| Final/SO | 1st | 2nd | 3rd | OT | SO | T | SOG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 27 | |
| 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 33 |
No impact calculated for this game. Impacts are calculated for games in the next 7 days.
| 1st Period | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| No scoring | |||
| 2nd Period | |||
| 5:11 | Anthony Duclair (3) Casey Cizikas (2), Kyle MacLean (1) · wrist xG 0.03 | 0–1 ▶ | |
| 12:21 | Viktor Arvidsson (4) Hampus Lindholm (2), Casey Mittelstadt (5) · wrist xG 0.16 | 1–1 ▶ | |
| 13:06 | Bo Horvat (8) Mathew Barzal (7), Emil Heineman (3) · wrist xG 0.10 | 1–2 ▶ | |
| 17:29 | Pavel Zacha (3)PP Charlie McAvoy (11), Morgan Geekie (3) · wrist xG 0.20 | 2–2 ▶ | |
| 3rd Period | |||
| 5:05 | Bo Horvat (9) Matthew Schaefer (6), Kyle Palmieri (6) · wrist xG 0.08 | 2–3 ▶ | |
| 15:06 | Marat Khusnutdinov (2) Fraser Minten (3), David Pastrnak (11) · backhand xG 0.17 | 3–3 ▶ | |
| Overtime | |||
| No scoring | |||
| Shootout | |||
| Simon Holmstrom vs Jeremy Swayman | Saved | ||
| Casey Mittelstadt vs Ilya Sorokin | Saved | ||
| Bo Horvat vs Jeremy Swayman | Missed | ||
| Marat Khusnutdinov vs Ilya Sorokin | Goal | ||
| Jonathan Drouin vs Jeremy Swayman | Missed | ||
Score away–home after each goal; season totals in parentheses.
Expected goals (xG) rate every unblocked shot by how often shots like it go in, from where it was taken, the shot type, the strength and what happened just before it. How it works
| BOS | NYI | |
|---|---|---|
| 3.50 | Expected goals | 3.90 |
| 3 | Goals (no shootout) | 3 |
| 1.60 | Expected goals, 5 on 5 | 2.07 |
| 58 | Shot attempts | 66 |
| 41 | Unblocked attempts | 49 |
| 27 | Shots on goal | 33 |
What stood out as the game went on, from the play-by-play and the shifts. Time on the bench is counted in 5-on-5 play outside the penalty box; the note says the player sat, not why. Goals saved are against the shots' expected goals (xG).
| 2nd Period | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| 8:56 | BOS | Deserve to win | Deserve to win · BOS takes the lead, 60–40%
NYI had led since 2:08 of the 2nd, by as much as 64% |
| 11:26 | NYI | Deserve to win | Deserve to win · NYI takes the lead, 62–38%
BOS had led since 8:56 of the 2nd, by as much as 60% |
xG comes from hockeystats.io's own model, a gradient-boosted tree model trained on every unblocked shot from the 2021-22 to 2025-26 regular seasons using the NHL's public play-by-play. Each shot's value is the share of similar shots that became goals. A team's xG is the sum over its shots; "deserve to win" asks how often the team would outscore its opponent if every shot went in at exactly that rate. Blocked shots count as attempts but have no xG (the NHL records where they were blocked, not where they were taken), so the map leaves them out.
