Sunday, November 9, 2025
No impact calculated for this game. Impacts are calculated for games in the next 7 days.
Highlights
Shot quality
Expected goals (xG) rate every unblocked shot by how often shots like it go in, from where it was taken,
the shot type, the strength and what happened just before it. How it works
SEA 49%Deserve to win 51% DAL
SEA DAL
2.93 Expected goals 2.98
1 Goals (no shootout) 2
1.87 Expected goals, 5 on 5 2.16
58 Shot attempts 54
41 Unblocked attempts 37
31 Shots on goal 25
Game notes
What stood out as the game went on, from the play-by-play and the shifts. Time on the bench is
counted in 5-on-5 play outside the penalty box; the note says the player sat, not why. Goals saved are against the
shots' expected goals (xG).
3rd Period
18:13
SEA
Pulled goalie
Pulled goalie · Pulled Murray, down 2–1
With 1:47 left
Shot map
SEA shoots ←Bigger circle: higher xG; filled: goal → DAL shoots
Mavrik Bourque: backhand, 36 ft, xG 0.00 (P1 1:14)
Mavrik Bourque: snap, 39 ft, xG 0.05 (P1 1:44)
Vince Dunn: wrist, 48 ft, xG 0.01 (P1 3:07)
Justin Hryckowian: snap, 35 ft, xG 0.09 (P1 5:07)
Sam Steel: snap, 41 ft, xG 0.05 (P1 6:44)
Mikko Rantanen: tip-in, 7 ft, xG 0.09 (P1 6:49)
Roope Hintz: backhand, 8 ft, xG 0.16 (P1 10:44)
Colin Blackwell: backhand, 8 ft, xG 0.07 (P1 10:45)
Jordan Eberle: backhand, 21 ft, xG 0.04 (P1 11:06)
Jordan Eberle: snap, 9 ft, xG 0.06 (P1 11:15)
Jamie Oleksiak: snap, 41 ft, xG 0.05 (P1 12:18)
Mikko Rantanen: snap, 30 ft, xG 0.07 (P1 12:27)
Vince Dunn: snap, 76 ft, xG 0.00 (P1 13:32)
Mason Marchment: wrist, 47 ft, xG 0.02 (P1 13:41)
Jason Robertson: snap, 41 ft, xG 0.02 (P1 14:25)
Ryker Evans: snap, 47 ft, xG 0.01 (P1 17:30)
Mikko Rantanen: snap, 23 ft, xG 0.15 (P1 17:42)
Alexander Petrovic: snap, 55 ft, xG 0.01 (P1 18:49)
Justin Hryckowian: snap, 41 ft, xG 0.05 (P1 18:59)
Jordan Eberle: snap, 27 ft, xG 0.11 (P1 19:54)
Chandler Stephenson: wrist, 35 ft, xG 0.03 (P2 0:23)
Jamie Oleksiak: slap, 54 ft, xG 0.04 (P2 2:06)
Ben Meyers: snap, 42 ft, xG 0.02 (P2 2:58)
Vince Dunn: snap, 27 ft, xG 0.13 (P2 3:29)
Sam Steel: snap, 28 ft, xG 0.06 (P2 4:06)
Ryan Winterton: snap, 45 ft, xG 0.01 (P2 4:49)
Berkly Catton: snap, 26 ft, xG 0.09 (P2 4:51)
Vince Dunn: snap, 46 ft, xG 0.05 (P2 5:12)
Jordan Eberle: wrist, 8 ft, xG 0.06 (P2 5:13)
Eeli Tolvanen: snap, 9 ft, xG 0.06 (P2 5:14)
Sam Steel: snap, 18 ft, xG 0.22 (P2 5:40)
Vince Dunn: snap, 39 ft, xG 0.08 (P2 6:17)
Brandon Montour: wrist, 32 ft, xG 0.09 (P2 7:11)
Mason Marchment: snap, 30 ft, xG 0.13 (P2 8:54)
Ryan Lindgren: snap, 60 ft, xG 0.02 (P2 10:22)
Brandon Montour: slap, 60 ft, xG 0.03 (P2 10:39)
Roope Hintz: tip-in, 8 ft, xG 0.09 (P2 11:41)
Roope Hintz: snap, 9 ft, xG 0.08 (P2 11:42)
Jordan Eberle: snap, 25 ft, xG 0.18 (P2 11:59)
