Friday, November 7, 2025
No impact calculated for this game. Impacts are calculated for games in the next 7 days.
Highlights
Shot quality
Expected goals (xG) rate every unblocked shot by how often shots like it go in, from where it was taken,
the shot type, the strength and what happened just before it. How it works
NYR 65%Deserve to win 35% DET
NYR DET
3.18 Expected goals 2.30
4 Goals (no shootout) 1
2.63 Expected goals, 5 on 5 1.22
61 Shot attempts 63
46 Unblocked attempts 43
26 Shots on goal 33
Shot map
NYR shoots ←Bigger circle: higher xG; filled: goal → DET shoots
Axel Sandin-Pellikka: snap, 51 ft, xG 0.01 (P1 1:13)
Michael Rasmussen: snap, 45 ft, xG 0.01 (P1 2:20)
Vladislav Gavrikov: tip-in, 18 ft, xG 0.07 (P1 3:05)
Jonny Brodzinski: snap, 11 ft, xG 0.16 (P1 3:34)
Vladislav Gavrikov: snap, 53 ft, xG 0.02 (P1 5:02)
Patrick Kane: snap, 31 ft, xG 0.12 (P1 5:40)
J.T. Compher: snap, 41 ft, xG 0.02 (P1 6:04)
Jonny Brodzinski: backhand, 21 ft, xG 0.03 (P1 6:25)
Conor Sheary: wrist, 9 ft, xG 0.05 (P1 6:26)
Noah Laba: wrist, 7 ft, xG 0.16 (P1 8:27)
Dylan Larkin: wrist, 9 ft, xG 0.14 (P1 8:37)
Dylan Larkin: wrist, 6 ft, xG 0.06 (P1 8:38)
Alex DeBrincat: slap, 38 ft, xG 0.11 (P1 8:55)
Travis Hamonic: snap, 66 ft, xG 0.01 (P1 9:24)
Ben Chiarot: slap, 47 ft, xG 0.01 (P1 10:26)
Jonny Brodzinski: wrist, 42 ft, xG 0.01 (P1 11:22)
Moritz Seider: wrist, 53 ft, xG 0.02 (P1 12:04)
Conor Sheary: tip-in, 12 ft, xG 0.07 (P1 14:07)
Artemi Panarin: wrist, 64 ft, xG 0.01 (P1 15:25)
Patrick Kane: snap, 38 ft, xG 0.03 (P1 16:17)
Alex DeBrincat: slap, 25 ft, xG 0.14 (P1 16:38)
Moritz Seider: wrist, 46 ft, xG 0.04 (P1 16:44)
Alex DeBrincat: slap, 33 ft, xG 0.09 (P1 16:52)
Braden Schneider: snap, 177 ft, xG 0.00 (P1 16:55)
Noah Laba: backhand, 12 ft, xG 0.06 (P1 17:32)
Axel Sandin-Pellikka: slap, 46 ft, xG 0.03 (P1 17:48)
Mason Appleton: tip-in, 21 ft, xG 0.05 (P1 18:18)
Vladislav Gavrikov: wrist, 51 ft, xG 0.01 (P1 18:53)
Taylor Raddysh: wrist, 30 ft, xG 0.05 (P2 1:31)
Braden Schneider: wrist, 57 ft, xG 0.01 (P2 1:42)
Mika Zibanejad: tip-in, 24 ft, xG 0.08 (P2 3:44)
Adam Fox: wrist, 59 ft, xG 0.03 (P2 4:34)
Alexis Lafrenière: snap, 35 ft, xG 0.02 (P2 4:45)
Noah Laba: wrist, 8 ft, xG 0.16 (P2 4:51)
Albert Johansson: snap, 29 ft, xG 0.09 (P2 6:26)
Axel Sandin-Pellikka: wrist, 34 ft, xG 0.02 (P2 6:40)
Mika Zibanejad: slap, 53 ft, xG 0.04 (P2 7:35)
Patrick Kane: snap, 51 ft, xG 0.03 (P2 9:33)
Simon Edvinsson: slap, 59 ft, xG 0.02 (P2 9:44)
Simon Edvinsson: wrist, 69 ft, xG 0.01 (P2 10:29)
Artemi Panarin: wrist, 34 ft, xG 0.07 (P2 10:47)
J.T. Compher: wrist, 21 ft, xG 0.08 (P2 11:02)
J.T. Miller: snap, 42 ft, xG 0.04 (P2 11:15)
Patrick Kane: snap, 34 ft, xG 0.11 (P2 11:24)
Patrick Kane: wrist, 34 ft, xG 0.05 (P2 11:31)
Lucas Raymond: wrist, 24 ft, xG 0.13 (P2 12:19)
Conor Sheary: wrist, 161 ft, xG 0.00 (P2 12:22)
Elmer Soderblom: slap, 47 ft, xG 0.02 (P2 13:24)
