| Final | 1st | 2nd | 3rd | T | SOG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 24 | |
| 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 26 |
No impact calculated for this game. Impacts are calculated for games in the next 7 days.
| 1st Period | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| 2:06 | Sam Bennett (3) Jeff Petry (4), Jesper Boqvist (1) · wrist xG 0.26 | 1–0 ▶ | |
| 9:23 | Anze Kopitar (1)PP Adrian Kempe (11), Quinton Byfield (10) · tip-in xG 0.11 | 1–1 ▶ | |
| 11:00 | Corey Perry (6) Mikey Anderson (2), Joel Edmundson (6) · wrist xG 0.12 | 1–2 ▶ | |
| 17:30 | Brad Marchand (8) Aaron Ekblad (3) · wrist xG 0.08 | 2–2 ▶ | |
| 2nd Period | |||
| 11:45 | Sam Reinhart (7) Carter Verhaeghe (5), Niko Mikkola (1) · backhand xG 0.14 | 3–2 ▶ | |
| 3rd Period | |||
| 8:41 | Anton Lundell (4)SH Eetu Luostarinen (4) · wrist xG 0.14 | 4–2 ▶ | |
| 12:36 | Brad Marchand (9) Niko Mikkola (2) · snap xG 0.14 | 5–2 ▶ | |
Score away–home after each goal; season totals in parentheses.
Expected goals (xG) rate every unblocked shot by how often shots like it go in, from where it was taken, the shot type, the strength and what happened just before it. How it works
| FLA | LAK | |
|---|---|---|
| 2.40 | Expected goals | 2.14 |
| 5 | Goals (no shootout) | 2 |
| 1.84 | Expected goals, 5 on 5 | 1.21 |
| 51 | Shot attempts | 51 |
| 34 | Unblocked attempts | 36 |
| 24 | Shots on goal | 26 |
What stood out as the game went on, from the play-by-play and the shifts. Time on the bench is counted in 5-on-5 play outside the penalty box; the note says the player sat, not why. Goals saved are against the shots' expected goals (xG).
| 1st Period | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| 12:20 | LAK | xG swing | xG swing · Out-chanced FLA 1.19–0.04
In xG over 10 minutes, 3:20 to 13:20 of the 1st; goals 2–0 |
| 3rd Period | |||
| 8:41 | LAK | Goalie | Goalie · Forsberg −2.1 goals saved
4 goals on 1.93 xG, 20 shots on goal |
| 10:50 | LAK | No shift | No shift · Malott, 12:59 on the bench
No shift from 16:01 of the 2nd to 13:46 of the 3rd; 10 shifts (6:54) before that |
xG comes from hockeystats.io's own model, a gradient-boosted tree model trained on every unblocked shot from the 2021-22 to 2025-26 regular seasons using the NHL's public play-by-play. Each shot's value is the share of similar shots that became goals. A team's xG is the sum over its shots; "deserve to win" asks how often the team would outscore its opponent if every shot went in at exactly that rate. Blocked shots count as attempts but have no xG (the NHL records where they were blocked, not where they were taken), so the map leaves them out.
| Skater | G | A | P | +/− | Att | xG | Hit | Blk | TOI | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Forwards | ||||||||||
| 13 | Sam Reinhart | 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 2 | 0.14 | 0 | 1 | 21:02 |
| 17 | Evan Rodrigues | 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 9 | 0.37 | 1 | 1 | 18:22 |
| 15 | Anton Lundell | 1 | 0 | 1 | +2 | 4 | 0.16 | 1 | 1 | 17:59 |
| 27 | Eetu Luostarinen | 0 | 1 | 1 | +2 | 4 | 0.16 | 1 | 1 | 16:28 |
| 9 | Sam Bennett | 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 5 | 0.50 | 4 | 0 | 16:19 |
| 11 | Mackie Samoskevich | 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 1 | 0.03 | 0 | 2 | 16:18 |
