Ottawa SenatorsOTT 3–4 Final/OT Montréal CanadiensMTL

Saturday, November 1, 2025

Final/OT 1st2nd3rdOT T SOG
Ottawa SenatorsOTT 0210 3 17
Montréal CanadiensMTL 2011 4 27

No impact calculated for this game. Impacts are calculated for games in the next 7 days.

Highlights

Scoring

1st Period
7:05 MTL Cole Caufield (10) Nick Suzuki (15) · snap xG 0.24 0–1 ▶
9:25 MTL Juraj Slafkovský (6)PP Nick Suzuki (16), Cole Caufield (5) · snap xG 0.22 0–2 ▶
2nd Period
11:53 OTT Drake Batherson (5) Unassisted · snap xG 0.06 1–2 ▶
19:49 OTT Michael Amadio (3) Shane Pinto (4), Artem Zub (7) · deflected xG 0.82 2–2 ▶
3rd Period
12:27 OTT Tim Stützle (6) Drake Batherson (10), Tyler Kleven (1) · backhand xG 0.08 3–2 ▶
17:37 MTL Ivan Demidov (3) Lane Hutson (10), Mike Matheson (4) · slap xG 0.14 3–3 ▶
Overtime
1:40 MTL Alex Newhook (5) Unassisted · snap xG 0.15 3–4 ▶

Score away–home after each goal; season totals in parentheses.

Shot quality

Expected goals (xG) rate every unblocked shot by how often shots like it go in, from where it was taken, the shot type, the strength and what happened just before it. How it works

OTT 37%Deserve to win63% MTL
OTTMTL
2.69Expected goals3.45
3Goals (no shootout)4
1.90Expected goals, 5 on 52.37
55Shot attempts51
34Unblocked attempts39
17Shots on goal27

Game notes

What stood out as the game went on, from the play-by-play and the shifts. Time on the bench is counted in 5-on-5 play outside the penalty box; the note says the player sat, not why. Goals saved are against the shots' expected goals (xG).

2nd Period
8:40 OTT No shift No shift · MacDermid, 38:57 on the bench
No shift after 12:00 of the 1st; 4 shifts (2:04) before that
3rd Period
9:30 OTT xG swing xG swing · Out-chanced MTL 1.22–0.09
In xG over 10 minutes, 19:40 of the 2nd to 9:40 of the 3rd; goals 1–0
16:20 OTT No shift No shift · Cousins, 13:45 on the bench
No shift after 1:15 of the 3rd; 12 shifts (8:01) before that
19:10 OTT No shift No shift · Zetterlund, 10:55 on the bench
No shift after 9:05 of the 3rd; 17 shifts (12:10) before that

