| Final/OT | 1st | 2nd | 3rd | OT | T | SOG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 |
1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 35 |
 |
1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 36 |
No impact calculated for this game. Impacts are calculated for games in the next 7 days.
Highlights
Scoring
| 1st Period | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| 5:44 | |
Jonny Brodzinski (1) Unassisted · backhand xG 0.18 | 1–0 ▶ |
| 6:51 | |
Darnell Nurse (2) Jake Walman (5), Jack Roslovic (3) · snap xG 0.06 | 1–1 ▶ |
| 2nd Period | |||
| 8:48 | |
Matt Savoie (1)PP Adam Henrique (4), Leon Draisaitl (6) · deflected xG 0.64 | 1–2 ▶ |
| 10:24 | |
Darnell Nurse (3) Isaac Howard (1), Jake Walman (6) · snap xG 0.08 | 1–3 ▶ |
| 3rd Period | |||
| 8:18 | |
Braden Schneider (1) Will Cuylle (3), Urho Vaakanainen (1) · wrist xG 0.15 | 2–3 ▶ |
| 12:04 | |
Taylor Raddysh (5) Conor Sheary (4) · wrist xG 0.20 | 3–3 ▶ |
| Overtime | |||
| 2:49 | |
J.T. Miller (3) Braden Schneider (3), Alexis Lafrenière (4) · wrist xG 0.21 | 4–3 ▶ |
Score away–home after each goal; season totals in parentheses.
Shot quality
Expected goals (xG) rate every unblocked shot by how often shots like it go in, from where it was taken, the shot type, the strength and what happened just before it. How it works
| NYR | EDM | |
|---|---|---|
| 3.48 | Expected goals | 3.50 |
| 4 | Goals (no shootout) | 3 |
| 2.89 | Expected goals, 5 on 5 | 1.90 |
| 65 | Shot attempts | 59 |
| 52 | Unblocked attempts | 45 |
| 35 | Shots on goal | 36 |
Game notes
What stood out as the game went on, from the play-by-play and the shifts. Time on the bench is counted in 5-on-5 play outside the penalty box; the note says the player sat, not why. Goals saved are against the shots' expected goals (xG).
| 2nd Period | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| 8:48 | EDM | Deserve to win | Deserve to win · EDM takes the lead, 61–39%
NYR had led since 1:13 of the 1st, by as much as 76% |
| 9:00 | EDM | xG swing | xG swing · Out-chanced NYR 1.61–0.27
In xG over 10 minutes, 0:30 to 10:30 of the 2nd; goals 2–0 |
Shot map
About these numbers
xG comes from hockeystats.io's own model, a gradient-boosted tree model trained on every unblocked shot from the 2021-22 to 2025-26 regular seasons using the NHL's public play-by-play. Each shot's value is the share of similar shots that became goals. A team's xG is the sum over its shots; "deserve to win" asks how often the team would outscore its opponent if every shot went in at exactly that rate. Blocked shots count as attempts but have no xG (the NHL records where they were blocked, not where they were taken), so the map leaves them out.
Box score
| Skater | G | A | P | +/− | Att | xG | Hit | Blk | TOI | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Forwards | ||||||||||
| 93 | Mika Zibanejad | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | 2 | 0.06 | 3 | 0 | 21:48 |
| 10 | J.T. Miller | 1 | 0 | 1 | +2 | 7 | 0.85 | 0 | 0 | 21:20 |
| 10 | Artemi Panarin | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 0.19 | 0 | 0 | 20:01 |
| 13 | Alexis Lafrenière | 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 5 | 0.32 | 2 | 0 | 17:58 |
| 50 | Will Cuylle | 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 5 | 0.28 | 1 | 1 | 16:06 |
| 42 | Noah Laba | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0.08 | 1 | 0 | 14:52 |
| 43 | Conor Sheary | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 0.17 | 0 | 0 | 14:45 |
| 14 | Taylor Raddysh | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0.21 | 0 | 0 | 14:24 |
| 10 | Sam Carrick | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0.25 | 2 | 1 | 11:21 |
| 22 | Jonny Brodzinski | 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 3 | 0.25 | 0 | 0 | 09:05 |
