New York IslandersNYI 5–0 Final New York RangersNYR

Saturday, November 8, 2025

Final 1st2nd3rd T SOG
New York IslandersNYI 212 5 26
New York RangersNYR 000 0 33

No impact calculated for this game. Impacts are calculated for games in the next 7 days.

Highlights

Scoring

1st Period
10:29 NYI Bo Horvat (10) Emil Heineman (4), Kyle Palmieri (7) · snap xG 0.16 1–0 ▶
19:27 NYI Jonathan Drouin (2) Anthony Duclair (2), Jean-Gabriel Pageau (5) · backhand xG 0.17 2–0 ▶
2nd Period
18:42 NYI Bo Horvat (11)PP Jonathan Drouin (7), Mathew Barzal (9) · snap xG 0.17 3–0 ▶
3rd Period
17:59 NYI Jean-Gabriel Pageau (5)EN Simon Holmstrom (5), Jonathan Drouin (8) · wrist xG 0.85 4–0 ▶
19:30 NYI Anders Lee (3) Jean-Gabriel Pageau (6), Anthony Duclair (3) · snap xG 0.18 5–0 ▶

Score away–home after each goal; season totals in parentheses.

Shot quality

Expected goals (xG) rate every unblocked shot by how often shots like it go in, from where it was taken, the shot type, the strength and what happened just before it. How it works

NYI 47%Deserve to win53% NYR
NYINYR
3.56Expected goals2.92
5Goals (no shootout)0
2.19Expected goals, 5 on 51.74
56Shot attempts66
40Unblocked attempts48
26Shots on goal33

Game notes

What stood out as the game went on, from the play-by-play and the shifts. Time on the bench is counted in 5-on-5 play outside the penalty box; the note says the player sat, not why. Goals saved are against the shots' expected goals (xG).

3rd Period
8:46 NYI Goalie Goalie · Sorokin +2.1 goals saved
0 goals on 2.05 xG, 19 shots on goal
14:55 NYR Pulled goalie Pulled goalie · Pulled Shesterkin, down 3–0
With 5:05 left; NYI scored at 17:59 of the 3rd (4–0)

