| Final/OT | 1st | 2nd | 3rd | OT | T | SOG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 30 | |
| 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 19 |
No impact calculated for this game. Impacts are calculated for games in the next 7 days.
| 1st Period | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| 5:30 | Dylan Holloway (3) Unassisted · wrist xG 0.11 | 0–1 ▶ | |
| 9:40 | Dalibor Dvorsky (2)PP Cam Fowler (6), Pavel Buchnevich (5) · snap xG 0.11 | 0–2 ▶ | |
| 2nd Period | |||
| 8:28 | Ryker Evans (1) Eeli Tolvanen (5), Tye Kartye (2) · slap xG 0.02 | 1–2 ▶ | |
| 15:25 | Eeli Tolvanen (1)PP Vince Dunn (6), Jordan Eberle (6) · snap xG 0.13 | 2–2 ▶ | |
| 3rd Period | |||
| 5:10 | Jordan Kyrou (5) Philip Broberg (5), Robert Thomas (7) · wrist xG 0.14 | 2–3 ▶ | |
| 19:58 | Chandler Stephenson (4) Matty Beniers (7), Brandon Montour (6) · wrist xG 0.06 | 3–3 ▶ | |
| Overtime | |||
| 1:57 | Shane Wright (4) Eeli Tolvanen (6), Ryker Evans (1) · wrist xG 0.21 | 4–3 ▶ | |
Score away–home after each goal; season totals in parentheses.
Expected goals (xG) rate every unblocked shot by how often shots like it go in, from where it was taken, the shot type, the strength and what happened just before it. How it works
| SEA | STL | |
|---|---|---|
| 2.21 | Expected goals | 3.02 |
| 4 | Goals (no shootout) | 3 |
| 1.51 | Expected goals, 5 on 5 | 2.16 |
| 67 | Shot attempts | 42 |
| 44 | Unblocked attempts | 31 |
| 30 | Shots on goal | 19 |
What stood out as the game went on, from the play-by-play and the shifts. Time on the bench is counted in 5-on-5 play outside the penalty box; the note says the player sat, not why. Goals saved are against the shots' expected goals (xG).
| 3rd Period | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| 17:18 | SEA | Pulled goalie | Pulled goalie · Pulled Grubauer, down 3–2
With 2:42 left |
| 18:49 | SEA | Pulled goalie | Pulled goalie · Pulled Grubauer, down 3–2
With 1:11 left; SEA scored at 19:58 of the 3rd (3–3) |
xG comes from hockeystats.io's own model, a gradient-boosted tree model trained on every unblocked shot from the 2021-22 to 2025-26 regular seasons using the NHL's public play-by-play. Each shot's value is the share of similar shots that became goals. A team's xG is the sum over its shots; "deserve to win" asks how often the team would outscore its opponent if every shot went in at exactly that rate. Blocked shots count as attempts but have no xG (the NHL records where they were blocked, not where they were taken), so the map leaves them out.
| Skater | G | A | P | +/− | Att | xG | Hit | Blk | TOI | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Forwards | ||||||||||
| 9 | Chandler Stephenson | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0.06 | 0 | 1 | 21:48 |
| 7 | Jordan Eberle | 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 9 | 0.34 | 0 | 0 | 21:08 |
| 10 | Matty Beniers | 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 1 | 0.00 | 0 | 1 | 20:54 |
| 27 | Mason Marchment | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 0.17 | 1 | 0 | 19:28 |
| 71 | Jaden Schwartz | 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 7 | 0.22 | 1 | 1 | 19:14 |
| 84 | Kaapo Kakko | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0.19 | 0 | 0 | 16:40 |
| 17 | Eeli Tolvanen | 1 | 2 | 3 | +1 | 6 | 0.21 | 3 | 1 | 15:17 |
| 51 | Shane Wright | 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 2 | 0.26 | 0 | 0 | 12:41 |
| 59 | Ben Meyers | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.02 | 3 | 0 | 11:01 |
| 26 | Ryan Winterton | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | 1 | 0.00 | 1 | 0 | 10:54 |
| 24 | Tye Kartye | 0 | 1 | 1 | -1 | 4 | 0.31 | 1 | 0 | 10:22 |
| 27 | Berkly Catton | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.13 | 0 | 0 | 10:05 |
| Defense | ||||||||||
