Detroit Red WingsDET 0–1 Final Vegas Golden KnightsVGK

Tuesday, November 4, 2025

Final	1st	2nd	3rd	T	SOG
Detroit Red WingsDET	0	0	0	0	24
Vegas Golden KnightsVGK	0	1	0	1	34

No impact calculated for this game. Impacts are calculated for games in the next 7 days.

Highlights

Scoring

1st Period
No scoring
2nd Period
13:45	VGK	Ivan Barbashev (4) Brandon Saad (2), Jeremy Lauzon (3) · backhand xG 0.22	0–1 ▶
3rd Period
No scoring

Score away–home after each goal; season totals in parentheses.

Shot quality

Expected goals (xG) rate every unblocked shot by how often shots like it go in, from where it was taken, the shot type, the strength and what happened just before it. How it works

DET 21%Deserve to win79% VGK

DET		VGK
1.86	Expected goals	4.32
0	Goals (no shootout)	1
1.46	Expected goals, 5 on 5	3.19
63	Shot attempts	63
46	Unblocked attempts	49
24	Shots on goal	34

Game notes

What stood out as the game went on, from the play-by-play and the shifts. Time on the bench is counted in 5-on-5 play outside the penalty box; the note says the player sat, not why. Goals saved are against the shots' expected goals (xG).

3rd Period
3:30	VGK	xG swing	xG swing · Out-chanced DET 1.16–0.14 In xG over 10 minutes, 13:30 of the 2nd to 3:30 of the 3rd; goals 1–0
7:28	DET	Goalie	Goalie · Gibson +2.0 goals saved 1 goal on 3.02 xG, 29 shots on goal
18:01	DET	Pulled goalie	Pulled goalie · Pulled Gibson, down 1–0 With 1:59 left

Shot map

DET shoots ←Bigger circle: higher xG; filled: goal→ VGK shoots

About these numbers

xG comes from hockeystats.io's own model, a gradient-boosted tree model trained on every unblocked shot from the 2021-22 to 2025-26 regular seasons using the NHL's public play-by-play. Each shot's value is the share of similar shots that became goals. A team's xG is the sum over its shots; "deserve to win" asks how often the team would outscore its opponent if every shot went in at exactly that rate. Blocked shots count as attempts but have no xG (the NHL records where they were blocked, not where they were taken), so the map leaves them out.

Box score

Detroit Red Wings

	Skater	G	A	P	+/−	Att	xG	Hit	Blk	TOI
Forwards
71	Dylan Larkin	0	0	0	-1	5	0.15	0	0	20:21
23	Lucas Raymond	0	0	0	-1	7	0.32	0	0	20:18
58	Emmitt Finnie	0	0	0	-1	4	0.24	1	0	20:11
93	Alex DeBrincat	0	0	0	0	10	0.35	0	0	19:19
37	J.T. Compher	0	0	0	0	2	0.00	0	0	15:58
92	Marco Kasper	0	0	0	0	2	0.10	0	0	15:56
18	Andrew Copp	0	0	0	0	2	0.05	0	1	14:53
21	James van Riemsdyk	0	0	0	0	3	0.14	0	1	14:14
29	Jonatan Berggren	0	0	0	0	4	0.02	0	0	14:09
22	Mason Appleton	0	0	0	0	0	0.00	2	1	12:07
25	Elmer Soderblom	0	0	0	0	5	0.11	0	0	09:12
27	Michael Rasmussen	0	0	0	0	2	0.16	0	0	08:21
Defense
53	Moritz Seider	0	0	0	-1	5	0.07	0	1	27:22
77	Simon Edvinsson	0	0	0	-1	4	0.10	2	3	23:04
8	Ben Chiarot	0	0	0	0	0	0.00	3	3	18:24
44	Axel Sandin-Pellikka	0	0	0	0	1	0.01	1	0	16:30
20	Albert Johansson	0	0	0	0	4	0.04	0	1	15:47
52	Travis Hamonic	0	0	0	0	3	0.00	1	2	13:59

Goalie	SA	GA	SV	SV%	xGA	GSAx
John Gibson	34	1	33	.971	3.70	+2.70

Vegas Golden Knights

	Skater	G	A	P	+/−	Att	xG	Hit	Blk	TOI
Forwards
71	William Karlsson	0	0	0	0	6	0.64	2	1	18:45
9	Jack Eichel	0	0	0	+1	7	0.41	0	1	18:17
93	Mitch Marner	0	0	0	0	1	0.03	0	1	17:48
20	Brandon Saad	0	1	1	+1	9	1.43	0	0	16:53
49	Ivan Barbashev	1	0	1	+1	4	0.41	0	0	16:48
21	Brett Howden	0	0	0	0	1	0.00	0	0	16:19
16	Pavel Dorofeyev	0	0	0	0	5	0.31	1	0	16:18
19	Reilly Smith	0	0	0	0	3	0.35	0	0	15:53
48	Tomas Hertl	0	0	0	0	5	0.36	2	0	15:26
15	Colton Sissons	0	0	0	0	2	0.08	1	2	08:32
55	Keegan Kolesar	0	0	0	0	1	0.03	6	0	08:03
29	Cole Reinhardt	0	0	0	0	1	0.00	4	0	08:00
Defense
27	Shea Theodore	0	0	0	0	1	0.06	0	0	22:53
15	Noah Hanifin	0	0	0	0	7	0.10	0	0	22:40
3	Brayden McNabb	0	0	0	0	2	0.02	1	4	22:14
28	Zach Whitecloud	0	0	0	0	0	0.00	0	2	21:45
5	Jeremy Lauzon	0	1	1	+1	7	0.06	2	5	15:03
6	Kaedan Korczak	0	0	0	+1	1	0.02	2	1	14:23

Goalie	SA	GA	SV	SV%	xGA	GSAx
Akira Schmid	24	0	24	1.000	1.86	+1.86

Skaters by time on ice. Goalie lines count shots with the goalie in net, from the NHL play-by-play.