| Skater | G | A | P | +/− | Att | xG | Hit | Blk | TOI | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Forwards | ||||||||||
| 88 | David Pastrnak | 0 | 1 | 1 | -1 | 6 | 0.15 | 0 | 0 | 20:54 |
| 39 | Morgan Geekie | 0 | 1 | 1 | -1 | 5 | 0.41 | 0 | 2 | 19:03 |
| 18 | Pavel Zacha | 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 4 | 0.64 | 3 | 1 | 18:36 |
| 33 | Viktor Arvidsson | 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 9 | 0.80 | 0 | 1 | 18:31 |
| 11 | Casey Mittelstadt | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0.12 | 1 | 0 | 17:07 |
| 92 | Marat Khusnutdinov | 1 | 0 | 1 | -1 | 3 | 0.19 | 0 | 0 | 16:50 |
| 93 | Fraser Minten | 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 3 | 0.35 | 1 | 0 | 16:28 |
| 47 | Mark Kastelic | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.02 | 1 | 0 | 15:26 |
| 52 | Sean Kuraly | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | 1 | 0.01 | 1 | 1 | 14:18 |
| 84 | Tanner Jeannot | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.02 | 4 | 0 | 12:46 |
| 81 | Michael Eyssimont | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | 2 | 0.04 | 0 | 0 | 09:17 |
| 17 | John Beecher | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | 2 | 0.18 | 0 | 0 | 08:34 |
| Defense | ||||||||||
| 27 | Hampus Lindholm | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 7 | 0.03 | 0 | 0 | 26:47 |
| 73 | Charlie McAvoy | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 0.51 | 1 | 3 | 23:43 |
| 20 | Andrew Peeke | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0.01 | 0 | 4 | 22:06 |
| 91 | Nikita Zadorov | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | 1 | 0.00 | 1 | 1 | 18:38 |
| 45 | Jonathan Aspirot | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0.01 | 3 | 3 | 15:38 |
| 20 | Henri Jokiharju | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | 2 | 0.00 | 0 | 0 | 14:57 |
| Goalie | SA | GA | SV | SV% | xGA | GSAx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jeremy Swayman | 33 | 3 | 30 | .909 | 3.90 | +0.90 |
| Skater | G | A | P | +/− | Att | xG | Hit | Blk | TOI | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Forwards | ||||||||||
| 14 | Bo Horvat | 2 | 0 | 2 | +1 | 7 | 0.48 | 2 | 0 | 24:33 |
| 13 | Mathew Barzal | 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 6 | 0.23 | 0 | 1 | 22:56 |
| 21 | Kyle Palmieri | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 0.57 | 0 | 1 | 20:35 |
| 92 | Simon Holmstrom | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | 3 | 0.07 | 0 | 1 | 18:29 |
| 92 | Jonathan Drouin | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 0.35 | 0 | 1 | 18:15 |
| 44 | Jean-Gabriel Pageau | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | 0 | 0.00 | 1 | 2 | 17:58 |
| 72 | Anders Lee | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | 6 | 0.71 | 1 | 1 | 14:00 |
| 51 | Emil Heineman | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0.25 | 3 | 1 | 13:31 |
| 64 | Calum Ritchie | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0.00 | 0 | 1 | 12:48 |
| 53 | Casey Cizikas | 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 1 | 0.01 | 3 | 0 | 08:57 |
| 11 | Anthony Duclair | 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 2 | 0.04 | 0 | 1 | 08:49 |
| 32 | Kyle MacLean | 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 0 | 0.00 | 0 | 0 | 07:49 |
| Defense | ||||||||||
| 48 | Matthew Schaefer | 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 9 | 0.87 | 0 | 1 | 22:31 |
| 6 | Ryan Pulock | 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 2 | 0.00 | 1 | 0 | 22:05 |
| 24 | Scott Mayfield | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0.01 | 1 | 0 | 21:50 |
| 3 | Adam Pelech | 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 7 | 0.13 | 0 | 1 | 20:53 |
| 28 | Alexander Romanov | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0.00 | 2 | 0 | 17:32 |
| 77 | Tony DeAngelo | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 0.20 | 1 | 2 | 15:24 |
| Goalie | SA | GA | SV | SV% | xGA | GSAx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ilya Sorokin | 27 | 3 | 24 | .889 | 3.50 | +0.50 |
Skaters by time on ice. Goalie lines count shots with the goalie in net, from the NHL play-by-play.
What each player added to the result, in goals, from most to least. Hover a number for what it's made of.
| Player | Rating | Points | Shots | On ice | Pen | FO | Other | GSAx | TOI |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 71 Viktor Arvidsson L | +1.61 | +0.75 | +0.52 | +0.30 | 0.00 | +0.01 | +0.03 | — | 18:31 |
