Sunday, November 2, 2025
No impact calculated for this game. Impacts are calculated for games in the next 7 days.
Highlights
Shot quality
Expected goals (xG) rate every unblocked shot by how often shots like it go in, from where it was taken,
the shot type, the strength and what happened just before it. How it works
NJD 34%Deserve to win 66% ANA
NJD ANA
2.59 Expected goals 4.50
1 Goals (no shootout) 4
2.21 Expected goals, 5 on 5 3.19
70 Shot attempts 67
51 Unblocked attempts 43
33 Shots on goal 29
Game notes
What stood out as the game went on, from the play-by-play and the shifts. Time on the bench is
counted in 5-on-5 play outside the penalty box; the note says the player sat, not why. Goals saved are against the
shots' expected goals (xG).
3rd Period
16:28
NJD
Pulled goalie
Pulled goalie · Pulled Allen, down 3–1
With 3:32 left; ANA scored at 18:06 of the 3rd (1–4)
Shot map
NJD shoots ←Bigger circle: higher xG; filled: goal → ANA shoots
Stefan Noesen: tip-in, 16 ft, xG 0.07 (P1 0:26)
Luke Hughes: snap, 55 ft, xG 0.03 (P1 0:32)
Brenden Dillon: snap, 39 ft, xG 0.04 (P1 1:00)
Timo Meier: snap, 42 ft, xG 0.05 (P1 1:34)
Luke Hughes: snap, 47 ft, xG 0.02 (P1 3:00)
Olen Zellweger: wrist, 49 ft, xG 0.02 (P1 4:34)
Jonas Siegenthaler: snap, 46 ft, xG 0.01 (P1 4:45)
Ross Johnston: snap, 26 ft, xG 0.02 (P1 5:19)
Troy Terry: wrist, 51 ft, xG 0.02 (P1 6:08)
Simon Nemec: wrist, 34 ft, xG 0.01 (P1 6:33)
Arseny Gritsyuk: wrist, 42 ft, xG 0.04 (P1 6:53)
Jonas Siegenthaler: wrist, 59 ft, xG 0.03 (P1 7:09)
Nico Hischier: wrist, 13 ft, xG 0.14 (P1 7:15)
Olen Zellweger: snap, 51 ft, xG 0.02 (P1 8:20)
Chris Kreider: wrist, 25 ft, xG 0.11 (P1 9:51)
Troy Terry: wrist, 26 ft, xG 0.14 (P1 10:34)
Troy Terry: backhand, 10 ft, xG 0.03 (P1 10:35)
Luke Hughes: slap, 57 ft, xG 0.04 (P1 11:33)
Timo Meier: slap, 27 ft, xG 0.11 (P1 12:13)
Jacob Trouba: slap, 92 ft, xG 0.00 (P1 13:03)
Jansen Harkins: wrist, 24 ft, xG 0.13 (P1 13:54)
Brenden Dillon: wrist, 69 ft, xG 0.01 (P1 14:39)
Timo Meier: snap, 40 ft, xG 0.02 (P1 18:03)
Arseny Gritsyuk: backhand, 6 ft, xG 0.04 (P1 18:04)
Arseny Gritsyuk: wrist, 34 ft, xG 0.02 (P1 18:13)
Timo Meier: tip-in, 4 ft, xG 0.07 (P1 18:14)
Timo Meier: tip-in, 4 ft, xG 0.13 (P1 18:15)
Luke Hughes: slap, 56 ft, xG 0.01 (P1 18:32)
Troy Terry: snap, 36 ft, xG 0.08 (P1 19:37)
Leo Carlsson: wrist, 9 ft, xG 0.26 (P1 19:39)
