| Final | 1st | 2nd | 3rd | T | SOG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 20 | |
| 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 46 |
No impact calculated for this game. Impacts are calculated for games in the next 7 days.
| 1st Period | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| 0:59 | Connor Bedard (9)PP Artyom Levshunov (8), Teuvo Teravainen (8) · snap xG 0.08 | 1–0 ▶ | |
| 4:19 | Dylan Larkin (9) Lucas Raymond (9), Simon Edvinsson (3) · wrist xG 0.38 | 1–1 ▶ | |
| 2nd Period | |||
| 3:22 | Teuvo Teravainen (3)PP Andre Burakovsky (7), Tyler Bertuzzi (5) · snap xG 0.07 | 2–1 ▶ | |
| 3rd Period | |||
| 5:09 | Tyler Bertuzzi (9)PP Connor Bedard (15), Artyom Levshunov (9) · wrist xG 0.25 | 3–1 ▶ | |
| 16:37 | Andre Burakovsky (7)EN Connor Bedard (16), Louis Crevier (4) · wrist xG 0.49 | 4–1 ▶ | |
| 19:44 | Oliver Moore (1) Ryan Donato (5), Matt Grzelcyk (4) · slap xG 0.16 | 5–1 ▶ | |
Score away–home after each goal; season totals in parentheses.
Expected goals (xG) rate every unblocked shot by how often shots like it go in, from where it was taken, the shot type, the strength and what happened just before it. How it works
| CHI | DET | |
|---|---|---|
| 2.21 | Expected goals | 5.51 |
| 5 | Goals (no shootout) | 1 |
| 1.31 | Expected goals, 5 on 5 | 3.13 |
| 34 | Shot attempts | 86 |
| 26 | Unblocked attempts | 67 |
| 20 | Shots on goal | 46 |
What stood out as the game went on, from the play-by-play and the shifts. Time on the bench is counted in 5-on-5 play outside the penalty box; the note says the player sat, not why. Goals saved are against the shots' expected goals (xG).
| 2nd Period | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| 1:10 | DET | xG swing | xG swing · Out-chanced CHI 1.74–0.17
In xG over 10 minutes, 19:00 of the 1st to 9:00 of the 2nd; goals 0–1 |
| 16:23 | CHI | Goalie | Goalie · Soderblom +2.1 goals saved
1 goal on 3.06 xG, 23 shots on goal |
| 3rd Period | |||
| 12:21 | CHI | Goalie | Goalie · Soderblom +4.0 goals saved
1 goal on 5.01 xG, 38 shots on goal |
| 13:10 | DET | xG swing | xG swing · Out-chanced CHI 1.62–0.08
In xG over 10 minutes, 5:30 to 15:30 of the 3rd; neither team scored |
| 16:14 | DET | Pulled goalie | Pulled goalie · Pulled Gibson, down 3–1
With 3:46 left; CHI scored at 16:37 of the 3rd (4–1) |
| 19:44 | DET | Goalie | Goalie · Gibson −2.3 goals saved
4 goals on 1.72 xG, 19 shots on goal |
xG comes from hockeystats.io's own model, a gradient-boosted tree model trained on every unblocked shot from the 2021-22 to 2025-26 regular seasons using the NHL's public play-by-play. Each shot's value is the share of similar shots that became goals. A team's xG is the sum over its shots; "deserve to win" asks how often the team would outscore its opponent if every shot went in at exactly that rate. Blocked shots count as attempts but have no xG (the NHL records where they were blocked, not where they were taken), so the map leaves them out.
