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Vancouver CanucksVAN 5–4 Final/OT Nashville PredatorsNSH

Monday, November 3, 2025

Final/OT 1st2nd3rdOT T SOG
Vancouver CanucksVAN 1211 5 36
Nashville PredatorsNSH 1120 4 29

No impact calculated for this game. Impacts are calculated for games in the next 7 days.

Highlights

Scoring

1st Period
6:47 NSH Filip Forsberg (6) Brady Skjei (4), Luke Evangelista (6) · wrist xG 0.07 0–1 ▶
14:45 VAN Evander Kane (1)PP Filip Hronek (7), Arshdeep Bains (3) · slap xG 0.05 1–1 ▶
2nd Period
12:57 VAN Jake DeBrusk (3)PP Brock Boeser (3), Elias Pettersson (6) · tip-in xG 0.12 2–1 ▶
15:05 VAN Brock Boeser (5) Tom Willander (1), Elias Pettersson (2) · snap xG 0.15 3–1 ▶
18:45 NSH Erik Haula (3)PP Filip Forsberg (5), Luke Evangelista (7) · snap xG 0.18 3–2 ▶
3rd Period
3:02 VAN Evander Kane (2) Linus Karlsson (3), Marcus Pettersson (3) · snap xG 0.14 4–2 ▶
11:52 NSH Michael Bunting (4) Spencer Stastney (5), Fedor Svechkov (1) · deflected xG 0.15 4–3 ▶
16:37 NSH Nick Blankenburg (1)PP Matthew Wood (3), Michael Bunting (5) · slap xG 0.08 4–4 ▶
Overtime
4:58 VAN Brock Boeser (6) Elias Pettersson (7) · backhand xG 0.20 5–4 ▶

Score away–home after each goal; season totals in parentheses.

Shot quality

Expected goals (xG) rate every unblocked shot by how often shots like it go in, from where it was taken, the shot type, the strength and what happened just before it. How it works

VAN 54%Deserve to win46% NSH
VANNSH
2.91Expected goals2.69
5Goals (no shootout)4
1.49Expected goals, 5 on 51.86
56Shot attempts67
48Unblocked attempts43
36Shots on goal29

Game notes

What stood out as the game went on, from the play-by-play and the shifts. Time on the bench is counted in 5-on-5 play outside the penalty box; the note says the player sat, not why. Goals saved are against the shots' expected goals (xG).

2nd Period
11:59 VAN Deserve to win Deserve to win · VAN takes the lead, 61–39%
NSH had led since 9:04 of the 1st, by as much as 60%
Overtime
4:58 NSH Goalie Goalie · Saros −2.1 goals saved
5 goals on 2.91 xG, 36 shots on goal