Shot map

OTT shoots ←Bigger circle: higher xG; filled: goal→ MTL shoots
Michael Amadio: snap, 25 ft, xG 0.04 (P1 0:29) Nick Cousins: snap, 50 ft, xG 0.00 (P1 0:37) Alexandre Carrier: wrist, 39 ft, xG 0.05 (P1 1:49) Jake Evans: snap, 15 ft, xG 0.05 (P1 2:41) Shane Pinto: snap, 55 ft, xG 0.02 (P1 3:45) Kirby Dach: backhand, 13 ft, xG 0.07 (P1 5:38) Noah Dobson: slap, 55 ft, xG 0.02 (P1 6:35) Shane Pinto: snap, 32 ft, xG 0.11 (P1 6:50) Artem Zub: snap, 67 ft, xG 0.01 (P1 6:56) Arber Xhekaj: snap, 34 ft, xG 0.11 (P1 10:09) Jake Evans: bat, 27 ft, xG 0.05 (P1 10:11) Fabian Zetterlund: snap, 53 ft, xG 0.01 (P1 11:51) Artem Zub: snap, 64 ft, xG 0.01 (P1 11:57) Nick Jensen: snap, 69 ft, xG 0.01 (P1 13:15) Jake Evans: slap, 137 ft, xG 0.00 (P1 13:41) Jake Sanderson: snap, 44 ft, xG 0.01 (P1 14:00) Zachary Bolduc: snap, 33 ft, xG 0.06 (P1 15:12) Ridly Greig: snap, 16 ft, xG 0.20 (P1 15:43) Shane Pinto: slap, 40 ft, xG 0.07 (P1 17:04) Jake Sanderson: snap, 60 ft, xG 0.02 (P1 17:55) Jake Sanderson: snap, 30 ft, xG 0.10 (P1 18:03) Alex Newhook: snap, 13 ft, xG 0.17 (P1 18:20) Ivan Demidov: snap, 39 ft, xG 0.07 (P1 19:10) Cole Caufield: snap, 20 ft, xG 0.14 (P1 19:34) Shane Pinto: snap, 27 ft, xG 0.12 (P2 1:50) David Perron: snap, 31 ft, xG 0.14 (P2 2:11) Kirby Dach: wrap-around, 7 ft, xG 0.08 (P2 3:54) Brendan Gallagher: deflected, 6 ft, xG 0.15 (P2 4:00) Tyler Kleven: snap, 39 ft, xG 0.06 (P2 6:33) Fabian Zetterlund: snap, 53 ft, xG 0.02 (P2 6:46) Alex Newhook: snap, 37 ft, xG 0.08 (P2 8:46) Ivan Demidov: slap, 36 ft, xG 0.05 (P2 8:55) Kirby Dach: snap, 2 ft, xG 0.40 (P2 11:11) Zachary Bolduc: snap, 6 ft, xG 0.10 (P2 11:12) Drake Batherson: snap, 44 ft, xG 0.04 (P2 11:33) Zachary Bolduc: snap, 22 ft, xG 0.21 (P2 11:39) Nikolas Matinpalo: snap, 39 ft, xG 0.02 (P2 12:17) David Perron: snap, 36 ft, xG 0.02 (P2 13:20) Mike Matheson: snap, 49 ft, xG 0.01 (P2 13:30) Noah Dobson: snap, 62 ft, xG 0.01 (P2 15:01) Noah Dobson: snap, 46 ft, xG 0.01 (P2 15:07) Jake Sanderson: slap, 60 ft, xG 0.01 (P2 15:43) Drake Batherson: deflected, 5 ft, xG 0.26 (P2 16:04) Ivan Demidov: snap, 35 ft, xG 0.09 (P2 16:44) Lane Hutson: snap, 12 ft, xG 0.29 (P2 17:34) Brendan Gallagher: backhand, 13 ft, xG 0.03 (P2 18:51) Mike Matheson: snap, 35 ft, xG 0.08 (P2 19:30) Claude Giroux: snap, 98 ft, xG 0.00 (P2 19:57) Shane Pinto: snap, 50 ft, xG 0.00 (P3 0:09) Jayden Struble: snap, 58 ft, xG 0.03 (P3 0:47) Oliver Kapanen: snap, 40 ft, xG 0.02 (P3 1:30) Tyler Kleven: snap, 36 ft, xG 0.07 (P3 1:53) Lars Eller: tip-in, 8 ft, xG 0.11 (P3 4:48) Ridly Greig: deflected, 14 ft, xG 0.10 (P3 4:55) Cole Caufield: snap, 75 ft, xG 0.00 (P3 5:33) Brendan Gallagher: snap, 47 ft, xG 0.03 (P3 7:27) Fabian Zetterlund: snap, 34 ft, xG 0.02 (P3 8:54) Ridly Greig: tip-in, 7 ft, xG 0.10 (P3 9:39) Jake Sanderson: snap, 61 ft, xG 0.02 (P3 9:54) Jayden Struble: snap, 138 ft, xG 0.00 (P3 12:31) Nick Suzuki: snap, 41 ft, xG 0.05 (P3 14:34) Lars Eller: snap, 31 ft, xG 0.02 (P3 16:32) Ivan Demidov: snap, 29 ft, xG 0.03 (P3 16:54) Oliver Kapanen: backhand, 7 ft, xG 0.02 (P3 16:55) Mike Matheson: snap, 69 ft, xG 0.01 (P3 17:16) Alex Newhook: snap, 34 ft, xG 0.10 (OT 0:52) Cole Caufield: GOAL, snap, 15 ft, xG 0.24 (P1 7:05) Juraj Slafkovský: GOAL, snap, 7 ft, xG 0.22 (P1 9:25) Drake Batherson: GOAL, snap, 7 ft, xG 0.06 (P2 11:53) Michael Amadio: GOAL, deflected, 9 ft, xG 0.82 (P2 19:49) Tim Stützle: GOAL, backhand, 9 ft, xG 0.08 (P3 12:27) Ivan Demidov: GOAL, slap, 29 ft, xG 0.14 (P3 17:37) Alex Newhook: GOAL, snap, 27 ft, xG 0.15 (OT 1:40)
About these numbers