J.T. Miller: wrist, 9 ft, xG 0.15 (P2 13:47)
Will Cuylle: snap, 15 ft, xG 0.22 (P2 14:09)
Mika Zibanejad: snap, 43 ft, xG 0.01 (P2 14:28)
Adam Fox: tip-in, 18 ft, xG 0.08 (P2 15:16)
Taylor Raddysh: backhand, 6 ft, xG 0.10 (P2 15:17)
Adam Fox: wrist, 8 ft, xG 0.05 (P2 15:18)
Lucas Raymond: wrist, 22 ft, xG 0.08 (P2 15:49)
Jaroslav Chmelar: tip-in, 8 ft, xG 0.04 (P2 16:26)
Andrew Copp: wrist, 8 ft, xG 0.09 (P2 17:07)
Moritz Seider: wrist, 55 ft, xG 0.01 (P2 17:14)
Simon Edvinsson: wrist, 60 ft, xG 0.02 (P2 17:22)
Will Cuylle: wrist, 21 ft, xG 0.04 (P2 18:13)
Artemi Panarin: wrist, 48 ft, xG 0.03 (P2 19:45)
Artemi Panarin: slap, 29 ft, xG 0.09 (P2 19:59)
J.T. Compher: snap, 30 ft, xG 0.18 (P3 0:36)
Jonny Brodzinski: wrist, 60 ft, xG 0.01 (P3 1:38)
Conor Sheary: deflected, 10 ft, xG 0.10 (P3 1:40)
Dylan Larkin: wrist, 50 ft, xG 0.01 (P3 2:48)
Elmer Soderblom: snap, 43 ft, xG 0.01 (P3 3:17)
Alex DeBrincat: snap, 56 ft, xG 0.01 (P3 4:28)
Jonny Brodzinski: tip-in, 25 ft, xG 0.06 (P3 4:51)
Emmitt Finnie: snap, 62 ft, xG 0.01 (P3 5:35)
Sam Carrick: tip-in, 24 ft, xG 0.04 (P3 6:59)
Noah Laba: wrist, 41 ft, xG 0.05 (P3 7:45)
Patrick Kane: snap, 33 ft, xG 0.10 (P3 8:16)
Dylan Larkin: deflected, 7 ft, xG 0.11 (P3 8:35)
Ben Chiarot: wrist, 48 ft, xG 0.01 (P3 10:50)
Mika Zibanejad: wrist, 41 ft, xG 0.01 (P3 11:48)
Taylor Raddysh: wrist, 29 ft, xG 0.11 (P3 11:56)
Noah Laba: backhand, 9 ft, xG 0.16 (P3 13:09)
J.T. Compher: wrist, 43 ft, xG 0.01 (P3 14:44)
James van Riemsdyk: backhand, 7 ft, xG 0.05 (P3 16:18)
Moritz Seider: wrist, 62 ft, xG 0.01 (P3 17:46)
Michael Rasmussen: backhand, 18 ft, xG 0.02 (P3 18:40)
Sam Carrick: wrist, 9 ft, xG 0.17 (P3 19:13)
Conor Sheary: wrist, 58 ft, xG 0.02 (P3 19:44)
Will Cuylle: GOAL, wrist, 35 ft, xG 0.07 (P1 6:46)
J.T. Compher: GOAL, wrist, 13 ft, xG 0.14 (P1 11:06)
Noah Laba: GOAL, bat, 5 ft, xG 0.13 (P2 4:52)
Artemi Panarin: GOAL, wrist, 16 ft, xG 0.09 (P3 7:29)
Alexis Lafrenière: GOAL, wrist, 9 ft, xG 0.21 (P3 8:27)
About these numbers
xG comes from hockeystats.io's own model, a gradient-boosted tree model trained on every unblocked shot
from the 2021-22 to 2025-26 regular seasons using the NHL's public play-by-play. Each shot's value is the
share of similar shots that became goals. A team's xG is the sum over its shots; "deserve to win" asks how
often the team would outscore its opponent if every shot went in at exactly that rate. Blocked shots count
as attempts but have no xG (the NHL records where they were blocked, not where they were taken), so the map
leaves them out.
All columns
Box score
New York Rangers
Detroit Red Wings
Goalie
SA GA
SV SV%
xGA
GSAx
Cam Talbot
26 4 22
.846
3.18
-0.82
Skaters by time on ice. Goalie lines count shots with the goalie in net, from the NHL play-by-play.
Player ratings
What each player added to the result, in goals, from most to least. Hover a number for what it's made of.
