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Nashville PredatorsNSH 2–3 Final/OT Minnesota WildMIN

Tuesday, November 4, 2025

Final/OT 1st2nd3rdOT T SOG
Nashville PredatorsNSH 0110 2 34
Minnesota WildMIN 1101 3 24

No impact calculated for this game. Impacts are calculated for games in the next 7 days.

Highlights

Scoring

1st Period
10:44 MIN Kirill Kaprizov (8)PP Jared Spurgeon (2), Vladimir Tarasenko (7) · wrist xG 0.06 0–1 ▶
2nd Period
5:16 NSH Matthew Wood (3) Michael McCarron (3), Tyson Jost (1) · tip-in xG 0.25 1–1 ▶
16:01 MIN Zeev Buium (3)PP Brock Faber (5), Marcus Johansson (6) · tip-in xG 0.15 1–2 ▶
3rd Period
19:59 NSH Steven Stamkos (2) Nick Blankenburg (2) · slap xG 0.04 2–2 ▶
Overtime
3:38 MIN Marcus Johansson (6) Kirill Kaprizov (10), Brock Faber (6) · xG 0.94 2–3 ▶

Score away–home after each goal; season totals in parentheses.

Shot quality

Expected goals (xG) rate every unblocked shot by how often shots like it go in, from where it was taken, the shot type, the strength and what happened just before it. How it works

NSH 35%Deserve to win65% MIN
NSHMIN
3.35Expected goals4.31
2Goals (no shootout)3
2.36Expected goals, 5 on 51.99
75Shot attempts57
51Unblocked attempts44
34Shots on goal24

Game notes

What stood out as the game went on, from the play-by-play and the shifts. Time on the bench is counted in 5-on-5 play outside the penalty box; the note says the player sat, not why. Goals saved are against the shots' expected goals (xG).

1st Period
19:40 NSH Deserve to win Deserve to win · NSH takes the lead, 66–34%
MIN had led since 2:23 of the 1st, by as much as 63%
2nd Period
2:10 NSH No shift No shift · Bunting, 10:10 on the bench
No shift from 10:09 of the 1st to 2:19 of the 2nd; 3 shifts (2:30) before that
5:20 NSH xG swing xG swing · Out-chanced MIN 1.86–0.14
In xG over 10 minutes, 19:10 of the 1st to 9:10 of the 2nd; goals 1–0
6:30 NSH No shift No shift · Svechkov, 11:38 on the bench
No shift from 14:04 of the 1st to 8:08 of the 2nd; 4 shifts (4:17) before that
19:20 MIN No shift No shift · Jones, 14:14 on the bench
No shift from 5:16 of the 2nd to 3:31 of the 3rd; 5 shifts (4:22) before that
3rd Period
0:10 MIN No shift No shift · Pitlick, 14:17 on the bench
No shift from 5:16 of the 2nd to 3:34 of the 3rd; 5 shifts (3:02) before that
17:33 NSH Pulled goalie Pulled goalie · Pulled Annunen, down 2–1
With 2:27 left; NSH scored at 19:59 of the 3rd (2–2)
17:37 MIN Goalie Goalie · Gustavsson +2.0 goals saved
1 goal on 3.01 xG, 28 shots on goal
Overtime
3:38 MIN Deserve to win Deserve to win · MIN takes the lead, 65–35%
NSH had led since 19:40 of the 1st, by as much as 84%

