Columbus Blue JacketsCBJ 1–5 Final Calgary FlamesCGY

Wednesday, November 5, 2025

Final 1st2nd3rd T SOG
Columbus Blue JacketsCBJ 100 1 43
Calgary FlamesCGY 221 5 26

No impact calculated for this game. Impacts are calculated for games in the next 7 days.

Highlights

Scoring

1st Period
0:56 CGY Morgan Frost (3) Jonathan Huberdeau (4), Matt Coronato (3) · tip-in xG 0.10 0–1 ▶
1:32 CGY Blake Coleman (6) Joel Hanley (3), Samuel Honzek (2) · wrist xG 0.04 0–2 ▶
6:57 CBJ Kirill Marchenko (6)SH Boone Jenner (6) · wrist xG 0.12 1–2 ▶
2nd Period
7:47 CGY Nazem Kadri (4) Joel Farabee (5), Rasmus Andersson (3) · wrist xG 0.16 1–3 ▶
8:24 CGY Adam Klapka (2) Yan Kuznetsov (1) · snap xG 0.09 1–4 ▶
3rd Period
19:11 CGY Mikael Backlund (3)EN Unassisted · wrist xG 0.51 1–5 ▶

Score away–home after each goal; season totals in parentheses.

Shot quality

Expected goals (xG) rate every unblocked shot by how often shots like it go in, from where it was taken, the shot type, the strength and what happened just before it. How it works

CBJ 67%Deserve to win33% CGY
CBJCGY
3.18Expected goals2.67
1Goals (no shootout)5
1.87Expected goals, 5 on 51.79
85Shot attempts45
61Unblocked attempts34
43Shots on goal26

Game notes

What stood out as the game went on, from the play-by-play and the shifts. Time on the bench is counted in 5-on-5 play outside the penalty box; the note says the player sat, not why. Goals saved are against the shots' expected goals (xG).

2nd Period
8:24 CBJ Goalie Goalie · Greaves −2.4 goals saved
4 goals on 1.55 xG, 16 shots on goal
3rd Period
8:21 CBJ Deserve to win Deserve to win · CBJ takes the lead, 61–39%
CGY had led since 1:22 of the 1st, by as much as 65%
14:51 CBJ Pulled goalie Pulled goalie · Pulled Greaves, down 4–1
With 5:09 left; CGY scored at 19:11 of the 3rd (1–5)
16:52 CGY Goalie Goalie · Wolf +2.0 goals saved
1 goal on 3.01 xG, 40 shots on goal