Jacob Trouba: wrist, 60 ft, xG 0.01 (P1 19:48)
Jesper Bratt: snap, 21 ft, xG 0.11 (P2 0:50)
Beckett Sennecke: wrist, 7 ft, xG 0.19 (P2 1:19)
Dougie Hamilton: snap, 53 ft, xG 0.01 (P2 2:41)
Stefan Noesen: backhand, 40 ft, xG 0.02 (P2 2:53)
Luke Glendening: wrist, 46 ft, xG 0.01 (P2 3:26)
Mason McTavish: snap, 25 ft, xG 0.11 (P2 4:57)
Jack Hughes: snap, 28 ft, xG 0.15 (P2 6:31)
Jesper Bratt: deflected, 8 ft, xG 0.21 (P2 6:33)
Beckett Sennecke: snap, 28 ft, xG 0.16 (P2 7:42)
Dougie Hamilton: wrist, 57 ft, xG 0.01 (P2 8:41)
Chris Kreider: wrist, 30 ft, xG 0.07 (P2 10:01)
Troy Terry: wrist, 28 ft, xG 0.08 (P2 10:06)
Ian Moore: wrist, 15 ft, xG 0.09 (P2 10:33)
Pavel Mintyukov: slap, 40 ft, xG 0.05 (P2 10:39)
Luke Hughes: slap, 49 ft, xG 0.05 (P2 11:14)
Beckett Sennecke: wrist, 91 ft, xG 0.00 (P2 11:56)
Stefan Noesen: slap, 38 ft, xG 0.02 (P2 12:14)
Ondrej Palat: wrist, 61 ft, xG 0.01 (P2 13:47)
Olen Zellweger: wrist, 51 ft, xG 0.02 (P2 14:45)
Nikita Nesterenko: wrist, 13 ft, xG 0.05 (P2 14:59)
Ryan Poehling: wrist, 19 ft, xG 0.10 (P2 15:17)
Jacob Trouba: wrist, 61 ft, xG 0.01 (P2 16:50)
Beckett Sennecke: tip-in, 30 ft, xG 0.06 (P2 17:55)
Jacob Trouba: wrist, 70 ft, xG 0.01 (P3 1:17)
Juho Lammikko: wrist, 27 ft, xG 0.12 (P3 2:30)
Ross Johnston: backhand, 10 ft, xG 0.19 (P3 2:44)
Jansen Harkins: wrist, 31 ft, xG 0.02 (P3 3:16)
Leo Carlsson: wrist, 60 ft, xG 0.02 (P3 5:42)
Jackson LaCombe: snap, 55 ft, xG 0.03 (P3 5:50)
Beckett Sennecke: slap, 9 ft, xG 0.14 (P3 7:34)
Alex Killorn: wrap-around, 4 ft, xG 0.05 (P3 7:50)
Ryan Poehling: tip-in, 5 ft, xG 0.19 (P3 7:55)
Dawson Mercer: wrist, 42 ft, xG 0.01 (P3 8:12)
Jesper Bratt: wrap-around, 7 ft, xG 0.05 (P3 8:35)
Dennis Cholowski: wrist, 39 ft, xG 0.02 (P3 9:20)
Arseny Gritsyuk: snap, 35 ft, xG 0.06 (P3 10:12)
Nico Hischier: wrist, 38 ft, xG 0.01 (P3 10:50)
Timo Meier: tip-in, 5 ft, xG 0.05 (P3 10:50)
Timo Meier: backhand, 4 ft, xG 0.11 (P3 10:56)
Jesper Bratt: wrist, 18 ft, xG 0.05 (P3 11:18)
Jackson LaCombe: slap, 36 ft, xG 0.02 (P3 11:43)
Alex Killorn: tip-in, 15 ft, xG 0.07 (P3 12:13)
Brenden Dillon: backhand, 106 ft, xG 0.00 (P3 12:29)
Dougie Hamilton: backhand, 50 ft, xG 0.01 (P3 14:43)
Chris Kreider: wrist, 24 ft, xG 0.11 (P3 14:53)
Beckett Sennecke: snap, 41 ft, xG 0.06 (P3 15:39)
Beckett Sennecke: wrist, 7 ft, xG 0.22 (P3 15:46)
Mason McTavish: wrist, 22 ft, xG 0.10 (P3 15:54)