Shot map

VAN shoots ←Bigger circle: higher xG; filled: goal→ NSH shoots
Tom Willander: wrist, 71 ft, xG 0.01 (P1 2:03) Ozzy Wiesblatt: backhand, 9 ft, xG 0.14 (P1 2:39) Evander Kane: wrist, 36 ft, xG 0.04 (P1 3:06) Michael Bunting: wrist, 34 ft, xG 0.02 (P1 4:16) Jonathan Marchessault: slap, 44 ft, xG 0.04 (P1 4:21) Jake DeBrusk: wrist, 32 ft, xG 0.03 (P1 4:52) Aatu Räty: backhand, 8 ft, xG 0.13 (P1 5:12) Tyson Jost: wrist, 36 ft, xG 0.05 (P1 5:28) Quinn Hughes: wrist, 10 ft, xG 0.04 (P1 6:13) Kiefer Sherwood: wrist, 27 ft, xG 0.09 (P1 6:17) Filip Forsberg: wrist, 6 ft, xG 0.26 (P1 6:46) Brock Boeser: wrist, 40 ft, xG 0.05 (P1 7:03) Ozzy Wiesblatt: deflected, 19 ft, xG 0.08 (P1 9:04) Tyler Myers: slap, 42 ft, xG 0.03 (P1 10:19) Max Sasson: slap, 22 ft, xG 0.14 (P1 11:38) Linus Karlsson: wrist, 54 ft, xG 0.00 (P1 11:47) Elias Pettersson: wrist, 36 ft, xG 0.04 (P1 12:12) Tom Willander: slap, 61 ft, xG 0.03 (P1 12:56) Aatu Räty: deflected, 18 ft, xG 0.08 (P1 13:06) Jake DeBrusk: backhand, 7 ft, xG 0.17 (P1 14:18) Luke Evangelista: snap, 34 ft, xG 0.03 (P1 15:09) Mackenzie MacEachern: wrist, 39 ft, xG 0.03 (P1 15:22) Erik Haula: wrist, 42 ft, xG 0.03 (P1 15:32) Drew O'Connor: wrist, 37 ft, xG 0.02 (P1 15:49) Jake DeBrusk: wrist, 36 ft, xG 0.06 (P1 16:24) Brock Boeser: backhand, 23 ft, xG 0.05 (P1 16:28) Steven Stamkos: wrist, 19 ft, xG 0.04 (P1 19:51) Kiefer Sherwood: wrist, 36 ft, xG 0.01 (P2 0:09) Jake DeBrusk: wrist, 28 ft, xG 0.03 (P2 0:54) Nick Blankenburg: wrist, 28 ft, xG 0.02 (P2 1:11) Steven Stamkos: snap, 31 ft, xG 0.10 (P2 1:43) Matthew Wood: slap, 38 ft, xG 0.04 (P2 2:37) Michael McCarron: backhand, 27 ft, xG 0.01 (P2 3:29) Tyson Jost: wrist, 29 ft, xG 0.14 (P2 4:02) Brock Boeser: wrist, 48 ft, xG 0.01 (P2 4:32) Filip Hronek: wrist, 58 ft, xG 0.03 (P2 5:53) Quinn Hughes: slap, 51 ft, xG 0.01 (P2 6:06) Filip Forsberg: snap, 26 ft, xG 0.06 (P2 7:27) Jake DeBrusk: wrist, 49 ft, xG 0.01 (P2 8:14) Quinn Hughes: wrist, 33 ft, xG 0.08 (P2 11:20) Quinn Hughes: wrist, 53 ft, xG 0.03 (P2 11:27) Jake DeBrusk: wrist, 8 ft, xG 0.15 (P2 11:53) Jake DeBrusk: wrist, 5 ft, xG 0.08 (P2 11:54) Quinn Hughes: slap, 37 ft, xG 0.10 (P2 11:59) Brock Boeser: wrist, 17 ft, xG 0.16 (P2 12:40) Filip Forsberg: tip-in, 7 ft, xG 0.11 (P2 13:43) Filip Forsberg: backhand, 6 ft, xG 0.06 (P2 13:44) Aatu Räty: wrist, 7 ft, xG 0.04 (P2 14:27) Filip Forsberg: wrist, 38 ft, xG 0.06 (P2 15:23) Nick Perbix: slap, 47 ft, xG 0.05 (P2 16:17) Kiefer Sherwood: wrist, 11 ft, xG 0.21 (P2 16:29) Justin Barron: wrist, 39 ft, xG 0.03 (P2 17:13) Drew O'Connor: backhand, 40 ft, xG 0.01 (P2 17:45) Luke Evangelista: wrist, 32 ft, xG 0.05 (P2 18:12) Quinn Hughes: snap, 55 ft, xG 0.01 (P2 19:49) Justin Barron: wrist, 21 ft, xG 0.03 (P3 1:55) Fedor Svechkov: deflected, 8 ft, xG 0.03 (P3 1:56) Justin Barron: wrist, 65 ft, xG 0.01 (P3 2:18) Filip Hronek: wrist, 57 ft, xG 0.02 (P3 3:29) Quinn Hughes: wrist, 49 ft, xG 0.03 (P3 4:21) Tyler Myers: wrist, 56 ft, xG 0.03 (P3 4:30) Tyler Myers: slap, 61 ft, xG 0.03 (P3 4:36) Erik Haula: wrist, 27 ft, xG 0.06 (P3 6:38) Brady Skjei: slap, 21 ft, xG 0.14 (P3 6:46) Filip Forsberg: tip-in, 9 ft, xG 0.04 (P3 6:47) Erik Haula: wrist, 13 ft, xG 0.11 (P3 6:59) Luke Evangelista: wrist, 33 ft, xG 0.08 (P3 7:05) Kiefer Sherwood: snap, 34 ft, xG 0.08 (P3 7:43) Linus Karlsson: wrist, 77 ft, xG 0.00 (P3 9:45) Arshdeep Bains: wrist, 14 ft, xG 0.04 (P3 10:01) Matthew Wood: wrist, 39 ft, xG 0.05 (P3 11:13) Filip Hronek: wrist, 128 ft, xG 0.00 (P3 12:03) Filip Forsberg: wrist, 30 ft, xG 0.02 (P3 13:23) Ryan O'Reilly: wrist, 13 ft, xG 0.03 (P3 13:24) Filip Forsberg: wrist, 6 ft, xG 0.03 (P3 13:25) Michael Bunting: backhand, 19 ft, xG 0.02 (P3 14:00) Brady Skjei: slap, 59 ft, xG 0.05 (P3 15:45) Filip Forsberg: snap, 36 ft, xG 0.02 (P3 17:00) Erik Haula: wrist, 47 ft, xG 0.01 (P3 17:06) Jonathan Marchessault: backhand, 37 ft, xG 0.01 (P3 17:18) Brady Skjei: wrist, 42 ft, xG 0.05 (OT 4:07) Kiefer Sherwood: wrist, 45 ft, xG 0.04 (OT 4:36) Filip Forsberg: GOAL, wrist, 8 ft, xG 0.07 (P1 6:47) Evander Kane: GOAL, slap, 51 ft, xG 0.05 (P1 14:45) Jake DeBrusk: GOAL, tip-in, 7 ft, xG 0.12 (P2 12:57) Brock Boeser: GOAL, snap, 27 ft, xG 0.15 (P2 15:05) Erik Haula: GOAL, snap, 17 ft, xG 0.18 (P2 18:45) Evander Kane: GOAL, snap, 15 ft, xG 0.14 (P3 3:02) Michael Bunting: GOAL, deflected, 7 ft, xG 0.15 (P3 11:52) Nick Blankenburg: GOAL, slap, 45 ft, xG 0.08 (P3 16:37) Brock Boeser: GOAL, backhand, 12 ft, xG 0.20 (OT 4:58)
About these numbers