| 23 | Carter Verhaeghe | 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 6 | 0.55 | 2 | 1 | 15:51 |
| 63 | Brad Marchand | 2 | 0 | 2 | +1 | 5 | 0.23 | 1 | 1 | 15:08 |
| 70 | Jesper Boqvist | 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 3 | 0.10 | 2 | 0 | 12:41 |
| 79 | Cole Schwindt | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 1 | 2 | 10:06 |
| 18 | A.J. Greer | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 5 | 0 | 09:16 |
| 73 | Noah Gregor | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.02 | 0 | 0 | 07:24 |
| Defense | ||||||||||
| 42 | Gustav Forsling | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.00 | 1 | 0 | 24:02 |
| 5 | Aaron Ekblad | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 0.02 | 0 | 1 | 22:31 |
| 3 | Seth Jones | 0 | 0 | 0 | +3 | 2 | 0.05 | 1 | 2 | 21:01 |
| 77 | Niko Mikkola | 0 | 2 | 2 | +3 | 2 | 0.02 | 1 | 0 | 19:26 |
| 2 | Jeff Petry | 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 0 | 0.00 | 2 | 1 | 15:50 |
| 73 | Donovan Sebrango | 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 2 | 0.07 | 1 | 0 | 13:38 |
| Goalie | SA | GA | SV | SV% | xGA | GSAx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sergei Bobrovsky | 26 | 2 | 24 | .923 | 2.14 | +0.14 |
| Skater | G | A | P | +/− | Att | xG | Hit | Blk | TOI | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Forwards | ||||||||||
| 22 | Kevin Fiala | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | 4 | 0.25 | 0 | 1 | 19:28 |
| 55 | Quinton Byfield | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 0.13 | 0 | 0 | 19:27 |
| 90 | Corey Perry | 1 | 0 | 1 | -1 | 4 | 0.35 | 1 | 0 | 17:35 |
| 11 | Anze Kopitar | 1 | 0 | 1 | -1 | 3 | 0.50 | 0 | 0 | 16:38 |
| 9 | Adrian Kempe | 0 | 1 | 1 | -2 | 5 | 0.18 | 0 | 1 | 16:27 |
| 12 | Trevor Moore | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2 | 3 | 0.09 | 0 | 0 | 15:41 |
| 62 | Andrei Kuzmenko | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2 | 2 | 0.05 | 0 | 0 | 15:19 |
| 24 | Phillip Danault | 0 | 0 | 0 | -3 | 1 | 0.01 | 2 | 1 | 14:45 |
| 14 | Alex Laferriere | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | 2 | 0.15 | 2 | 0 | 14:07 |
| 40 | Joel Armia | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.02 | 0 | 0 | 13:13 |
| 15 | Alex Turcotte | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0.16 | 1 | 0 | 12:19 |
| 39 | Jeff Malott | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.00 | 3 | 1 | 09:19 |
| Defense | ||||||||||
| 2 | Brian Dumoulin | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2 | 3 | 0.09 | 0 | 3 | 20:01 |
| 8 | Drew Doughty | 0 | 0 | 0 | -3 | 5 | 0.05 | 0 | 2 | 19:01 |
| 5 | Cody Ceci | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2 | 2 | 0.00 | 2 | 2 | 18:29 |
| 92 | Brandt Clarke | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0.06 | 2 | 0 | 18:23 |
| 44 | Mikey Anderson | 0 | 1 | 1 | -1 | 3 | 0.01 | 0 | 2 | 18:12 |
| 6 | Joel Edmundson | 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 4 | 0.05 | 3 | 3 | 17:36 |
| Goalie | SA | GA | SV | SV% | xGA | GSAx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Anton Forsberg | 24 | 5 | 19 | .792 | 2.40 | -2.60 |
Skaters by time on ice. Goalie lines count shots with the goalie in net, from the NHL play-by-play.
What each player added to the result, in goals, from most to least. Hover a number for what it's made of.