Shot map

NSH shoots ←Bigger circle: higher xG; filled: goal→ MIN shoots
Joel Eriksson Ek: snap, 33 ft, xG 0.02 (P1 0:19) Ryan Hartman: wrist, 45 ft, xG 0.02 (P1 1:40) Jared Spurgeon: backhand, 13 ft, xG 0.13 (P1 1:46) Joel Eriksson Ek: slap, 21 ft, xG 0.11 (P1 2:23) Ozzy Wiesblatt: wrist, 28 ft, xG 0.14 (P1 3:36) Vinnie Hinostroza: wrist, 22 ft, xG 0.13 (P1 5:24) Ryan O'Reilly: wrist, 12 ft, xG 0.04 (P1 6:18) Nick Perbix: slap, 43 ft, xG 0.05 (P1 6:32) Jonas Brodin: wrist, 48 ft, xG 0.02 (P1 6:55) Kirill Kaprizov: wrist, 56 ft, xG 0.01 (P1 7:20) Ozzy Wiesblatt: wrist, 35 ft, xG 0.01 (P1 7:50) Steven Stamkos: tip-in, 13 ft, xG 0.08 (P1 8:33) Yakov Trenin: wrist, 37 ft, xG 0.01 (P1 9:09) Nick Perbix: wrist, 60 ft, xG 0.01 (P1 9:43) Kirill Kaprizov: wrist, 23 ft, xG 0.03 (P1 10:07) Nick Perbix: wrist, 184 ft, xG 0.00 (P1 10:14) Brock Faber: wrist, 45 ft, xG 0.00 (P1 11:19) Jonas Brodin: slap, 63 ft, xG 0.01 (P1 11:23) Ryan Hartman: tip-in, 6 ft, xG 0.09 (P1 11:29) Jonathan Marchessault: tip-in, 9 ft, xG 0.08 (P1 11:56) Erik Haula: deflected, 10 ft, xG 0.11 (P1 12:08) Matthew Wood: wrist, 35 ft, xG 0.06 (P1 12:36) Justin Barron: tip-in, 25 ft, xG 0.03 (P1 13:00) Fedor Svechkov: wrist, 27 ft, xG 0.05 (P1 13:28) Brady Skjei: wrist, 22 ft, xG 0.06 (P1 15:35) Brady Skjei: wrist, 62 ft, xG 0.02 (P1 15:47) Brock Faber: wrist, 55 ft, xG 0.03 (P1 16:23) Nick Perbix: wrist, 54 ft, xG 0.01 (P1 17:21) Marco Rossi: wrist, 44 ft, xG 0.03 (P1 17:34) Jake Middleton: wrist, 34 ft, xG 0.03 (P1 17:54) Nick Perbix: slap, 59 ft, xG 0.02 (P1 19:35) Brady Skjei: wrist, 28 ft, xG 0.08 (P1 19:37) Ryan O'Reilly: wrist, 9 ft, xG 0.43 (P1 19:40) Joel Eriksson Ek: wrist, 21 ft, xG 0.09 (P2 0:12) Vladimir Tarasenko: wrist, 13 ft, xG 0.05 (P2 0:13) Justin Barron: backhand, 8 ft, xG 0.15 (P2 2:34) Brady Skjei: slap, 56 ft, xG 0.05 (P2 2:52) Filip Forsberg: wrist, 11 ft, xG 0.16 (P2 2:54) Erik Haula: snap, 9 ft, xG 0.16 (P2 3:25) Erik Haula: snap, 33 ft, xG 0.06 (P2 3:39) Justin Barron: wrist, 24 ft, xG 0.07 (P2 5:47) Ozzy Wiesblatt: wrist, 39 ft, xG 0.07 (P2 5:57) Filip Forsberg: wrist, 29 ft, xG 0.03 (P2 6:18) Filip Forsberg: tip-in, 6 ft, xG 0.10 (P2 6:30) Nick Blankenburg: wrist, 56 ft, xG 0.01 (P2 6:38) Brady Skjei: wrist, 26 ft, xG 0.02 (P2 7:51) Steven Stamkos: wrist, 44 ft, xG 0.01 (P2 8:06) Fedor Svechkov: wrist, 38 ft, xG 