| Final/SO | 1st | 2nd | 3rd | OT | SO | T | SOG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 27 | |
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 39 |
No impact calculated for this game. Impacts are calculated for games in the next 7 days.
| 1st Period | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| No scoring | |||
| 2nd Period | |||
| 12:39 | Alex Laferriere (3)SH Quinton Byfield (7), Cody Ceci (2) · backhand xG 0.08 | 0–1 ▶ | |
| 13:22 | Alex DeBrincat (3)PP Lucas Raymond (7), Moritz Seider (4) · wrist xG 0.06 | 1–1 ▶ | |
| 15:46 | Marco Kasper (2)PP Axel Sandin-Pellikka (2), Andrew Copp (4) · tip-in xG 0.09 | 2–1 ▶ | |
| 3rd Period | |||
| 14:45 | Marco Kasper (3) Mason Appleton (3), Alex DeBrincat (9) · tip-in xG 0.10 | 3–1 ▶ | |
| 17:47 | Corey Perry (4) Adrian Kempe (10), Kevin Fiala (4) · wrist xG 0.42 | 3–2 ▶ | |
| 18:27 | Corey Perry (5) Quinton Byfield (8), Anze Kopitar (5) · tip-in xG 0.18 | 3–3 ▶ | |
| Overtime | |||
| No scoring | |||
| Shootout | |||
| Adrian Kempe vs Cam Talbot | Saved | ||
| Lucas Raymond vs Darcy Kuemper | Goal | ||
| Corey Perry vs Cam Talbot | Saved | ||
| Alex DeBrincat vs Darcy Kuemper | Missed | ||
| Kevin Fiala vs Cam Talbot | Saved | ||
Score away–home after each goal; season totals in parentheses.
Expected goals (xG) rate every unblocked shot by how often shots like it go in, from where it was taken, the shot type, the strength and what happened just before it. How it works
| DET | LAK | |
|---|---|---|
| 2.69 | Expected goals | 4.26 |
| 3 | Goals (no shootout) | 3 |
| 2.38 | Expected goals, 5 on 5 | 1.55 |
| 56 | Shot attempts | 86 |
| 40 | Unblocked attempts | 66 |
| 27 | Shots on goal | 39 |
What stood out as the game went on, from the play-by-play and the shifts. Time on the bench is counted in 5-on-5 play outside the penalty box; the note says the player sat, not why. Goals saved are against the shots' expected goals (xG).
| 2nd Period | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| 7:33 | DET | Deserve to win | Deserve to win · DET takes the lead, 61–39%
LAK had led since 1:09 of the 1st, by as much as 67% |
| 3rd Period | |||
| 17:10 | LAK | Pulled goalie | Pulled goalie · Pulled Kuemper, down 3–1
With 2:50 left; LAK scored at 17:47 of the 3rd (3–2) |
| 19:30 | LAK | No shift | No shift · Malott, 12:39 on the bench
No shift after 2:43 of the 3rd; 8 shifts (4:49) before that |
| Overtime | |||
| 1:16 | LAK | Deserve to win | Deserve to win · LAK takes the lead, 60–40%
DET had led since 7:33 of the 2nd, by as much as 63% |
| 3:30 | LAK | xG swing | xG swing · Out-chanced DET 1.62–0.13
In xG over 10 minutes, 14:50 of the 3rd to 4:50 of overtime; goals 2–0 |
xG comes from hockeystats.io's own model, a gradient-boosted tree model trained on every unblocked shot from the 2021-22 to 2025-26 regular seasons using the NHL's public play-by-play. Each shot's value is the share of similar shots that became goals. A team's xG is the sum over its shots; "deserve to win" asks how often the team would outscore its opponent if every shot went in at exactly that rate. Blocked shots count as attempts but have no xG (the NHL records where they were blocked, not where they were taken), so the map leaves them out.
