| Final/SO | 1st | 2nd | 3rd | OT | SO | T | SOG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 42 | |
| 0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 20 |
No impact calculated for this game. Impacts are calculated for games in the next 7 days.
| 1st Period | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| 1:56 | Bobby Brink (4) Travis Sanheim (4), Cam York (6) · tip-in xG 0.07 | 1–0 ▶ | |
| 7:07 | Cam York (1)PP Trevor Zegras (10), Travis Konecny (5) · slap xG 0.19 | 2–0 ▶ | |
| 7:50 | Bobby Brink (5)PP Noah Cates (6), Trevor Zegras (11) · snap xG 0.11 | 3–0 ▶ | |
| 2nd Period | |||
| 3:12 | Kirby Dach (2) Noah Dobson (7), Brendan Gallagher (7) · snap xG 0.24 | 3–1 ▶ | |
| 4:15 | Nick Suzuki (3)PP Ivan Demidov (8), Cole Caufield (6) · snap xG 0.10 | 3–2 ▶ | |
| 13:28 | Kirby Dach (3) Lane Hutson (11), Jayden Struble (3) · snap xG 0.15 | 3–3 ▶ | |
| 15:57 | Ivan Demidov (4)PP Juraj Slafkovský (2), Lane Hutson (12) · snap xG 0.13 | 3–4 ▶ | |
| 3rd Period | |||
| 10:51 | Nikita Grebenkin (1) Travis Konecny (6), Jamie Drysdale (4) · wrist xG 0.04 | 4–4 ▶ | |
| Overtime | |||
| No scoring | |||
| Shootout | |||
| Ivan Demidov vs Dan Vladar | Missed | ||
| Trevor Zegras vs Samuel Montembeault | Goal | ||
| Cole Caufield vs Dan Vladar | Saved | ||
| Matvei Michkov vs Samuel Montembeault | Saved | ||
| Nick Suzuki vs Dan Vladar | Missed | ||
Score away–home after each goal; season totals in parentheses.
Expected goals (xG) rate every unblocked shot by how often shots like it go in, from where it was taken, the shot type, the strength and what happened just before it. How it works
| PHI | MTL | |
|---|---|---|
| 4.97 | Expected goals | 2.94 |
| 4 | Goals (no shootout) | 4 |
| 2.29 | Expected goals, 5 on 5 | 1.43 |
| 72 | Shot attempts | 46 |
| 55 | Unblocked attempts | 35 |
| 42 | Shots on goal | 20 |
What stood out as the game went on, from the play-by-play and the shifts. Time on the bench is counted in 5-on-5 play outside the penalty box; the note says the player sat, not why. Goals saved are against the shots' expected goals (xG).
| 1st Period | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| 7:50 | MTL | Goalie | Goalie · Montembeault −2.1 goals saved
3 goals on 0.88 xG, 6 shots on goal |
| 2nd Period | |||
| 2:50 | PHI | xG swing | xG swing · Out-chanced MTL 1.10–0.06
In xG over 10 minutes, 12:50 of the 1st to 2:50 of the 2nd; neither team scored |
| 15:57 | PHI | Goalie | Goalie · Vladar −2.5 goals saved
4 goals on 1.55 xG, 9 shots on goal |
| 3rd Period | |||
| 9:20 | PHI | xG swing | xG swing · Out-chanced MTL 1.36–0.18
In xG over 10 minutes, 19:20 of the 2nd to 9:20 of the 3rd; neither team scored |
| 14:50 | PHI | Shortened bench | Shortened bench · 2 forwards sat
Deslauriers and Gaucher: no shift after 2:30 of the 3rd |
xG comes from hockeystats.io's own model, a gradient-boosted tree model trained on every unblocked shot from the 2021-22 to 2025-26 regular seasons using the NHL's public play-by-play. Each shot's value is the share of similar shots that became goals. A team's xG is the sum over its shots; "deserve to win" asks how often the team would outscore its opponent if every shot went in at exactly that rate. Blocked shots count as attempts but have no xG (the NHL records where they were blocked, not where they were taken), so the map leaves them out.
