Seattle KrakenSEA 4–3 Final/OT St. Louis BluesSTL

Saturday, November 8, 2025

Final/OT 1st2nd3rdOT T SOG
Seattle KrakenSEA 0211 4 30
St. Louis BluesSTL 2010 3 19

No impact calculated for this game. Impacts are calculated for games in the next 7 days.

Highlights

Scoring

1st Period
5:30 STL Dylan Holloway (3) Unassisted · wrist xG 0.11 0–1 ▶
9:40 STL Dalibor Dvorsky (2)PP Cam Fowler (6), Pavel Buchnevich (5) · snap xG 0.11 0–2 ▶
2nd Period
8:28 SEA Ryker Evans (1) Eeli Tolvanen (5), Tye Kartye (2) · slap xG 0.02 1–2 ▶
15:25 SEA Eeli Tolvanen (1)PP Vince Dunn (6), Jordan Eberle (6) · snap xG 0.13 2–2 ▶
3rd Period
5:10 STL Jordan Kyrou (5) Philip Broberg (5), Robert Thomas (7) · wrist xG 0.14 2–3 ▶
19:58 SEA Chandler Stephenson (4) Matty Beniers (7), Brandon Montour (6) · wrist xG 0.06 3–3 ▶
Overtime
1:57 SEA Shane Wright (4) Eeli Tolvanen (6), Ryker Evans (1) · wrist xG 0.21 4–3 ▶

Score away–home after each goal; season totals in parentheses.

Shot quality

Expected goals (xG) rate every unblocked shot by how often shots like it go in, from where it was taken, the shot type, the strength and what happened just before it. How it works

SEA 48%Deserve to win52% STL
SEASTL
2.21Expected goals3.02
4Goals (no shootout)3
1.51Expected goals, 5 on 52.16
67Shot attempts42
44Unblocked attempts31
30Shots on goal19

Game notes

What stood out as the game went on, from the play-by-play and the shifts. Time on the bench is counted in 5-on-5 play outside the penalty box; the note says the player sat, not why. Goals saved are against the shots' expected goals (xG).

3rd Period
17:18 SEA Pulled goalie Pulled goalie · Pulled Grubauer, down 3–2
With 2:42 left
18:49 SEA Pulled goalie Pulled goalie · Pulled Grubauer, down 3–2
With 1:11 left; SEA scored at 19:58 of the 3rd (3–3)

