Ottawa SenatorsOTT 3–2 Final/OT Philadelphia FlyersPHI

Saturday, November 8, 2025

Final/OT 1st2nd3rdOT T SOG
Ottawa SenatorsOTT 2001 3 14
Philadelphia FlyersPHI 0110 2 22

No impact calculated for this game. Impacts are calculated for games in the next 7 days.

Highlights

Scoring

1st Period
5:14 OTT Tim Stützle (7) David Perron (6), Ridly Greig (4) · slap xG 0.14 1–0 ▶
6:19 OTT Michael Amadio (5) Claude Giroux (8), Shane Pinto (6) · backhand xG 0.09 2–0 ▶
2nd Period
11:23 PHI Matvei Michkov (3) Christian Dvorak (5), Travis Konecny (8) · snap xG 0.16 2–1 ▶
3rd Period
9:55 PHI Jamie Drysdale (2) Christian Dvorak (6), Trevor Zegras (12) · snap xG 0.19 2–2 ▶
Overtime
3:19 OTT Tim Stützle (8) Drake Batherson (11), Thomas Chabot (7) · snap xG 0.26 3–2 ▶

Score away–home after each goal; season totals in parentheses.

Shot quality

Expected goals (xG) rate every unblocked shot by how often shots like it go in, from where it was taken, the shot type, the strength and what happened just before it. How it works

OTT 54%Deserve to win46% PHI
OTTPHI
2.66Expected goals2.43
3Goals (no shootout)2
1.74Expected goals, 5 on 51.85
39Shot attempts56
29Unblocked attempts36
14Shots on goal22

Shot map

OTT shoots ←Bigger circle: higher xG; filled: goal→ PHI shoots
Jake Sanderson: snap, 39 ft, xG 0.01 (P1 0:13) Drake Batherson: deflected, 6 ft, xG 0.19 (P1 1:44) Tyler Kleven: slap, 59 ft, xG 0.03 (P1 1:50) Jake Sanderson: snap, 58 ft, xG 0.01 (P1 1:52) David Perron: snap, 66 ft, xG 0.01 (P1 3:07) Thomas Chabot: snap, 9 ft, xG 0.19 (P1 3:28) Travis Konecny: snap, 46 ft, xG 0.01 (P1 6:41) Artem Zub: snap, 37 ft, xG 0.01 (P1 6:59) Nick Cousins: snap, 36 ft, xG 0.02 (P1 8:09) Travis Konecny: snap, 40 ft, xG 0.02 (P1 9:57) Travis Konecny: snap, 15 ft, xG 0.14 (P1 12:13) Noah Cates: wrist, 16 ft, xG 0.07 (P1 13:36) Bobby Brink: wrist, 28 ft, xG 0.13 (P1 13:50) David Perron: snap, 37 ft, xG 0.08 (P1 15:41) Shane Pinto: tip-in, 7 ft, xG 0.12 (P1 15:56) Dylan Cozens: snap, 46 ft, xG 0.03 (P1 17:17) Shane Pinto: snap, 25 ft, xG 0.23 (P1 18:29) Owen Tippett: snap, 32 ft, xG 0.06 (P1 19:18) Ridly Greig: snap, 43 ft, xG 0.04 (P2 0:08) Fabian Zetterlund: snap, 31 ft, xG 0.09 (P2 1:31) Nikita Grebenkin: wrist, 42 ft, xG 0.01 (P2 2:35) Cam York: wrist, 62 ft, xG 0.02 (P2 2:52) Nikita Grebenkin: backhand, 9 ft, xG 0.10 (P2 2:56) Nick Jensen: snap, 59 ft, xG 0.02 (P2 4:08) Christian Dvorak: snap, 16 ft, xG 0.05 (P2 4:46) Carl Grundstrom: tip-in, 16 ft, xG 0.08 (P2 5:47) Matvei Michkov: snap, 23 ft, xG 0.03 (P2 6:25) Bobby Brink: backhand, 12 ft, xG 0.15 (P2 6:40) Owen Tippett: snap, 43 ft, xG 0.05 (P2 8:03) Trevor Zegras: slap, 28 ft, xG 0.13 (P2 8:09) Dylan Cozens: snap, 38 ft, xG 0.07 (P2 9:12) Fabian Zetterlund: snap, 14 ft, xG 0.19 (P2 9:49) Drake Batherson: tip-in, 8 ft, xG 0.10 (P2 12:09) Dylan Cozens: snap, 7 ft, xG 0.34 (P2 12:11) Rodrigo Abols: tip-in, 19 ft, xG 0.02 (P2 12:44) Noah Cates: wrist, 34 ft, xG 0.06 (P2 15:08) Travis Sanheim: tip-in, 14 ft, xG 0.08 (P2 16:14) Rodrigo Abols: snap, 11 ft, xG 0.17 (P2 17:03) Emil Andrae: snap, 53 ft, xG 0.03 (P2 17:13) Noah Juulsen: slap, 60 ft, xG 0.03 (P2 17:43) Drake Batherson: backhand, 10 ft, xG 0.03 (P2 19:29) Emil Andrae: snap, 69 ft, xG 0.01 (P3 1:37) Noah Juulsen: snap, 49 ft, xG 0.03 (P3 1:47) Fabian Zetterlund: wrist, 8 ft, xG 0.11 (P3 4:24) Noah Juulsen: wrist, 66 ft, xG 0.01 (P3 4:56) Bobby Brink: snap, 35 ft, xG 0.08 (P3 5:12) Bobby Brink: snap, 54 ft, xG 0.01 (P3 5:18) Travis Konecny: snap, 27 ft, xG 0.16 (P3 5:37) Nick Seeler: slap, 69 ft, xG 0.01 (P3 5:45) Ridly Greig: backhand, 36 ft, xG 0.01 (P3 7:39) Bobby Brink: tip-in, 16 ft, xG 0.05 (P3 10:28) Cam York: wrap-around, 5 ft, xG 0.03 (P3 10:49) Bobby Brink: wrist, 11 ft, xG 0.18 (P3 10:52) Jamie Drysdale: snap, 39 ft, xG 0.01 (P3 14:35) Matvei Michkov: wrist, 41 ft, xG 0.05 (P3 15:45) Nick Jensen: slap, 66 ft, xG 0.00 (P3 16:29) Nick Seeler: snap, 65 ft, xG 0.02 (P3 17:28) Dylan Cozens: backhand, 21 ft, xG 0.04 (P3 18:34) Drake Batherson: snap, 26 ft, xG 0.11 (OT 0:32) Shane Pinto: snap, 41 ft, xG 0.08 (OT 0:57) Tim Stützle: GOAL, slap, 23 ft, xG 0.14 (P1 5:14) Michael Amadio: GOAL, backhand, 15 ft, xG 0.09 (P1 6:19) Matvei Michkov: GOAL, snap, 23 ft, xG 0.16 (P2 11:23) Jamie Drysdale: GOAL, snap, 16 ft, xG 0.19 (P3 9:55) Tim Stützle: GOAL, snap, 8 ft, xG 0.26 (OT 3:19)
About these numbers

