Thursday, October 30, 2025
No impact calculated for this game. Impacts are calculated for games in the next 7 days.
Highlights
Shot quality
Expected goals (xG) rate every unblocked shot by how often shots like it go in, from where it was taken,
the shot type, the strength and what happened just before it. How it works
VAN 23%Deserve to win 77% STL
VAN STL
1.93 Expected goals 3.55
3 Goals (no shootout) 3
1.38 Expected goals, 5 on 5 2.05
50 Shot attempts 72
31 Unblocked attempts 56
18 Shots on goal 39
Shot map
VAN shoots ←Bigger circle: higher xG; filled: goal → STL shoots
Philip Broberg: wrist, 52 ft, xG 0.00 (P1 0:17)
Filip Hronek: wrist, 145 ft, xG 0.00 (P1 0:20)
Logan Mailloux: wrap-around, 6 ft, xG 0.03 (P1 2:04)
Arshdeep Bains: wrist, 9 ft, xG 0.13 (P1 3:01)
Arshdeep Bains: wrist, 50 ft, xG 0.01 (P1 6:44)
Tom Willander: snap, 47 ft, xG 0.03 (P1 7:35)
Linus Karlsson: wrist, 26 ft, xG 0.05 (P1 7:37)
Kiefer Sherwood: wrist, 71 ft, xG 0.00 (P1 7:41)
Brayden Schenn: tip-in, 8 ft, xG 0.08 (P1 8:23)
Dylan Holloway: wrist, 25 ft, xG 0.06 (P1 9:17)
Alexey Toropchenko: snap, 12 ft, xG 0.25 (P1 10:17)
Colton Parayko: slap, 60 ft, xG 0.00 (P1 12:15)
Elias Pettersson: slap, 37 ft, xG 0.07 (P1 12:42)
Jordan Kyrou: wrist, 40 ft, xG 0.04 (P1 13:30)
Jordan Kyrou: wrist, 40 ft, xG 0.02 (P1 13:35)
Philip Broberg: wrist, 54 ft, xG 0.03 (P1 13:48)
Jimmy Snuggerud: snap, 24 ft, xG 0.04 (P1 14:07)
Kiefer Sherwood: snap, 92 ft, xG 0.00 (P1 14:21)
Jimmy Snuggerud: snap, 64 ft, xG 0.01 (P1 16:44)
Kiefer Sherwood: deflected, 7 ft, xG 0.13 (P1 18:12)
Lukas Reichel: wrist, 32 ft, xG 0.09 (P1 18:24)
Kiefer Sherwood: snap, 38 ft, xG 0.07 (P1 19:30)
Dalibor Dvorsky: slap, 30 ft, xG 0.12 (P1 19:57)
Jordan Kyrou: wrist, 37 ft, xG 0.07 (P2 0:20)
Kiefer Sherwood: wrist, 50 ft, xG 0.01 (P2 0:27)
Nick Bjugstad: wrist, 57 ft, xG 0.00 (P2 2:55)
Lukas Reichel: wrist, 35 ft, xG 0.04 (P2 3:58)
Dylan Holloway: wrist, 34 ft, xG 0.09 (P2 4:22)
Dalibor Dvorsky: snap, 38 ft, xG 0.07 (P2 5:49)
Nick Bjugstad: backhand, 8 ft, xG 0.06 (P2 6:52)
Justin Faulk: slap, 42 ft, xG 0.09 (P2 6:56)
Nick Bjugstad: wrist, 12 ft, xG 0.07 (P2 7:11)
Jimmy Snuggerud: wrist, 33 ft, xG 0.04 (P2 7:49)
Arshdeep Bains: wrist, 17 ft, xG 0.22 (P2 11:43)
Marcus Pettersson: slap, 90 ft, xG 0.00 (P2 12:07)
Oskar Sundqvist: snap, 54 ft, xG 0.01 (P2 12:16)
Tyler Tucker: snap, 39 ft, xG 0.06 (P2 12:56)
Logan Mailloux: wrist, 60 ft, xG 0.02 (P2 13:01)
Max Sasson: wrist, 14 ft, xG 0.14 (P2 13:28)
Drew O'Connor: wrist, 37 ft, xG 0.02 (P2 14:23)
Evander Kane: wrist, 50 ft, xG 0.03 (P2 15:04)
Evander Kane: tip-in, 19 ft, xG 0.04 (P2 15:15)
Logan Mailloux: slap, 71 ft, xG 0.01 (P2 16:56)
Pius Suter: wrist, 35 ft, xG 0.03 (P2 17:51)
