Calgary FlamesCGY 2–4 Final Nashville PredatorsNSH

Saturday, November 1, 2025

Final	1st	2nd	3rd	T	SOG
Calgary FlamesCGY	0	0	2	2	35
Nashville PredatorsNSH	3	0	1	4	24

No impact calculated for this game. Impacts are calculated for games in the next 7 days.

Highlights

Scoring

1st Period
10:29	NSH	Michael Bunting (3) Spencer Stastney (4), Justin Barron (4) · tip-in xG 0.05	0–1 ▶
11:18	NSH	Matthew Wood (2) Michael Bunting (3), Nick Blankenburg (1) · wrist xG 0.07	0–2 ▶
14:17	NSH	Jonathan Marchessault (4)PP Michael Bunting (4), Matthew Wood (2) · wrist xG 0.21	0–3 ▶
2nd Period
No scoring
3rd Period
4:39	CGY	Jonathan Huberdeau (2) Jake Bean (1), Matt Coronato (2) · wrist xG 0.11	1–3 ▶
11:57	CGY	Joel Farabee (2) Nazem Kadri (7) · wrist xG 0.05	2–3 ▶
19:36	NSH	Filip Forsberg (5)EN Unassisted · backhand xG 0.40	2–4 ▶

Score away–home after each goal; season totals in parentheses.

Shot quality

Expected goals (xG) rate every unblocked shot by how often shots like it go in, from where it was taken, the shot type, the strength and what happened just before it. How it works

CGY 60%Deserve to win40% NSH

CGY		NSH
2.60	Expected goals	2.45
2	Goals (no shootout)	4
2.15	Expected goals, 5 on 5	1.34
70	Shot attempts	51
52	Unblocked attempts	34
35	Shots on goal	24

Game notes

What stood out as the game went on, from the play-by-play and the shifts. Time on the bench is counted in 5-on-5 play outside the penalty box; the note says the player sat, not why. Goals saved are against the shots' expected goals (xG).

1st Period
14:17	CGY	Goalie	Goalie · Wolf −2.1 goals saved 3 goals on 0.92 xG, 10 shots on goal
20:00	CGY	Goalie change	Goalie change · Cooley in for Wolf The start of the 2nd; Wolf had allowed 3 goals on 11 shots (1.03 xG)
20:00	NSH	No shift	No shift · Smith, 38:45 on the bench No shift after 8:44 of the 1st; 3 shifts (1:55) before that
3rd Period
4:37	NSH	Goalie	Goalie · Saros +2.0 goals saved 0 goals on 2.02 xG, 29 shots on goal
19:05	CGY	Pulled goalie	Pulled goalie · Pulled Cooley, down 3–2 With 0:55 left; NSH scored at 19:36 of the 3rd (2–4)

Shot map

CGY shoots ←Bigger circle: higher xG; filled: goal→ NSH shoots

About these numbers

xG comes from hockeystats.io's own model, a gradient-boosted tree model trained on every unblocked shot from the 2021-22 to 2025-26 regular seasons using the NHL's public play-by-play. Each shot's value is the share of similar shots that became goals. A team's xG is the sum over its shots; "deserve to win" asks how often the team would outscore its opponent if every shot went in at exactly that rate. Blocked shots count as attempts but have no xG (the NHL records where they were blocked, not where they were taken), so the map leaves them out.

Box score

Calgary Flames

	Skater	G	A	P	+/−	Att	xG	Hit	Blk	TOI
Forwards
91	Nazem Kadri	0	1	1	0	6	0.21	1	0	18:32
86	Joel Farabee	1	0	1	0	2	0.06	1	1	18:26
20	Blake Coleman	0	0	0	0	9	0.66	1	1	17:57
10	Jonathan Huberdeau	1	0	1	-1	2	0.16	0	0	17:45
16	Morgan Frost	0	0	0	-1	1	0.00	1	1	17:11
11	Mikael Backlund	0	0	0	0	6	0.31	1	1	16:13
27	Matt Coronato	0	1	1	-1	2	0.05	0	0	14:46
17	Yegor Sharangovich	0	0	0	-1	2	0.06	0	0	13:10
29	Samuel Honzek	0	0	0	0	6	0.35	0	0	11:54
28	Justin Kirkland	0	0	0	0	1	0.00	1	1	11:35
43	Adam Klapka	0	0	0	0	2	0.14	3	2	09:13
94	Ryan Lomberg	0	0	0	0	3	0.20	3	0	08:55
Defense
4	Rasmus Andersson	0	0	0	0	7	0.16	1	0	24:47
52	MacKenzie Weegar	0	0	0	-1	9	0.12	1	3	23:22
7	Kevin Bahl	0	0	0	+1	2	0.02	2	3	21:50
44	Joel Hanley	0	0	0	0	4	0.01	1	1	18:18
24	Jake Bean	0	1	1	-1	4	0.06	0	1	15:10
94	Brayden Pachal	0	0	0	-1	2	0.04	1	1	12:38