xG comes from hockeystats.io's own model, a gradient-boosted tree model trained on every unblocked shot from the 2021-22 to 2025-26 regular seasons using the NHL's public play-by-play. Each shot's value is the share of similar shots that became goals. A team's xG is the sum over its shots; "deserve to win" asks how often the team would outscore its opponent if every shot went in at exactly that rate. Blocked shots count as attempts but have no xG (the NHL records where they were blocked, not where they were taken), so the map leaves them out.

Box score

Ottawa Senators

Skater GAP+/− AttxG HitBlkTOI
Forwards
12 Shane Pinto 011 0 80.33 2221:01
71 Ridly Greig 000 -1 40.39 2020:42
24 Dylan Cozens 000 -1 50.00 4119:52
18 Tim Stützle 101 +1 20.08 2219:31
19 Drake Batherson 112 +1 40.35 4017:40
28 Claude Giroux 000 0 10.00 1016:17
22 Michael Amadio 101 0 30.86 2016:08
16 David Perron 000 -1 20.16 1115:01
20 Lars Eller 000 +1 20.13 2013:51
20 Fabian Zetterlund 000 +1 30.05 0112:10
21 Nick Cousins 000 0 10.00 1008:01
23 Kurtis MacDermid 000 0 00.00 1002:04
Defense
85 Jake Sanderson 000 +2 80.16 0026:08
72 Thomas Chabot 000 -1 20.00 2325:05
2 Artem Zub 011 +1 30.02 0122:45
4 Nick Jensen 000 -1 30.01 2020:53
43 Tyler Kleven 011 -1 20.13 1111:48
33 Nikolas Matinpalo 000 +1 20.02 0011:29
Goalie SAGA SVSV% xGA GSAx
Linus Ullmark 27423 .852 3.45 -0.55

Montréal Canadiens

Skater GAP+/− AttxG HitBlkTOI
Forwards
14 Nick Suzuki 022 0 10.05 0219:06
20 Juraj Slafkovský 101 0 20.22 3118:51
13 Cole Caufield 112 0 30.37 0117:55
15 Alex Newhook 101 +2 50.51 2116:51
93 Ivan Demidov 101 +2 60.38 1116:03
91 Oliver Kapanen 000 +1 30.05 0015:31
76 Zachary Bolduc 000 -1 30.37 5015:28
77 Kirby Dach 000 -1 30.55 1015:03
71 Jake Evans 000 -1 40.10 1112:01
90 Joseph Veleno 000 -1 00.00 1112:00
17 Josh Anderson 000 -1 00.00 5010:41
7 Brendan Gallagher 000 -1 40.21 2010:14
Defense
8 Mike Matheson 011 +1 30.10 1525:02
48 Lane Hutson 011 0 30.29 0122:47
53 Noah Dobson 000 -1 30.04 0121:18
45 Alexandre Carrier 000 0 20.05 2319:53
3 Jayden Struble 000 -1 30.03 2015:44
72 Arber Xhekaj 000 0 30.11 1214:32
Goalie SAGA SVSV% xGA GSAx
Samuel Montembeault 17314 .824 2.69 -0.31

Skaters by time on ice. Goalie lines count shots with the goalie in net, from the NHL play-by-play.

Player ratings

What each player added to the result, in goals, from most to least. Hover a number for what it's made of.

