| Final | 1st | 2nd | 3rd | T | SOG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 33 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 28 |
No impact calculated for this game. Impacts are calculated for games in the next 7 days.
| 1st Period | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| 12:34 | Josh Morrissey (2) Nino Niederreiter (6) · slap xG 0.02 | 1–0 ▶ | |
| 13:46 | Macklin Celebrini (9) Tyler Toffoli (5) · backhand xG 0.13 | 1–1 ▶ | |
| 2nd Period | |||
| No scoring | |||
| 3rd Period | |||
| 15:39 | Will Smith (6) Macklin Celebrini (14), Philipp Kurashev (5) · backhand xG 0.04 | 1–2 ▶ | |
Score away–home after each goal; season totals in parentheses.
Expected goals (xG) rate every unblocked shot by how often shots like it go in, from where it was taken, the shot type, the strength and what happened just before it. How it works
| WPG | SJS | |
|---|---|---|
| 2.91 | Expected goals | 3.31 |
| 1 | Goals (no shootout) | 2 |
| 1.29 | Expected goals, 5 on 5 | 2.56 |
| 54 | Shot attempts | 69 |
| 42 | Unblocked attempts | 41 |
| 33 | Shots on goal | 28 |
What stood out as the game went on, from the play-by-play and the shifts. Time on the bench is counted in 5-on-5 play outside the penalty box; the note says the player sat, not why. Goals saved are against the shots' expected goals (xG).
| 3rd Period | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| 15:38 | SJS | Deserve to win | Deserve to win · SJS takes the lead, 64–36%
WPG had led since 4:06 of the 1st, by as much as 78% |
| 15:38 | WPG | Goalie | Goalie · Hellebuyck +2.3 goals saved
1 goal on 3.26 xG, 27 shots on goal |
| 17:47 | WPG | Pulled goalie | Pulled goalie · Pulled Hellebuyck, down 2–1
With 2:13 left |
xG comes from hockeystats.io's own model, a gradient-boosted tree model trained on every unblocked shot from the 2021-22 to 2025-26 regular seasons using the NHL's public play-by-play. Each shot's value is the share of similar shots that became goals. A team's xG is the sum over its shots; "deserve to win" asks how often the team would outscore its opponent if every shot went in at exactly that rate. Blocked shots count as attempts but have no xG (the NHL records where they were blocked, not where they were taken), so the map leaves them out.
| Skater | G | A | P | +/− | Att | xG | Hit | Blk | TOI | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Forwards | ||||||||||
| 55 | Mark Scheifele | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0.14 | 0 | 1 | 20:46 |
| 13 | Gabriel Vilardi | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | 9 | 0.68 | 0 | 2 | 20:32 |
| 81 | Kyle Connor | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 0.20 | 0 | 0 | 19:09 |
| 7 | Vladislav Namestnikov | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 0.57 | 3 | 3 | 17:51 |
| 19 | Jonathan Toews | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | 2 | 0.42 | 0 | 2 | 15:31 |
| 62 | Nino Niederreiter | 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 5 | 0.29 | 2 | 1 | 15:04 |
| 9 | Alex Iafallo | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.01 | 2 | 0 | 14:57 |
| 17 | Adam Lowry | 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 3 | 0.22 | 2 | 4 | 14:41 |
| 45 | Cole Koepke | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | 1 | 0.01 | 2 | 0 | 10:47 |
| 70 | Tanner Pearson | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2 | 0 | 0.00 | 1 | 2 | 09:35 |
| Defense | ||||||||||
| 4 | Neal Pionk | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | 7 | 0.05 | 2 | 3 | 25:47 |
| 44 | Josh Morrissey | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 0.04 | 1 | 0 | 22:31 |
| 2 | Dylan DeMelo | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0.01 | 0 | 3 | 20:39 |
