| Final | 1st | 2nd | 3rd | T | SOG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 26 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 33 |
No impact calculated for this game. Impacts are calculated for games in the next 7 days.
| 1st Period | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| 10:29 | Bo Horvat (10) Emil Heineman (4), Kyle Palmieri (7) · snap xG 0.16 | 1–0 ▶ | |
| 19:27 | Jonathan Drouin (2) Anthony Duclair (2), Jean-Gabriel Pageau (5) · backhand xG 0.17 | 2–0 ▶ | |
| 2nd Period | |||
| 18:42 | Bo Horvat (11)PP Jonathan Drouin (7), Mathew Barzal (9) · snap xG 0.17 | 3–0 ▶ | |
| 3rd Period | |||
| 17:59 | Jean-Gabriel Pageau (5)EN Simon Holmstrom (5), Jonathan Drouin (8) · wrist xG 0.85 | 4–0 ▶ | |
| 19:30 | Anders Lee (3) Jean-Gabriel Pageau (6), Anthony Duclair (3) · snap xG 0.18 | 5–0 ▶ | |
Score away–home after each goal; season totals in parentheses.
Expected goals (xG) rate every unblocked shot by how often shots like it go in, from where it was taken, the shot type, the strength and what happened just before it. How it works
| NYI | NYR | |
|---|---|---|
| 3.56 | Expected goals | 2.92 |
| 5 | Goals (no shootout) | 0 |
| 2.19 | Expected goals, 5 on 5 | 1.74 |
| 56 | Shot attempts | 66 |
| 40 | Unblocked attempts | 48 |
| 26 | Shots on goal | 33 |
What stood out as the game went on, from the play-by-play and the shifts. Time on the bench is counted in 5-on-5 play outside the penalty box; the note says the player sat, not why. Goals saved are against the shots' expected goals (xG).
| 3rd Period | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| 8:46 | NYI | Goalie | Goalie · Sorokin +2.1 goals saved
0 goals on 2.05 xG, 19 shots on goal |
| 14:55 | NYR | Pulled goalie | Pulled goalie · Pulled Shesterkin, down 3–0
With 5:05 left; NYI scored at 17:59 of the 3rd (4–0) |
xG comes from hockeystats.io's own model, a gradient-boosted tree model trained on every unblocked shot from the 2021-22 to 2025-26 regular seasons using the NHL's public play-by-play. Each shot's value is the share of similar shots that became goals. A team's xG is the sum over its shots; "deserve to win" asks how often the team would outscore its opponent if every shot went in at exactly that rate. Blocked shots count as attempts but have no xG (the NHL records where they were blocked, not where they were taken), so the map leaves them out.
| Skater | G | A | P | +/− | Att | xG | Hit | Blk | TOI | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Forwards | ||||||||||
| 13 | Mathew Barzal | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 7 | 0.38 | 0 | 1 | 21:58 |
| 92 | Jonathan Drouin | 1 | 2 | 3 | +2 | 1 | 0.17 | 0 | 1 | 19:30 |
| 14 | Bo Horvat | 2 | 0 | 2 | +1 | 6 | 0.54 | 1 | 0 | 18:11 |
| 21 | Kyle Palmieri | 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 4 | 0.39 | 1 | 0 | 17:34 |
| 92 | Simon Holmstrom | 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 3 | 0.00 | 0 | 1 | 16:26 |
| 44 | Jean-Gabriel Pageau | 1 | 2 | 3 | +3 | 3 | 1.17 | 3 | 2 | 16:23 |
| 72 | Anders Lee | 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 1 | 0.18 | 1 | 1 | 16:06 |
| 11 | Anthony Duclair | 0 | 2 | 2 | +2 | 1 | 0.00 | 0 | 2 | 12:44 |
| 51 | Emil Heineman | 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 5 | 0.28 | 1 | 0 | 12:09 |
| 72 | Maxim Tsyplakov | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.00 | 1 | 0 | 10:33 |
| 53 | Casey Cizikas | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0.05 | 4 | 0 | 09:20 |
| 64 | Calum Ritchie | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.22 | 0 | 0 | 07:54 |
| Defense | ||||||||||
| 6 | Ryan Pulock | 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 3 | 0.01 | 0 | 1 | 24:22 |
