| Final | 1st | 2nd | 3rd | T | SOG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 1 | 3 | 6 | 23 | |
| 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 30 |
No impact calculated for this game. Impacts are calculated for games in the next 7 days.
| 1st Period | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| 1:08 | Macklin Celebrini (8) Tyler Toffoli (4), John Klingberg (3) · wrist xG 0.13 | 1–0 ▶ | |
| 16:30 | Ryan Winterton (1) Ryan Lindgren (2), Shane Wright (4) · wrist xG 0.10 | 1–1 ▶ | |
| 18:42 | Ethan Cardwell (1) Alexander Wennberg (6), Jeff Skinner (3) · snap xG 0.16 | 2–1 ▶ | |
| 2nd Period | |||
| 11:21 | John Klingberg (2)PP Will Smith (8), Macklin Celebrini (12) · slap xG 0.05 | 3–1 ▶ | |
| 3rd Period | |||
| 1:02 | Will Smith (5) Mario Ferraro (3), Macklin Celebrini (13) · wrist xG 0.04 | 4–1 ▶ | |
| 3:24 | Ty Dellandrea (1)SH Collin Graf (3) · snap xG 0.58 | 5–1 ▶ | |
| 3:54 | Tyler Toffoli (5) Shakir Mukhamadullin (4) · wrist xG 0.15 | 6–1 ▶ | |
Score away–home after each goal; season totals in parentheses.
Expected goals (xG) rate every unblocked shot by how often shots like it go in, from where it was taken, the shot type, the strength and what happened just before it. How it works
| SJS | SEA | |
|---|---|---|
| 2.69 | Expected goals | 2.96 |
| 6 | Goals (no shootout) | 1 |
| 1.20 | Expected goals, 5 on 5 | 1.19 |
| 45 | Shot attempts | 70 |
| 33 | Unblocked attempts | 48 |
| 23 | Shots on goal | 30 |
What stood out as the game went on, from the play-by-play and the shifts. Time on the bench is counted in 5-on-5 play outside the penalty box; the note says the player sat, not why. Goals saved are against the shots' expected goals (xG).
| 2nd Period | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| 11:21 | SEA | Goalie | Goalie · Daccord −2.0 goals saved
3 goals on 0.97 xG, 12 shots on goal |
| 3rd Period | |||
| 3:24 | SEA | Goalie change | Goalie change · Murray in for Daccord
3:24 of the 3rd; Daccord had allowed 5 goals on 20 shots (2.06 xG) |
| 13:50 | SEA | xG swing | xG swing · Out-chanced SJS 1.19–0.03
In xG over 10 minutes, 4:00 to 14:00 of the 3rd; neither team scored |
xG comes from hockeystats.io's own model, a gradient-boosted tree model trained on every unblocked shot from the 2021-22 to 2025-26 regular seasons using the NHL's public play-by-play. Each shot's value is the share of similar shots that became goals. A team's xG is the sum over its shots; "deserve to win" asks how often the team would outscore its opponent if every shot went in at exactly that rate. Blocked shots count as attempts but have no xG (the NHL records where they were blocked, not where they were taken), so the map leaves them out.
| Skater | G | A | P | +/− | Att | xG | Hit | Blk | TOI | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Forwards | ||||||||||
| 21 | Alexander Wennberg | 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 0 | 0.00 | 0 | 3 | 20:36 |
| 10 | Ty Dellandrea | 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 3 | 0.70 | 2 | 1 | 18:58 |
| 71 | Macklin Celebrini | 1 | 2 | 3 | +2 | 2 | 0.23 | 0 | 2 | 18:34 |
| 96 | Philipp Kurashev | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 0.28 | 2 | 0 | 16:55 |
| 51 | Collin Graf | 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 2 | 0.36 | 1 | 3 | 16:27 |
| 2 | Will Smith | 1 | 1 | 2 | +2 | 4 | 0.26 | 0 | 0 | 14:43 |
| 23 | Barclay Goodrow | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0.01 | 0 | 0 | 14:41 |
| 81 | Adam Gaudette | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | 4 | 0.17 | 2 | 0 | 13:01 |
| 73 | Tyler Toffoli | 1 | 1 | 2 | +3 | 4 | 0.20 | 0 | 1 | 12:41 |
| 53 | Jeff Skinner | 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 4 | 0.04 | 1 | 0 | 10:30 |
| Defense | ||||||||||
| 38 | Mario Ferraro | 0 | 1 | 1 | +2 | 2 | 0.00 | 2 | 3 | 18:37 |
