| Final/OT | 1st | 2nd | 3rd | OT | T | SOG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 19 | |
| 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 28 |
No impact calculated for this game. Impacts are calculated for games in the next 7 days.
| 1st Period | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| 1:53 | Cody Glass (3) Unassisted · snap xG 0.05 | 0–1 ▶ | |
| 2:59 | Kirby Dach (4) Noah Dobson (8), Mike Matheson (5) · tip-in xG 0.04 | 1–1 ▶ | |
| 2nd Period | |||
| 8:05 | Ondrej Palat (1) Jack Hughes (7), Simon Nemec (8) · wrist xG 0.19 | 1–2 ▶ | |
| 3rd Period | |||
| 0:59 | Jake Evans (2) Josh Anderson (2), Noah Dobson (9) · wrist xG 0.02 | 2–2 ▶ | |
| 10:33 | Oliver Kapanen (5) Alex Newhook (5) · backhand xG 0.14 | 3–2 ▶ | |
| 18:53 | Timo Meier (4) Dawson Mercer (7), Jack Hughes (8) · wrist xG 0.14 | 3–3 ▶ | |
| Overtime | |||
| 1:33 | Jesper Bratt (5) Unassisted · backhand xG 0.30 | 3–4 ▶ | |
Score away–home after each goal; season totals in parentheses.
Expected goals (xG) rate every unblocked shot by how often shots like it go in, from where it was taken, the shot type, the strength and what happened just before it. How it works
| MTL | NJD | |
|---|---|---|
| 2.07 | Expected goals | 2.68 |
| 3 | Goals (no shootout) | 4 |
| 1.70 | Expected goals, 5 on 5 | 1.52 |
| 42 | Shot attempts | 60 |
| 28 | Unblocked attempts | 39 |
| 19 | Shots on goal | 28 |
What stood out as the game went on, from the play-by-play and the shifts. Time on the bench is counted in 5-on-5 play outside the penalty box; the note says the player sat, not why. Goals saved are against the shots' expected goals (xG).
| 2nd Period | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| 17:30 | NJD | No shift | No shift · Hamilton, 24:56 on the bench
No shift after 5:25 of the 2nd; 12 shifts (10:09) before that |
| 3rd Period | |||
| 17:38 | NJD | Pulled goalie | Pulled goalie · Pulled Markstrom, down 3–2
With 2:22 left; NJD scored at 18:53 of the 3rd (3–3) |
xG comes from hockeystats.io's own model, a gradient-boosted tree model trained on every unblocked shot from the 2021-22 to 2025-26 regular seasons using the NHL's public play-by-play. Each shot's value is the share of similar shots that became goals. A team's xG is the sum over its shots; "deserve to win" asks how often the team would outscore its opponent if every shot went in at exactly that rate. Blocked shots count as attempts but have no xG (the NHL records where they were blocked, not where they were taken), so the map leaves them out.
| Skater | G | A | P | +/− | Att | xG | Hit | Blk | TOI | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Forwards | ||||||||||
| 14 | Nick Suzuki | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | 3 | 0.10 | 0 | 0 | 21:01 |
| 20 | Juraj Slafkovský | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | 6 | 0.51 | 1 | 1 | 18:35 |
| 13 | Cole Caufield | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0.19 | 0 | 0 | 18:08 |
| 71 | Jake Evans | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0.02 | 0 | 2 | 18:01 |
| 17 | Josh Anderson | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0.36 | 2 | 2 | 15:56 |
| 15 | Alex Newhook | 0 | 1 | 1 | -1 | 2 | 0.04 | 2 | 0 | 15:17 |
| 90 | Joseph Veleno | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.06 | 2 | 1 | 12:44 |
| 91 | Oliver Kapanen | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 0.24 | 0 | 1 | 12:11 |
| 77 | Kirby Dach | 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 3 | 0.07 | 0 | 0 | 11:37 |
| 7 | Brendan Gallagher | 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 1 | 0.00 | 1 | 0 | 11:30 |
| 93 | Ivan Demidov | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | 2 | 0.06 | 0 | 2 | 10:27 |
| 76 | Zachary Bolduc | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 0.13 | 0 | 0 | 09:11 |
| Defense | ||||||||||