xG comes from hockeystats.io's own model, a gradient-boosted tree model trained on every unblocked shot from the 2021-22 to 2025-26 regular seasons using the NHL's public play-by-play. Each shot's value is the share of similar shots that became goals. A team's xG is the sum over its shots; "deserve to win" asks how often the team would outscore its opponent if every shot went in at exactly that rate. Blocked shots count as attempts but have no xG (the NHL records where they were blocked, not where they were taken), so the map leaves them out.

Box score

Ottawa Senators

Skater GAP+/− AttxG HitBlkTOI
Forwards
24 Dylan Cozens 000 0 50.48 0020:02
12 Shane Pinto 011 0 40.44 0019:11
18 Tim Stützle 202 +2 20.40 1218:26
28 Claude Giroux 011 0 10.00 0118:20
19 Drake Batherson 011 0 50.44 0017:41
71 Ridly Greig 011 0 20.04 1115:44
20 Fabian Zetterlund 000 0 30.39 4014:55
22 Michael Amadio 101 +1 20.09 3013:59
16 David Perron 011 +1 30.08 2112:54
20 Lars Eller 000 -1 00.00 1110:41
21 Nick Cousins 000 -1 10.02 2010:25
Defense
85 Jake Sanderson 000 -2 30.01 0224:00
72 Thomas Chabot 011 +2 30.19 1523:02
4 Nick Jensen 000 0 20.03 1018:56
2 Artem Zub 000 0 20.01 0318:23
43 Tyler Kleven 000 0 10.03 0118:18
10 Jordan Spence 000 +1 00.00 2017:19
Goalie SAGA SVSV% xGA GSAx
Linus Ullmark 22220 .909 2.43 +0.43

Philadelphia Flyers

Skater GAP+/− AttxG HitBlkTOI
Forwards
46 Trevor Zegras 011 -1 40.13 1123:05
11 Travis Konecny 011 +1 50.33 3120:22
27 Noah Cates 000 0 20.13 0118:54
74 Owen Tippett 000 -1 30.11 0017:51
22 Christian Dvorak 022 +1 30.05 0016:51
14 Sean Couturier 000 -1 20.00 1016:39
10 Bobby Brink 000 -1 80.61 1016:37
39 Matvei Michkov 101 0 50.24 0114:10
91 Carl Grundstrom 000 0 10.08 2110:17
21 Garnet Hathaway 000 0 10.00 7009:15
18 Rodrigo Abols 000 0 30.19 1008:38
17 Nikita Grebenkin 000 0 20.11 2008:27
Defense
6 Travis Sanheim 000 -1 10.08 0026:00
9 Jamie Drysdale 101 0 30.20 0124:35
8 Cam York 000 0 30.05 0123:38
24 Nick Seeler 000 -1 40.03 1319:02
47 Noah Juulsen 000 +1 40.07 6014:26
36 Emil Andrae 000 0 20.03 1013:10
Goalie SAGA SVSV% xGA GSAx
Samuel Ersson 14311 .786 2.66 -0.34

Skaters by time on ice. Goalie lines count shots with the goalie in net, from the NHL play-by-play.