Shot map

NYI shoots ←Bigger circle: higher xG; filled: goal→ NYR shoots
Mika Zibanejad: slap, 50 ft, xG 0.01 (P1 0:12) Artemi Panarin: poke, 6 ft, xG 0.13 (P1 0:14) Vladislav Gavrikov: snap, 48 ft, xG 0.03 (P1 0:38) Kyle Palmieri: wrist, 17 ft, xG 0.13 (P1 1:42) Vladislav Gavrikov: snap, 67 ft, xG 0.00 (P1 2:31) Ryan Pulock: wrist, 61 ft, xG 0.00 (P1 3:02) Casey Cizikas: slap, 49 ft, xG 0.01 (P1 3:05) Matthew Schaefer: snap, 45 ft, xG 0.03 (P1 3:35) Will Cuylle: snap, 7 ft, xG 0.22 (P1 4:08) J.T. Miller: snap, 35 ft, xG 0.05 (P1 5:01) Simon Holmstrom: wrist, 154 ft, xG 0.00 (P1 5:42) Emil Heineman: snap, 32 ft, xG 0.12 (P1 5:59) Mika Zibanejad: snap, 37 ft, xG 0.08 (P1 7:29) Alexander Romanov: snap, 71 ft, xG 0.01 (P1 7:44) Mika Zibanejad: slap, 24 ft, xG 0.13 (P1 7:59) Vladislav Gavrikov: snap, 43 ft, xG 0.05 (P1 8:12) Mathew Barzal: backhand, 16 ft, xG 0.02 (P1 9:29) Casey Cizikas: tip-in, 23 ft, xG 0.03 (P1 9:41) Adam Pelech: snap, 61 ft, xG 0.02 (P1 10:04) Will Cuylle: tip-in, 5 ft, xG 0.16 (P1 10:22) Jean-Gabriel Pageau: snap, 26 ft, xG 0.09 (P1 10:57) Artemi Panarin: wrist, 47 ft, xG 0.03 (P1 12:01) Will Cuylle: wrist, 58 ft, xG 0.00 (P1 13:24) Ryan Pulock: wrist, 176 ft, xG 0.00 (P1 13:28) Mathew Barzal: tip-in, 20 ft, xG 0.07 (P1 14:51) Mika Zibanejad: deflected, 124 ft, xG 0.00 (P1 15:04) Emil Heineman: wrist, 45 ft, xG 0.02 (P1 16:19) Will Cuylle: wrap-around, 7 ft, xG 0.04 (P1 19:42) Matthew Schaefer: wrist, 69 ft, xG 0.01 (P2 0:22) Matthew Schaefer: wrist, 139 ft, xG 0.00 (P2 0:43) Will Borgen: slap, 63 ft, xG 0.02 (P2 0:53) Alexander Romanov: wrist, 45 ft, xG 0.02 (P2 2:46) Mathew Barzal: wrist, 23 ft, xG 0.03 (P2 3:07) Calum Ritchie: wrist, 8 ft, xG 0.22 (P2 3:09) Matthew Schaefer: wrist, 48 ft, xG 0.01 (P2 3:39) Bo Horvat: wrist, 14 ft, xG 0.04 (P2 4:48) Tony DeAngelo: tip-in, 61 ft, xG 0.02 (P2 4:57) Anthony Duclair: wrist, 43 ft, xG 0.00 (P2 5:06) Adam Fox: wrist, 42 ft, xG 0.01 (P2 5:32) Vladislav Gavrikov: slap, 59 ft, xG 0.03 (P2 5:37) Vladislav Gavrikov: slap, 55 ft, xG 0.03 (P2 8:25) Alexander Romanov: slap, 45 ft, xG 0.02 (P2 11:29) Sam Carrick: tip-in, 14 ft, xG 0.10 (P2 13:11) J.T. Miller: snap, 44 ft, xG 0.03 (P2 13:31) Artemi Panarin: slap, 47 ft, xG 0.06 (P2 13:40) Mika Zibanejad: deflected, 19 ft, xG 0.10 (P2 13:53) J.T. Miller: poke, 5 ft, xG 0.11 (P2 13:54) Mika Zibanejad: snap, 24 ft, xG 0.16 (P2 14:38) Jonny Brodzinski: wrist, 26 ft, xG 0.02 (P2 15:54) Bo Horvat: snap, 34 ft, xG 0.07 (P2 16:33) Kyle Palmieri: slap, 35 ft, xG 0.10 (P2 17:33) Kyle Palmieri: deflected, 8 ft, xG 0.16 (P2 18:08) Emil Heineman: backhand, 35 ft, xG 0.01 (P2 19:49) Emil Heineman: snap, 18 ft, xG 0.14 (P2 19:56) Mathew Barzal: wrist, 49 ft, xG 0.01 (P3 0:36) Sam Carrick: wrist, 29 ft, xG 0.04 (P3 3:21) Jaroslav Chmelar: wrist, 7 ft, xG 0.14 (P3 3:23) Conor Sheary: wrist, 43 ft, xG 0.04 (P3 3:35) Bo Horvat: slap, 37 ft, xG 0.10 (P3 6:07) Jean-Gabriel Pageau: wrist, 11 ft, xG 0.23 (P3 6:55) Artemi Panarin: snap, 42 ft, xG 0.05 (P3 7:24) Alexis Lafrenière: wrist, 11 ft, xG 0.13 (P3 8:23) Vladislav Gavrikov: snap, 40 ft, xG 0.05 (P3 8:46) Artemi Panarin: snap, 27 ft, xG 0.12 (P3 9:10) Adam Fox: wrist, 52 ft, xG 0.02 (P3 9:26) Urho Vaakanainen: wrist, 38 ft, xG 0.03 (P3 10:53) Mathew Barzal: tip-in, 13 ft, xG 0.05 (P3 11:57) Mathew Barzal: wrist, 26 ft, xG 0.19 (P3 12:08) Matthew Schaefer: snap, 43 ft, xG 0.04 (P3 12:44) Will Cuylle: slap, 47 ft, xG 0.02 (P3 13:41) Adam Fox: snap, 41 ft, xG 0.01 (P3 14:41) Mika Zibanejad: tip-in, 8 ft, xG 0.08 (P3 14:43) Mika Zibanejad: backhand, 13 ft, xG 0.04 (P3 14:45) Adam Fox: deflected, 18 ft, xG 0.07 (P3 14:52) Alexis Lafrenière: tip-in, 17 ft, xG 0.08 (P3 15:04) Mika Zibanejad: tip-in, 20 ft, xG 0.04 (P3 15:14) Mika Zibanejad: slap, 26 ft, xG 0.04 (P3 15:29) J.T. Miller: wrist, 46 ft, xG 0.02 (P3 16:00) Artemi Panarin: snap, 34 ft, xG 0.09 (P3 16:14) Conor Sheary: wrist, 18 ft, xG 0.14 (P3 16:52) Artemi Panarin: slap, 51 ft, xG 0.03 (P3 17:41) Will Borgen: wrist, 56 ft, xG 0.01 (P3 18:39) Taylor Raddysh: backhand, 7 ft, xG 0.03 (P3 18:40) Bo Horvat: GOAL, snap, 18 ft, xG 0.16 (P1 10:29) Jonathan Drouin: GOAL, backhand, 8 ft, xG 0.17 (P1 19:27) Bo Horvat: GOAL, snap, 28 ft, xG 0.17 (P2 18:42) Jean-Gabriel Pageau: GOAL, wrist, 40 ft, xG 0.85 (P3 17:59) Anders Lee: GOAL, snap, 23 ft, xG 0.18 (P3 19:30)
About these numbers

