Winnipeg JetsWPG 1–2 Final San Jose SharksSJS

Friday, November 7, 2025

Final 1st2nd3rd T SOG
Winnipeg JetsWPG 100 1 33
San Jose SharksSJS 101 2 28

No impact calculated for this game. Impacts are calculated for games in the next 7 days.

Highlights

Scoring

1st Period
12:34 WPG Josh Morrissey (2) Nino Niederreiter (6) · slap xG 0.02 1–0 ▶
13:46 SJS Macklin Celebrini (9) Tyler Toffoli (5) · backhand xG 0.13 1–1 ▶
2nd Period
No scoring
3rd Period
15:39 SJS Will Smith (6) Macklin Celebrini (14), Philipp Kurashev (5) · backhand xG 0.04 1–2 ▶

Score away–home after each goal; season totals in parentheses.

Shot quality

Expected goals (xG) rate every unblocked shot by how often shots like it go in, from where it was taken, the shot type, the strength and what happened just before it. How it works

WPG 43%Deserve to win57% SJS
WPGSJS
2.91Expected goals3.31
1Goals (no shootout)2
1.29Expected goals, 5 on 52.56
54Shot attempts69
42Unblocked attempts41
33Shots on goal28

Game notes

What stood out as the game went on, from the play-by-play and the shifts. Time on the bench is counted in 5-on-5 play outside the penalty box; the note says the player sat, not why. Goals saved are against the shots' expected goals (xG).

3rd Period
15:38 SJS Deserve to win Deserve to win · SJS takes the lead, 64–36%
WPG had led since 4:06 of the 1st, by as much as 78%
15:38 WPG Goalie Goalie · Hellebuyck +2.3 goals saved
1 goal on 3.26 xG, 27 shots on goal
17:47 WPG Pulled goalie Pulled goalie · Pulled Hellebuyck, down 2–1
With 2:13 left

