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Minnesota WildMIN 5–2 Final New York IslandersNYI

Friday, November 7, 2025

Final 1st2nd3rd T SOG
Minnesota WildMIN 221 5 26
New York IslandersNYI 020 2 27

No impact calculated for this game. Impacts are calculated for games in the next 7 days.

Highlights

Scoring

1st Period
7:24 MIN Vinnie Hinostroza (2) Jonas Brodin (3), Marcus Johansson (8) · tip-in xG 0.09 1–0 ▶
12:32 MIN Danila Yurov (2) Yakov Trenin (3), Marcus Foligno (1) · snap xG 0.08 2–0 ▶
2nd Period
4:38 NYI Emil Heineman (6) Bo Horvat (7), Mathew Barzal (8) · snap xG 0.18 2–1 ▶
5:56 MIN Brock Faber (3) Unassisted · snap xG 0.08 3–1 ▶
9:05 MIN Marco Rossi (4) Kirill Kaprizov (12), Daemon Hunt (1) · snap xG 0.21 4–1 ▶
18:51 NYI Jean-Gabriel Pageau (4) Anders Lee (8), Ryan Pulock (6) · wrist xG 0.09 4–2 ▶
3rd Period
8:33 MIN Kirill Kaprizov (9) Mats Zuccarello (1) · slap xG 0.11 5–2 ▶

Score away–home after each goal; season totals in parentheses.

Shot quality

Expected goals (xG) rate every unblocked shot by how often shots like it go in, from where it was taken, the shot type, the strength and what happened just before it. How it works

MIN 66%Deserve to win34% NYI
MINNYI
3.07Expected goals2.15
5Goals (no shootout)2
2.53Expected goals, 5 on 51.71
56Shot attempts46
40Unblocked attempts34
26Shots on goal27

Game notes

What stood out as the game went on, from the play-by-play and the shifts. Time on the bench is counted in 5-on-5 play outside the penalty box; the note says the player sat, not why. Goals saved are against the shots' expected goals (xG).

2nd Period
9:05 NYI Goalie Goalie · Rittich −2.7 goals saved
4 goals on 1.25 xG, 14 shots on goal