Ottawa Senators

Player Rating Points Shots On ice Pen FO Other GSAx TOI
22 Michael Amadio R +1.85 +0.75 +0.56 +0.54 0.00 0.00 0.00 — 16:08
19 Drake Batherson R +1.68 +1.45 +0.23 +0.17 -0.15 0.00 -0.02 — 17:40
12 Shane Pinto C +1.35 +0.70 +0.21 +0.15 +0.15 +0.03 +0.10 — 21:01
2 Artem Zub D +1.26 +0.55 +0.01 +0.67 0.00 0.00 +0.03 — 22:45
85 Jake Sanderson D +1.04 0.00 +0.10 +0.92 0.00 0.00 +0.02 — 26:08
18 Tim Stützle C +0.77 +0.75 +0.05 +0.04 -0.15 -0.03 +0.10 — 19:31
89 Lars Eller C +0.34 0.00 +0.09 +0.25 0.00 +0.01 0.00 — 13:51
28 Claude Giroux R +0.31 0.00 0.00 +0.27 0.00 +0.04 0.00 — 16:17
43 Tyler Kleven D +0.09 +0.55 +0.09 -0.69 +0.15 0.00 -0.01 — 11:48
33 Nikolas Matinpalo D -0.04 0.00 +0.01 -0.03 0.00 0.00 -0.02 — 11:29
57 David Perron L -0.12 0.00 +0.10 -0.27 0.00 0.00 +0.05 — 15:01
21 Nick Cousins C -0.12 0.00 0.00 -0.26 +0.15 -0.01 0.00 — 8:01
23 Kurtis MacDermid L -0.26 0.00 0.00 -0.11 -0.15 0.00 0.00 — 2:04
24 Dylan Cozens C -0.28 0.00 0.00 -0.31 0.00 0.00 +0.03 — 19:52
20 Fabian Zetterlund L -0.33 0.00 +0.03 -0.41 0.00 0.00 +0.05 — 12:10
72 Thomas Chabot D -0.50 0.00 0.00 -0.65 0.00 0.00 +0.15 — 25:05
35 Linus Ullmark G -0.55 0.00 — — 0.00 — — -0.55 61:40
71 Ridly Greig C -1.02 0.00 +0.25 -1.16 -0.15 +0.04 0.00 — 20:42
3 Nick Jensen D -1.03 0.00 +0.01 -0.95 0.00 0.00 -0.08 — 20:53

Montréal Canadiens

Player Rating Points Shots On ice Pen FO Other GSAx TOI
48 Lane Hutson D +2.64 +0.70 +0.19 +1.40 +0.30 0.00 +0.05 — 22:47
15 Alex Newhook C +1.56 +0.75 +0.33 +0.44 0.00 -0.01 +0.05 — 16:51
93 Ivan Demidov R +1.49 +0.75 +0.25 +0.44 0.00 0.00 +0.05 — 16:03
47 Jayden Struble D +1.22 0.00 +0.02 +1.22 0.00 0.00 -0.02 — 15:44
76 Zachary Bolduc R +1.05 0.00 +0.24 +0.67 +0.15 0.00 -0.02 — 15:28
77 Kirby Dach C +1.03 0.00 +0.36 +0.67 0.00 0.00 0.00 — 15:03
13 Cole Caufield R +0.89 +1.30 +0.24 -0.68 0.00 0.00 +0.03 — 17:55
14 Nick Suzuki C +0.78 +1.40 +0.03 -0.68 0.00 -0.07 +0.10 — 19:06
91 Oliver Kapanen C +0.48 0.00 +0.03 +0.44 0.00 +0.01 0.00 — 15:31
90 Joseph Veleno C +0.40 0.00 0.00 +0.52 -0.15 -0.02 +0.05 — 12:00
11 Brendan Gallagher R +0.40 0.00 +0.14 +0.28 0.00 0.00 -0.02 — 10:14
45 Alexandre Carrier D +0.35 0.00 +0.03 +0.34 -0.15 0.00 +0.13 — 19:53
72 Arber Xhekaj D +0.23 0.00 +0.07 +0.06 0.00 0.00 +0.10 — 14:32
71 Jake Evans C +0.07 0.00 +0.07 -0.07 0.00 +0.02 +0.05 — 12:01
20 Juraj Slafkovský L +0.04 +0.75 +0.14 -0.75 -0.15 -0.01 +0.05 — 18:51
17 Josh Anderson R -0.05 0.00 0.00 -0.20 +0.15 0.00 0.00 — 10:41
8 Mike Matheson D -0.07 +0.55 +0.07 -0.94 0.00 0.00 +0.25 — 25:02
35 Samuel Montembeault G -0.31 0.00 — — 0.00 — — -0.31 61:40
53 Noah Dobson D -1.28 0.00 +0.02 -1.36 0.00 0.00 +0.05 — 21:18

An expected-goals take on Dom Luszczyszyn's Game Score: goals and assists, the quality of a player's own shots, shot quality for and against while they were on the ice at 5v5, penalties, faceoffs and puck plays, all in goals; goalies by goals saved above expected. From the NHL play-by-play and shift charts.