| Final | 1st | 2nd | 3rd | T | SOG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 27 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 33 |
No impact calculated for this game. Impacts are calculated for games in the next 7 days.
| 1st Period | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| 12:32 | Tyler Bertuzzi (7)PP Connor Bedard (12), Artyom Levshunov (7) · tip-in xG 0.11 | 1–0 ▶ | |
| 2nd Period | |||
| No scoring | |||
| 3rd Period | |||
| 1:11 | Tyler Bertuzzi (8) Connor Bedard (13), Andre Burakovsky (6) · snap xG 0.08 | 2–0 ▶ | |
| 7:56 | Andre Burakovsky (6) Connor Bedard (14) · wrist xG 0.14 | 3–0 ▶ | |
| 18:01 | Connor Bedard (8) Unassisted · wrist xG 0.60 | 4–0 ▶ | |
Score away–home after each goal; season totals in parentheses.
Expected goals (xG) rate every unblocked shot by how often shots like it go in, from where it was taken, the shot type, the strength and what happened just before it. How it works
| CHI | CGY | |
|---|---|---|
| 2.12 | Expected goals | 2.28 |
| 4 | Goals (no shootout) | 0 |
| 1.59 | Expected goals, 5 on 5 | 2.11 |
| 47 | Shot attempts | 56 |
| 34 | Unblocked attempts | 46 |
| 27 | Shots on goal | 33 |
What stood out as the game went on, from the play-by-play and the shifts. Time on the bench is counted in 5-on-5 play outside the penalty box; the note says the player sat, not why. Goals saved are against the shots' expected goals (xG).
| 2nd Period | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| 7:20 | CHI | No shift | No shift · Nazar, 36:56 on the bench
No shift after 12:57 of the 1st; 6 shifts (3:19) before that |
| 10:00 | CGY | No shift | No shift · Lomberg, 12:19 on the bench
No shift from 13:58 of the 1st to 10:33 of the 2nd; 3 shifts (2:39) before that |
| 16:10 | CGY | No shift | No shift · Parekh, 30:12 on the bench
No shift after 1:55 of the 2nd; 7 shifts (6:25) before that |
| 3rd Period | |||
| 13:05 | CHI | Goalie | Goalie · Knight +2.0 goals saved
0 goals on 2.02 xG, 32 shots on goal |
| 16:06 | CGY | Pulled goalie | Pulled goalie · Pulled Wolf, down 3–0
With 3:54 left |
xG comes from hockeystats.io's own model, a gradient-boosted tree model trained on every unblocked shot from the 2021-22 to 2025-26 regular seasons using the NHL's public play-by-play. Each shot's value is the share of similar shots that became goals. A team's xG is the sum over its shots; "deserve to win" asks how often the team would outscore its opponent if every shot went in at exactly that rate. Blocked shots count as attempts but have no xG (the NHL records where they were blocked, not where they were taken), so the map leaves them out.
| Skater | G | A | P | +/− | Att | xG | Hit | Blk | TOI | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Forwards | ||||||||||
| 98 | Connor Bedard | 1 | 3 | 4 | +3 | 7 | 0.90 | 0 | 0 | 21:32 |
| 59 | Tyler Bertuzzi | 2 | 0 | 2 | +3 | 3 | 0.37 | 1 | 0 | 19:58 |
| 86 | Teuvo Teravainen | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0.00 | 0 | 0 | 19:53 |
| 95 | Ilya Mikheyev | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0.01 | 0 | 1 | 19:39 |
| 95 | Andre Burakovsky | 1 | 1 | 2 | +3 | 7 | 0.41 | 1 | 0 | 19:09 |
| 20 | Ryan Greene | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.00 | 2 | 0 | 18:53 |
| 8 | Ryan Donato | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.00 | 1 | 1 | 15:18 |
| 11 | Oliver Moore | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0.05 | 0 | 0 | 14:21 |
| 34 | Colton Dach | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 0.09 | 4 | 0 | 14:01 |
| 71 | Nick Foligno | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0.01 | 3 | 2 | 12:08 |
| 91 | Frank Nazar | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.00 | 0 | 0 | 03:19 |
| Defense | ||||||||||
| 72 | Alex Vlasic | 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 1 | 0.01 | 0 | 3 | 20:24 |