| Skater | G | A | P | +/− | Att | xG | Hit | Blk | TOI | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Forwards | ||||||||||
| 95 | Ilya Mikheyev | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.00 | 1 | 1 | 19:41 |
| 86 | Teuvo Teravainen | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0.07 | 0 | 0 | 18:56 |
| 98 | Connor Bedard | 1 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 0.10 | 0 | 1 | 17:55 |
| 71 | Nick Foligno | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.05 | 3 | 0 | 17:30 |
| 20 | Ryan Greene | 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 0 | 0.00 | 0 | 0 | 17:27 |
| 95 | Andre Burakovsky | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 0.79 | 0 | 3 | 15:54 |
| 59 | Tyler Bertuzzi | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0.29 | 1 | 0 | 15:15 |
| 8 | Ryan Donato | 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 3 | 0.15 | 0 | 0 | 12:42 |
| 34 | Colton Dach | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0.09 | 3 | 0 | 12:19 |
| 11 | Oliver Moore | 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 6 | 0.61 | 0 | 0 | 11:32 |
| 18 | Sam Lafferty | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 1 | 0 | 11:26 |
| Defense | ||||||||||
| 72 | Alex Vlasic | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.01 | 0 | 3 | 23:28 |
| 44 | Wyatt Kaiser | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.00 | 0 | 1 | 21:24 |
| 55 | Artyom Levshunov | 0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0.00 | 2 | 2 | 17:08 |
| 46 | Louis Crevier | 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 2 | 0.00 | 1 | 1 | 15:33 |
| 5 | Connor Murphy | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.00 | 4 | 1 | 13:41 |
| 24 | Matt Grzelcyk | 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 1 | 0.02 | 0 | 1 | 13:40 |
| Goalie | SA | GA | SV | SV% | xGA | GSAx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Arvid Soderblom | 46 | 1 | 45 | .978 | 5.51 | +4.51 |
| Skater | G | A | P | +/− | Att | xG | Hit | Blk | TOI | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Forwards | ||||||||||
| 93 | Alex DeBrincat | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 0.79 | 1 | 0 | 19:39 |
| 23 | Lucas Raymond | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 1.03 | 2 | 0 | 19:17 |
| 71 | Dylan Larkin | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 7 | 1.08 | 0 | 0 | 18:45 |
| 88 | Patrick Kane | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | 8 | 0.20 | 0 | 0 | 17:34 |
| 58 | Emmitt Finnie | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 0.53 | 0 | 1 | 16:25 |
| 21 | James van Riemsdyk | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2 | 3 | 0.34 | 0 | 0 | 14:57 |
| 92 | Marco Kasper | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | 9 | 0.35 | 3 | 1 | 14:46 |
| 37 | J.T. Compher | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.00 | 0 | 0 | 14:38 |
| 18 | Andrew Copp | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | 1 | 0.00 | 1 | 0 | 14:00 |
| 22 | Mason Appleton | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0.09 | 3 | 1 | 12:00 |
| 25 | Elmer Soderblom | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0.30 | 2 | 0 | 11:24 |
| Defense | ||||||||||
| 53 | Moritz Seider | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 0.06 | 1 | 0 | 25:07 |
| 77 | Simon Edvinsson | 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 4 | 0.32 | 0 | 2 | 21:32 |
| 44 | Axel Sandin-Pellikka | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 0.07 | 1 | 0 | 21:02 |
| 8 | Ben Chiarot | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 0.05 | 3 | 2 | 19:08 |
| 20 | Albert Johansson | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | 2 | 0.07 | 3 | 0 | 12:41 |
| 52 | Travis Hamonic | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | 2 | 0.01 | 0 | 1 | 10:53 |
| Goalie | SA | GA | SV | SV% | xGA | GSAx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| John Gibson | 19 | 4 | 15 | .789 | 1.72 | -2.28 |
Skaters by time on ice. Goalie lines count shots with the goalie in net, from the NHL play-by-play.
What each player added to the result, in goals, from most to least. Hover a number for what it's made of.