| 93 Fraser Minten C | +1.33 | +0.70 | +0.23 | +0.25 | +0.15 | 0.00 | 0.00 | — | 16:28 |
| 18 Pavel Zacha C | +1.30 | +0.75 | +0.41 | +0.08 | 0.00 | -0.01 | +0.07 | — | 18:36 |
| 73 Charlie McAvoy D | +1.08 | +0.70 | +0.33 | +0.01 | -0.15 | 0.00 | +0.19 | — | 23:43 |
| 1 Jeremy Swayman G | +0.90 | 0.00 | — | — | 0.00 | — | — | +0.90 | 65:00 |
| 11 Casey Mittelstadt C | +0.86 | +0.55 | +0.07 | +0.25 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -0.02 | — | 17:07 |
| 92 Marat Khusnutdinov C | +0.70 | +0.75 | +0.12 | -0.34 | +0.15 | -0.01 | +0.02 | — | 16:50 |
| 27 Hampus Lindholm D | +0.58 | +0.70 | +0.02 | -0.10 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -0.04 | — | 26:47 |
| 88 David Pastrnak R | +0.31 | +0.55 | +0.10 | -0.34 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | — | 20:54 |
| 39 Morgan Geekie C | +0.21 | +0.55 | +0.27 | -0.65 | 0.00 | -0.03 | +0.08 | — | 19:03 |
| 47 Mark Kastelic C | +0.06 | 0.00 | +0.01 | -0.11 | +0.15 | +0.01 | 0.00 | — | 15:26 |
| 84 Tanner Jeannot L | +0.05 | 0.00 | +0.01 | +0.07 | 0.00 | +0.02 | -0.06 | — | 12:46 |
| 26 Andrew Peeke D | -0.04 | 0.00 | +0.01 | -0.22 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.18 | — | 22:06 |
| 91 Nikita Zadorov D | -0.19 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.10 | -0.30 | 0.00 | +0.01 | — | 18:38 |
| 20 Henri Jokiharju D | -0.25 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -0.23 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -0.02 | — | 14:57 |
| 81 Michael Eyssimont C | -0.34 | 0.00 | +0.02 | -0.52 | +0.15 | 0.00 | 0.00 | — | 9:17 |
| 19 John Beecher C | -0.40 | 0.00 | +0.12 | -0.52 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | — | 8:34 |
| 52 Sean Kuraly C | -0.41 | 0.00 | +0.01 | -0.48 | 0.00 | +0.01 | +0.05 | — | 14:18 |
| 45 Jonathan Aspirot D | -0.72 | 0.00 | +0.01 | -0.88 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.15 | — | 15:38 |
| Player | Rating | Points | Shots | On ice | Pen | FO | Other | GSAx | TOI |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Bo Horvat C | +2.26 | +1.50 | +0.31 | +0.41 | 0.00 | +0.04 | 0.00 | — | 24:33 |
| 48 Matthew Schaefer D | +1.89 | +0.70 | +0.56 | +0.63 | -0.05 | 0.00 | +0.05 | — | 22:31 |
| 13 Mathew Barzal C | +1.29 | +0.70 | +0.15 | +0.56 | -0.15 | 0.00 | +0.03 | — | 22:56 |
| 11 Anthony Duclair L | +1.16 | +0.75 | +0.03 | +0.34 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.05 | — | 8:49 |
| 3 Adam Pelech D | +1.07 | 0.00 | +0.08 | +0.94 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.05 | — | 20:53 |
| 21 Kyle Palmieri C | +0.98 | +0.55 | +0.37 | +0.10 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -0.03 | — | 20:35 |
| 53 Casey Cizikas C | +0.90 | +0.70 | 0.00 | +0.19 | 0.00 | +0.02 | -0.02 | — | 8:57 |
| 32 Kyle MacLean C | +0.75 | +0.55 | 0.00 | +0.17 | 0.00 | +0.03 | 0.00 | — | 7:49 |
| 6 Ryan Pulock D | +0.73 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.73 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | — | 22:05 |
| 51 Emil Heineman L | +0.72 | +0.55 | +0.16 | -0.04 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.05 | — | 13:31 |
| 27 Anders Lee L | +0.66 | 0.00 | +0.46 | +0.12 | +0.05 | -0.02 | +0.05 | — | 14:00 |
| 30 Ilya Sorokin G | +0.50 | 0.00 | — | — | 0.00 | — | — | +0.50 | 65:00 |
| 24 Scott Mayfield D | +0.43 | 0.00 | +0.01 | +0.56 | -0.15 | 0.00 | +0.02 | — | 21:50 |
| 29 Jonathan Drouin L | +0.36 | 0.00 | +0.22 | -0.04 | +0.15 | -0.02 | +0.05 | — | 18:15 |
| 44 Jean-Gabriel Pageau C | +0.31 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.19 | 0.00 | +0.02 | +0.10 | — | 17:58 |
| 10 Simon Holmstrom R | -0.02 | 0.00 | +0.04 | -0.10 | 0.00 | -0.01 | +0.05 | — | 18:29 |
| 64 Calum Ritchie C | -0.18 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -0.15 | 0.00 | -0.06 | +0.03 | — | 12:48 |
| 77 Tony DeAngelo D | -0.24 | 0.00 | +0.13 | -0.45 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.08 | — | 15:24 |
| 28 Alexander Romanov D | -0.84 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -0.84 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | — | 17:32 |
An expected-goals take on Dom Luszczyszyn's Game Score: goals and assists, the quality of a player's own shots, shot quality for and against while they were on the ice at 5v5, penalties, faceoffs and puck plays, all in goals; goalies by goals saved above expected. From the NHL play-by-play and shift charts.