0.05 (P2 8:13) Jonathan Marchessault: snap, 36 ft, xG 0.02 (P2 8:23) Michael Bunting: slap, 45 ft, xG 0.06 (P2 8:35) Spencer Stastney: wrist, 45 ft, xG 0.03 (P2 9:06) David Jiricek: wrist, 70 ft, xG 0.01 (P2 11:18) David Jiricek: snap, 26 ft, xG 0.03 (P2 11:35) Vinnie Hinostroza: tip-in, 14 ft, xG 0.07 (P2 12:16) Matthew Wood: wrist, 43 ft, xG 0.05 (P2 13:46) Matthew Wood: wrist, 37 ft, xG 0.05 (P2 17:43) Marco Rossi: wrist, 21 ft, xG 0.21 (P2 18:58) Jake Middleton: wrist, 22 ft, xG 0.04 (P2 19:07) Marcus Foligno: tip-in, 6 ft, xG 0.14 (P2 19:12) Jonathan Marchessault: slap, 28 ft, xG 0.03 (P3 0:48) Jonas Brodin: backhand, 8 ft, xG 0.16 (P3 1:08) Michael Bunting: wrist, 35 ft, xG 0.08 (P3 1:16) Brady Skjei: wrist, 65 ft, xG 0.00 (P3 2:27) Vladimir Tarasenko: deflected, 27 ft, xG 0.06 (P3 3:02) Luke Evangelista: wrist, 37 ft, xG 0.02 (P3 3:54) Ryan Hartman: wrist, 14 ft, xG 0.16 (P3 4:23) Ben Jones: wrist, 7 ft, xG 0.19 (P3 4:48) Ben Jones: bat, 4 ft, xG 0.09 (P3 4:49) Michael Bunting: backhand, 21 ft, xG 0.09 (P3 6:05) Marco Rossi: wrist, 30 ft, xG 0.01 (P3 6:42) Jake Middleton: wrist, 45 ft, xG 0.01 (P3 6:57) Jared Spurgeon: wrist, 52 ft, xG 0.00 (P3 7:02) Joel Eriksson Ek: wrist, 33 ft, xG 0.03 (P3 7:13) Erik Haula: tip-in, 12 ft, xG 0.06 (P3 7:29) Vinnie Hinostroza: backhand, 20 ft, xG 0.07 (P3 9:24) Ben Jones: snap, 21 ft, xG 0.16 (P3 10:54) Brock Faber: slap, 50 ft, xG 0.04 (P3 12:04) Jonas Brodin: backhand, 84 ft, xG 0.00 (P3 16:56) Nick Blankenburg: wrist, 52 ft, xG 0.01 (P3 17:37) Ryan O'Reilly: wrist, 8 ft, xG 0.08 (P3 18:12) Ryan O'Reilly: wrist, 4 ft, xG 0.08 (P3 18:13) Steven Stamkos: slap, 57 ft, xG 0.03 (P3 18:26) Joel Eriksson Ek: wrist, 182 ft, xG 0.05 (P3 19:08) Steven Stamkos: slap, 56 ft, xG 0.03 (P3 19:37) Nick Blankenburg: wrist, 47 ft, xG 0.04 (P3 19:51) Joel Eriksson Ek: wrist, 40 ft, xG 0.05 (OT 0:12) Jonathan Marchessault: wrist, 41 ft, xG 0.05 (OT 1:16) Matt Boldy: wrist, 7 ft, xG 0.20 (OT 2:26) Kirill Kaprizov: wrist, 27 ft, xG 0.06 (OT 3:17) Marcus Johansson: tip-in, 3 ft, xG 0.51 (OT 3:34) Kirill Kaprizov: GOAL, wrist, 43 ft, xG 0.06 (P1 10:44) Matthew Wood: GOAL, tip-in, 5 ft, xG 0.25 (P2 5:16) Zeev Buium: GOAL, tip-in, 23 ft, xG 0.15 (P2 16:01) Steven Stamkos: GOAL, slap, 41 ft, xG 0.04 (P3 19:59) Marcus Johansson: GOAL, shot, 6 ft, xG 0.94 (OT 3:38)
About these numbers