| Player | Rating | Points | Shots | On ice | Pen | FO | Other | GSAx | TOI |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 40 Arvid Soderblom G | +4.51 | 0.00 | — | — | 0.00 | — | — | +4.51 | 60:00 |
| 11 Oliver Moore C | +1.93 | +0.75 | +0.40 | +0.78 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | — | 11:32 |
| 8 Ryan Donato C | +1.53 | +0.70 | +0.10 | +0.73 | 0.00 | +0.01 | 0.00 | — | 12:42 |
| 48 Matt Grzelcyk D | +1.10 | +0.55 | +0.01 | +0.46 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.07 | — | 13:40 |
| 28 Andre Burakovsky L | +0.93 | +1.45 | +0.51 | -1.20 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.17 | — | 15:54 |
| 98 Connor Bedard C | +0.69 | +2.15 | +0.07 | -1.57 | 0.00 | +0.01 | +0.03 | — | 17:55 |
| 59 Tyler Bertuzzi L | +0.43 | +1.30 | +0.19 | -1.01 | 0.00 | -0.03 | -0.02 | — | 15:15 |
| 55 Artyom Levshunov D | +0.23 | +1.25 | 0.00 | -1.27 | +0.15 | 0.00 | +0.10 | — | 17:08 |
| 86 Teuvo Teravainen C | +0.19 | +1.30 | +0.05 | -1.14 | 0.00 | +0.02 | -0.04 | — | 18:56 |
| 46 Louis Crevier D | +0.08 | +0.55 | 0.00 | -0.35 | -0.15 | 0.00 | +0.03 | — | 15:33 |
| 17 Nick Foligno L | -0.06 | 0.00 | +0.03 | -0.09 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | — | 17:30 |
| 6 Sam Rinzel D | -0.23 | 0.00 | +0.01 | -0.34 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.10 | — | 14:29 |
| 5 Connor Murphy D | -0.33 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -0.04 | -0.30 | 0.00 | +0.01 | — | 13:41 |
| 24 Sam Lafferty C | -0.45 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -0.45 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | — | 11:26 |
| 34 Colton Dach C | -0.49 | 0.00 | +0.06 | -0.52 | 0.00 | -0.01 | -0.02 | — | 12:19 |
| 95 Ilya Mikheyev R | -0.73 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -0.76 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.03 | — | 19:41 |
| 20 Ryan Greene C | -0.78 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -0.76 | 0.00 | -0.02 | 0.00 | — | 17:27 |
| 44 Wyatt Kaiser D | -1.07 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -1.10 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.03 | — | 21:24 |
| 72 Alex Vlasic D | -1.20 | 0.00 | +0.01 | -1.36 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.15 | — | 23:28 |
| Player | Rating | Points | Shots | On ice | Pen | FO | Other | GSAx | TOI |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 71 Dylan Larkin C | +3.67 | +0.75 | +0.70 | +1.94 | +0.30 | 0.00 | -0.02 | — | 18:45 |
| 23 Lucas Raymond L | +3.22 | +0.70 | +0.67 | +1.85 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | — | 19:17 |
| 77 Simon Edvinsson D | +2.37 | +0.55 | +0.21 | +1.66 | -0.15 | 0.00 | +0.10 | — | 21:32 |
| 53 Moritz Seider D | +1.97 | 0.00 | +0.04 | +1.97 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -0.04 | — | 25:07 |
| 93 Alex DeBrincat R | +1.68 | 0.00 | +0.51 | +1.20 | 0.00 | +0.01 | -0.04 | — | 19:39 |
| 58 Emmitt Finnie C | +1.64 | 0.00 | +0.35 | +1.17 | +0.15 | -0.01 | -0.01 | — | 16:25 |
| 88 Patrick Kane R | +0.64 | 0.00 | +0.13 | +0.52 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | — | 17:34 |
| 37 J.T. Compher L | +0.36 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.38 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -0.02 | — | 14:38 |
| 44 Axel Sandin-Pellikka D | +0.34 | 0.00 | +0.04 | +0.34 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -0.04 | — | 21:02 |
| 85 Elmer Soderblom L | +0.34 | 0.00 | +0.20 | +0.15 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | — | 11:24 |
| 21 James van Riemsdyk L | +0.20 | 0.00 | +0.22 | -0.17 | +0.15 | 0.00 | 0.00 | — | 14:57 |
| 8 Ben Chiarot D | +0.14 | 0.00 | +0.03 | +0.05 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.06 | — | 19:08 |
| 20 Albert Johansson D | +0.07 | 0.00 | +0.04 | +0.02 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | — | 12:41 |
| 29 Nate Danielson C | -0.06 | 0.00 | +0.14 | -0.15 | 0.00 | -0.06 | +0.02 | — | 15:16 |
| 18 Andrew Copp C | -0.12 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -0.18 | 0.00 | +0.06 | 0.00 | — | 14:00 |
| 22 Mason Appleton C | -0.16 | 0.00 | +0.06 | -0.19 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -0.03 | — | 12:00 |
| 52 Travis Hamonic D | -0.16 | 0.00 | +0.01 | -0.05 | -0.15 | 0.00 | +0.03 | — | 10:53 |
| 92 Marco Kasper C | -0.22 | 0.00 | +0.23 | -0.52 | 0.00 | +0.02 | +0.05 | — | 14:46 |
| 36 John Gibson G | -2.28 | 0.00 | — | — | 0.00 | — | — | -2.28 | 59:37 |
An expected-goals take on Dom Luszczyszyn's Game Score: goals and assists, the quality of a player's own shots, shot quality for and against while they were on the ice at 5v5, penalties, faceoffs and puck plays, all in goals; goalies by goals saved above expected. From the NHL play-by-play and shift charts.