| 29 | Vince Dunn | 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 9 | 0.10 | 0 | 2 | 24:13 |
| 62 | Brandon Montour | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 0.07 | 0 | 2 | 23:48 |
| 55 | Ryan Lindgren | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | 2 | 0.00 | 0 | 1 | 19:04 |
| 41 | Ryker Evans | 1 | 1 | 2 | +1 | 6 | 0.02 | 2 | 0 | 17:44 |
| 6 | Adam Larsson | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 0.07 | 1 | 1 | 16:16 |
| 4 | Jamie Oleksiak | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.03 | 1 | 0 | 15:10 |
| Goalie | SA | GA | SV | SV% | xGA | GSAx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Philipp Grubauer | 19 | 3 | 16 | .842 | 2.33 | -0.67 |
| Skater | G | A | P | +/− | Att | xG | Hit | Blk | TOI | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Forwards | ||||||||||
| 22 | Pius Suter | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | 2 | 0.14 | 0 | 0 | 20:42 |
| 81 | Dylan Holloway | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0.17 | 2 | 4 | 19:47 |
| 10 | Brayden Schenn | 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 1 | 0.26 | 3 | 2 | 17:32 |
| 18 | Robert Thomas | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 0.06 | 0 | 1 | 16:05 |
| 25 | Jordan Kyrou | 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 6 | 0.42 | 0 | 1 | 16:00 |
| 89 | Pavel Buchnevich | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0 | 0 | 14:18 |
| 72 | Nick Bjugstad | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | 2 | 0.45 | 2 | 0 | 13:38 |
| 26 | Nathan Walker | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.01 | 8 | 1 | 13:36 |
| 21 | Mathieu Joseph | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0.00 | 1 | 0 | 13:19 |
| 13 | Alexey Toropchenko | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | 2 | 0.35 | 1 | 0 | 12:35 |
| 21 | Jimmy Snuggerud | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | 0 | 0.00 | 2 | 0 | 12:21 |
| 15 | Dalibor Dvorsky | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 0.19 | 4 | 1 | 11:13 |
| Defense | ||||||||||
| 6 | Philip Broberg | 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 6 | 0.42 | 0 | 1 | 25:32 |
| 55 | Colton Parayko | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0.00 | 1 | 4 | 25:17 |
| 17 | Cam Fowler | 0 | 1 | 1 | -1 | 4 | 0.03 | 0 | 1 | 23:41 |
| 72 | Justin Faulk | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | 2 | 0.17 | 2 | 4 | 22:05 |
| 4 | Matthew Kessel | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.01 | 4 | 0 | 11:47 |
| 75 | Tyler Tucker | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0.02 | 2 | 2 | 11:27 |
| Goalie | SA | GA | SV | SV% | xGA | GSAx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Joel Hofer | 30 | 4 | 26 | .867 | 2.21 | -1.79 |
Skaters by time on ice. Goalie lines count shots with the goalie in net, from the NHL play-by-play.
What each player added to the result, in goals, from most to least. Hover a number for what it's made of.
| Player | Rating | Points | Shots | On ice | Pen | FO | Other | GSAx | TOI |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Eeli Tolvanen R | +2.39 | +2.15 | +0.14 | +0.07 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.03 | — | 15:17 |
| 29 Vince Dunn D | +0.97 | +0.70 | +0.07 | +0.29 | -0.15 | 0.00 | +0.06 | — | 24:13 |
| 41 Ryker Evans D | +0.86 | +1.30 | +0.02 | -0.42 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -0.04 | — | 17:44 |
| 51 Shane Wright C | +0.79 | +0.75 | +0.17 | -0.08 | 0.00 | -0.03 | -0.02 | — | 12:41 |
| 12 Tye Kartye L | +0.66 | +0.55 | +0.20 | -0.23 | +0.15 | -0.01 | 0.00 | — | 10:22 |
| 10 Matty Beniers C | +0.59 | +0.70 | 0.00 | -0.15 | 0.00 | -0.01 | +0.05 | — | 20:54 |
| 6 Adam Larsson D | +0.54 | 0.00 | +0.05 | +0.44 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.05 | — | 16:16 |