New York Rangers
Player
Rating
Points
Shots
On ice
Pen
FO
Other
GSAx
TOI
10 Artemi Panarin L
+3.22
+1.85
+0.19
+1.20
0.00
0.00
-0.02
—
18:31
43 Conor Sheary L
+2.68
+0.70
+0.16
+1.32
+0.45
0.00
+0.05
—
16:08
13 Alexis Lafrenière L
+2.46
+1.45
+0.15
+0.82
0.00
0.00
+0.04
—
16:35
42 Noah Laba C
+2.36
+0.75
+0.47
+1.06
0.00
-0.01
+0.10
—
15:57
93 Mika Zibanejad C
+1.90
+1.40
+0.09
+0.40
0.00
-0.01
+0.02
—
19:23
14 Taylor Raddysh R
+1.32
+0.55
+0.17
+0.51
0.00
-0.01
+0.10
—
15:39
32 Jonathan Quick G
+1.30
0.00
—
—
0.00
—
—
+1.30
59:29
23 Adam Fox D
+0.98
0.00
+0.10
+1.04
-0.15
0.00
-0.02
—
24:39
50 Will Cuylle L
+0.94
+0.75
+0.22
-0.23
0.00
-0.01
+0.22
—
17:47
24 Carson Soucy D
+0.71
0.00
0.00
+0.61
0.00
0.00
+0.10
—
17:52
29 Matthew Robertson D
+0.68
0.00
0.00
+0.58
0.00
0.00
+0.10
—
14:51
17 Will Borgen D
+0.68
0.00
0.00
+0.80
-0.15
0.00
+0.03
—
18:13
22 Jonny Brodzinski C
+0.61
0.00
+0.18
+0.43
0.00
+0.01
0.00
—
11:28
8 J.T. Miller C
+0.48
0.00
+0.12
+0.31
0.00
+0.05
0.00
—
19:11
39 Sam Carrick C
+0.42
0.00
+0.14
+0.23
0.00
+0.05
0.00
—
10:48
4 Braden Schneider D
+0.18
0.00
+0.01
-0.03
0.00
0.00
+0.20
—
18:37
44 Vladislav Gavrikov D
+0.13
0.00
+0.06
+0.14
-0.15
0.00
+0.08
—
22:13
71 Juuso Parssinen C
+0.12
0.00
0.00
+0.12
0.00
0.00
0.00
—
8:12
49 Jaroslav Chmelar R
-0.03
0.00
+0.03
-0.04
0.00
0.00
-0.02
—
6:27
Detroit Red Wings
Player
Rating
Points
Shots
On ice
Pen
FO
Other
GSAx
TOI
71 Dylan Larkin C
+0.84
0.00
+0.22
+0.35
+0.15
+0.07
+0.05
—
19:13
23 Lucas Raymond L
+0.59
0.00
+0.13
+0.35
+0.15
0.00
-0.04
—
17:19
37 J.T. Compher L
+0.47
+0.75
+0.28
-0.67
+0.15
-0.04
0.00
—
15:44
58 Emmitt Finnie C
+0.14
0.00
0.00
+0.07
0.00
-0.01
+0.08
—
15:19
21 James van Riemsdyk L
+0.12
0.00
+0.04
+0.03
0.00
0.00
+0.05
—
13:16
85 Elmer Soderblom L
-0.06
0.00
+0.02
-0.07
0.00
0.00
-0.02
—
10:21
77 Simon Edvinsson D
-0.10
0.00
+0.03
-0.23
0.00
0.00
+0.10
—
22:11
53 Moritz Seider D
-0.11
0.00
+0.05
-0.12
0.00
0.00
-0.04
—
25:24
18 Andrew Copp C
-0.18
+0.55
+0.06
-0.65
-0.15
+0.01
0.00
—
14:46
22 Mason Appleton C
-0.52
+0.70
+0.03
-1.28
0.00
0.00
+0.03
—
14:19
93 Alex DeBrincat R
-0.55
0.00
+0.22
-0.72
0.00
-0.01
-0.04
—
16:50
27 Michael Rasmussen C
-0.61
0.00
+0.02
-0.70
0.00
-0.03
+0.10
—
10:09
88 Patrick Kane R
-0.67
0.00
+0.29
-0.96
0.00
0.00
0.00
—
17:41
44 Axel Sandin-Pellikka D
-0.76
0.00
+0.04
-0.70
-0.15
0.00
+0.05
—
19:21
39 Cam Talbot G
-0.82
0.00
—
—
0.00
—
—
-0.82
59:59
52 Travis Hamonic D
-0.86
0.00
+0.01
-0.86
0.00
0.00
0.00
—
12:49
92 Marco Kasper C
-0.92
0.00
0.00
-0.84
0.00
-0.06
-0.02
—
15:27
20 Albert Johansson D
-1.09
0.00
+0.06
-1.05
-0.15
0.00
+0.06
—
16:38
8 Ben Chiarot D
-1.15
0.00
+0.01
-1.24
0.00
0.00
+0.08
—
18:56
An expected-goals take on Dom Luszczyszyn's Game Score: goals and assists, the quality of a
player's own shots, shot quality for and against while they were on the ice at 5v5, penalties, faceoffs and puck plays,
all in goals; goalies by goals saved above expected. From the NHL play-by-play and shift charts.