xG comes from hockeystats.io's own model, a gradient-boosted tree model trained on every unblocked shot from the 2021-22 to 2025-26 regular seasons using the NHL's public play-by-play. Each shot's value is the share of similar shots that became goals. A team's xG is the sum over its shots; "deserve to win" asks how often the team would outscore its opponent if every shot went in at exactly that rate. Blocked shots count as attempts but have no xG (the NHL records where they were blocked, not where they were taken), so the map leaves them out.

Box score

New York Islanders

Skater GAP+/− AttxG HitBlkTOI
Forwards
13 Mathew Barzal 011 0 70.38 0121:58
92 Jonathan Drouin 123 +2 10.17 0119:30
14 Bo Horvat 202 +1 60.54 1018:11
21 Kyle Palmieri 011 +1 40.39 1017:34
92 Simon Holmstrom 011 +1 30.00 0116:26
44 Jean-Gabriel Pageau 123 +3 31.17 3216:23
72 Anders Lee 101 +1 10.18 1116:06
11 Anthony Duclair 022 +2 10.00 0212:44
51 Emil Heineman 011 +1 50.28 1012:09
72 Maxim Tsyplakov 000 0 10.00 1010:33
53 Casey Cizikas 000 0 20.05 4009:20
64 Calum Ritchie 000 0 10.22 0007:54
Defense
6 Ryan Pulock 000 +1 30.01 0124:22
48 Matthew Schaefer 000 +1 90.09 0124:16
24 Scott Mayfield 000 +2 10.00 2520:34
3 Adam Pelech 000 +2 20.02 0217:50
28 Alexander Romanov 000 +1 50.04 4017:41
77 Tony DeAngelo 000 +1 10.02 0112:29
Goalie SAGA SVSV% xGA GSAx
Ilya Sorokin 33033 1.000 2.92 +2.92

New York Rangers

Skater GAP+/− AttxG HitBlkTOI
Forwards
10 Artemi Panarin 000 -2 90.50 0022:18
93 Mika Zibanejad 000 -2 100.68 1121:58
10 J.T. Miller 000 -2 60.21 5120:33
50 Will Cuylle 000 -2 50.44 0118:37
13 Alexis Lafrenière 000 -2 30.21 1117:51
43 Conor Sheary 000 0 20.18 0015:04
14 Taylor Raddysh 000 -1 10.03 1014:52
42 Noah Laba 000 0 00.00 2013:43
22 Jonny Brodzinski 000 0 40.02 0012:36
10 Sam Carrick 000 -1 20.14 1012:12
Defense
23 Adam Fox 000 -3 90.12 0226:27
44 Vladislav Gavrikov 000 -2 70.19 0120:15
7 Carson Soucy 000 0 10.00 1220:01
17 Will Borgen 000 0 30.03 1117:26
4 Braden Schneider 000 -1 10.00 0316:41
18 Urho Vaakanainen 000 -1 10.03 0111:50
Goalie SAGA SVSV% xGA GSAx
Igor Shesterkin 25421 .840 2.72 -1.28

Skaters by time on ice. Goalie lines count shots with the goalie in net, from the NHL play-by-play.

Player ratings

What each player added to the result, in goals, from most to least. Hover a number for what it's made of.