| 73 | Vincent Desharnais | 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 0 | 0.00 | 2 | 2 | 17:50 |
| 9 | Dmitry Orlov | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | 2 | 0.03 | 1 | 1 | 17:18 |
| 85 | Shakir Mukhamadullin | 0 | 1 | 1 | +2 | 3 | 0.00 | 0 | 1 | 16:35 |
| 6 | Sam Dickinson | 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 2 | 0.18 | 1 | 1 | 16:17 |
| 3 | John Klingberg | 1 | 1 | 2 | +2 | 4 | 0.06 | 1 | 0 | 16:14 |
| 27 | Timothy Liljegren | 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 1 | 0.00 | 1 | 2 | 15:49 |
| Goalie | SA | GA | SV | SV% | xGA | GSAx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yaroslav Askarov | 30 | 1 | 29 | .967 | 2.96 | +1.96 |
| Skater | G | A | P | +/− | Att | xG | Hit | Blk | TOI | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Forwards | ||||||||||
| 7 | Jordan Eberle | 0 | 0 | 0 | -3 | 7 | 0.28 | 1 | 0 | 21:17 |
| 10 | Matty Beniers | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2 | 7 | 0.27 | 0 | 1 | 21:15 |
| 9 | Chandler Stephenson | 0 | 0 | 0 | -3 | 4 | 0.08 | 0 | 0 | 17:44 |
| 27 | Mason Marchment | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.06 | 1 | 1 | 17:05 |
| 51 | Shane Wright | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 0.10 | 1 | 0 | 16:39 |
| 71 | Jaden Schwartz | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2 | 3 | 0.15 | 1 | 0 | 16:07 |
| 17 | Eeli Tolvanen | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | 6 | 0.16 | 2 | 0 | 15:55 |
| 27 | Berkly Catton | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | 2 | 0.26 | 0 | 1 | 14:53 |
| 84 | Kaapo Kakko | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | 3 | 0.04 | 0 | 0 | 13:00 |
| 24 | Tye Kartye | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0.28 | 4 | 1 | 11:50 |
| 26 | Ryan Winterton | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 0.34 | 0 | 0 | 11:37 |
| Defense | ||||||||||
| 29 | Vince Dunn | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2 | 9 | 0.11 | 1 | 1 | 22:47 |
| 62 | Brandon Montour | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2 | 8 | 0.42 | 0 | 0 | 21:28 |
| 6 | Adam Larsson | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | 1 | 0.00 | 2 | 2 | 17:52 |
| 55 | Ryan Lindgren | 0 | 1 | 1 | -2 | 5 | 0.06 | 0 | 0 | 16:51 |
| 4 | Jamie Oleksiak | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.00 | 2 | 1 | 15:57 |
| 28 | Josh Mahura | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 1 | 2 | 14:08 |
| Goalie | SA | GA | SV | SV% | xGA | GSAx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Joey Daccord | 20 | 5 | 15 | .750 | 2.06 | -2.94 |
| Matt Murray | 3 | 1 | 2 | .667 | 0.62 | -0.38 |
Skaters by time on ice. Goalie lines count shots with the goalie in net, from the NHL play-by-play.
What each player added to the result, in goals, from most to least. Hover a number for what it's made of.
| Player | Rating | Points | Shots | On ice | Pen | FO | Other | GSAx | TOI |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 71 Macklin Celebrini C | +2.21 | +1.85 | +0.15 | +0.15 | 0.00 | -0.04 | +0.10 | — | 18:34 |
| 73 Tyler Toffoli C | +2.10 | +1.45 | +0.13 | +0.63 | -0.15 | -0.01 | +0.05 | — | 12:41 |
| 30 Yaroslav Askarov G | +1.96 | 0.00 | — | — | 0.00 | — | — | +1.96 | 60:00 |
| 2 Will Smith C | +1.89 | +1.45 | +0.17 | +0.28 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | — | 14:43 |
| 3 John Klingberg D | +1.78 | +1.30 | +0.04 | +0.31 | +0.15 | 0.00 | -0.02 | — | 16:14 |
| 38 Mario Ferraro D | +1.45 | +0.70 | 0.00 | +0.59 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.15 | — | 18:37 |
| 51 Collin Graf R | +1.24 | +0.70 | +0.23 | +0.03 | +0.15 | 0.00 | +0.13 | — | 16:27 |
| 21 Alexander Wennberg C | +1.17 | +0.70 | 0.00 | +0.36 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.11 | — | 20:36 |
