Saturday, November 8, 2025
No impact calculated for this game. Impacts are calculated for games in the next 7 days.
Highlights
Shot quality
Expected goals (xG) rate every unblocked shot by how often shots like it go in, from where it was taken,
the shot type, the strength and what happened just before it. How it works
OTT 54%Deserve to win 46% PHI
OTT PHI
2.66 Expected goals 2.43
3 Goals (no shootout) 2
1.74 Expected goals, 5 on 5 1.85
39 Shot attempts 56
29 Unblocked attempts 36
14 Shots on goal 22
Shot map
OTT shoots ←Bigger circle: higher xG; filled: goal → PHI shoots
Jake Sanderson: snap, 39 ft, xG 0.01 (P1 0:13)
Drake Batherson: deflected, 6 ft, xG 0.19 (P1 1:44)
Tyler Kleven: slap, 59 ft, xG 0.03 (P1 1:50)
Jake Sanderson: snap, 58 ft, xG 0.01 (P1 1:52)
David Perron: snap, 66 ft, xG 0.01 (P1 3:07)
Thomas Chabot: snap, 9 ft, xG 0.19 (P1 3:28)
Travis Konecny: snap, 46 ft, xG 0.01 (P1 6:41)
Artem Zub: snap, 37 ft, xG 0.01 (P1 6:59)
Nick Cousins: snap, 36 ft, xG 0.02 (P1 8:09)
Travis Konecny: snap, 40 ft, xG 0.02 (P1 9:57)
Travis Konecny: snap, 15 ft, xG 0.14 (P1 12:13)
Noah Cates: wrist, 16 ft, xG 0.07 (P1 13:36)
Bobby Brink: wrist, 28 ft, xG 0.13 (P1 13:50)
David Perron: snap, 37 ft, xG 0.08 (P1 15:41)
Shane Pinto: tip-in, 7 ft, xG 0.12 (P1 15:56)
Dylan Cozens: snap, 46 ft, xG 0.03 (P1 17:17)
Shane Pinto: snap, 25 ft, xG 0.23 (P1 18:29)
Owen Tippett: snap, 32 ft, xG 0.06 (P1 19:18)
Ridly Greig: snap, 43 ft, xG 0.04 (P2 0:08)
Fabian Zetterlund: snap, 31 ft, xG 0.09 (P2 1:31)
Nikita Grebenkin: wrist, 42 ft, xG 0.01 (P2 2:35)
Cam York: wrist, 62 ft, xG 0.02 (P2 2:52)
Nikita Grebenkin: backhand, 9 ft, xG 0.10 (P2 2:56)
Nick Jensen: snap, 59 ft, xG 0.02 (P2 4:08)
Christian Dvorak: snap, 16 ft, xG 0.05 (P2 4:46)
Carl Grundstrom: tip-in, 16 ft, xG 0.08 (P2 5:47)
Matvei Michkov: snap, 23 ft, xG 0.03 (P2 6:25)
Bobby Brink: backhand, 12 ft, xG 0.15 (P2 6:40)
Owen Tippett: snap, 43 ft, xG 0.05 (P2 8:03)
Trevor Zegras: slap, 28 ft, xG 0.13 (P2 8:09)
Dylan Cozens: snap, 38 ft, xG 0.07 (P2 9:12)
Fabian Zetterlund: snap, 14 ft, xG 0.19 (P2 9:49)
Drake Batherson: tip-in, 8 ft, xG 0.10 (P2 12:09)
Dylan Cozens: snap, 7 ft, xG 0.34 (P2 12:11)
Rodrigo Abols: tip-in, 19 ft, xG 0.02 (P2 12:44)
Noah Cates: wrist, 34 ft, xG 0.06 (P2 15:08)