| Skater | G | A | P | +/− | Att | xG | Hit | Blk | TOI | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Forwards | ||||||||||
| 71 | Dylan Larkin | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2 | 4 | 0.08 | 0 | 2 | 23:07 |
| 23 | Lucas Raymond | 0 | 1 | 1 | -2 | 5 | 0.35 | 0 | 0 | 19:21 |
| 37 | J.T. Compher | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | 1 | 0.12 | 0 | 0 | 19:09 |
| 58 | Emmitt Finnie | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | 5 | 0.38 | 0 | 0 | 18:52 |
| 18 | Andrew Copp | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0.06 | 1 | 0 | 16:51 |
| 93 | Alex DeBrincat | 1 | 1 | 2 | -1 | 3 | 0.15 | 0 | 0 | 15:33 |
| 29 | Jonatan Berggren | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 0.51 | 0 | 0 | 14:58 |
| 92 | Marco Kasper | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 0.20 | 2 | 1 | 14:13 |
| 22 | Mason Appleton | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0.09 | 0 | 2 | 12:50 |
| 25 | Elmer Soderblom | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.08 | 3 | 2 | 10:33 |
| 27 | Michael Rasmussen | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.05 | 1 | 0 | 10:14 |
| 21 | James van Riemsdyk | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0.32 | 0 | 1 | 09:37 |
| Defense | ||||||||||
| 53 | Moritz Seider | 0 | 1 | 1 | -2 | 4 | 0.06 | 1 | 2 | 28:28 |
| 8 | Ben Chiarot | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | 3 | 0.02 | 2 | 3 | 24:33 |
| 77 | Simon Edvinsson | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | 3 | 0.01 | 0 | 1 | 22:28 |
| 44 | Axel Sandin-Pellikka | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 0.11 | 0 | 1 | 17:54 |
| 52 | Travis Hamonic | 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 2 | 0.08 | 1 | 2 | 15:35 |
| 20 | Albert Johansson | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0.03 | 0 | 1 | 14:58 |
| Goalie | SA | GA | SV | SV% | xGA | GSAx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cam Talbot | 39 | 3 | 36 | .923 | 4.26 | +1.26 |
| Skater | G | A | P | +/− | Att | xG | Hit | Blk | TOI | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Forwards | ||||||||||
| 9 | Adrian Kempe | 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 14 | 0.94 | 2 | 1 | 26:25 |
| 22 | Kevin Fiala | 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 13 | 0.71 | 0 | 1 | 24:33 |
| 11 | Anze Kopitar | 0 | 1 | 1 | +2 | 7 | 0.35 | 0 | 1 | 23:53 |
| 55 | Quinton Byfield | 0 | 2 | 2 | +2 | 6 | 0.29 | 0 | 0 | 22:43 |
| 14 | Alex Laferriere | 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 4 | 0.16 | 2 | 1 | 19:31 |
| 90 | Corey Perry | 2 | 0 | 2 | +2 | 5 | 0.80 | 2 | 0 | 17:40 |
| 62 | Andrei Kuzmenko | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0.14 | 0 | 2 | 16:32 |
| 24 | Phillip Danault | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 2 | 0 | 16:18 |
| 40 | Joel Armia | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 0.13 | 2 | 1 | 15:50 |
| 15 | Alex Turcotte | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0.12 | 2 | 1 | 11:02 |
| 39 | Jeff Malott | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 0.12 | 0 | 0 | 04:49 |
| Defense | ||||||||||
| 8 | Drew Doughty | 0 | 0 | 0 | +2 | 4 | 0.02 | 2 | 0 | 27:08 |
| 92 | Brandt Clarke | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | 8 | 0.35 | 0 | 4 | 20:14 |
| 2 | Brian Dumoulin | 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 2 | 0.00 | 0 | 2 | 17:40 |
| 6 | Joel Edmundson | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | 6 | 0.08 | 1 | 1 | 15:35 |
| 5 | Cody Ceci | 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 2 | 0.00 | 1 | 0 | 15:25 |
| 44 | Mikey Anderson | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0.04 | 1 | 0 | 15:24 |
| 43 | Jacob Moverare | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0 | 0 | 03:13 |
| Goalie | SA | GA | SV | SV% | xGA | GSAx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Darcy Kuemper | 27 | 3 | 24 | .889 | 2.69 | -0.31 |
Skaters by time on ice. Goalie lines count shots with the goalie in net, from the NHL play-by-play.
What each player added to the result, in goals, from most to least. Hover a number for what it's made of.
