| Final | 1st | 2nd | 3rd | T | SOG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 |
1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 26 |
 |
0 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 22 |
No impact calculated for this game. Impacts are calculated for games in the next 7 days.
Highlights
Scoring
| 1st Period | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| 18:38 | |
Jack Roslovic (3)PP Connor McDavid (15), Ryan Nugent-Hopkins (9) · snap xG 0.20 | 1–0 ▶ |
| 2nd Period | |||
| 2:27 | |
Andrew Mangiapane (4) Ryan Nugent-Hopkins (10), Connor McDavid (16) · wrist xG 0.14 | 2–0 ▶ |
| 16:08 | |
Dalibor Dvorsky (1)PP Justin Faulk (4), Robert Thomas (6) · slap xG 0.10 | 2–1 ▶ |
| 18:38 | |
Robert Thomas (2) Philip Broberg (4), Jimmy Snuggerud (4) · wrist xG 0.15 | 2–2 ▶ |
| 3rd Period | |||
| 18:37 | |
Pius Suter (5) Colton Parayko (6), Brayden Schenn (4) · wrist xG 0.18 | 2–3 ▶ |
Score away–home after each goal; season totals in parentheses.
Shot quality
Expected goals (xG) rate every unblocked shot by how often shots like it go in, from where it was taken, the shot type, the strength and what happened just before it. How it works
| EDM | STL | |
|---|---|---|
| 2.43 | Expected goals | 2.28 |
| 2 | Goals (no shootout) | 3 |
| 2.19 | Expected goals, 5 on 5 | 2.08 |
| 60 | Shot attempts | 47 |
| 37 | Unblocked attempts | 35 |
| 26 | Shots on goal | 22 |
Game notes
What stood out as the game went on, from the play-by-play and the shifts. Time on the bench is counted in 5-on-5 play outside the penalty box; the note says the player sat, not why. Goals saved are against the shots' expected goals (xG).
| 3rd Period | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| 3:40 | EDM | No shift | No shift · Howard, 10:24 on the bench
No shift from 13:25 of the 2nd to 4:03 of the 3rd; 8 shifts (5:45) before that |
| 19:00 | EDM | Pulled goalie | Pulled goalie · Pulled Pickard, down 3–2
With 1:00 left |
Shot map
About these numbers
xG comes from hockeystats.io's own model, a gradient-boosted tree model trained on every unblocked shot from the 2021-22 to 2025-26 regular seasons using the NHL's public play-by-play. Each shot's value is the share of similar shots that became goals. A team's xG is the sum over its shots; "deserve to win" asks how often the team would outscore its opponent if every shot went in at exactly that rate. Blocked shots count as attempts but have no xG (the NHL records where they were blocked, not where they were taken), so the map leaves them out.
Box score
| Skater | G | A | P | +/− | Att | xG | Hit | Blk | TOI | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Forwards | ||||||||||
| 97 | Connor McDavid | 0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0.14 | 0 | 0 | 21:30 |
| 29 | Leon Draisaitl | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | 1 | 0.11 | 0 | 1 | 19:26 |
| 93 | Ryan Nugent-Hopkins | 0 | 2 | 2 | +1 | 5 | 0.06 | 0 | 1 | 19:17 |
| 96 | Jack Roslovic | 1 | 0 | 1 | -2 | 3 | 0.34 | 0 | 0 | 17:52 |
| 26 | Andrew Mangiapane | 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 3 | 0.42 | 1 | 1 | 16:22 |
| 92 | Vasily Podkolzin | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2 | 6 | 0.33 | 0 | 0 | 16:11 |
| 19 | Adam Henrique | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.15 | 0 | 1 | 15:50 |
| 10 | Trent Frederic | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0.06 | 6 | 0 | 15:45 |
| 22 | Matt Savoie | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0.18 | 0 | 1 | 13:27 |
| 15 | Noah Philp | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0.07 | 2 | 0 | 08:49 |
| 20 | Curtis Lazar | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.09 | 2 | 0 | 07:57 |
| 53 | Isaac Howard | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0 | 0 | 07:00 |
| Defense | ||||||||||