Travis Sanheim: tip-in, 14 ft, xG 0.08 (P2 16:14)
Rodrigo Abols: snap, 11 ft, xG 0.17 (P2 17:03)
Emil Andrae: snap, 53 ft, xG 0.03 (P2 17:13)
Noah Juulsen: slap, 60 ft, xG 0.03 (P2 17:43)
Drake Batherson: backhand, 10 ft, xG 0.03 (P2 19:29)
Emil Andrae: snap, 69 ft, xG 0.01 (P3 1:37)
Noah Juulsen: snap, 49 ft, xG 0.03 (P3 1:47)
Fabian Zetterlund: wrist, 8 ft, xG 0.11 (P3 4:24)
Noah Juulsen: wrist, 66 ft, xG 0.01 (P3 4:56)
Bobby Brink: snap, 35 ft, xG 0.08 (P3 5:12)
Bobby Brink: snap, 54 ft, xG 0.01 (P3 5:18)
Travis Konecny: snap, 27 ft, xG 0.16 (P3 5:37)
Nick Seeler: slap, 69 ft, xG 0.01 (P3 5:45)
Ridly Greig: backhand, 36 ft, xG 0.01 (P3 7:39)
Bobby Brink: tip-in, 16 ft, xG 0.05 (P3 10:28)
Cam York: wrap-around, 5 ft, xG 0.03 (P3 10:49)
Bobby Brink: wrist, 11 ft, xG 0.18 (P3 10:52)
Jamie Drysdale: snap, 39 ft, xG 0.01 (P3 14:35)
Matvei Michkov: wrist, 41 ft, xG 0.05 (P3 15:45)
Nick Jensen: slap, 66 ft, xG 0.00 (P3 16:29)
Nick Seeler: snap, 65 ft, xG 0.02 (P3 17:28)
Dylan Cozens: backhand, 21 ft, xG 0.04 (P3 18:34)
Drake Batherson: snap, 26 ft, xG 0.11 (OT 0:32)
Shane Pinto: snap, 41 ft, xG 0.08 (OT 0:57)
Tim Stützle: GOAL, slap, 23 ft, xG 0.14 (P1 5:14)
Michael Amadio: GOAL, backhand, 15 ft, xG 0.09 (P1 6:19)
Matvei Michkov: GOAL, snap, 23 ft, xG 0.16 (P2 11:23)
Jamie Drysdale: GOAL, snap, 16 ft, xG 0.19 (P3 9:55)
Tim Stützle: GOAL, snap, 8 ft, xG 0.26 (OT 3:19)
About these numbers
xG comes from hockeystats.io's own model, a gradient-boosted tree model trained on every unblocked shot
from the 2021-22 to 2025-26 regular seasons using the NHL's public play-by-play. Each shot's value is the
share of similar shots that became goals. A team's xG is the sum over its shots; "deserve to win" asks how
often the team would outscore its opponent if every shot went in at exactly that rate. Blocked shots count
as attempts but have no xG (the NHL records where they were blocked, not where they were taken), so the map
leaves them out.
All columns
Box score
Ottawa Senators
Philadelphia Flyers
Skaters by time on ice. Goalie lines count shots with the goalie in net, from the NHL play-by-play.
Player ratings
What each player added to the result, in goals, from most to least. Hover a number for what it's made of.