Shot map

CBJ shoots ←Bigger circle: higher xG; filled: goal→ CGY shoots
MacKenzie Weegar: wrist, 69 ft, xG 0.01 (P1 0:22) Joel Hanley: slap, 45 ft, xG 0.01 (P1 0:25) Blake Coleman: tip-in, 5 ft, xG 0.14 (P1 1:22) Samuel Honzek: wrist, 59 ft, xG 0.01 (P1 1:26) Dysin Mayo: wrist, 66 ft, xG 0.01 (P1 2:22) Cole Sillinger: snap, 24 ft, xG 0.19 (P1 3:19) Cole Sillinger: tip-in, 8 ft, xG 0.09 (P1 3:56) Jake Christiansen: wrist, 60 ft, xG 0.00 (P1 4:35) Morgan Frost: backhand, 5 ft, xG 0.19 (P1 4:47) Yan Kuznetsov: wrist, 23 ft, xG 0.22 (P1 4:50) Sean Monahan: wrist, 21 ft, xG 0.12 (P1 5:14) Matt Coronato: wrist, 11 ft, xG 0.10 (P1 6:11) Dysin Mayo: wrist, 35 ft, xG 0.02 (P1 7:55) Dmitri Voronkov: wrist, 23 ft, xG 0.01 (P1 8:06) Morgan Frost: wrist, 33 ft, xG 0.02 (P1 8:28) Miles Wood: tip-in, 14 ft, xG 0.06 (P1 9:25) Kent Johnson: wrist, 14 ft, xG 0.04 (P1 10:55) Samuel Honzek: tip-in, 7 ft, xG 0.10 (P1 11:09) Zach Werenski: wrist, 14 ft, xG 0.10 (P1 11:37) Mathieu Olivier: wrist, 41 ft, xG 0.01 (P1 12:20) Jonathan Huberdeau: wrist, 40 ft, xG 0.01 (P1 12:55) Zachary Aston-Reese: snap, 47 ft, xG 0.01 (P1 14:10) Samuel Honzek: wrist, 10 ft, xG 0.12 (P1 14:32) Rasmus Andersson: slap, 60 ft, xG 0.03 (P1 14:40) MacKenzie Weegar: wrist, 61 ft, xG 0.02 (P1 15:47) Nazem Kadri: wrist, 45 ft, xG 0.02 (P1 15:56) Miles Wood: tip-in, 11 ft, xG 0.07 (P1 16:25) Connor Zary: wrist, 27 ft, xG 0.08 (P1 19:06) Morgan Frost: tip-in, 25 ft, xG 0.05 (P1 19:49) Sean Monahan: wrist, 60 ft, xG 0.01 (P2 0:27) Sean Monahan: tip-in, 17 ft, xG 0.03 (P2 0:35) Ivan Provorov: slap, 48 ft, xG 0.00 (P2 0:41) Ivan Provorov: wrist, 20 ft, xG 0.02 (P2 1:05) Ivan Provorov: wrist, 65 ft, xG 0.01 (P2 1:10) Kent Johnson: wrist, 32 ft, xG 0.05 (P2 2:42) Samuel Honzek: wrist, 13 ft, xG 0.04 (P2 3:08) Adam Fantilli: wrist, 13 ft, xG 0.16 (P2 4:15) Miles Wood: wrist, 11 ft, xG 0.07 (P2 4:16) Isac Lundeström: wrist, 25 ft, xG 0.06 (P2 5:33) Kirill Marchenko: backhand, 13 ft, xG 0.09 (P2 5:47) Charlie Coyle: wrist, 24 ft, xG 0.03 (P2 6:52) Dante Fabbro: wrist, 61 ft, xG 0.02 (P2 8:56) Charlie Coyle: backhand, 12 ft, xG 0.10 (P2 8:58) Adam Klapka: wrist, 154 ft, xG 0.00 (P2 10:57) Dmitri Voronkov: wrist, 72 ft, xG 0.00 (P2 12:28) Mikael Backlund: wrist, 67 ft, xG 0.00 (P2 13:04) Jonathan Huberdeau: wrist, 25 ft, xG 0.13 (P2 13:25) Cole Sillinger: wrist, 51 ft, xG 0.02 (P2 13:40) MacKenzie Weegar: slap, 44 ft, xG 0.01 (P2 15:29) Jonathan Huberdeau: wrist, 30 ft, xG 0.04 (P2 17:03) Matt Coronato: wrist, 45 ft, xG 0.03 (P2 17:10) Ivan Provorov: backhand, 95 ft, xG 0.00 (P2 18:05) Adam Fantilli: snap, 24 ft, xG 0.14 (P2 18:23) Connor Zary: tip-in, 8 ft, xG 0.09 (P2 18:53) Adam Fantilli: wrist, 26 ft, xG 0.02 (P2 19:11) Damon Severson: wrist, 51 ft, xG 0.02 (P2 19:57) Dmitri Voronkov: tip-in, 7 ft, xG 0.12 (P3 1:04) Kirill Marchenko: wrist, 51 ft, xG 0.03 (P3 1:16) Kirill Marchenko: backhand, 9 ft, xG 0.06 (P3 1:23) Mikael Backlund: wrist, 100 ft, xG 0.00 (P3 1:34) Kent Johnson: wrist, 27 ft, xG 0.07 (P3 2:16) Zach Werenski: wrist, 23 ft, xG 0.02 (P3 2:25) Ivan Provorov: wrist, 48 ft, xG 0.04 (P3 2:55) Charlie Coyle: snap, 35 ft, xG 0.11 (P3 3:17) Zach Werenski: wrist, 32 ft, xG 0.01 (P3 3:46) Sean Monahan: wrist, 53 ft, xG 0.01 (P3 3:58) Zach Werenski: wrist, 40 ft, xG 0.03 (P3 4:58) Dysin Mayo: slap, 60 ft, xG 0.03 (P3 5:02) Ivan Provorov: wrist, 34 ft, xG 0.07 (P3 7:55) Adam Fantilli: tip-in, 11 ft, xG 0.08 (P3 8:21) Nazem Kadri: wrist, 21 ft, xG 0.08 (P3 9:44) Jonathan Huberdeau: backhand, 9 ft, xG 0.04 (P3 9:45) Blake Coleman: wrist, 15 ft, xG 0.05 (P3 10:44) Mathieu Olivier: wrist, 74 ft, xG 0.00 (P3 10:52) Ivan Provorov: wrist, 47 ft, xG 0.03 (P3 12:10) Damon Severson: wrist, 20 ft, xG 0.08 (P3 12:29) Mikael Backlund: wrist, 9 ft, xG 0.14 (P3 13:50) Zach Werenski: wrist, 43 ft, xG 0.01 (P3 14:45) Kirill Marchenko: slap, 37 ft, xG 0.04 (P3 15:29) Dmitri Voronkov: backhand, 7 ft, xG 0.20 (P3 15:39) Ivan Provorov: wrist, 64 ft, xG 0.03 (P3 15:49) Cole Sillinger: slap, 40 ft, xG 0.04 (P3 16:05) Cole Sillinger: tip-in, 10 ft, xG 0.10 (P3 16:22) Ivan Provorov: slap, 58 ft, xG 0.05 (P3 16:47) Zach Werenski: wrist, 51 ft, xG 0.02 (P3 16:52) Charlie Coyle: backhand, 35 ft, xG 0.01 (P3 17:08) Dmitri Voronkov: tip-in, 7 ft, xG 0.09 (P3 17:10) Kirill Marchenko: wrist, 53 ft, xG 0.03 (P3 17:36) Kirill Marchenko: wrist, 47 ft, xG 0.04 (P3 18:05) Morgan Frost: GOAL, tip-in, 10 ft, xG 0.10 (P1 0:56) Blake Coleman: GOAL, wrist, 41 ft, xG 0.04 (P1 1:32) Kirill Marchenko: GOAL, wrist, 27 ft, xG 0.12 (P1 6:57) Nazem Kadri: GOAL, wrist, 16 ft, xG 0.16 (P2 7:47) Adam Klapka: GOAL, snap, 34 ft, xG 0.09 (P2 8:24) Mikael Backlund: GOAL, wrist, 110 ft, xG 0.51 (P3 19:11)
About these numbers