| Skater | G | A | P | +/− | Att | xG | Hit | Blk | TOI | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Forwards | ||||||||||
| 22 | Christian Dvorak | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | 5 | 0.58 | 0 | 1 | 23:56 |
| 46 | Trevor Zegras | 0 | 2 | 2 | -1 | 7 | 0.41 | 0 | 0 | 23:24 |
| 11 | Travis Konecny | 0 | 2 | 2 | +1 | 8 | 0.73 | 3 | 0 | 21:26 |
| 74 | Owen Tippett | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 0.85 | 0 | 1 | 21:24 |
| 14 | Sean Couturier | 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 6 | 0.40 | 1 | 0 | 19:48 |
| 27 | Noah Cates | 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 4 | 0.43 | 0 | 1 | 18:44 |
| 39 | Matvei Michkov | 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 9 | 0.22 | 1 | 0 | 15:28 |
| 10 | Bobby Brink | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 0.43 | 0 | 0 | 15:25 |
| 21 | Garnet Hathaway | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | 1 | 0.12 | 5 | 1 | 10:38 |
| 17 | Nikita Grebenkin | 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 2 | 0.04 | 1 | 0 | 09:41 |
| 44 | Nicolas Deslauriers | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | 0 | 0.00 | 2 | 1 | 06:24 |
| Defense | ||||||||||
| 8 | Cam York | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0.42 | 1 | 2 | 25:47 |
| 9 | Jamie Drysdale | 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 2 | 0.00 | 0 | 2 | 25:44 |
| 6 | Travis Sanheim | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 0.13 | 1 | 1 | 25:06 |
| 24 | Nick Seeler | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | 6 | 0.15 | 2 | 0 | 19:01 |
| 47 | Noah Juulsen | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 4 | 0 | 10:49 |
| 36 | Emil Andrae | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 1 | 0 | 10:43 |
| Goalie | SA | GA | SV | SV% | xGA | GSAx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dan Vladar | 20 | 4 | 16 | .800 | 2.94 | -1.06 |
| Skater | G | A | P | +/− | Att | xG | Hit | Blk | TOI | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Forwards | ||||||||||
| 14 | Nick Suzuki | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0.19 | 2 | 2 | 21:27 |
| 13 | Cole Caufield | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 0.20 | 1 | 0 | 20:26 |
| 20 | Juraj Slafkovský | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 0.09 | 0 | 0 | 18:29 |
| 71 | Jake Evans | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.21 | 3 | 0 | 16:26 |
| 15 | Alex Newhook | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2 | 6 | 0.80 | 3 | 0 | 16:19 |
| 93 | Ivan Demidov | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 0.42 | 0 | 0 | 15:21 |
| 17 | Josh Anderson | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | 1 | 0.14 | 2 | 1 | 14:59 |
| 77 | Kirby Dach | 2 | 0 | 2 | +1 | 6 | 0.48 | 0 | 1 | 13:29 |
| 91 | Oliver Kapanen | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | 1 | 0.00 | 0 | 2 | 13:16 |
| 76 | Zachary Bolduc | 0 | 0 | 0 | +2 | 3 | 0.10 | 3 | 0 | 12:51 |
| 7 | Brendan Gallagher | 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 2 | 0.02 | 3 | 0 | 11:51 |
| 90 | Joseph Veleno | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 1 | 1 | 11:15 |
| Defense | ||||||||||
| 8 | Mike Matheson | 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 4 | 0.03 | 1 | 2 | 27:51 |
| 53 | Noah Dobson | 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 3 | 0.18 | 0 | 4 | 23:58 |
| 48 | Lane Hutson | 0 | 2 | 2 | +1 | 1 | 0.03 | 0 | 1 | 23:23 |
| 45 | Alexandre Carrier | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2 | 2 | 0.03 | 0 | 0 | 18:47 |
| 3 | Jayden Struble | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0.01 | 6 | 1 | 15:03 |
| 72 | Arber Xhekaj | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | 2 | 0.01 | 1 | 0 | 10:38 |
| Goalie | SA | GA | SV | SV% | xGA | GSAx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Samuel Montembeault | 42 | 4 | 38 | .905 | 4.97 | +0.97 |
Skaters by time on ice. Goalie lines count shots with the goalie in net, from the NHL play-by-play.
What each player added to the result, in goals, from most to least. Hover a number for what it's made of.