Shot map

WPG shoots ←Bigger circle: higher xG; filled: goal→ SJS shoots
Macklin Celebrini: wrist, 27 ft, xG 0.08 (P1 0:48) Timothy Liljegren: slap, 70 ft, xG 0.01 (P1 1:33) Parker Ford: wrist, 18 ft, xG 0.17 (P1 2:33) Ty Dellandrea: wrist, 41 ft, xG 0.03 (P1 3:43) Vladislav Namestnikov: slap, 20 ft, xG 0.11 (P1 4:03) Jonathan Toews: backhand, 8 ft, xG 0.42 (P1 4:06) Nino Niederreiter: wrist, 6 ft, xG 0.10 (P1 4:07) Kyle Connor: wrist, 13 ft, xG 0.12 (P1 4:43) John Klingberg: slap, 46 ft, xG 0.07 (P1 7:03) Tyler Toffoli: wrist, 40 ft, xG 0.05 (P1 7:20) Macklin Celebrini: wrist, 44 ft, xG 0.04 (P1 7:31) Alexander Wennberg: bat, 7 ft, xG 0.21 (P1 7:33) Philipp Kurashev: bat, 19 ft, xG 0.09 (P1 7:39) Adam Lowry: wrist, 21 ft, xG 0.16 (P1 8:00) Vladislav Namestnikov: slap, 14 ft, xG 0.15 (P1 9:29) Jeff Skinner: wrist, 35 ft, xG 0.01 (P1 10:17) Adam Gaudette: wrist, 11 ft, xG 0.09 (P1 10:24) Alex Iafallo: wrist, 44 ft, xG 0.01 (P1 11:18) Ty Dellandrea: tip-in, 20 ft, xG 0.05 (P1 11:44) Gabriel Vilardi: backhand, 29 ft, xG 0.02 (P1 12:22) Gabriel Vilardi: backhand, 4 ft, xG 0.23 (P1 12:26) Gabriel Vilardi: wrist, 5 ft, xG 0.03 (P1 12:27) Tyler Toffoli: wrist, 52 ft, xG 0.01 (P1 13:53) Neal Pionk: slap, 69 ft, xG 0.01 (P1 16:03) Philipp Kurashev: wrist, 38 ft, xG 0.02 (P1 18:01) Mark Scheifele: wrist, 22 ft, xG 0.02 (P1 18:59) Kyle Connor: tip-in, 18 ft, xG 0.06 (P1 19:33) Neal Pionk: wrist, 42 ft, xG 0.04 (P2 0:52) Gabriel Vilardi: tip-in, 15 ft, xG 0.07 (P2 1:04) Neal Pionk: wrist, 168 ft, xG 0.00 (P2 1:25) Ethan Cardwell: slap, 27 ft, xG 0.15 (P2 2:07) Adam Gaudette: wrist, 12 ft, xG 0.17 (P2 3:34) John Klingberg: slap, 29 ft, xG 0.11 (P2 3:42) Vladislav Namestnikov: snap, 12 ft, xG 0.20 (P2 4:31) Adam Lowry: wrist, 39 ft, xG 0.01 (P2 5:11) Kyle Connor: slap, 46 ft, xG 0.01 (P2 5:15) Philipp Kurashev: wrist, 38 ft, xG 0.06 (P2 5:33) Cole Koepke: wrist, 40 ft, xG 0.01 (P2 7:07) Collin Graf: backhand, 10 ft, xG 0.03 (P2 8:02) Gabriel Vilardi: wrist, 20 ft, xG 0.11 (P2 8:13) Ethan Cardwell: wrist, 45 ft, xG 0.03 (P2 9:34) Ty Dellandrea: wrist, 13 ft, xG 0.05 (P2 9:35) Logan Stanley: wrist, 61 ft, xG 0.02 (P2 11:42) Kyle Connor: backhand, 23 ft, xG 0.01 (P2 11:51) Mark Scheifele: deflected, 10 ft, xG 0.03 (P2 11:52) Dmitry Orlov: snap, 19 ft, xG 0.12 (P2 12:29) Will Smith: wrist, 34 ft, xG 0.06 (P2 13:15) Will Smith: wrist, 28 ft, xG 0.05 (P2 13:29) Macklin Celebrini: tip-in, 11 ft, xG 0.10 (P2 13:38) Macklin Celebrini: slap, 43 ft, xG 0.05 (P2 13:59) Vincent Desharnais: slap, 47 ft, xG 0.02 (P2 15:08) Ethan Cardwell: slap, 30 ft, xG 0.04 (P2 17:31) Ty Dellandrea: backhand, 7 ft, xG 0.15 (P2 18:12) Barclay Goodrow: snap, 18 ft, xG 0.04 (P2 18:46) Adam Lowry: wrist, 41 ft, xG 0.05 (P2 19:06) Logan Stanley: slap, 52 ft, xG 0.02 (P2 19:50) Will Smith: wrist, 64 ft, xG 0.01 (P3 0:29) Gabriel Vilardi: backhand, 75 ft, xG 0.00 (P3 0:49) Nino Niederreiter: wrist, 21 ft, xG 0.12 (P3 1:26) Haydn Fleury: wrist, 67 ft, xG 0.01 (P3 1:36) Philipp Kurashev: backhand, 6 ft, xG 0.15 (P3 2:04) Philipp Kurashev: wrist, 25 ft, xG 0.16 (P3 4:05) Macklin Celebrini: backhand, 7 ft, xG 0.16 (P3 6:25) Barclay Goodrow: backhand, 11 ft, xG 0.16 (P3 7:43) Vladislav Namestnikov: wrist, 30 ft, xG 0.05 (P3 9:09) Logan Stanley: backhand, 26 ft, xG 0.03 (P3 9:20) Vladislav Namestnikov: wrist, 7 ft, xG 0.05 (P3 9:21) Macklin Celebrini: wrist, 31 ft, xG 0.07 (P3 10:07) Jeff Skinner: wrist, 39 ft, xG 0.05 (P3 11:03) Will Smith: wrist, 43 ft, xG 0.03 (P3 12:20) Logan Stanley: wrist, 95 ft, xG 0.00 (P3 13:54) Shakir Mukhamadullin: wrist, 71 ft, xG 0.01 (P3 15:13) Macklin Celebrini: wrist, 4 ft, xG 0.35 (P3 15:38) Dylan DeMelo: snap, 63 ft, xG 0.01 (P3 17:30) Jonathan Toews: tip-in, 67 ft, xG 0.00 (P3 17:43) Josh Morrissey: slap, 68 ft, xG 0.02 (P3 19:23) Gabriel Vilardi: wrist, 13 ft, xG 0.09 (P3 19:25) Mark Scheifele: wrist, 13 ft, xG 0.09 (P3 19:29) Nino Niederreiter: wrist, 12 ft, xG 0.07 (P3 19:45) Gabriel Vilardi: wrist, 8 ft, xG 0.15 (P3 19:45) Josh Morrissey: GOAL, slap, 57 ft, xG 0.02 (P1 12:34) Macklin Celebrini: GOAL, backhand, 8 ft, xG 0.13 (P1 13:46) Will Smith: GOAL, backhand, 13 ft, xG 0.04 (P3 15:39)
About these numbers