xG comes from hockeystats.io's own model, a gradient-boosted tree model trained on every unblocked shot from the 2021-22 to 2025-26 regular seasons using the NHL's public play-by-play. Each shot's value is the share of similar shots that became goals. A team's xG is the sum over its shots; "deserve to win" asks how often the team would outscore its opponent if every shot went in at exactly that rate. Blocked shots count as attempts but have no xG (the NHL records where they were blocked, not where they were taken), so the map leaves them out.

Box score

Columbus Blue Jackets

Skater GAP+/− AttxG HitBlkTOI
Forwards
86 Kirill Marchenko 101 +1 100.42 1018:48
19 Adam Fantilli 000 -2 60.40 1017:55
22 Boone Jenner 011 -2 10.00 2016:46
4 Cole Sillinger 000 -2 50.44 2016:40
3 Charlie Coyle 000 -1 40.25 1116:24
10 Dmitri Voronkov 000 0 60.42 0015:56
24 Mathieu Olivier 000 -2 30.01 3014:46
91 Kent Johnson 000 -1 30.16 0114:39
18 Miles Wood 000 -3 30.20 0014:26
23 Sean Monahan 000 0 40.17 0013:11
21 Isac Lundeström 000 -1 10.06 1011:49
21 Zachary Aston-Reese 000 -1 10.01 2010:47
Defense
8 Zach Werenski 000 -1 140.20 1327:28
9 Ivan Provorov 000 -2 100.25 0123:47
78 Damon Severson 000 -1 40.09 3023:16
15 Dante Fabbro 000 -2 30.02 1323:00
2 Jake Christiansen 000 -1 20.00 0111:09
37 Dysin Mayo 000 -1 50.06 0007:33
Goalie SAGA SVSV% xGA GSAx
Jet Greaves 25421 .840 2.16 -1.84

Calgary Flames

Skater GAP+/− AttxG HitBlkTOI
Forwards
91 Nazem Kadri 101 +1 40.26 0220:13
10 Jonathan Huberdeau 011 +1 40.22 0218:05
20 Blake Coleman 101 +1 60.22 3017:52
86 Joel Farabee 011 0 00.00 0217:15
47 Connor Zary 000 0 30.17 2015:09
29 Samuel Honzek 011 +2 70.27 1115:09
11 Mikael Backlund 101 +2 40.66 1014:46
27 Matt Coronato 011 +1 20.14 0114:32
17 Yegor Sharangovich 000 0 10.00 0014:22
16 Morgan Frost 101 +1 50.35 1113:46
43 Adam Klapka 101 +1 20.09 4209:55
94 Ryan Lomberg 000 +1 00.00 3008:37
Defense
52 MacKenzie Weegar 000 +1 30.03 4324:06
4 Rasmus Andersson 011 +2 10.03 0221:29
44 Joel Hanley 011 +1 10.01 0121:16
7 Kevin Bahl 000 +2 00.00 1320:34
94 Brayden Pachal 000 +1 10.00 2215:10
37 Yan Kuznetsov 011 +2 10.22 2113:56
Goalie SAGA SVSV% xGA GSAx
Dustin Wolf 43142 .977 3.18 +2.18

Skaters by time on ice. Goalie lines count shots with the goalie in net, from the NHL play-by-play.

Player ratings

What each player added to the result, in goals, from most to least. Hover a number for what it's made of.

