Sunday, November 2, 2025
No impact calculated for this game. Impacts are calculated for games in the next 7 days.
Highlights
Shot quality
Expected goals (xG) rate every unblocked shot by how often shots like it go in, from where it was taken,
the shot type, the strength and what happened just before it. How it works
CGY 46%Deserve to win 54% PHI
CGY PHI
1.95 Expected goals 1.56
2 Goals (no shootout) 1
0.72 Expected goals, 5 on 5 1.29
47 Shot attempts 52
30 Unblocked attempts 32
21 Shots on goal 18
Game notes
What stood out as the game went on, from the play-by-play and the shifts. Time on the bench is
counted in 5-on-5 play outside the penalty box; the note says the player sat, not why. Goals saved are against the
shots' expected goals (xG).
3rd Period
18:12
PHI
Pulled goalie
Pulled goalie · Pulled Kolosov, down 2–1
With 1:48 left
Shot map
CGY shoots ←Bigger circle: higher xG; filled: goal → PHI shoots
MacKenzie Weegar: wrist, 35 ft, xG 0.02 (P1 0:22)
Noah Cates: wrist, 55 ft, xG 0.01 (P1 1:21)
Christian Dvorak: wrist, 47 ft, xG 0.01 (P1 1:57)
Garnet Hathaway: wrist, 36 ft, xG 0.02 (P1 2:03)
Nick Seeler: wrist, 37 ft, xG 0.04 (P1 2:47)
Mikael Backlund: backhand, 77 ft, xG 0.00 (P1 3:26)
Connor Zary: wrist, 35 ft, xG 0.04 (P1 7:13)
Christian Dvorak: tip-in, 18 ft, xG 0.06 (P1 8:00)
Trevor Zegras: wrist, 41 ft, xG 0.04 (P1 9:48)
Blake Coleman: poke, 8 ft, xG 0.10 (P1 10:15)
Brayden Pachal: wrist, 62 ft, xG 0.01 (P1 11:01)
Joel Farabee: wrist, 53 ft, xG 0.03 (P1 11:12)
MacKenzie Weegar: wrist, 48 ft, xG 0.02 (P1 14:53)
Mikael Backlund: tip-in, 8 ft, xG 0.06 (P1 17:09)
Morgan Frost: tip-in, 16 ft, xG 0.02 (P1 17:14)
Christian Dvorak: wrist, 24 ft, xG 0.14 (P1 19:06)
Morgan Frost: tip-in, 5 ft, xG 0.17 (P1 19:23)
MacKenzie Weegar: wrist, 26 ft, xG 0.13 (P1 19:36)
Rasmus Andersson: slap, 42 ft, xG 0.08 (P1 19:47)
Jamie Drysdale: snap, 64 ft, xG 0.02 (P2 1:00)
Matvei Michkov: snap, 61 ft, xG 0.03 (P2 1:33)
Cam York: slap, 56 ft, xG 0.04 (P2 2:00)
Travis Konecny: tip-in, 7 ft, xG 0.10 (P2 2:05)
Egor Zamula: wrist, 31 ft, xG 0.12 (P2 3:43)
Rasmus Andersson: snap, 31 ft, xG 0.01 (P2 4:01)
Morgan Frost: wrist, 31 ft, xG 0.09 (P2 4:20)
MacKenzie Weegar: snap, 69 ft, xG 0.01 (P2 4:26)
Yegor Sharangovich: wrist, 48 ft, xG 0.03 (P2 4:46)
Jacob Gaucher: wrist, 17 ft, xG 0.14 (P2 6:07)
Trevor Zegras: wrist, 43 ft, xG 0.02 (P2 8:06)
Ryan Lomberg: wrist, 143 ft, xG 0.00 (P2 8:27)