Dennis Cholowski: snap, 37 ft, xG 0.02 (P3 16:26)
Dawson Mercer: bat, 18 ft, xG 0.08 (P3 17:02)
Timo Meier: backhand, 10 ft, xG 0.06 (P3 17:03)
Stefan Noesen: wrist, 9 ft, xG 0.11 (P3 17:46)
Arseny Gritsyuk: wrist, 12 ft, xG 0.02 (P3 17:48)
Stefan Noesen: poke, 6 ft, xG 0.03 (P3 17:49)
Jesper Bratt: wrist, 13 ft, xG 0.02 (P3 17:50)
Luke Hughes: snap, 56 ft, xG 0.03 (P3 17:58)
Arseny Gritsyuk: snap, 55 ft, xG 0.02 (P3 19:08)
Ondrej Palat: wrist, 27 ft, xG 0.04 (P3 19:40)
Beckett Sennecke: GOAL, wrist, 11 ft, xG 0.20 (P1 4:13)
Frank Vatrano: GOAL, snap, 17 ft, xG 0.21 (P1 14:24)
Cutter Gauthier: GOAL, snap, 20 ft, xG 0.06 (P2 1:54)
Jack Hughes: GOAL, snap, 16 ft, xG 0.19 (P3 7:43)
Chris Kreider: GOAL, wrist, 20 ft, xG 0.94 (P3 18:06)
About these numbers
xG comes from hockeystats.io's own model, a gradient-boosted tree model trained on every unblocked shot
from the 2021-22 to 2025-26 regular seasons using the NHL's public play-by-play. Each shot's value is the
share of similar shots that became goals. A team's xG is the sum over its shots; "deserve to win" asks how
often the team would outscore its opponent if every shot went in at exactly that rate. Blocked shots count
as attempts but have no xG (the NHL records where they were blocked, not where they were taken), so the map
leaves them out.
All columns
Box score
New Jersey Devils
Goalie
SA GA
SV SV%
xGA
GSAx
Jake Allen
28 3 25
.893
3.56
+0.56
Anaheim Ducks
Goalie
SA GA
SV SV%
xGA
GSAx
Lukas Dostal
33 1 32
.970
2.59
+1.59
Skaters by time on ice. Goalie lines count shots with the goalie in net, from the NHL play-by-play.
Player ratings
What each player added to the result, in goals, from most to least. Hover a number for what it's made of.
New Jersey Devils
Player
Rating
Points
Shots
On ice
Pen
FO
Other
GSAx
TOI
86 Jack Hughes C
+0.98
+0.75
+0.22
-0.13
+0.15
-0.02
0.00
—
24:07
81 Arseny Gritsyuk R
+0.62
0.00
+0.13
+0.47
0.00
0.00
+0.02
—
17:04
18 Ondrej Palat L
+0.61
0.00
+0.03
+0.58
0.00
+0.01
0.00
—
13:07
34 Jake Allen G
+0.56
0.00
—
—
0.00
—
—
+0.56
58:22
5 Brenden Dillon D
+0.49
0.00
+0.03
+0.22
0.00
0.00
+0.23
—
20:17
63 Jesper Bratt L
+0.20
0.00
+0.29
-0.09
0.00
0.00
0.00
—
19:54
11 Stefan Noesen R
+0.15
0.00
+0.16
-0.10
0.00
-0.01
+0.10
—
15:21
83 Juho Lammikko C
+0.09
0.00
+0.08
-0.01
0.00
-0.03
+0.05
—
11:22
28 Timo Meier R
+0.05