| 8 | Logan Stanley | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 0.07 | 1 | 2 | 19:26 |
| 24 | Haydn Fleury | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | 2 | 0.01 | 1 | 2 | 16:29 |
| 2 | Luke Schenn | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 2 | 2 | 13:32 |
| Goalie | SA | GA | SV | SV% | xGA | GSAx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Connor Hellebuyck | 28 | 2 | 26 | .929 | 3.31 | +1.31 |
| Skater | G | A | P | +/− | Att | xG | Hit | Blk | TOI | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Forwards | ||||||||||
| 21 | Alexander Wennberg | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0.21 | 1 | 0 | 21:54 |
| 96 | Philipp Kurashev | 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 7 | 0.47 | 0 | 0 | 20:10 |
| 2 | Will Smith | 1 | 0 | 1 | +2 | 6 | 0.19 | 0 | 0 | 19:50 |
| 71 | Macklin Celebrini | 1 | 1 | 2 | +2 | 11 | 0.98 | 1 | 0 | 19:39 |
| 51 | Collin Graf | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 0.03 | 0 | 1 | 17:23 |
| 73 | Tyler Toffoli | 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 3 | 0.07 | 1 | 0 | 15:59 |
| 53 | Jeff Skinner | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 0.06 | 0 | 1 | 12:35 |
| 10 | Ty Dellandrea | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 0.28 | 3 | 0 | 12:16 |
| 23 | Barclay Goodrow | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | 2 | 0.20 | 3 | 0 | 11:20 |
| 81 | Adam Gaudette | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | 2 | 0.26 | 1 | 0 | 11:13 |
| 75 | Ryan Reaves | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | 0 | 0.00 | 3 | 0 | 06:16 |
| Defense | ||||||||||
| 9 | Dmitry Orlov | 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 2 | 0.12 | 0 | 2 | 23:22 |
| 3 | John Klingberg | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | 6 | 0.18 | 0 | 1 | 21:39 |
| 38 | Mario Ferraro | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | 2 | 0.00 | 2 | 3 | 21:21 |
| 27 | Timothy Liljegren | 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 3 | 0.01 | 1 | 2 | 20:13 |
| 73 | Vincent Desharnais | 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 2 | 0.02 | 0 | 1 | 16:11 |
| 85 | Shakir Mukhamadullin | 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 3 | 0.01 | 0 | 0 | 13:01 |
| Goalie | SA | GA | SV | SV% | xGA | GSAx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alex Nedeljkovic | 33 | 1 | 32 | .970 | 2.91 | +1.91 |
Skaters by time on ice. Goalie lines count shots with the goalie in net, from the NHL play-by-play.
What each player added to the result, in goals, from most to least. Hover a number for what it's made of.
| Player | Rating | Points | Shots | On ice | Pen | FO | Other | GSAx | TOI |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 37 Connor Hellebuyck G | +1.31 | 0.00 | — | — | 0.00 | — | — | +1.31 | 57:13 |
| 62 Nino Niederreiter R | +0.96 | +0.70 | +0.19 | +0.03 | 0.00 | +0.01 | +0.03 | — | 15:04 |
| 55 Mark Scheifele C | +0.44 | 0.00 | +0.09 | +0.13 | +0.15 | +0.04 | +0.03 | — | 20:46 |
| 44 Josh Morrissey D | +0.35 | +0.75 | +0.03 | -0.43 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | — | 22:31 |
| 17 Adam Lowry C | +0.18 | 0.00 | +0.14 | -0.15 | 0.00 | +0.03 | +0.16 | — | 14:41 |
| 64 Logan Stanley D | +0.06 | 0.00 | +0.05 | -0.06 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.08 | — | 19:26 |
| 81 Kyle Connor L | +0.04 | 0.00 | +0.13 | -0.07 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -0.02 | — | 19:09 |
| 9 Alex Iafallo L | +0.03 | 0.00 | +0.01 | +0.02 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | — | 14:57 |
| 7 Vladislav Namestnikov C | +0.01 | 0.00 | +0.37 | -0.50 | 0.00 | -0.01 | +0.15 | — | 17:51 |
| 25 Parker Ford C | -0.08 | 0.00 | +0.11 | -0.25 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.05 | — | 7:08 |