Shot map

MIN shoots ←Bigger circle: higher xG; filled: goal→ NYI shoots
Ryan Hartman: snap, 33 ft, xG 0.18 (P1 1:39) Ryan Hartman: backhand, 10 ft, xG 0.02 (P1 1:40) Kyle Palmieri: slap, 53 ft, xG 0.01 (P1 2:24) Tony DeAngelo: backhand, 23 ft, xG 0.01 (P1 2:34) Matthew Schaefer: snap, 33 ft, xG 0.08 (P1 3:20) Kyle Palmieri: slap, 35 ft, xG 0.10 (P1 3:48) Bo Horvat: slap, 47 ft, xG 0.05 (P1 5:06) Adam Pelech: wrist, 63 ft, xG 0.01 (P1 5:34) Marcus Foligno: backhand, 90 ft, xG 0.00 (P1 8:33) Yakov Trenin: tip-in, 26 ft, xG 0.05 (P1 9:01) Brock Faber: snap, 32 ft, xG 0.03 (P1 9:16) Joel Eriksson Ek: snap, 12 ft, xG 0.08 (P1 12:06) Anthony Duclair: wrist, 36 ft, xG 0.03 (P1 12:40) Casey Cizikas: snap, 10 ft, xG 0.04 (P1 12:41) Emil Heineman: poke, 33 ft, xG 0.01 (P1 13:33) Jared Spurgeon: slap, 47 ft, xG 0.06 (P1 15:43) Brock Faber: snap, 41 ft, xG 0.07 (P1 17:47) Marco Rossi: tip-in, 20 ft, xG 0.05 (P1 18:10) Jean-Gabriel Pageau: deflected, 14 ft, xG 0.07 (P1 18:42) Bo Horvat: snap, 46 ft, xG 0.02 (P1 19:08) Simon Holmstrom: snap, 27 ft, xG 0.04 (P2 0:24) Jared Spurgeon: snap, 40 ft, xG 0.01 (P2 2:29) Scott Mayfield: snap, 52 ft, xG 0.01 (P2 2:49) Brock Faber: snap, 59 ft, xG 0.03 (P2 4:02) Adam Pelech: snap, 45 ft, xG 0.01 (P2 4:24) Emil Heineman: backhand, 14 ft, xG 0.27 (P2 4:27) Kyle Palmieri: snap, 28 ft, xG 0.02 (P2 4:59) Vladimir Tarasenko: snap, 21 ft, xG 0.16 (P2 5:15) Vladimir Tarasenko: tip-in, 84 ft, xG 0.00 (P2 5:24) Matt Boldy: wrap-around, 7 ft, xG 0.03 (P2 5:53) Bo Horvat: snap, 33 ft, xG 0.10 (P2 6:59) Tony DeAngelo: wrist, 51 ft, xG 0.03 (P2 7:15) Anders Lee: deflected, 8 ft, xG 0.13 (P2 7:26) Joel Eriksson Ek: snap, 58 ft, xG 0.01 (P2 7:33) Jean-Gabriel Pageau: deflected, 17 ft, xG 0.05 (P2 11:58) Marcus Johansson: snap, 60 ft, xG 0.01 (P2 12:25) Joel Eriksson Ek: snap, 29 ft, xG 0.16 (P2 13:43) Kirill Kaprizov: snap, 21 ft, xG 0.24 (P2 13:46) Matt Boldy: slap, 38 ft, xG 0.10 (P2 14:34) Mats Zuccarello: snap, 48 ft, xG 0.04 (P2 14:50) Jonas Brodin: snap, 64 ft, xG 0.02 (P2 15:56) Zeev Buium: snap, 26 ft, xG 0.24 (P2 16:10) Danila Yurov: wrist, 8 ft, xG 0.04 (P2 16:11) Kyle Palmieri: wrist, 39 ft, xG 0.04 (P2 17:16) Calum Ritchie: wrist, 41 ft, xG 0.04 (P2 18:09) Matthew Schaefer: wrist, 46 ft, xG 0.04 (P2 19:33) Bo Horvat: wrist, 9 ft, xG 0.16 (P2 19:38) Yakov Trenin: snap, 44 ft, xG 0.03 (P3 2:45) Adam Pelech: wrist, 41 ft, xG 0.04 (P3 3:34) Daemon Hunt: snap, 25 ft, xG 0.08 (P3 5:13) Brock Faber: snap, 59 ft, xG 0.03 (P3 5:29) Anders Lee: wrist, 46 ft, xG 0.03 (P3 6:52) Emil Heineman: deflected, 19 ft, xG 0.07 (P3 7:47) Jonas Brodin: slap, 46 ft, xG 0.05 (P3 12:39) Mats Zuccarello: wrist, 10 ft, xG 0.17 (P3 13:05) Kirill Kaprizov: backhand, 9 ft, xG 0.04 (P3 13:06) Emil Heineman: snap, 36 ft, xG 0.03 (P3 14:08) Vladimir Tarasenko: snap, 44 ft, xG 0.03 (P3 14:31) Vladimir Tarasenko: wrist, 11 ft, xG 0.22 (P3 17:38) Vladimir Tarasenko: backhand, 7 ft, xG 0.05 (P3 17:39) Ryan Hartman: deflected, 8 ft, xG 0.13 (P3 17:48) Zeev Buium: snap, 61 ft, xG 0.03 (P3 18:25) Yakov Trenin: snap, 29 ft, xG 0.03 (P3 18:37) Matthew Schaefer: snap, 36 ft, xG 0.05 (P3 18:54) Calum Ritchie: snap, 7 ft, xG 0.20 (P3 19:18) Ryan Pulock: snap, 49 ft, xG 0.01 (P3 19:25) Casey Cizikas: deflected, 14 ft, xG 0.07 (P3 19:53) Vinnie Hinostroza: GOAL, tip-in, 7 ft, xG 0.09 (P1 7:24) Danila Yurov: GOAL, snap, 8 ft, xG 0.08 (P1 12:32) Emil Heineman: GOAL, snap, 12 ft, xG 0.18 (P2 4:38) Brock Faber: GOAL, snap, 35 ft, xG 0.08 (P2 5:56) Marco Rossi: GOAL, snap, 19 ft, xG 0.21 (P2 9:05) Jean-Gabriel Pageau: GOAL, wrist, 9 ft, xG 0.09 (P2 18:51) Kirill Kaprizov: GOAL, slap, 35 ft, xG 0.11 (P3 8:33)
About these numbers

xG comes from hockeystats.io's own model, a gradient-boosted tree model trained on every unblocked shot from the 2021-22 to 2025-26 regular seasons using the NHL's public play-by-play. Each shot's value is the share of similar shots that became goals. A team's xG is the sum over its shots; "deserve to win" asks how often the team would outscore its opponent if every shot went in at exactly that rate. Blocked shots count as attempts but have no xG (the NHL records where they were blocked, not where they were taken), so the map leaves them out.