+0.55
+0.39
-0.88
0.00
0.00
-0.02
—
16:55
7 Dougie Hamilton D
-0.05
0.00
+0.02
+0.01
0.00
0.00
-0.08
—
21:53
43 Luke Hughes D
-0.19
0.00
+0.11
-0.18
-0.15
0.00
+0.03
—
20:57
14 Luke Glendening C
-0.20
0.00
+0.01
-0.25
0.00
+0.04
0.00
—
9:04
71 Jonas Siegenthaler D
-0.43
0.00
+0.02
-0.50
0.00
0.00
+0.05
—
19:43
48 Brian Halonen L
-0.45
0.00
0.00
-0.50
0.00
0.00
+0.05
—
7:32
91 Dawson Mercer C
-0.68
+0.70
+0.06
-1.27
-0.15
0.00
-0.02
—
16:35
44 Dennis Cholowski D
-0.86
0.00
+0.03
-1.09
0.00
0.00
+0.20
—
17:19
47 Paul Cotter L
-0.89
0.00
0.00
-0.87
0.00
0.00
-0.02
—
12:25
13 Nico Hischier C
-0.91
0.00
+0.10
-1.14
0.00
+0.03
+0.10
—
17:22
17 Simon Nemec D
-1.13
0.00
+0.01
-1.22
0.00
0.00
+0.08
—
16:41
Anaheim Ducks
Player
Rating
Points
Shots
On ice
Pen
FO
Other
GSAx
TOI
2 Jackson LaCombe D
+2.43
+0.70
+0.03
+1.60
0.00
0.00
+0.10
—
22:13
61 Cutter Gauthier L
+2.41
+1.45
+0.04
+0.93
0.00
+0.01
-0.02
—
16:50
20 Chris Kreider L
+2.39
+0.75
+0.80
+0.74
0.00
0.00
+0.10
—
14:39
45 Beckett Sennecke R
+2.35
+1.30
+0.67
+0.57
-0.15
0.00
-0.04
—
15:38
91 Leo Carlsson C
+1.99
+0.70
+0.18
+1.02
+0.15
-0.06
0.00
—
16:36
1 Lukas Dostal G
+1.59
0.00
—
—
0.00
—
—
+1.59
60:00
98 Pavel Mintyukov D
+1.31
+0.55
+0.03
+0.67
0.00
0.00
+0.06
—
18:20
25 Ryan Poehling C
+1.08
+0.55
+0.19
+0.24
0.00
-0.01
+0.11
—
16:19
74 Ian Moore D
+1.01
0.00
+0.06
+0.97
0.00
0.00
-0.02
—
14:18
14 Drew Helleson D
+0.80
0.00
0.00
+0.76
0.00
0.00
+0.04
—
20:49
19 Troy Terry R
+0.70
0.00
+0.23
+0.45
0.00
0.00
+0.02
—
16:13
77 Frank Vatrano R
+0.66
+0.75
+0.14
-0.27
0.00
0.00
+0.05
—
12:32
44 Ross Johnston L
+0.54
0.00
+0.13
+0.35
0.00
0.00
+0.05
—
12:22
65 Jacob Trouba D
+0.48
+0.70
+0.02
-0.35
0.00
0.00
+0.10
—
22:21
23 Mason McTavish C
+0.31
0.00
+0.14
+0.16
0.00
+0.02
0.00
—
15:05
17 Alex Killorn L
+0.25
0.00
+0.08
+0.12
0.00
0.00
+0.05
—
17:32
24 Jansen Harkins C
+0.01
0.00
+0.10
-0.24
+0.15
+0.02
-0.02
—
11:14
13 Nikita Nesterenko C
-0.09
0.00
+0.03
-0.12
0.00
0.00
0.00
—
15:24
51 Olen Zellweger D
-0.55
0.00
+0.04
-0.67
0.00
0.00
+0.08
—
19:35
An expected-goals take on Dom Luszczyszyn's Game Score: goals and assists, the quality of a
player's own shots, shot quality for and against while they were on the ice at 5v5, penalties, faceoffs and puck plays,
all in goals; goalies by goals saved above expected. From the NHL play-by-play and shift charts.