hockeystats.io

Detroit Red WingsDET 3–2 Final/SO San Jose SharksSJS

Sunday, November 2, 2025

Final/SO 1st2nd3rdOTSO T SOG
Detroit Red WingsDET 01101 3 32
San Jose SharksSJS 00200 2 18

No impact calculated for this game. Impacts are calculated for games in the next 7 days.

Highlights

Scoring

1st Period
No scoring
2nd Period
18:05 DET Lucas Raymond (4) Axel Sandin-Pellikka (3), Dylan Larkin (10) · wrist xG 0.07 1–0 ▶
3rd Period
0:49 SJS Jeff Skinner (4) Philipp Kurashev (4), Dmitry Orlov (10) · tip-in xG 0.09 1–1 ▶
10:16 DET Moritz Seider (1) Simon Edvinsson (2), Alex DeBrincat (11) · wrist xG 0.03 2–1 ▶
16:55 SJS Sam Dickinson (1) Will Smith (7), Patrick Giles (1) · wrist xG 0.16 2–2 ▶
Overtime
No scoring
Shootout
DET Lucas Raymond vs Alex Nedeljkovic Saved
SJS Macklin Celebrini vs Cam Talbot Saved
DET Alex DeBrincat vs Alex Nedeljkovic Saved
SJS Will Smith vs Cam Talbot Missed
DET Dylan Larkin vs Alex Nedeljkovic Missed
SJS Philipp Kurashev vs Cam Talbot Missed
DET James van Riemsdyk vs Alex Nedeljkovic Goal
SJS Tyler Toffoli vs Cam Talbot Saved

Score away–home after each goal; season totals in parentheses.

Shot quality

Expected goals (xG) rate every unblocked shot by how often shots like it go in, from where it was taken, the shot type, the strength and what happened just before it. How it works

DET 80%Deserve to win20% SJS
DETSJS
2.93Expected goals1.28
2Goals (no shootout)2
1.79Expected goals, 5 on 50.83
70Shot attempts49
50Unblocked attempts26
32Shots on goal18