Box score

Minnesota Wild

Skater GAP+/− AttxG HitBlkTOI
Forwards
97 Kirill Kaprizov 112 0 40.38 1016:50
23 Marco Rossi 101 0 20.26 1016:30
12 Matt Boldy 000 +2 20.13 0016:29
36 Mats Zuccarello 011 -1 20.20 0016:14
38 Ryan Hartman 000 0 50.33 1115:36
14 Joel Eriksson Ek 000 +2 50.25 2015:34
91 Vladimir Tarasenko 000 0 60.46 0114:48
90 Marcus Johansson 011 +2 20.01 0014:42
18 Vinnie Hinostroza 101 +1 10.09 1013:34
17 Marcus Foligno 011 +1 10.00 2013:13
13 Yakov Trenin 011 +1 30.11 4013:12
22 Danila Yurov 101 +1 30.12 0011:20
Defense
46 Jared Spurgeon 000 +1 30.06 2321:23
55 Jake Middleton 000 +1 00.00 1221:11
7 Brock Faber 101 +1 80.24 0020:25
25 Jonas Brodin 011 0 30.06 0419:53
8 Zeev Buium 000 +1 30.26 0018:34
48 Daemon Hunt 011 +2 30.08 1016:32
Goalie SAGA SVSV% xGA GSAx
Jesper Wallstedt 27225 .926 2.15 +0.15

New York Islanders

Skater GAP+/− AttxG HitBlkTOI
Forwards
13 Mathew Barzal 011 +1 10.00 0020:46
14 Bo Horvat 011 +1 40.33 0020:15
21 Kyle Palmieri 000 -2 40.18 0016:55
72 Anders Lee 011 -1 30.16 4015:47
51 Emil Heineman 101 +1 60.56 4015:36
44 Jean-Gabriel Pageau 101 -1 30.21 1115:34
92 Simon Holmstrom 000 -1 10.04 1015:15
92 Jonathan Drouin 000 -2 00.00 0014:52
64 Calum Ritchie 000 0 20.24 1312:42
11 Anthony Duclair 000 -2 30.03 0011:50
53 Casey Cizikas 000 -2 20.11 0311:11
32 Kyle MacLean 000 -1 20.00 2010:50
Defense
48 Matthew Schaefer 000 -1 30.17 0123:59
6 Ryan Pulock 011 0 30.01 0220:56
3 Adam Pelech 000 +2 40.06 0018:58
24 Scott Mayfield 000 -2 20.01 2218:44
77 Tony DeAngelo 000 -2 20.04 0217:12
28 Alexander Romanov 000 -3 10.00 0116:38
Goalie SAGA SVSV% xGA GSAx
David Rittich 26521 .808 3.07 -1.93

Skaters by time on ice. Goalie lines count shots with the goalie in net, from the NHL play-by-play.

Player ratings

What each player added to the result, in goals, from most to least. Hover a number for what it's made of.