Shot map

SEA shoots ←Bigger circle: higher xG; filled: goal→ STL shoots
Jaden Schwartz: wrist, 30 ft, xG 0.01 (P1 0:24) Robert Thomas: wrist, 56 ft, xG 0.02 (P1 1:04) Jordan Eberle: wrist, 51 ft, xG 0.01 (P1 1:12) Mason Marchment: wrist, 54 ft, xG 0.01 (P1 1:49) Adam Larsson: wrist, 38 ft, xG 0.02 (P1 2:26) Tye Kartye: wrist, 41 ft, xG 0.03 (P1 2:31) Kaapo Kakko: wrist, 35 ft, xG 0.04 (P1 4:30) Jordan Eberle: wrist, 31 ft, xG 0.02 (P1 6:05) Adam Larsson: slap, 59 ft, xG 0.04 (P1 6:15) Robert Thomas: wrist, 30 ft, xG 0.04 (P1 6:27) Philip Broberg: slap, 61 ft, xG 0.03 (P1 6:45) Brayden Schenn: bat, 7 ft, xG 0.26 (P1 6:49) Brandon Montour: wrist, 52 ft, xG 0.03 (P1 7:33) Jordan Eberle: wrist, 49 ft, xG 0.01 (P1 9:00) Dalibor Dvorsky: wrist, 23 ft, xG 0.06 (P1 9:33) Philip Broberg: wrist, 28 ft, xG 0.06 (P1 11:18) Dalibor Dvorsky: wrist, 47 ft, xG 0.02 (P1 11:42) Nick Bjugstad: slap, 35 ft, xG 0.09 (P1 14:15) Berkly Catton: snap, 24 ft, xG 0.13 (P1 14:59) Jamie Oleksiak: wrist, 57 ft, xG 0.03 (P1 15:18) Jordan Eberle: wrist, 14 ft, xG 0.11 (P1 15:20) Jordan Kyrou: wrist, 44 ft, xG 0.04 (P1 17:58) Eeli Tolvanen: slap, 28 ft, xG 0.01 (P1 18:06) Mason Marchment: backhand, 47 ft, xG 0.02 (P1 19:12) Jordan Eberle: wrist, 31 ft, xG 0.04 (P2 1:14) Jordan Kyrou: wrist, 22 ft, xG 0.16 (P2 1:27) Tye Kartye: wrist, 9 ft, xG 0.16 (P2 1:53) Vince Dunn: wrist, 43 ft, xG 0.00 (P2 2:02) Adam Larsson: slap, 69 ft, xG 0.00 (P2 2:10) Mason Marchment: snap, 22 ft, xG 0.14 (P2 2:22) Shane Wright: wrist, 39 ft, xG 0.05 (P2 4:02) Jordan Kyrou: wrist, 33 ft, xG 0.08 (P2 7:17) Eeli Tolvanen: wrist, 67 ft, xG 0.01 (P2 8:02) Eeli Tolvanen: wrist, 23 ft, xG 0.02 (P2 8:20) Philip Broberg: snap, 19 ft, xG 0.14 (P2 8:47) Jaden Schwartz: wrist, 18 ft, xG 0.19 (P2 10:35) Jordan Kyrou: snap, 59 ft, xG 0.00 (P2 11:07) Tye Kartye: snap, 42 ft, xG 0.05 (P2 11:35) Tye Kartye: slap, 31 ft, xG 0.08 (P2 11:51) Eeli Tolvanen: wrist, 41 ft, xG 0.04 (P2 11:59) Dylan Holloway: wrist, 37 ft, xG 0.06 (P2 12:31) Cam Fowler: wrist, 66 ft, xG 0.01 (P2 14:04) Jordan Eberle: wrist, 15 ft, xG 0.08 (P2 14:57) Vince Dunn: slap, 51 ft, xG 0.05 (P2 15:23) Pius Suter: tip-in, 9 ft, xG 0.10 (P2 16:11) Kaapo Kakko: wrist, 18 ft, xG 0.04 (P2 17:40) Ryker Evans: backhand, 75 ft, xG 0.00 (P2 18:31) Pius Suter: wrist, 29 ft, xG 0.04 (P2 18:54) Justin Faulk: slap, 61 ft, xG 0.02 (P2 19:02) Adam Larsson: slap, 67 ft, xG 0.01 (P3 0:38) Nathan Walker: wrist, 39 ft, xG 0.01 (P3 3:40) Philip Broberg: wrist, 9 ft, xG 0.17 (P3 4:58) Philip Broberg: wrist, 9 ft, xG 0.02 (P3 4:59) Matthew Kessel: wrist, 48 ft, xG 0.01 (P3 5:31) Tyler Tucker: wrist, 35 ft, xG 0.02 (P3 5:44) Justin Faulk: wrist, 17 ft, xG 0.15 (P3 6:01) Brandon Montour: wrist, 54 ft, xG 0.01 (P3 6:27) Brandon Montour: wrist, 40 ft, xG 0.02 (P3 6:40) Jaden Schwartz: backhand, 21 ft, xG 0.02 (P3 9:50) Kaapo Kakko: wrist, 15 ft, xG 0.10 (P3 10:16) Vince Dunn: wrist, 43 ft, xG 0.05 (P3 11:54) Jordan Eberle: wrist, 17 ft, xG 0.07 (P3 12:48) Ben Meyers: wrist, 43 ft, xG 0.02 (P3 14:13) Alexey Toropchenko: deflected, 3 ft, xG 0.35 (P3 15:33) Cam Fowler: slap, 67 ft, xG 0.01 (P3 16:53) Joel Hofer: wrist, 187 ft, xG 0.33 (P3 17:49) Nick Bjugstad: wrist, 147 ft, xG 0.36 (P3 18:29) Brandon Montour: backhand, 27 ft, xG 0.01 (P3 19:53) Dylan Holloway: GOAL, wrist, 31 ft, xG 0.11 (P1 5:30) Dalibor Dvorsky: GOAL, snap, 31 ft, xG 0.11 (P1 9:40) Ryker Evans: GOAL, slap, 45 ft, xG 0.02 (P2 8:28) Eeli Tolvanen: GOAL, snap, 23 ft, xG 0.13 (P2 15:25) Jordan Kyrou: GOAL, wrist, 12 ft, xG 0.14 (P3 5:10) Chandler Stephenson: GOAL, wrist, 39 ft, xG 0.06 (P3 19:58) Shane Wright: GOAL, wrist, 13 ft, xG 0.21 (OT 1:57)
About these numbers