| 48 | Matthew Schaefer | 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 9 | 0.09 | 0 | 1 | 24:16 |
| 24 | Scott Mayfield | 0 | 0 | 0 | +2 | 1 | 0.00 | 2 | 5 | 20:34 |
| 3 | Adam Pelech | 0 | 0 | 0 | +2 | 2 | 0.02 | 0 | 2 | 17:50 |
| 28 | Alexander Romanov | 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 5 | 0.04 | 4 | 0 | 17:41 |
| 77 | Tony DeAngelo | 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 1 | 0.02 | 0 | 1 | 12:29 |
| Goalie | SA | GA | SV | SV% | xGA | GSAx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ilya Sorokin | 33 | 0 | 33 | 1.000 | 2.92 | +2.92 |
| Skater | G | A | P | +/− | Att | xG | Hit | Blk | TOI | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Forwards | ||||||||||
| 10 | Artemi Panarin | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2 | 9 | 0.50 | 0 | 0 | 22:18 |
| 93 | Mika Zibanejad | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2 | 10 | 0.68 | 1 | 1 | 21:58 |
| 10 | J.T. Miller | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2 | 6 | 0.21 | 5 | 1 | 20:33 |
| 50 | Will Cuylle | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2 | 5 | 0.44 | 0 | 1 | 18:37 |
| 13 | Alexis Lafrenière | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2 | 3 | 0.21 | 1 | 1 | 17:51 |
| 43 | Conor Sheary | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0.18 | 0 | 0 | 15:04 |
| 14 | Taylor Raddysh | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | 1 | 0.03 | 1 | 0 | 14:52 |
| 42 | Noah Laba | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 2 | 0 | 13:43 |
| 22 | Jonny Brodzinski | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 0.02 | 0 | 0 | 12:36 |
| 10 | Sam Carrick | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | 2 | 0.14 | 1 | 0 | 12:12 |
| Defense | ||||||||||
| 23 | Adam Fox | 0 | 0 | 0 | -3 | 9 | 0.12 | 0 | 2 | 26:27 |
| 44 | Vladislav Gavrikov | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2 | 7 | 0.19 | 0 | 1 | 20:15 |
| 7 | Carson Soucy | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.00 | 1 | 2 | 20:01 |
| 17 | Will Borgen | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0.03 | 1 | 1 | 17:26 |
| 4 | Braden Schneider | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | 1 | 0.00 | 0 | 3 | 16:41 |
| 18 | Urho Vaakanainen | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | 1 | 0.03 | 0 | 1 | 11:50 |
| Goalie | SA | GA | SV | SV% | xGA | GSAx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Igor Shesterkin | 25 | 4 | 21 | .840 | 2.72 | -1.28 |
Skaters by time on ice. Goalie lines count shots with the goalie in net, from the NHL play-by-play.
What each player added to the result, in goals, from most to least. Hover a number for what it's made of.
| Player | Rating | Points | Shots | On ice | Pen | FO | Other | GSAx | TOI |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 44 Jean-Gabriel Pageau C | +3.73 | +2.00 | +0.76 | +0.86 | 0.00 | +0.05 | +0.06 | — | 16:23 |
| 30 Ilya Sorokin G | +2.92 | 0.00 | — | — | 0.00 | — | — | +2.92 | 60:00 |
| 29 Jonathan Drouin L | +2.41 | +2.00 | +0.11 | +0.25 | 0.00 | +0.02 | +0.03 | — | 19:30 |
| 14 Bo Horvat C | +2.27 | +1.50 | +0.35 | +0.44 | 0.00 | +0.02 | -0.04 | — | 18:11 |
| 11 Anthony Duclair L | +2.02 | +1.25 | 0.00 | +0.67 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.10 | — | 12:44 |
| 27 Anders Lee L | +1.42 | +0.75 | +0.11 | +0.51 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.05 | — | 16:06 |
| 21 Kyle Palmieri C | +0.96 | +0.55 | +0.25 | +0.16 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | — | 17:34 |
| 3 Adam Pelech D | +0.95 | 0.00 | +0.01 | +0.83 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.10 | — | 17:50 |
| 51 Emil Heineman L | +0.91 | +0.70 | +0.18 | +0.17 | -0.15 | +0.01 | 0.00 | — | 12:09 |
| 13 Mathew Barzal C | +0.69 | +0.55 | +0.25 | -0.08 | 0.00 | -0.07 | +0.05 | — | 21:58 |