Minnesota Wild

Player Rating Points Shots On ice Pen FO Other GSAx TOI
97 Kirill Kaprizov L +2.26 +1.45 +0.25 +0.41 +0.15 0.00 0.00 — 16:50
48 Daemon Hunt D +1.93 +0.55 +0.05 +1.33 0.00 0.00 0.00 — 16:32
18 Vinnie Hinostroza C +1.71 +0.75 +0.06 +0.86 0.00 +0.02 +0.02 — 13:34
7 Brock Faber D +1.51 +0.75 +0.15 +0.61 0.00 0.00 0.00 — 20:25
22 Danila Yurov R +1.10 +0.75 +0.08 +0.32 0.00 -0.03 -0.02 — 11:20
23 Marco Rossi C +1.08 +0.75 +0.17 +0.19 0.00 -0.01 -0.02 — 16:30
38 Ryan Hartman R +1.07 0.00 +0.22 +0.82 0.00 0.00 +0.03 — 15:36
8 Zeev Buium D +1.05 0.00 +0.17 +0.88 0.00 0.00 0.00 — 18:34
17 Marcus Foligno L +0.97 +0.55 0.00 +0.42 0.00 0.00 0.00 — 13:13
25 Jonas Brodin D +0.95 +0.70 +0.04 +0.05 0.00 0.00 +0.16 — 19:53
13 Yakov Trenin C +0.90 +0.70 +0.07 +0.30 -0.15 0.00 -0.02 — 13:12
91 Vladimir Tarasenko R +0.90 0.00 +0.30 +0.55 0.00 0.00 +0.05 — 14:48
36 Mats Zuccarello R +0.80 +0.70 +0.13 -0.02 0.00 +0.01 -0.02 — 16:14
90 Marcus Johansson L +0.53 +0.55 +0.01 -0.01 0.00 0.00 -0.02 — 14:42
12 Matt Boldy L +0.27 0.00 +0.08 +0.20 0.00 0.00 -0.02 — 16:29
46 Jared Spurgeon D +0.21 0.00 +0.04 0.00 0.00 0.00 +0.17 — 21:23
14 Joel Eriksson Ek C +0.19 0.00 +0.16 +0.07 0.00 -0.05 0.00 — 15:34
30 Jesper Wallstedt G +0.15 0.00 — — 0.00 — — +0.15 60:00
5 Jake Middleton D -0.26 0.00 0.00 -0.21 -0.15 0.00 +0.10 — 21:11

New York Islanders

Player Rating Points Shots On ice Pen FO Other GSAx TOI
51 Emil Heineman L +1.95 +0.75 +0.36 +0.84 0.00 0.00 0.00 — 15:36
14 Bo Horvat C +1.91 +0.70 +0.21 +0.94 0.00 +0.05 0.00 — 20:15
3 Adam Pelech D +1.12 0.00 +0.04 +1.29 -0.15 0.00 -0.06 — 18:58
6 Ryan Pulock D +1.03 +0.55 +0.01 +0.39 0.00 0.00 +0.08 — 20:56
13 Mathew Barzal C +1.02 +0.55 0.00 +0.49 0.00 0.00 -0.02 — 20:46
44 Jean-Gabriel Pageau C +0.21 +0.75 +0.13 -0.79 0.00 +0.06 +0.05 — 15:34
27 Anders Lee L +0.15 +0.70 +0.11 -0.64 0.00 +0.01 -0.02 — 15:47
48 Matthew Schaefer D -0.09 0.00 +0.11 -0.34 +0.15 0.00 -0.01 — 23:59
10 Simon Holmstrom R -0.20 0.00 +0.02 -0.22 0.00 0.00 0.00 — 15:15
64 Calum Ritchie C -0.23 0.00 +0.16 -0.49 0.00 -0.03 +0.13 — 12:42
11 Anthony Duclair L -0.54 0.00 +0.02 -0.73 +0.15 0.00 +0.02 — 11:50
32 Kyle MacLean C -0.55 0.00 0.00 -0.55 0.00 0.00 0.00 — 10:50
21 Kyle Palmieri C -0.76 0.00 +0.11 -0.81 0.00 0.00 -0.06 — 16:55
24 Scott Mayfield D -0.81 0.00 0.00 -0.92 0.00 0.00 +0.10 — 18:44
53 Casey Cizikas C -0.82 0.00 +0.07 -1.03 0.00 +0.01 +0.13 — 11:11
29 Jonathan Drouin L -1.14 0.00 0.00 -1.08 0.00 -0.04 -0.02 — 14:52
28 Alexander Romanov D -1.52 0.00 0.00 -1.55 0.00 0.00 +0.03 — 16:38
77 Tony DeAngelo D -1.53 0.00 +0.03 -1.58 0.00 0.00 +0.02 — 17:12
33 David Rittich G -1.93 0.00 — — 0.00 — — -1.93 60:00

An expected-goals take on Dom Luszczyszyn's Game Score: goals and assists, the quality of a player's own shots, shot quality for and against while they were on the ice at 5v5, penalties, faceoffs and puck plays, all in goals; goalies by goals saved above expected. From the NHL play-by-play and shift charts.