| 27 | Brett Kulak | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | 7 | 0.09 | 0 | 0 | 21:22 |
| 25 | Darnell Nurse | 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 6 | 0.19 | 4 | 2 | 20:54 |
| 14 | Mattias Ekholm | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | 5 | 0.02 | 0 | 1 | 20:42 |
| 2 | Evan Bouchard | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | 5 | 0.09 | 0 | 1 | 19:31 |
| 96 | Jake Walman | 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 6 | 0.10 | 0 | 2 | 19:19 |
| 49 | Ty Emberson | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | 3 | 0.00 | 2 | 1 | 18:14 |
| Goalie | SA | GA | SV | SV% | xGA | GSAx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Calvin Pickard | 22 | 3 | 19 | .864 | 2.28 | -0.72 |
| Skater | G | A | P | +/− | Att | xG | Hit | Blk | TOI | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Forwards | ||||||||||
| 18 | Robert Thomas | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 6 | 0.28 | 0 | 0 | 19:56 |
| 21 | Jimmy Snuggerud | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 0.13 | 2 | 0 | 19:15 |
| 89 | Pavel Buchnevich | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | 3 | 0.07 | 0 | 1 | 19:07 |
| 10 | Brayden Schenn | 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 4 | 0.08 | 1 | 1 | 16:22 |
| 22 | Pius Suter | 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 4 | 0.39 | 0 | 0 | 16:09 |
| 81 | Dylan Holloway | 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 4 | 0.16 | 1 | 1 | 14:34 |
| 15 | Dalibor Dvorsky | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0.25 | 1 | 0 | 14:33 |
| 25 | Jordan Kyrou | 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 3 | 0.09 | 0 | 1 | 14:04 |
| 21 | Mathieu Joseph | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.03 | 2 | 2 | 12:33 |
| 72 | Nick Bjugstad | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0.06 | 1 | 1 | 12:28 |
| 13 | Alexey Toropchenko | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 1 | 4 | 11:27 |
| 70 | Oskar Sundqvist | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.00 | 0 | 0 | 11:08 |
| Defense | ||||||||||
| 72 | Justin Faulk | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0.15 | 2 | 4 | 24:18 |
| 17 | Cam Fowler | 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 1 | 0.07 | 0 | 0 | 22:03 |
| 6 | Philip Broberg | 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 4 | 0.32 | 1 | 2 | 21:38 |
| 55 | Colton Parayko | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 0.05 | 1 | 3 | 21:24 |
| 4 | Matthew Kessel | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0.06 | 0 | 0 | 14:58 |
| 75 | Tyler Tucker | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0.08 | 0 | 1 | 13:55 |
| Goalie | SA | GA | SV | SV% | xGA | GSAx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jordan Binnington | 26 | 2 | 24 | .923 | 2.43 | +0.43 |
Skaters by time on ice. Goalie lines count shots with the goalie in net, from the NHL play-by-play.
Player ratings
What each player added to the result, in goals, from most to least. Hover a number for what it's made of.
| Player | Rating | Points | Shots | On ice | Pen | FO | Other | GSAx | TOI |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 93 Ryan Nugent-Hopkins C | +1.98 | +1.25 | +0.04 | +0.64 | 0.00 | +0.02 | +0.03 | — | 19:17 |
| 88 Andrew Mangiapane L | +1.69 | +0.75 | +0.27 | +0.61 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.05 | — | 16:22 |
| 97 Connor McDavid C | +1.52 | +1.25 | +0.09 | +0.33 | -0.15 | +0.02 | -0.02 | — | 21:30 |
| 96 Jake Walman D | +0.80 | 0.00 | +0.06 | +0.62 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.12 | — | 19:19 |
| 25 Darnell Nurse D | +0.51 | 0.00 | +0.12 | +0.33 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.06 | — | 20:54 |
| 22 Matt Savoie C | +0.47 | 0.00 | +0.12 | +0.15 | +0.15 | 0.00 | +0.05 | — | 13:27 |