| 8 | Mike Matheson | 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 1 | 0.00 | 1 | 5 | 27:16 |
| 48 | Lane Hutson | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | 3 | 0.12 | 1 | 3 | 26:52 |
| 53 | Noah Dobson | 0 | 2 | 2 | +3 | 3 | 0.04 | 1 | 1 | 20:59 |
| 45 | Alexandre Carrier | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2 | 2 | 0.06 | 2 | 1 | 17:56 |
| 3 | Jayden Struble | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | 1 | 0.07 | 1 | 2 | 16:08 |
| 72 | Arber Xhekaj | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | 0 | 0.00 | 0 | 0 | 10:54 |
| Goalie | SA | GA | SV | SV% | xGA | GSAx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jakub Dobes | 28 | 4 | 24 | .857 | 2.68 | -1.32 |
| Skater | G | A | P | +/− | Att | xG | Hit | Blk | TOI | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Forwards | ||||||||||
| 86 | Jack Hughes | 0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 7 | 0.42 | 1 | 1 | 24:27 |
| 13 | Nico Hischier | 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 2 | 0.00 | 1 | 0 | 22:53 |
| 63 | Jesper Bratt | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 8 | 0.64 | 1 | 0 | 22:30 |
| 91 | Dawson Mercer | 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 3 | 0.14 | 1 | 2 | 20:51 |
| 28 | Timo Meier | 1 | 0 | 1 | +2 | 12 | 0.56 | 0 | 0 | 16:50 |
| 81 | Arseny Gritsyuk | 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 5 | 0.22 | 2 | 0 | 15:29 |
| 81 | Ondrej Palat | 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 3 | 0.28 | 4 | 2 | 15:24 |
| 12 | Cody Glass | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 0.13 | 0 | 0 | 13:30 |
| 11 | Stefan Noesen | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2 | 1 | 0.01 | 0 | 0 | 13:10 |
| 47 | Paul Cotter | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 3 | 0 | 09:06 |
| 83 | Juho Lammikko | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.00 | 0 | 1 | 07:49 |
| 41 | Luke Glendening | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0.23 | 0 | 0 | 07:04 |
| Defense | ||||||||||
| 43 | Luke Hughes | 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 6 | 0.00 | 0 | 1 | 28:56 |
| 5 | Brenden Dillon | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.00 | 2 | 0 | 20:51 |
| 71 | Simon Nemec | 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 1 | 0.01 | 0 | 1 | 19:44 |
| 71 | Jonas Siegenthaler | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.03 | 4 | 4 | 18:30 |
| 44 | Dennis Cholowski | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | 1 | 0.00 | 0 | 0 | 14:41 |
| 7 | Dougie Hamilton | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | 2 | 0.00 | 0 | 1 | 10:09 |
| Goalie | SA | GA | SV | SV% | xGA | GSAx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jacob Markstrom | 19 | 3 | 16 | .842 | 2.07 | -0.93 |
Skaters by time on ice. Goalie lines count shots with the goalie in net, from the NHL play-by-play.
What each player added to the result, in goals, from most to least. Hover a number for what it's made of.
| Player | Rating | Points | Shots | On ice | Pen | FO | Other | GSAx | TOI |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 53 Noah Dobson D | +1.68 | +1.25 | +0.03 | +0.33 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.07 | — | 20:59 |
| 8 Mike Matheson D | +1.36 | +0.55 | 0.00 | +0.58 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.23 | — | 27:16 |
| 71 Jake Evans C | +1.34 | +0.75 | +0.01 | +0.45 | 0.00 | +0.02 | +0.10 | — | 18:01 |
| 17 Josh Anderson R | +1.21 | +0.70 | +0.23 | +0.17 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.10 | — | 15:56 |
| 91 Oliver Kapanen C | +1.01 | +0.75 | +0.15 | +0.18 | -0.15 | +0.02 | +0.05 | — | 12:11 |
| 15 Alex Newhook C | +0.91 | +0.70 | +0.03 | +0.21 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -0.02 | — | 15:17 |
| 77 Kirby Dach C | +0.80 | +0.75 | +0.04 | +0.10 | -0.15 | +0.05 | 0.00 | — | 11:37 |