xG comes from hockeystats.io's own model, a gradient-boosted tree model trained on every unblocked shot from the 2021-22 to 2025-26 regular seasons using the NHL's public play-by-play. Each shot's value is the share of similar shots that became goals. A team's xG is the sum over its shots; "deserve to win" asks how often the team would outscore its opponent if every shot went in at exactly that rate. Blocked shots count as attempts but have no xG (the NHL records where they were blocked, not where they were taken), so the map leaves them out.

Box score

Seattle Kraken

Skater GAP+/− AttxG HitBlkTOI
Forwards
9 Chandler Stephenson 101 0 10.06 0121:48
7 Jordan Eberle 011 +1 90.34 0021:08
10 Matty Beniers 011 +1 10.00 0120:54
27 Mason Marchment 000 0 40.17 1019:28
71 Jaden Schwartz 000 +1 70.22 1119:14
84 Kaapo Kakko 000 0 30.19 0016:40
17 Eeli Tolvanen 123 +1 60.21 3115:17
51 Shane Wright 101 +1 20.26 0012:41
59 Ben Meyers 000 0 10.02 3011:01
26 Ryan Winterton 000 -1 10.00 1010:54
24 Tye Kartye 011 -1 40.31 1010:22
27 Berkly Catton 000 0 10.13 0010:05
Defense
29 Vince Dunn 011 +1 90.10 0224:13
62 Brandon Montour 011 0 40.07 0223:48
55 Ryan Lindgren 000 -1 20.00 0119:04
41 Ryker Evans 112 +1 60.02 2017:44
6 Adam Larsson 000 0 50.07 1116:16
4 Jamie Oleksiak 000 0 10.03 1015:10
Goalie SAGA SVSV% xGA GSAx
Philipp Grubauer 19316 .842 2.33 -0.67

St. Louis Blues

Skater GAP+/− AttxG HitBlkTOI
Forwards
22 Pius Suter 000 -1 20.14 0020:42
81 Dylan Holloway 101 0 20.17 2419:47
10 Brayden Schenn 000 +1 10.26 3217:32
18 Robert Thomas 011 0 30.06 0116:05
25 Jordan Kyrou 101 +1 60.42 0116:00
89 Pavel Buchnevich 011 0 00.00 0014:18
72 Nick Bjugstad 000 -1 20.45 2013:38
26 Nathan Walker 000 0 10.01 8113:36
21 Mathieu Joseph 000 0 20.00 1013:19
13 Alexey Toropchenko 000 -1 20.35 1012:35
21 Jimmy Snuggerud 000 -1 00.00 2012:21
15 Dalibor Dvorsky 101 0 30.19 4111:13
Defense
6 Philip Broberg 011 +1 60.42 0125:32
55 Colton Parayko 000 0 20.00 1425:17
17 Cam Fowler 011 -1 40.03 0123:41
72 Justin Faulk 000 -1 20.17 2422:05
4 Matthew Kessel 000 0 10.01 4011:47
75 Tyler Tucker 000 0 20.02 2211:27
Goalie SAGA SVSV% xGA GSAx
Joel Hofer 30426 .867 2.21 -1.79

Skaters by time on ice. Goalie lines count shots with the goalie in net, from the NHL play-by-play.

Player ratings

What each player added to the result, in goals, from most to least. Hover a number for what it's made of.