| 5 Luke Schenn D | -0.10 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -0.18 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.08 | — | 13:32 |
| 2 Dylan DeMelo D | -0.15 | 0.00 | +0.01 | -0.26 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.11 | — | 20:39 |
| 45 Cole Koepke L | -0.17 | 0.00 | +0.01 | -0.34 | +0.15 | 0.00 | +0.02 | — | 10:47 |
| 13 Gabriel Vilardi C | -0.62 | 0.00 | +0.44 | -1.04 | -0.15 | -0.01 | +0.14 | — | 20:32 |
| 70 Tanner Pearson L | -0.70 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -0.80 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.10 | — | 9:35 |
| 90 Nikita Chibrikov R | -0.70 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -0.40 | -0.30 | 0.00 | 0.00 | — | 10:22 |
| 24 Haydn Fleury D | -0.86 | 0.00 | +0.01 | -0.99 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.12 | — | 16:29 |
| 19 Jonathan Toews C | -0.99 | 0.00 | +0.27 | -1.27 | -0.15 | +0.06 | +0.10 | — | 15:31 |
| 4 Neal Pionk D | -1.00 | 0.00 | +0.03 | -1.16 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.13 | — | 25:47 |
| Player | Rating | Points | Shots | On ice | Pen | FO | Other | GSAx | TOI |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 71 Macklin Celebrini C | +3.60 | +1.45 | +0.64 | +1.21 | +0.30 | 0.00 | 0.00 | — | 19:39 |
| 2 Will Smith C | +2.05 | +0.75 | +0.12 | +1.19 | 0.00 | -0.01 | 0.00 | — | 19:50 |
| 96 Philipp Kurashev C | +1.84 | +0.55 | +0.31 | +0.97 | 0.00 | +0.02 | 0.00 | — | 20:10 |
| 33 Alex Nedeljkovic G | +1.76 | 0.00 | — | — | -0.15 | — | — | +1.91 | 60:00 |
| 73 Tyler Toffoli C | +1.20 | +0.70 | +0.04 | +0.46 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | — | 15:59 |
| 9 Dmitry Orlov D | +0.97 | 0.00 | +0.08 | +0.79 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.10 | — | 23:22 |
| 38 Mario Ferraro D | +0.97 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.86 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.11 | — | 21:21 |
| 3 John Klingberg D | +0.86 | 0.00 | +0.12 | +0.71 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.03 | — | 21:39 |
| 37 Timothy Liljegren D | +0.80 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.87 | -0.15 | 0.00 | +0.08 | — | 20:13 |
| 10 Ty Dellandrea C | +0.42 | 0.00 | +0.18 | +0.12 | +0.15 | -0.03 | 0.00 | — | 12:16 |
| 53 Jeff Skinner L | +0.39 | 0.00 | +0.04 | +0.32 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.03 | — | 12:35 |
| 21 Alexander Wennberg C | +0.35 | 0.00 | +0.14 | +0.27 | 0.00 | -0.07 | +0.02 | — | 21:54 |
| 56 Ethan Cardwell R | +0.22 | 0.00 | +0.15 | +0.11 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -0.04 | — | 11:38 |
| 75 Ryan Reaves R | +0.12 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.12 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | — | 6:16 |
| 51 Collin Graf R | +0.08 | 0.00 | +0.02 | +0.01 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.05 | — | 17:23 |
| 81 Adam Gaudette R | +0.08 | 0.00 | +0.17 | -0.06 | 0.00 | -0.03 | 0.00 | — | 11:13 |
| 23 Barclay Goodrow C | +0.03 | 0.00 | +0.13 | -0.10 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | — | 11:20 |
| 5 Vincent Desharnais D | -0.04 | 0.00 | +0.01 | -0.10 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.05 | — | 16:11 |
| 85 Shakir Mukhamadullin D | -0.06 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -0.05 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -0.02 | — | 13:01 |
An expected-goals take on Dom Luszczyszyn's Game Score: goals and assists, the quality of a player's own shots, shot quality for and against while they were on the ice at 5v5, penalties, faceoffs and puck plays, all in goals; goalies by goals saved above expected. From the NHL play-by-play and shift charts.