xG comes from hockeystats.io's own model, a gradient-boosted tree model trained on every unblocked shot from the 2021-22 to 2025-26 regular seasons using the NHL's public play-by-play. Each shot's value is the share of similar shots that became goals. A team's xG is the sum over its shots; "deserve to win" asks how often the team would outscore its opponent if every shot went in at exactly that rate. Blocked shots count as attempts but have no xG (the NHL records where they were blocked, not where they were taken), so the map leaves them out.

Box score

Winnipeg Jets

Skater GAP+/− AttxG HitBlkTOI
Forwards
55 Mark Scheifele 000 0 30.14 0120:46
13 Gabriel Vilardi 000 -1 90.68 0220:32
81 Kyle Connor 000 0 40.20 0019:09
7 Vladislav Namestnikov 000 0 50.57 3317:51
19 Jonathan Toews 000 -1 20.42 0215:31
62 Nino Niederreiter 011 +1 50.29 2115:04
9 Alex Iafallo 000 0 10.01 2014:57
17 Adam Lowry 000 +1 30.22 2414:41
45 Cole Koepke 000 -1 10.01 2010:47
70 Tanner Pearson 000 -2 00.00 1209:35
Defense
4 Neal Pionk 000 -1 70.05 2325:47
44 Josh Morrissey 101 0 50.04 1022:31
2 Dylan DeMelo 000 0 20.01 0320:39
8 Logan Stanley 000 0 40.07 1219:26
24 Haydn Fleury 000 -1 20.01 1216:29
2 Luke Schenn 000 0 00.00 2213:32
Goalie SAGA SVSV% xGA GSAx
Connor Hellebuyck 28226 .929 3.31 +1.31

San Jose Sharks

Skater GAP+/− AttxG HitBlkTOI
Forwards
21 Alexander Wennberg 000 0 20.21 1021:54
96 Philipp Kurashev 011 +1 70.47 0020:10
2 Will Smith 101 +2 60.19 0019:50
71 Macklin Celebrini 112 +2 110.98 1019:39
51 Collin Graf 000 0 50.03 0117:23
73 Tyler Toffoli 011 +1 30.07 1015:59
53 Jeff Skinner 000 0 40.06 0112:35
10 Ty Dellandrea 000 0 50.28 3012:16
23 Barclay Goodrow 000 -1 20.20 3011:20
81 Adam Gaudette 000 -1 20.26 1011:13
75 Ryan Reaves 000 -1 00.00 3006:16
Defense
9 Dmitry Orlov 000 +1 20.12 0223:22
3 John Klingberg 000 -1 60.18 0121:39
38 Mario Ferraro 000 -1 20.00 2321:21
27 Timothy Liljegren 000 +1 30.01 1220:13
73 Vincent Desharnais 000 +1 20.02 0116:11
85 Shakir Mukhamadullin 000 +1 30.01 0013:01
Goalie SAGA SVSV% xGA GSAx
Alex Nedeljkovic 33132 .970 2.91 +1.91

Skaters by time on ice. Goalie lines count shots with the goalie in net, from the NHL play-by-play.

Player ratings

What each player added to the result, in goals, from most to least. Hover a number for what it's made of.