xG comes from hockeystats.io's own model, a gradient-boosted tree model trained on every unblocked shot from the 2021-22 to 2025-26 regular seasons using the NHL's public play-by-play. Each shot's value is the share of similar shots that became goals. A team's xG is the sum over its shots; "deserve to win" asks how often the team would outscore its opponent if every shot went in at exactly that rate. Blocked shots count as attempts but have no xG (the NHL records where they were blocked, not where they were taken), so the map leaves them out.

Box score

Nashville Predators

Skater GAP+/− AttxG HitBlkTOI
Forwards
9 Filip Forsberg 000 0 40.29 0120:16
81 Jonathan Marchessault 000 +1 60.19 0019:59
90 Ryan O'Reilly 000 +1 60.63 0019:53
77 Luke Evangelista 000 0 10.02 0017:38
47 Michael McCarron 011 +1 00.00 1016:40
56 Erik Haula 000 -1 50.39 0016:26
17 Tyson Jost 011 +1 20.00 1015:51
91 Steven Stamkos 101 +1 80.18 1115:42
58 Michael Bunting 000 +1 40.22 1012:13
71 Matthew Wood 101 +1 60.41 0112:07
89 Ozzy Wiesblatt 000 0 30.22 1011:43
9 Fedor Svechkov 000 0 40.10 2311:36
Defense
76 Brady Skjei 000 0 70.24 0024:54
3 Nick Blankenburg 011 +1 40.06 0022:51
48 Nick Perbix 000 +1 60.10 0019:56
41 Nicolas Hague 000 0 10.00 4119:06
24 Spencer Stastney 000 0 30.03 2117:06
72 Justin Barron 000 0 50.24 0314:55
Goalie SAGA SVSV% xGA GSAx
Justus Annunen 24322 .917 4.25 +1.25

Minnesota Wild

Skater GAP+/− AttxG HitBlkTOI
Forwards
97 Kirill Kaprizov 112 0 60.16 0025:14
14 Joel Eriksson Ek 000 -1 60.36 1120:21
12 Matt Boldy 000 -1 20.20 0119:38
38 Ryan Hartman 000 0 40.26 1018:34
23 Marco Rossi 000 0 40.26 1018:07
18 Vinnie Hinostroza 000 0 50.27 1117:35
17 Marcus Foligno 000 0 20.14 8316:02
90 Marcus Johansson 112 +1 21.45 0015:14
91 Vladimir Tarasenko 011 0 20.10 0115:10
13 Yakov Trenin 000 -1 10.01 1208:29
19 Tyler Pitlick 000 -1 00.00 2105:43
Defense
7 Brock Faber 022 0 40.07 1627:24
25 Jonas Brodin 000 0 40.20 0023:27
55 Jake Middleton 000 -1 30.08 2422:29
46 Jared Spurgeon 011 0 40.13 1022:02
8 Zeev Buium 101 -1 20.15 0013:02
5 David Jiricek 000 -1 20.04 2111:56
Goalie SAGA SVSV% xGA GSAx
Filip Gustavsson 34232 .941 3.35 +1.35

Skaters by time on ice. Goalie lines count shots with the goalie in net, from the NHL play-by-play.

Player ratings

What each player added to the result, in goals, from most to least. Hover a number for what it's made of.