| 48 Matthew Schaefer D | +0.55 | 0.00 | +0.06 | +0.31 | +0.15 | 0.00 | +0.03 | — | 24:16 |
| 10 Simon Holmstrom R | +0.54 | +0.70 | 0.00 | -0.19 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.03 | — | 16:26 |
| 64 Calum Ritchie C | +0.49 | 0.00 | +0.14 | +0.19 | +0.15 | 0.00 | 0.00 | — | 7:54 |
| 77 Tony DeAngelo D | +0.41 | 0.00 | +0.01 | +0.50 | -0.15 | 0.00 | +0.05 | — | 12:29 |
| 24 Scott Mayfield D | +0.30 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.09 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.21 | — | 20:34 |
| 6 Ryan Pulock D | +0.13 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.04 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.09 | — | 24:22 |
| 28 Alexander Romanov D | +0.12 | 0.00 | +0.03 | +0.11 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -0.02 | — | 17:41 |
| 53 Casey Cizikas C | -0.06 | 0.00 | +0.03 | -0.08 | 0.00 | -0.01 | 0.00 | — | 9:20 |
| 7 Maxim Tsyplakov R | -0.12 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -0.10 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -0.02 | — | 10:33 |
| Player | Rating | Points | Shots | On ice | Pen | FO | Other | GSAx | TOI |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 93 Mika Zibanejad C | +0.60 | 0.00 | +0.44 | +0.09 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.07 | — | 21:58 |
| 10 Artemi Panarin L | +0.51 | 0.00 | +0.32 | +0.18 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | — | 22:18 |
| 17 Will Borgen D | +0.34 | 0.00 | +0.02 | +0.16 | +0.15 | 0.00 | +0.01 | — | 17:26 |
| 44 Vladislav Gavrikov D | +0.30 | 0.00 | +0.13 | +0.12 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.05 | — | 20:15 |
| 50 Will Cuylle L | +0.10 | 0.00 | +0.28 | -0.24 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.05 | — | 18:37 |
| 39 Sam Carrick C | +0.04 | 0.00 | +0.09 | -0.19 | +0.15 | -0.01 | 0.00 | — | 12:12 |
| 8 J.T. Miller C | +0.02 | 0.00 | +0.14 | -0.19 | 0.00 | +0.02 | +0.05 | — | 20:33 |
| 24 Carson Soucy D | -0.07 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -0.15 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.08 | — | 20:01 |
| 22 Jonny Brodzinski C | -0.18 | 0.00 | +0.01 | -0.19 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | — | 12:36 |
| 13 Alexis Lafrenière L | -0.21 | 0.00 | +0.14 | -0.39 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.05 | — | 17:51 |
| 49 Jaroslav Chmelar R | -0.31 | 0.00 | +0.09 | -0.40 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | — | 8:00 |
| 14 Taylor Raddysh R | -0.32 | 0.00 | +0.02 | -0.32 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -0.02 | — | 14:52 |
| 23 Adam Fox D | -0.33 | 0.00 | +0.08 | -0.46 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.06 | — | 26:27 |
| 18 Urho Vaakanainen D | -0.33 | 0.00 | +0.02 | -0.39 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.05 | — | 11:50 |
| 71 Juuso Parssinen C | -0.43 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -0.42 | 0.00 | +0.01 | -0.02 | — | 8:52 |
| 43 Conor Sheary L | -0.49 | 0.00 | +0.12 | -0.44 | -0.15 | 0.00 | -0.02 | — | 15:04 |
| 42 Noah Laba C | -0.63 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -0.44 | -0.15 | -0.04 | 0.00 | — | 13:43 |
| 4 Braden Schneider D | -0.93 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -1.02 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.09 | — | 16:41 |
| 31 Igor Shesterkin G | -1.28 | 0.00 | — | — | 0.00 | — | — | -1.28 | 56:56 |
An expected-goals take on Dom Luszczyszyn's Game Score: goals and assists, the quality of a player's own shots, shot quality for and against while they were on the ice at 5v5, penalties, faceoffs and puck plays, all in goals; goalies by goals saved above expected. From the NHL play-by-play and shift charts.