xG comes from hockeystats.io's own model, a gradient-boosted tree model trained on every unblocked shot from the 2021-22 to 2025-26 regular seasons using the NHL's public play-by-play. Each shot's value is the share of similar shots that became goals. A team's xG is the sum over its shots; "deserve to win" asks how often the team would outscore its opponent if every shot went in at exactly that rate. Blocked shots count as attempts but have no xG (the NHL records where they were blocked, not where they were taken), so the map leaves them out.

Box score

Vancouver Canucks

Skater GAP+/− AttxG HitBlkTOI
Forwards
40 Elias Pettersson 022 0 10.00 0322:44
44 Kiefer Sherwood 000 -1 60.43 5021:19
74 Jake DeBrusk 101 +1 80.65 2121:04
6 Brock Boeser 213 +2 60.61 1020:15
91 Evander Kane 202 0 30.22 1116:56
54 Aatu Räty 000 -1 30.25 1015:02
18 Drew O'Connor 000 -1 30.03 1113:52
94 Linus Karlsson 011 +1 20.00 1110:43
63 Max Sasson 000 +1 10.14 1009:40
13 Arshdeep Bains 011 0 20.04 2009:19
Defense
43 Quinn Hughes 000 +1 90.29 0228:04
17 Filip Hronek 011 +1 30.04 2125:07
26 Marcus Pettersson 011 +1 00.00 1423:59
57 Tyler Myers 000 -2 30.10 1322:21
25 Elias Pettersson 011 0 10.04 1011:43
5 Tom Willander 011 +1 30.04 0110:52
Goalie SAGA SVSV% xGA GSAx
Thatcher Demko 29425 .862 2.69 -1.31

Nashville Predators

Skater GAP+/− AttxG HitBlkTOI
Forwards
56 Erik Haula 101 0 70.38 1120:46
90 Ryan O'Reilly 000 -1 10.03 0020:05
9 Filip Forsberg 112 0 120.74 1020:01
77 Luke Evangelista 022 +1 30.16 2019:25
81 Jonathan Marchessault 000 +1 30.05 1018:59
91 Steven Stamkos 000 0 50.14 2017:49
71 Matthew Wood 011 -1 30.09 1013:59
58 Michael Bunting 112 0 50.19 0013:41
17 Tyson Jost 000 -1 20.18 0112:54
47 Michael McCarron 000 -1 10.01 4112:16
9 Fedor Svechkov 011 +1 10.03 0011:44
89 Ozzy Wiesblatt 000 -1 20.22 3009:33
Defense
76 Brady Skjei 011 -2 60.24 0126:41
3 Nick Blankenburg 101 -1 20.09 3121:03
41 Nicolas Hague 000 0 20.00 1119:18
48 Nick Perbix 000 0 30.05 0018:08
72 Justin Barron 000 +1 70.08 0017:17
24 Spencer Stastney 011 +1 20.00 0116:48
Goalie SAGA SVSV% xGA GSAx
Juuse Saros 36531 .861 2.91 -2.09

Skaters by time on ice. Goalie lines count shots with the goalie in net, from the NHL play-by-play.

Player ratings

What each player added to the result, in goals, from most to least. Hover a number for what it's made of.