Shot map

DET shoots ←Bigger circle: higher xG; filled: goal→ SJS shoots
Simon Edvinsson: backhand, 124 ft, xG 0.00 (P1 1:28) Ben Chiarot: wrist, 60 ft, xG 0.02 (P1 1:52) Dmitry Orlov: backhand, 43 ft, xG 0.01 (P1 2:27) Lucas Raymond: slap, 38 ft, xG 0.09 (P1 2:54) Marco Kasper: backhand, 33 ft, xG 0.02 (P1 4:14) Marco Kasper: wrist, 19 ft, xG 0.12 (P1 4:28) Marco Kasper: wrist, 43 ft, xG 0.02 (P1 4:52) Marco Kasper: wrist, 59 ft, xG 0.01 (P1 6:36) Mario Ferraro: wrist, 67 ft, xG 0.01 (P1 8:13) Mario Ferraro: slap, 85 ft, xG 0.00 (P1 8:23) Will Smith: wrist, 40 ft, xG 0.05 (P1 10:16) James van Riemsdyk: tip-in, 7 ft, xG 0.10 (P1 13:27) Andrew Copp: wrist, 26 ft, xG 0.13 (P1 13:38) Andrew Copp: tip-in, 21 ft, xG 0.07 (P1 13:51) Axel Sandin-Pellikka: slap, 50 ft, xG 0.05 (P1 13:56) Sam Dickinson: wrist, 8 ft, xG 0.09 (P1 15:17) Shakir Mukhamadullin: slap, 58 ft, xG 0.03 (P1 15:22) Axel Sandin-Pellikka: wrist, 62 ft, xG 0.02 (P1 17:22) Lucas Raymond: wrist, 49 ft, xG 0.02 (P1 18:45) Moritz Seider: wrist, 49 ft, xG 0.00 (P1 18:47) Dmitry Orlov: wrist, 92 ft, xG 0.00 (P1 18:55) Philipp Kurashev: slap, 100 ft, xG 0.00 (P1 19:57) Albert Johansson: slap, 69 ft, xG 0.00 (P2 0:15) Lucas Raymond: wrist, 10 ft, xG 0.15 (P2 0:25) Lucas Raymond: wrist, 23 ft, xG 0.03 (P2 0:49) Moritz Seider: slap, 54 ft, xG 0.05 (P2 0:55) Alex DeBrincat: slap, 37 ft, xG 0.01 (P2 0:57) Will Smith: wrist, 24 ft, xG 0.06 (P2 3:59) Mason Appleton: snap, 39 ft, xG 0.04 (P2 5:09) Philipp Kurashev: wrist, 24 ft, xG 0.10 (P2 5:49) Barclay Goodrow: tip-in, 10 ft, xG 0.02 (P2 6:15) Marco Kasper: backhand, 23 ft, xG 0.01 (P2 6:38) Mason Appleton: tip-in, 11 ft, xG 0.06 (P2 6:44) Alex DeBrincat: wrist, 38 ft, xG 0.05 (P2 7:19) J.T. Compher: wrist, 34 ft, xG 0.02 (P2 8:48) Ben Chiarot: snap, 75 ft, xG 0.00 (P2 9:13) Dylan Larkin: wrist, 21 ft, xG 0.12 (P2 9:33) Albert Johansson: wrist, 29 ft, xG 0.05 (P2 10:03) Tyler Toffoli: tip-in, 19 ft, xG 0.05 (P2 10:24) Barclay Goodrow: wrist, 22 ft, xG 0.07 (P2 12:17) Macklin Celebrini: wrist, 42 ft, xG 0.04 (P2 13:33) Albert Johansson: wrist, 29 ft, xG 0.01 (P2 16:48) Tyler Toffoli: wrist, 81 ft, xG 0.00 (P2 16:58) Lucas Raymond: wrist, 12 ft, xG 0.08 (P2 17:22) Dylan Larkin: wrist, 8 ft, xG 0.04 (P2 17:23) Sam Dickinson: wrist, 63 ft, xG 0.02 (P3 3:12) Moritz Seider: backhand, 44 ft, xG 0.00 (P3 3:55) Emmitt Finnie: tip-in, 9 ft, xG 0.03 (P3 3:56) Ethan Cardwell: wrist, 54 ft, xG 0.01 (P3 4:40) Axel Sandin-Pellikka: wrist, 60 ft, xG 0.01 (P3 5:47) Dylan Larkin: wrist, 42 ft, xG 0.04 (P3 6:53) Dylan Larkin: wrist, 33 ft, xG 0.03 (P3 6:59) Emmitt Finnie: backhand, 8 ft, xG 0.19 (P3 7:01) Vincent Desharnais: wrist, 64 ft, xG 0.01 (P3 8:10) Emmitt Finnie: wrap-around, 4 ft, xG 0.08 (P3 8:41) Shakir Mukhamadullin: wrist, 31 ft, xG 0.03 (P3 9:34) Alex DeBrincat: wrist, 43 ft, xG 0.03 (P3 10:05) Elmer Soderblom: wrist, 39 ft, xG 0.05 (P3 10:43) Elmer Soderblom: snap, 24 ft, xG 0.05 (P3 10:48) J.T. Compher: wrist, 31 ft, xG 0.03 (P3 11:27) Ethan Cardwell: slap, 22 ft, xG 0.13 (P3 12:00) Dylan Larkin: backhand, 12 ft, xG 0.23 (P3 12:09) Marco Kasper: wrist, 19 ft, xG 0.02 (P3 12:39) Collin Graf: wrist, 44 ft, xG 0.05 (P3 15:11) Emmitt Finnie: wrist, 20 ft, xG 0.13 (P3 17:08) Philipp Kurashev: wrist, 33 ft, xG 0.06 (OT 0:53) Moritz Seider: wrist, 45 ft, xG 0.04 (OT 1:11) Alex DeBrincat: backhand, 7 ft, xG 0.25 (OT 3:50) Alex DeBrincat: wrist, 12 ft, xG 0.16 (OT 4:00) Philipp Kurashev: deflected, 29 ft, xG 0.05 (OT 4:20) J.T. Compher: wrist, 46 ft, xG 0.04 (OT 4:36) Timothy Liljegren: tip-in, 8 ft, xG 0.13 (OT 4:51) Lucas Raymond: GOAL, wrist, 31 ft, xG 0.07 (P2 18:05) Jeff Skinner: GOAL, tip-in, 10 ft, xG 0.09 (P3 0:49) Moritz Seider: GOAL, wrist, 53 ft, xG 0.03 (P3 10:16) Sam Dickinson: GOAL, wrist, 19 ft, xG 0.16 (P3 16:55)
About these numbers

xG comes from hockeystats.io's own model, a gradient-boosted tree model trained on every unblocked shot from the 2021-22 to 2025-26 regular seasons using the NHL's public play-by-play. Each shot's value is the share of similar shots that became goals. A team's xG is the sum over its shots; "deserve to win" asks how often the team would outscore its opponent if every shot went in at exactly that rate. Blocked shots count as attempts but have no xG (the NHL records where they were blocked, not where they were taken), so the map leaves them out.

