hockeystats.io

St. Louis BluesSTL 2–3 Final Columbus Blue JacketsCBJ

Saturday, November 1, 2025

Final 1st2nd3rd T SOG
St. Louis BluesSTL 101 2 39
Columbus Blue JacketsCBJ 111 3 35

No impact calculated for this game. Impacts are calculated for games in the next 7 days.

Highlights

Scoring

1st Period
3:37 STL Justin Faulk (2) Oskar Sundqvist (5), Dylan Holloway (4) · wrist xG 0.07 1–0 ▶
4:38 CBJ Charlie Coyle (2) Cole Sillinger (4), Ivan Provorov (3) · tip-in xG 0.08 1–1 ▶
2nd Period
11:55 CBJ Zach Werenski (4) Denton Mateychuk (2) · snap xG 0.07 1–2 ▶
3rd Period
5:07 CBJ Sean Monahan (1)PP Zach Werenski (6), Kirill Marchenko (6) · backhand xG 0.21 1–3 ▶
9:48 STL Nick Bjugstad (3) Unassisted · snap xG 0.28 2–3 ▶

Score away–home after each goal; season totals in parentheses.

Shot quality

Expected goals (xG) rate every unblocked shot by how often shots like it go in, from where it was taken, the shot type, the strength and what happened just before it. How it works

STL 47%Deserve to win53% CBJ
STLCBJ
3.35Expected goals3.50
2Goals (no shootout)3
2.51Expected goals, 5 on 52.78
68Shot attempts59
55Unblocked attempts45
39Shots on goal35

Game notes

What stood out as the game went on, from the play-by-play and the shifts. Time on the bench is counted in 5-on-5 play outside the penalty box; the note says the player sat, not why. Goals saved are against the shots' expected goals (xG).

1st Period
10:00 CBJ xG swing xG swing · Out-chanced STL 1.45–0.16
In xG over 10 minutes, 4:10 to 14:10 of the 1st; goals 1–0
3rd Period
17:30 STL xG swing xG swing · Out-chanced CBJ 1.56–0.17
In xG over 10 minutes, 9:10 to 19:10 of the 3rd; goals 1–0
18:04 STL Pulled goalie Pulled goalie · Pulled Hofer, down 3–2
With 1:56 left