Goalie	SA	GA	SV	SV%	xGA	GSAx
Dustin Wolf	11	3	8	.727	1.03	-1.97
Devin Cooley	12	0	12	1.000	1.03	+1.03

Nashville Predators

	Skater	G	A	P	+/−	Att	xG	Hit	Blk	TOI
Forwards
9	Filip Forsberg	1	0	1	0	4	0.48	2	2	20:20
81	Jonathan Marchessault	1	0	1	0	8	0.39	2	0	19:23
91	Steven Stamkos	0	0	0	0	5	0.38	0	0	18:37
56	Erik Haula	0	0	0	+1	2	0.04	1	1	18:11
90	Ryan O'Reilly	0	0	0	0	0	0.00	0	3	16:53
47	Michael McCarron	0	0	0	0	2	0.05	2	1	16:25
77	Luke Evangelista	0	0	0	-1	6	0.19	0	0	16:19
58	Michael Bunting	1	2	3	+2	4	0.26	0	0	15:43
89	Ozzy Wiesblatt	0	0	0	-1	1	0.09	2	0	13:58
9	Fedor Svechkov	0	0	0	+1	0	0.00	0	0	10:50
71	Matthew Wood	1	1	2	+1	5	0.21	1	2	10:00
22	Cole Smith	0	0	0	0	1	0.09	0	0	01:55
Defense
76	Brady Skjei	0	0	0	+1	3	0.04	2	1	22:51
48	Nick Perbix	0	0	0	0	2	0.20	0	0	21:03
3	Nick Blankenburg	0	1	1	-1	2	0.00	1	1	19:22
41	Nicolas Hague	0	0	0	0	3	0.00	0	2	19:22
24	Spencer Stastney	0	1	1	+1	3	0.04	0	1	16:58
72	Justin Barron	0	1	1	+1	0	0.00	0	2	15:50

Goalie	SA	GA	SV	SV%	xGA	GSAx
Juuse Saros	35	2	33	.943	2.60	+0.60

Skaters by time on ice. Goalie lines count shots with the goalie in net, from the NHL play-by-play.

Player ratings

What each player added to the result, in goals, from most to least. Hover a number for what it's made of.