| 44 | Wyatt Kaiser | 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 0 | 0.00 | 0 | 2 | 19:38 |
| 55 | Artyom Levshunov | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 1 | 0 | 17:30 |
| 24 | Matt Grzelcyk | 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 6 | 0.14 | 0 | 1 | 15:59 |
| 46 | Louis Crevier | 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 3 | 0.01 | 3 | 0 | 14:17 |
| 5 | Connor Murphy | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.01 | 0 | 0 | 12:48 |
| Goalie | SA | GA | SV | SV% | xGA | GSAx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spencer Knight | 33 | 0 | 33 | 1.000 | 2.28 | +2.28 |
| Skater | G | A | P | +/− | Att | xG | Hit | Blk | TOI | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Forwards | ||||||||||
| 10 | Jonathan Huberdeau | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | 4 | 0.15 | 1 | 0 | 19:52 |
| 91 | Nazem Kadri | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | 6 | 0.15 | 0 | 0 | 19:45 |
| 27 | Matt Coronato | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | 11 | 0.64 | 0 | 1 | 19:00 |
| 16 | Morgan Frost | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | 2 | 0.06 | 1 | 0 | 16:46 |
| 86 | Joel Farabee | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | 2 | 0.03 | 1 | 1 | 16:33 |
| 47 | Connor Zary | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.00 | 0 | 0 | 16:01 |
| 20 | Blake Coleman | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | 1 | 0.10 | 2 | 1 | 15:05 |
| 11 | Mikael Backlund | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | 7 | 0.44 | 1 | 1 | 14:16 |
| 17 | Yegor Sharangovich | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | 4 | 0.41 | 1 | 0 | 13:40 |
| 29 | Samuel Honzek | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | 1 | 0.09 | 3 | 0 | 12:42 |
| 43 | Adam Klapka | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 5 | 1 | 10:56 |
| 94 | Ryan Lomberg | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.01 | 4 | 0 | 07:20 |
| Defense | ||||||||||
| 4 | Rasmus Andersson | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2 | 2 | 0.04 | 1 | 3 | 27:07 |
| 52 | MacKenzie Weegar | 0 | 0 | 0 | -3 | 2 | 0.00 | 3 | 4 | 23:49 |
| 37 | Yan Kuznetsov | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 0.11 | 2 | 0 | 22:31 |
| 44 | Joel Hanley | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | 2 | 0.03 | 0 | 0 | 17:15 |
| 94 | Brayden Pachal | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0.02 | 3 | 1 | 16:40 |
| 19 | Zayne Parekh | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.00 | 1 | 0 | 06:25 |
| Goalie | SA | GA | SV | SV% | xGA | GSAx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dustin Wolf | 27 | 4 | 23 | .852 | 2.12 | -1.88 |
Skaters by time on ice. Goalie lines count shots with the goalie in net, from the NHL play-by-play.
What each player added to the result, in goals, from most to least. Hover a number for what it's made of.
| Player | Rating | Points | Shots | On ice | Pen | FO | Other | GSAx | TOI |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 98 Connor Bedard C | +4.31 | +2.85 | +0.59 | +0.86 | 0.00 | -0.01 | +0.02 | — | 21:32 |
| 28 Andre Burakovsky L | +2.68 | +1.30 | +0.26 | +0.96 | +0.15 | 0.00 | 0.00 | — | 19:09 |
| 59 Tyler Bertuzzi L | +2.41 | +1.50 | +0.24 | +0.69 | 0.00 | -0.02 | 0.00 | — | 19:58 |
| 30 Spencer Knight G | +2.28 | 0.00 | — | — | 0.00 | — | — | +2.28 | 60:00 |
| 48 Matt Grzelcyk D | +1.10 | 0.00 | +0.09 | +1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.01 | — | 15:59 |
| 6 Sam Rinzel D | +0.82 | 0.00 | +0.07 | +0.75 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | — | 15:13 |
| 17 Nick Foligno L | +0.09 | 0.00 | +0.01 | -0.08 | 0.00 | +0.04 | +0.12 | — | 12:08 |
| 91 Frank Nazar C | +0.03 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -0.08 | +0.15 | -0.04 | 0.00 | — | 3:19 |
| 46 Louis Crevier D | -0.03 | 0.00 | +0.01 | +0.11 | -0.15 | 0.00 | 0.00 | — | 14:17 |