Player ratings

What each player added to the result, in goals, from most to least. Hover a number for what it's made of.

Ottawa Senators

Player Rating Points Shots On ice Pen FO Other GSAx TOI
18 Tim Stützle C +1.98 +1.50 +0.26 +0.08 0.00 +0.02 +0.12 — 18:26
22 Michael Amadio R +1.62 +0.75 +0.06 +0.79 0.00 0.00 +0.02 — 13:59
12 Shane Pinto C +1.19 +0.55 +0.29 +0.17 +0.15 +0.03 0.00 — 19:11
19 Drake Batherson R +1.12 +0.70 +0.28 +0.18 0.00 0.00 -0.04 — 17:41
20 Fabian Zetterlund L +0.97 0.00 +0.26 +0.72 0.00 0.00 0.00 — 14:55
57 David Perron L +0.89 +0.70 +0.05 +0.08 0.00 0.00 +0.05 — 12:54
72 Thomas Chabot D +0.70 +0.55 +0.12 -0.20 0.00 0.00 +0.23 — 23:02
28 Claude Giroux R +0.60 +0.70 0.00 -0.11 0.00 0.00 +0.01 — 18:20
2 Artem Zub D +0.57 0.00 +0.01 +0.60 -0.15 0.00 +0.11 — 18:23
24 Dylan Cozens C +0.53 0.00 +0.31 +0.25 0.00 +0.01 -0.04 — 20:02
35 Linus Ullmark G +0.43 0.00 — — 0.00 — — +0.43 63:19
85 Jake Sanderson D +0.35 0.00 +0.01 +0.27 0.00 0.00 +0.08 — 24:00
10 Jordan Spence D +0.06 0.00 0.00 +0.04 0.00 0.00 +0.02 — 17:19
71 Ridly Greig C -0.06 +0.55 +0.03 -0.66 0.00 -0.03 +0.05 — 15:44
89 Lars Eller C -0.36 0.00 0.00 -0.53 +0.15 +0.01 +0.01 — 10:41
3 Nick Jensen D -0.41 0.00 +0.02 -0.40 0.00 0.00 -0.02 — 18:56
15 Olle Lycksell R -0.45 0.00 0.00 -0.45 0.00 0.00 0.00 — 9:41
43 Tyler Kleven D -0.47 0.00 +0.02 -0.54 0.00 0.00 +0.05 — 18:18
21 Nick Cousins C -0.93 0.00 +0.01 -0.79 -0.15 +0.01 -0.02 — 10:25

Philadelphia Flyers

Player Rating Points Shots On ice Pen FO Other GSAx TOI
22 Christian Dvorak C +1.56 +1.40 +0.03 +0.11 0.00 +0.04 -0.02 — 16:51
9 Jamie Drysdale D +1.20 +0.75 +0.13 +0.29 0.00 0.00 +0.03 — 24:35
11 Travis Konecny R +1.00 +0.55 +0.21 +0.19 0.00 0.00 +0.05 — 20:22
10 Bobby Brink R +0.93 0.00 +0.40 +0.39 +0.15 -0.01 0.00 — 16:37
39 Matvei Michkov R +0.88 +0.75 +0.15 +0.10 -0.15 0.00 +0.03 — 14:10
46 Trevor Zegras C +0.65 +0.55 +0.09 -0.19 +0.15 0.00 +0.05 — 23:05
18 Rodrigo Abols C +0.56 0.00 +0.13 +0.48 0.00 -0.03 -0.02 — 8:38
29 Nikita Grebenkin R +0.43 0.00 +0.07 +0.36 0.00 0.00 0.00 — 8:27
19 Garnet Hathaway R +0.27 0.00 0.00 +0.27 0.00 0.00 0.00 — 9:15
47 Noah Juulsen D +0.26 0.00 +0.04 +0.24 0.00 0.00 -0.02 — 14:26
24 Nick Seeler D +0.19 0.00 +0.02 -0.02 0.00 0.00 +0.19 — 19:02
36 Emil Andrae D 0.00 0.00 +0.02 +0.13 -0.15 0.00 0.00 — 13:10
8 Cam York D -0.07 0.00 +0.03 -0.15 0.00 0.00 +0.05 — 23:38
14 Sean Couturier C -0.10 0.00 0.00 -0.12 0.00 0.00 +0.02 — 16:39
6 Travis Sanheim D -0.22 0.00 +0.05 -0.25 0.00 0.00 -0.02 — 26:00
27 Noah Cates L -0.23 0.00 +0.08 -0.32 0.00 -0.05 +0.05 — 18:54
74 Owen Tippett R -0.26 0.00 +0.07 -0.32 0.00 0.00 -0.02 — 17:51
33 Samuel Ersson G -0.34 0.00 — — 0.00 — — -0.34 63:19
91 Carl Grundstrom R -0.60 0.00 +0.05 -0.68 0.00 0.00 +0.03 — 10:17

An expected-goals take on Dom Luszczyszyn's Game Score: goals and assists, the quality of a player's own shots, shot quality for and against while they were on the ice at 5v5, penalties, faceoffs and puck plays, all in goals; goalies by goals saved above expected. From the NHL play-by-play and shift charts.