Vancouver Canucks

Player Rating Points Shots On ice Pen FO Other GSAx TOI
6 Brock Boeser R +3.04 +2.20 +0.40 +0.43 0.00 +0.02 0.00 — 20:15
74 Jake DeBrusk L +1.61 +0.75 +0.42 +0.31 +0.15 -0.01 -0.01 — 21:04
5 Tom Willander D +1.42 +0.70 +0.03 +0.68 0.00 0.00 +0.01 — 10:52
91 Evander Kane L +1.15 +1.50 +0.15 -0.38 -0.15 0.00 +0.03 — 16:56
40 Elias Pettersson C +0.95 +1.25 0.00 -0.39 0.00 -0.02 +0.11 — 22:44
25 Elias Pettersson D +0.76 +0.55 +0.02 +0.19 0.00 0.00 0.00 — 11:43
29 Marcus Pettersson D +0.58 +0.55 0.00 -0.17 0.00 0.00 +0.20 — 23:59
94 Linus Karlsson C +0.57 +0.70 0.00 -0.15 0.00 -0.01 +0.03 — 10:43
13 Arshdeep Bains L +0.49 +0.55 +0.02 -0.09 0.00 -0.01 +0.02 — 9:19
73 Lukas Reichel L +0.47 0.00 0.00 +0.41 0.00 -0.02 +0.08 — 15:44
17 Filip Hronek D +0.39 +0.70 +0.03 -0.20 -0.15 0.00 +0.01 — 25:07
63 Max Sasson C -0.01 0.00 +0.09 -0.09 0.00 -0.01 0.00 — 9:40
43 Quinn Hughes D -0.16 0.00 +0.19 -0.58 +0.15 0.00 +0.08 — 28:04
44 Kiefer Sherwood L -0.28 0.00 +0.28 -0.39 -0.15 0.00 -0.02 — 21:19
54 Aatu Räty C -0.34 0.00 +0.16 -0.49 0.00 -0.01 0.00 — 15:02
20 Mackenzie MacEachern L -0.34 0.00 +0.02 -0.46 0.00 0.00 +0.10 — 10:49
18 Drew O'Connor L -0.34 0.00 +0.02 -0.39 0.00 0.00 +0.03 — 13:52
57 Tyler Myers D -0.87 0.00 +0.06 -1.04 0.00 0.00 +0.11 — 22:21
35 Thatcher Demko G -1.31 0.00 — — 0.00 — — -1.31 64:14

Nashville Predators

Player Rating Points Shots On ice Pen FO Other GSAx TOI
9 Filip Forsberg L +2.86 +1.45 +0.48 +0.78 +0.15 0.00 0.00 — 20:01
77 Luke Evangelista R +1.92 +1.10 +0.11 +0.58 +0.15 0.00 -0.02 — 19:25
24 Spencer Stastney D +1.43 +0.70 0.00 +0.68 0.00 0.00 +0.05 — 16:48
58 Michael Bunting L +1.18 +1.30 +0.12 -0.22 0.00 0.00 -0.02 — 13:41
76 Brady Skjei D +1.09 +0.70 +0.15 +0.21 0.00 0.00 +0.03 — 26:41
56 Erik Haula L +0.86 +0.75 +0.25 -0.17 0.00 -0.02 +0.05 — 20:46
20 Justin Barron D +0.83 0.00 +0.05 +0.78 0.00 0.00 0.00 — 17:17
40 Fedor Svechkov C +0.70 +0.55 +0.02 +0.09 0.00 +0.04 0.00 — 11:44
48 Nick Perbix D +0.51 0.00 +0.03 +0.63 -0.15 0.00 0.00 — 18:08
71 Matthew Wood R +0.38 +0.70 +0.06 -0.53 +0.15 0.00 0.00 — 13:59
90 Ryan O'Reilly C +0.33 0.00 +0.02 +0.31 0.00 -0.02 +0.02 — 20:05
81 Jonathan Marchessault R +0.32 0.00 +0.04 +0.35 0.00 0.00 -0.06 — 18:59
91 Steven Stamkos C +0.28 0.00 +0.09 +0.05 +0.15 +0.03 -0.04 — 17:49
47 Michael McCarron C +0.25 0.00 +0.01 +0.13 0.00 +0.04 +0.07 — 12:16
89 Ozzy Wiesblatt C +0.25 0.00 +0.14 +0.28 -0.15 0.00 -0.02 — 9:33
17 Tyson Jost C +0.19 0.00 +0.12 +0.02 0.00 0.00 +0.05 — 12:54
37 Nick Blankenburg D +0.02 +0.75 +0.06 -0.78 0.00 0.00 -0.01 — 21:03
41 Nicolas Hague D -0.57 0.00 0.00 -0.41 -0.15 0.00 -0.01 — 19:18
74 Juuse Saros G -2.09 0.00 — — 0.00 — — -2.09 64:49

An expected-goals take on Dom Luszczyszyn's Game Score: goals and assists, the quality of a player's own shots, shot quality for and against while they were on the ice at 5v5, penalties, faceoffs and puck plays, all in goals; goalies by goals saved above expected. From the NHL play-by-play and shift charts.