| 84 | Adam Edstrom | 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 0 | 0.00 | 2 | 1 | 08:15 |
| Defense | ||||||||||
| 44 | Vladislav Gavrikov | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 0.05 | 1 | 2 | 22:56 |
| 4 | Braden Schneider | 1 | 1 | 2 | +2 | 2 | 0.15 | 2 | 1 | 20:48 |
| 23 | Adam Fox | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 0.12 | 0 | 3 | 20:42 |
| 7 | Carson Soucy | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0.19 | 3 | 0 | 19:46 |
| 17 | Will Borgen | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | 1 | 0.00 | 1 | 1 | 19:21 |
| 18 | Urho Vaakanainen | 0 | 1 | 1 | +2 | 1 | 0.00 | 0 | 0 | 16:48 |
| Goalie | SA | GA | SV | SV% | xGA | GSAx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Igor Shesterkin | 36 | 3 | 33 | .917 | 3.50 | +0.50 |
| Skater | G | A | P | +/− | Att | xG | Hit | Blk | TOI | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Forwards | ||||||||||
| 29 | Leon Draisaitl | 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 4 | 0.27 | 0 | 1 | 25:14 |
| 97 | Connor McDavid | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2 | 9 | 0.54 | 0 | 0 | 24:33 |
| 93 | Ryan Nugent-Hopkins | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2 | 3 | 0.07 | 1 | 1 | 20:29 |
| 96 | Jack Roslovic | 0 | 1 | 1 | +2 | 3 | 0.21 | 0 | 1 | 19:00 |
| 92 | Vasily Podkolzin | 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 6 | 0.35 | 6 | 0 | 17:53 |
| 26 | Andrew Mangiapane | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2 | 0 | 0.00 | 0 | 0 | 16:37 |
| 19 | Adam Henrique | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 0.87 | 0 | 3 | 16:14 |
| 22 | Matt Savoie | 1 | 0 | 1 | -1 | 2 | 0.64 | 0 | 1 | 13:10 |
| 10 | Trent Frederic | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | 0 | 0.00 | 2 | 0 | 12:32 |
| 53 | Isaac Howard | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0.02 | 0 | 0 | 09:36 |
| Defense | ||||||||||
| 2 | Evan Bouchard | 0 | 0 | 0 | -3 | 3 | 0.16 | 0 | 1 | 22:34 |
| 25 | Darnell Nurse | 2 | 0 | 2 | +1 | 10 | 0.28 | 4 | 0 | 21:00 |
| 96 | Jake Walman | 0 | 2 | 2 | +1 | 2 | 0.02 | 1 | 1 | 18:42 |
| 27 | Brett Kulak | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 0.04 | 0 | 1 | 17:57 |
| 14 | Mattias Ekholm | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2 | 3 | 0.02 | 0 | 1 | 15:59 |
| 49 | Ty Emberson | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 2 | 1 | 14:04 |
| 28 | Troy Stecher | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.00 | 0 | 1 | 08:47 |
| Goalie | SA | GA | SV | SV% | xGA | GSAx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Stuart Skinner | 35 | 4 | 31 | .886 | 3.48 | -0.52 |
Skaters by time on ice. Goalie lines count shots with the goalie in net, from the NHL play-by-play.
Player ratings
What each player added to the result, in goals, from most to least. Hover a number for what it's made of.
| Player | Rating | Points | Shots | On ice | Pen | FO | Other | GSAx | TOI |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 J.T. Miller C | +2.08 | +0.75 | +0.55 | +0.80 | 0.00 | -0.03 | 0.00 | — | 21:20 |
| 50 Will Cuylle L | +1.78 | +0.70 | +0.18 | +0.86 | 0.00 | +0.01 | +0.03 | — | 16:06 |
| 13 Alexis Lafrenière L | +1.73 | +0.55 | +0.21 | +0.99 | 0.00 | +0.01 | -0.02 | — | 17:58 |
| 4 Braden Schneider D | +1.62 | +1.45 | +0.10 | +0.04 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.03 | — | 20:48 |
| 43 Conor Sheary L | +1.50 | +0.70 | +0.11 | +0.72 | 0.00 | -0.01 | -0.02 | — | 14:45 |
| 24 Carson Soucy D | +1.33 | 0.00 | +0.12 | +1.21 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | — | 19:46 |
| 18 Urho Vaakanainen D | +1.30 | +0.55 | 0.00 | +0.77 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -0.02 | — | 16:48 |
| 17 Will Borgen D | +1.28 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +1.23 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.05 | — | 19:21 |