Jamie Drysdale: wrist, 21 ft, xG 0.02 (P2 8:40)
MacKenzie Weegar: wrist, 56 ft, xG 0.01 (P2 8:52)
Matvei Michkov: wrist, 39 ft, xG 0.01 (P2 11:47)
Bobby Brink: wrist, 120 ft, xG 0.00 (P2 12:59)
Nazem Kadri: slap, 30 ft, xG 0.09 (P2 13:24)
Nazem Kadri: slap, 34 ft, xG 0.12 (P2 14:38)
Nazem Kadri: snap, 39 ft, xG 0.06 (P2 14:45)
Connor Zary: wrist, 34 ft, xG 0.03 (P2 15:22)
Sean Couturier: wrist, 43 ft, xG 0.00 (P2 16:06)
Trevor Zegras: wrist, 5 ft, xG 0.24 (P2 17:03)
Trevor Zegras: wrist, 7 ft, xG 0.06 (P2 17:04)
Kevin Bahl: wrist, 13 ft, xG 0.07 (P2 19:15)
Rasmus Andersson: wrist, 182 ft, xG 0.00 (P2 19:27)
Cam York: wrist, 62 ft, xG 0.02 (P3 1:24)
Rodrigo Abols: wrist, 36 ft, xG 0.02 (P3 2:42)
Travis Sanheim: wrist, 48 ft, xG 0.01 (P3 3:54)
Travis Sanheim: snap, 35 ft, xG 0.08 (P3 6:05)
Bobby Brink: wrist, 30 ft, xG 0.03 (P3 6:22)
Morgan Frost: wrist, 23 ft, xG 0.03 (P3 7:00)
Trevor Zegras: snap, 27 ft, xG 0.02 (P3 7:33)
Rasmus Andersson: wrist, 45 ft, xG 0.01 (P3 10:15)
Egor Zamula: wrist, 64 ft, xG 0.01 (P3 10:50)
Travis Konecny: snap, 29 ft, xG 0.16 (P3 14:18)
Nazem Kadri: wrist, 45 ft, xG 0.04 (P3 15:59)
Nick Seeler: wrist, 129 ft, xG 0.00 (P3 16:24)
Travis Sanheim: wrist, 69 ft, xG 0.00 (P3 17:07)
Sean Couturier: wrist, 34 ft, xG 0.08 (P3 18:50)
Joel Hanley: wrist, 102 ft, xG 0.58 (P3 19:53)
Jonathan Huberdeau: GOAL, wrist, 45 ft, xG 0.02 (P2 2:15)
Jonathan Huberdeau: GOAL, tip-in, 9 ft, xG 0.07 (P3 7:06)
Travis Konecny: GOAL, wrist, 45 ft, xG 0.00 (P3 14:20)
About these numbers
xG comes from hockeystats.io's own model, a gradient-boosted tree model trained on every unblocked shot
from the 2021-22 to 2025-26 regular seasons using the NHL's public play-by-play. Each shot's value is the
share of similar shots that became goals. A team's xG is the sum over its shots; "deserve to win" asks how
often the team would outscore its opponent if every shot went in at exactly that rate. Blocked shots count
as attempts but have no xG (the NHL records where they were blocked, not where they were taken), so the map
leaves them out.
All columns
Box score
Calgary Flames
Goalie
SA GA
SV SV%
xGA
GSAx
Dustin Wolf
18 1 17
.944
1.56
+0.56
Philadelphia Flyers
Skaters by time on ice. Goalie lines count shots with the goalie in net, from the NHL play-by-play.
Player ratings
What each player added to the result, in goals, from most to least. Hover a number for what it's made of.