| 20 Juraj Slafkovský L | +0.40 | 0.00 | +0.33 | +0.05 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.03 | — | 18:35 |
| 48 Lane Hutson D | +0.33 | 0.00 | +0.08 | +0.01 | +0.15 | 0.00 | +0.09 | — | 26:52 |
| 90 Joseph Veleno C | +0.27 | 0.00 | +0.04 | +0.20 | 0.00 | -0.02 | +0.05 | — | 12:44 |
| 76 Zachary Bolduc R | +0.27 | 0.00 | +0.09 | +0.02 | +0.15 | +0.01 | 0.00 | — | 9:11 |
| 11 Brendan Gallagher R | +0.14 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.14 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | — | 11:30 |
| 13 Cole Caufield R | +0.01 | 0.00 | +0.13 | -0.09 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -0.02 | — | 18:08 |
| 47 Jayden Struble D | -0.01 | 0.00 | +0.04 | +0.16 | -0.30 | 0.00 | +0.08 | — | 16:08 |
| 45 Alexandre Carrier D | -0.06 | 0.00 | +0.04 | -0.17 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.07 | — | 17:56 |
| 93 Ivan Demidov R | -0.10 | 0.00 | +0.04 | -0.03 | -0.15 | 0.00 | +0.04 | — | 10:27 |
| 72 Arber Xhekaj D | -0.23 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -0.23 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | — | 10:54 |
| 14 Nick Suzuki C | -0.27 | 0.00 | +0.06 | -0.29 | 0.00 | -0.02 | -0.02 | — | 21:01 |
| 75 Jakub Dobes G | -1.32 | 0.00 | — | — | 0.00 | — | — | -1.32 | 61:29 |
| Player | Rating | Points | Shots | On ice | Pen | FO | Other | GSAx | TOI |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 86 Jack Hughes C | +1.51 | +1.25 | +0.27 | -0.12 | +0.15 | -0.07 | +0.03 | — | 24:27 |
| 18 Ondrej Palat L | +1.29 | +0.75 | +0.18 | +0.29 | 0.00 | -0.01 | +0.08 | — | 15:24 |
| 91 Dawson Mercer C | +1.05 | +0.70 | +0.09 | +0.02 | +0.15 | +0.01 | +0.08 | — | 20:51 |
| 28 Timo Meier R | +0.96 | +0.75 | +0.36 | +0.01 | -0.15 | +0.01 | -0.02 | — | 16:50 |
| 12 Cody Glass C | +0.91 | +0.75 | +0.08 | +0.08 | 0.00 | +0.02 | -0.02 | — | 13:30 |
| 63 Jesper Bratt L | +0.46 | +0.75 | +0.42 | -0.67 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -0.04 | — | 22:30 |
| 71 Jonas Siegenthaler D | +0.45 | 0.00 | +0.02 | +0.25 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.18 | — | 18:30 |
| 81 Arseny Gritsyuk R | +0.39 | 0.00 | +0.14 | +0.27 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -0.02 | — | 15:29 |
| 47 Paul Cotter L | +0.16 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.01 | +0.15 | 0.00 | 0.00 | — | 9:06 |
| 17 Simon Nemec D | +0.16 | +0.55 | +0.01 | -0.30 | -0.15 | 0.00 | +0.05 | — | 19:44 |
| 14 Luke Glendening C | +0.13 | 0.00 | +0.15 | +0.02 | 0.00 | -0.02 | -0.02 | — | 7:04 |
| 83 Juho Lammikko C | +0.09 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.05 | 0.00 | -0.01 | +0.05 | — | 7:49 |
| 5 Brenden Dillon D | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | — | 20:51 |
| 43 Luke Hughes D | -0.13 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -0.14 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.01 | — | 28:56 |
| 7 Dougie Hamilton D | -0.13 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -0.16 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.03 | — | 10:09 |
| 13 Nico Hischier C | -0.27 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -0.28 | 0.00 | +0.01 | 0.00 | — | 22:53 |
| 44 Dennis Cholowski D | -0.41 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -0.41 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | — | 14:41 |
| 11 Stefan Noesen R | -0.54 | 0.00 | +0.01 | -0.70 | +0.15 | 0.00 | 0.00 | — | 13:10 |
| 25 Jacob Markstrom G | -0.78 | 0.00 | — | — | +0.15 | — | — | -0.93 | 60:18 |
An expected-goals take on Dom Luszczyszyn's Game Score: goals and assists, the quality of a player's own shots, shot quality for and against while they were on the ice at 5v5, penalties, faceoffs and puck plays, all in goals; goalies by goals saved above expected. From the NHL play-by-play and shift charts.