Box score

Detroit Red Wings

Skater GAP+/− AttxG HitBlkTOI
Forwards
71 Dylan Larkin 011 0 80.46 1024:07
23 Lucas Raymond 101 +1 80.43 0320:06
58 Emmitt Finnie 000 +1 50.42 0219:46
37 J.T. Compher 000 0 30.10 0117:12
93 Alex DeBrincat 011 0 90.52 0016:29
22 Mason Appleton 000 -1 20.10 2116:27
18 Andrew Copp 000 0 30.20 1414:42
92 Marco Kasper 000 +1 60.21 1014:32
29 Jonatan Berggren 000 0 10.00 0014:11
27 Michael Rasmussen 000 -1 00.00 0011:03
25 Elmer Soderblom 000 -1 30.10 2010:34
21 James van Riemsdyk 000 0 10.10 0009:52
Defense
53 Moritz Seider 101 0 60.13 4225:00
77 Simon Edvinsson 011 0 10.00 3123:39
20 Albert Johansson 000 -1 50.07 1221:59
52 Travis Hamonic 000 -1 10.00 0017:29
44 Axel Sandin-Pellikka 011 +1 60.08 0017:10
8 Ben Chiarot 000 +1 20.02 1116:50
Goalie SAGA SVSV% xGA GSAx
Cam Talbot 18216 .889 1.28 -0.72

San Jose Sharks

Skater GAP+/− AttxG HitBlkTOI
Forwards
21 Alexander Wennberg 000 -1 10.00 0426:15
71 Macklin Celebrini 000 0 30.04 2124:11
2 Will Smith 011 +1 50.11 0121:21
73 Tyler Toffoli 000 +1 30.05 0118:43
96 Philipp Kurashev 011 0 40.21 0016:39
10 Ty Dellandrea 000 -1 30.00 2216:09
51 Collin Graf 000 -1 30.05 1015:13
53 Jeff Skinner 101 0 20.09 0014:44
23 Barclay Goodrow 000 0 20.09 3012:08
54 Patrick Giles 011 +1 10.00 2108:20
Defense
3 John Klingberg 000 +1 20.00 0121:54
27 Timothy Liljegren 000 -1 20.13 2221:25
9 Dmitry Orlov 011 -1 30.01 0118:58
38 Mario Ferraro 000 0 20.01 0116:48
6 Sam Dickinson 101 +2 60.27 1016:23
85 Shakir Mukhamadullin 000 0 20.07 1115:11
73 Vincent Desharnais 000 -1 10.01 1311:33
Goalie SAGA SVSV% xGA GSAx
Alex Nedeljkovic 32230 .938 2.93 +0.93

Skaters by time on ice. Goalie lines count shots with the goalie in net, from the NHL play-by-play.

Player ratings

What each player added to the result, in goals, from most to least. Hover a number for what it's made of.