Wyatt Johnston: snap, 30 ft, xG 0.13 (P2 12:58)
Lian Bichsel: snap, 47 ft, xG 0.03 (P2 13:18)
Mavrik Bourque: snap, 33 ft, xG 0.02 (P2 14:02)
Jason Robertson: snap, 31 ft, xG 0.13 (P2 16:27)
Chandler Stephenson: snap, 32 ft, xG 0.11 (P2 17:15)
Jaden Schwartz: backhand, 14 ft, xG 0.03 (P2 17:24)
Mason Marchment: slap, 27 ft, xG 0.17 (P2 17:28)
Jordan Eberle: snap, 26 ft, xG 0.04 (P2 17:43)
Brandon Montour: slap, 59 ft, xG 0.02 (P2 17:59)
Eeli Tolvanen: snap, 29 ft, xG 0.02 (P2 18:51)
Lian Bichsel: snap, 54 ft, xG 0.02 (P2 19:06)
Jason Robertson: snap, 24 ft, xG 0.14 (P2 19:30)
Ilya Lyubushkin: slap, 61 ft, xG 0.03 (P2 19:51)
Esa Lindell: wrist, 181 ft, xG 0.00 (P3 0:30)
Wyatt Johnston: wrist, 11 ft, xG 0.08 (P3 2:08)
Ryker Evans: snap, 36 ft, xG 0.03 (P3 3:14)
Jaden Schwartz: tip-in, 18 ft, xG 0.08 (P3 3:23)
Jaden Schwartz: snap, 55 ft, xG 0.03 (P3 3:33)
Eeli Tolvanen: snap, 26 ft, xG 0.15 (P3 4:35)
Eeli Tolvanen: slap, 30 ft, xG 0.12 (P3 4:50)
Jordan Eberle: snap, 29 ft, xG 0.13 (P3 5:52)
Matty Beniers: slap, 29 ft, xG 0.14 (P3 6:11)
Mikko Rantanen: backhand, 7 ft, xG 0.20 (P3 6:56)
Ryker Evans: snap, 23 ft, xG 0.18 (P3 7:21)
Wyatt Johnston: snap, 10 ft, xG 0.03 (P3 10:16)
Wyatt Johnston: snap, 17 ft, xG 0.19 (P3 10:32)
Jason Robertson: backhand, 8 ft, xG 0.13 (P3 11:59)
Mikko Rantanen: slap, 32 ft, xG 0.07 (P3 12:16)
Esa Lindell: tip-in, 9 ft, xG 0.11 (P3 13:36)
Mikko Rantanen: snap, 39 ft, xG 0.04 (P3 14:07)
Esa Lindell: tip-in, 28 ft, xG 0.04 (P3 14:17)
Mason Marchment: snap, 23 ft, xG 0.18 (P3 16:04)
Thomas Harley: snap, 59 ft, xG 0.00 (P3 17:03)
Sam Steel: snap, 29 ft, xG 0.05 (P3 17:33)
Brandon Montour: slap, 42 ft, xG 0.09 (P3 19:41)
Shane Wright: wrist, 40 ft, xG 0.07 (P3 19:55)
Jaden Schwartz: GOAL, tip-in, 26 ft, xG 0.04 (P1 3:15)
Wyatt Johnston: GOAL, snap, 7 ft, xG 0.21 (P1 4:24)
Tyler Seguin: GOAL, backhand, 7 ft, xG 0.04 (P1 19:26)
About these numbers
xG comes from hockeystats.io's own model, a gradient-boosted tree model trained on every unblocked shot
from the 2021-22 to 2025-26 regular seasons using the NHL's public play-by-play. Each shot's value is the
share of similar shots that became goals. A team's xG is the sum over its shots; "deserve to win" asks how
often the team would outscore its opponent if every shot went in at exactly that rate. Blocked shots count
as attempts but have no xG (the NHL records where they were blocked, not where they were taken), so the map
leaves them out.
All columns
Box score
Seattle Kraken
Goalie
SA GA
SV SV%
xGA
GSAx
Matt Murray
25 2 23
.920
2.98
+0.98
Dallas Stars
Skaters by time on ice. Goalie lines count shots with the goalie in net, from the NHL play-by-play.
Player ratings
What each player added to the result, in goals, from most to least. Hover a number for what it's made of.