| Player | Rating | Points | Shots | On ice | Pen | FO | Other | GSAx | TOI |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 63 Brad Marchand L | +2.06 | +1.50 | +0.15 | +0.53 | -0.15 | 0.00 | +0.03 | — | 15:08 |
| 77 Niko Mikkola D | +1.91 | +1.25 | +0.01 | +0.65 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | — | 19:26 |
| 2 Jeff Petry D | +1.75 | +0.70 | 0.00 | +1.02 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.03 | — | 15:50 |
| 23 Carter Verhaeghe C | +1.59 | +0.70 | +0.36 | +0.66 | -0.15 | -0.02 | +0.05 | — | 15:51 |
| 9 Sam Bennett C | +1.50 | +0.75 | +0.32 | +0.44 | 0.00 | -0.01 | 0.00 | — | 16:19 |
| 13 Sam Reinhart C | +1.25 | +0.75 | +0.09 | +0.37 | 0.00 | -0.01 | +0.05 | — | 21:02 |
| 15 Anton Lundell C | +1.18 | +0.75 | +0.10 | +0.26 | 0.00 | +0.02 | +0.05 | — | 17:59 |
| 6 Donovan Sebrango D | +1.04 | 0.00 | +0.04 | +1.02 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -0.02 | — | 13:38 |
| 27 Eetu Luostarinen C | +1.03 | +0.70 | +0.10 | +0.18 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.05 | — | 16:28 |
| 70 Jesper Boqvist C | +1.01 | +0.55 | +0.07 | +0.44 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -0.04 | — | 12:41 |
| 17 Evan Rodrigues C | +0.93 | 0.00 | +0.24 | +0.60 | 0.00 | +0.02 | +0.07 | — | 18:22 |
| 3 Seth Jones D | +0.52 | 0.00 | +0.03 | +0.43 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.06 | — | 21:01 |
| 11 Mackie Samoskevich R | +0.44 | 0.00 | +0.02 | +0.34 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.08 | — | 16:18 |
| 5 Aaron Ekblad D | +0.25 | +0.70 | +0.01 | -0.51 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.05 | — | 22:31 |
| 72 Sergei Bobrovsky G | +0.14 | 0.00 | — | — | 0.00 | — | — | +0.14 | 60:00 |
| 79 Cole Schwindt R | -0.05 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -0.15 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.10 | — | 10:06 |
| 18 Noah Gregor L | -0.09 | 0.00 | +0.01 | -0.10 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | — | 7:24 |
| 10 A.J. Greer L | -0.27 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -0.13 | -0.15 | +0.01 | 0.00 | — | 9:16 |
| 42 Gustav Forsling D | -0.33 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -0.31 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -0.02 | — | 24:02 |
| Player | Rating | Points | Shots | On ice | Pen | FO | Other | GSAx | TOI |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 Joel Edmundson D | +1.15 | +0.55 | +0.03 | +0.42 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.15 | — | 17:36 |
| 10 Corey Perry R | +1.07 | +0.75 | +0.22 | -0.07 | +0.15 | 0.00 | +0.02 | — | 17:35 |
| 55 Quinton Byfield R | +0.95 | +0.55 | +0.08 | +0.35 | 0.00 | +0.01 | -0.04 | — | 19:27 |
| 11 Anze Kopitar C | +0.92 | +0.75 | +0.32 | -0.18 | 0.00 | +0.02 | 0.00 | — | 16:38 |
| 9 Adrian Kempe R | +0.66 | +0.70 | +0.12 | -0.17 | 0.00 | -0.01 | +0.03 | — | 16:27 |
| 44 Mikey Anderson D | +0.64 | +0.70 | +0.01 | -0.47 | +0.30 | 0.00 | +0.10 | — | 18:12 |
| 92 Brandt Clarke D | +0.22 | 0.00 | +0.04 | +0.16 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.02 | — | 18:23 |
| 15 Alex Turcotte C | +0.20 | 0.00 | +0.10 | +0.10 | 0.00 | -0.01 | 0.00 | — | 12:19 |
| 22 Kevin Fiala L | +0.16 | 0.00 | +0.16 | -0.04 | 0.00 | +0.01 | +0.03 | — | 19:28 |
| 39 Jeff Malott L | +0.15 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.14 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.01 | — | 9:19 |
| 14 Alex Laferriere R | -0.02 | 0.00 | +0.10 | -0.13 | 0.00 | +0.01 | 0.00 | — | 14:07 |
| 40 Joel Armia R | -0.12 | 0.00 | +0.01 | +0.05 | -0.15 | 0.00 | -0.04 | — | 13:13 |
| 8 Drew Doughty D | -0.59 | 0.00 | +0.03 | -0.72 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.10 | — | 19:01 |
| 2 Brian Dumoulin D | -0.64 | 0.00 | +0.06 | -0.83 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.13 | — | 20:01 |
| 5 Cody Ceci D | -0.75 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -0.85 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.10 | — | 18:29 |
| 12 Trevor Moore L | -0.83 | 0.00 | +0.06 | -1.01 | +0.15 | -0.01 | -0.02 | — | 15:41 |
| 96 Andrei Kuzmenko L | -1.06 | 0.00 | +0.03 | -1.07 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -0.02 | — | 15:19 |
| 24 Phillip Danault C | -1.53 | 0.00 | +0.01 | -1.40 | -0.15 | -0.03 | +0.05 | — | 14:45 |
| 31 Anton Forsberg G | -2.60 | 0.00 | — | — | 0.00 | — | — | -2.60 | 60:00 |
An expected-goals take on Dom Luszczyszyn's Game Score: goals and assists, the quality of a player's own shots, shot quality for and against while they were on the ice at 5v5, penalties, faceoffs and puck plays, all in goals; goalies by goals saved above expected. From the NHL play-by-play and shift charts.