Detroit Red Wings

Player Rating Points Shots On ice Pen FO Other GSAx TOI
23 Lucas Raymond L +2.58 +0.75 +0.28 +1.25 +0.15 0.00 +0.15 — 20:06
71 Dylan Larkin C +1.87 +0.55 +0.30 +1.00 0.00 +0.06 -0.04 — 24:07
58 Emmitt Finnie C +1.55 0.00 +0.28 +1.22 0.00 0.00 +0.06 — 19:46
44 Axel Sandin-Pellikka D +1.34 +0.70 +0.05 +0.59 0.00 0.00 0.00 — 17:10
77 Simon Edvinsson D +1.28 +0.70 0.00 +0.57 0.00 0.00 +0.01 — 23:39
93 Alex DeBrincat R +1.07 +0.55 +0.34 +0.18 0.00 0.00 0.00 — 16:29
53 Moritz Seider D +0.95 +0.75 +0.08 +0.20 -0.15 0.00 +0.06 — 25:00
8 Ben Chiarot D +0.55 0.00 +0.01 +0.53 0.00 0.00 +0.01 — 16:50
92 Marco Kasper C +0.55 0.00 +0.13 +0.39 0.00 +0.02 0.00 — 14:32
20 Albert Johansson D +0.28 0.00 +0.04 +0.16 0.00 0.00 +0.08 — 21:59
18 Andrew Copp C +0.23 0.00 +0.13 -0.13 0.00 +0.03 +0.20 — 14:42
21 James van Riemsdyk L +0.11 0.00 +0.06 +0.05 0.00 0.00 0.00 — 9:52
37 J.T. Compher L +0.05 0.00 +0.06 -0.07 0.00 +0.01 +0.05 — 17:12
52 Travis Hamonic D -0.07 0.00 0.00 +0.12 -0.15 0.00 -0.04 — 17:29
22 Mason Appleton C -0.09 0.00 +0.07 -0.14 0.00 0.00 -0.01 — 16:27
48 Jonatan Berggren R -0.12 0.00 0.00 -0.12 0.00 0.00 0.00 — 14:11
85 Elmer Soderblom L -0.22 0.00 +0.06 -0.28 0.00 0.00 0.00 — 10:34
27 Michael Rasmussen C -0.23 0.00 0.00 -0.27 0.00 +0.02 +0.02 — 11:03
39 Cam Talbot G -0.72 0.00 — — 0.00 — — -0.72 64:52

San Jose Sharks

Player Rating Points Shots On ice Pen FO Other GSAx TOI
6 Sam Dickinson D +1.38 +0.75 +0.18 +0.45 0.00 0.00 0.00 — 16:23
33 Alex Nedeljkovic G +0.93 0.00 — — 0.00 — — +0.93 65:00
53 Jeff Skinner L +0.85 +0.75 +0.06 +0.06 0.00 0.00 -0.02 — 14:44
2 Will Smith C +0.70 +0.70 +0.07 -0.10 0.00 -0.01 +0.05 — 21:21
54 Patrick Giles R +0.59 +0.55 0.00 +0.01 0.00 0.00 +0.03 — 8:20
96 Philipp Kurashev C +0.54 +0.70 +0.14 -0.09 -0.15 -0.01 -0.04 — 16:39
3 John Klingberg D +0.11 0.00 0.00 +0.08 0.00 0.00 +0.03 — 21:54
73 Tyler Toffoli C +0.06 0.00 +0.03 -0.02 0.00 0.00 +0.05 — 18:43
5 Vincent Desharnais D -0.13 0.00 +0.01 -0.28 0.00 0.00 +0.15 — 11:33
38 Mario Ferraro D -0.17 0.00 +0.01 -0.21 0.00 0.00 +0.03 — 16:48
21 Alexander Wennberg C -0.23 0.00 0.00 -0.50 +0.15 -0.06 +0.18 — 26:15
56 Ethan Cardwell R -0.24 0.00 +0.09 -0.33 0.00 0.00 0.00 — 15:05
85 Shakir Mukhamadullin D -0.28 0.00 +0.04 -0.37 0.00 0.00 +0.05 — 15:11
9 Dmitry Orlov D -0.30 +0.55 +0.01 -0.89 0.00 0.00 +0.03 — 18:58
71 Macklin Celebrini C -0.39 0.00 +0.03 -0.54 +0.15 -0.05 +0.03 — 24:11
23 Barclay Goodrow C -0.43 0.00 +0.06 -0.46 0.00 -0.01 -0.02 — 12:08
10 Ty Dellandrea C -0.50 0.00 0.00 -0.56 0.00 0.00 +0.06 — 16:09
51 Collin Graf R -0.56 0.00 +0.03 -0.61 0.00 0.00 +0.02 — 15:13
37 Timothy Liljegren D -0.70 0.00 +0.09 -0.89 0.00 0.00 +0.10 — 21:25

An expected-goals take on Dom Luszczyszyn's Game Score: goals and assists, the quality of a player's own shots, shot quality for and against while they were on the ice at 5v5, penalties, faceoffs and puck plays, all in goals; goalies by goals saved above expected. From the NHL play-by-play and shift charts.