| 10 Ty Dellandrea C | +1.04 | +0.75 | +0.46 | -0.06 | -0.15 | -0.01 | +0.05 | — | 18:58 |
| 56 Ethan Cardwell R | +0.96 | +0.75 | +0.10 | +0.26 | -0.15 | 0.00 | 0.00 | — | 12:14 |
| 53 Jeff Skinner L | +0.86 | +0.55 | +0.03 | +0.42 | -0.15 | 0.00 | +0.02 | — | 10:30 |
| 85 Shakir Mukhamadullin D | +0.67 | +0.70 | 0.00 | +0.08 | -0.15 | 0.00 | +0.03 | — | 16:35 |
| 6 Sam Dickinson D | +0.60 | 0.00 | +0.12 | +0.43 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.05 | — | 16:17 |
| 5 Vincent Desharnais D | +0.52 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.42 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.10 | — | 17:50 |
| 96 Philipp Kurashev C | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.18 | -0.17 | 0.00 | -0.01 | 0.00 | — | 16:55 |
| 37 Timothy Liljegren D | -0.04 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -0.12 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.08 | — | 15:49 |
| 23 Barclay Goodrow C | -0.14 | 0.00 | +0.01 | -0.15 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | — | 14:41 |
| 81 Adam Gaudette R | -0.23 | 0.00 | +0.11 | -0.32 | 0.00 | +0.01 | -0.02 | — | 13:01 |
| 9 Dmitry Orlov D | -0.71 | 0.00 | +0.02 | -0.79 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.05 | — | 17:18 |
| Player | Rating | Points | Shots | On ice | Pen | FO | Other | GSAx | TOI |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Ryan Winterton C | +1.37 | +0.75 | +0.22 | +0.43 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -0.02 | — | 11:37 |
| 51 Shane Wright C | +1.09 | +0.55 | +0.06 | +0.33 | +0.15 | +0.01 | -0.02 | — | 16:39 |
| 12 Tye Kartye L | +0.65 | 0.00 | +0.18 | +0.45 | 0.00 | -0.01 | +0.03 | — | 11:50 |
| 27 Mason Marchment L | +0.33 | 0.00 | +0.04 | +0.24 | 0.00 | +0.02 | +0.03 | — | 17:05 |
| 55 Ryan Lindgren D | +0.33 | +0.70 | +0.04 | -0.22 | -0.15 | 0.00 | -0.04 | — | 16:51 |
| 62 Brandon Montour D | +0.23 | 0.00 | +0.27 | -0.02 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -0.02 | — | 21:28 |
| 38 Jani Nyman R | +0.18 | 0.00 | +0.22 | +0.12 | -0.15 | -0.01 | 0.00 | — | 9:27 |
| 28 Josh Mahura D | +0.06 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -0.04 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.10 | — | 14:08 |
| 10 Matty Beniers C | +0.05 | 0.00 | +0.18 | -0.70 | +0.45 | +0.07 | +0.05 | — | 21:15 |
| 29 Vince Dunn D | -0.03 | 0.00 | +0.07 | -0.14 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.05 | — | 22:47 |
| 84 Kaapo Kakko R | -0.08 | 0.00 | +0.03 | -0.09 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -0.02 | — | 13:00 |
| 77 Berkly Catton C | -0.08 | 0.00 | +0.17 | -0.30 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.05 | — | 14:53 |
| 24 Jamie Oleksiak D | -0.08 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -0.13 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.05 | — | 15:57 |
| 20 Eeli Tolvanen R | -0.13 | 0.00 | +0.11 | -0.22 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -0.02 | — | 15:55 |
| 9 Chandler Stephenson C | -0.24 | 0.00 | +0.05 | -0.45 | +0.15 | 0.00 | 0.00 | — | 17:44 |
| 17 Jaden Schwartz L | -0.29 | 0.00 | +0.10 | -0.39 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | — | 16:07 |
| 6 Adam Larsson D | -0.31 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -0.41 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.10 | — | 17:52 |
| 30 Matt Murray G | -0.38 | 0.00 | — | — | 0.00 | — | — | -0.38 | 16:36 |
| 7 Jordan Eberle R | -0.64 | 0.00 | +0.18 | -0.80 | 0.00 | -0.02 | 0.00 | — | 21:17 |
| 35 Joey Daccord G | -2.94 | 0.00 | — | — | 0.00 | — | — | -2.94 | 43:14 |
An expected-goals take on Dom Luszczyszyn's Game Score: goals and assists, the quality of a player's own shots, shot quality for and against while they were on the ice at 5v5, penalties, faceoffs and puck plays, all in goals; goalies by goals saved above expected. From the NHL play-by-play and shift charts.