Player ratings

What each player added to the result, in goals, from most to least. Hover a number for what it's made of.

Detroit Red Wings

Player	Rating	Shots	On ice	Pen	FO	Other	GSAx	TOI
36 John Gibson G	+2.70	—	—	0.00	—	—	+2.70	57:55
77 Simon Edvinsson D	+0.41	+0.07	+0.23	0.00	0.00	+0.11	—	23:04
53 Moritz Seider D	+0.08	+0.04	-0.01	0.00	0.00	+0.05	—	27:22
27 Michael Rasmussen C	-0.04	+0.10	-0.14	0.00	-0.01	0.00	—	8:21
85 Elmer Soderblom L	-0.06	+0.07	-0.13	0.00	0.00	0.00	—	9:12
58 Emmitt Finnie C	-0.21	+0.15	-0.31	0.00	-0.01	-0.04	—	20:11
23 Lucas Raymond L	-0.28	+0.21	-0.31	-0.15	0.00	-0.02	—	20:18
71 Dylan Larkin C	-0.28	+0.10	-0.30	0.00	-0.04	-0.04	—	20:21
18 Andrew Copp C	-0.36	+0.03	-0.40	0.00	-0.02	+0.03	—	14:53
22 Mason Appleton C	-0.39	0.00	-0.44	0.00	0.00	+0.05	—	12:07
48 Jonatan Berggren R	-0.42	+0.01	-0.56	+0.15	0.00	-0.02	—	14:09
52 Travis Hamonic D	-0.46	0.00	-0.52	0.00	0.00	+0.06	—	13:59
37 J.T. Compher L	-0.59	0.00	-0.55	0.00	-0.04	0.00	—	15:58
93 Alex DeBrincat R	-0.67	+0.23	-1.05	+0.15	0.00	0.00	—	19:19
21 James van Riemsdyk L	-0.77	+0.09	-0.91	0.00	0.00	+0.05	—	14:14
20 Albert Johansson D	-0.78	+0.03	-0.86	0.00	0.00	+0.05	—	15:47
92 Marco Kasper C	-1.10	+0.06	-1.08	0.00	-0.08	0.00	—	15:56
44 Axel Sandin-Pellikka D	-1.22	+0.01	-1.19	0.00	0.00	-0.04	—	16:30
8 Ben Chiarot D	-1.66	0.00	-1.77	0.00	0.00	+0.11	—	18:24

Vegas Golden Knights

Player	Rating	Points	Shots	On ice	Pen	FO	Other	GSAx	TOI
20 Brandon Saad L	+3.63	+0.70	+0.93	+2.05	0.00	-0.03	-0.02	—	16:53
5 Jeremy Lauzon D	+2.10	+0.55	+0.04	+1.26	0.00	0.00	+0.25	—	15:03
40 Akira Schmid G	+1.86	0.00	—	—	0.00	—	—	+1.86	60:00
15 Noah Hanifin D	+1.61	0.00	+0.06	+1.54	0.00	0.00	0.00	—	22:40
49 Ivan Barbashev L	+1.51	+0.75	+0.27	+0.53	0.00	0.00	-0.04	—	16:48
2 Zach Whitecloud D	+1.47	0.00	0.00	+1.54	-0.15	0.00	+0.08	—	21:45
71 William Karlsson C	+1.41	0.00	+0.42	+0.87	0.00	+0.05	+0.07	—	18:45
19 Reilly Smith R	+1.37	0.00	+0.22	+1.00	+0.15	0.00	0.00	—	15:53
9 Jack Eichel C	+1.33	0.00	+0.27	+0.98	0.00	+0.05	+0.03	—	18:17
6 Kaedan Korczak D	+1.17	0.00	+0.01	+1.10	0.00	0.00	+0.05	—	14:23
16 Pavel Dorofeyev R	+0.72	0.00	+0.20	+0.54	0.00	0.00	-0.02	—	16:18
48 Tomas Hertl C	+0.66	0.00	+0.23	+0.29	0.00	+0.14	0.00	—	15:26
93 Mitch Marner R	+0.30	0.00	+0.02	+0.28	0.00	-0.01	+0.01	—	17:48
55 Keegan Kolesar R	+0.02	0.00	+0.02	+0.02	0.00	0.00	-0.02	—	8:03
23 Cole Reinhardt L	-0.08	0.00	0.00	-0.08	0.00	0.00	0.00	—	8:00
10 Colton Sissons C	-0.11	0.00	+0.05	-0.09	-0.15	-0.03	+0.10	—	8:32
21 Brett Howden C	-0.25	0.00	0.00	-0.22	0.00	+0.03	-0.06	—	16:19
3 Brayden McNabb D	-0.53	0.00	+0.01	-0.75	0.00	0.00	+0.20	—	22:14
27 Shea Theodore D	-0.55	0.00	+0.04	-0.59	0.00	0.00	0.00	—	22:53

An expected-goals take on Dom Luszczyszyn's Game Score: goals and assists, the quality of a player's own shots, shot quality for and against while they were on the ice at 5v5, penalties, faceoffs and puck plays, all in goals; goalies by goals saved above expected. From the NHL play-by-play and shift charts.