| 14 Taylor Raddysh R | +0.93 | +0.75 | +0.14 | +0.02 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.02 | — | 14:24 |
| 22 Jonny Brodzinski C | +0.89 | +0.75 | +0.16 | -0.04 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.02 | — | 9:05 |
| 71 Juuso Parssinen C | +0.56 | 0.00 | +0.20 | +0.15 | +0.15 | -0.01 | +0.08 | — | 13:35 |
| 31 Igor Shesterkin G | +0.50 | 0.00 | — | — | 0.00 | — | — | +0.50 | 62:49 |
| 10 Artemi Panarin L | +0.44 | 0.00 | +0.12 | +0.34 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -0.02 | — | 20:01 |
| 39 Sam Carrick C | +0.02 | 0.00 | +0.16 | -0.18 | 0.00 | +0.01 | +0.03 | — | 11:21 |
| 84 Adam Edstrom C | +0.02 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -0.03 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.05 | — | 8:15 |
| 93 Mika Zibanejad C | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.04 | +0.07 | -0.15 | +0.07 | -0.04 | — | 21:48 |
| 42 Noah Laba C | -0.09 | 0.00 | +0.05 | +0.03 | -0.15 | -0.02 | 0.00 | — | 14:52 |
| 23 Adam Fox D | -0.23 | 0.00 | +0.08 | -0.33 | -0.15 | 0.00 | +0.17 | — | 20:42 |
| 44 Vladislav Gavrikov D | -0.32 | 0.00 | +0.04 | -0.44 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.08 | — | 22:56 |
| Player | Rating | Points | Shots | On ice | Pen | FO | Other | GSAx | TOI |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Adam Henrique C | +2.22 | +0.70 | +0.57 | +0.77 | 0.00 | +0.01 | +0.17 | — | 16:14 |
| 25 Darnell Nurse D | +1.62 | +1.50 | +0.18 | -0.21 | +0.15 | 0.00 | 0.00 | — | 21:00 |
| 22 Matt Savoie C | +1.39 | +0.75 | +0.42 | +0.17 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.05 | — | 13:10 |
| 28 Jack Roslovic C | +0.82 | +0.55 | +0.14 | -0.05 | +0.15 | -0.01 | +0.05 | — | 19:00 |
| 96 Jake Walman D | +0.77 | +1.25 | +0.01 | -0.51 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.01 | — | 18:42 |
| 10 Trent Frederic C | +0.41 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.41 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | — | 12:32 |
| 29 Leon Draisaitl C | +0.41 | +0.55 | +0.18 | -0.36 | 0.00 | +0.01 | +0.03 | — | 25:14 |
| 49 Ty Emberson D | +0.20 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.15 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.05 | — | 14:04 |
| 27 Brett Kulak D | +0.03 | 0.00 | +0.02 | -0.02 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.03 | — | 17:57 |
| 92 Vasily Podkolzin R | -0.01 | 0.00 | +0.23 | -0.26 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.02 | — | 17:53 |
| 53 Isaac Howard L | -0.01 | +0.70 | +0.01 | -0.56 | -0.15 | 0.00 | -0.02 | — | 9:36 |
| 51 Troy Stecher D | -0.08 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.06 | -0.15 | 0.00 | +0.01 | — | 8:47 |
| 97 Connor McDavid C | -0.39 | 0.00 | +0.35 | -0.83 | +0.15 | -0.02 | -0.04 | — | 24:33 |
| 74 Stuart Skinner G | -0.52 | 0.00 | — | — | 0.00 | — | — | -0.52 | 62:36 |
| 2 Evan Bouchard D | -0.81 | 0.00 | +0.11 | -0.95 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.03 | — | 22:34 |
| 86 David Tomasek R | -0.81 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -0.78 | 0.00 | -0.01 | -0.02 | — | 11:43 |
| 14 Mattias Ekholm D | -0.92 | 0.00 | +0.02 | -1.01 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.07 | — | 15:59 |
| 88 Andrew Mangiapane L | -1.01 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -1.03 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.02 | — | 16:37 |
| 93 Ryan Nugent-Hopkins C | -1.11 | 0.00 | +0.05 | -1.19 | 0.00 | -0.01 | +0.05 | — | 20:29 |
An expected-goals take on Dom Luszczyszyn's Game Score: goals and assists, the quality of a player's own shots, shot quality for and against while they were on the ice at 5v5, penalties, faceoffs and puck plays, all in goals; goalies by goals saved above expected. From the NHL play-by-play and shift charts.