Calgary Flames

Player	Rating	Points	Shots	On ice	Pen	FO	Other	GSAx	TOI
20 Blake Coleman L	+1.47	0.00	+0.43	+1.03	0.00	+0.01	+0.01	—	17:57
11 Mikael Backlund C	+1.06	0.00	+0.20	+0.64	+0.15	+0.03	+0.03	—	16:13
24 Jake Bean D	+1.05	+0.70	+0.04	+0.43	-0.15	0.00	+0.03	—	15:10
1 Devin Cooley G	+1.03	0.00	—	—	0.00	—	—	+1.03	39:04
86 Joel Farabee L	+0.95	+0.75	+0.04	+0.13	0.00	0.00	+0.03	—	18:26
29 Samuel Honzek L	+0.93	0.00	+0.23	+0.73	0.00	+0.01	-0.04	—	11:54
44 Joel Hanley D	+0.80	0.00	+0.01	+0.76	0.00	0.00	+0.03	—	18:18
91 Nazem Kadri C	+0.75	+0.70	+0.14	-0.05	0.00	-0.02	-0.02	—	18:32
27 Matt Coronato R	+0.70	+0.55	+0.03	+0.11	0.00	-0.01	+0.02	—	14:46
52 MacKenzie Weegar D	+0.69	0.00	+0.08	+0.47	0.00	0.00	+0.15	—	23:22
70 Ryan Lomberg L	+0.60	0.00	+0.13	+0.32	+0.15	0.00	0.00	—	8:55
10 Jonathan Huberdeau L	+0.57	+0.75	+0.10	-0.28	0.00	0.00	0.00	—	17:45
43 Adam Klapka R	+0.33	0.00	+0.09	+0.14	0.00	0.00	+0.10	—	9:13
7 Kevin Bahl D	+0.11	0.00	+0.01	+0.10	-0.15	0.00	+0.15	—	21:50
94 Brayden Pachal D	+0.11	0.00	+0.03	+0.07	0.00	0.00	+0.01	—	12:38
23 Justin Kirkland C	+0.10	0.00	0.00	+0.05	0.00	-0.02	+0.07	—	11:35
17 Yegor Sharangovich C	+0.09	0.00	+0.04	+0.04	0.00	+0.01	0.00	—	13:10
4 Rasmus Andersson D	+0.07	0.00	+0.10	+0.17	-0.15	0.00	-0.06	—	24:47
16 Morgan Frost C	-0.49	0.00	0.00	-0.37	-0.15	-0.02	+0.05	—	17:11
32 Dustin Wolf G	-1.97	0.00	—	—	0.00	—	—	-1.97	20:00

Nashville Predators

Player	Rating	Points	Shots	On ice	Pen	FO	Other	GSAx	TOI
58 Michael Bunting L	+2.42	+2.15	+0.17	+0.10	0.00	0.00	0.00	—	15:43
71 Matthew Wood R	+1.33	+1.30	+0.13	-0.20	0.00	0.00	+0.10	—	10:00
81 Jonathan Marchessault R	+0.83	+0.75	+0.25	-0.15	0.00	0.00	-0.02	—	19:23
9 Filip Forsberg L	+0.79	+0.75	+0.31	-0.36	0.00	-0.01	+0.10	—	20:20
90 Ryan O'Reilly C	+0.63	0.00	0.00	+0.32	0.00	+0.12	+0.19	—	16:53
74 Juuse Saros G	+0.60	0.00	—	—	0.00	—	—	+0.60	60:00
24 Spencer Stastney D	+0.60	+0.70	+0.02	0.00	-0.15	0.00	+0.03	—	16:58
77 Luke Evangelista R	+0.47	0.00	+0.13	+0.04	+0.30	0.00	0.00	—	16:19
20 Justin Barron D	+0.40	+0.55	0.00	-0.21	0.00	0.00	+0.06	—	15:50
56 Erik Haula L	+0.08	0.00	+0.03	+0.06	0.00	-0.02	+0.01	—	18:11
91 Steven Stamkos C	-0.02	0.00	+0.25	-0.09	-0.15	-0.03	0.00	—	18:37
36 Cole Smith R	-0.03	0.00	+0.06	-0.09	0.00	0.00	0.00	—	1:55
48 Nick Perbix D	-0.06	0.00	+0.13	-0.17	0.00	0.00	-0.02	—	21:03
37 Nick Blankenburg D	-0.08	+0.55	0.00	-0.70	0.00	0.00	+0.07	—	19:22
40 Fedor Svechkov C	-0.21	0.00	0.00	-0.36	+0.15	0.00	0.00	—	10:50
76 Brady Skjei D	-0.22	0.00	+0.03	-0.30	0.00	0.00	+0.05	—	22:51
41 Nicolas Hague D	-0.33	0.00	0.00	-0.43	0.00	0.00	+0.10	—	19:22
47 Michael McCarron C	-0.70	0.00	+0.03	-0.90	+0.15	-0.05	+0.07	—	16:25
89 Ozzy Wiesblatt C	-1.00	0.00	+0.06	-1.06	0.00	0.00	0.00	—	13:58

An expected-goals take on Dom Luszczyszyn's Game Score: goals and assists, the quality of a player's own shots, shot quality for and against while they were on the ice at 5v5, penalties, faceoffs and puck plays, all in goals; goalies by goals saved above expected. From the NHL play-by-play and shift charts.