Winnipeg Jets

Player Rating Points Shots On ice Pen FO Other GSAx TOI
37 Connor Hellebuyck G +1.31 0.00 — — 0.00 — — +1.31 57:13
62 Nino Niederreiter R +0.96 +0.70 +0.19 +0.03 0.00 +0.01 +0.03 — 15:04
55 Mark Scheifele C +0.44 0.00 +0.09 +0.13 +0.15 +0.04 +0.03 — 20:46
44 Josh Morrissey D +0.35 +0.75 +0.03 -0.43 0.00 0.00 0.00 — 22:31
17 Adam Lowry C +0.18 0.00 +0.14 -0.15 0.00 +0.03 +0.16 — 14:41
64 Logan Stanley D +0.06 0.00 +0.05 -0.06 0.00 0.00 +0.08 — 19:26
81 Kyle Connor L +0.04 0.00 +0.13 -0.07 0.00 0.00 -0.02 — 19:09
9 Alex Iafallo L +0.03 0.00 +0.01 +0.02 0.00 0.00 0.00 — 14:57
7 Vladislav Namestnikov C +0.01 0.00 +0.37 -0.50 0.00 -0.01 +0.15 — 17:51
25 Parker Ford C -0.08 0.00 +0.11 -0.25 0.00 0.00 +0.05 — 7:08
5 Luke Schenn D -0.10 0.00 0.00 -0.18 0.00 0.00 +0.08 — 13:32
2 Dylan DeMelo D -0.15 0.00 +0.01 -0.26 0.00 0.00 +0.11 — 20:39
45 Cole Koepke L -0.17 0.00 +0.01 -0.34 +0.15 0.00 +0.02 — 10:47
13 Gabriel Vilardi C -0.62 0.00 +0.44 -1.04 -0.15 -0.01 +0.14 — 20:32
70 Tanner Pearson L -0.70 0.00 0.00 -0.80 0.00 0.00 +0.10 — 9:35
90 Nikita Chibrikov R -0.70 0.00 0.00 -0.40 -0.30 0.00 0.00 — 10:22
24 Haydn Fleury D -0.86 0.00 +0.01 -0.99 0.00 0.00 +0.12 — 16:29
19 Jonathan Toews C -0.99 0.00 +0.27 -1.27 -0.15 +0.06 +0.10 — 15:31
4 Neal Pionk D -1.00 0.00 +0.03 -1.16 0.00 0.00 +0.13 — 25:47

San Jose Sharks

Player Rating Points Shots On ice Pen FO Other GSAx TOI
71 Macklin Celebrini C +3.60 +1.45 +0.64 +1.21 +0.30 0.00 0.00 — 19:39
2 Will Smith C +2.05 +0.75 +0.12 +1.19 0.00 -0.01 0.00 — 19:50
96 Philipp Kurashev C +1.84 +0.55 +0.31 +0.97 0.00 +0.02 0.00 — 20:10
33 Alex Nedeljkovic G +1.76 0.00 — — -0.15 — — +1.91 60:00
73 Tyler Toffoli C +1.20 +0.70 +0.04 +0.46 0.00 0.00 0.00 — 15:59
9 Dmitry Orlov D +0.97 0.00 +0.08 +0.79 0.00 0.00 +0.10 — 23:22
38 Mario Ferraro D +0.97 0.00 0.00 +0.86 0.00 0.00 +0.11 — 21:21
3 John Klingberg D +0.86 0.00 +0.12 +0.71 0.00 0.00 +0.03 — 21:39
37 Timothy Liljegren D +0.80 0.00 0.00 +0.87 -0.15 0.00 +0.08 — 20:13
10 Ty Dellandrea C +0.42 0.00 +0.18 +0.12 +0.15 -0.03 0.00 — 12:16
53 Jeff Skinner L +0.39 0.00 +0.04 +0.32 0.00 0.00 +0.03 — 12:35
21 Alexander Wennberg C +0.35 0.00 +0.14 +0.27 0.00 -0.07 +0.02 — 21:54
56 Ethan Cardwell R +0.22 0.00 +0.15 +0.11 0.00 0.00 -0.04 — 11:38
75 Ryan Reaves R +0.12 0.00 0.00 +0.12 0.00 0.00 0.00 — 6:16
51 Collin Graf R +0.08 0.00 +0.02 +0.01 0.00 0.00 +0.05 — 17:23
81 Adam Gaudette R +0.08 0.00 +0.17 -0.06 0.00 -0.03 0.00 — 11:13
23 Barclay Goodrow C +0.03 0.00 +0.13 -0.10 0.00 0.00 0.00 — 11:20
5 Vincent Desharnais D -0.04 0.00 +0.01 -0.10 0.00 0.00 +0.05 — 16:11
85 Shakir Mukhamadullin D -0.06 0.00 0.00 -0.05 0.00 0.00 -0.02 — 13:01

An expected-goals take on Dom Luszczyszyn's Game Score: goals and assists, the quality of a player's own shots, shot quality for and against while they were on the ice at 5v5, penalties, faceoffs and puck plays, all in goals; goalies by goals saved above expected. From the NHL play-by-play and shift charts.