Shot map

STL shoots ←Bigger circle: higher xG; filled: goal→ CBJ shoots
Philip Broberg: wrist, 44 ft, xG 0.01 (P1 0:38) Zach Werenski: wrist, 31 ft, xG 0.06 (P1 1:06) Mathieu Olivier: wrist, 33 ft, xG 0.04 (P1 1:40) Kent Johnson: wrist, 41 ft, xG 0.02 (P1 2:57) Philip Broberg: wrist, 40 ft, xG 0.01 (P1 4:05) Zach Werenski: wrist, 61 ft, xG 0.02 (P1 4:29) Cole Sillinger: slap, 50 ft, xG 0.03 (P1 4:35) Charlie Coyle: snap, 4 ft, xG 0.32 (P1 4:37) Ivan Provorov: snap, 59 ft, xG 0.01 (P1 4:49) Matthew Kessel: wrist, 173 ft, xG 0.00 (P1 5:51) Philip Broberg: slap, 57 ft, xG 0.01 (P1 6:21) Boone Jenner: backhand, 101 ft, xG 0.00 (P1 6:49) Damon Severson: wrist, 59 ft, xG 0.01 (P1 8:28) Ivan Provorov: wrist, 38 ft, xG 0.01 (P1 8:31) Miles Wood: backhand, 11 ft, xG 0.05 (P1 8:35) Miles Wood: backhand, 2 ft, xG 0.47 (P1 8:35) Miles Wood: wrist, 4 ft, xG 0.17 (P1 8:35) Dalibor Dvorsky: snap, 32 ft, xG 0.11 (P1 9:34) Kent Johnson: wrist, 26 ft, xG 0.10 (P1 10:45) Adam Fantilli: snap, 36 ft, xG 0.07 (P1 11:23) Dylan Holloway: wrist, 21 ft, xG 0.03 (P1 11:31) Ivan Provorov: snap, 40 ft, xG 0.06 (P1 12:26) Jake Christiansen: wrist, 39 ft, xG 0.05 (P1 13:54) Nick Bjugstad: wrist, 49 ft, xG 0.01 (P1 15:06) Kirill Marchenko: wrist, 39 ft, xG 0.01 (P1 15:15) Dylan Holloway: wrist, 39 ft, xG 0.03 (P1 15:51) Oskar Sundqvist: wrist, 6 ft, xG 0.28 (P1 15:53) Justin Faulk: slap, 37 ft, xG 0.10 (P1 17:16) Dylan Holloway: wrist, 21 ft, xG 0.13 (P1 18:06) Oskar Sundqvist: tip-in, 9 ft, xG 0.05 (P1 18:11) Isac Lundeström: snap, 23 ft, xG 0.20 (P1 18:19) Isac Lundeström: wrist, 86 ft, xG 0.00 (P1 18:37) Jimmy Snuggerud: wrist, 50 ft, xG 0.01 (P1 19:10) Philip Broberg: snap, 50 ft, xG 0.03 (P1 19:25) Nick Bjugstad: backhand, 19 ft, xG 0.03 (P1 19:36) Nick Bjugstad: backhand, 18 ft, xG 0.04 (P1 19:39) Adam Fantilli: snap, 37 ft, xG 0.02 (P2 0:32) Charlie Coyle: snap, 55 ft, xG 0.01 (P2 2:01) Miles Wood: deflected, 60 ft, xG 0.01 (P2 2:56) Cam Fowler: snap, 66 ft, xG 0.01 (P2 3:14) Nathan Walker: wrist, 48 ft, xG 0.01 (P2 4:34) Jimmy Snuggerud: snap, 49 ft, xG 0.03 (P2 5:35) Jordan Kyrou: wrist, 31 ft, xG 0.18 (P2 5:57) Adam Fantilli: wrist, 28 ft, xG 0.11 (P2 6:47) Adam Fantilli: snap, 32 ft, xG 0.11 (P2 8:27) Boone Jenner: wrist, 16 ft, xG 0.08 (P2 8:49) Jordan Kyrou: snap, 29 ft, xG 0.04 (P2 10:45) Dmitri Voronkov: snap, 44 ft, xG 0.03 (P2 10:53) Denton Mateychuk: slap, 55 ft, xG 0.04 (P2 11:05) Dmitri Voronkov: deflected, 21 ft, xG 0.07 (P2 