Seattle Kraken
Player
Rating
Points
Shots
On ice
Pen
FO
Other
GSAx
TOI
17 Jaden Schwartz L
+1.07
+0.75
+0.11
+0.36
-0.15
+0.01
-0.02
—
15:56
29 Vince Dunn D
+1.00
+0.55
+0.18
+0.19
0.00
0.00
+0.08
—
23:58
30 Matt Murray G
+0.98
0.00
—
—
0.00
—
—
+0.98
58:07
41 Ryker Evans D
+0.84
0.00
+0.15
+0.68
0.00
0.00
+0.01
—
17:52
6 Adam Larsson D
+0.71
+0.70
0.00
-0.14
0.00
0.00
+0.15
—
21:07
27 Mason Marchment L
+0.61
0.00
+0.32
+0.29
0.00
0.00
0.00
—
17:56
10 Matty Beniers C
+0.50
0.00
+0.09
+0.45
0.00
-0.06
+0.02
—
19:01
84 Kaapo Kakko R
+0.41
0.00
0.00
+0.34
0.00
0.00
+0.07
—
10:19
59 Ben Meyers C
+0.38
0.00
+0.01
+0.42
0.00
-0.05
0.00
—
10:41
24 Jamie Oleksiak D
+0.32
0.00
+0.06
+0.24
0.00
0.00
+0.02
—
13:05
12 Tye Kartye L
+0.27
0.00
0.00
+0.22
0.00
0.00
+0.05
—
11:10
20 Eeli Tolvanen R
+0.10
0.00
+0.23
-0.12
0.00
0.00
0.00
—
16:42
9 Chandler Stephenson C
-0.02
0.00
+0.09
-0.08
0.00
-0.03
0.00
—
23:18
7 Jordan Eberle R
-0.17
0.00
+0.39
-0.39
-0.15
0.00
-0.02
—
23:02
77 Berkly Catton C
-0.48
0.00
+0.06
-0.52
0.00
0.00
-0.02
—
8:48
55 Ryan Lindgren D
-0.56
0.00
+0.01
-0.78
0.00
0.00
+0.20
—
16:38
26 Ryan Winterton C
-0.57
0.00
+0.01
-0.76
+0.15
0.00
+0.03
—
10:35
62 Brandon Montour D
-0.66
0.00
+0.15
-0.82
0.00
0.00
+0.01
—
23:05
51 Shane Wright C
-1.02
0.00
+0.05
-1.10
0.00
-0.03
+0.07
—
11:48
Dallas Stars
Player
Rating
Points
Shots
On ice
Pen
FO
Other
GSAx
TOI
1 Casey DeSmith G
+1.93
0.00
—
—
0.00
—
—
+1.93
60:00
4 Miro Heiskanen D
+1.69
+1.10
0.00
+0.36
+0.15
0.00
+0.08
—
23:43
53 Wyatt Johnston C
+1.63
+0.75
+0.42
+0.43
0.00
+0.03
0.00
—
17:38
21 Jason Robertson L
+1.25
+0.70
+0.28
+0.29
0.00
0.00
-0.02
—
18:55
96 Mikko Rantanen R
+1.13
0.00
+0.40
+0.71
0.00
-0.01
+0.03
—
20:25
24 Roope Hintz C
+1.07
+0.70
+0.22
+0.09
0.00
+0.08
-0.02
—
18:59
49 Justin Hryckowian C
+0.51
0.00
+0.09
+0.24
+0.15
+0.01
+0.02
—
12:17
6 Lian Bichsel D
+0.44
0.00
+0.04
+0.51
-0.15
0.00
+0.05
—
15:39
28 Alexander Petrovic D
+0.33
0.00
+0.01
+0.32
0.00
0.00
0.00
—
13:38
46 Ilya Lyubushkin D
+0.25
0.00
+0.02
-0.02
0.00
0.00
+0.25
—
18:40
15 Colin Blackwell C
+0.24
0.00
+0.04
+0.16
0.00
-0.01
+0.05
—
9:51
91 Tyler Seguin C
+0.23
+0.75
+0.03
-0.54
0.00
+0.03
-0.04
—
16:59
18 Sam Steel C
+0.21
0.00
+0.25
+0.01
0.00
-0.01
-0.04
—
19:16
10 Oskar Bäck C
+0.08
0.00
0.00
+0.09
0.00
+0.01
-0.02
—
11:28
73 Adam Erne L
-0.05
0.00
0.00
-0.08
0.00
0.00
+0.03
—
8:52
12 Radek Faksa C
-0.09
0.00
0.00
-0.08
0.00
+0.01
-0.02
—
8:26
55 Thomas Harley D
-0.13
0.00
0.00
-0.07
-0.15
0.00
+0.08
—
21:02
22 Mavrik Bourque C
-0.34
0.00
+0.05
-0.38
0.00
+0.02
-0.02
—
11:50
23 Esa Lindell D
-0.37
0.00
+0.09
-0.47
0.00
0.00
+0.01
—
24:22
An expected-goals take on Dom Luszczyszyn's Game Score: goals and assists, the quality of a
player's own shots, shot quality for and against while they were on the ice at 5v5, penalties, faceoffs and puck plays,
all in goals; goalies by goals saved above expected. From the NHL play-by-play and shift charts.