Justin Faulk: wrist, 50 ft, xG 0.04 (P2 19:44)
Oskar Sundqvist: snap, 20 ft, xG 0.19 (P3 0:22)
Dalibor Dvorsky: wrist, 39 ft, xG 0.05 (P3 0:30)
Oskar Sundqvist: backhand, 6 ft, xG 0.25 (P3 0:32)
Pius Suter: snap, 11 ft, xG 0.08 (P3 0:33)
Justin Faulk: wrist, 30 ft, xG 0.06 (P3 4:10)
Justin Faulk: wrist, 43 ft, xG 0.02 (P3 4:15)
Pavel Buchnevich: wrist, 13 ft, xG 0.13 (P3 4:24)
Kiefer Sherwood: slap, 28 ft, xG 0.11 (P3 5:08)
Marcus Pettersson: wrist, 69 ft, xG 0.01 (P3 5:48)
Aatu Räty: wrist, 37 ft, xG 0.03 (P3 7:00)
Tyler Myers: wrist, 76 ft, xG 0.00 (P3 7:24)
Dylan Holloway: wrist, 40 ft, xG 0.01 (P3 7:36)
Nathan Walker: tip-in, 7 ft, xG 0.11 (P3 8:07)
Nick Bjugstad: wrist, 32 ft, xG 0.06 (P3 8:20)
Philip Broberg: wrist, 26 ft, xG 0.06 (P3 8:50)
Pavel Buchnevich: wrist, 33 ft, xG 0.08 (P3 9:25)
Cam Fowler: wrist, 60 ft, xG 0.02 (P3 10:46)
Tyler Myers: wrist, 39 ft, xG 0.01 (P3 11:32)
Mathieu Joseph: wrist, 46 ft, xG 0.01 (P3 12:51)
Colton Parayko: slap, 43 ft, xG 0.03 (P3 14:02)
Dylan Holloway: wrist, 21 ft, xG 0.05 (P3 14:06)
Tyler Myers: wrist, 21 ft, xG 0.08 (P3 15:12)
Mathieu Joseph: backhand, 7 ft, xG 0.19 (P3 15:43)
Brayden Schenn: wrist, 34 ft, xG 0.06 (P3 15:46)
Jordan Kyrou: wrist, 30 ft, xG 0.11 (P3 15:49)
Tyler Tucker: snap, 55 ft, xG 0.01 (P3 15:52)
Pavel Buchnevich: wrist, 5 ft, xG 0.08 (P3 16:36)
Lukas Reichel: wrist, 20 ft, xG 0.04 (P3 17:11)
Cam Fowler: wrist, 68 ft, xG 0.00 (P3 18:16)
Dalibor Dvorsky: wrist, 27 ft, xG 0.02 (P3 18:34)
Elias Pettersson: wrist, 39 ft, xG 0.02 (P3 19:48)
Pius Suter: wrist, 13 ft, xG 0.05 (OT 1:48)
Elias Pettersson: wrist, 25 ft, xG 0.16 (OT 2:10)
Brayden Schenn: snap, 35 ft, xG 0.08 (OT 2:54)
Jimmy Snuggerud: wrist, 39 ft, xG 0.03 (OT 3:10)
Pavel Buchnevich: wrist, 36 ft, xG 0.07 (OT 3:48)
Dylan Holloway: GOAL, wrist, 27 ft, xG 0.09 (P1 3:23)
Kiefer Sherwood: GOAL, wrist, 6 ft, xG 0.18 (P1 13:08)
Jimmy Snuggerud: GOAL, wrist, 40 ft, xG 0.04 (P2 0:58)
Kiefer Sherwood: GOAL, backhand, 8 ft, xG 0.18 (P2 10:42)
Kiefer Sherwood: GOAL, wrist, 35 ft, xG 0.03 (P3 7:04)
Pius Suter: GOAL, snap, 11 ft, xG 0.20 (P3 10:48)
About these numbers
xG comes from hockeystats.io's own model, a gradient-boosted tree model trained on every unblocked shot
from the 2021-22 to 2025-26 regular seasons using the NHL's public play-by-play. Each shot's value is the
share of similar shots that became goals. A team's xG is the sum over its shots; "deserve to win" asks how
often the team would outscore its opponent if every shot went in at exactly that rate. Blocked shots count
as attempts but have no xG (the NHL records where they were blocked, not where they were taken), so the map
leaves them out.