| 10 Trent Frederic C | +0.30 | 0.00 | +0.04 | +0.28 | 0.00 | -0.01 | 0.00 | — | 15:45 |
| 19 Adam Henrique C | +0.29 | 0.00 | +0.10 | +0.09 | 0.00 | +0.07 | +0.03 | — | 15:50 |
| 20 Curtis Lazar C | +0.19 | 0.00 | +0.06 | +0.13 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | — | 7:57 |
| 49 Ty Emberson D | +0.19 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.14 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.05 | — | 18:14 |
| 48 Noah Philp C | +0.18 | 0.00 | +0.04 | +0.09 | 0.00 | +0.04 | 0.00 | — | 8:49 |
| 27 Brett Kulak D | -0.06 | 0.00 | +0.06 | -0.10 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -0.02 | — | 21:22 |
| 28 Jack Roslovic C | -0.11 | +0.75 | +0.22 | -1.07 | 0.00 | +0.01 | -0.02 | — | 17:52 |
| 53 Isaac Howard L | -0.27 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -0.12 | -0.15 | 0.00 | 0.00 | — | 7:00 |
| 2 Evan Bouchard D | -0.39 | 0.00 | +0.06 | -0.50 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.05 | — | 19:31 |
| 92 Vasily Podkolzin R | -0.44 | 0.00 | +0.22 | -0.65 | 0.00 | -0.01 | 0.00 | — | 16:11 |
| 14 Mattias Ekholm D | -0.52 | 0.00 | +0.01 | -0.54 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.01 | — | 20:42 |
| 29 Leon Draisaitl C | -0.55 | 0.00 | +0.07 | -0.56 | 0.00 | -0.05 | -0.01 | — | 19:26 |
| 30 Calvin Pickard G | -0.72 | 0.00 | — | — | 0.00 | — | — | -0.72 | 58:18 |
| Player | Rating | Points | Shots | On ice | Pen | FO | Other | GSAx | TOI |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Robert Thomas C | +1.52 | +1.30 | +0.18 | +0.07 | 0.00 | -0.01 | -0.02 | — | 19:56 |
| 22 Pius Suter C | +1.47 | +0.75 | +0.26 | +0.46 | 0.00 | +0.01 | 0.00 | — | 16:09 |
| 10 Brayden Schenn C | +1.10 | +0.55 | +0.05 | +0.46 | 0.00 | -0.01 | +0.05 | — | 16:22 |
| 72 Justin Faulk D | +0.85 | +0.70 | +0.10 | -0.13 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.18 | — | 24:18 |
| 6 Philip Broberg D | +0.81 | +0.70 | +0.21 | -0.18 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.08 | — | 21:38 |
| 25 Jordan Kyrou R | +0.71 | 0.00 | +0.06 | +0.61 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.05 | — | 14:04 |
| 21 Jimmy Snuggerud R | +0.67 | +0.55 | +0.09 | +0.04 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | — | 19:15 |
| 17 Cam Fowler D | +0.63 | 0.00 | +0.05 | +0.60 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -0.02 | — | 22:03 |
| 55 Colton Parayko D | +0.60 | +0.70 | +0.03 | -0.43 | +0.15 | 0.00 | +0.15 | — | 21:24 |
| 50 Jordan Binnington G | +0.43 | 0.00 | — | — | 0.00 | — | — | +0.43 | 60:00 |
| 54 Dalibor Dvorsky R | +0.37 | +0.75 | +0.16 | -0.46 | 0.00 | -0.06 | -0.02 | — | 14:33 |
| 75 Tyler Tucker D | +0.33 | 0.00 | +0.05 | +0.26 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.01 | — | 13:55 |
| 13 Alexey Toropchenko R | +0.18 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -0.15 | +0.15 | 0.00 | +0.18 | — | 11:27 |
| 81 Dylan Holloway L | +0.13 | 0.00 | +0.11 | +0.02 | 0.00 | +0.02 | -0.01 | — | 14:34 |
| 77 Nick Bjugstad C | +0.03 | 0.00 | +0.04 | -0.03 | 0.00 | -0.03 | +0.05 | — | 12:28 |
| 51 Matthew Kessel D | -0.02 | 0.00 | +0.04 | -0.08 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.02 | — | 14:58 |
| 71 Mathieu Joseph R | -0.19 | 0.00 | +0.02 | -0.29 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.08 | — | 12:33 |
| 89 Pavel Buchnevich L | -0.30 | 0.00 | +0.05 | -0.41 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.07 | — | 19:07 |
| 70 Oskar Sundqvist C | -0.37 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -0.21 | -0.15 | -0.01 | 0.00 | — | 11:08 |
An expected-goals take on Dom Luszczyszyn's Game Score: goals and assists, the quality of a player's own shots, shot quality for and against while they were on the ice at 5v5, penalties, faceoffs and puck plays, all in goals; goalies by goals saved above expected. From the NHL play-by-play and shift charts.