New York Islanders

Player Rating Points Shots On ice Pen FO Other GSAx TOI
44 Jean-Gabriel Pageau C +3.73 +2.00 +0.76 +0.86 0.00 +0.05 +0.06 — 16:23
30 Ilya Sorokin G +2.92 0.00 — — 0.00 — — +2.92 60:00
29 Jonathan Drouin L +2.41 +2.00 +0.11 +0.25 0.00 +0.02 +0.03 — 19:30
14 Bo Horvat C +2.27 +1.50 +0.35 +0.44 0.00 +0.02 -0.04 — 18:11
11 Anthony Duclair L +2.02 +1.25 0.00 +0.67 0.00 0.00 +0.10 — 12:44
27 Anders Lee L +1.42 +0.75 +0.11 +0.51 0.00 0.00 +0.05 — 16:06
21 Kyle Palmieri C +0.96 +0.55 +0.25 +0.16 0.00 0.00 0.00 — 17:34
3 Adam Pelech D +0.95 0.00 +0.01 +0.83 0.00 0.00 +0.10 — 17:50
51 Emil Heineman L +0.91 +0.70 +0.18 +0.17 -0.15 +0.01 0.00 — 12:09
13 Mathew Barzal C +0.69 +0.55 +0.25 -0.08 0.00 -0.07 +0.05 — 21:58
48 Matthew Schaefer D +0.55 0.00 +0.06 +0.31 +0.15 0.00 +0.03 — 24:16
10 Simon Holmstrom R +0.54 +0.70 0.00 -0.19 0.00 0.00 +0.03 — 16:26
64 Calum Ritchie C +0.49 0.00 +0.14 +0.19 +0.15 0.00 0.00 — 7:54
77 Tony DeAngelo D +0.41 0.00 +0.01 +0.50 -0.15 0.00 +0.05 — 12:29
24 Scott Mayfield D +0.30 0.00 0.00 +0.09 0.00 0.00 +0.21 — 20:34
6 Ryan Pulock D +0.13 0.00 0.00 +0.04 0.00 0.00 +0.09 — 24:22
28 Alexander Romanov D +0.12 0.00 +0.03 +0.11 0.00 0.00 -0.02 — 17:41
53 Casey Cizikas C -0.06 0.00 +0.03 -0.08 0.00 -0.01 0.00 — 9:20
7 Maxim Tsyplakov R -0.12 0.00 0.00 -0.10 0.00 0.00 -0.02 — 10:33

New York Rangers

Player Rating Points Shots On ice Pen FO Other GSAx TOI
93 Mika Zibanejad C +0.60 0.00 +0.44 +0.09 0.00 0.00 +0.07 — 21:58
10 Artemi Panarin L +0.51 0.00 +0.32 +0.18 0.00 0.00 0.00 — 22:18
17 Will Borgen D +0.34 0.00 +0.02 +0.16 +0.15 0.00 +0.01 — 17:26
44 Vladislav Gavrikov D +0.30 0.00 +0.13 +0.12 0.00 0.00 +0.05 — 20:15
50 Will Cuylle L +0.10 0.00 +0.28 -0.24 0.00 0.00 +0.05 — 18:37
39 Sam Carrick C +0.04 0.00 +0.09 -0.19 +0.15 -0.01 0.00 — 12:12
8 J.T. Miller C +0.02 0.00 +0.14 -0.19 0.00 +0.02 +0.05 — 20:33
24 Carson Soucy D -0.07 0.00 0.00 -0.15 0.00 0.00 +0.08 — 20:01
22 Jonny Brodzinski C -0.18 0.00 +0.01 -0.19 0.00 0.00 0.00 — 12:36
13 Alexis Lafrenière L -0.21 0.00 +0.14 -0.39 0.00 0.00 +0.05 — 17:51
49 Jaroslav Chmelar R -0.31 0.00 +0.09 -0.40 0.00 0.00 0.00 — 8:00
14 Taylor Raddysh R -0.32 0.00 +0.02 -0.32 0.00 0.00 -0.02 — 14:52
23 Adam Fox D -0.33 0.00 +0.08 -0.46 0.00 0.00 +0.06 — 26:27
18 Urho Vaakanainen D -0.33 0.00 +0.02 -0.39 0.00 0.00 +0.05 — 11:50
71 Juuso Parssinen C -0.43 0.00 0.00 -0.42 0.00 +0.01 -0.02 — 8:52
43 Conor Sheary L -0.49 0.00 +0.12 -0.44 -0.15 0.00 -0.02 — 15:04
42 Noah Laba C -0.63 0.00 0.00 -0.44 -0.15 -0.04 0.00 — 13:43
4 Braden Schneider D -0.93 0.00 0.00 -1.02 0.00 0.00 +0.09 — 16:41
31 Igor Shesterkin G -1.28 0.00 — — 0.00 — — -1.28 56:56

An expected-goals take on Dom Luszczyszyn's Game Score: goals and assists, the quality of a player's own shots, shot quality for and against while they were on the ice at 5v5, penalties, faceoffs and puck plays, all in goals; goalies by goals saved above expected. From the NHL play-by-play and shift charts.