11:09) Dmitri Voronkov: wrist, 4 ft, xG 0.10 (P2 11:22) Kirill Marchenko: backhand, 21 ft, xG 0.09 (P2 11:46) Pavel Buchnevich: tip-in, 4 ft, xG 0.18 (P2 12:50) Boone Jenner: slap, 49 ft, xG 0.01 (P2 13:59) Kirill Marchenko: snap, 33 ft, xG 0.11 (P2 14:57) Sean Monahan: wrist, 26 ft, xG 0.11 (P2 15:13) Boone Jenner: wrist, 11 ft, xG 0.07 (P2 17:07) Jimmy Snuggerud: snap, 40 ft, xG 0.06 (P2 18:37) Colton Parayko: slap, 66 ft, xG 0.02 (P2 19:09) Dylan Holloway: deflected, 16 ft, xG 0.05 (P2 19:14) Oskar Sundqvist: snap, 40 ft, xG 0.02 (P2 19:29) Cam Fowler: snap, 44 ft, xG 0.04 (P3 2:35) Mathieu Joseph: wrist, 45 ft, xG 0.03 (P3 2:38) Alexey Toropchenko: wrist, 26 ft, xG 0.08 (P3 3:57) Alexey Toropchenko: wrist, 46 ft, xG 0.03 (P3 4:30) Zach Werenski: wrist, 52 ft, xG 0.04 (P3 5:05) Damon Severson: wrist, 38 ft, xG 0.03 (P3 5:52) Dante Fabbro: wrist, 53 ft, xG 0.01 (P3 5:59) Kirill Marchenko: snap, 29 ft, xG 0.12 (P3 6:18) Philip Broberg: snap, 62 ft, xG 0.02 (P3 6:36) Cole Sillinger: snap, 33 ft, xG 0.10 (P3 8:59) Pavel Buchnevich: wrist, 8 ft, xG 0.08 (P3 10:27) Pavel Buchnevich: snap, 6 ft, xG 0.03 (P3 10:28) Dylan Holloway: snap, 42 ft, xG 0.06 (P3 11:19) Jordan Kyrou: slap, 35 ft, xG 0.10 (P3 11:28) Pius Suter: wrist, 14 ft, xG 0.05 (P3 12:11) Damon Severson: snap, 86 ft, xG 0.00 (P3 12:51) Philip Broberg: snap, 22 ft, xG 0.04 (P3 13:02) Mathieu Joseph: wrist, 16 ft, xG 0.12 (P3 13:27) Adam Fantilli: snap, 26 ft, xG 0.17 (P3 13:42) Tyler Tucker: wrist, 62 ft, xG 0.01 (P3 14:18) Dylan Holloway: wrist, 50 ft, xG 0.01 (P3 14:56) Nick Bjugstad: tip-in, 19 ft, xG 0.08 (P3 15:12) Philip Broberg: snap, 62 ft, xG 0.00 (P3 15:17) Pavel Buchnevich: wrist, 16 ft, xG 0.08 (P3 15:19) Colton Parayko: slap, 63 ft, xG 0.02 (P3 15:34) Jimmy Snuggerud: wrist, 36 ft, xG 0.05 (P3 17:11) Nick Bjugstad: slap, 5 ft, xG 0.08 (P3 17:12) Nick Bjugstad: wrist, 11 ft, xG 0.06 (P3 17:13) Philip Broberg: poke, 6 ft, xG 0.05 (P3 17:16) Brayden Schenn: wrist, 21 ft, xG 0.09 (P3 17:24) Jordan Kyrou: snap, 7 ft, xG 0.10 (P3 18:45) Jordan Kyrou: wrist, 46 ft, xG 0.07 (P3 18:59) Pavel Buchnevich: tip-in, 7 ft, xG 0.11 (P3 19:02) Cam Fowler: wrist, 70 ft, xG 0.02 (P3 19:53) Justin Faulk: GOAL, wrist, 34 ft, xG 0.07 (P1 3:37) Charlie Coyle: GOAL, tip-in, 5 ft, xG 0.08 (P1 4:38) Zach Werenski: GOAL, snap, 33 ft, xG 0.07 (P2 11:55) Sean Monahan: GOAL, backhand, 4 ft, xG 0.21 (P3 5:07) Nick Bjugstad: GOAL, snap, 25 ft, xG 0.28 (P3 9:48)
About these numbers