| Player | Rating | Points | Shots | On ice | Pen | FO | Other | GSAx | TOI |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 Cam York D | +2.66 | +1.30 | +0.27 | +0.99 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.10 | — | 25:47 |
| 46 Trevor Zegras C | +1.98 | +1.25 | +0.26 | +0.47 | 0.00 | -0.02 | +0.02 | — | 23:24 |
| 74 Owen Tippett R | +1.87 | 0.00 | +0.55 | +1.02 | +0.30 | -0.01 | +0.01 | — | 21:24 |
| 11 Travis Konecny R | +1.69 | +1.25 | +0.48 | +0.01 | 0.00 | +0.01 | -0.06 | — | 21:26 |
| 6 Travis Sanheim D | +1.53 | +0.70 | +0.09 | +0.92 | -0.15 | 0.00 | -0.03 | — | 25:06 |
| 10 Bobby Brink R | +1.51 | +1.50 | +0.28 | -0.26 | 0.00 | -0.01 | 0.00 | — | 15:25 |
| 22 Christian Dvorak C | +1.18 | 0.00 | +0.38 | +0.80 | 0.00 | -0.05 | +0.05 | — | 23:56 |
| 9 Jamie Drysdale D | +1.11 | +0.55 | 0.00 | +0.18 | +0.30 | 0.00 | +0.08 | — | 25:44 |
| 39 Matvei Michkov R | +1.04 | 0.00 | +0.14 | +0.90 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | — | 15:28 |
| 14 Sean Couturier C | +1.01 | 0.00 | +0.26 | +0.93 | -0.15 | -0.01 | -0.02 | — | 19:48 |
| 29 Nikita Grebenkin R | +0.97 | +0.75 | +0.02 | +0.19 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | — | 9:41 |
| 27 Noah Cates L | +0.81 | +0.70 | +0.28 | -0.14 | 0.00 | -0.08 | +0.05 | — | 18:44 |
| 36 Emil Andrae D | +0.07 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.07 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | — | 10:43 |
| 47 Noah Juulsen D | -0.15 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -0.15 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | — | 10:49 |
| 19 Garnet Hathaway R | -0.22 | 0.00 | +0.08 | -0.33 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.03 | — | 10:38 |
| 78 Jacob Gaucher C | -0.25 | 0.00 | +0.04 | -0.28 | 0.00 | -0.01 | 0.00 | — | 6:23 |
| 24 Nick Seeler D | -0.33 | 0.00 | +0.10 | -0.24 | -0.15 | 0.00 | -0.04 | — | 19:01 |
| 44 Nicolas Deslauriers L | -0.34 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -0.37 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.03 | — | 6:24 |
| 80 Dan Vladar G | -1.06 | 0.00 | — | — | 0.00 | — | — | -1.06 | 64:55 |
| Player | Rating | Points | Shots | On ice | Pen | FO | Other | GSAx | TOI |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 48 Lane Hutson D | +1.68 | +1.25 | +0.02 | +0.34 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.07 | — | 23:23 |
| 93 Ivan Demidov R | +1.60 | +1.45 | +0.27 | -0.09 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -0.04 | — | 15:21 |
| 77 Kirby Dach C | +1.19 | +1.50 | +0.31 | -0.51 | -0.15 | -0.01 | +0.05 | — | 13:29 |
| 14 Nick Suzuki C | +1.03 | +0.75 | +0.12 | -0.03 | 0.00 | +0.11 | +0.08 | — | 21:27 |
| 35 Samuel Montembeault G | +0.97 | 0.00 | — | — | 0.00 | — | — | +0.97 | 65:00 |
| 11 Brendan Gallagher R | +0.91 | +0.55 | +0.01 | +0.20 | +0.15 | 0.00 | 0.00 | — | 11:51 |
| 47 Jayden Struble D | +0.81 | +0.55 | +0.01 | +0.22 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.03 | — | 15:03 |
| 20 Juraj Slafkovský L | +0.72 | +0.70 | +0.06 | +0.01 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -0.04 | — | 18:29 |
| 13 Cole Caufield R | +0.65 | +0.55 | +0.13 | -0.03 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | — | 20:26 |
| 76 Zachary Bolduc R | +0.50 | 0.00 | +0.06 | +0.44 | 0.00 | +0.02 | -0.02 | — | 12:51 |
| 71 Jake Evans C | +0.02 | 0.00 | +0.13 | -0.16 | 0.00 | +0.05 | 0.00 | — | 16:26 |
| 53 Noah Dobson D | -0.08 | +0.70 | +0.12 | -0.87 | -0.15 | 0.00 | +0.12 | — | 23:58 |
| 72 Arber Xhekaj D | -0.20 | 0.00 | +0.01 | -0.17 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -0.04 | — | 10:38 |
| 90 Joseph Veleno C | -0.26 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -0.17 | -0.15 | +0.01 | +0.05 | — | 11:15 |
| 17 Josh Anderson R | -0.48 | 0.00 | +0.09 | -0.62 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.05 | — | 14:59 |
| 91 Oliver Kapanen C | -0.59 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -0.69 | 0.00 | +0.02 | +0.08 | — | 13:16 |
| 45 Alexandre Carrier D | -0.60 | 0.00 | +0.02 | -0.62 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | — | 18:47 |
| 8 Mike Matheson D | -0.67 | 0.00 | +0.02 | -0.79 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.10 | — | 27:51 |
| 15 Alex Newhook C | -0.70 | 0.00 | +0.52 | -1.19 | 0.00 | -0.02 | -0.02 | — | 16:19 |
An expected-goals take on Dom Luszczyszyn's Game Score: goals and assists, the quality of a player's own shots, shot quality for and against while they were on the ice at 5v5, penalties, faceoffs and puck plays, all in goals; goalies by goals saved above expected. From the NHL play-by-play and shift charts.