Calgary Flames
Player
Rating
Points
Shots
On ice
Pen
FO
Other
GSAx
TOI
10 Jonathan Huberdeau L
+1.58
+1.50
+0.06
+0.02
0.00
-0.01
+0.01
—
18:27
44 Joel Hanley D
+1.10
+0.55
+0.38
-0.10
0.00
0.00
+0.27
—
22:01
52 MacKenzie Weegar D
+0.90
+0.70
+0.12
-0.09
0.00
0.00
+0.16
—
25:59
17 Yegor Sharangovich C
+0.68
+0.70
+0.02
0.00
0.00
-0.04
0.00
—
10:37
32 Dustin Wolf G
+0.56
0.00
—
—
0.00
—
—
+0.56
59:20
16 Morgan Frost C
+0.36
0.00
+0.20
+0.07
0.00
-0.01
+0.10
—
17:13
47 Connor Zary C
+0.35
0.00
+0.04
+0.19
+0.15
0.00
-0.04
—
17:17
91 Nazem Kadri C
+0.25
0.00
+0.20
+0.02
0.00
+0.03
0.00
—
18:00
94 Brayden Pachal D
+0.12
+0.55
+0.01
-0.59
+0.15
0.00
+0.01
—
11:29
7 Kevin Bahl D
+0.10
0.00
+0.05
+0.06
0.00
0.00
0.00
—
23:15
27 Matt Coronato R
+0.07
0.00
0.00
+0.07
0.00
-0.02
+0.02
—
15:41
43 Adam Klapka R
+0.06
0.00
0.00
-0.01
0.00
0.00
+0.07
—
7:45
86 Joel Farabee L
+0.03
0.00
+0.02
+0.02
0.00
+0.01
-0.02
—
18:42
70 Ryan Lomberg L
-0.01
0.00
0.00
-0.01
0.00
0.00
0.00
—
7:37
4 Rasmus Andersson D
-0.12
0.00
+0.07
-0.12
-0.15
0.00
+0.08
—
21:53
19 Zayne Parekh D
-0.23
0.00
0.00
-0.26
0.00
0.00
+0.03
—
12:59
20 Blake Coleman L
-0.47
0.00
+0.06
-0.57
0.00
0.00
+0.03
—
17:30
29 Samuel Honzek L
-0.49
0.00
0.00
-0.50
0.00
+0.03
-0.02
—
14:44
11 Mikael Backlund C
-0.53
0.00
+0.04
-0.57
0.00
+0.04
-0.04
—
17:31
Philadelphia Flyers
Player
Rating
Points
Shots
On ice
Pen
FO
Other
GSAx
TOI
11 Travis Konecny R
+1.51
+0.75
+0.17
+0.56
0.00
0.00
+0.03
—
21:40
27 Noah Cates L
+1.18
+0.70
0.00
+0.53
0.00
-0.06
0.00
—
17:12
6 Travis Sanheim D
+0.98
0.00
+0.05
+0.71
+0.15
0.00
+0.06
—
25:00
8 Cam York D
+0.95
0.00
+0.04
+0.76
0.00
0.00
+0.15
—
23:38
46 Trevor Zegras C
+0.44
0.00
+0.24
+0.17
0.00
0.00
+0.03
—
20:44
29 Nikita Grebenkin R
+0.39
0.00
0.00
+0.41
0.00
0.00
-0.02
—
12:06
78 Jacob Gaucher C
+0.27
0.00
+0.09
+0.13
0.00
0.00
+0.05
—
8:46
5 Egor Zamula D
+0.12
0.00
+0.09
0.00
0.00
0.00
+0.03
—
12:50
39 Matvei Michkov R
+0.12
0.00
+0.02
+0.11
0.00
0.00
-0.01
—
13:41
19 Garnet Hathaway R
+0.11
0.00
+0.01
+0.10
0.00
0.00
0.00
—
9:09
14 Sean Couturier C
+0.09
0.00
+0.06
+0.04
0.00
+0.01
-0.02
—
19:31
18 Rodrigo Abols C
+0.02
0.00
+0.02
-0.01
0.00
0.00
+0.02
—
10:45
9 Jamie Drysdale D
-0.04
0.00
+0.03
-0.22
0.00
0.00
+0.15
—
21:54
22 Christian Dvorak C
-0.06
0.00
+0.14
-0.25
0.00
+0.02
+0.03
—
17:55
47 Noah Juulsen D
-0.10
0.00
0.00
-0.08
0.00
0.00
-0.02
—
12:15
10 Bobby Brink R
-0.10
0.00
+0.02
+0.02
-0.15
0.00
0.00
—
13:45
24 Nick Seeler D
-0.12
0.00
+0.03
-0.23
0.00
0.00
+0.08
—
21:16
74 Owen Tippett R
-0.50
0.00
0.00
-0.40
-0.15
0.00
+0.05
—
15:41
35 Aleksei Kolosov G
-0.63
0.00
—
—
0.00
—
—
-0.63
58:12
An expected-goals take on Dom Luszczyszyn's Game Score: goals and assists, the quality of a
player's own shots, shot quality for and against while they were on the ice at 5v5, penalties, faceoffs and puck plays,
all in goals; goalies by goals saved above expected. From the NHL play-by-play and shift charts.