xG comes from hockeystats.io's own model, a gradient-boosted tree model trained on every unblocked shot from the 2021-22 to 2025-26 regular seasons using the NHL's public play-by-play. Each shot's value is the share of similar shots that became goals. A team's xG is the sum over its shots; "deserve to win" asks how often the team would outscore its opponent if every shot went in at exactly that rate. Blocked shots count as attempts but have no xG (the NHL records where they were blocked, not where they were taken), so the map leaves them out.

Box score

St. Louis Blues

Skater GAP+/− AttxG HitBlkTOI
Forwards
81 Dylan Holloway 011 +1 70.31 1019:28
89 Pavel Buchnevich 000 0 50.50 1017:50
22 Pius Suter 000 0 30.05 0017:45
70 Oskar Sundqvist 011 0 30.35 2116:49
10 Brayden Schenn 000 -1 40.09 1115:47
21 Jimmy Snuggerud 000 -1 40.14 0015:38
15 Dalibor Dvorsky 000 0 10.11 3015:16
25 Jordan Kyrou 000 0 60.47 0114:44
72 Nick Bjugstad 101 +1 90.58 1014:16
13 Alexey Toropchenko 000 0 20.12 1012:34
26 Nathan Walker 000 0 10.01 4111:44
21 Mathieu Joseph 000 0 20.16 2011:26
Defense
72 Justin Faulk 101 0 40.17 1324:54
6 Philip Broberg 000 0 100.17 1124:05
17 Cam Fowler 000 0 30.07 1123:17
55 Colton Parayko 000 0 20.03 0222:20
4 Matthew Kessel 000 0 10.00 0010:54
75 Tyler Tucker 000 0 10.01 2209:44
Goalie SAGA SVSV% xGA GSAx
Joel Hofer 35332 .914 3.50 +0.50

Columbus Blue Jackets

Skater GAP+/− AttxG HitBlkTOI
Forwards
23 Sean Monahan 101 +1 20.33 0019:17
86 Kirill Marchenko 011 +1 50.33 2117:59
3 Charlie Coyle 101 +1 40.41 0116:26
22 Boone Jenner 000 -2 40.16 1016:11
4 Cole Sillinger 011 +1 40.13 0016:06
19 Adam Fantilli 000 -2 70.48 1014:48
10 Dmitri Voronkov 000 +1 30.20 4014:31
91 Kent Johnson 000 -2 20.12 0113:46
18 Miles Wood 000 0 40.70 1113:30
24 Mathieu Olivier 000 +1 20.04 3012:59
21 Isac Lundeström 000 0 20.21 0012:54
59 Egor Chinakhov 000 0 00.00 1009:16
Defense
8 Zach Werenski 112 0 80.18 0025:48
9 Ivan Provorov 011 0 30.07 0423:46
78 Damon Severson 000 0 50.04 0121:44
5 Denton Mateychuk 011 0 10.04 1220:17
15 Dante Fabbro 000 0 10.01 0116:37
2 Jake Christiansen 000 0 20.05 0110:15
Goalie SAGA SVSV% xGA GSAx
Jet Greaves 39237 .949 3.35 +1.35

Skaters by time on ice. Goalie lines count shots with the goalie in net, from the NHL play-by-play.

Player ratings

What each player added to the result, in goals, from most to least. Hover a number for what it's made of.

St. Louis Blues

Player Rating Points Shots On ice Pen FO Other GSAx TOI
77 Nick Bjugstad C +1.56 +0.75 +0.38 +0.59 -0.15 -0.01 0.00 — 14:16
72 Justin Faulk D +1.21 +0.75 +0.11 +0.18 0.00 0.00 +0.17 — 24:54
81 Dylan Holloway L +1.12 +0.55 +0.20 +0.24 +0.15 0.00 -0.02 — 19:28
25 Jordan Kyrou R +0.97 0.00 +0.31 +0.45 +0.15 0.00 +0.07 — 14:44
6 Philip Broberg D +0.94 0.00 +0.11 +0.80 0.00 0.00 +0.03 — 24:05
54 Dalibor Dvorsky R +0.79 0.00 +0.07 +0.68 0.00 +0.04 0.00 — 15:16
70 Oskar Sundqvist C +0.63 +0.70 +0.23 -0.34 0.00 -0.01 +0.05 — 16:49
30 Joel Hofer G +0.50 0.00 — — 0.00 — — +0.50 57:04
55 Colton Parayko D +0.44 0.00 +0.02 +0.32 0.00 0.00 +0.10 — 22:20
71 Mathieu Joseph R +0.37 0.00 +0.10 +0.27 0.00 +0.02 -0.02 — 11:26
13 Alexey Toropchenko R +0.09 0.00 +0.08 +0.06 0.00 0.00 -0.04 — 12:34
22 Pius Suter C +0.06 0.00 +0.03 +0.03 0.00 0.00 0.00 — 17:45
26 Nathan Walker L -0.11 0.00 +0.01 -0.01 -0.15 -0.01 +0.05 — 11:44
89 Pavel Buchnevich L -0.27 0.00 +0.32 -0.53 0.00 0.00 -0.06 — 17:50
75 Tyler Tucker D -0.33 0.00 +0.01 -0.39 0.00 0.00 +0.06 — 9:44
17 Cam Fowler D -0.58 0.00 +0.04 -0.66 0.00 0.00 +0.03 — 23:17
21 Jimmy Snuggerud R -0.95 0.00 +0.09 -1.03 0.00 0.00 -0.02 — 15:38
51 Matthew Kessel D -1.06 0.00 0.00 -0.91 -0.15 0.00 0.00 — 10:54
10 Brayden Schenn C -1.12 0.00 +0.06 -1.26 0.00 +0.03 +0.05 — 15:47