Nashville Predators

Player Rating Points Shots On ice Pen FO Other GSAx TOI
71 Matthew Wood R +1.58 +0.75 +0.27 +0.52 0.00 0.00 +0.05 — 12:07
29 Justus Annunen G +1.25 0.00 — — 0.00 — — +1.25 61:12
48 Nick Perbix D +1.07 0.00 +0.07 +1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 — 19:56
9 Filip Forsberg L +1.01 0.00 +0.19 +0.75 0.00 0.00 +0.07 — 20:16
76 Brady Skjei D +0.90 0.00 +0.16 +0.75 0.00 0.00 0.00 — 24:54
90 Ryan O'Reilly C +0.82 0.00 +0.41 +0.21 +0.15 +0.05 0.00 — 19:53
91 Steven Stamkos C +0.76 +0.75 +0.12 +0.05 -0.15 -0.02 +0.01 — 15:42
47 Michael McCarron C +0.71 +0.70 0.00 -0.05 0.00 +0.06 0.00 — 16:40
37 Nick Blankenburg D +0.65 +0.70 +0.04 -0.08 0.00 0.00 -0.02 — 22:51
40 Fedor Svechkov C +0.39 0.00 +0.07 +0.18 0.00 0.00 +0.15 — 11:36
56 Erik Haula L +0.39 0.00 +0.26 +0.24 0.00 -0.04 -0.06 — 16:26
58 Michael Bunting L +0.37 0.00 +0.14 +0.27 0.00 0.00 -0.04 — 12:13
89 Ozzy Wiesblatt C +0.24 0.00 +0.14 +0.08 0.00 0.00 +0.02 — 11:43
20 Justin Barron D +0.19 0.00 +0.16 +0.06 -0.15 0.00 +0.13 — 14:55
17 Tyson Jost C +0.17 +0.55 0.00 -0.37 0.00 -0.01 0.00 — 15:51
81 Jonathan Marchessault R +0.16 0.00 +0.12 +0.10 0.00 0.00 -0.06 — 19:59
41 Nicolas Hague D -0.03 0.00 0.00 -0.08 0.00 0.00 +0.05 — 19:06
77 Luke Evangelista R -0.38 0.00 +0.02 -0.30 0.00 0.00 -0.10 — 17:38
24 Spencer Stastney D -0.47 0.00 +0.02 -0.54 0.00 0.00 +0.05 — 17:06

Minnesota Wild

Player Rating Points Shots On ice Pen FO Other GSAx TOI
90 Marcus Johansson L +2.08 +1.30 +0.94 -0.14 0.00 -0.02 0.00 — 15:14
97 Kirill Kaprizov L +1.71 +1.45 +0.11 +0.30 -0.15 0.00 0.00 — 25:14
32 Filip Gustavsson G +1.35 0.00 — — 0.00 — — +1.35 63:03
7 Brock Faber D +1.22 +1.25 +0.04 -0.36 0.00 0.00 +0.28 — 27:24
46 Jared Spurgeon D +1.16 +0.70 +0.08 +0.42 0.00 0.00 -0.04 — 22:02
17 Marcus Foligno L +1.14 0.00 +0.09 +0.77 +0.15 0.00 +0.13 — 16:02
5 Jake Middleton D +0.73 0.00 +0.05 +0.50 0.00 0.00 +0.18 — 22:29
8 Zeev Buium D +0.68 +0.75 +0.10 -0.27 +0.15 0.00 -0.04 — 13:02
23 Marco Rossi C +0.65 0.00 +0.17 +0.50 0.00 -0.02 0.00 — 18:07
14 Joel Eriksson Ek C +0.25 0.00 +0.23 +0.03 0.00 -0.04 +0.03 — 20:21
18 Vinnie Hinostroza C +0.11 0.00 +0.17 -0.13 0.00 +0.01 +0.05 — 17:35
19 Tyler Pitlick C -0.02 0.00 0.00 -0.05 0.00 0.00 +0.03 — 5:43
25 Jonas Brodin D -0.09 0.00 +0.13 -0.19 0.00 0.00 -0.02 — 23:27
38 Ryan Hartman R -0.14 0.00 +0.17 -0.38 0.00 +0.03 +0.04 — 18:34
91 Vladimir Tarasenko R -0.20 +0.55 +0.07 -0.85 0.00 0.00 +0.03 — 15:10
12 Matt Boldy L -0.32 0.00 +0.13 -0.61 +0.15 0.00 +0.01 — 19:38
13 Yakov Trenin C -0.32 0.00 +0.01 -0.42 0.00 -0.01 +0.10 — 8:29
39 Ben Jones C -0.36 0.00 +0.28 -0.71 0.00 +0.01 +0.05 — 7:02
55 David Jiricek D -1.30 0.00 +0.03 -1.20 -0.15 0.00 +0.03 — 11:56

An expected-goals take on Dom Luszczyszyn's Game Score: goals and assists, the quality of a player's own shots, shot quality for and against while they were on the ice at 5v5, penalties, faceoffs and puck plays, all in goals; goalies by goals saved above expected. From the NHL play-by-play and shift charts.