| Player | Rating | Points | Shots | On ice | Pen | FO | Other | GSAx | TOI |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 93 Alex DeBrincat R | +1.85 | +1.30 | +0.10 | +0.32 | +0.15 | 0.00 | -0.02 | — | 15:33 |
| 92 Marco Kasper C | +1.80 | +1.50 | +0.13 | +0.19 | 0.00 | -0.05 | +0.03 | — | 14:13 |
| 23 Lucas Raymond L | +1.39 | +0.70 | +0.23 | +0.46 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | — | 19:21 |
| 53 Moritz Seider D | +1.31 | +0.55 | +0.04 | +0.65 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.08 | — | 28:28 |
| 39 Cam Talbot G | +1.26 | 0.00 | — | — | 0.00 | — | — | +1.26 | 64:48 |
| 22 Mason Appleton C | +1.16 | +0.70 | +0.06 | +0.30 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.10 | — | 12:50 |
| 44 Axel Sandin-Pellikka D | +1.09 | +0.70 | +0.07 | +0.16 | +0.15 | 0.00 | +0.01 | — | 17:54 |
| 48 Jonatan Berggren R | +0.71 | 0.00 | +0.33 | +0.26 | +0.15 | 0.00 | -0.04 | — | 14:58 |
| 71 Dylan Larkin C | +0.65 | 0.00 | +0.05 | +0.47 | 0.00 | +0.05 | +0.08 | — | 23:07 |
| 18 Andrew Copp C | +0.52 | +0.55 | +0.04 | +0.13 | -0.15 | -0.03 | -0.02 | — | 16:51 |
| 77 Simon Edvinsson D | +0.50 | 0.00 | +0.01 | +0.62 | -0.15 | 0.00 | +0.03 | — | 22:28 |
| 58 Emmitt Finnie C | +0.48 | 0.00 | +0.25 | +0.22 | 0.00 | +0.01 | 0.00 | — | 18:52 |
| 20 Albert Johansson D | +0.39 | 0.00 | +0.02 | +0.34 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.03 | — | 14:58 |
| 52 Travis Hamonic D | +0.39 | 0.00 | +0.05 | +0.26 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.08 | — | 15:35 |
| 21 James van Riemsdyk L | +0.37 | 0.00 | +0.21 | +0.13 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.03 | — | 9:37 |
| 37 J.T. Compher L | +0.35 | 0.00 | +0.08 | +0.27 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | — | 19:09 |
| 85 Elmer Soderblom L | +0.30 | 0.00 | +0.05 | +0.29 | -0.15 | +0.01 | +0.10 | — | 10:33 |
| 27 Michael Rasmussen C | +0.15 | 0.00 | +0.03 | +0.13 | 0.00 | -0.01 | 0.00 | — | 10:14 |
| 8 Ben Chiarot D | +0.10 | 0.00 | +0.01 | +0.11 | -0.15 | 0.00 | +0.13 | — | 24:33 |
| Player | Rating | Points | Shots | On ice | Pen | FO | Other | GSAx | TOI |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Corey Perry R | +2.02 | +1.50 | +0.52 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | — | 17:40 |
| 55 Quinton Byfield R | +2.01 | +1.40 | +0.19 | +0.15 | +0.30 | -0.03 | 0.00 | — | 22:43 |
| 22 Kevin Fiala L | +1.41 | +0.55 | +0.46 | +0.50 | -0.15 | 0.00 | +0.05 | — | 24:33 |
| 9 Adrian Kempe R | +0.82 | +0.70 | +0.61 | -0.55 | 0.00 | +0.01 | +0.05 | — | 26:25 |
| 5 Cody Ceci D | +0.43 | +0.55 | 0.00 | -0.12 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | — | 15:25 |
| 14 Alex Laferriere R | +0.32 | +0.75 | +0.11 | -0.55 | 0.00 | -0.01 | +0.03 | — | 19:31 |
| 39 Jeff Malott L | +0.20 | 0.00 | +0.08 | -0.03 | +0.15 | 0.00 | 0.00 | — | 4:49 |
| 11 Anze Kopitar C | +0.03 | +0.55 | +0.23 | -0.83 | 0.00 | +0.05 | +0.03 | — | 23:53 |
| 92 Brandt Clarke D | -0.05 | 0.00 | +0.23 | -0.44 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.16 | — | 20:14 |
| 44 Mikey Anderson D | -0.06 | 0.00 | +0.03 | -0.07 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -0.02 | — | 15:24 |
| 43 Jacob Moverare D | -0.07 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -0.09 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.02 | — | 3:13 |
| 6 Joel Edmundson D | -0.20 | 0.00 | +0.05 | -0.11 | -0.15 | 0.00 | +0.01 | — | 15:35 |
| 15 Alex Turcotte C | -0.27 | 0.00 | +0.08 | -0.38 | 0.00 | -0.02 | +0.05 | — | 11:02 |
| 35 Darcy Kuemper G | -0.31 | 0.00 | — | — | 0.00 | — | — | -0.31 | 63:36 |
| 40 Joel Armia R | -0.31 | 0.00 | +0.08 | -0.42 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.03 | — | 15:50 |
| 96 Andrei Kuzmenko L | -0.37 | 0.00 | +0.09 | -0.69 | +0.15 | 0.00 | +0.08 | — | 16:32 |
| 2 Brian Dumoulin D | -0.50 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -0.58 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.08 | — | 17:40 |
| 24 Phillip Danault C | -0.60 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -0.43 | -0.15 | +0.02 | -0.04 | — | 16:18 |
| 8 Drew Doughty D | -0.66 | 0.00 | +0.01 | -0.65 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -0.02 | — | 27:08 |
An expected-goals take on Dom Luszczyszyn's Game Score: goals and assists, the quality of a player's own shots, shot quality for and against while they were on the ice at 5v5, penalties, faceoffs and puck plays, all in goals; goalies by goals saved above expected. From the NHL play-by-play and shift charts.