| 7 Jordan Eberle R | +0.46 | +0.55 | +0.22 | -0.31 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | — | 21:08 |
| 77 Berkly Catton C | +0.41 | 0.00 | +0.08 | +0.33 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | — | 10:05 |
| 59 Ben Meyers C | +0.21 | 0.00 | +0.01 | +0.22 | 0.00 | -0.02 | 0.00 | — | 11:01 |
| 24 Jamie Oleksiak D | +0.11 | 0.00 | +0.02 | +0.07 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.02 | — | 15:10 |
| 9 Chandler Stephenson C | +0.04 | +0.75 | +0.04 | -0.84 | 0.00 | +0.02 | +0.07 | — | 21:48 |
| 17 Jaden Schwartz L | -0.12 | 0.00 | +0.14 | -0.29 | 0.00 | +0.01 | +0.01 | — | 19:14 |
| 62 Brandon Montour D | -0.15 | +0.55 | +0.04 | -0.97 | +0.15 | 0.00 | +0.08 | — | 23:48 |
| 84 Kaapo Kakko R | -0.20 | 0.00 | +0.12 | -0.27 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -0.06 | — | 16:40 |
| 26 Ryan Winterton C | -0.37 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -0.35 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -0.02 | — | 10:54 |
| 31 Philipp Grubauer G | -0.67 | 0.00 | — | — | 0.00 | — | — | -0.67 | 59:33 |
| 27 Mason Marchment L | -0.68 | 0.00 | +0.11 | -0.70 | 0.00 | -0.02 | -0.08 | — | 19:28 |
| 55 Ryan Lindgren D | -0.96 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -1.14 | +0.15 | 0.00 | +0.03 | — | 19:04 |
| Player | Rating | Points | Shots | On ice | Pen | FO | Other | GSAx | TOI |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Jordan Kyrou R | +2.57 | +0.75 | +0.28 | +1.32 | +0.15 | 0.00 | +0.07 | — | 16:00 |
| 6 Philip Broberg D | +2.54 | +0.70 | +0.27 | +1.52 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.05 | — | 25:32 |
| 55 Colton Parayko D | +1.70 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +1.52 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.18 | — | 25:17 |
| 81 Dylan Holloway L | +1.59 | +0.75 | +0.11 | +0.54 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.18 | — | 19:47 |
| 10 Brayden Schenn C | +1.34 | 0.00 | +0.17 | +1.05 | 0.00 | +0.02 | +0.10 | — | 17:32 |
| 18 Robert Thomas C | +1.31 | +0.55 | +0.04 | +0.71 | 0.00 | +0.02 | -0.01 | — | 16:05 |
| 89 Pavel Buchnevich L | +1.05 | +0.55 | 0.00 | +0.52 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -0.02 | — | 14:18 |
| 22 Pius Suter C | +0.82 | 0.00 | +0.09 | +0.73 | 0.00 | +0.02 | -0.02 | — | 20:42 |
| 77 Nick Bjugstad C | +0.23 | 0.00 | +0.30 | -0.05 | 0.00 | -0.01 | 0.00 | — | 13:38 |
| 54 Dalibor Dvorsky R | +0.09 | +0.75 | +0.12 | -0.71 | -0.15 | +0.02 | +0.05 | — | 11:13 |
| 75 Tyler Tucker D | +0.03 | 0.00 | +0.01 | +0.09 | -0.15 | 0.00 | +0.08 | — | 11:27 |
| 17 Cam Fowler D | +0.01 | +0.70 | +0.02 | -0.74 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.03 | — | 23:41 |
| 13 Alexey Toropchenko R | -0.06 | 0.00 | +0.23 | -0.29 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | — | 12:35 |
| 51 Matthew Kessel D | -0.12 | 0.00 | +0.01 | -0.12 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | — | 11:47 |
| 72 Justin Faulk D | -0.22 | 0.00 | +0.11 | -0.53 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.20 | — | 22:05 |
| 26 Nathan Walker L | -0.24 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -0.27 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.03 | — | 13:36 |
| 71 Mathieu Joseph R | -0.30 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -0.27 | 0.00 | -0.01 | -0.02 | — | 13:19 |
| 21 Jimmy Snuggerud R | -0.89 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -0.70 | -0.15 | 0.00 | -0.04 | — | 12:21 |
| 30 Joel Hofer G | -1.79 | 0.00 | — | — | 0.00 | — | — | -1.79 | 61:57 |
An expected-goals take on Dom Luszczyszyn's Game Score: goals and assists, the quality of a player's own shots, shot quality for and against while they were on the ice at 5v5, penalties, faceoffs and puck plays, all in goals; goalies by goals saved above expected. From the NHL play-by-play and shift charts.