| 5 Connor Murphy D | -0.06 | 0.00 | +0.01 | -0.06 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | — | 12:48 |
| 34 Colton Dach C | -0.11 | 0.00 | +0.06 | -0.17 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | — | 14:01 |
| 11 Oliver Moore C | -0.15 | 0.00 | +0.03 | -0.12 | 0.00 | -0.02 | -0.04 | — | 14:21 |
| 8 Ryan Donato C | -0.17 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -0.15 | 0.00 | -0.01 | -0.01 | — | 15:18 |
| 72 Alex Vlasic D | -0.33 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -0.51 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.17 | — | 20:24 |
| 55 Artyom Levshunov D | -0.37 | +0.55 | 0.00 | -0.92 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | — | 17:30 |
| 95 Ilya Mikheyev R | -0.49 | 0.00 | +0.01 | -0.52 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.03 | — | 19:39 |
| 44 Wyatt Kaiser D | -0.53 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -0.61 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.08 | — | 19:38 |
| 20 Ryan Greene C | -0.78 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -0.75 | 0.00 | -0.03 | 0.00 | — | 18:53 |
| 86 Teuvo Teravainen C | -1.18 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -1.00 | -0.15 | -0.01 | -0.02 | — | 19:53 |
| Player | Rating | Points | Shots | On ice | Pen | FO | Other | GSAx | TOI |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 37 Yan Kuznetsov D | +0.69 | 0.00 | +0.07 | +0.49 | +0.15 | 0.00 | -0.02 | — | 22:31 |
| 29 Samuel Honzek L | +0.48 | 0.00 | +0.06 | +0.42 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | — | 12:42 |
| 94 Brayden Pachal D | +0.45 | 0.00 | +0.01 | +0.42 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.01 | — | 16:40 |
| 11 Mikael Backlund C | +0.43 | 0.00 | +0.28 | +0.07 | 0.00 | +0.06 | +0.01 | — | 14:16 |
| 27 Matt Coronato R | +0.39 | 0.00 | +0.42 | -0.07 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.05 | — | 19:00 |
| 17 Yegor Sharangovich C | +0.37 | 0.00 | +0.26 | +0.10 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | — | 13:40 |
| 44 Joel Hanley D | +0.32 | 0.00 | +0.02 | +0.47 | -0.15 | 0.00 | -0.02 | — | 17:15 |
| 43 Adam Klapka R | +0.23 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.01 | +0.15 | 0.00 | +0.07 | — | 10:56 |
| 86 Joel Farabee L | +0.19 | 0.00 | +0.02 | +0.12 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.05 | — | 16:33 |
| 91 Nazem Kadri C | +0.16 | 0.00 | +0.10 | +0.12 | 0.00 | -0.03 | -0.02 | — | 19:45 |
| 16 Morgan Frost C | +0.09 | 0.00 | +0.04 | -0.05 | 0.00 | +0.10 | 0.00 | — | 16:46 |
| 52 MacKenzie Weegar D | +0.07 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -0.17 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.24 | — | 23:49 |
| 20 Blake Coleman L | +0.01 | 0.00 | +0.07 | +0.06 | -0.15 | 0.00 | +0.03 | — | 15:05 |
| 70 Ryan Lomberg L | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.01 | -0.01 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | — | 7:20 |
| 19 Zayne Parekh D | -0.06 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -0.04 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -0.02 | — | 6:25 |
| 10 Jonathan Huberdeau L | -0.10 | 0.00 | +0.10 | -0.19 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | — | 19:52 |
| 47 Connor Zary C | -0.24 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -0.21 | 0.00 | -0.03 | 0.00 | — | 16:01 |
| 4 Rasmus Andersson D | -0.81 | 0.00 | +0.03 | -0.93 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.09 | — | 27:07 |
| 32 Dustin Wolf G | -1.88 | 0.00 | — | — | 0.00 | — | — | -1.88 | 59:07 |
An expected-goals take on Dom Luszczyszyn's Game Score: goals and assists, the quality of a player's own shots, shot quality for and against while they were on the ice at 5v5, penalties, faceoffs and puck plays, all in goals; goalies by goals saved above expected. From the NHL play-by-play and shift charts.