Ottawa Senators
Player
Rating
Points
Shots
On ice
Pen
FO
Other
GSAx
TOI
18 Tim Stützle C
+1.98
+1.50
+0.26
+0.08
0.00
+0.02
+0.12
—
18:26
22 Michael Amadio R
+1.62
+0.75
+0.06
+0.79
0.00
0.00
+0.02
—
13:59
12 Shane Pinto C
+1.19
+0.55
+0.29
+0.17
+0.15
+0.03
0.00
—
19:11
19 Drake Batherson R
+1.12
+0.70
+0.28
+0.18
0.00
0.00
-0.04
—
17:41
20 Fabian Zetterlund L
+0.97
0.00
+0.26
+0.72
0.00
0.00
0.00
—
14:55
57 David Perron L
+0.89
+0.70
+0.05
+0.08
0.00
0.00
+0.05
—
12:54
72 Thomas Chabot D
+0.70
+0.55
+0.12
-0.20
0.00
0.00
+0.23
—
23:02
28 Claude Giroux R
+0.60
+0.70
0.00
-0.11
0.00
0.00
+0.01
—
18:20
2 Artem Zub D
+0.57
0.00
+0.01
+0.60
-0.15
0.00
+0.11
—
18:23
24 Dylan Cozens C
+0.53
0.00
+0.31
+0.25
0.00
+0.01
-0.04
—
20:02
35 Linus Ullmark G
+0.43
0.00
—
—
0.00
—
—
+0.43
63:19
85 Jake Sanderson D
+0.35
0.00
+0.01
+0.27
0.00
0.00
+0.08
—
24:00
10 Jordan Spence D
+0.06
0.00
0.00
+0.04
0.00
0.00
+0.02
—
17:19
71 Ridly Greig C
-0.06
+0.55
+0.03
-0.66
0.00
-0.03
+0.05
—
15:44
89 Lars Eller C
-0.36
0.00
0.00
-0.53
+0.15
+0.01
+0.01
—
10:41
3 Nick Jensen D
-0.41
0.00
+0.02
-0.40
0.00
0.00
-0.02
—
18:56
15 Olle Lycksell R
-0.45
0.00
0.00
-0.45
0.00
0.00
0.00
—
9:41
43 Tyler Kleven D
-0.47
0.00
+0.02
-0.54
0.00
0.00
+0.05
—
18:18
21 Nick Cousins C
-0.93
0.00
+0.01
-0.79
-0.15
+0.01
-0.02
—
10:25
Philadelphia Flyers
Player
Rating
Points
Shots
On ice
Pen
FO
Other
GSAx
TOI
22 Christian Dvorak C
+1.56
+1.40
+0.03
+0.11
0.00
+0.04
-0.02
—
16:51
9 Jamie Drysdale D
+1.20
+0.75
+0.13
+0.29
0.00
0.00
+0.03
—
24:35
11 Travis Konecny R
+1.00
+0.55
+0.21
+0.19
0.00
0.00
+0.05
—
20:22
10 Bobby Brink R
+0.93
0.00
+0.40
+0.39
+0.15
-0.01
0.00
—
16:37
39 Matvei Michkov R
+0.88
+0.75
+0.15
+0.10
-0.15
0.00
+0.03
—
14:10
46 Trevor Zegras C
+0.65
+0.55
+0.09
-0.19
+0.15
0.00
+0.05
—
23:05
18 Rodrigo Abols C
+0.56
0.00
+0.13
+0.48
0.00
-0.03
-0.02
—
8:38
29 Nikita Grebenkin R
+0.43
0.00
+0.07
+0.36
0.00
0.00
0.00
—
8:27
19 Garnet Hathaway R
+0.27
0.00
0.00
+0.27
0.00
0.00
0.00
—
9:15
47 Noah Juulsen D
+0.26
0.00
+0.04
+0.24
0.00
0.00
-0.02
—
14:26
24 Nick Seeler D
+0.19
0.00
+0.02
-0.02
0.00
0.00
+0.19
—
19:02
36 Emil Andrae D
0.00
0.00
+0.02
+0.13
-0.15
0.00
0.00
—
13:10
8 Cam York D
-0.07
0.00
+0.03
-0.15
0.00
0.00
+0.05
—
23:38
14 Sean Couturier C
-0.10
0.00
0.00
-0.12
0.00
0.00
+0.02
—
16:39
6 Travis Sanheim D
-0.22
0.00
+0.05
-0.25
0.00
0.00
-0.02
—
26:00
27 Noah Cates L
-0.23
0.00
+0.08
-0.32
0.00
-0.05
+0.05
—
18:54
74 Owen Tippett R
-0.26
0.00
+0.07
-0.32
0.00
0.00
-0.02
—
17:51
33 Samuel Ersson G
-0.34
0.00
—
—
0.00
—
—
-0.34
63:19
91 Carl Grundstrom R
-0.60
0.00
+0.05
-0.68
0.00
0.00
+0.03
—
10:17
An expected-goals take on Dom Luszczyszyn's Game Score: goals and assists, the quality of a
player's own shots, shot quality for and against while they were on the ice at 5v5, penalties, faceoffs and puck plays,
all in goals; goalies by goals saved above expected. From the NHL play-by-play and shift charts.