Columbus Blue Jackets

Player Rating Points Shots On ice Pen FO Other GSAx TOI
3 Charlie Coyle C +1.89 +0.75 +0.27 +0.84 0.00 -0.02 +0.05 — 16:26
4 Cole Sillinger C +1.69 +0.70 +0.08 +0.96 0.00 -0.01 -0.04 — 16:06
8 Zach Werenski D +1.46 +1.45 +0.12 -0.08 0.00 0.00 -0.02 — 25:48
23 Sean Monahan C +1.40 +0.75 +0.21 +0.30 +0.15 +0.01 -0.02 — 19:17
73 Jet Greaves G +1.35 0.00 — — 0.00 — — +1.35 59:50
86 Kirill Marchenko R +1.23 +0.55 +0.21 +0.42 0.00 0.00 +0.05 — 17:59
9 Ivan Provorov D +1.07 +0.55 +0.05 +0.31 0.00 0.00 +0.16 — 23:46
11 Miles Wood L +1.00 0.00 +0.45 +0.51 0.00 0.00 +0.03 — 13:30
78 Damon Severson D +0.74 0.00 +0.03 +0.70 0.00 0.00 +0.01 — 21:44
5 Denton Mateychuk D +0.61 +0.70 +0.03 -0.07 -0.15 0.00 +0.10 — 20:17
10 Dmitri Voronkov L +0.40 0.00 +0.13 +0.28 0.00 -0.01 0.00 — 14:31
24 Mathieu Olivier R +0.27 0.00 +0.03 +0.26 0.00 0.00 -0.02 — 12:59
19 Adam Fantilli C +0.25 0.00 +0.31 -0.23 +0.15 +0.04 -0.02 — 14:48
2 Jake Christiansen D -0.08 0.00 +0.03 -0.16 0.00 0.00 +0.05 — 10:15
15 Dante Fabbro D -0.14 0.00 +0.01 -0.20 0.00 0.00 +0.05 — 16:37
91 Kent Johnson C -0.38 0.00 +0.08 -0.51 0.00 0.00 +0.05 — 13:46
59 Egor Chinakhov R -0.42 0.00 0.00 -0.40 0.00 0.00 -0.02 — 9:16
21 Isac Lundeström C -0.60 0.00 +0.13 -0.72 0.00 -0.02 0.00 — 12:54
38 Boone Jenner C -0.66 0.00 +0.11 -0.70 0.00 -0.05 -0.02 — 16:11

An expected-goals take on Dom Luszczyszyn's Game Score: goals and assists, the quality of a player's own shots, shot quality for and against while they were on the ice at 5v5, penalties, faceoffs and puck plays, all in goals; goalies by goals saved above expected. From the NHL play-by-play and shift charts.