Columbus Blue Jackets

Player Rating Points Shots On ice Pen FO Other GSAx TOI
86 Kirill Marchenko R +1.23 +0.75 +0.27 +0.25 0.00 0.00 -0.04 — 18:48
3 Charlie Coyle C +0.53 0.00 +0.16 +0.13 +0.15 +0.06 +0.03 — 16:24
9 Ivan Provorov D +0.51 0.00 +0.16 +0.30 0.00 0.00 +0.05 — 23:47
4 Cole Sillinger C +0.32 0.00 +0.28 +0.02 0.00 +0.01 0.00 — 16:40
8 Zach Werenski D +0.23 0.00 +0.13 -0.01 0.00 0.00 +0.11 — 27:28
38 Boone Jenner C +0.19 +0.70 0.00 -0.51 0.00 +0.06 -0.06 — 16:46
10 Dmitri Voronkov L +0.12 0.00 +0.28 +0.02 -0.15 -0.01 -0.02 — 15:56
91 Kent Johnson C +0.07 0.00 +0.11 -0.06 0.00 0.00 +0.03 — 14:39
23 Sean Monahan C +0.05 0.00 +0.11 -0.05 0.00 -0.02 0.00 — 13:11
21 Isac Lundeström C +0.03 0.00 +0.04 -0.03 0.00 +0.03 0.00 — 11:49
15 Dante Fabbro D -0.05 0.00 +0.01 -0.20 0.00 0.00 +0.13 — 23:00
27 Zachary Aston-Reese C -0.07 0.00 +0.01 -0.06 0.00 0.00 -0.02 — 10:47
78 Damon Severson D -0.18 0.00 +0.06 -0.22 0.00 0.00 -0.02 — 23:16
24 Mathieu Olivier R -0.18 0.00 +0.01 -0.17 0.00 0.00 -0.02 — 14:46
19 Adam Fantilli C -0.36 0.00 +0.26 -0.44 -0.15 -0.01 -0.02 — 17:55
37 Dysin Mayo D -0.39 0.00 +0.04 -0.43 0.00 0.00 0.00 — 7:33
2 Jake Christiansen D -0.42 0.00 0.00 -0.47 0.00 0.00 +0.05 — 11:09
11 Miles Wood L -0.53 0.00 +0.13 -0.64 0.00 0.00 -0.02 — 14:26
73 Jet Greaves G -1.84 0.00 — — 0.00 — — -1.84 55:40

Calgary Flames

Player Rating Points Shots On ice Pen FO Other GSAx TOI
32 Dustin Wolf G +2.18 0.00 — — 0.00 — — +2.18 59:48
16 Morgan Frost C +1.72 +0.75 +0.23 +0.58 +0.15 -0.04 +0.05 — 13:46
11 Mikael Backlund C +1.71 +0.75 +0.43 +0.52 0.00 +0.01 0.00 — 14:46
37 Yan Kuznetsov D +1.58 +0.70 +0.14 +0.72 0.00 0.00 +0.01 — 13:56
20 Blake Coleman L +1.34 +0.75 +0.14 +0.49 0.00 0.00 -0.04 — 17:52
10 Jonathan Huberdeau L +1.25 +0.70 +0.14 +0.33 0.00 0.00 +0.08 — 18:05
29 Samuel Honzek L +1.09 +0.55 +0.17 +0.32 0.00 0.00 +0.05 — 15:09
27 Matt Coronato R +1.01 +0.55 +0.09 +0.36 0.00 -0.02 +0.03 — 14:32
4 Rasmus Andersson D +0.84 +0.55 +0.02 +0.21 0.00 0.00 +0.06 — 21:29
43 Adam Klapka R +0.82 +0.75 +0.06 -0.08 0.00 -0.01 +0.10 — 9:55
86 Joel Farabee L +0.67 +0.70 0.00 -0.11 0.00 0.00 +0.08 — 17:15
44 Joel Hanley D +0.52 +0.70 0.00 -0.20 0.00 0.00 +0.01 — 21:16
52 MacKenzie Weegar D +0.51 0.00 +0.02 +0.36 0.00 0.00 +0.13 — 24:06
91 Nazem Kadri C +0.45 +0.75 +0.17 -0.54 0.00 -0.03 +0.10 — 20:13
7 Kevin Bahl D +0.16 0.00 0.00 -0.01 0.00 0.00 +0.17 — 20:34
70 Ryan Lomberg L +0.12 0.00 0.00 +0.12 0.00 0.00 0.00 — 8:37
94 Brayden Pachal D +0.05 0.00 0.00 -0.05 0.00 0.00 +0.10 — 15:10
47 Connor Zary C -0.16 0.00 +0.11 -0.25 0.00 0.00 -0.02 — 15:09
17 Yegor Sharangovich C -0.22 0.00 0.00 -0.19 0.00 -0.03 0.00 — 14:22

An expected-goals take on Dom Luszczyszyn's Game Score: goals and assists, the quality of a player's own shots, shot quality for and against while they were on the ice at 5v5, penalties, faceoffs and puck plays, all in goals; goalies by goals saved above expected. From the NHL play-by-play and shift charts.