Seattle Kraken

Player Rating Points Shots On ice Pen FO Other GSAx TOI
20 Eeli Tolvanen R +2.39 +2.15 +0.14 +0.07 0.00 0.00 +0.03 — 15:17
29 Vince Dunn D +0.97 +0.70 +0.07 +0.29 -0.15 0.00 +0.06 — 24:13
41 Ryker Evans D +0.86 +1.30 +0.02 -0.42 0.00 0.00 -0.04 — 17:44
51 Shane Wright C +0.79 +0.75 +0.17 -0.08 0.00 -0.03 -0.02 — 12:41
12 Tye Kartye L +0.66 +0.55 +0.20 -0.23 +0.15 -0.01 0.00 — 10:22
10 Matty Beniers C +0.59 +0.70 0.00 -0.15 0.00 -0.01 +0.05 — 20:54
6 Adam Larsson D +0.54 0.00 +0.05 +0.44 0.00 0.00 +0.05 — 16:16
7 Jordan Eberle R +0.46 +0.55 +0.22 -0.31 0.00 0.00 0.00 — 21:08
77 Berkly Catton C +0.41 0.00 +0.08 +0.33 0.00 0.00 0.00 — 10:05
59 Ben Meyers C +0.21 0.00 +0.01 +0.22 0.00 -0.02 0.00 — 11:01
24 Jamie Oleksiak D +0.11 0.00 +0.02 +0.07 0.00 0.00 +0.02 — 15:10
9 Chandler Stephenson C +0.04 +0.75 +0.04 -0.84 0.00 +0.02 +0.07 — 21:48
17 Jaden Schwartz L -0.12 0.00 +0.14 -0.29 0.00 +0.01 +0.01 — 19:14
62 Brandon Montour D -0.15 +0.55 +0.04 -0.97 +0.15 0.00 +0.08 — 23:48
84 Kaapo Kakko R -0.20 0.00 +0.12 -0.27 0.00 0.00 -0.06 — 16:40
26 Ryan Winterton C -0.37 0.00 0.00 -0.35 0.00 0.00 -0.02 — 10:54
31 Philipp Grubauer G -0.67 0.00 — — 0.00 — — -0.67 59:33
27 Mason Marchment L -0.68 0.00 +0.11 -0.70 0.00 -0.02 -0.08 — 19:28
55 Ryan Lindgren D -0.96 0.00 0.00 -1.14 +0.15 0.00 +0.03 — 19:04

St. Louis Blues

Player Rating Points Shots On ice Pen FO Other GSAx TOI
25 Jordan Kyrou R +2.57 +0.75 +0.28 +1.32 +0.15 0.00 +0.07 — 16:00
6 Philip Broberg D +2.54 +0.70 +0.27 +1.52 0.00 0.00 +0.05 — 25:32
55 Colton Parayko D +1.70 0.00 0.00 +1.52 0.00 0.00 +0.18 — 25:17
81 Dylan Holloway L +1.59 +0.75 +0.11 +0.54 0.00 0.00 +0.18 — 19:47
10 Brayden Schenn C +1.34 0.00 +0.17 +1.05 0.00 +0.02 +0.10 — 17:32
18 Robert Thomas C +1.31 +0.55 +0.04 +0.71 0.00 +0.02 -0.01 — 16:05
89 Pavel Buchnevich L +1.05 +0.55 0.00 +0.52 0.00 0.00 -0.02 — 14:18
22 Pius Suter C +0.82 0.00 +0.09 +0.73 0.00 +0.02 -0.02 — 20:42
77 Nick Bjugstad C +0.23 0.00 +0.30 -0.05 0.00 -0.01 0.00 — 13:38
54 Dalibor Dvorsky R +0.09 +0.75 +0.12 -0.71 -0.15 +0.02 +0.05 — 11:13
75 Tyler Tucker D +0.03 0.00 +0.01 +0.09 -0.15 0.00 +0.08 — 11:27
17 Cam Fowler D +0.01 +0.70 +0.02 -0.74 0.00 0.00 +0.03 — 23:41
13 Alexey Toropchenko R -0.06 0.00 +0.23 -0.29 0.00 0.00 0.00 — 12:35
51 Matthew Kessel D -0.12 0.00 +0.01 -0.12 0.00 0.00 0.00 — 11:47
72 Justin Faulk D -0.22 0.00 +0.11 -0.53 0.00 0.00 +0.20 — 22:05
26 Nathan Walker L -0.24 0.00 0.00 -0.27 0.00 0.00 +0.03 — 13:36
71 Mathieu Joseph R -0.30 0.00 0.00 -0.27 0.00 -0.01 -0.02 — 13:19
21 Jimmy Snuggerud R -0.89 0.00 0.00 -0.70 -0.15 0.00 -0.04 — 12:21
30 Joel Hofer G -1.79 0.00 — — 0.00 — — -1.79 61:57

An expected-goals take on Dom Luszczyszyn's Game Score: goals and assists, the quality of a player's own shots, shot quality for and against while they were on the ice at 5v5, penalties, faceoffs and puck plays, all in goals; goalies by goals saved above expected. From the NHL play-by-play and shift charts.