.00 0.00 +0.01 — 17:45
74 Owen Tippett R +0.64 +0.55 +0.16 -0.01 0.00 0.00 -0.06 — 16:30
22 Christian Dvorak C +0.60 +0.70 0.00 -0.15 0.00 0.00 +0.05 — 16:05
36 Emil Andrae D +0.32 0.00 0.00 +0.32 0.00 0.00 0.00 — 15:06
14 Sean Couturier C +0.29 0.00 +0.04 +0.12 0.00 -0.01 +0.15 — 5:17
9 Jamie Drysdale D +0.26 +0.75 +0.12 -0.40 -0.15 0.00 -0.06 — 20:36
8 Cam York D +0.23 +0.70 0.00 -0.64 0.00 0.00 +0.17 — 23:52
47 Noah Juulsen D +0.19 0.00 +0.06 +0.11 0.00 0.00 +0.02 — 15:36
18 Rodrigo Abols C -0.03 0.00 +0.16 -0.40 +0.15 +0.02 +0.03 — 14:29
44 Nicolas Deslauriers L -0.03 0.00 0.00 -0.03 0.00 0.00 0.00 — 7:45
27 Noah Cates L -0.04 +0.55 +0.06 -0.63 0.00 -0.06 +0.05 — 16:43
6 Travis Sanheim D -0.23 0.00 +0.10 -0.35 0.00 0.00 +0.02 — 24:43
19 Garnet Hathaway R -0.33 0.00 0.00 -0.39 0.00 +0.01 +0.05 — 10:48
71 Tyson Foerster R -0.50 0.00 +0.01 -0.61 0.00 0.00 +0.10 — 17:05
24 Nick Seeler D -0.53 0.00 0.00 -0.63 0.00 0.00 +0.10 — 21:00
10 Bobby Brink R -0.71 0.00 0.00 -0.65 -0.15 +0.01 +0.08 — 17:29

An expected-goals take on Dom Luszczyszyn's Game Score: goals and assists, the quality of a player's own shots, shot quality for and against while they were on the ice at 5v5, penalties, faceoffs and puck plays, all in goals; goalies by goals saved above expected. From the NHL play-by-play and shift charts.