All columns
Box score
Vancouver Canucks
St. Louis Blues
Skaters by time on ice. Goalie lines count shots with the goalie in net, from the NHL play-by-play.
Player ratings
What each player added to the result, in goals, from most to least. Hover a number for what it's made of.
Vancouver Canucks
St. Louis Blues
Player
Rating
Points
Shots
On ice
Pen
FO
Other
GSAx
TOI
22 Pius Suter C
+1.82
+1.30
+0.24
+0.12
+0.15
-0.02
+0.03
—
18:22
17 Cam Fowler D
+1.76
+1.40
+0.02
+0.26
0.00
0.00
+0.08
—
23:41
70 Oskar Sundqvist C
+1.55
+1.25
+0.29
0.00
0.00
-0.04
+0.05
—
14:28
81 Dylan Holloway L
+1.45
+0.75
+0.19
+0.52
0.00
0.00
0.00
—
22:30
21 Jimmy Snuggerud R
+0.91
+0.75
+0.10
-0.08
0.00
0.00
+0.14
—
20:14
25 Jordan Kyrou R
+0.77
0.00
+0.15
+0.62
0.00
0.00
0.00
—
19:48
54 Dalibor Dvorsky R
+0.68
0.00
+0.17
+0.42
0.00
+0.05
+0.05
—
16:36
71 Mathieu Joseph R
+0.53
0.00
+0.13
+0.34
0.00
-0.01
+0.07
—
13:46
75 Tyler Tucker D
+0.50
0.00
+0.05
+0.45
0.00
0.00
0.00
—
12:20
72 Justin Faulk D
+0.38
0.00
+0.13
+0.16
0.00
0.00
+0.10
—
24:31
10 Brayden Schenn C
+0.35
0.00
+0.14
+0.13
+0.15
-0.03
-0.04
—
20:15
26 Nathan Walker L
+0.28
0.00
+0.07
+0.03
+0.15
+0.02
0.00
—
8:51
23 Logan Mailloux D
+0.15
0.00
+0.03
+0.41
-0.30
0.00
+0.01
—
10:45
77 Nick Bjugstad C
+0.14
0.00
+0.13
+0.01
0.00
0.00
0.00
—
7:52
13 Alexey Toropchenko R
+0.10
0.00
+0.16
-0.06
0.00
0.00
0.00
—
7:18
89 Pavel Buchnevich L
+0.08
0.00
+0.23
-0.19
0.00
+0.01
+0.03
—
21:01
6 Philip Broberg D
+0.07
0.00
+0.06
-0.09
0.00
0.00
+0.10
—
24:43
55 Colton Parayko D
-0.26
0.00
+0.02
-0.11
-0.15
0.00
-0.02
—
23:39
50 Jordan Binnington G
-0.52
+0.55
—
—
0.00
—
—
-1.07
64:09
An expected-goals take on Dom Luszczyszyn's Game Score: goals and assists, the quality of a
player's own shots, shot quality for and against while they were on the ice at 5v5, penalties, faceoffs and puck plays,
all in goals; goalies by goals saved above expected. From the NHL play-by-play and shift charts.